Freiburg v Holstein Kiel — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 11 January 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425
Bundesliga
xG
Shots
14 – 15
On target
5 – 7
Shots in box
9 – 10
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
0.20 – 0.00
Goals − xG
+2.25 – +0.14
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Freiburg 0.75 xGHolstein Kiel 1.86 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Freiburg attacking right
Holstein Kiel attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9' |
 Holstein Kiel |
Finn Porath | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Shuto Machino |
| 22' |
Holstein Kiel |
Nicolai Remberg | 0.00 | Open Play | Right Foot | Own Goal | — |
| 23' |
 Freiburg |
Merlin Röhl | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Maximilian Eggestein |
| 28' |
Freiburg |
Christian Günter | 0.05 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Eren Sami Dinkci |
| 28' |
Freiburg |
Maximilian Eggestein | 0.02 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 36' |
Freiburg |
Matthias Ginter | 0.12 | Set Piece | — | Blocked Shot | Vincenzo Grifo |
| 36' |
Freiburg |
Max Rosenfelder | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Christian Günter |
| 37' |
Freiburg |
Christian Günter | 0.04 | Direct Freekick | Left Foot | Goal | — |
| 41' |
Holstein Kiel |
Alexander Bernhardsson | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 54' |
Freiburg |
Lucas Höler | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Lukas Kübler |
| 60' |
Freiburg |
Merlin Röhl | 0.09 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Christian Günter |
| 61' |
Freiburg |
Eren Sami Dinkci | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 61' |
Freiburg |
Merlin Röhl | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Eren Sami Dinkci |
| 67' |
Freiburg |
Lukas Kübler | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Vincenzo Grifo |
| 67' |
Freiburg |
Max Rosenfelder | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 73' |
Freiburg |
Vincenzo Grifo | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 76' |
Freiburg |
Christian Günter | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Lukas Kübler |
| 79' |
Holstein Kiel |
Phil Harres | 0.05 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Alexander Bernhardsson |
| 84' |
Holstein Kiel |
Finn Porath | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 84' |
Holstein Kiel |
Phil Harres | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Finn Porath |
| 84' |
Holstein Kiel |
Phil Harres | 0.50 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 84' |
Holstein Kiel |
Timo Becker | 0.33 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Jann-Fiete Arp |
| 85' |
Holstein Kiel |
Phil Harres | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | — |
| 86' |
Holstein Kiel |
Phil Harres | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | David Zec |
| 87' |
Holstein Kiel |
David Zec | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Lewis Holtby |
| 87' |
Holstein Kiel |
Dominik Javorcek | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Finn Porath |
| 89' |
Holstein Kiel |
Finn Porath | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | David Zec |
| 89' |
Holstein Kiel |
Phil Harres | 0.56 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 90' |
Holstein Kiel |
Jann-Fiete Arp | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Andu Kelati |
Players
Freiburg
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Günter DL | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| Matthias Ginter DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Vincenzo Grifo AML | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| Maximilian Eggestein DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.21 |
| Ritsu Doan AMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Noah Atubolu GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Max Rosenfelder DC | 85 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Lukas Kübler DR | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Eren Sami Dinkci AMC | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Merlin Röhl DMC | 71 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Lucas Höler FW | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Michael Gregoritsch Sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Patrick Osterhage Sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Maximilian Philipp Sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Kiliann Sildillia Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Jordy Makengo Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Holstein Kiel
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Harres FW | 90 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1.29 | 0.00 | 1.39 |
| Timo Becker DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.42 |
| Finn Porath DML | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| David Zec DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| Nicolai Remberg MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Marco Komenda DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| Timon Weiner GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson AMC | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| Lasse Rosenboom DMR | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shuto Machino AMC | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Armin Gigovic MC | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Lewis Holtby Sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| Jann-Fiete Arp Sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.33 | 0.53 |
| Andu Kelati Sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.44 |
| Dominik Javorcek Sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.44 |