Fort Wayne v New York Cosmos — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · FIFA:jznihqxle06xych9ygwiwnsa · 2627
FIFA:jznihqxle06xych9ygwiwnsa results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.4%
- 1-0 10.6%
- 2-1 8.9%
- 0-1 8.7%
- 2-0 7.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | Under 2.5 | 51.7% |
| BTTS yes | 52.5% | BTTS no | 47.5% |
| Fort Wayne 1+ | 76.2% | Fort Wayne 2+ | 42.0% |
| New York Cosmos 1+ | 69.0% | New York Cosmos 2+ | 32.7% |
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Fort Wayne have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while New York Cosmos have allowed 1.35.
- At home Fort Wayne average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 0/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Fort Wayne have only 0 matches on record.
- New York Cosmos have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Fort Wayne have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 30.8% for New York Cosmos and 26.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.43 for Fort Wayne and 1.17 for New York Cosmos.
Why Fort Wayne
Fort Wayne have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while New York Cosmos have allowed 1.35. At home Fort Wayne average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.1%.
Why New York Cosmos can win
New York Cosmos have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Fort Wayne have allowed 1.35. Away from home New York Cosmos average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Fort Wayne, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for New York Cosmos, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Fort Wayne: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. New York Cosmos: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Fort Wayne are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 0/100, data quality 0/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.50–1.22 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.