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Freiburg v Bochum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 September 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

2–1
3.96 – 1.11 xG
Shots
26 – 13
On target
8 – 3
Shots in box
21 – 9
xG per shot
0.16 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.58 – 0.15
Goals − xG
-2.04 – -0.16
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.12.33.44.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Myron Boadu 44' — goalJunior Adamu 57' — goalJunior Adamu 60' — goal
Freiburg 4.04 xGBochum 1.16 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Koji Miyoshi 0' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Eggestein 2' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Vincenzo Grifo 11' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ritsu Doan 12' — Missed Shot (0.25 xG, From Corner)Lukas Kübler 16' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Merlin Röhl 16' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Merlin Röhl 21' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Ritsu Doan 22' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Ritsu Doan 22' — Saved Shot (0.63 xG, Open Play)Junior Adamu 26' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Vincenzo Grifo 36' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Vincenzo Grifo 36' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jakov Medic 38' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Koji Miyoshi 41' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ritsu Doan 41' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 44' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Myron Boadu 44' — Goal (0.64 xG, Open Play)Junior Adamu 45' — Saved Shot (0.26 xG, Set Piece)Ritsu Doan 46' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Koji Miyoshi 47' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Erhan Masovic 48' — Saved Shot (0.13 xG, From Corner)Junior Adamu 57' — Goal (0.32 xG, Open Play)Junior Adamu 60' — Goal (0.16 xG, Open Play)Lukas Kübler 60' — Blocked Shot (0.24 xG, Open Play)Ritsu Doan 60' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Vincenzo Grifo 62' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Koji Miyoshi 63' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Eren Sami Dinkci 66' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Eggestein 66' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Vincenzo Grifo 66' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 70' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ritsu Doan 74' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 76' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 78' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Junior Adamu 85' — Saved Shot (0.50 xG, Open Play)Junior Adamu 85' — Missed Shot (0.49 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Höfler 85' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Felix Passlack 89' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 92' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Freiburg attacking right Bochum attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
2' Freiburg Maximilian Eggestein 0.04 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Vincenzo Grifo
11' Freiburg Vincenzo Grifo 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
12' Freiburg Ritsu Doan 0.25 From Corner — Missed Shot Vincenzo Grifo
16' Freiburg Lukas Kübler 0.02 From Corner — Missed Shot Vincenzo Grifo
16' Freiburg Merlin Röhl 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Patrick Osterhage
21' Freiburg Merlin Röhl 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Max Rosenfelder
22' Freiburg Ritsu Doan 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Junior Adamu
22' Freiburg Ritsu Doan 0.63 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Junior Adamu
26' Freiburg Junior Adamu 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Max Rosenfelder
36' Freiburg Vincenzo Grifo 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Lukas Kübler
36' Freiburg Vincenzo Grifo 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
38' Bochum Jakov Medic 0.02 From Corner — Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
41' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ibrahima Sissoko
41' Freiburg Ritsu Doan 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Vincenzo Grifo
44' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Koji Miyoshi
44' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.64 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
45' Freiburg Junior Adamu 0.26 Set Piece Left Foot Saved Shot Vincenzo Grifo
46' Freiburg Ritsu Doan 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Eren Sami Dinkci
47' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
48' Bochum Erhan Masovic 0.13 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Maximilian Wittek
57' Freiburg Junior Adamu 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Goal Vincenzo Grifo
60' Freiburg Junior Adamu 0.16 Open Play Left Foot Goal —
60' Freiburg Lukas Kübler 0.24 Open Play — Blocked Shot —
60' Freiburg Ritsu Doan 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
62' Freiburg Vincenzo Grifo 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
63' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Felix Passlack
66' Freiburg Eren Sami Dinkci 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Eggestein
66' Freiburg Maximilian Eggestein 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
66' Freiburg Vincenzo Grifo 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Eren Sami Dinkci
70' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
74' Freiburg Ritsu Doan 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Eren Sami Dinkci
76' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
78' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
85' Freiburg Junior Adamu 0.50 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Christian Günter
85' Freiburg Junior Adamu 0.49 Open Play — Missed Shot —
85' Freiburg Nicolas Höfler 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Eren Sami Dinkci
89' Bochum Felix Passlack 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Samuel Bamba
92' Bochum Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Philipp Hofmann

Players

Freiburg

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Junior Adamu FW 90 2 0 6 2 1.79 0.72 2.25
Vincenzo Grifo AML 90 0 1 5 6 0.40 0.93 1.38
Lukas Kübler DR 90 0 0 2 1 0.26 0.06 0.78
Maximilian Eggestein DMC 90 0 0 2 1 0.11 0.10 0.26
Noah Atubolu GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Max Rosenfelder DC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.16 1.12
Christian Günter DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.50 0.60
Ritsu Doan AMR 83 0 0 7 0 1.20 0.00 1.15
Eren Sami Dinkci Sub 52 0 0 1 4 0.10 0.23 0.33
Patrick Osterhage DMC 49 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Philipp Lienhart DC 49 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Nicolas Höfler Sub 41 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.84
Matthias Ginter Sub 41 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Merlin Röhl AMC 38 0 0 2 0 0.14 0.00 0.14
Lucas Höler Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kiliann Sildillia Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Erhan Masovic DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.05
Maximilian Wittek DL 90 0 0 2 3 0.09 0.19 0.18
Jakov Medic DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.05
Felix Passlack DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.06 0.11
Dani de Wit MR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Ibrahima Sissoko MC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.05 0.09
Matús Bero MC 80 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Myron Boadu FW 68 1 0 1 0 0.64 0.00 0.64
Moritz Broschinski FW 68 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Koji Miyoshi ML 67 0 0 4 1 0.12 0.08 0.21
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng Sub 23 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.05
Philipp Hofmann Sub 22 0 0 2 1 0.10 0.03 0.14
Lukas Daschner Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aliou Balde Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Samuel Bamba Sub 1 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.05
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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