Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Gamba Osaka

06:00 UTC

Cerezo Osaka

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 355h before kick-off

Gamba Osaka win

41.7%

model 41.2%

Draw

22.0%

model 22.9%

Cerezo Osaka win

36.3%

model 35.9%

422236

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 8.0%
1-0 7.0%
2-2 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.1%	Under 2.5	37.9%
BTTS yes	63.4%	BTTS no	36.6%
Gamba Osaka 1+	81.1%	Gamba Osaka 2+	49.6%
Cerezo Osaka 1+	78.5%	Cerezo Osaka 2+	45.5%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.54. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Over 3 (void on exactly 3)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 31%

53.7% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 700 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.1% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Gamba Osaka.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Gamba Osaka have an estimated 41.7% win probability, against 36.3% for Cerezo Osaka and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for Gamba Osaka and 1.54 for Cerezo Osaka.

Why Gamba Osaka

Nothing in the data singles out Gamba Osaka.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.67 to 1.54. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Cerezo Osaka can win

Cerezo Osaka carry the stronger rating, 1569 Elo against 1509.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gamba Osaka, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cerezo Osaka, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gamba Osaka: 54% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cerezo Osaka: 56% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Gamba Osaka are the model's most likely outcome at 41.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412336	1.67–1.54	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	422236	1.74–1.59	1-1 10%	65%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to win	42.0%	42.9%	43.0%	1.00×	2.33
Cerezo Osaka to win	35.6%	36.3%	31.1%	1.17×	2.75
Draw	22.4%	24.4%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka & both teams score	24.9%	21.8%	18.1%	1.20×	4.58
Cerezo Osaka & both teams score	21.4%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Gamba Osaka & not both score	17.1%	18.0%	25.0%	0.72×	5.57
Cerezo Osaka & not both score	14.2%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.53
Draw & not both score	3.4%	4.9%	7.0%	0.69×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka & over 1.5	35.5%	34.9%	30.3%	1.15×	2.87
Gamba Osaka & over 2.5	30.1%	30.8%	23.1%	1.33×	3.25
Cerezo Osaka & over 1.5	29.6%	26.1%	21.3%	1.23×	3.84
Cerezo Osaka & over 2.5	25.1%	26.1%	17.8%	1.46×	3.84
Gamba Osaka & under 3.5	23.7%	21.6%	33.1%	0.65×	4.63
Cerezo Osaka & under 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Gamba Osaka & over 3.5	18.3%	18.0%	10.0%	1.80×	5.56
Cerezo Osaka & over 3.5	14.9%	12.8%	7.8%	1.64×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	13.1%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	13.1%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Gamba Osaka & under 2.5	11.9%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
Cerezo Osaka & under 2.5	10.4%	12.8%	13.4%	0.96×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Gamba Osaka & under 1.5	6.5%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.63
Cerezo Osaka & under 1.5	5.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	3.4%	4.8%	7.0%	0.68×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (1UP)	60.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Cerezo Osaka (1UP)	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (2UP)	42.0%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Cerezo Osaka (2UP)	35.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to win 2nd half	35.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Cerezo Osaka to win 2nd half	33.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
2nd half drawn	31.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.4%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Cerezo Osaka under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.6%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.71

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (+2.5)	90.6%	92.1%	93.8%	0.98×	1.09
Cerezo Osaka (+1.5)	78.1%	78.5%	81.9%	0.96×	1.27
Gamba Osaka (+0.5)	64.4%	63.0%	68.9%	0.91×	1.59
Cerezo Osaka (+0.5)	58.0%	57.0%	57.0%	1.00×	1.75
Gamba Osaka (-0.5)	42.0%	43.0%	43.0%	1.00×	2.33
Cerezo Osaka (-0.5)	35.6%	37.0%	31.1%	1.19×	2.70
Gamba Osaka (-1.5)	21.9%	21.5%	18.1%	1.19×	4.65
Gamba Osaka (-2.5)	9.4%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to concede	82.4%	81.5%	75.3%	1.08×	1.23
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet	17.6%	18.5%	24.7%	0.75×	5.41

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to concede in 1st half	52.7%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet in 1st half	47.3%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to concede in 2nd half	62.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet in 2nd half	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka over 2.5 corners	83.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Cerezo Osaka under 6.5 corners	74.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cerezo Osaka over 3.5 corners	68.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Cerezo Osaka under 5.5 corners	61.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cerezo Osaka over 4.5 corners	53.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Cerezo Osaka under 4.5 corners	46.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cerezo Osaka over 5.5 corners	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cerezo Osaka under 3.5 corners	31.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Cerezo Osaka over 6.5 corners	25.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cerezo Osaka under 2.5 corners	16.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka under 3.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 goals	79.5%	76.3%	68.1%	1.12×	1.31
Cerezo Osaka under 2.5 goals	78.7%	76.3%	87.8%	0.87×	1.31
Cerezo Osaka under 1.5 goals	53.0%	53.5%	68.3%	0.78×	1.87
Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 goals	47.1%	46.5%	31.7%	1.47×	2.15
Cerezo Osaka over 2.5 goals	21.3%	23.7%	12.2%	1.95×	4.21
Cerezo Osaka under 0.5 goals	20.5%	23.7%	31.9%	0.74×	4.22
Cerezo Osaka over 3.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	4.1%	1.89×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half	86.7%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Cerezo Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Cerezo Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half	13.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka scores more in 2nd half	41.6%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Cerezo Osaka scores equally in both	34.8%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
Cerezo Osaka scores more in 1st half	23.5%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (away no bet)	65.2%	66.3%	62.2%	1.07×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.8%	33.7%	37.8%	0.89×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka even goals	52.1%	52.6%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
Cerezo Osaka odd goals	47.9%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.7%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.3%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gamba Osaka to score 2+ in a row	40.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Cerezo Osaka to score 2+ in a row	35.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Gamba Osaka to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Cerezo Osaka to score 3+ in a row	11.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka corners (+3.5)	87.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gamba Osaka corners (+2.5)	80.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cerezo Osaka corners (+3.5)	76.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Gamba Osaka corners (+1.5)	72.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cerezo Osaka corners (+2.5)	67.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Cerezo Osaka corners (+1.5)	57.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Gamba Osaka corners (-1.5)	42.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Gamba Osaka corners (-2.5)	32.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Cerezo Osaka corners (-1.5)	27.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Gamba Osaka corners (-3.5)	23.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cerezo Osaka corners (-2.5)	19.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Cerezo Osaka corners (-3.5)	12.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	40.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
0-8 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	79.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	70.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	69.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 9.5 corners	60.4%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	60.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	50.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	50.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	40.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	39.6%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	31.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	29.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	20.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.7%	7.4%	13.4%	0.55×	13.50
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
1-0	6.5%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.51
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.51
2-2	6.8%	7.4%	5.2%	1.44×	13.51
0-1	5.9%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
2-0	5.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
3-1	5.0%	7.4%	3.0%	2.49×	13.51
Any other score	5.4%	7.4%	3.3%	2.26×	13.51
0-0	3.4%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.30
0-2	4.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.29
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
1-3	4.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.30
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
2-3	3.6%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
3-0	3.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.31
4-0	1.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.31
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.31
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (2nd half DNB)	51.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Cerezo Osaka (2nd half DNB)	48.5%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka leading at HT (DNB)	55.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Cerezo Osaka leading at HT (DNB)	44.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or Cerezo Osaka (12)	77.6%	75.6%	73.9%	1.02×	1.32
Gamba Osaka or draw (1X)	64.4%	63.7%	68.9%	0.92×	1.57
Cerezo Osaka or draw (X2)	58.0%	57.1%	57.0%	1.00×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or draw at HT	72.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Cerezo Osaka or draw at HT	65.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Gamba Osaka or Cerezo Osaka at HT	61.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or draw (1UP)	64.4%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
Cerezo Osaka or draw (1UP)	58.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or Cerezo Osaka in 2nd half	68.8%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Gamba Osaka or draw in 2nd half	66.7%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Cerezo Osaka or draw in 2nd half	64.6%	64.1%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.9%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (DNB)	54.2%	51.0%	58.0%	0.88×	1.96
Cerezo Osaka (DNB)	45.8%	49.0%	42.0%	1.17×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score first	50.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Cerezo Osaka to score first	46.1%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	3.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.3%	58.4%	50.5%	1.16×	1.71
Not both teams to score	34.7%	41.6%	49.5%	0.84×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.6%	47.5%	37.2%	1.28×	2.10
Not both score & under 2.5	25.7%	33.3%	40.2%	0.83×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	9.7%	8.3%	13.4%	0.62×	12.06
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.6%	79.6%	86.3%	0.92×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	24.4%	20.4%	13.8%	1.48×	4.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	29.0%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Both score 1st half only	15.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Both score in both halves	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.58

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	24.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.1%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	35.9%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.7%	42.1%	47.2%	0.89×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.3%	35.1%	20.9%	1.68×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.8%	20.2%	29.5%	0.68×	4.95
7+ goals	5.3%	7.6%	2.7%	2.86×	13.18

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka to score exactly 1	32.5%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Cerezo Osaka to score exactly 2	25.8%	27.4%	19.7%	1.39×	3.66
Cerezo Osaka to score 3+	21.3%	22.3%	12.2%	1.83×	4.49
Cerezo Osaka to score exactly 0	20.5%	22.3%	31.9%	0.70×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 1	30.5%	32.5%	36.3%	0.90×	3.07
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	24.5%	1.08×	3.77
Gamba Osaka to score 3+	25.3%	26.5%	14.8%	1.79×	3.77
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 0	17.6%	18.8%	24.7%	0.76×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Gamba Osaka leading at HT	34.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Cerezo Osaka leading at HT	27.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka -1: 2	58.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Gamba Osaka -1: 1	21.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Gamba Osaka -1: X	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:1)	58.0%	55.8%	57.0%	0.98×	1.79
Gamba Osaka (0:1)	21.9%	24.2%	18.1%	1.34×	4.13
Draw (0:1)	20.1%	24.2%	25.0%	0.97×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:2)	78.1%	79.4%	81.9%	0.97×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.5%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.10
Gamba Osaka (0:2)	9.4%	7.7%	6.3%	1.23×	13.02

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:3)	90.6%	92.7%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.0%	5.8%	4.2%	1.38×	17.23
Gamba Osaka (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	2.2%	1.09×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (0:4)	96.7%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.84
Gamba Osaka (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	81.99

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (1:0)	64.4%	65.4%	68.9%	0.95×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	18.4%	17.1%	19.4%	0.88×	5.85
Cerezo Osaka (1:0)	17.2%	17.1%	11.9%	1.44×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (2:0)	82.8%	84.6%	88.1%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.4%	10.3%	6.1%	1.69×	9.74
Cerezo Osaka (2:0)	6.8%	6.4%	5.9%	1.07×	15.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.8%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	21.7%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to concede	79.5%	76.1%	68.1%	1.12×	1.31
Gamba Osaka clean sheet	20.5%	23.9%	31.9%	0.75×	4.19

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 1st half	53.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Gamba Osaka to concede in 1st half	47.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to concede in 2nd half	61.4%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 2nd half	38.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 corners	88.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Gamba Osaka over 4.5 corners	64.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gamba Osaka under 6.5 corners	63.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gamba Osaka under 5.5 corners	50.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Gamba Osaka over 5.5 corners	49.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Gamba Osaka over 6.5 corners	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gamba Osaka under 4.5 corners	35.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 corners	11.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 goals	90.1%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 goals	82.4%	82.2%	75.3%	1.09×	1.22
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 goals	74.7%	74.3%	85.2%	0.87×	1.35
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 goals	51.9%	53.2%	39.2%	1.36×	1.88
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 goals	48.1%	46.8%	60.8%	0.77×	2.14
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 goals	25.3%	25.7%	14.8%	1.73×	3.89
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 goals	17.6%	17.8%	24.7%	0.72×	5.62
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	5.2%	1.51×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half	82.7%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half	52.7%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half	47.3%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half	17.3%	16.0%	—	—	6.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka scores more in 2nd half	40.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Gamba Osaka scores equally in both	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Gamba Osaka scores more in 1st half	26.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka (home no bet)	61.3%	60.0%	54.4%	1.10×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	38.7%	40.0%	45.6%	0.88×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka even goals	51.5%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Gamba Osaka odd goals	48.5%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.1%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
HT 1-0	18.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 0-1	16.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	7.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
Any other HT score	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.05
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	25.4%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Cerezo Osaka at HT / Cerezo Osaka at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Cerezo Osaka at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Gamba Osaka at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Cerezo Osaka at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Gamba Osaka at HT / Cerezo Osaka at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.67
Cerezo Osaka at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score last	50.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Cerezo Osaka to score last	46.1%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	3.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.6%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Gamba Osaka to lead by 1 at any time	60.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 1 at any time	55.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Gamba Osaka to lead by 2 at any time	30.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 2 at any time	25.0%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Gamba Osaka to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Cerezo Osaka to lead by 3 at any time	9.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.83

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka most corners	52.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Cerezo Osaka most corners	36.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	83.4%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.0%	78.7%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.4%	72.4%	81.7%	0.89×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.0%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.3%	59.1%	44.1%	1.34×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.1%	53.2%	69.7%	0.76×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.7%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	35.3%	1.23×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.3%	39.2%	20.9%	1.87×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.1%	35.2%	46.6%	0.76×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.5%	35.2%	18.0%	1.96×	2.84
5-6 goals	18.9%	18.8%	8.9%	2.12×	5.31
7+ goals	5.3%	8.9%	2.7%	3.34×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka never behind	41.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Cerezo Osaka never behind	35.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.1%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.9%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.6%	95.4%	93.0%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.0%	87.6%	94.4%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.2%	82.3%	70.5%	1.17×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	75.8%	77.3%	88.6%	0.87×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.6%	61.8%	46.6%	1.33×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.5%	58.6%	76.6%	0.77×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	42.5%	41.4%	23.4%	1.77×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.4%	38.2%	53.4%	0.72×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	24.2%	22.7%	11.4%	1.99×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	15.8%	17.7%	29.5%	0.60×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	12.0%	12.4%	5.6%	2.20×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	3.4%	4.6%	7.0%	0.65×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.4%	92.4%	97.3%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.3%	86.7%	94.0%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.4%	81.1%	61.2%	1.33×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.4%	72.4%	87.0%	0.83×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.6%	51.9%	30.5%	1.70×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.4%	48.1%	69.5%	0.69×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.6%	27.6%	13.0%	2.13×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.6%	18.9%	38.8%	0.49×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.7%	13.3%	6.0%	2.22×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.6%	7.6%	2.7%	2.77×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.9%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.1%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.8%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.2%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.2%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka not to score in both halves	71.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Gamba Osaka not to score in both halves	66.9%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Gamba Osaka to score in both halves	33.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Cerezo Osaka to score in both halves	28.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.3%	59.8%	50.5%	1.19×	1.67
Only Gamba Osaka scores	17.1%	16.0%	25.0%	0.64×	6.24
Only Cerezo Osaka scores	14.2%	11.0%	17.8%	0.62×	9.05
Neither team scores	3.4%	4.6%	7.0%	0.66×	21.71

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	19.7%	17.5%	24.1%	0.73×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.5%	12.2%	1.43×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.4%	12.1%	22.7%	0.54×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	12.2%	12.1%	5.9%	2.04×	8.25
6 or more goals	12.0%	12.1%	5.6%	2.16×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	3.4%	4.5%	7.0%	0.64×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
No goals in 1st half	25.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
2 goals in 1st half	23.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.8%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
No goals in 2nd half	14.2%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka not to win both halves	90.9%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Gamba Osaka not to win both halves	87.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Gamba Osaka to win both halves	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Cerezo Osaka to win both halves	9.1%	5.9%	—	—	16.87

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to win either half	57.6%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Cerezo Osaka to win either half	51.6%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Cerezo Osaka to win neither half	48.4%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Gamba Osaka to win neither half	42.4%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cerezo Osaka not to win to nil	85.8%	88.1%	82.2%	1.07×	1.14
Gamba Osaka not to win to nil	82.9%	83.1%	75.0%	1.11×	1.20
Gamba Osaka to win to nil	17.1%	16.9%	25.0%	0.68×	5.92
Cerezo Osaka to win to nil	14.2%	11.9%	17.8%	0.67×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.4%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Gamba Osaka by 1	20.1%	24.1%	25.0%	0.96×	4.15
Cerezo Osaka by 1	18.4%	17.0%	19.4%	0.88×	5.87
Gamba Osaka by 2	12.5%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.51
Cerezo Osaka by 2	10.4%	11.8%	6.1%	1.93×	8.51
Gamba Osaka by 3+	9.4%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.90
Cerezo Osaka by 3+	6.8%	7.2%	5.9%	1.21×	13.91