Freiburg v Bayern Munich — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 25 January 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425
Bundesliga
xG
Shots
7 – 7
On target
2 – 3
Shots in box
5 – 4
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.11
Set-piece xG
0.13 – 0.46
Goals − xG
+0.73 – +1.21
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Freiburg 0.27 xGBayern Munich 0.79 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Freiburg attacking right
Bayern Munich attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5' |
 Freiburg |
Maximilian Eggestein | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Ritsu Doan |
| 12' |
 Bayern Munich |
Jamal Musiala | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Shot On Post | Kim Min-Jae |
| 14' |
Bayern Munich |
Harry Kane | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Eric Dier |
| 46' |
Bayern Munich |
Serge Gnabry | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Josip Stanisic |
| 53' |
Bayern Munich |
Kim Min-Jae | 0.40 | From Corner | — | Goal | Joshua Kimmich |
| 57' |
Bayern Munich |
Serge Gnabry | 0.18 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Joshua Kimmich |
| 64' |
Freiburg |
Lucas Höler | 0.01 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Lukas Kübler |
| 67' |
Freiburg |
Matthias Ginter | 0.13 | From Corner | — | Goal | Ritsu Doan |
| 67' |
Freiburg |
Merlin Röhl | 0.03 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | Lucas Höler |
| 70' |
Bayern Munich |
Eric Dier | 0.05 | From Corner | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Josip Stanisic |
| 81' |
Bayern Munich |
Kingsley Coman | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Aleksandar Pavlovic |
| 86' |
Freiburg |
Junior Adamu | 0.04 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Philipp Lienhart |
| 86' |
Freiburg |
Vincenzo Grifo | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Michael Gregoritsch |
| 89' |
Freiburg |
Matthias Ginter | 0.02 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Vincenzo Grifo |
Players
Freiburg
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merlin Röhl AML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Lukas Kübler DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Nicolas Höfler DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Noah Atubolu GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Philipp Lienhart DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Ritsu Doan AMR | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| Jordy Makengo DL | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Maximilian Eggestein DMC | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Eren Sami Dinkci AMC | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Lucas Höler FW | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Max Rosenfelder DC | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Matthias Ginter Sub | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Junior Adamu Sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Vincenzo Grifo Sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Johan Manzambi Sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Michael Gregoritsch Sub | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
Bayern Munich
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Min-Jae DC | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Harry Kane FW | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Eric Dier DC | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| Joshua Kimmich DR | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 0.23 |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.26 |
| Manuel Neuer GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Jamal Musiala AMC | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Raphael Guerreiro DL | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Serge Gnabry AML | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.19 |
| Leroy Sané AMR | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Josip Stanisic Sub | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| Leon Goretzka DMC | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Kingsley Coman Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Michael Olise Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| João Palhinha Sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Thomas Müller Sub | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |