Gamba Osaka v FC Tokyo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Gamba Osaka

10:00 UTC

FC Tokyo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 98h before kick-off

Gamba Osaka win

30.6%

model 34.6%

Draw

23.3%

model 23.6%

FC Tokyo win

46.1%

model 41.8%

312346

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (555 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
1-2 8.8%
2-1 7.9%
0-1 7.6%
1-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.4%	Under 2.5	40.6%
BTTS yes	61.5%	BTTS no	38.5%
Gamba Osaka 1+	76.7%	Gamba Osaka 2+	42.8%
FC Tokyo 1+	80.2%	FC Tokyo 2+	48.2%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.62. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

82/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Over 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 47%

62.0% fair odds 1.61

strong signal · 12572 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Tokyo (+1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 82%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 13600 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Tokyo carry the stronger rating, 1580 Elo against 1530.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Tokyo have an estimated 46.1% win probability, against 30.6% for Gamba Osaka and 23.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Gamba Osaka and 1.62 for FC Tokyo.

Why Gamba Osaka

Nothing in the data singles out Gamba Osaka.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.46 to 1.62. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why FC Tokyo can win

FC Tokyo carry the stronger rating, 1580 Elo against 1530.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gamba Osaka, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Tokyo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gamba Osaka: 56% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Tokyo: 51% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

FC Tokyo are the model's most likely outcome at 46.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 82/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352342	1.48–1.65	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	392437	1.53–1.49	1-1 11%	58%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win	42.0%	41.6%	31.0%	1.34×	2.41
Gamba Osaka to win	34.6%	31.5%	42.9%	0.74×	3.17
Draw	23.4%	23.6%	26.3%	0.90×	4.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo & both teams score	23.5%	21.7%	13.4%	1.61×	4.61
Gamba Osaka & both teams score	19.7%	18.1%	18.0%	1.00×	5.52
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.1%	19.3%	0.94×	5.52
FC Tokyo & not both score	18.6%	18.1%	17.7%	1.02×	5.52
Gamba Osaka & not both score	14.9%	12.7%	25.0%	0.51×	7.88
Draw & not both score	4.3%	4.2%	7.1%	0.59×	23.91

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo & over 1.5	34.7%	31.8%	21.2%	1.50×	3.15
Gamba Osaka & over 1.5	28.0%	26.4%	30.2%	0.87×	3.79
FC Tokyo & over 2.5	28.7%	26.4%	17.9%	1.48×	3.79
FC Tokyo & under 3.5	25.4%	26.4%	23.4%	1.13×	3.79
Gamba Osaka & over 2.5	23.2%	21.8%	23.1%	0.95×	4.58
Gamba Osaka & under 3.5	21.6%	21.8%	33.1%	0.66×	4.58
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	17.7%	19.3%	0.92×	5.64
FC Tokyo & over 3.5	16.6%	17.7%	7.8%	2.29×	5.64
Draw & under 2.5	14.8%	12.4%	20.4%	0.61×	8.05
Draw & under 3.5	14.8%	12.4%	20.4%	0.61×	8.05
Gamba Osaka & under 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	19.9%	0.62×	8.06
Gamba Osaka & over 3.5	13.0%	12.4%	10.0%	1.25×	8.06
FC Tokyo & under 2.5	13.3%	12.4%	13.3%	0.93×	8.06
Gamba Osaka & under 1.5	6.6%	7.6%	12.8%	0.59×	13.21
Draw & over 2.5	8.6%	7.6%	6.0%	1.26×	13.20
Draw & over 3.5	8.6%	7.6%	6.0%	1.26×	13.20
FC Tokyo & under 1.5	7.3%	7.6%	10.0%	0.76×	13.21
Draw & under 1.5	4.3%	4.4%	7.1%	0.62×	22.79

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (1UP)	60.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Gamba Osaka (1UP)	53.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (2UP)	42.0%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Gamba Osaka (2UP)	34.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.81

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win 2nd half	37.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	32.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Gamba Osaka to win 2nd half	29.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 1.5 in 2nd half	73.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Tokyo over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.9%	60.7%	—	—	1.65
FC Tokyo under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
FC Tokyo over 1.5 in 2nd half	26.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.9%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.41
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (+2.5)	93.9%	92.3%	93.8%	0.98×	1.08
FC Tokyo (+1.5)	83.9%	83.2%	82.0%	1.02×	1.20
FC Tokyo (+0.5)	65.4%	67.9%	57.1%	1.19×	1.47
Gamba Osaka (+0.5)	58.0%	58.3%	69.0%	0.85×	1.71
FC Tokyo (-0.5)	42.0%	41.7%	31.0%	1.34×	2.40
Gamba Osaka (-0.5)	34.6%	32.1%	42.9%	0.75×	3.12
Gamba Osaka (-1.5)	16.1%	16.8%	18.0%	0.93×	5.96
Gamba Osaka (-2.5)	6.1%	7.7%	6.2%	1.25×	12.98

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to concede	77.2%	78.9%	75.3%	1.05×	1.27
FC Tokyo clean sheet	22.8%	21.1%	24.7%	0.85×	4.74

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo clean sheet in 1st half	53.0%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
FC Tokyo to concede in 1st half	47.0%	46.2%	—	—	2.17

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to concede in 2nd half	56.9%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
FC Tokyo clean sheet in 2nd half	43.1%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 6.5 corners	83.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Tokyo over 2.5 corners	75.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Tokyo under 5.5 corners	73.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Tokyo under 4.5 corners	59.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Tokyo over 3.5 corners	58.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Tokyo under 3.5 corners	42.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Tokyo over 4.5 corners	40.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Tokyo over 5.5 corners	26.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Tokyo under 2.5 corners	24.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
FC Tokyo over 6.5 corners	16.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 3.5 goals	91.4%	92.2%	95.9%	0.96×	1.09
FC Tokyo over 0.5 goals	80.8%	82.5%	68.0%	1.21×	1.21
FC Tokyo under 2.5 goals	77.0%	76.4%	87.8%	0.87×	1.31
FC Tokyo under 1.5 goals	50.8%	52.9%	68.2%	0.78×	1.89
FC Tokyo over 1.5 goals	49.2%	47.1%	31.8%	1.48×	2.13
FC Tokyo over 2.5 goals	23.0%	23.6%	12.2%	1.94×	4.23
FC Tokyo under 0.5 goals	19.2%	17.5%	32.0%	0.55×	5.71
FC Tokyo over 3.5 goals	8.6%	7.8%	4.1%	1.91×	12.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo under 1.5 in 1st half	85.8%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
FC Tokyo under 0.5 in 1st half	51.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
FC Tokyo over 0.5 in 1st half	48.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
FC Tokyo over 1.5 in 1st half	14.2%	13.0%	—	—	7.68

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo scores more in 2nd half	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
FC Tokyo scores equally in both	33.9%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
FC Tokyo scores more in 1st half	23.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (away no bet)	59.7%	58.7%	62.0%	0.95×	1.71
Draw (away no bet)	40.3%	41.3%	38.0%	1.09×	2.42

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo even goals	51.8%	53.6%	54.4%	0.98×	1.87
FC Tokyo odd goals	48.2%	46.4%	45.6%	1.02×	2.16

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.7%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.3%	19.9%	—	—	5.03

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.5%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.5%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.6%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
FC Tokyo to score 2+ in a row	38.9%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Gamba Osaka to score 2+ in a row	32.9%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
FC Tokyo to score 3+ in a row	14.0%	12.9%	—	—	7.75
Gamba Osaka to score 3+ in a row	10.5%	12.8%	—	—	7.79

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka corners (+3.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gamba Osaka corners (+2.5)	81.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Tokyo corners (+3.5)	81.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Gamba Osaka corners (+1.5)	72.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Tokyo corners (+2.5)	72.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Tokyo corners (+1.5)	61.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gamba Osaka corners (-1.5)	38.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gamba Osaka corners (-2.5)	27.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Tokyo corners (-1.5)	27.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Gamba Osaka corners (-3.5)	18.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
FC Tokyo corners (-2.5)	18.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
FC Tokyo corners (-3.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	47.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	22.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	52.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	35.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	31.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	15.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.6%	11.2%	13.4%	0.83×	8.91
0-1	7.3%	7.4%	10.0%	0.75×	13.45
0-2	6.0%	7.4%	3.5%	2.14×	13.45
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.45
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.45
2-1	7.9%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.45
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.45
0-0	4.3%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.34
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.34
0-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.34
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.34
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.34
2-0	4.8%	1.7%	7.3%	0.24×	58.34
2-3	3.6%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.34
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.61×	58.34
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.34
3-1	3.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.34
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.34
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.34
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.71×	58.35
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.35
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.61×	58.34
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.34
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	5.42×	58.35
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.42×	58.35
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.34

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (2nd half DNB)	55.9%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Gamba Osaka (2nd half DNB)	44.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo leading at HT (DNB)	51.3%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Gamba Osaka leading at HT (DNB)	48.7%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or FC Tokyo (12)	76.6%	76.4%	73.7%	1.04×	1.31
FC Tokyo or draw (X2)	65.4%	68.5%	57.1%	1.20×	1.46
Gamba Osaka or draw (1X)	58.0%	58.4%	69.0%	0.85×	1.71

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw at HT	70.8%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Gamba Osaka or draw at HT	69.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Gamba Osaka or FC Tokyo at HT	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw (1UP)	65.4%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Gamba Osaka or draw (1UP)	58.0%	64.7%	—	—	1.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo or draw in 2nd half	70.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Gamba Osaka or FC Tokyo in 2nd half	67.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Gamba Osaka or draw in 2nd half	62.1%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Neither half drawn	40.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (DNB)	54.9%	51.7%	42.0%	1.23×	1.94
Gamba Osaka (DNB)	45.1%	48.3%	58.0%	0.83×	2.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score first	50.5%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Gamba Osaka to score first	45.2%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
No goal scored	4.3%	4.7%	—	—	21.21

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.3%	59.0%	50.5%	1.17×	1.70
Not both teams to score	37.7%	41.0%	49.5%	0.83×	2.44

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.7%	48.5%	37.2%	1.30×	2.06
Not both score & under 2.5	28.9%	31.4%	40.0%	0.79×	3.18
Both score & under 2.5	10.6%	11.9%	13.4%	0.88×	8.41
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	9.7%	0.87×	11.85

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.6%	80.1%	86.2%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	21.4%	19.9%	13.8%	1.45×	5.03

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.7%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Both score 2nd half only	27.6%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Both score 1st half only	14.6%	11.9%	—	—	8.40
Both score in both halves	8.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.43

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	22.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
A half without a goal	39.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.73

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.6%	43.6%	47.2%	0.93×	2.29
4-6 goals	34.1%	31.2%	21.0%	1.48×	3.21
0-1 goals	18.2%	19.1%	29.6%	0.64×	5.24
7+ goals	4.0%	2.0%	2.5%	0.80×	49.68

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score exactly 1	31.7%	32.3%	36.4%	0.89×	3.09
FC Tokyo to score exactly 2	26.2%	27.4%	19.8%	1.39×	3.65
FC Tokyo to score 3+	23.0%	23.3%	12.2%	1.91×	4.30
FC Tokyo to score exactly 0	19.2%	18.2%	32.0%	0.57×	5.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 1	33.7%	32.2%	36.4%	0.89×	3.10
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 2	24.9%	22.9%	24.4%	0.94×	4.38
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 0	22.8%	22.9%	24.7%	0.93×	4.38
Gamba Osaka to score 3+	18.6%	18.1%	14.9%	1.22×	5.51

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
FC Tokyo leading at HT	30.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Gamba Osaka leading at HT	29.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo -1: 1	58.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
FC Tokyo -1: 2	21.5%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
FC Tokyo -1: X	20.6%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (0:1)	65.4%	64.5%	57.1%	1.13×	1.55
Draw (0:1)	18.4%	18.2%	25.0%	0.73×	5.49
Gamba Osaka (0:1)	16.1%	18.2%	18.0%	1.01×	5.49

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (0:2)	83.9%	82.9%	82.0%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.1%	11.4%	12.0%	0.94×	8.81
Gamba Osaka (0:2)	6.1%	7.7%	6.2%	1.25×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (0:3)	93.9%	92.6%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.2%	2.6%	4.3%	0.60×	39.14
Gamba Osaka (0:3)	1.9%	2.6%	2.1%	1.24×	39.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (0:4)	98.1%	97.7%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.4%	1.4%	0.99×	70.72
Gamba Osaka (0:4)	0.5%	1.4%	0.8%	1.79×	70.75

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (1:0)	58.0%	58.8%	69.0%	0.85×	1.70
FC Tokyo (1:0)	21.5%	22.1%	11.9%	1.86×	4.53
Draw (1:0)	20.6%	22.1%	19.3%	1.14×	4.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (2:0)	78.5%	78.2%	88.1%	0.89×	1.28
Draw (2:0)	12.6%	11.6%	6.0%	1.92×	8.65
FC Tokyo (2:0)	8.9%	6.6%	6.0%	1.10×	15.11

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	22.7%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to concede	80.8%	82.7%	68.0%	1.22×	1.21
Gamba Osaka clean sheet	19.2%	17.3%	32.0%	0.54×	5.79

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 1st half	51.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Gamba Osaka to concede in 1st half	48.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to concede in 2nd half	62.9%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 2nd half	37.1%	39.7%	—	—	2.52

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 corners	81.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Gamba Osaka under 6.5 corners	77.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 corners	66.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Gamba Osaka under 5.5 corners	65.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Gamba Osaka under 4.5 corners	50.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Gamba Osaka over 4.5 corners	49.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Gamba Osaka over 5.5 corners	34.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 corners	34.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Gamba Osaka over 6.5 corners	22.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 corners	18.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 goals	93.7%	92.4%	94.9%	0.97×	1.08
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 goals	81.4%	82.3%	85.1%	0.97×	1.22
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 goals	77.2%	78.2%	75.3%	1.04×	1.28
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 goals	56.5%	57.9%	60.9%	0.95×	1.73
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 goals	43.5%	42.1%	39.1%	1.08×	2.38
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 goals	22.8%	21.8%	24.7%	0.88×	4.58
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 goals	18.6%	17.7%	14.9%	1.19×	5.65
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 goals	6.3%	7.6%	5.1%	1.51×	13.07

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half	86.6%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half	13.4%	12.3%	—	—	8.10

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka scores more in 2nd half	37.7%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Gamba Osaka scores equally in both	36.8%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Gamba Osaka scores more in 1st half	25.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo (home no bet)	64.3%	60.3%	54.1%	1.11×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	35.7%	39.7%	45.9%	0.87×	2.52

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka even goals	52.6%	50.9%	52.4%	0.97×	1.96
Gamba Osaka odd goals	47.4%	49.1%	47.6%	1.03×	2.04

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
HT 0-1	18.1%	19.9%	—	—	5.03
HT 1-0	17.4%	19.9%	—	—	5.03
HT 1-1	11.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-2	6.0%	8.0%	—	—	12.56
HT 2-0	5.5%	8.0%	—	—	12.56
Any other HT score	5.6%	8.0%	—	—	12.56
HT 1-2	3.8%	2.5%	—	—	40.41
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.42
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	23.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.77
Gamba Osaka at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	20.2%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Draw at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	15.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Draw at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	12.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Gamba Osaka at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.5%	—	—	15.50
FC Tokyo at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.6%	—	—	27.50
Gamba Osaka at HT / FC Tokyo at FT	3.3%	3.6%	—	—	27.54
FC Tokyo at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	2.4%	3.6%	—	—	27.57

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to score last	50.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Gamba Osaka to score last	45.2%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
No goal scored	4.3%	4.7%	—	—	21.21

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.8%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
FC Tokyo to lead by 1 at any time	60.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Gamba Osaka to lead by 1 at any time	53.7%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
FC Tokyo to lead by 2 at any time	29.1%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
Gamba Osaka to lead by 2 at any time	23.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.67
FC Tokyo to lead by 3 at any time	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
Gamba Osaka to lead by 3 at any time	8.3%	7.4%	—	—	13.46

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka most corners	50.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
FC Tokyo most corners	38.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	11.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.0%	87.1%	87.5%	1.00×	1.15
2-6 goals	77.8%	77.9%	68.0%	1.14×	1.28
1-4 goals	75.1%	77.9%	81.8%	0.95×	1.28
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.2%	65.0%	1.11×	1.39
2-4 goals	61.1%	62.7%	59.3%	1.06×	1.60
1-3 goals	57.6%	58.9%	69.6%	0.85×	1.70
3-6 goals	56.5%	58.9%	44.3%	1.33×	1.70
3-5 goals	50.8%	52.9%	41.3%	1.28×	1.89
2-3 goals	43.6%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.0%	35.6%	1.10×	2.56
1-2 goals	35.2%	39.0%	46.4%	0.84×	2.56
4-6 goals	34.1%	34.7%	21.0%	1.65×	2.88
4-5 goals	28.4%	28.5%	18.0%	1.58×	3.51
5-6 goals	16.7%	18.9%	8.9%	2.13×	5.30
7+ goals	4.0%	2.3%	2.5%	0.89×	44.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka never behind	35.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
FC Tokyo never behind	42.0%	47.1%	—	—	2.12

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.1%	50.1%	53.2%	0.94×	2.00
Even number of goals	49.9%	49.9%	46.8%	1.07×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.8%	96.0%	92.9%	1.03×	1.04
Under 5.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	94.5%	0.98×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.8%	81.6%	70.4%	1.16×	1.23
Under 4.5 goals	79.3%	77.0%	88.8%	0.87×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	61.8%	62.0%	76.6%	0.81×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	60.5%	62.0%	46.7%	1.33×	1.61
Under 2.5 goals	39.5%	38.0%	53.3%	0.71×	2.63
Over 3.5 goals	38.2%	38.0%	23.4%	1.62×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	20.7%	23.0%	11.2%	2.05×	4.34
Under 1.5 goals	18.2%	18.4%	29.6%	0.62×	5.44
Over 5.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	5.5%	1.40×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	4.3%	4.0%	7.1%	0.56×	25.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.7%	97.3%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.1%	86.6%	94.1%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.9%	76.0%	61.2%	1.24×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.9%	72.1%	87.2%	0.83×	1.39
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.8%	52.0%	69.5%	0.75×	1.92
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.2%	48.0%	30.5%	1.57×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.1%	27.9%	12.8%	2.18×	3.59
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.1%	24.0%	38.8%	0.62×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.9%	13.4%	5.9%	2.28×	7.49
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.3%	2.7%	2.6%	1.04×	36.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.8%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.7%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.8%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.2%	11.7%	—	—	8.57

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.1%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.2%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.7%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.8%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.9%	17.4%	—	—	5.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka not to score in both halves	73.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
FC Tokyo not to score in both halves	69.6%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
FC Tokyo to score in both halves	30.4%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
Gamba Osaka to score in both halves	26.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.3%	61.2%	50.5%	1.21×	1.63
Only FC Tokyo scores	18.6%	16.9%	17.7%	0.95×	5.93
Only Gamba Osaka scores	14.9%	11.2%	25.0%	0.45×	8.93
Neither team scores	4.3%	4.1%	7.1%	0.57×	24.67

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.3%	23.4%	0.95×	4.49
Exactly 2 goals	21.3%	22.3%	23.9%	0.93×	4.49
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	17.6%	12.3%	1.43×	5.68
Exactly 1 goals	13.9%	12.3%	22.6%	0.54×	8.14
Exactly 5 goals	10.9%	12.3%	5.9%	2.10×	8.15
6 or more goals	9.7%	7.8%	5.5%	1.40×	12.88
Exactly 0 goals	4.3%	4.0%	7.1%	0.57×	24.73

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.5%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
No goals in 1st half	27.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.88
2 goals in 1st half	23.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
3+ goals in 1st half	14.2%	11.4%	—	—	8.74

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.7%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
1 goal in 2nd half	29.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goals in 2nd half	15.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.11

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka not to win both halves	91.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
FC Tokyo not to win both halves	88.4%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
FC Tokyo to win both halves	11.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Gamba Osaka to win both halves	8.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.48

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Tokyo to win either half	57.0%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Gamba Osaka to win either half	50.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Gamba Osaka to win neither half	49.7%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
FC Tokyo to win neither half	43.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka not to win to nil	85.1%	87.9%	75.0%	1.17×	1.14
FC Tokyo not to win to nil	81.4%	82.9%	82.3%	1.01×	1.21
FC Tokyo to win to nil	18.6%	17.1%	17.7%	0.96×	5.86
Gamba Osaka to win to nil	14.9%	12.1%	25.0%	0.49×	8.24

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.4%	23.4%	26.3%	0.89×	4.27
FC Tokyo by 1	20.6%	23.4%	19.3%	1.21×	4.27
Gamba Osaka by 1	18.4%	17.2%	25.0%	0.69×	5.80
FC Tokyo by 2	12.6%	11.8%	6.0%	1.97×	8.45
Gamba Osaka by 2	10.1%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.45
FC Tokyo by 3+	8.9%	7.3%	6.0%	1.21×	13.77
Gamba Osaka by 3+	6.1%	7.3%	6.2%	1.18×	13.77