Fulham v Bournemouth — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627

Premier League xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Fulham

15:00 UTC

Bournemouth

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 22 Oct, 10:58 · 892h before kick-off

Fulham win

27.7%

model 28.8%

Draw

23.0%

model 23.7%

Bournemouth win

49.2%

model 47.5%

282349

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.0%
1-2 9.4%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 7.3%
2-1 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.6%	Under 2.5	42.4%
BTTS yes	59.3%	BTTS no	40.7%
Fulham 1+	72.3%	Fulham 2+	36.7%
Bournemouth 1+	82.0%	Bournemouth 2+	51.1%

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.71. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

94/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Fulham to win neither half

Win either half · usually 41%

59.2% fair odds 1.69

strong signal · 1046 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Bournemouth over 0.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 75%

82.5% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1052 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Bournemouth carry the stronger rating, 1638 Elo against 1535.
Bournemouth have created 1.82 xG a match over their last five while Fulham have allowed 1.46.
Away from home Bournemouth average 1.27 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Bournemouth have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.7% for Fulham and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.28 for Fulham and 1.71 for Bournemouth.

Why Fulham

Fulham have created 1.65 xG a match over their last five while Bournemouth have allowed 1.30. At home Fulham average 2.00 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Bournemouth can win

Bournemouth carry the stronger rating, 1638 Elo against 1535. Bournemouth have created 1.82 xG a match over their last five while Fulham have allowed 1.46. Away from home Bournemouth average 1.27 xG a match.

Key players

Fulham's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Gonzalo García (0.56), Raúl Jiménez (0.36), Alex Iwobi (0.30). Bournemouth's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Marcus Tavernier (0.45), Evanilson (0.45), Rayan (0.35).

Availability

1 of Fulham's top three contributors did not start their last match. Fulham had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.11 expected goal involvements a match. 27% of Fulham's last eleven are new to the club this window. Reported unavailable for Fulham: Ryan Sessegnon (suspended).

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Fulham: 56% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Bournemouth: 52% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.61 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Bournemouth are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.0%. Confidence 94/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Fulham are finishing sharply below their chances — 6.5 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.6 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDWLLLDDLW last 10 scored 10 from 16.5 xG conceded 12 from 14.6 xG

Bournemouth are finishing sharply below their chances — 6.2 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

WDDLDDDLLW last 10 scored 12 from 18.2 xG conceded 15 from 13.0 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	292447	1.28–1.71	0%	0%	0%
dc-goals	333037	1.19–1.28	1-1 14%	45%	52%
dc-xg	302446	1.33–1.69	1-1 11%	58%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to win	40.6%	42.9%	32.3%	1.33×	2.33
Fulham to win	35.5%	36.3%	43.0%	0.85×	2.75
Draw	23.9%	24.4%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth & both teams score	22.5%	21.8%	15.3%	1.42×	4.58
Fulham & both teams score	19.9%	18.0%	22.9%	0.78×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Bournemouth & not both score	18.1%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.57
Fulham & not both score	15.6%	18.0%	20.1%	0.89×	5.57
Draw & not both score	4.6%	4.9%	5.0%	0.98×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth & over 1.5	33.3%	30.8%	25.3%	1.21×	3.25
Fulham & over 1.5	28.7%	26.1%	36.6%	0.71×	3.84
Bournemouth & over 2.5	27.5%	26.1%	19.8%	1.32×	3.84
Bournemouth & under 3.5	25.0%	26.1%	21.9%	1.19×	3.84
Fulham & over 2.5	23.7%	21.6%	30.3%	0.71×	4.63
Fulham & under 3.5	22.4%	21.6%	26.6%	0.81×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	16.3%	1.11×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.4%	18.0%	16.3%	1.11×	5.56
Bournemouth & over 3.5	15.6%	18.0%	10.6%	1.70×	5.56
Fulham & over 3.5	13.1%	12.8%	16.5%	0.78×	7.79
Bournemouth & under 2.5	13.2%	12.8%	12.6%	1.02×	7.79
Fulham & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	12.8%	1.00×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.4%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Bournemouth & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	7.1%	1.12×	12.63
Fulham & under 1.5	6.8%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	5.0%	0.97×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (1UP)	58.7%	58.1%	51.5%	1.13×	1.72
Fulham (1UP)	54.4%	52.7%	62.0%	0.85×	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (2UP)	40.6%	47.0%	34.5%	1.36×	2.13
Fulham (2UP)	35.5%	37.3%	44.7%	0.83×	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to win 2nd half	36.0%	36.1%	36.2%	1.00×	2.77
2nd half drawn	32.9%	34.3%	31.1%	1.10×	2.91
Bournemouth to win 2nd half	31.1%	34.3%	32.8%	1.05×	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.1%	79.9%	0.99×	1.26
Bournemouth over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.3%	54.6%	57.8%	0.94×	1.83
Bournemouth under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.7%	45.4%	42.2%	1.08×	2.20
Bournemouth over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.9%	20.1%	1.04×	4.79

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.7%	75.4%	75.2%	1.00×	1.33
Fulham over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.0%	63.1%	58.3%	1.08×	1.58
Fulham under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.0%	36.9%	41.7%	0.89×	2.71
Fulham over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.3%	24.6%	24.8%	0.99×	4.06

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (+2.5)	93.7%	92.1%	89.1%	1.03×	1.09
Bournemouth (+1.5)	83.3%	82.5%	76.0%	1.09×	1.21
Bournemouth (+0.5)	64.5%	63.0%	57.0%	1.10×	1.59
Fulham (+0.5)	59.4%	57.1%	67.7%	0.84×	1.75
Bournemouth (-0.5)	40.6%	42.9%	32.3%	1.33×	2.33
Fulham (-0.5)	35.5%	37.0%	43.0%	0.86×	2.70
Fulham (-1.5)	16.7%	17.5%	24.0%	0.73×	5.73
Fulham (-2.5)	6.3%	7.9%	10.9%	0.72×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to concede	77.3%	78.8%	78.1%	1.01×	1.27
Bournemouth clean sheet	22.7%	21.2%	21.9%	0.97×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth clean sheet in 1st half	58.2%	57.0%	48.8%	1.17×	1.75
Bournemouth to concede in 1st half	41.8%	43.0%	51.2%	0.84×	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to concede in 2nd half	61.0%	61.6%	58.3%	1.06×	1.62
Bournemouth clean sheet in 2nd half	39.0%	38.4%	41.7%	0.92×	2.60

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth over 2.5 corners	81.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Bournemouth under 6.5 corners	73.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Bournemouth over 3.5 corners	67.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Bournemouth under 5.5 corners	61.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Bournemouth over 4.5 corners	52.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Bournemouth under 4.5 corners	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Bournemouth over 5.5 corners	38.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Bournemouth under 3.5 corners	32.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Bournemouth over 6.5 corners	26.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Bournemouth under 2.5 corners	18.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth under 3.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Bournemouth over 0.5 goals	79.8%	76.3%	75.0%	1.02×	1.31
Bournemouth under 2.5 goals	78.3%	76.3%	85.1%	0.90×	1.31
Bournemouth under 1.5 goals	52.4%	53.5%	60.6%	0.88×	1.87
Bournemouth over 1.5 goals	47.6%	46.5%	39.4%	1.18×	2.15
Bournemouth over 2.5 goals	21.7%	23.7%	14.9%	1.59×	4.21
Bournemouth under 0.5 goals	20.2%	23.7%	25.0%	0.95×	4.22
Bournemouth over 3.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	5.4%	1.43×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth under 1.5 in 1st half	82.7%	83.0%	89.3%	0.93×	1.21
Bournemouth over 0.5 in 1st half	52.8%	55.5%	40.3%	1.38×	1.80
Bournemouth under 0.5 in 1st half	47.2%	44.5%	59.7%	0.75×	2.25
Bournemouth over 1.5 in 1st half	17.3%	17.0%	10.7%	1.59×	5.87

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth scores more in 2nd half	35.3%	37.3%	40.8%	0.91×	2.68
Bournemouth scores equally in both	35.2%	37.3%	37.5%	0.99×	2.68
Bournemouth scores more in 1st half	29.5%	26.4%	21.7%	1.22×	3.79

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (away no bet)	59.8%	57.4%	63.5%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.2%	42.6%	36.5%	1.16×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth even goals	52.0%	52.6%	53.5%	0.98×	1.90
Bournemouth odd goals	48.0%	47.4%	46.5%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.2%	82.6%	80.0%	1.03×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.8%	17.4%	20.0%	0.87×	5.75

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.7%	67.2%	70.1%	0.96×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.3%	32.8%	29.9%	1.10×	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.8%	60.1%	61.6%	0.98×	1.66
Bournemouth to score 2+ in a row	37.4%	36.6%	29.7%	1.23×	2.73
Fulham to score 2+ in a row	33.3%	29.2%	39.2%	0.75×	3.42
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.4%	19.7%	26.1%	0.75×	5.09
Bournemouth to score 3+ in a row	13.1%	12.1%	10.1%	1.20×	8.29
Fulham to score 3+ in a row	10.7%	12.0%	16.4%	0.73×	8.33

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Fulham corners (+2.5)	78.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Bournemouth corners (+3.5)	77.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Fulham corners (+1.5)	70.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Bournemouth corners (+2.5)	68.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Bournemouth corners (+1.5)	59.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Fulham corners (-1.5)	40.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Fulham corners (-2.5)	31.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Bournemouth corners (-1.5)	29.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Fulham corners (-3.5)	22.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Bournemouth corners (-2.5)	21.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Bournemouth corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	77.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	67.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	32.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	23.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.9%	11.5%	11.4%	1.01×	8.72
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	6.8%	1.08×	13.50
1-0	6.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.50
0-1	7.3%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.50
2-0	5.0%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
0-2	5.9%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
0-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	58.30
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.60×	58.31
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.29
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.22×	58.31
2-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.60×	58.31
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.31
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.30
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.46×	58.32
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.89×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.20×	58.32
Any other score	4.1%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
0-0	4.6%	1.7%	5.0%	0.35×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (2nd half DNB)	53.7%	52.9%	52.5%	1.01×	1.89
Bournemouth (2nd half DNB)	46.3%	47.1%	47.5%	0.99×	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth leading at HT (DNB)	60.8%	65.4%	40.2%	1.63×	1.53
Fulham leading at HT (DNB)	39.2%	34.6%	59.8%	0.58×	2.89

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham or Bournemouth (12)	76.1%	75.6%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Bournemouth or draw (X2)	64.5%	63.7%	57.0%	1.12×	1.57
Fulham or draw (1X)	59.4%	57.1%	67.7%	0.84×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth or draw at HT	76.4%	79.0%	63.9%	1.24×	1.27
Fulham or draw at HT	63.4%	61.6%	75.7%	0.81×	1.62
Fulham or Bournemouth at HT	60.2%	61.5%	60.2%	1.02×	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth or draw (1UP)	64.5%	71.8%	65.3%	1.10×	1.39
Fulham or draw (1UP)	59.4%	63.2%	74.3%	0.85×	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham or draw in 2nd half	68.9%	65.7%	67.2%	0.98×	1.52
Fulham or Bournemouth in 2nd half	67.1%	65.7%	68.9%	0.95×	1.52
Bournemouth or draw in 2nd half	64.0%	63.9%	63.8%	1.00×	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.6%	58.5%	57.1%	1.03×	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.4%	41.5%	42.9%	0.97×	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (DNB)	53.4%	51.0%	42.9%	1.19×	1.96
Fulham (DNB)	46.6%	49.0%	57.1%	0.86×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to score first	49.6%	46.1%	43.3%	1.06×	2.17
Fulham to score first	45.9%	45.9%	51.8%	0.89×	2.18
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	5.0%	0.87×	23.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.7%	56.6%	58.0%	0.98×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.3%	43.4%	42.0%	1.03×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.9%	47.2%	46.7%	1.01×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	29.6%	33.4%	30.2%	1.10×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.9%	12.4%	11.4%	1.08×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.3%	11.9%	0.70×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.2%	79.7%	82.1%	0.97×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	20.8%	20.3%	17.9%	1.13×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.0%	67.2%	68.6%	0.98×	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.0%	32.8%	31.4%	1.04×	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	50.7%	54.7%	55.9%	0.98×	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	27.3%	27.4%	24.7%	1.11×	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.3%	10.7%	12.8%	0.84×	9.33
Both score in both halves	7.7%	6.8%	6.8%	1.00×	14.68

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.0%	81.2%	80.4%	1.01×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.0%	18.8%	19.6%	0.96×	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.4%	59.6%	61.6%	0.97×	1.68
A half without a goal	39.6%	40.4%	38.4%	1.05×	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.1%	42.1%	46.3%	0.91×	2.37
4-6 goals	33.4%	30.7%	32.8%	0.94×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.7%	20.2%	18.3%	1.11×	4.94
7+ goals	3.8%	1.8%	2.8%	0.66×	54.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to score exactly 1	32.3%	33.8%	35.7%	0.95×	2.96
Bournemouth to score exactly 2	25.9%	27.4%	24.5%	1.12×	3.66
Bournemouth to score 3+	21.7%	22.3%	14.9%	1.49×	4.49
Bournemouth to score exactly 0	20.2%	22.3%	25.0%	0.89×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to score exactly 1	33.7%	32.6%	29.2%	1.11×	3.07
Fulham to score exactly 2	25.0%	23.3%	26.1%	0.89×	4.29
Fulham to score exactly 0	22.7%	23.3%	21.9%	1.06×	4.29
Fulham to score 3+	18.7%	18.8%	22.9%	0.82×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.8%	38.5%	39.8%	0.97×	2.60
Bournemouth leading at HT	36.6%	38.4%	24.3%	1.58×	2.61
Fulham leading at HT	23.6%	21.0%	36.1%	0.58×	4.77

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth -1: 1	59.4%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Bournemouth -1: 2	20.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Bournemouth -1: X	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (0:1)	64.5%	61.4%	57.0%	1.08×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	18.7%	17.8%	19.1%	0.94×	5.61
Fulham (0:1)	16.7%	17.8%	24.0%	0.74×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (0:2)	83.3%	82.9%	76.0%	1.09×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.4%	11.0%	13.2%	0.83×	9.11
Fulham (0:2)	6.3%	7.7%	10.9%	0.70×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (0:3)	93.7%	92.7%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	42.00
Fulham (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (0:4)	98.0%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	81.94
Fulham (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	82.05

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (1:0)	59.4%	58.4%	67.7%	0.86×	1.71
Bournemouth (1:0)	20.4%	21.7%	15.7%	1.38×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	20.2%	21.7%	16.7%	1.29×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham (2:0)	79.6%	80.5%	84.3%	0.96×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.1%	10.3%	9.2%	1.11×	9.72
Bournemouth (2:0)	8.3%	6.4%	6.5%	0.98×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.2%	48.8%	49.6%	0.98×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.2%	25.8%	1.02×	3.81
Halves equal	23.1%	24.4%	24.7%	0.99×	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to concede	79.8%	76.1%	75.0%	1.02×	1.31
Fulham clean sheet	20.2%	23.9%	25.0%	0.95×	4.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to concede in 1st half	52.8%	55.5%	40.3%	1.38×	1.80
Fulham clean sheet in 1st half	47.2%	44.5%	59.7%	0.75×	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham to concede in 2nd half	57.3%	54.9%	57.8%	0.95×	1.82
Fulham clean sheet in 2nd half	42.7%	45.1%	42.2%	1.07×	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham over 2.5 corners	86.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Fulham over 3.5 corners	74.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Fulham under 6.5 corners	65.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Fulham over 4.5 corners	60.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Fulham under 5.5 corners	53.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Fulham over 5.5 corners	46.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Fulham under 4.5 corners	39.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Fulham over 6.5 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Fulham under 3.5 corners	25.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Fulham under 2.5 corners	13.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham under 3.5 goals	93.7%	92.2%	91.5%	1.01×	1.08
Fulham under 2.5 goals	81.3%	82.2%	77.1%	1.07×	1.22
Fulham over 0.5 goals	77.3%	77.7%	78.1%	1.00×	1.29
Fulham under 1.5 goals	56.4%	58.6%	51.1%	1.15×	1.71
Fulham over 1.5 goals	43.6%	41.4%	48.9%	0.85×	2.42
Fulham under 0.5 goals	22.7%	22.3%	21.9%	1.01×	4.49
Fulham over 2.5 goals	18.7%	17.8%	22.9%	0.78×	5.62
Fulham over 3.5 goals	6.3%	7.8%	8.5%	0.91×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	90.3%	84.4%	1.07×	1.11
Fulham under 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	56.8%	48.8%	1.16×	1.76
Fulham over 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	43.2%	51.2%	0.85×	2.31
Fulham over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	9.7%	15.6%	0.62×	10.32

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham scores more in 2nd half	43.8%	42.1%	36.1%	1.17×	2.38
Fulham scores equally in both	35.8%	37.9%	37.7%	1.00×	2.64
Fulham scores more in 1st half	20.4%	21.1%	26.3%	0.80×	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth (home no bet)	63.0%	60.0%	56.6%	1.06×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.0%	40.0%	43.4%	0.92×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham even goals	52.6%	50.7%	54.0%	0.94×	1.97
Fulham odd goals	47.4%	49.3%	46.0%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.5%	28.0%	28.1%	0.99×	3.58
HT 0-1	20.6%	24.4%	14.8%	1.65×	4.10
HT 1-0	14.9%	11.0%	21.5%	0.51×	9.05
HT 1-1	11.2%	11.0%	10.8%	1.02×	9.09
HT 0-2	7.7%	6.9%	4.4%	1.58×	14.48
Any other HT score	5.8%	6.9%	5.4%	1.27×	14.51
HT 1-2	4.2%	2.4%	2.9%	0.82×	42.00
HT 2-0	4.0%	2.4%	8.0%	0.30×	42.02
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	3.7%	0.64×	42.08
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	1.0%	2.39×	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth at HT / Bournemouth at FT	26.3%	27.2%	16.7%	1.62×	3.68
Fulham at HT / Fulham at FT	17.5%	16.7%	26.4%	0.63×	5.98
Draw at HT / Fulham at FT	14.3%	12.7%	13.9%	0.91×	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.1%	12.6%	13.8%	0.92×	7.91
Draw at HT / Bournemouth at FT	12.4%	12.6%	12.3%	1.03×	7.91
Bournemouth at HT / Draw at FT	6.6%	6.0%	4.8%	1.26×	16.64
Fulham at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	6.4%	0.55×	28.61
Bournemouth at HT / Fulham at FT	3.6%	3.5%	2.9%	1.21×	28.63
Fulham at HT / Bournemouth at FT	2.0%	3.5%	3.5%	1.01×	28.69

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to score last	49.6%	46.6%	45.1%	1.03×	2.15
Fulham to score last	45.9%	46.4%	50.1%	0.93×	2.16
No goal scored	4.6%	4.3%	5.0%	0.87×	23.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.4%	95.6%	95.1%	1.01×	1.05
Bournemouth to lead by 1 at any time	58.7%	54.9%	51.5%	1.07×	1.82
Fulham to lead by 1 at any time	54.4%	50.9%	62.0%	0.82×	1.96
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.3%	50.8%	50.6%	1.01×	1.97
Bournemouth to lead by 2 at any time	27.8%	25.5%	21.0%	1.21×	3.92
Fulham to lead by 2 at any time	23.8%	19.7%	29.9%	0.66×	5.08
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.3%	15.0%	21.2%	0.71×	6.68
Bournemouth to lead by 3 at any time	10.8%	10.4%	8.1%	1.29×	9.59
Fulham to lead by 3 at any time	8.5%	6.7%	13.2%	0.51×	14.86

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham most corners	50.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Bournemouth most corners	39.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	88.4%	0.99×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.7%	79.0%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.5%	78.7%	77.9%	1.01×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	75.1%	0.96×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	64.5%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.3%	59.1%	59.7%	0.99×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.8%	59.1%	55.8%	1.06×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.3%	53.2%	51.9%	1.02×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.1%	43.6%	46.3%	0.94×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.6%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.9%	39.2%	36.6%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.4%	35.2%	32.8%	1.08×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.9%	30.2%	28.9%	1.05×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.1%	18.8%	14.5%	1.30×	5.31
7+ goals	3.8%	2.6%	2.8%	0.91×	39.05

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth never behind	41.1%	48.4%	38.0%	1.28×	2.07
Fulham never behind	36.7%	44.0%	48.5%	0.91×	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	49.2%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	50.8%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.7%	53.5%	0.97×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.3%	46.5%	1.04×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	51.9%	51.9%	1.00×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.1%	48.1%	1.00×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.3%	82.3%	81.7%	1.01×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.1%	82.3%	82.8%	0.99×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	62.8%	61.7%	64.5%	0.96×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	59.5%	58.6%	58.5%	1.00×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	40.5%	41.4%	41.5%	1.00×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	37.2%	38.3%	35.5%	1.08×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	19.9%	17.7%	17.2%	1.03×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	18.7%	17.7%	18.3%	0.97×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	6.7%	1.16×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	5.0%	0.92×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.0%	97.2%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.6%	86.7%	92.5%	0.94×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.1%	75.9%	76.2%	1.00×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.9%	75.9%	78.9%	0.96×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.1%	51.9%	53.9%	0.96×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.9%	48.1%	46.1%	1.04×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.1%	24.1%	21.1%	1.14×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.9%	24.1%	23.8%	1.01×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.4%	13.3%	7.5%	1.77×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.0%	2.8%	2.9%	0.96×	35.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.9%	89.1%	87.2%	1.02×	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.5%	71.8%	71.9%	1.00×	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.0%	63.2%	64.3%	0.98×	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.0%	36.8%	35.7%	1.03×	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.5%	28.2%	28.1%	1.00×	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.1%	10.9%	12.8%	0.85×	9.20

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.4%	83.2%	84.7%	0.98×	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.2%	77.4%	75.7%	1.02×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	53.2%	54.4%	0.98×	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	46.8%	45.6%	1.03×	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.8%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.43
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.6%	16.8%	15.3%	1.10×	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham not to score in both halves	74.5%	74.0%	68.6%	1.08×	1.35
Bournemouth not to score in both halves	69.7%	70.0%	76.9%	0.91×	1.43
Bournemouth to score in both halves	30.3%	30.0%	23.1%	1.30×	3.33
Fulham to score in both halves	25.5%	26.0%	31.4%	0.83×	3.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.7%	60.3%	58.0%	1.04×	1.66
Only Bournemouth scores	18.1%	16.0%	17.1%	0.94×	6.24
Only Fulham scores	15.6%	16.0%	20.1%	0.80×	6.25
Neither team scores	4.6%	4.6%	5.0%	0.93×	21.65

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.8%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.3%	17.5%	18.3%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.1%	12.1%	13.4%	0.90×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	10.6%	12.1%	10.6%	1.14×	8.25
6 or more goals	9.3%	7.6%	6.7%	1.14×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.6%	4.5%	5.0%	0.90×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.5%	37.4%	36.2%	1.03×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	27.5%	28.3%	28.1%	1.00×	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	22.9%	21.5%	23.0%	0.93×	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	14.1%	10.8%	12.8%	0.84×	9.28

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.5%	51.5%	54.4%	0.95×	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.8%	29.4%	30.4%	0.96×	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	16.6%	16.4%	15.3%	1.08×	6.09

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham not to win both halves	91.5%	94.1%	86.4%	1.09×	1.06
Bournemouth not to win both halves	88.6%	87.9%	91.3%	0.96×	1.14
Bournemouth to win both halves	11.4%	12.1%	8.7%	1.39×	8.28
Fulham to win both halves	8.5%	5.9%	13.6%	0.43×	16.91

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Bournemouth to win either half	56.3%	59.0%	48.4%	1.22×	1.69
Fulham to win either half	51.1%	54.3%	58.7%	0.92×	1.84
Fulham to win neither half	48.9%	45.7%	41.3%	1.11×	2.19
Bournemouth to win neither half	43.7%	41.0%	51.7%	0.79×	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fulham not to win to nil	84.4%	83.1%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
Bournemouth not to win to nil	81.9%	83.1%	82.9%	1.00×	1.20
Bournemouth to win to nil	18.1%	16.9%	17.1%	0.99×	5.92
Fulham to win to nil	15.6%	16.9%	20.1%	0.84×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.9%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.15
Bournemouth by 1	20.2%	24.1%	16.7%	1.44×	4.15
Fulham by 1	18.7%	17.1%	19.1%	0.89×	5.86
Bournemouth by 2	12.1%	11.8%	9.2%	1.27×	8.51
Fulham by 2	10.4%	11.8%	13.2%	0.89×	8.51
Bournemouth by 3+	8.3%	7.2%	6.5%	1.10×	13.90
Fulham by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	10.9%	0.66×	13.91