Galway United v Bohemians — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 11 September 2026 · IRL-Premier Division · 2627
IRL-Premier Division
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6,392 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.6%
- 1-2 9.4%
- 0-0 7.7%
- 0-2 7.5%
- 2-1 7.1%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 55.7% | Under 2.5 | 44.3% |
| BTTS yes | 60.1% | BTTS no | 39.9% |
| Galway United 1+ | 71.4% | Galway United 2+ | 35.6% |
| Bohemians 1+ | 81.0% | Bohemians 2+ | 49.4% |
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Bohemians have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Galway United have allowed 1.35.
- Away from home Bohemians average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 40/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Galway United have only 0 matches on record.
- Bohemians have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Bohemians have an estimated 43.4% win probability, against 28.3% for the draw and 28.3% for Galway United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Galway United and 1.66 for Bohemians.
Why Galway United
Galway United have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Bohemians have allowed 1.35. At home Galway United average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 28.3%.
Why Bohemians can win
Bohemians have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Galway United have allowed 1.35. Away from home Bohemians average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Galway United, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Bohemians, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Galway United: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Bohemians: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Bohemians are the model's most likely outcome at 43.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 19/100, data quality 40/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.25–1.66 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.24–1.59 | 1-1 14% | 54% | 59% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians to win | 43.2% | 43.0% | 28.2% | 1.52× | 2.33 |
| Draw | 29.3% | 27.7% | 31.3% | 0.89× | 3.61 |
| Galway United to win | 27.5% | 27.7% | 40.8% | 0.68× | 3.61 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians & both teams score | 22.5% | 21.8% | 16.3% | 1.34× | 4.60 |
| Draw & both teams score | 21.1% | 21.7% | 22.1% | 0.98× | 4.60 |
| Bohemians & not both score | 20.7% | 21.7% | 12.3% | 1.77× | 4.60 |
| Galway United & both teams score | 15.3% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 0.98× | 5.55 |
| Galway United & not both score | 12.1% | 13.2% | 22.7% | 0.58× | 7.55 |
| Draw & not both score | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 0.88× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians & over 1.5 | 36.2% | 34.6% | 20.9% | 1.66× | 2.89 |
| Bohemians & over 2.5 | 28.7% | 25.9% | 17.5% | 1.48× | 3.86 |
| Bohemians & under 3.5 | 27.7% | 25.9% | 20.6% | 1.26× | 3.86 |
| Galway United & over 1.5 | 22.5% | 21.6% | 30.4% | 0.71× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 22.1% | 21.6% | 23.3% | 0.93× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 22.1% | 21.6% | 23.3% | 0.93× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 21.1% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 0.98× | 4.63 |
| Galway United & under 3.5 | 18.6% | 18.0% | 31.0% | 0.58× | 5.57 |
| Galway United & over 2.5 | 18.0% | 18.0% | 23.0% | 0.78× | 5.57 |
| Bohemians & over 3.5 | 15.5% | 18.0% | 8.0% | 2.25× | 5.57 |
| Bohemians & under 2.5 | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 1.16× | 7.77 |
| Galway United & under 2.5 | 9.5% | 8.0% | 18.1% | 0.44× | 12.56 |
| Galway United & over 3.5 | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 0.79× | 12.56 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 0.84× | 12.56 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 0.96× | 12.56 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 0.96× | 12.56 |
| Bohemians & under 1.5 | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 1.04× | 12.56 |
| Galway United & under 1.5 | 5.0% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 0.45× | 20.52 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (1UP) | 60.4% | 63.0% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Galway United (1UP) | 46.8% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.31 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (2UP) | 43.2% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Galway United (2UP) | 27.5% | 24.8% | — | — | 4.03 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians to win 2nd half | 39.1% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| 2nd half drawn | 35.7% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
| Galway United to win 2nd half | 25.2% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians under 1.5 in 2nd half | 75.2% | 79.4% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Bohemians over 0.5 in 2nd half | 61.5% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.70 |
| Bohemians under 0.5 in 2nd half | 38.5% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
| Bohemians over 1.5 in 2nd half | 24.8% | 20.6% | — | — | 4.85 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United under 1.5 in 2nd half | 84.1% | 82.6% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Galway United over 0.5 in 2nd half | 50.7% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Galway United under 0.5 in 2nd half | 49.3% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Galway United over 1.5 in 2nd half | 15.9% | 17.4% | — | — | 5.74 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (+2.5) | 95.9% | 96.3% | 92.6% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Bohemians (+1.5) | 87.5% | 88.3% | 82.2% | 1.07× | 1.13 |
| Bohemians (+0.5) | 72.5% | 73.7% | 59.2% | 1.24× | 1.36 |
| Galway United (+0.5) | 56.8% | 56.9% | 71.8% | 0.79× | 1.76 |
| Bohemians (-0.5) | 43.2% | 43.1% | 28.2% | 1.53× | 2.32 |
| Galway United (-0.5) | 27.5% | 26.3% | 40.8% | 0.65× | 3.80 |
| Galway United (-1.5) | 12.5% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 0.66× | 8.58 |
| Galway United (-2.5) | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 0.51× | 26.73 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians to concede | 71.1% | 77.1% | 78.5% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Bohemians clean sheet | 28.9% | 22.9% | 21.5% | 1.07× | 4.36 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians clean sheet in 1st half | 58.6% | 58.5% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Bohemians to concede in 1st half | 41.4% | 41.5% | — | — | 2.41 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians to concede in 2nd half | 50.7% | 52.7% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Bohemians clean sheet in 2nd half | 49.3% | 47.3% | — | — | 2.12 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians under 3.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.2% | 96.9% | 0.95× | 1.09 |
| Bohemians over 0.5 goals | 79.7% | 76.1% | 68.1% | 1.12× | 1.31 |
| Bohemians under 2.5 goals | 78.5% | 76.1% | 89.6% | 0.85× | 1.31 |
| Bohemians under 1.5 goals | 52.7% | 53.6% | 67.2% | 0.80× | 1.86 |
| Bohemians over 1.5 goals | 47.3% | 46.4% | 32.8% | 1.41× | 2.16 |
| Bohemians over 2.5 goals | 21.5% | 23.9% | 10.4% | 2.29× | 4.19 |
| Bohemians under 0.5 goals | 20.3% | 23.9% | 31.9% | 0.75× | 4.19 |
| Bohemians over 3.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 2.55× | 12.79 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.6% | 88.9% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Bohemians under 0.5 in 1st half | 52.9% | 55.7% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Bohemians over 0.5 in 1st half | 47.1% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
| Bohemians over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.4% | 11.1% | — | — | 9.03 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians scores more in 2nd half | 41.7% | 43.8% | — | — | 2.28 |
| Bohemians scores equally in both | 34.7% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Bohemians scores more in 1st half | 23.6% | 22.4% | — | — | 4.46 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 51.6% | 51.2% | 43.4% | 1.18× | 1.95 |
| Galway United (away no bet) | 48.4% | 48.8% | 56.6% | 0.86× | 2.05 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians even goals | 52.1% | 52.8% | 57.1% | 0.93× | 1.89 |
| Bohemians odd goals | 47.9% | 47.2% | 42.9% | 1.10× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 83.8% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 16.2% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.90 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 67.2% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 32.8% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.17 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 57.8% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Bohemians to score 2+ in a row | 38.5% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Galway United to score 2+ in a row | 26.2% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 20.9% | 19.4% | — | — | 5.14 |
| Bohemians to score 3+ in a row | 14.0% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.20 |
| Galway United to score 3+ in a row | 7.3% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.75 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.9% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 0.81× | 8.80 |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 0.80× | 13.53 |
| 0-0 | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 0.78× | 13.54 |
| 0-1 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 0.96× | 13.54 |
| 0-2 | 7.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.01× | 13.54 |
| 2-1 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 0.73× | 13.54 |
| 2-2 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 1.00× | 13.54 |
| 0-3 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.89× | 57.56 |
| 0-4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.89× | 57.57 |
| 1-0 | 5.0% | 1.7% | 10.7% | 0.16× | 57.55 |
| 1-3 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.81× | 57.55 |
| 1-4 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.89× | 57.57 |
| 2-0 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 7.7% | 0.23× | 57.56 |
| 2-3 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.51× | 57.56 |
| 2-4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.42× | 57.57 |
| 3-0 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.51× | 57.57 |
| 3-1 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.71× | 57.56 |
| 3-2 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.71× | 57.57 |
| 3-3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.42× | 57.57 |
| 3-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.89× | 57.58 |
| 4-0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.13× | 57.58 |
| 4-1 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.71× | 57.58 |
| 4-2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.89× | 57.58 |
| 4-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.89× | 57.58 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.66× | 57.58 |
| Any other score | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.42× | 57.56 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (2nd half DNB) | 60.8% | 61.0% | — | — | 1.64 |
| Galway United (2nd half DNB) | 39.2% | 39.0% | — | — | 2.57 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians leading at HT (DNB) | 55.8% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Galway United leading at HT (DNB) | 44.2% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians or draw (X2) | 72.5% | 72.3% | 59.2% | 1.22× | 1.38 |
| Galway United or Bohemians (12) | 70.7% | 72.3% | 68.7% | 1.05× | 1.38 |
| Galway United or draw (1X) | 56.8% | 57.0% | 71.8% | 0.79× | 1.75 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians or draw at HT | 74.9% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Galway United or draw at HT | 68.3% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Galway United or Bohemians at HT | 56.7% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians or draw (1UP) | 72.5% | 80.2% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Galway United or draw (1UP) | 56.8% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians or draw in 2nd half | 74.8% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Galway United or Bohemians in 2nd half | 64.3% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Galway United or draw in 2nd half | 60.9% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 61.0% | 61.6% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Neither half drawn | 39.0% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (DNB) | 61.1% | 63.0% | 40.9% | 1.54× | 1.59 |
| Galway United (DNB) | 38.9% | 37.0% | 59.1% | 0.63× | 2.70 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians to score first | 51.6% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Galway United to score first | 40.2% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 8.2% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.28 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 59.0% | 54.8% | 56.1% | 0.98× | 1.83 |
| Not both teams to score | 41.0% | 45.2% | 43.9% | 1.03× | 2.21 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 45.0% | 44.1% | 42.3% | 1.04× | 2.27 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 32.2% | 34.4% | 38.0% | 0.90× | 2.91 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 0.87× | 8.15 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 1.37× | 11.93 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 83.3% | 82.5% | 83.1% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 16.7% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 1.04× | 5.71 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 68.0% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 32.0% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 54.2% | 56.0% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 25.9% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.8% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.30 |
| Both score in both halves | 6.1% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.84 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 80.1% | 82.4% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 19.9% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.67 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 57.1% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 42.9% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 48.2% | 46.9% | 47.2% | 0.99× | 2.13 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.0% | 27.0% | 23.9% | 1.13× | 3.71 |
| 0-1 goals | 20.2% | 23.0% | 27.3% | 0.84× | 4.34 |
| 7+ goals | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.86× | 53.87 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians to score exactly 1 | 32.4% | 33.6% | 35.6% | 0.95× | 2.97 |
| Bohemians to score exactly 2 | 25.8% | 27.6% | 22.7% | 1.22× | 3.63 |
| Bohemians to score 3+ | 21.5% | 22.5% | 10.4% | 2.16× | 4.44 |
| Bohemians to score exactly 0 | 20.3% | 22.5% | 31.9% | 0.71× | 4.45 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United to score exactly 1 | 35.9% | 35.5% | 35.9% | 0.99× | 2.81 |
| Galway United to score exactly 0 | 28.9% | 26.1% | 21.5% | 1.22× | 3.82 |
| Galway United to score exactly 2 | 22.3% | 23.3% | 28.5% | 0.82× | 4.28 |
| Galway United to score 3+ | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 0.97× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 43.3% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Bohemians leading at HT | 31.7% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Galway United leading at HT | 25.1% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians -1: 1 | 56.8% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Bohemians -1: 2 | 23.3% | 23.7% | — | — | 4.23 |
| Bohemians -1: X | 19.9% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (0:1) | 72.5% | 71.0% | 59.2% | 1.20× | 1.41 |
| Draw (0:1) | 15.0% | 14.0% | 23.3% | 0.60× | 7.16 |
| Galway United (0:1) | 12.5% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 0.78× | 7.17 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (0:2) | 87.5% | 86.9% | 82.2% | 1.06× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 0.72× | 12.98 |
| Galway United (0:2) | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 0.51× | 26.38 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (0:3) | 95.9% | 96.6% | 92.6% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 0.43× | 42.28 |
| Galway United (0:3) | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.10× | 42.35 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (0:4) | 98.9% | 98.1% | 97.9% | 1.00× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.80× | 81.87 |
| Galway United (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.33× | 81.93 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United (1:0) | 56.8% | 58.5% | 71.8% | 0.81× | 1.71 |
| Bohemians (1:0) | 23.3% | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.63× | 4.60 |
| Draw (1:0) | 19.9% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 0.84× | 5.86 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United (2:0) | 76.7% | 79.9% | 91.7% | 0.87× | 1.25 |
| Draw (2:0) | 13.8% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 1.62× | 9.59 |
| Bohemians (2:0) | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 3.06× | 15.21 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.9% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Halves equal | 27.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.3% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United to concede | 79.7% | 76.3% | 68.1% | 1.12× | 1.31 |
| Galway United clean sheet | 20.3% | 23.7% | 31.9% | 0.74× | 4.21 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United clean sheet in 1st half | 52.9% | 55.7% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Galway United to concede in 1st half | 47.1% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United to concede in 2nd half | 61.5% | 58.8% | — | — | 1.70 |
| Galway United clean sheet in 2nd half | 38.5% | 41.2% | — | — | 2.43 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United under 3.5 goals | 96.2% | 96.3% | 94.2% | 1.02× | 1.04 |
| Galway United under 2.5 goals | 87.0% | 87.2% | 85.3% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| Galway United over 0.5 goals | 71.1% | 74.3% | 78.5% | 0.95× | 1.35 |
| Galway United under 1.5 goals | 64.8% | 63.3% | 57.1% | 1.11× | 1.58 |
| Galway United over 1.5 goals | 35.2% | 36.7% | 42.9% | 0.85× | 2.73 |
| Galway United under 0.5 goals | 28.9% | 25.7% | 21.5% | 1.20× | 3.89 |
| Galway United over 2.5 goals | 13.0% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 0.87× | 7.80 |
| Galway United over 3.5 goals | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 0.64× | 26.94 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.9% | 89.9% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Galway United under 0.5 in 1st half | 58.6% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Galway United over 0.5 in 1st half | 41.4% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Galway United over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.1% | 10.1% | — | — | 9.91 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United scores equally in both | 40.9% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Galway United scores more in 2nd half | 35.0% | 37.6% | — | — | 2.66 |
| Galway United scores more in 1st half | 24.1% | 21.6% | — | — | 4.63 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians (home no bet) | 59.6% | 56.2% | 47.4% | 1.18× | 1.78 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 40.4% | 43.8% | 52.6% | 0.83× | 2.28 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United even goals | 54.2% | 50.4% | 54.3% | 0.93× | 1.98 |
| Galway United odd goals | 45.8% | 49.6% | 45.7% | 1.08× | 2.02 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 31.4% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| HT 0-1 | 19.4% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| HT 1-0 | 16.2% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.37 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.9% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.17 |
| HT 0-2 | 6.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.04 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.38 |
| Any other HT score | 4.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.38 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.46 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.50 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.64 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians at HT / Bohemians at FT | 24.5% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 18.0% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Galway United at HT / Galway United at FT | 15.9% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Bohemians at FT | 15.6% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.98 |
| Draw at HT / Galway United at FT | 9.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.60 |
| Galway United at HT / Draw at FT | 6.0% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.71 |
| Bohemians at HT / Draw at FT | 5.3% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Galway United at HT / Bohemians at FT | 3.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| Bohemians at HT / Galway United at FT | 1.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.85 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians to score last | 51.7% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Galway United to score last | 40.1% | 39.9% | — | — | 2.51 |
| No goal scored | 8.2% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.28 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 91.8% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Bohemians to lead by 1 at any time | 60.4% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 48.1% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Galway United to lead by 1 at any time | 46.8% | 43.9% | — | — | 2.28 |
| Bohemians to lead by 2 at any time | 30.1% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Galway United to lead by 2 at any time | 18.3% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.72 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 17.5% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.72 |
| Bohemians to lead by 3 at any time | 11.9% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.57 |
| Galway United to lead by 3 at any time | 5.6% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.19 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.0% | 83.3% | 86.2% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 77.2% | 78.5% | 70.9% | 1.11× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 76.0% | 78.5% | 77.9% | 1.01× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 73.0% | 72.3% | 68.4% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 64.0% | 63.1% | 60.1% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 60.2% | 63.1% | 65.0% | 0.97× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 51.3% | 53.4% | 46.3% | 1.15× | 1.87 |
| 2-3 goals | 48.2% | 48.5% | 47.2% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 47.1% | 48.5% | 43.9% | 1.10× | 2.06 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.1% | 39.3% | 35.6% | 1.10× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 37.9% | 39.3% | 42.6% | 0.92× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.0% | 30.6% | 23.9% | 1.28× | 3.26 |
| 4-5 goals | 24.8% | 24.8% | 21.5% | 1.16× | 4.03 |
| 5-6 goals | 13.2% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 1.36× | 6.64 |
| 7+ goals | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.20× | 38.90 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians never behind | 45.0% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Galway United never behind | 31.4% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.82 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 45.2% | 50.9% | 50.3% | 1.01× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 54.8% | 49.1% | 49.7% | 0.99× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.6% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.4% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.4% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.6% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.2% | 92.2% | 95.4% | 0.97× | 1.09 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 91.8% | 92.2% | 90.5% | 1.02× | 1.09 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84.2% | 82.1% | 87.1% | 0.94× | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.8% | 77.2% | 72.7% | 1.06× | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68.4% | 66.0% | 74.2% | 0.89× | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.9% | 53.0% | 48.2% | 1.10× | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.1% | 47.0% | 51.8% | 0.91× | 2.13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.6% | 34.0% | 25.8% | 1.32× | 2.94 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20.2% | 22.8% | 27.3% | 0.83× | 4.39 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15.8% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 1.39× | 5.60 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 0.82× | 12.81 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.70× | 12.82 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.3% | 97.1% | 97.8% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 92.5% | 92.4% | 95.0% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 81.3% | 80.5% | 85.2% | 0.94× | 1.24 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 72.7% | 72.3% | 63.8% | 1.13× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 59.4% | 55.2% | 66.8% | 0.83× | 1.81 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 40.6% | 44.8% | 33.2% | 1.35× | 2.23 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 27.3% | 27.7% | 36.2% | 0.77× | 3.60 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 18.7% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 1.32× | 5.12 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.52× | 13.13 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.30× | 35.08 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 88.6% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 68.6% | 69.1% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 66.9% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 33.1% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 31.4% | 30.9% | — | — | 3.24 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 11.4% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.12 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 80.3% | 82.7% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 76.7% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 50.3% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 49.7% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 23.3% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 19.7% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United not to score in both halves | 79.0% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Bohemians not to score in both halves | 71.0% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Bohemians to score in both halves | 29.0% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
| Galway United to score in both halves | 21.0% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 59.0% | 58.7% | 56.1% | 1.05× | 1.71 |
| Only Bohemians scores | 20.7% | 22.0% | 12.3% | 1.79× | 4.54 |
| Only Galway United scores | 12.1% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 0.49× | 9.02 |
| Neither team scores | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 0.75× | 14.01 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.9% | 24.7% | 24.8% | 0.99× | 4.05 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.4% | 22.7% | 0.99× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.8% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 1.33× | 5.70 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 12.0% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 0.67× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 0.91× | 12.83 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 0.82× | 12.83 |
| 6 or more goals | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.69× | 12.83 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 35.5% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| No goals in 1st half | 31.4% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 21.7% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 11.4% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.21 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 50.3% | 51.3% | — | — | 1.95 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 29.9% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.35 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 19.7% | 17.3% | — | — | 5.78 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United not to win both halves | 93.4% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Bohemians not to win both halves | 87.2% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Bohemians to win both halves | 12.8% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.27 |
| Galway United to win both halves | 6.6% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.65 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians to win either half | 58.0% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Galway United to win neither half | 56.4% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Galway United to win either half | 43.6% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.47 |
| Bohemians to win neither half | 42.0% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United not to win to nil | 87.9% | 87.9% | 77.3% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| Bohemians not to win to nil | 79.3% | 78.4% | 87.7% | 0.89× | 1.28 |
| Bohemians to win to nil | 20.7% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 1.76× | 4.62 |
| Galway United to win to nil | 12.1% | 12.1% | 22.7% | 0.53× | 8.29 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 29.3% | 27.7% | 31.3% | 0.89× | 3.61 |
| Bohemians by 1 | 19.9% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 0.83× | 5.92 |
| Galway United by 1 | 15.0% | 11.7% | 23.3% | 0.50× | 8.52 |
| Bohemians by 2 | 13.8% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 1.82× | 8.52 |
| Bohemians by 3+ | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 3.39× | 13.73 |
| Galway United by 2 | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 0.68× | 13.73 |
| Galway United by 3+ | 4.1% | 2.8% | 7.4% | 0.38× | 35.50 |