GAIS v AIK — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 2 November 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.2%
- 1-0 10.8%
- 2-1 9.0%
- 0-0 8.7%
- 2-0 8.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 46.4% | Under 2.5 | 53.6% |
| BTTS yes | 51.3% | BTTS no | 48.7% |
| GAIS 1+ | 76.4% | GAIS 2+ | 42.3% |
| AIK 1+ | 66.2% | AIK 2+ | 29.6% |
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out GAIS.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this
The price
GAIS have an estimated 43.0% win probability, against 28.5% for the draw and 28.5% for AIK. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for GAIS and 1.09 for AIK.
Why GAIS
Nothing in the data singles out GAIS.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 28.5%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.
Why AIK can win
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for GAIS, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for AIK, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
GAIS: 53% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. AIK: 51% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. GAIS's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
GAIS are the model's most likely outcome at 43.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.19–0.99 | 1-1 14% | 37% | 44% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to win | 39.8% | 36.4% | 40.7% | 0.90× | 2.74 |
| Draw | 30.6% | 30.3% | 22.9% | 1.32× | 3.30 |
| AIK to win | 29.6% | 27.9% | 36.6% | 0.76× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS & not both score | 25.2% | 25.2% | 23.7% | 1.06× | 3.98 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.5% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.58 |
| AIK & not both score | 18.4% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 0.95× | 5.58 |
| GAIS & both teams score | 14.6% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 0.77× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 12.1% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 2.48× | 7.54 |
| AIK & both teams score | 11.2% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 0.73× | 7.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS & under 3.5 | 31.9% | 30.9% | 26.2% | 1.18× | 3.24 |
| GAIS & over 1.5 | 27.0% | 26.0% | 34.6% | 0.75× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 26.2% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 1.44× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 26.2% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 1.44× | 3.84 |
| AIK & under 3.5 | 24.4% | 21.7% | 25.4% | 0.85× | 4.62 |
| GAIS & under 2.5 | 20.8% | 21.7% | 15.5% | 1.39× | 4.62 |
| GAIS & over 2.5 | 19.0% | 18.0% | 25.4% | 0.71× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.56 |
| AIK & over 1.5 | 19.1% | 18.0% | 27.7% | 0.65× | 5.56 |
| AIK & under 2.5 | 16.0% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 1.29× | 5.56 |
| AIK & over 2.5 | 13.6% | 12.9% | 22.9% | 0.56× | 7.77 |
| GAIS & under 1.5 | 12.8% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 2.02× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 12.1% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 2.41× | 7.77 |
| AIK & under 1.5 | 10.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 1.40× | 7.77 |
| GAIS & over 3.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 0.53× | 12.70 |
| AIK & over 3.5 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 0.69× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 0.94× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 0.94× | 20.93 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (1UP) | 53.6% | 52.7% | — | — | 1.90 |
| AIK (1UP) | 44.4% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (2UP) | 39.8% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| AIK (2UP) | 29.6% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 41.0% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
| GAIS to win 2nd half | 32.1% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| AIK to win 2nd half | 26.8% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.81 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (+2.5) | 94.2% | 92.1% | 88.6% | 1.04× | 1.09 |
| AIK (+1.5) | 82.6% | 82.4% | 76.3% | 1.08× | 1.21 |
| GAIS (+0.5) | 70.4% | 73.7% | 63.4% | 1.16× | 1.36 |
| AIK (+0.5) | 60.2% | 62.9% | 59.3% | 1.06× | 1.59 |
| GAIS (-0.5) | 39.8% | 37.1% | 40.7% | 0.91× | 2.70 |
| AIK (-0.5) | 29.6% | 26.3% | 36.6% | 0.72× | 3.80 |
| GAIS (-1.5) | 17.4% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 0.74× | 5.69 |
| GAIS (-2.5) | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 0.69× | 12.65 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK to concede | 69.5% | 72.6% | 76.1% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| AIK clean sheet | 30.5% | 27.4% | 23.9% | 1.15× | 3.64 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK clean sheet in 1st half | 60.0% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
| AIK to concede in 1st half | 40.0% | 41.4% | — | — | 2.41 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK under 6.5 corners | 83.3% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| AIK over 2.5 corners | 75.5% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| AIK under 5.5 corners | 72.8% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| AIK under 4.5 corners | 58.6% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| AIK over 3.5 corners | 58.3% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| AIK under 3.5 corners | 41.7% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| AIK over 4.5 corners | 41.4% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| AIK over 5.5 corners | 27.2% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| AIK under 2.5 corners | 24.5% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| AIK over 6.5 corners | 16.7% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.40 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK under 3.5 goals | 98.2% | 97.5% | 95.2% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| AIK under 2.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.3% | 81.7% | 1.13× | 1.08 |
| AIK under 1.5 goals | 74.1% | 72.0% | 60.8% | 1.18× | 1.39 |
| AIK over 0.5 goals | 62.7% | 63.0% | 71.2% | 0.88× | 1.59 |
| AIK under 0.5 goals | 37.3% | 37.0% | 28.8% | 1.29× | 2.70 |
| AIK over 1.5 goals | 25.9% | 28.0% | 39.2% | 0.72× | 3.57 |
| AIK over 2.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.7% | 18.3% | 0.42× | 13.03 |
| AIK over 3.5 goals | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 0.51× | 40.78 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK under 1.5 in 1st half | 94.0% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| AIK under 0.5 in 1st half | 67.4% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.46 |
| AIK over 0.5 in 1st half | 32.6% | 31.7% | — | — | 3.16 |
| AIK over 1.5 in 1st half | 6.0% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.34 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (away no bet) | 56.5% | 57.4% | 64.0% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 43.5% | 42.6% | 36.0% | 1.18× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK even goals | 56.9% | 56.9% | 53.2% | 1.07× | 1.76 |
| AIK odd goals | 43.1% | 43.1% | 46.8% | 0.92× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 91.7% | 92.4% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 8.3% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.20 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 48.7% | 50.3% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 51.3% | 49.7% | — | — | 2.01 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 44.2% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.60 |
| GAIS to score 2+ in a row | 27.4% | 25.0% | — | — | 3.99 |
| AIK to score 2+ in a row | 20.2% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.14 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 12.9% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.21 |
| GAIS to score 3+ in a row | 8.1% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.63 |
| AIK to score 3+ in a row | 4.9% | 2.7% | — | — | 37.61 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS corners (+3.5) | 91.3% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| GAIS corners (+2.5) | 86.1% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| GAIS corners (+1.5) | 78.9% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| AIK corners (+3.5) | 72.3% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| AIK corners (+2.5) | 62.6% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| AIK corners (+1.5) | 51.7% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| GAIS corners (-1.5) | 48.3% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| GAIS corners (-2.5) | 37.4% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| GAIS corners (-3.5) | 27.7% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| AIK corners (-1.5) | 21.1% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| AIK corners (-2.5) | 13.9% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| AIK corners (-3.5) | 8.7% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 37.5% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| 12+ corners | 31.4% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 31.1% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 76.8% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 72.9% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 68.6% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 62.5% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 59.0% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 51.5% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 48.5% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 41.0% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 37.5% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 31.4% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 27.1% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 23.2% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 14.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 0.88× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 12.8% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 1.80× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 12.1% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 2.14× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 1.25× | 8.73 |
| 1-2 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.91× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 0.79× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.27× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.46× | 13.48 |
| 3-0 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.47 |
| 3-1 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.24× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.48 |
| 4-1 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.12× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.48 |
| 0-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.45× | 58.48 |
| 0-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.49 |
| 1-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 0.35× | 58.48 |
| 1-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.49 |
| 2-2 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.47 |
| 2-3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS leading at HT (DNB) | 58.0% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| AIK leading at HT (DNB) | 42.0% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS or draw (1X) | 70.4% | 72.1% | 63.4% | 1.14× | 1.39 |
| GAIS or AIK (12) | 69.4% | 69.7% | 77.1% | 0.90× | 1.44 |
| AIK or draw (X2) | 60.2% | 63.6% | 59.3% | 1.07× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS or draw at HT | 78.7% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| AIK or draw at HT | 70.6% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| GAIS or AIK at HT | 50.8% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS or draw (1UP) | 70.4% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| AIK or draw (1UP) | 60.2% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS or draw in 2nd half | 73.2% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| AIK or draw in 2nd half | 67.9% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| GAIS or AIK in 2nd half | 59.0% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.69 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 69.3% | 69.6% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Neither half drawn | 30.7% | 30.4% | — | — | 3.29 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (DNB) | 57.3% | 58.3% | 52.6% | 1.11× | 1.72 |
| AIK (DNB) | 42.7% | 41.7% | 47.4% | 0.88× | 2.40 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to score first | 48.0% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.20 |
| AIK to score first | 39.9% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| No goal scored | 12.1% | 10.0% | — | — | 9.98 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 55.6% | 54.9% | 47.3% | 1.16× | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 44.4% | 45.1% | 52.7% | 0.86× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 48.9% | 44.3% | 34.4% | 1.29× | 2.26 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 30.3% | 34.3% | 39.9% | 0.86× | 2.92 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 0.95× | 8.10 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 6.8% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 0.63× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 91.4% | 89.1% | 84.2% | 1.06× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 8.7% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 0.69× | 9.17 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 77.7% | 75.3% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 22.3% | 24.7% | — | — | 4.06 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 67.4% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 19.4% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.35 |
| Both score 1st half only | 10.3% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.34 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.9% | 5.0% | — | — | 20.13 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 86.8% | 86.0% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 13.2% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.14 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 56.8% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A goal in each half | 43.2% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.1% | 47.4% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 35.3% | 35.0% | 20.4% | 1.72× | 2.85 |
| 4-6 goals | 16.9% | 20.2% | 26.2% | 0.77× | 4.96 |
| 7+ goals | 0.7% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 0.38× | 54.73 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK to score exactly 0 | 37.3% | 36.0% | 28.8% | 1.25× | 2.78 |
| AIK to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 36.0% | 32.3% | 1.11× | 2.78 |
| AIK to score exactly 2 | 18.2% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 0.93× | 5.11 |
| AIK to score 3+ | 7.8% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 0.46× | 11.82 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to score exactly 1 | 36.2% | 35.6% | 32.8% | 1.08× | 2.81 |
| GAIS to score exactly 0 | 30.5% | 32.6% | 23.9% | 1.36× | 3.06 |
| GAIS to score exactly 2 | 21.5% | 23.2% | 22.1% | 1.05× | 4.30 |
| GAIS to score 3+ | 11.8% | 14.3% | 21.6% | 0.66× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 49.2% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| GAIS leading at HT | 29.4% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.88 |
| AIK leading at HT | 21.3% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.98 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS -1: 2 | 60.2% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| GAIS -1: X | 22.4% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| GAIS -1: 1 | 17.4% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.72 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (0:1) | 60.2% | 61.4% | 59.3% | 1.04× | 1.63 |
| Draw (0:1) | 22.4% | 24.3% | 17.3% | 1.40× | 4.12 |
| GAIS (0:1) | 17.4% | 17.8% | 23.7% | 0.75× | 5.63 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (0:2) | 82.6% | 82.8% | 76.3% | 1.08× | 1.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 0.88× | 9.12 |
| GAIS (0:2) | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 0.67× | 12.96 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (0:3) | 94.2% | 92.6% | 88.6% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 4.2% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 0.35× | 42.07 |
| GAIS (0:3) | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 0.49× | 42.20 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK (0:4) | 98.5% | 98.1% | 95.2% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 0.31× | 83.54 |
| GAIS (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.94× | 83.65 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (1:0) | 70.4% | 72.5% | 63.4% | 1.14× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.5% | 17.0% | 20.4% | 0.84× | 5.87 |
| AIK (1:0) | 11.1% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 0.77× | 7.81 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS (2:0) | 88.9% | 88.4% | 83.5% | 1.06× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 8.0% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 0.62× | 15.48 |
| AIK (2:0) | 3.1% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 0.36× | 44.17 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 44.2% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
| Halves equal | 29.8% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.0% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to concede | 62.7% | 63.4% | 71.2% | 0.89× | 1.58 |
| GAIS clean sheet | 37.3% | 36.6% | 28.8% | 1.27× | 2.73 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS clean sheet in 1st half | 67.4% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| GAIS to concede in 1st half | 32.6% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.19 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS over 2.5 corners | 87.9% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| GAIS over 3.5 corners | 76.4% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| GAIS under 6.5 corners | 65.1% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| GAIS over 4.5 corners | 62.5% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| GAIS under 5.5 corners | 51.9% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| GAIS over 5.5 corners | 48.1% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| GAIS under 4.5 corners | 37.5% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| GAIS over 6.5 corners | 34.9% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
| GAIS under 3.5 corners | 23.6% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| GAIS under 2.5 corners | 12.1% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.29 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS under 3.5 goals | 96.7% | 96.4% | 90.6% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| GAIS under 2.5 goals | 88.2% | 87.3% | 78.4% | 1.11× | 1.15 |
| GAIS over 0.5 goals | 69.5% | 67.9% | 76.1% | 0.89× | 1.47 |
| GAIS under 1.5 goals | 66.7% | 67.9% | 56.5% | 1.20× | 1.47 |
| GAIS over 1.5 goals | 33.3% | 32.1% | 43.5% | 0.74× | 3.11 |
| GAIS under 0.5 goals | 30.5% | 32.1% | 23.9% | 1.34× | 3.11 |
| GAIS over 2.5 goals | 11.8% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 0.59× | 7.85 |
| GAIS over 3.5 goals | 3.3% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 0.39× | 27.47 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS under 1.5 in 1st half | 90.6% | 95.2% | — | — | 1.05 |
| GAIS under 0.5 in 1st half | 60.0% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| GAIS over 0.5 in 1st half | 40.0% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| GAIS over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.4% | 4.8% | — | — | 21.02 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 50.8% | 51.6% | 38.5% | 1.34× | 1.94 |
| AIK (home no bet) | 49.2% | 48.4% | 61.5% | 0.79× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS even goals | 54.6% | 50.6% | 53.9% | 0.94× | 1.97 |
| GAIS odd goals | 45.4% | 49.4% | 46.1% | 1.07× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 40.5% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
| HT 1-0 | 20.5% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.8% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.03 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.38 |
| Any other HT score | 2.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.44 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.46 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.49 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.58 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS at HT / GAIS at FT | 22.6% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 21.0% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Draw at HT / GAIS at FT | 15.4% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.97 |
| AIK at HT / AIK at FT | 15.1% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.98 |
| Draw at HT / AIK at FT | 12.8% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| GAIS at HT / Draw at FT | 5.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| AIK at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.79 |
| AIK at HT / GAIS at FT | 1.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.90 |
| GAIS at HT / AIK at FT | 1.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.90 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS to score last | 48.1% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| AIK to score last | 39.8% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.58 |
| No goal scored | 12.1% | 9.4% | — | — | 10.62 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 87.9% | 90.6% | — | — | 1.10 |
| GAIS to lead by 1 at any time | 53.6% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| AIK to lead by 1 at any time | 44.4% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.54 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 37.0% | 34.8% | — | — | 2.87 |
| GAIS to lead by 2 at any time | 21.9% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| AIK to lead by 2 at any time | 15.1% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.72 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 10.9% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
| GAIS to lead by 3 at any time | 7.0% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.08 |
| AIK to lead by 3 at any time | 4.0% | 1.7% | — | — | 60.39 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS most corners | 59.4% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| AIK most corners | 30.1% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 10.5% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.5% | 87.4% | 86.8% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.9% | 83.5% | 78.4% | 1.07× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 70.3% | 72.4% | 64.1% | 1.13× | 1.38 |
| 2-6 goals | 64.0% | 63.4% | 75.1% | 0.84× | 1.58 |
| 2-5 goals | 62.3% | 63.4% | 71.8% | 0.88× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 57.7% | 59.2% | 63.4% | 0.93× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 50.8% | 53.2% | 42.0% | 1.27× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.1% | 48.7% | 49.1% | 0.99× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 36.4% | 39.1% | 48.3% | 0.81× | 2.56 |
| 3-5 goals | 34.7% | 35.4% | 45.0% | 0.79× | 2.83 |
| 3-4 goals | 30.1% | 35.4% | 36.6% | 0.96× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 16.9% | 18.6% | 26.2% | 0.71× | 5.37 |
| 4-5 goals | 15.2% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 0.81× | 5.37 |
| 5-6 goals | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 0.73× | 11.46 |
| 7+ goals | 0.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 0.53× | 39.30 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIS never behind | 43.5% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
| AIK never behind | 34.3% | 35.8% | — | — | 2.80 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 47.9% | 50.8% | 49.4% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 52.1% | 49.2% | 50.6% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 58.4% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 41.6% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 54.5% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 45.5% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 97.6% | 95.5% | 91.9% | 1.04× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93.0% | 92.3% | 83.5% | 1.11× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 87.9% | 87.6% | 94.7% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82.4% | 82.4% | 69.2% | 1.19× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.7% | 61.8% | 79.6% | 0.78× | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62.9% | 61.8% | 47.1% | 1.31× | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.1% | 38.2% | 52.9% | 0.72× | 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35.3% | 38.2% | 20.4% | 1.88× | 2.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.6% | 17.6% | 30.8% | 0.57× | 5.68 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12.1% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 2.31× | 8.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7.0% | 7.7% | 16.5% | 0.47× | 12.93 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 0.55× | 22.23 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.3% | 97.2% | 95.0% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 97.5% | 97.2% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 92.2% | 92.5% | 80.7% | 1.15× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 78.1% | 75.9% | 60.5% | 1.26× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 51.2% | 51.8% | 72.2% | 0.72× | 1.93 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 48.8% | 48.2% | 27.8% | 1.74× | 2.08 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 21.9% | 24.1% | 39.5% | 0.61× | 4.16 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 7.8% | 7.5% | 19.3% | 0.39× | 13.26 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 2.5% | 2.8% | 8.9% | 0.31× | 36.15 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.55× | 36.20 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 93.6% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 76.9% | 78.8% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 59.5% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 40.5% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 23.1% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.71 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 6.4% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.86 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 86.4% | 85.3% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 71.7% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 63.5% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 36.5% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 28.3% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.48 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 13.6% | 14.7% | — | — | 6.80 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK not to score in both halves | 85.4% | 85.6% | — | — | 1.17 |
| GAIS not to score in both halves | 80.3% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| GAIS to score in both halves | 19.7% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.33 |
| AIK to score in both halves | 14.6% | 14.4% | — | — | 6.96 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 44.4% | 46.6% | 52.7% | 0.89× | 2.15 |
| Only GAIS scores | 25.2% | 26.1% | 23.7% | 1.10× | 3.83 |
| Only AIK scores | 18.4% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 0.85× | 6.22 |
| Neither team scores | 12.1% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.05× | 9.15 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 27.6% | 25.0% | 27.0% | 0.93× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 23.2% | 22.6% | 15.3% | 1.48× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 19.5% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 0.78× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 12.1% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.26× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 0.83× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 4.6% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 0.51× | 22.65 |
| 6 or more goals | 2.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 0.54× | 22.68 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 36.5% | 39.6% | — | — | 2.53 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 35.2% | 39.4% | — | — | 2.54 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 28.3% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.35 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK not to win both halves | 94.2% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| GAIS not to win both halves | 90.4% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| GAIS to win both halves | 9.6% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.37 |
| AIK to win both halves | 5.8% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK to win neither half | 57.7% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| GAIS to win either half | 52.0% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| GAIS to win neither half | 48.0% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| AIK to win either half | 42.3% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK not to win to nil | 81.6% | 83.0% | 81.2% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| GAIS not to win to nil | 74.8% | 75.3% | 76.3% | 0.99× | 1.33 |
| GAIS to win to nil | 25.2% | 24.7% | 23.7% | 1.04× | 4.05 |
| AIK to win to nil | 18.4% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 0.90× | 5.89 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 30.6% | 27.6% | 22.9% | 1.20× | 3.63 |
| GAIS by 1 | 22.4% | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.40× | 4.14 |
| AIK by 1 | 18.5% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 0.83× | 5.91 |
| GAIS by 2 | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 0.95× | 8.48 |
| AIK by 2 | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 0.70× | 13.78 |
| GAIS by 3+ | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 0.63× | 13.79 |
| AIK by 3+ | 3.1% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 0.43× | 36.98 |