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Frosinone v Juventus — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 23 August 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG

0–1
0.37 – 2.62 xG
Shots
11 – 20
On target
2 – 5
Shots in box
7 – 13
xG per shot
0.03 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.08 – 1.41
Goals − xG
-0.37 – -1.62
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.52.22.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Bremer 21' — goal
Frosinone 0.37 xGJuventus 2.62 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Ilario Monterisi 3' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Francisco Conceição 6' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Randal Kolo Muani 6' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Antonio Raimondo 12' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Bremer 16' — Missed Shot (0.24 xG, From Corner)Randal Kolo Muani 18' — Missed Shot (0.49 xG, From Corner)Bremer 21' — Goal (0.38 xG, From Corner)Douglas Luiz 30' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Kenan Yildiz 34' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Lloyd Kelly 34' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, From Corner)Douglas Luiz 37' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Bracaglia 39' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Giorgi Kvernadze 39' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Kenan Yildiz 41' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa 41' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Douglas Luiz 45' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Francisco Conceição 47' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Randal Kolo Muani 47' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Francisco Conceição 51' — Missed Shot (0.48 xG, Open Play)Seydou Fini 52' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Giorgi Kvernadze 57' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Weston McKennie 62' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Francisco Conceição 65' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Calvani 69' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Weston McKennie 70' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Giorgi Kvernadze 73' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Edon Zhegrova 82' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Luis Hasa 86' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Teun Koopmeiners 87' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Gabriele Calvani 92' — Shot On Post (0.02 xG, From Corner)Aleksa Terzic 95' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)
Frosinone attacking right Juventus attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Frosinone Ilario Monterisi 0.04 Set Piece Missed Shot Giacomo Calo
6' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Randal Kolo Muani
6' Juventus Randal Kolo Muani 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Douglas Luiz
12' Frosinone Antonio Raimondo 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Giorgi Kvernadze
16' Juventus Bremer 0.24 From Corner Missed Shot Douglas Luiz
18' Juventus Randal Kolo Muani 0.49 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Bremer
21' Juventus Bremer 0.38 From Corner Goal Francisco Conceição
30' Juventus Douglas Luiz 0.05 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
34' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.05 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Manuel Locatelli
34' Juventus Lloyd Kelly 0.12 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Kenan Yildiz
37' Juventus Douglas Luiz 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kenan Yildiz
39' Frosinone Gabriele Bracaglia 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ilario Monterisi
39' Frosinone Giorgi Kvernadze 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
41' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
41' Juventus Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
45' Juventus Douglas Luiz 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kenan Yildiz
47' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Bremer
47' Juventus Randal Kolo Muani 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
51' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.48 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Mehmet Zeki Çelik
52' Frosinone Seydou Fini 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Antonio Raimondo
57' Frosinone Giorgi Kvernadze 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Lorenzo Palmisani
62' Juventus Weston McKennie 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Francisco Conceição
65' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa
69' Frosinone Gabriele Calvani 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Giacomo Calo
70' Juventus Weston McKennie 0.08 From Corner Missed Shot Edon Zhegrova
73' Frosinone Giorgi Kvernadze 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Luis Hasa
82' Juventus Edon Zhegrova 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Bremer
86' Frosinone Luis Hasa 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Alessio Zerbin
87' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Edon Zhegrova
92' Frosinone Gabriele Calvani 0.02 From Corner Shot On Post Giacomo Calo
95' Frosinone Aleksa Terzic 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Luis Hasa

Players

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Randal Kolo Muani FW 90 0 0 3 1 0.65 0.11 0.74
Bremer DC 90 1 0 2 3 0.62 0.55 0.19
Weston McKennie AMC 90 0 0 2 0 0.16 0.00 0.19
Lloyd Kelly DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.05
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.08 0.02 0.19
Guglielmo Vicario GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Manuel Locatelli DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.27
Douglas Luiz DMC 82 0 0 3 2 0.17 0.30 0.29
Francisco Conceição AMR 72 0 1 4 2 0.64 0.46 0.82
Kenan Yildiz AML 72 0 0 2 3 0.13 0.24 0.79
Mehmet Zeki Çelik DL 72 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.48 0.67
Edon Zhegrova Sub 18 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.12 0.06
Jeremie Boga Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Andrea Cambiaso Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Teun Koopmeiners Sub 8 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Mattia Perin Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Frosinone

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Giorgi Kvernadze AML 90 0 0 3 1 0.10 0.08 0.20
Antonio Raimondo FW 90 0 0 1 1 0.08 0.05 0.13
Gabriele Calvani DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.01
Giacomo Calo DMC 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.08 0.05
Lorenzo Palmisani GK 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.08
Giorgio Cittadini DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Gabriele Bracaglia DL 79 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.11
Ilario Monterisi DR 70 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.03 0.03
Matteo Cichella DMC 70 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Seydou Fini AMR 62 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Romano Schmid AMC 62 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alessio Zerbin Sub 28 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Patrizio Masini Sub 28 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Luis Hasa Sub 20 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.03 0.05
Anthony Oyono Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Aleksa Terzic Sub 11 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.03
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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