Galatasaray v Samsunspor — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Galatasaray

20:00 UTC

Samsunspor

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 705h before kick-off

Galatasaray win

69.5%

model 66.2%

Draw

19.3%

model 19.2%

Samsunspor win

11.2%

model 14.6%

691911

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (176 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.4%
1-1 8.5%
2-0 8.5%
3-1 7.8%
3-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	69.5%	Under 2.5	30.5%
BTTS yes	62.4%	BTTS no	37.6%
Galatasaray 1+	91.5%	Galatasaray 2+	70.6%
Samsunspor 1+	67.2%	Samsunspor 2+	30.7%

Expected goals 2.47 – 1.12. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Galatasaray over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 46%

72.8% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 1226 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Galatasaray carry the stronger rating, 1733 Elo against 1584.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Galatasaray have an estimated 69.5% win probability, against 19.3% for the draw and 11.2% for Samsunspor. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.47 for Galatasaray and 1.12 for Samsunspor.

Why Galatasaray

Galatasaray carry the stronger rating, 1733 Elo against 1584. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.3%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Samsunspor can win

Nothing in the data singles out Samsunspor.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Galatasaray, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Samsunspor, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Galatasaray: 49% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Samsunspor: 58% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 20.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Galatasaray's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Galatasaray are the model's most likely outcome at 69.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.4%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	661915	2.47–1.12	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	642016	2.42–1.18	2-1 9%	70%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to win	63.9%	58.3%	45.4%	1.28×	1.72
Draw	19.9%	19.4%	25.9%	0.75×	5.15
Samsunspor to win	16.2%	19.4%	28.9%	0.67×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray & both teams score	36.7%	33.3%	23.1%	1.44×	3.00
Galatasaray & not both score	27.2%	25.2%	22.4%	1.12×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.3%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.57
Samsunspor & both teams score	10.9%	13.3%	14.6%	0.91×	7.54
Samsunspor & not both score	5.3%	8.3%	14.4%	0.58×	12.02
Draw & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	8.0%	0.61×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray & over 1.5	58.1%	55.0%	36.2%	1.52×	1.82
Galatasaray & over 2.5	50.1%	48.8%	30.3%	1.61×	2.05
Galatasaray & over 3.5	34.2%	30.8%	16.1%	1.92×	3.25
Galatasaray & under 3.5	29.7%	26.1%	29.5%	0.88×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
Samsunspor & over 1.5	13.8%	12.8%	22.4%	0.57×	7.79
Galatasaray & under 2.5	13.8%	12.8%	15.2%	0.85×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	12.2%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	12.2%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Samsunspor & over 2.5	11.9%	12.8%	18.1%	0.71×	7.79
Samsunspor & under 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	19.6%	0.40×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Samsunspor & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	9.4%	0.84×	12.63
Galatasaray & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
Samsunspor & under 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	10.9%	0.44×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	8.0%	0.60×	20.82
Samsunspor & under 1.5	2.4%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (1UP)	77.5%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Samsunspor (1UP)	37.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (2UP)	63.9%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Samsunspor (2UP)	16.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to win 2nd half	52.7%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
2nd half drawn	28.4%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Samsunspor to win 2nd half	18.9%	18.3%	—	—	5.48

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Samsunspor over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Samsunspor under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Samsunspor over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Galatasaray under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Galatasaray over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Galatasaray under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (+0.5)	83.8%	82.5%	71.1%	1.16×	1.21
Samsunspor (+2.5)	76.0%	78.5%	90.0%	0.87×	1.27
Galatasaray (-0.5)	63.9%	63.0%	45.4%	1.39×	1.59
Samsunspor (+1.5)	57.1%	57.0%	78.5%	0.73×	1.75
Galatasaray (-1.5)	42.9%	43.0%	21.5%	2.00×	2.33
Samsunspor (+0.5)	36.1%	37.0%	54.6%	0.68×	2.70
Galatasaray (-2.5)	24.0%	21.5%	10.0%	2.15×	4.65
Samsunspor (-0.5)	16.2%	17.5%	28.9%	0.60×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to concede	91.1%	91.8%	77.8%	1.18×	1.09
Samsunspor clean sheet	8.9%	8.2%	22.2%	0.37×	12.19

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to concede in 1st half	64.7%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Samsunspor clean sheet in 1st half	35.3%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to concede in 2nd half	74.8%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Samsunspor clean sheet in 2nd half	25.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.49

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 6.5 corners	92.9%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Samsunspor under 5.5 corners	86.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Samsunspor under 4.5 corners	75.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Samsunspor under 3.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Samsunspor over 2.5 corners	59.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Samsunspor under 2.5 corners	40.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Samsunspor over 3.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Samsunspor over 4.5 corners	24.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Samsunspor over 5.5 corners	13.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Samsunspor over 6.5 corners	7.1%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 3.5 goals	96.8%	97.5%	95.3%	1.02×	1.03
Samsunspor under 2.5 goals	88.4%	87.8%	86.2%	1.02×	1.14
Samsunspor over 0.5 goals	69.2%	68.0%	69.8%	0.97×	1.47
Samsunspor under 1.5 goals	67.0%	68.0%	65.2%	1.04×	1.47
Samsunspor over 1.5 goals	33.0%	32.0%	34.8%	0.92×	3.12
Samsunspor under 0.5 goals	30.8%	32.0%	30.2%	1.06×	3.13
Samsunspor over 2.5 goals	11.6%	12.2%	13.8%	0.88×	8.21
Samsunspor over 3.5 goals	3.2%	2.5%	4.7%	0.53×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor under 1.5 in 1st half	91.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Samsunspor under 0.5 in 1st half	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Samsunspor over 0.5 in 1st half	37.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Samsunspor over 1.5 in 1st half	8.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.64

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor scores equally in both	41.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Samsunspor scores more in 2nd half	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Samsunspor scores more in 1st half	21.5%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (away no bet)	76.2%	73.5%	63.6%	1.16×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.8%	26.5%	36.4%	0.73×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor even goals	54.7%	52.6%	54.5%	0.97×	1.90
Samsunspor odd goals	45.3%	47.4%	45.5%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	72.5%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	27.5%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	79.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	20.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.65

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.2%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Galatasaray to score 2+ in a row	60.7%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	35.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Galatasaray to score 3+ in a row	31.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Samsunspor to score 2+ in a row	21.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Samsunspor to score 3+ in a row	4.9%	2.6%	—	—	37.78

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray corners (+3.5)	96.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Galatasaray corners (+2.5)	92.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Galatasaray corners (+1.5)	87.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Samsunspor corners (+3.5)	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Galatasaray corners (-1.5)	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Samsunspor corners (+2.5)	50.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Galatasaray corners (-2.5)	49.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Samsunspor corners (+1.5)	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Galatasaray corners (-3.5)	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Samsunspor corners (-1.5)	12.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Samsunspor corners (-2.5)	7.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Samsunspor corners (-3.5)	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.43

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	47.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	23.6%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	63.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	36.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	31.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.4%	11.5%	4.1%	2.78×	8.72
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.50
1-1	8.6%	7.4%	12.5%	0.59×	13.51
3-0	6.5%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.51
3-1	7.6%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.51
2-0	8.0%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
1-0	5.8%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.32
3-2	4.5%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	3.88×	58.32
4-0	3.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.30
4-1	4.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.29
4-2	2.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.30
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	11.64×	58.32
0-0	3.6%	1.7%	8.0%	0.22×	58.30
0-1	2.4%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.31
0-2	1.9%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.31
0-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.32
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.32
1-2	4.6%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.66×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (2nd half DNB)	73.6%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Samsunspor (2nd half DNB)	26.4%	28.7%	—	—	3.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray leading at HT (DNB)	75.0%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Samsunspor leading at HT (DNB)	25.0%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray or draw (1X)	83.8%	80.6%	71.1%	1.13×	1.24
Galatasaray or Samsunspor (12)	80.1%	80.6%	74.1%	1.09×	1.24
Samsunspor or draw (X2)	36.1%	41.7%	54.6%	0.76×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray or draw at HT	83.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Galatasaray or Samsunspor at HT	65.5%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Samsunspor or draw at HT	50.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray or draw (1UP)	83.8%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Samsunspor or draw (1UP)	37.6%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray or draw in 2nd half	81.1%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Galatasaray or Samsunspor in 2nd half	71.6%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Samsunspor or draw in 2nd half	47.3%	48.8%	—	—	2.05

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	52.1%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	47.9%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (DNB)	79.8%	74.8%	61.1%	1.22×	1.34
Samsunspor (DNB)	20.2%	25.2%	38.9%	0.65×	3.97

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to score first	64.8%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Samsunspor to score first	31.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.38

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.9%	56.7%	55.5%	1.02×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.1%	43.3%	44.5%	0.97×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.3%	47.5%	43.2%	1.10×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	21.7%	27.8%	33.7%	0.82×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	14.4%	12.4%	10.9%	1.14×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	12.5%	0.66×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.1%	79.6%	83.4%	0.96×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	22.9%	20.4%	16.6%	1.22×	4.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.8%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.2%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	29.0%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score in both halves	9.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.60

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.7%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
A half without a goal	31.3%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	41.2%	42.1%	28.4%	1.48×	2.37
2-3 goals	39.8%	35.2%	45.7%	0.77×	2.85
0-1 goals	11.7%	16.9%	23.6%	0.72×	5.92
7+ goals	7.3%	7.6%	2.7%	2.87×	13.13

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.9%	35.2%	1.02×	2.78
Samsunspor to score exactly 0	30.8%	33.8%	30.2%	1.12×	2.96
Samsunspor to score exactly 2	21.4%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.49
Samsunspor to score 3+	11.6%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to score 3+	43.5%	35.3%	22.2%	1.59×	2.83
Galatasaray to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.5%	23.9%	1.11×	3.77
Galatasaray to score exactly 1	21.5%	23.3%	32.0%	0.73×	4.29
Galatasaray to score exactly 0	8.9%	10.3%	22.2%	0.46×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray leading at HT	49.1%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	34.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Samsunspor leading at HT	16.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray -1: 1	42.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Galatasaray -1: 2	36.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Galatasaray -1: X	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (0:1)	42.9%	42.6%	21.5%	1.98×	2.35
Samsunspor (0:1)	36.1%	37.3%	54.6%	0.68×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.2%	24.0%	1.01×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:2)	57.1%	62.9%	78.5%	0.80×	1.59
Galatasaray (0:2)	24.0%	20.3%	10.0%	2.03×	4.92
Draw (0:2)	18.9%	15.3%	11.6%	1.32×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:3)	76.0%	80.4%	90.0%	0.89×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.6%	10.0%	6.6%	1.50×	10.05
Galatasaray (0:3)	11.4%	9.9%	3.5%	2.81×	10.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor (0:4)	88.6%	92.0%	96.5%	0.95×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.8%	4.6%	2.5%	1.84×	21.68
Galatasaray (0:4)	4.6%	1.2%	1.2%	1.04×	81.59

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (1:0)	83.8%	81.4%	71.1%	1.14×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	9.8%	6.9%	15.9%	0.43×	14.46
Samsunspor (1:0)	6.4%	6.9%	13.1%	0.53×	14.51

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (2:0)	93.6%	94.0%	86.9%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.5%	2.3%	7.8%	0.29×	43.55
Samsunspor (2:0)	1.9%	2.3%	5.4%	0.42×	43.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.4%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to concede	69.2%	66.7%	69.8%	0.96×	1.50
Galatasaray clean sheet	30.8%	33.3%	30.2%	1.10×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray clean sheet in 1st half	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Galatasaray to concede in 1st half	37.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to concede in 2nd half	50.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Galatasaray clean sheet in 2nd half	49.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray over 2.5 corners	87.9%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Galatasaray over 3.5 corners	76.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Galatasaray over 4.5 corners	63.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Galatasaray under 6.5 corners	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Galatasaray under 5.5 corners	50.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Galatasaray over 5.5 corners	49.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Galatasaray over 6.5 corners	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Galatasaray under 4.5 corners	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Galatasaray under 3.5 corners	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Galatasaray under 2.5 corners	12.1%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray over 0.5 goals	91.1%	92.2%	77.8%	1.19×	1.08
Galatasaray under 3.5 goals	77.5%	77.7%	92.6%	0.84×	1.29
Galatasaray over 1.5 goals	69.6%	68.0%	46.0%	1.48×	1.47
Galatasaray under 2.5 goals	56.5%	58.6%	77.8%	0.75×	1.71
Galatasaray over 2.5 goals	43.5%	41.4%	22.2%	1.86×	2.42
Galatasaray under 1.5 goals	30.4%	32.0%	54.1%	0.59×	3.12
Galatasaray over 3.5 goals	22.5%	22.3%	7.4%	3.02×	4.49
Galatasaray under 0.5 goals	8.9%	7.8%	22.2%	0.35×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray under 1.5 in 1st half	72.1%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Galatasaray over 0.5 in 1st half	64.7%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Galatasaray under 0.5 in 1st half	35.3%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Galatasaray over 1.5 in 1st half	27.9%	20.9%	—	—	4.78

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray scores more in 2nd half	44.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Galatasaray scores more in 1st half	28.3%	27.7%	—	—	3.60
Galatasaray scores equally in both	27.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.1%	56.4%	47.3%	1.19×	1.77
Samsunspor (home no bet)	44.9%	43.6%	52.7%	0.83×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray even goals	50.4%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Galatasaray odd goals	49.6%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	22.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-0	22.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 2-0	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 1-1	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 0-1	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Any other HT score	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
HT 2-1	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.13
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray at HT / Galatasaray at FT	42.5%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Galatasaray at FT	17.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.8%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Samsunspor at HT / Samsunspor at FT	8.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
Draw at HT / Samsunspor at FT	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Galatasaray at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Samsunspor at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Samsunspor at HT / Galatasaray at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Galatasaray at HT / Samsunspor at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to score last	65.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Samsunspor to score last	31.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.38

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Galatasaray to lead by 1 at any time	77.5%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	62.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Galatasaray to lead by 2 at any time	51.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Samsunspor to lead by 1 at any time	37.6%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Galatasaray to lead by 3 at any time	28.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Samsunspor to lead by 2 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Samsunspor to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.53

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray most corners	71.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Samsunspor most corners	19.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	9.2%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.9%	83.4%	85.4%	0.98×	1.20
2-6 goals	81.0%	83.4%	73.9%	1.13×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.7%	72.4%	69.8%	1.04×	1.38
1-4 goals	67.1%	68.8%	75.4%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.4%	63.3%	51.4%	1.23×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.0%	59.1%	59.8%	0.99×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.2%	53.2%	47.3%	1.12×	1.88
1-3 goals	48.0%	48.5%	61.3%	0.79×	2.06
4-6 goals	41.2%	43.6%	28.4%	1.53×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	37.3%	1.17×	2.30
2-3 goals	39.8%	39.2%	45.7%	0.86×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.9%	35.2%	24.3%	1.45×	2.84
1-2 goals	26.7%	30.2%	38.3%	0.79×	3.31
5-6 goals	22.0%	24.5%	14.3%	1.71×	4.08
7+ goals	7.3%	8.9%	2.7%	3.35×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray never behind	58.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Samsunspor never behind	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.39

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.3%	50.9%	50.8%	1.00×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.7%	49.1%	49.2%	1.00×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.4%	92.0%	1.04×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.3%	87.6%	76.4%	1.15×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	84.5%	82.3%	93.2%	0.88×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	70.7%	72.5%	83.2%	0.87×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	69.7%	66.3%	53.9%	1.23×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	51.6%	52.5%	69.1%	0.76×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	48.4%	47.5%	30.9%	1.54×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	30.3%	33.7%	46.1%	0.73×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	29.3%	27.5%	16.8%	1.64×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	15.5%	17.7%	6.8%	2.61×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	11.7%	12.4%	23.6%	0.53×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	92.1%	92.4%	97.2%	0.95×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.6%	86.7%	69.6%	1.25×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	82.0%	81.1%	92.5%	0.88×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	63.8%	61.9%	80.4%	0.77×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.5%	61.9%	40.2%	1.54×	1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.5%	38.1%	59.8%	0.64×	2.63
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	36.2%	38.1%	19.6%	1.95×	2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	18.0%	18.9%	7.5%	2.51×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	14.4%	13.3%	30.4%	0.44×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	7.9%	7.6%	2.8%	2.75×	13.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.6%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.8%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.4%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	65.3%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	38.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	34.7%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor not to score in both halves	80.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Galatasaray not to score in both halves	51.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Galatasaray to score in both halves	48.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.24
Samsunspor to score in both halves	19.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.9%	60.4%	55.5%	1.09×	1.66
Only Galatasaray scores	27.2%	26.0%	22.4%	1.16×	3.84
Only Samsunspor scores	5.3%	7.1%	14.4%	0.49×	14.06
Neither team scores	3.6%	4.6%	8.0%	0.58×	21.70

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.1%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	18.6%	17.5%	22.7%	0.77×	5.73
6 or more goals	15.5%	17.5%	6.8%	2.58×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	13.8%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.24
Exactly 1 goals	8.2%	7.6%	15.8%	0.48×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.5%	8.0%	0.56×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.0%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goals in 1st half	22.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	19.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	62.0%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	12.7%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Galatasaray not to win both halves	73.9%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Galatasaray to win both halves	26.1%	27.1%	—	—	3.70
Samsunspor to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to win either half	75.7%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Samsunspor to win neither half	67.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Samsunspor to win either half	32.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Galatasaray to win neither half	24.3%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Samsunspor not to win to nil	94.7%	92.1%	85.6%	1.08×	1.09
Galatasaray not to win to nil	72.8%	75.3%	77.6%	0.97×	1.33
Galatasaray to win to nil	27.2%	24.7%	22.4%	1.10×	4.06
Samsunspor to win to nil	5.3%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.70

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray by 3+	24.0%	24.1%	10.0%	2.41×	4.15
Galatasaray by 1	21.0%	24.1%	24.0%	1.00×	4.15
Draw	19.9%	17.1%	25.9%	0.66×	5.86
Galatasaray by 2	18.9%	17.1%	11.6%	1.47×	5.87
Samsunspor by 1	9.8%	7.2%	15.9%	0.45×	13.90
Samsunspor by 2	4.5%	2.7%	7.8%	0.35×	36.76
Samsunspor by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	5.4%	0.50×	36.84