Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 3 November 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Galatasaray

17:45 UTC

VfB Stuttgart

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 247h before kick-off

Galatasaray win

57.9%

model 58.3%

Draw

19.1%

model 19.3%

VfB Stuttgart win

23.0%

model 22.4%

581923

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.6%
1-1 8.3%
2-0 7.5%
1-0 7.5%
3-1 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.8%	Under 2.5	33.2%
BTTS yes	63.3%	BTTS no	36.7%
Galatasaray 1+	88.5%	Galatasaray 2+	63.7%
VfB Stuttgart 1+	72.1%	VfB Stuttgart 2+	36.4%

Expected goals 2.17 – 1.28. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Draw (home no bet)

Home no bet · usually 32%

51.3% fair odds 1.95

strong signal · 538 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Galatasaray carry the stronger rating, 1733 Elo against 1610.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
They have had 30 days' rest to VfB Stuttgart's 11.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Galatasaray have an estimated 57.9% win probability, against 23.0% for VfB Stuttgart and 19.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.17 for Galatasaray and 1.27 for VfB Stuttgart.

Why Galatasaray

Galatasaray carry the stronger rating, 1733 Elo against 1610. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five. They have had 30 days' rest to VfB Stuttgart's 11.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 15% in this competition.

Why VfB Stuttgart can win

Away from home VfB Stuttgart average 2.19 xG a match.

Key players

VfB Stuttgart's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Deniz Undav (0.62), Ermedin Demirovic (0.46), Chris Führich (0.32).

Availability

No lineup on record for Galatasaray, so availability is unknown. 1 of VfB Stuttgart's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of VfB Stuttgart's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Galatasaray: 49% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 7.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. VfB Stuttgart: 60% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.47 xG a match from set pieces. Galatasaray's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Galatasaray are the model's most likely outcome at 57.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

VfB Stuttgart are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply fewer than expected — 5.7 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DWDLWLLWLL last 10 scored 18 from 22.3 xG conceded 19 from 24.7 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	581922	2.17–1.28	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	581923	2.18–1.31	2-1 9%	68%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to win	57.6%	54.0%	51.0%	1.06×	1.85
VfB Stuttgart to win	23.1%	24.4%	33.7%	0.73×	4.09
Draw	19.4%	19.4%	15.6%	1.25×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray & both teams score	33.2%	29.6%	26.8%	1.11×	3.38
Galatasaray & not both score	24.4%	21.8%	24.5%	0.89×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.57
VfB Stuttgart & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	18.4%	0.72×	7.53
VfB Stuttgart & not both score	8.8%	8.3%	15.6%	0.54×	12.01
Draw & not both score	2.5%	4.8%	5.1%	0.95×	20.62

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray & over 1.5	50.4%	48.8%	42.9%	1.14×	2.05
Galatasaray & over 2.5	43.2%	40.3%	36.7%	1.10×	2.48
Galatasaray & under 3.5	29.2%	26.1%	26.8%	0.97×	3.84
Galatasaray & over 3.5	28.4%	26.1%	24.5%	1.06×	3.84
VfB Stuttgart & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	28.1%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.8%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.56
VfB Stuttgart & over 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Galatasaray & under 2.5	14.4%	12.8%	14.5%	0.88×	7.79
VfB Stuttgart & under 3.5	14.1%	12.8%	19.1%	0.67×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	10.8%	12.8%	10.5%	1.23×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	10.8%	12.8%	10.5%	1.23×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	5.4%	1.48×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	5.4%	1.48×	12.63
VfB Stuttgart & over 3.5	9.0%	7.9%	14.8%	0.54×	12.63
VfB Stuttgart & under 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Galatasaray & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.63
VfB Stuttgart & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.81
Draw & under 1.5	2.5%	4.8%	5.1%	0.94×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (1UP)	72.8%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
VfB Stuttgart (1UP)	44.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (2UP)	57.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
VfB Stuttgart (2UP)	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to win 2nd half	47.1%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	29.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
VfB Stuttgart to win 2nd half	23.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
VfB Stuttgart over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
VfB Stuttgart under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Galatasaray under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Galatasaray over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Galatasaray under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (+2.5)	82.0%	82.5%	81.6%	1.01×	1.21
Galatasaray (+0.5)	76.9%	78.5%	66.3%	1.18×	1.27
VfB Stuttgart (+1.5)	64.8%	63.0%	68.4%	0.92×	1.59
Galatasaray (-0.5)	57.6%	57.0%	51.0%	1.12×	1.75
VfB Stuttgart (+0.5)	42.4%	43.0%	49.0%	0.88×	2.33
Galatasaray (-1.5)	35.2%	37.0%	31.6%	1.17×	2.70
VfB Stuttgart (-0.5)	23.1%	21.5%	33.7%	0.64×	4.65
Galatasaray (-2.5)	18.0%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to concede	88.6%	86.3%	79.6%	1.08×	1.16
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet	11.4%	13.7%	20.4%	0.67×	7.31

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to concede in 1st half	60.7%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet in 1st half	39.3%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to concede in 2nd half	71.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet in 2nd half	29.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart under 6.5 corners	84.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
VfB Stuttgart under 5.5 corners	76.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 corners	68.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
VfB Stuttgart under 4.5 corners	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
VfB Stuttgart over 3.5 corners	51.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
VfB Stuttgart under 3.5 corners	48.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
VfB Stuttgart over 4.5 corners	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
VfB Stuttgart under 2.5 corners	31.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
VfB Stuttgart over 5.5 corners	24.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
VfB Stuttgart over 6.5 corners	15.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart under 3.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	92.3%	1.06×	1.03
VfB Stuttgart under 2.5 goals	85.4%	87.8%	79.1%	1.11×	1.14
VfB Stuttgart over 0.5 goals	73.1%	71.9%	70.7%	1.02×	1.39
VfB Stuttgart under 1.5 goals	62.3%	63.2%	59.9%	1.05×	1.58
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals	37.7%	36.8%	40.1%	0.92×	2.72
VfB Stuttgart under 0.5 goals	26.9%	28.1%	29.3%	0.96×	3.56
VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 goals	14.6%	12.2%	20.9%	0.58×	8.19
VfB Stuttgart over 3.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	7.7%	0.33×	39.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart under 1.5 in 1st half	90.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
VfB Stuttgart under 0.5 in 1st half	59.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
VfB Stuttgart over 0.5 in 1st half	40.8%	38.0%	—	—	2.64
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 in 1st half	9.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.48

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart scores equally in both	39.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
VfB Stuttgart scores more in 2nd half	38.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
VfB Stuttgart scores more in 1st half	22.3%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (away no bet)	74.8%	68.5%	76.6%	0.89×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	25.2%	31.5%	23.4%	1.35×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart even goals	53.6%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
VfB Stuttgart odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.2%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.9%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.1%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	69.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Galatasaray to score 2+ in a row	54.0%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	31.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
VfB Stuttgart to score 2+ in a row	25.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Galatasaray to score 3+ in a row	25.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
VfB Stuttgart to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	5.6%	—	—	18.01

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray corners (+3.5)	91.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Galatasaray corners (+2.5)	87.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Galatasaray corners (+1.5)	80.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
VfB Stuttgart corners (+3.5)	66.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
VfB Stuttgart corners (+2.5)	56.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Galatasaray corners (-1.5)	53.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
VfB Stuttgart corners (+1.5)	46.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Galatasaray corners (-2.5)	43.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Galatasaray corners (-3.5)	33.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
VfB Stuttgart corners (-1.5)	19.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
VfB Stuttgart corners (-2.5)	13.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
VfB Stuttgart corners (-3.5)	8.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
12+ corners	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	69.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	67.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	59.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	59.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	50.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	40.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	32.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.50
1-0	7.2%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
1-1	8.2%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
2-0	7.2%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
3-1	6.9%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
Any other score	8.0%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.51
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	3.8%	1.93×	13.51
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	5.1%	1.45×	13.51
0-0	2.5%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
0-1	4.5%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.29
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.32
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.31
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	5.4%	0.32×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.31
3-2	4.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.29
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.32
4-0	2.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
4-1	3.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
4-2	2.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.34×	58.31
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (2nd half DNB)	66.5%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
VfB Stuttgart (2nd half DNB)	33.5%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray leading at HT (DNB)	68.8%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
VfB Stuttgart leading at HT (DNB)	31.2%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray or VfB Stuttgart (12)	80.6%	80.6%	84.4%	0.95×	1.24
Galatasaray or draw (1X)	76.9%	75.6%	66.3%	1.14×	1.32
VfB Stuttgart or draw (X2)	42.4%	46.0%	49.0%	0.94×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray or draw at HT	80.0%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Galatasaray or VfB Stuttgart at HT	64.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
VfB Stuttgart or draw at HT	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray or draw (1UP)	76.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
VfB Stuttgart or draw (1UP)	44.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray or draw in 2nd half	76.3%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Galatasaray or VfB Stuttgart in 2nd half	70.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
VfB Stuttgart or draw in 2nd half	52.9%	54.2%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.2%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	44.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (DNB)	71.4%	71.5%	60.2%	1.19×	1.40
VfB Stuttgart (DNB)	28.6%	28.5%	39.8%	0.72×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to score first	60.8%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
VfB Stuttgart to score first	36.7%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	2.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.54

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.2%	56.7%	55.4%	1.02×	1.76
Not both teams to score	35.8%	43.3%	44.6%	0.97×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.0%	47.6%	50.0%	0.95×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	24.1%	27.8%	29.3%	0.95×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	11.6%	12.4%	15.6%	0.79×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	5.6%	1.48×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.9%	79.6%	80.9%	0.98×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	24.1%	20.4%	19.1%	1.07×	4.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	28.9%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	15.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Both score in both halves	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
A half without a goal	33.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	39.7%	35.2%	37.2%	0.94×	2.85
4-6 goals	39.6%	35.2%	37.5%	0.94×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.3%	16.9%	18.9%	0.90×	5.91
7+ goals	6.4%	7.6%	6.9%	1.10×	13.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	30.9%	1.16×	2.78
VfB Stuttgart to score exactly 0	26.9%	27.4%	29.3%	0.93×	3.65
VfB Stuttgart to score exactly 2	23.2%	22.3%	19.4%	1.15×	4.48
VfB Stuttgart to score 3+	14.6%	12.9%	20.9%	0.62×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to score 3+	37.0%	35.6%	31.4%	1.13×	2.81
Galatasaray to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	23.7%	1.12×	3.77
Galatasaray to score exactly 1	24.7%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Galatasaray to score exactly 0	11.4%	14.3%	20.4%	0.70×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray leading at HT	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT	35.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
VfB Stuttgart leading at HT	20.0%	15.9%	—	—	6.28

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray -1: 2	42.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Galatasaray -1: 1	35.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Galatasaray -1: X	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (0:1)	42.4%	42.6%	49.0%	0.87×	2.35
Galatasaray (0:1)	35.2%	37.3%	31.6%	1.18×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	22.4%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (0:2)	64.8%	67.2%	68.4%	0.98×	1.49
Galatasaray (0:2)	18.0%	15.3%	18.4%	0.83×	6.54
Draw (0:2)	17.1%	15.3%	13.5%	1.13×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (0:3)	82.0%	85.3%	81.6%	1.05×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.2%	9.9%	8.9%	1.11×	10.09
Galatasaray (0:3)	7.8%	5.8%	9.7%	0.60×	17.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (0:4)	92.2%	94.5%	90.3%	1.05×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.9%	1.2%	5.9%	0.21×	81.56
Galatasaray (0:4)	2.9%	1.2%	4.1%	0.30×	81.78

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (1:0)	76.9%	78.7%	66.3%	1.19×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.7%	12.7%	16.8%	0.75×	7.87
VfB Stuttgart (1:0)	9.3%	6.9%	17.1%	0.40×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray (2:0)	90.7%	94.0%	82.9%	1.13×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.2%	6.4%	7.9%	0.81×	15.70
VfB Stuttgart (2:0)	3.1%	2.3%	9.4%	0.24×	43.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	20.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to concede	73.1%	73.2%	70.7%	1.04×	1.37
Galatasaray clean sheet	26.9%	26.8%	29.3%	0.91×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray clean sheet in 1st half	59.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Galatasaray to concede in 1st half	40.8%	38.0%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to concede in 2nd half	54.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Galatasaray clean sheet in 2nd half	45.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray over 2.5 corners	86.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Galatasaray over 3.5 corners	75.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Galatasaray over 4.5 corners	62.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Galatasaray under 6.5 corners	61.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Galatasaray under 5.5 corners	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Galatasaray over 5.5 corners	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Galatasaray over 6.5 corners	38.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Galatasaray under 4.5 corners	37.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Galatasaray under 3.5 corners	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Galatasaray under 2.5 corners	13.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray over 0.5 goals	88.6%	87.3%	79.6%	1.10×	1.15
Galatasaray under 3.5 goals	82.5%	82.2%	83.9%	0.98×	1.22
Galatasaray over 1.5 goals	63.9%	63.6%	54.8%	1.16×	1.57
Galatasaray under 2.5 goals	63.0%	63.6%	68.6%	0.93×	1.57
Galatasaray over 2.5 goals	37.0%	36.4%	31.4%	1.16×	2.75
Galatasaray under 1.5 goals	36.1%	36.4%	45.2%	0.81×	2.75
Galatasaray over 3.5 goals	17.5%	17.8%	16.1%	1.11×	5.62
Galatasaray under 0.5 goals	11.4%	12.7%	20.4%	0.62×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray under 1.5 in 1st half	76.0%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Galatasaray over 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Galatasaray under 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Galatasaray over 1.5 in 1st half	24.0%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray scores more in 2nd half	43.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Galatasaray scores equally in both	28.9%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
Galatasaray scores more in 1st half	27.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart (home no bet)	54.4%	51.4%	68.4%	0.75×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	45.6%	48.6%	31.6%	1.54×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray even goals	50.6%	50.7%	53.3%	0.95×	1.97
Galatasaray odd goals	49.4%	49.3%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.1%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	21.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	11.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Any other HT score	8.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-1	5.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.21

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray at HT / Galatasaray at FT	36.8%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
Draw at HT / Galatasaray at FT	17.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
VfB Stuttgart at HT / VfB Stuttgart at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Draw at HT / VfB Stuttgart at FT	8.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Galatasaray at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
VfB Stuttgart at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
VfB Stuttgart at HT / Galatasaray at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.66
Galatasaray at HT / VfB Stuttgart at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.71

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to score last	60.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
VfB Stuttgart to score last	36.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	2.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.54

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Galatasaray to lead by 1 at any time	72.8%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	59.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
VfB Stuttgart to lead by 1 at any time	44.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Galatasaray to lead by 2 at any time	43.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Galatasaray to lead by 3 at any time	21.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
VfB Stuttgart to lead by 2 at any time	15.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
VfB Stuttgart to lead by 3 at any time	4.8%	1.7%	—	—	60.10

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray most corners	63.4%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
VfB Stuttgart most corners	27.3%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.4%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.4%	83.4%	81.4%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.7%	74.5%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.7%	72.4%	67.6%	1.07×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.3%	72.4%	67.3%	1.07×	1.38
3-6 goals	61.3%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.6%	59.1%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.6%	53.2%	51.8%	1.03×	1.88
1-3 goals	51.4%	53.2%	51.0%	1.04×	1.88
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	37.8%	1.15×	2.30
4-6 goals	39.6%	39.2%	37.5%	1.05×	2.55
2-3 goals	39.7%	39.2%	37.2%	1.05×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.0%	35.2%	30.6%	1.15×	2.84
1-2 goals	29.8%	30.2%	29.8%	1.01×	3.31
5-6 goals	20.8%	24.5%	21.2%	1.16×	4.09
7+ goals	6.4%	8.9%	6.9%	1.29×	11.27

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray never behind	53.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
VfB Stuttgart never behind	24.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.0%	50.9%	45.4%	1.12×	1.96
Odd number of goals	51.0%	49.1%	54.6%	0.90×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.5%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.0%	87.6%	86.2%	1.02×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.7%	87.6%	81.1%	1.08×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.8%	72.5%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	67.7%	66.3%	65.3%	1.02×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	54.0%	52.5%	55.9%	0.94×	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	46.0%	47.5%	44.1%	1.08×	2.11
Under 2.5 goals	32.3%	33.7%	34.7%	0.97×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	27.2%	27.5%	27.8%	0.99×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	14.3%	12.4%	18.9%	0.66×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	14.0%	12.4%	13.8%	0.90×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	2.5%	4.6%	5.1%	0.90×	21.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.1%	92.4%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	83.8%	81.1%	84.0%	0.97×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.6%	81.1%	77.6%	1.05×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	66.5%	67.4%	66.8%	1.01×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.7%	55.8%	56.0%	1.00×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.3%	44.2%	44.0%	1.00×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	33.5%	32.6%	33.2%	0.98×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.4%	18.9%	22.4%	0.84×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.2%	18.9%	16.0%	1.18×	5.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.9%	7.6%	7.4%	1.03×	13.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.9%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	57.2%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	42.8%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.0%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.0%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	33.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.0%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart not to score in both halves	77.8%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Galatasaray not to score in both halves	56.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Galatasaray to score in both halves	43.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
VfB Stuttgart to score in both halves	22.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.2%	60.4%	55.4%	1.09×	1.66
Only Galatasaray scores	24.4%	22.3%	24.5%	0.91×	4.49
Only VfB Stuttgart scores	8.8%	7.1%	15.6%	0.46×	14.03
Neither team scores	2.5%	4.6%	5.1%	0.90×	21.75

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	21.4%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.9%	17.5%	16.6%	1.05×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	18.1%	17.5%	16.1%	1.09×	5.73
6 or more goals	14.0%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	13.1%	12.1%	14.3%	0.85×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	11.7%	12.1%	14.0%	0.86×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	2.5%	4.5%	5.1%	0.88×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	24.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	23.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	18.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	27.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	13.0%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart not to win both halves	95.3%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Galatasaray not to win both halves	79.4%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Galatasaray to win both halves	20.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
VfB Stuttgart to win both halves	4.7%	2.9%	—	—	34.90

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray to win either half	70.5%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
VfB Stuttgart to win neither half	60.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
VfB Stuttgart to win either half	39.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Galatasaray to win neither half	29.5%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VfB Stuttgart not to win to nil	91.2%	92.1%	84.4%	1.09×	1.09
Galatasaray not to win to nil	75.6%	78.1%	75.5%	1.03×	1.28
Galatasaray to win to nil	24.4%	21.9%	24.5%	0.89×	4.57
VfB Stuttgart to win to nil	8.8%	7.9%	15.6%	0.51×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Galatasaray by 1	22.4%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Draw	19.4%	17.1%	15.6%	1.10×	5.87
Galatasaray by 3+	18.0%	17.0%	18.4%	0.93×	5.87
Galatasaray by 2	17.1%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.87
VfB Stuttgart by 1	13.7%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.51
VfB Stuttgart by 2	6.2%	7.2%	7.9%	0.91×	13.91
VfB Stuttgart by 3+	3.1%	2.7%	9.4%	0.29×	36.81