Frosinone v Como — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Frosinone

09:00

Como

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 341h before kick-off

Frosinone win

22.6%

model 24.5%

Draw

22.6%

model 22.6%

Como win

54.8%

model 53.0%

232355

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.4%
1-2 9.7%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 8.1%
2-1 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.4%	Under 2.5	40.6%
BTTS yes	59.3%	BTTS no	40.7%
Frosinone 1+	70.1%	Frosinone 2+	34.0%
Como 1+	84.6%	Como 2+	55.9%

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

97/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Como over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 34%

57.4% fair odds 1.74

strong signal · 663 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 66%

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Como carry the stronger rating, 1723 Elo against 1690.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Como average 1.85 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Como have an estimated 54.8% win probability, against 22.6% for Frosinone and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Frosinone and 1.87 for Como.

Why Frosinone

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. They have had 22 days' rest to Como's 16. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Como were missing 0.42 expected goal involvements a match against 0.12.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Como can win

Como carry the stronger rating, 1723 Elo against 1690. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five. Away from home Como average 1.85 xG a match.

Key players

Frosinone's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Antonio Raimondo (0.49), Giorgi Kvernadze (0.27), Giacomo Calo (0.19). Como's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Tasos Douvikas (0.47), Nico Paz (0.38), Lucas Da Cunha (0.31).

Availability

Nothing reported for either side.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Frosinone: 44% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 19.2 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces. Como: 61% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.45 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Como are the model's most likely outcome at 54.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 97/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Como have scored 19 from 18.8 expected and conceded 10 from 10.2 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LLWDWWWDWW last 10 scored 19 from 18.8 xG conceded 10 from 10.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	242353	1.21–1.87	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	222256	1.14–1.93	1-1 10%	59%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to win	57.2%	54.1%	34.1%	1.59×	1.85
Draw	21.6%	24.4%	26.6%	0.92×	4.09
Frosinone to win	21.2%	24.4%	39.4%	0.62×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como & both teams score	29.2%	25.2%	13.2%	1.90×	3.97
Como & not both score	28.0%	25.2%	21.0%	1.20×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	17.9%	18.4%	0.97×	5.58
Frosinone & both teams score	11.8%	13.3%	16.9%	0.78×	7.54
Frosinone & not both score	9.3%	8.4%	22.6%	0.37×	11.92
Draw & not both score	4.5%	4.9%	8.3%	0.59×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como & over 1.5	48.3%	45.2%	24.7%	1.83×	2.21
Como & over 2.5	39.5%	34.9%	18.1%	1.93×	2.86
Como & under 3.5	33.4%	30.9%	26.7%	1.15×	3.24
Como & over 3.5	23.8%	21.6%	7.5%	2.88×	4.62
Como & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
Frosinone & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	29.1%	0.62×	5.56
Frosinone & under 3.5	14.6%	12.9%	29.5%	0.44×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	14.5%	12.9%	19.8%	0.65×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.5%	12.9%	19.8%	0.65×	7.77
Frosinone & over 2.5	13.3%	12.9%	22.5%	0.57×	7.77
Como & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.70
Frosinone & under 2.5	7.9%	7.9%	17.0%	0.46×	12.70
Frosinone & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	10.1%	0.78×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	6.9%	1.15×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.1%	7.9%	6.9%	1.15×	12.70
Frosinone & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	10.4%	0.75×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	8.3%	0.58×	20.92

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (1UP)	71.3%	75.7%	51.0%	1.48×	1.32
Frosinone (1UP)	40.5%	38.9%	54.7%	0.71×	2.57

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (2UP)	57.2%	55.1%	36.6%	1.51×	1.81
Frosinone (2UP)	21.2%	23.3%	41.1%	0.57×	4.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to win 2nd half	42.1%	41.2%	29.5%	1.40×	2.43
2nd half drawn	38.2%	36.3%	35.9%	1.01×	2.75
Frosinone to win 2nd half	19.8%	19.3%	34.7%	0.56×	5.17

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (+2.5)	97.6%	96.3%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Como (+1.5)	92.0%	92.1%	82.8%	1.11×	1.09
Como (+0.5)	78.8%	78.5%	60.6%	1.30×	1.27
Como (-0.5)	57.2%	57.0%	34.1%	1.67×	1.75
Frosinone (+0.5)	42.8%	43.0%	65.9%	0.65×	2.33
Frosinone (-0.5)	21.2%	21.5%	39.4%	0.55×	4.64
Frosinone (-1.5)	8.0%	7.9%	17.2%	0.46×	12.64
Frosinone (-2.5)	2.4%	3.7%	7.6%	0.49×	26.90

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to concede	67.5%	72.5%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
Como clean sheet	32.5%	27.5%	29.1%	0.94×	3.63

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to concede in 1st half	47.0%	50.5%	41.2%	1.23×	1.98
Como clean sheet in 1st half	53.0%	49.5%	58.8%	0.84×	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 6.5 corners	83.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Como under 5.5 corners	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Como over 2.5 corners	71.9%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Como under 4.5 corners	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Como over 3.5 corners	55.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Como under 3.5 corners	44.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Como over 4.5 corners	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Como under 2.5 corners	28.1%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Como over 5.5 corners	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Como over 6.5 corners	16.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como over 0.5 goals	86.2%	87.9%	69.2%	1.27×	1.14
Como under 3.5 goals	86.1%	87.9%	97.1%	0.91×	1.14
Como under 2.5 goals	68.3%	68.0%	88.3%	0.77×	1.47
Como over 1.5 goals	58.8%	59.6%	34.5%	1.73×	1.68
Como under 1.5 goals	41.2%	40.4%	65.5%	0.62×	2.47
Como over 2.5 goals	31.7%	32.0%	11.7%	2.74×	3.12
Como under 0.5 goals	13.8%	12.1%	30.8%	0.39×	8.25
Como over 3.5 goals	13.9%	12.1%	2.9%	4.14×	8.25

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como under 1.5 in 1st half	69.1%	68.4%	90.1%	0.76×	1.46
Como over 0.5 in 1st half	67.4%	68.3%	41.1%	1.66×	1.47
Como under 0.5 in 1st half	32.6%	31.7%	58.9%	0.54×	3.15
Como over 1.5 in 1st half	30.9%	31.6%	9.9%	3.18×	3.17

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.5%	51.2%	40.3%	1.27×	1.95
Frosinone (away no bet)	49.5%	48.8%	59.7%	0.82×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como even goals	51.0%	52.8%	55.6%	0.95×	1.90
Como odd goals	49.0%	47.2%	44.4%	1.06×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.6%	82.6%	87.3%	0.95×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.4%	17.4%	12.7%	1.37×	5.73

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.9%	67.0%	59.5%	1.13×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.1%	33.0%	40.5%	0.82×	3.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.8%	59.8%	52.9%	1.13×	1.67
Como to score 2+ in a row	50.1%	51.3%	27.6%	1.86×	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.9%	25.1%	17.4%	1.44×	3.98
Como to score 3+ in a row	22.2%	19.5%	7.8%	2.51×	5.13
Frosinone to score 2+ in a row	21.3%	19.5%	31.2%	0.62×	5.14
Frosinone to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	5.6%	9.8%	0.57×	17.95

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone corners (+3.5)	85.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Como corners (+3.5)	83.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Frosinone corners (+2.5)	77.7%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Como corners (+2.5)	75.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Frosinone corners (+1.5)	68.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Como corners (+1.5)	65.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Frosinone corners (-1.5)	34.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Como corners (-1.5)	31.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Frosinone corners (-2.5)	24.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Como corners (-2.5)	22.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Frosinone corners (-3.5)	16.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Como corners (-3.5)	14.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	19.2%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.6%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	80.8%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	73.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	56.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	43.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	26.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	19.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	13.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.0%	11.4%	11.7%	0.98×	8.74
0-1	8.9%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.47
0-2	8.8%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.47
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.47
1-3	6.5%	7.4%	1.9%	3.89×	13.47
Any other score	5.6%	7.4%	2.8%	2.65×	13.47
0-3	5.8%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.47
1-0	5.1%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.47
2-1	5.6%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.47
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.47
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.72×	58.52
0-0	4.5%	1.7%	8.3%	0.21×	58.50
0-4	2.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.51
1-4	3.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.51
2-0	2.8%	1.7%	6.7%	0.25×	58.51
2-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.50
2-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.1%	13.43×	58.51
3-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.52
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.51
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.92×	58.52
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	6.72×	58.52
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.03×	58.52
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.52
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.1%	13.43×	58.52
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.72×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como leading at HT (DNB)	69.5%	74.5%	49.9%	1.49×	1.34
Frosinone leading at HT (DNB)	30.5%	25.5%	50.1%	0.51×	3.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or draw (X2)	78.8%	75.6%	60.6%	1.25×	1.32
Frosinone or Como (12)	78.4%	75.6%	73.4%	1.03×	1.32
Frosinone or draw (1X)	42.8%	45.9%	65.9%	0.70×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or draw at HT	79.2%	80.0%	72.5%	1.10×	1.25
Frosinone or Como at HT	68.1%	66.4%	54.7%	1.21×	1.51
Frosinone or draw at HT	52.7%	47.6%	72.6%	0.66×	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or draw (1UP)	78.8%	84.1%	66.3%	1.27×	1.19
Frosinone or draw (1UP)	42.8%	52.7%	71.1%	0.74×	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or draw in 2nd half	80.2%	80.7%	65.3%	1.24×	1.24
Frosinone or Como in 2nd half	61.8%	63.7%	64.1%	0.99×	1.57
Frosinone or draw in 2nd half	57.9%	58.8%	70.5%	0.83×	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.9%	58.1%	64.5%	0.90×	1.72
Neither half drawn	42.1%	41.9%	35.5%	1.18×	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (DNB)	73.0%	71.5%	46.4%	1.54×	1.40
Frosinone (DNB)	27.0%	28.5%	53.6%	0.53×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score first	60.9%	64.4%	44.1%	1.46×	1.55
Frosinone to score first	34.6%	27.1%	47.7%	0.57×	3.69
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	8.3%	0.52×	23.10

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.1%	54.9%	48.3%	1.13×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.9%	45.1%	51.7%	0.87×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	48.1%	44.3%	36.8%	1.20×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	30.1%	34.3%	41.2%	0.83×	2.92
Not both score & over 2.5	11.8%	12.3%	10.6%	1.17×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	10.0%	12.3%	11.7%	1.05×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.8%	83.1%	87.0%	0.95×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	18.2%	16.9%	13.0%	1.31×	5.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.8%	75.7%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.2%	24.3%	24.9%	0.98×	4.11

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.1%	56.0%	63.4%	0.88×	1.79
Both score 1st half only	24.7%	21.0%	11.8%	1.78×	4.76
Both score 2nd half only	15.2%	15.7%	20.1%	0.78×	6.38
Both score in both halves	7.0%	6.8%	5.0%	1.36×	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	68.3%	70.3%	83.3%	0.84×	1.42
Both teams to score by HT	31.7%	29.7%	16.7%	1.78×	3.37

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.2%	58.6%	51.8%	1.13×	1.71
A half without a goal	38.8%	41.4%	48.2%	0.86×	2.41

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.0%	42.1%	48.0%	0.88×	2.38
4-6 goals	33.7%	30.8%	23.4%	1.31×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.5%	20.2%	28.0%	0.72×	4.95
7+ goals	3.9%	1.8%	0.9%	2.05×	54.85

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score 3+	31.7%	33.8%	11.7%	2.89×	2.96
Como to score exactly 1	27.4%	27.4%	34.9%	0.79×	3.65
Como to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	22.9%	1.20×	3.65
Como to score exactly 0	13.8%	12.8%	30.8%	0.42×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Frosinone to score exactly 0	32.5%	32.7%	29.1%	1.12×	3.06
Frosinone to score exactly 2	20.5%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.30
Frosinone to score 3+	10.4%	14.3%	14.4%	1.00×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como leading at HT	47.3%	52.4%	27.4%	1.91×	1.91
Draw at HT	31.9%	33.6%	45.3%	0.74×	2.97
Frosinone leading at HT	20.8%	20.0%	27.5%	0.73×	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como -1: 1	42.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Como -1: 2	34.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Como -1: X	23.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:1)	78.8%	73.9%	60.6%	1.22×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	13.2%	13.9%	22.4%	0.62×	7.22
Frosinone (0:1)	8.0%	9.2%	17.2%	0.54×	10.84

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:2)	92.0%	90.8%	82.8%	1.10×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.6%	7.7%	9.7%	0.80×	12.97
Frosinone (0:2)	2.4%	3.8%	7.6%	0.49×	26.60

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:3)	97.6%	96.6%	92.4%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	4.6%	0.52×	42.13
Frosinone (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	3.2%	0.75×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.3%	0.52×	83.56
Frosinone (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone (1:0)	42.8%	42.9%	65.9%	0.65×	2.33
Como (1:0)	34.0%	30.5%	14.2%	2.14×	3.28
Draw (1:0)	23.2%	21.8%	20.0%	1.09×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone (2:0)	66.0%	70.3%	85.8%	0.82×	1.42
Draw (2:0)	17.4%	15.7%	8.5%	1.84×	6.37
Como (2:0)	16.5%	15.7%	5.9%	2.68×	6.38

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	47.2%	48.1%	26.8%	1.79×	2.08
2nd half highest scoring	29.5%	26.5%	46.4%	0.57×	3.77
Halves equal	23.3%	24.3%	26.8%	0.90×	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to concede	86.2%	86.0%	69.2%	1.24×	1.16
Frosinone clean sheet	13.8%	14.0%	30.8%	0.45×	7.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to concede in 1st half	67.4%	68.5%	41.1%	1.67×	1.46
Frosinone clean sheet in 1st half	32.6%	31.5%	58.9%	0.53×	3.18

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 6.5 corners	81.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Frosinone over 2.5 corners	73.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Frosinone under 5.5 corners	71.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Frosinone under 4.5 corners	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Frosinone over 3.5 corners	57.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Frosinone under 3.5 corners	43.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Frosinone over 4.5 corners	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Frosinone over 5.5 corners	28.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Frosinone under 2.5 corners	26.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Frosinone over 6.5 corners	18.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 3.5 goals	97.3%	96.4%	95.4%	1.01×	1.04
Frosinone under 2.5 goals	89.6%	87.3%	85.6%	1.02×	1.15
Frosinone under 1.5 goals	69.1%	67.9%	61.1%	1.11×	1.47
Frosinone over 0.5 goals	67.5%	67.9%	70.9%	0.96×	1.47
Frosinone under 0.5 goals	32.5%	32.1%	29.1%	1.10×	3.11
Frosinone over 1.5 goals	30.9%	32.1%	38.9%	0.83×	3.11
Frosinone over 2.5 goals	10.4%	12.7%	14.4%	0.89×	7.85
Frosinone over 3.5 goals	2.7%	3.6%	4.6%	0.80×	27.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 1.5 in 1st half	86.6%	89.9%	90.2%	1.00×	1.11
Frosinone over 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	50.6%	41.2%	1.23×	1.98
Frosinone under 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	49.4%	58.8%	0.84×	2.03
Frosinone over 1.5 in 1st half	13.4%	10.1%	9.8%	1.03×	9.87

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (home no bet)	72.6%	66.5%	56.2%	1.18×	1.50
Draw (home no bet)	27.4%	33.5%	43.8%	0.76×	2.99

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone even goals	55.3%	55.4%	56.9%	0.97×	1.80
Frosinone odd goals	44.7%	44.6%	43.1%	1.03×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	19.4%	18.8%	18.3%	1.03×	5.31
HT 0-0	17.3%	18.8%	34.4%	0.55×	5.33
Any other HT score	12.8%	11.0%	3.1%	3.60×	9.11
HT 1-1	12.3%	11.0%	10.6%	1.04×	9.11
HT 1-0	11.0%	11.0%	18.3%	0.60×	9.12
HT 0-2	10.9%	11.0%	5.5%	2.00×	9.12
HT 1-2	6.9%	7.1%	2.5%	2.77×	14.18
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	2.3%	1.00×	43.78
HT 2-0	3.5%	2.3%	5.5%	0.42×	43.81
HT 2-2	2.2%	2.3%	0.6%	3.58×	43.91

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como at HT / Como at FT	41.3%	44.0%	19.3%	2.28×	2.27
Frosinone at HT / Frosinone at FT	13.6%	12.7%	21.2%	0.60×	7.89
Draw at HT / Como at FT	13.4%	12.7%	13.0%	0.98×	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.2%	12.7%	16.7%	0.76×	7.90
Draw at HT / Frosinone at FT	6.3%	6.0%	15.9%	0.38×	16.61
Frosinone at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	4.5%	0.78×	28.80
Como at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	5.7%	0.61×	28.80
Frosinone at HT / Como at FT	2.4%	3.5%	2.0%	1.70×	28.89
Como at HT / Frosinone at FT	1.2%	3.5%	2.5%	1.36×	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score last	60.9%	62.0%	43.8%	1.42×	1.61
Frosinone to score last	34.6%	33.3%	48.1%	0.69×	3.00
No goal scored	4.5%	4.3%	8.3%	0.52×	23.10

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.5%	95.6%	91.7%	1.04×	1.05
Como to lead by 1 at any time	71.3%	74.1%	51.0%	1.45×	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.3%	50.7%	42.7%	1.19×	1.97
Como to lead by 2 at any time	41.3%	39.2%	20.2%	1.94×	2.55
Frosinone to lead by 1 at any time	40.5%	39.1%	54.7%	0.72×	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.3%	19.6%	14.6%	1.34×	5.10
Como to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	15.0%	6.4%	2.36×	6.66
Frosinone to lead by 2 at any time	13.3%	10.4%	22.9%	0.46×	9.60
Frosinone to lead by 3 at any time	3.6%	1.6%	8.4%	0.19×	62.86

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone most corners	45.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Como most corners	42.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	89.1%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.7%	78.6%	71.2%	1.10×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.3%	78.6%	80.7%	0.97×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	69.3%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.4%	60.9%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.0%	59.2%	67.7%	0.87×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.0%	59.2%	46.4%	1.27×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.5%	53.2%	44.5%	1.19×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.0%	43.6%	48.0%	0.91×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.7%	39.2%	36.1%	1.08×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.6%	39.2%	44.7%	0.88×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.7%	35.4%	23.4%	1.51×	2.83
4-5 goals	28.1%	30.2%	21.5%	1.41×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.3%	18.6%	10.4%	1.78×	5.37
7+ goals	3.9%	2.5%	0.9%	2.85×	39.34

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como never behind	55.0%	62.3%	45.3%	1.38×	1.61
Frosinone never behind	24.2%	24.4%	49.0%	0.50×	4.09

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.5%	51.6%	56.9%	0.91×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.5%	48.4%	43.1%	1.12×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.4%	52.1%	51.5%	1.01×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.6%	47.9%	48.5%	0.99×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.5%	95.5%	91.7%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.6%	92.3%	97.2%	0.95×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.5%	82.4%	72.0%	1.14×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	79.8%	77.4%	88.8%	0.87×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	62.5%	61.7%	75.8%	0.81×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.9%	58.8%	47.2%	1.25×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	40.1%	41.2%	52.8%	0.78×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	37.5%	38.3%	24.2%	1.58×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.2%	22.6%	11.2%	2.02×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	18.5%	17.6%	28.0%	0.63×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	9.4%	7.7%	2.8%	2.76×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.5%	4.5%	8.3%	0.54×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.9%	97.2%	99.1%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.4%	86.8%	96.9%	0.89×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.4%	75.9%	62.8%	1.21×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.6%	75.9%	87.1%	0.87×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.7%	51.8%	68.6%	0.75×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.3%	48.2%	31.4%	1.54×	2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.4%	24.1%	12.9%	1.87×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.6%	24.1%	37.2%	0.65×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.6%	13.2%	3.1%	4.33×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.1%	2.8%	0.9%	3.03×	36.30

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	82.7%	86.4%	65.6%	1.32×	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	74.2%	71.0%	91.9%	0.77×	1.41
Over 1.5 in 1st half	52.4%	56.2%	29.3%	1.92×	1.78
Under 1.5 in 1st half	47.6%	43.8%	70.7%	0.62×	2.28
Over 2.5 in 1st half	25.8%	29.0%	8.1%	3.57×	3.44
Under 0.5 in 1st half	17.3%	13.6%	34.4%	0.40×	7.35

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.7%	83.0%	82.6%	1.00×	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.9%	77.8%	77.9%	1.00×	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.1%	62.1%	57.0%	1.09×	1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.9%	37.9%	43.0%	0.88×	2.64
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	22.2%	22.1%	1.00×	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	17.0%	17.4%	0.98×	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone not to score in both halves	81.8%	84.4%	76.2%	1.11×	1.19
Como not to score in both halves	61.2%	63.4%	78.8%	0.80×	1.58
Como to score in both halves	38.8%	36.6%	21.2%	1.72×	2.73
Frosinone to score in both halves	18.2%	15.6%	23.8%	0.66×	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.1%	58.3%	48.3%	1.21×	1.72
Only Como scores	28.0%	26.2%	21.0%	1.25×	3.82
Only Frosinone scores	9.3%	7.2%	22.6%	0.32×	13.89
Neither team scores	4.5%	4.6%	8.3%	0.56×	21.77

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.2%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.6%	22.6%	24.9%	0.91×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.3%	17.4%	13.1%	1.33×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.0%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	10.8%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.29
6 or more goals	9.4%	7.6%	2.8%	2.73×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	4.5%	4.4%	8.3%	0.53×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.9%	40.3%	43.0%	0.94×	2.48
1 goal in 2nd half	35.1%	39.8%	35.0%	1.14×	2.51
No goals in 2nd half	26.1%	29.8%	22.1%	1.35×	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone not to win both halves	95.9%	97.2%	90.2%	1.08×	1.03
Como not to win both halves	80.1%	84.0%	91.3%	0.92×	1.19
Como to win both halves	19.9%	16.0%	8.7%	1.85×	6.24
Frosinone to win both halves	4.1%	2.8%	9.8%	0.29×	35.32

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to win either half	69.5%	68.0%	48.2%	1.41×	1.47
Frosinone to win neither half	63.6%	65.3%	47.6%	1.37×	1.53
Frosinone to win either half	36.4%	34.7%	52.4%	0.66×	2.88
Como to win neither half	30.5%	32.0%	51.8%	0.62×	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone not to win to nil	90.7%	92.0%	77.4%	1.19×	1.09
Como not to win to nil	72.0%	75.3%	79.0%	0.95×	1.33
Como to win to nil	28.0%	24.7%	21.0%	1.18×	4.04
Frosinone to win to nil	9.3%	8.0%	22.6%	0.35×	12.51

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como by 1	23.2%	24.2%	20.0%	1.21×	4.14
Draw	21.6%	24.1%	26.6%	0.91×	4.14
Como by 2	17.4%	17.0%	8.5%	1.99×	5.90
Como by 3+	16.5%	16.9%	5.9%	2.90×	5.90
Frosinone by 1	13.2%	11.8%	22.4%	0.53×	8.47
Frosinone by 2	5.6%	7.2%	9.7%	0.75×	13.81
Frosinone by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	7.6%	0.35×	37.06