Freiburg v Bayern Munich — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 24 October 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627
Bundesliga
xG Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyFreiburg win
27.2%
model 25.1%
Draw
21.2%
model 20.5%
Bayern Munich win
51.6%
model 54.5%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-2 9.2%
- 1-1 8.4%
- 1-3 6.7%
- 2-2 6.6%
- 0-2 6.4%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 70.1% | Under 2.5 | 29.9% |
| BTTS yes | 67.7% | BTTS no | 32.3% |
| Freiburg 1+ | 76.3% | Freiburg 2+ | 42.2% |
| Bayern Munich 1+ | 88.7% | Bayern Munich 2+ | 64.1% |
Expected goals 1.44 – 2.18. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
88/100
Data quality
90/100
Model agreement
93%
★ Best pick
Bayern Munich to win 2nd half
2nd half 1X2 · usually 30%
62.3% fair odds 1.61
strong signal · 130 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Bayern Munich not to win both halves
Win both halves · usually 91%
82.9% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 589 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Bayern Munich carry the stronger rating, 1940 Elo against 1567.
- Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Freiburg have scored 2.40 a match from 1.56 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Bayern Munich have an estimated 51.6% win probability, against 27.2% for Freiburg and 21.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for Freiburg and 2.18 for Bayern Munich.
Why Freiburg
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. At home Freiburg average 2.01 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Bayern Munich were missing 2.00 expected goal involvements a match against 0.59.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 21.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why Bayern Munich can win
Bayern Munich carry the stronger rating, 1940 Elo against 1567. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Key players
Freiburg's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Igor Matanovic (0.38), Yuito Suzuki (0.28), Johan Manzambi (0.25). Bayern Munich's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Harry Kane (0.90), Michael Olise (0.69), Luis Díaz (0.64).
Availability
1 of Freiburg's top three contributors did not start their last match. 2 of Bayern Munich's top three contributors did not start their last match.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Freiburg: 43% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.47 xG a match from set pieces. Bayern Munich: 67% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.53 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·
Bayern Munich are the model's most likely outcome at 51.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.2%. Confidence 88/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Freiburg are finishing above their chances — 3.4 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.
WLWWLDLWWW last 10
scored 19
from 15.6 xG
conceded 15
from 15.5 xG
Bayern Munich are conceding fewer than expected — 3.2 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.
WWWWWDWWWD last 10
scored 34
from 32.8 xG
conceded 12
from 15.2 xG
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.44–2.18 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.31–2.40 | 1-2 9% | 71% | 66% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to win | 55.0% | 51.5% | 33.7% | 1.53× | 1.94 |
| Freiburg to win | 24.9% | 24.5% | 41.6% | 0.59× | 4.09 |
| Draw | 20.1% | 24.4% | 24.8% | 0.98× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich & both teams score | 34.6% | 29.7% | 18.4% | 1.62× | 3.36 |
| Bayern Munich & not both score | 20.4% | 21.9% | 15.5% | 1.41× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.7% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 0.94× | 5.58 |
| Freiburg & both teams score | 16.7% | 17.9% | 22.2% | 0.81× | 5.58 |
| Freiburg & not both score | 8.2% | 8.4% | 19.6% | 0.43× | 11.93 |
| Draw & not both score | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 0.83× | 20.61 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich & over 1.5 | 49.6% | 45.2% | 27.8% | 1.62× | 2.21 |
| Bayern Munich & over 2.5 | 43.5% | 40.3% | 23.6% | 1.71× | 2.48 |
| Bayern Munich & over 3.5 | 29.9% | 26.0% | 14.1% | 1.85× | 3.84 |
| Bayern Munich & under 3.5 | 25.1% | 26.0% | 19.8% | 1.32× | 3.84 |
| Freiburg & over 1.5 | 21.3% | 21.7% | 35.4% | 0.61× | 4.62 |
| Freiburg & over 2.5 | 18.7% | 18.0% | 29.4% | 0.61× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.7% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 0.94× | 5.56 |
| Freiburg & under 3.5 | 13.4% | 12.9% | 21.5% | 0.60× | 7.77 |
| Freiburg & over 3.5 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 0.64× | 7.77 |
| Bayern Munich & under 2.5 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 1.25× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 0.83× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 0.83× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 0.83× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 0.83× | 12.69 |
| Freiburg & under 2.5 | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 0.64× | 12.70 |
| Bayern Munich & under 1.5 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.31× | 12.70 |
| Freiburg & under 1.5 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 0.75× | 20.94 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 0.82× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (1UP) | 71.8% | 75.8% | 52.9% | 1.43× | 1.32 |
| Freiburg (1UP) | 47.2% | 43.2% | 59.6% | 0.73× | 2.31 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (2UP) | 55.0% | 55.8% | 36.6% | 1.53× | 1.79 |
| Freiburg (2UP) | 24.9% | 23.9% | 45.0% | 0.53× | 4.19 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to win 2nd half | 58.0% | 60.0% | 29.6% | 2.02× | 1.67 |
| 2nd half drawn | 24.8% | 23.2% | 33.4% | 0.69× | 4.31 |
| Freiburg to win 2nd half | 17.2% | 19.0% | 37.1% | 0.51× | 5.27 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (+2.5) | 96.0% | 96.3% | 88.3% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Bayern Munich (+1.5) | 88.9% | 88.5% | 75.3% | 1.18× | 1.13 |
| Bayern Munich (+0.5) | 75.1% | 78.4% | 58.4% | 1.34× | 1.28 |
| Bayern Munich (-0.5) | 55.0% | 52.4% | 33.7% | 1.55× | 1.91 |
| Freiburg (+0.5) | 45.0% | 47.6% | 66.3% | 0.72× | 2.10 |
| Freiburg (-0.5) | 24.9% | 21.6% | 41.6% | 0.52× | 4.63 |
| Freiburg (-1.5) | 11.1% | 11.5% | 24.7% | 0.47× | 8.71 |
| Freiburg (-2.5) | 4.0% | 3.7% | 11.7% | 0.32× | 26.81 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to concede | 77.2% | 79.0% | 78.8% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| Bayern Munich clean sheet | 22.8% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 0.99× | 4.77 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich clean sheet in 1st half | 48.2% | 50.7% | 48.2% | 1.05× | 1.97 |
| Bayern Munich to concede in 1st half | 51.8% | 49.3% | 51.8% | 0.95× | 2.03 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich over 2.5 corners | 81.3% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Bayern Munich under 6.5 corners | 73.0% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Bayern Munich over 3.5 corners | 67.3% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Bayern Munich under 5.5 corners | 61.4% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Bayern Munich over 4.5 corners | 52.4% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Bayern Munich under 4.5 corners | 47.6% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Bayern Munich over 5.5 corners | 38.6% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Bayern Munich under 3.5 corners | 32.7% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Bayern Munich over 6.5 corners | 27.0% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Bayern Munich under 2.5 corners | 18.7% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.39 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich over 0.5 goals | 89.4% | 87.9% | 74.7% | 1.18× | 1.14 |
| Bayern Munich under 3.5 goals | 81.1% | 81.4% | 92.6% | 0.88× | 1.23 |
| Bayern Munich over 1.5 goals | 65.7% | 67.9% | 42.9% | 1.58× | 1.47 |
| Bayern Munich under 2.5 goals | 61.0% | 62.9% | 79.0% | 0.80× | 1.59 |
| Bayern Munich over 2.5 goals | 39.0% | 37.1% | 21.0% | 1.76× | 2.70 |
| Bayern Munich under 1.5 goals | 34.3% | 32.1% | 57.1% | 0.56× | 3.12 |
| Bayern Munich over 3.5 goals | 18.9% | 18.6% | 7.4% | 2.50× | 5.38 |
| Bayern Munich under 0.5 goals | 10.6% | 12.1% | 25.3% | 0.48× | 8.26 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.6% | 89.0% | 85.7% | 1.04× | 1.12 |
| Bayern Munich under 0.5 in 1st half | 52.9% | 56.2% | 54.4% | 1.03× | 1.78 |
| Bayern Munich over 0.5 in 1st half | 47.1% | 43.8% | 45.6% | 0.96× | 2.28 |
| Bayern Munich over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.4% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 0.77× | 9.09 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg (away no bet) | 55.3% | 57.4% | 62.6% | 0.92× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 44.7% | 42.6% | 37.4% | 1.14× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich even goals | 50.6% | 52.8% | 53.2% | 0.99× | 1.89 |
| Bayern Munich odd goals | 49.4% | 47.2% | 46.8% | 1.01× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 72.9% | 77.2% | 75.8% | 1.02× | 1.30 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 27.1% | 22.8% | 24.2% | 0.94× | 4.38 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 80.8% | 77.3% | 72.3% | 1.07× | 1.29 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 19.2% | 22.7% | 27.7% | 0.82× | 4.41 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 72.2% | 72.0% | 66.9% | 1.08× | 1.39 |
| Bayern Munich to score 2+ in a row | 54.8% | 51.4% | 34.7% | 1.48× | 1.94 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 33.2% | 29.0% | 29.5% | 0.98× | 3.45 |
| Freiburg to score 2+ in a row | 30.2% | 28.9% | 42.3% | 0.68× | 3.46 |
| Bayern Munich to score 3+ in a row | 25.4% | 25.0% | 12.8% | 1.95× | 4.00 |
| Freiburg to score 3+ in a row | 8.7% | 5.7% | 17.6% | 0.32× | 17.58 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich corners (+3.5) | 90.4% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Bayern Munich corners (+2.5) | 84.7% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Bayern Munich corners (+1.5) | 77.0% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Freiburg corners (+3.5) | 75.2% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Freiburg corners (+2.5) | 65.8% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Freiburg corners (+1.5) | 55.0% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Bayern Munich corners (-1.5) | 45.0% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Bayern Munich corners (-2.5) | 34.2% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Bayern Munich corners (-3.5) | 24.8% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Freiburg corners (-1.5) | 23.0% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Freiburg corners (-2.5) | 15.3% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Freiburg corners (-3.5) | 9.6% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 49.1% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| 9-11 corners | 28.1% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 22.8% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 83.7% | 80.8% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 77.2% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 69.2% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 62.0% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 59.7% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 50.9% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 49.1% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40.3% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 38.0% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 30.8% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 22.8% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 16.3% | 19.2% | — | — | 5.20 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.38× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 1.09× | 13.48 |
| 1-1 | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.76× | 13.48 |
| 1-3 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.62× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.17× | 13.48 |
| 0-1 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.23× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.67× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 1.09× | 13.48 |
| 2-3 | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.64× | 58.46 |
| 4-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.60× | 58.49 |
| 0-0 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 0.29× | 58.48 |
| 0-3 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.46 |
| 0-4 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 58.48 |
| 1-0 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 0.27× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.98× | 58.47 |
| 2-0 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 6.2% | 0.28× | 58.47 |
| 2-4 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.47 |
| 3-0 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.64× | 58.48 |
| 3-1 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 6.2% | 0.28× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.20× | 58.48 |
| 4-0 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.47× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.77× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.80× | 58.48 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg leading at HT (DNB) | 54.6% | 56.1% | 55.5% | 1.01× | 1.78 |
| Bayern Munich leading at HT (DNB) | 45.4% | 43.9% | 44.5% | 0.99× | 2.28 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg or Bayern Munich (12) | 79.9% | 75.6% | 75.2% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| Bayern Munich or draw (X2) | 75.1% | 75.5% | 58.4% | 1.29× | 1.32 |
| Freiburg or draw (1X) | 45.0% | 48.5% | 66.3% | 0.73× | 2.06 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg or draw at HT | 72.2% | 74.3% | 70.7% | 1.05× | 1.35 |
| Bayern Munich or draw at HT | 66.6% | 66.4% | 63.4% | 1.05× | 1.51 |
| Freiburg or Bayern Munich at HT | 61.2% | 62.1% | 65.8% | 0.94× | 1.61 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich or draw (1UP) | 75.1% | 83.8% | 65.1% | 1.29× | 1.19 |
| Freiburg or draw (1UP) | 47.2% | 52.7% | 73.5% | 0.72× | 1.90 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich or draw in 2nd half | 82.8% | 81.0% | 62.9% | 1.29× | 1.23 |
| Freiburg or Bayern Munich in 2nd half | 75.2% | 76.8% | 66.6% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Freiburg or draw in 2nd half | 42.0% | 40.0% | 70.4% | 0.57× | 2.50 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 54.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | 0.93× | 2.00 |
| Neither half drawn | 46.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | 1.08× | 2.00 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (DNB) | 68.8% | 67.2% | 44.7% | 1.50× | 1.49 |
| Freiburg (DNB) | 31.2% | 32.8% | 55.3% | 0.59× | 3.05 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to score first | 58.9% | 62.0% | 43.6% | 1.42× | 1.61 |
| Freiburg to score first | 38.7% | 33.0% | 50.7% | 0.65× | 3.04 |
| No goal scored | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 0.72× | 23.54 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 69.0% | 58.3% | 59.3% | 0.98× | 1.72 |
| Not both teams to score | 31.0% | 41.7% | 40.7% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 61.0% | 50.1% | 49.7% | 1.01× | 2.00 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 20.1% | 27.7% | 28.2% | 0.98× | 3.61 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 0.97× | 8.11 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 71.5% | 80.4% | 79.7% | 1.01× | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 28.5% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 0.97× | 5.11 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 57.9% | 66.4% | 65.6% | 1.01× | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 42.1% | 33.6% | 34.4% | 0.98× | 2.98 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 43.8% | 50.2% | 51.7% | 0.97× | 1.99 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 31.8% | 26.5% | 27.7% | 0.96× | 3.77 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 0.76× | 9.28 |
| Both score in both halves | 10.3% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 1.57× | 9.34 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 75.6% | 81.4% | 79.2% | 1.03× | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 24.4% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 0.90× | 5.38 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 67.5% | 66.8% | 66.9% | 1.00× | 1.50 |
| A half without a goal | 32.5% | 33.2% | 33.1% | 1.00× | 3.01 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 42.8% | 42.1% | 39.9% | 1.06× | 2.38 |
| 2-3 goals | 37.5% | 35.1% | 38.8% | 0.90× | 2.85 |
| 0-1 goals | 11.4% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 0.95× | 5.91 |
| 7+ goals | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.00× | 13.15 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to score 3+ | 39.0% | 36.0% | 21.0% | 1.71× | 2.78 |
| Bayern Munich to score exactly 2 | 26.7% | 27.4% | 22.0% | 1.25× | 3.65 |
| Bayern Munich to score exactly 1 | 23.8% | 22.4% | 32.0% | 0.70× | 4.46 |
| Bayern Munich to score exactly 0 | 10.6% | 12.8% | 25.3% | 0.51× | 7.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg to score exactly 1 | 33.7% | 32.7% | 29.1% | 1.12× | 3.06 |
| Freiburg to score exactly 2 | 24.9% | 23.3% | 22.6% | 1.03× | 4.30 |
| Freiburg to score exactly 0 | 22.8% | 23.2% | 21.2% | 1.10× | 4.30 |
| Freiburg to score 3+ | 18.5% | 18.9% | 27.4% | 0.69× | 5.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 38.8% | 37.9% | 34.2% | 1.11× | 2.64 |
| Freiburg leading at HT | 33.4% | 33.6% | 36.6% | 0.92× | 2.98 |
| Bayern Munich leading at HT | 27.8% | 25.7% | 29.3% | 0.88× | 3.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich -1: 1 | 45.0% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Bayern Munich -1: 2 | 33.9% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Bayern Munich -1: X | 21.1% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (0:1) | 75.1% | 73.7% | 58.4% | 1.26× | 1.36 |
| Draw (0:1) | 13.8% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 0.81× | 7.22 |
| Freiburg (0:1) | 11.1% | 13.8% | 24.7% | 0.56× | 7.24 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (0:2) | 88.9% | 87.0% | 75.3% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 7.1% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 0.59× | 12.95 |
| Freiburg (0:2) | 4.0% | 3.8% | 11.7% | 0.32× | 26.52 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (0:3) | 96.0% | 96.6% | 88.3% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 0.47× | 42.14 |
| Freiburg (0:3) | 1.2% | 2.4% | 6.8% | 0.35× | 42.21 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (0:4) | 98.8% | 98.1% | 93.2% | 1.05× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.9% | 1.2% | 5.2% | 0.23× | 83.58 |
| Freiburg (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.69× | 83.65 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg (1:0) | 45.0% | 49.5% | 66.3% | 0.75× | 2.02 |
| Bayern Munich (1:0) | 33.9% | 30.5% | 17.4% | 1.75× | 3.28 |
| Draw (1:0) | 21.1% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 1.32× | 4.60 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg (2:0) | 66.1% | 70.3% | 82.6% | 0.85× | 1.42 |
| Bayern Munich (2:0) | 17.5% | 15.7% | 7.6% | 2.07× | 6.38 |
| Draw (2:0) | 16.4% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 1.57× | 6.39 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 59.5% | 60.4% | 46.9% | 1.29× | 1.66 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 21.3% | 24.1% | 26.3% | 0.91× | 4.16 |
| Halves equal | 19.2% | 19.3% | 26.9% | 0.72× | 5.18 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg to concede | 89.4% | 86.2% | 74.7% | 1.15× | 1.16 |
| Freiburg clean sheet | 10.6% | 13.8% | 25.3% | 0.54× | 7.26 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg clean sheet in 1st half | 52.9% | 56.2% | 54.4% | 1.03× | 1.78 |
| Freiburg to concede in 1st half | 47.1% | 43.8% | 45.6% | 0.96× | 2.28 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg under 6.5 corners | 86.3% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Freiburg under 5.5 corners | 77.4% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Freiburg over 2.5 corners | 68.9% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Freiburg under 4.5 corners | 64.9% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Freiburg over 3.5 corners | 51.2% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Freiburg under 3.5 corners | 48.8% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Freiburg over 4.5 corners | 35.1% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Freiburg under 2.5 corners | 31.1% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Freiburg over 5.5 corners | 22.6% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Freiburg over 6.5 corners | 13.7% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.28 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg under 3.5 goals | 93.7% | 92.3% | 88.6% | 1.04× | 1.08 |
| Freiburg under 2.5 goals | 81.5% | 82.1% | 72.6% | 1.13× | 1.22 |
| Freiburg over 0.5 goals | 77.2% | 77.7% | 78.8% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Freiburg under 1.5 goals | 56.6% | 58.8% | 50.2% | 1.17× | 1.70 |
| Freiburg over 1.5 goals | 43.4% | 41.2% | 49.8% | 0.83× | 2.43 |
| Freiburg under 0.5 goals | 22.8% | 22.3% | 21.2% | 1.05× | 4.49 |
| Freiburg over 2.5 goals | 18.5% | 17.9% | 27.4% | 0.65× | 5.59 |
| Freiburg over 3.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 0.68× | 12.92 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg under 1.5 in 1st half | 83.4% | 84.3% | 80.8% | 1.04× | 1.19 |
| Freiburg under 0.5 in 1st half | 48.2% | 50.9% | 48.2% | 1.06× | 1.97 |
| Freiburg over 0.5 in 1st half | 51.8% | 49.1% | 51.8% | 0.95× | 2.04 |
| Freiburg over 1.5 in 1st half | 16.6% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 0.82× | 6.37 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (home no bet) | 73.2% | 66.6% | 57.6% | 1.16× | 1.50 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 26.8% | 33.4% | 42.4% | 0.79× | 2.99 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg even goals | 52.6% | 50.6% | 52.5% | 0.96× | 1.98 |
| Freiburg odd goals | 47.4% | 49.4% | 47.5% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 25.5% | 28.8% | 23.3% | 1.24× | 3.48 |
| HT 1-0 | 18.6% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 0.97× | 5.33 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.2% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 1.14× | 5.35 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 1.11× | 9.16 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 0.75× | 14.05 |
| Any other HT score | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 1.07× | 14.06 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 1.00× | 14.08 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 0.54× | 43.29 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 0.66× | 43.33 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.81× | 43.51 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich at HT / Bayern Munich at FT | 24.0% | 21.9% | 20.3% | 1.08× | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / Bayern Munich at FT | 22.5% | 21.8% | 10.0% | 2.18× | 4.59 |
| Freiburg at HT / Freiburg at FT | 17.2% | 16.8% | 28.1% | 0.60× | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 9.6% | 6.0% | 13.9% | 0.43× | 16.60 |
| Freiburg at HT / Bayern Munich at FT | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.58× | 16.63 |
| Freiburg at HT / Draw at FT | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.18× | 16.66 |
| Draw at HT / Freiburg at FT | 6.7% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 0.56× | 16.69 |
| Bayern Munich at HT / Draw at FT | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 0.58× | 28.86 |
| Bayern Munich at HT / Freiburg at FT | 1.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.04× | 28.92 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to score last | 58.9% | 56.6% | 44.5% | 1.27× | 1.77 |
| Freiburg to score last | 38.7% | 38.6% | 49.8% | 0.78× | 2.59 |
| No goal scored | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 0.72× | 23.54 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 97.6% | 95.7% | 94.1% | 1.02× | 1.05 |
| Bayern Munich to lead by 1 at any time | 71.8% | 74.2% | 52.9% | 1.40× | 1.35 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 61.2% | 61.3% | 55.9% | 1.10× | 1.63 |
| Freiburg to lead by 1 at any time | 47.2% | 44.0% | 59.6% | 0.74× | 2.27 |
| Bayern Munich to lead by 2 at any time | 43.2% | 39.3% | 23.6% | 1.66× | 2.55 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 28.0% | 25.5% | 25.7% | 0.99× | 3.93 |
| Bayern Munich to lead by 3 at any time | 21.8% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 1.90× | 5.10 |
| Freiburg to lead by 2 at any time | 18.7% | 14.9% | 33.1% | 0.45× | 6.69 |
| Freiburg to lead by 3 at any time | 6.2% | 6.6% | 15.5% | 0.43× | 15.12 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich most corners | 56.4% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Freiburg most corners | 32.6% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 11.0% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 80.3% | 83.5% | 83.2% | 1.00× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 80.3% | 83.5% | 78.5% | 1.06× | 1.20 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.4% | 72.4% | 71.2% | 1.02× | 1.38 |
| 1-4 goals | 65.9% | 68.9% | 72.3% | 0.95× | 1.45 |
| 3-6 goals | 63.6% | 63.4% | 58.5% | 1.08× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 56.9% | 59.2% | 60.3% | 0.98× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 54.6% | 53.2% | 51.3% | 1.04× | 1.88 |
| 1-3 goals | 46.5% | 48.7% | 50.8% | 0.96× | 2.06 |
| 4-6 goals | 42.8% | 43.6% | 39.9% | 1.09× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.2% | 43.6% | 40.3% | 1.08× | 2.30 |
| 2-3 goals | 37.5% | 39.1% | 38.8% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| 4-5 goals | 33.8% | 35.4% | 32.6% | 1.09× | 2.83 |
| 1-2 goals | 25.7% | 30.2% | 32.1% | 0.94× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 23.4% | 24.5% | 18.4% | 1.33× | 4.09 |
| 7+ goals | 8.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 2.30× | 11.44 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich never behind | 50.4% | 61.7% | 40.4% | 1.53× | 1.62 |
| Freiburg never behind | 25.7% | 29.9% | 47.1% | 0.64× | 3.34 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.0% | 50.8% | 44.8% | 1.14× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.0% | 49.2% | 55.2% | 0.89× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 53.2% | 51.7% | 52.6% | 0.98× | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.8% | 48.3% | 47.4% | 1.02× | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.5% | 52.0% | 52.9% | 0.98× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.5% | 48.0% | 47.1% | 1.02× | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97.6% | 95.5% | 94.1% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% | 87.7% | 82.1% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 82.8% | 82.4% | 88.9% | 0.93× | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.9% | 72.5% | 62.2% | 1.17× | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 68.3% | 66.2% | 78.0% | 0.85× | 1.51 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.1% | 52.5% | 43.5% | 1.21× | 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48.9% | 47.5% | 56.5% | 0.84× | 2.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 31.7% | 33.8% | 22.0% | 1.54× | 2.96 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28.1% | 27.5% | 37.8% | 0.73× | 3.64 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 17.2% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 1.59× | 5.68 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11.4% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 0.69× | 8.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 0.77× | 22.22 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 90.9% | 92.5% | 95.9% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 86.3% | 86.7% | 77.7% | 1.12× | 1.15 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 79.8% | 76.0% | 87.6% | 0.87× | 1.32 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 64.5% | 62.1% | 53.5% | 1.16× | 1.61 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 60.7% | 62.1% | 72.0% | 0.86× | 1.61 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 39.3% | 37.9% | 28.0% | 1.35× | 2.64 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 35.5% | 37.9% | 46.5% | 0.82× | 2.64 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 20.2% | 24.0% | 12.4% | 1.93× | 4.16 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 13.7% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 0.59× | 7.54 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.84× | 13.25 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 84.1% | 86.3% | 84.8% | 1.02× | 1.16 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 74.5% | 71.3% | 76.7% | 0.93× | 1.40 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 60.3% | 63.6% | 58.8% | 1.08× | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 39.7% | 36.4% | 41.2% | 0.88× | 2.74 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 25.5% | 28.7% | 23.3% | 1.23× | 3.48 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 15.9% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 0.90× | 7.31 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 90.5% | 88.7% | 84.3% | 1.05× | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 68.2% | 67.6% | 55.3% | 1.22× | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 58.1% | 54.9% | 73.4% | 0.75× | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 41.9% | 45.1% | 26.6% | 1.70× | 2.22 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 31.8% | 32.4% | 44.7% | 0.73× | 3.08 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 0.72× | 8.85 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg not to score in both halves | 72.7% | 73.8% | 64.8% | 1.14× | 1.36 |
| Bayern Munich not to score in both halves | 62.3% | 63.4% | 72.4% | 0.88× | 1.58 |
| Bayern Munich to score in both halves | 37.7% | 36.6% | 27.6% | 1.33× | 2.73 |
| Freiburg to score in both halves | 27.3% | 26.2% | 35.2% | 0.74× | 3.82 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 69.0% | 59.7% | 59.3% | 1.01× | 1.68 |
| Only Bayern Munich scores | 20.4% | 22.3% | 15.5% | 1.44× | 4.48 |
| Only Freiburg scores | 8.2% | 7.2% | 19.6% | 0.37× | 13.90 |
| Neither team scores | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 0.78× | 21.89 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 20.8% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 1.20× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 19.4% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 0.80× | 5.74 |
| 6 or more goals | 17.2% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 1.57× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 16.7% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 0.87× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 1.09× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 9.0% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 0.63× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 0.75× | 22.68 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 68.2% | 59.6% | 55.3% | 1.08× | 1.68 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 22.3% | 23.1% | 29.2% | 0.79× | 4.33 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 0.68× | 9.31 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg not to win both halves | 94.3% | 94.0% | 84.2% | 1.12× | 1.06 |
| Bayern Munich not to win both halves | 83.9% | 84.3% | 90.5% | 0.93× | 1.19 |
| Bayern Munich to win both halves | 16.1% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 1.65× | 6.36 |
| Freiburg to win both halves | 5.7% | 6.0% | 15.8% | 0.38× | 16.65 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to win either half | 69.7% | 68.0% | 49.4% | 1.38× | 1.47 |
| Freiburg to win neither half | 55.1% | 59.4% | 42.2% | 1.41× | 1.68 |
| Freiburg to win either half | 44.9% | 40.6% | 57.8% | 0.70× | 2.46 |
| Bayern Munich to win neither half | 30.3% | 32.0% | 50.6% | 0.63× | 3.13 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg not to win to nil | 91.9% | 92.0% | 80.4% | 1.15× | 1.09 |
| Bayern Munich not to win to nil | 79.6% | 78.1% | 84.5% | 0.92× | 1.28 |
| Bayern Munich to win to nil | 20.4% | 21.9% | 15.5% | 1.41× | 4.56 |
| Freiburg to win to nil | 8.2% | 8.0% | 19.6% | 0.41× | 12.55 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich by 1 | 21.1% | 24.1% | 16.5% | 1.47× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 20.1% | 24.1% | 24.8% | 0.97× | 4.14 |
| Bayern Munich by 3+ | 17.5% | 16.9% | 7.6% | 2.23× | 5.91 |
| Bayern Munich by 2 | 16.4% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 1.70× | 5.91 |
| Freiburg by 1 | 13.8% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 0.69× | 8.47 |
| Freiburg by 2 | 7.1% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 0.55× | 13.78 |
| Freiburg by 3+ | 4.0% | 2.7% | 11.7% | 0.23× | 36.95 |