Gamba Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 16 December 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Gamba Osaka

10:00 UTC

Kashiwa Reysol

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 21 Oct, 11:05 · 1,343h before kick-off

Gamba Osaka win

27.8%

model 29.9%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.2%

Kashiwa Reysol win

49.2%

model 48.0%

282349

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.8%
1-2 9.2%
0-1 7.3%
2-1 7.1%
2-2 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.4%	Under 2.5	36.6%
BTTS yes	63.6%	BTTS no	36.4%
Gamba Osaka 1+	75.8%	Gamba Osaka 2+	41.4%
Kashiwa Reysol 1+	84.2%	Kashiwa Reysol 2+	55.1%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 32%

58.1% fair odds 1.72

strong signal · 830 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Kashiwa Reysol carry the stronger rating, 1589 Elo against 1509.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Kashiwa Reysol have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.8% for Gamba Osaka and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.42 for Gamba Osaka and 1.85 for Kashiwa Reysol.

Why Gamba Osaka

Nothing in the data singles out Gamba Osaka.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kashiwa Reysol can win

Kashiwa Reysol carry the stronger rating, 1589 Elo against 1509. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gamba Osaka, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kashiwa Reysol, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gamba Osaka: 54% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kashiwa Reysol: 60% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Kashiwa Reysol are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.8%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302248	1.42–1.85	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352341	1.49–1.63	1-1 11%	60%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to win	41.3%	42.9%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
Gamba Osaka to win	35.5%	36.3%	43.0%	0.85×	2.75
Draw	23.3%	24.4%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol & both teams score	23.0%	21.8%	13.4%	1.62×	4.58
Gamba Osaka & both teams score	20.0%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.57
Kashiwa Reysol & not both score	18.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Gamba Osaka & not both score	15.5%	18.0%	25.0%	0.72×	5.57
Draw & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	7.0%	0.69×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol & over 1.5	33.8%	30.8%	21.3%	1.45×	3.25
Gamba Osaka & over 1.5	28.6%	26.1%	30.3%	0.86×	3.84
Kashiwa Reysol & over 2.5	28.0%	26.1%	17.8%	1.46×	3.84
Kashiwa Reysol & under 3.5	25.2%	26.1%	23.4%	1.11×	3.84
Gamba Osaka & over 2.5	23.7%	21.6%	23.1%	0.93×	4.63
Gamba Osaka & under 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	33.1%	0.65×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Kashiwa Reysol & over 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	7.8%	2.30×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.7%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.7%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Gamba Osaka & over 3.5	13.2%	12.8%	10.0%	1.28×	7.79
Kashiwa Reysol & under 2.5	13.3%	12.8%	13.4%	0.96×	7.79
Gamba Osaka & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Kashiwa Reysol & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.63
Gamba Osaka & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	7.0%	0.68×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (1UP)	59.3%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Gamba Osaka (1UP)	54.4%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (2UP)	41.3%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Gamba Osaka (2UP)	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to win 2nd half	37.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	32.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Gamba Osaka to win 2nd half	30.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.5%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Kashiwa Reysol over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Kashiwa Reysol under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.07

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.8%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (+2.5)	93.7%	92.1%	93.8%	0.98×	1.09
Kashiwa Reysol (+1.5)	83.4%	82.5%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Kashiwa Reysol (+0.5)	64.5%	63.0%	57.0%	1.10×	1.59
Gamba Osaka (+0.5)	58.7%	57.0%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75
Kashiwa Reysol (-0.5)	41.3%	43.0%	31.1%	1.38×	2.33
Gamba Osaka (-0.5)	35.5%	37.0%	43.0%	0.86×	2.70
Gamba Osaka (-1.5)	16.6%	17.5%	18.1%	0.96×	5.73
Gamba Osaka (-2.5)	6.3%	7.9%	6.3%	1.26×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to concede	77.5%	78.8%	75.3%	1.05×	1.27
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet	22.5%	21.2%	24.7%	0.86×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet in 1st half	52.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Kashiwa Reysol to concede in 1st half	47.3%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to concede in 2nd half	57.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet in 2nd half	42.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol over 2.5 corners	81.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Kashiwa Reysol under 6.5 corners	75.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Kashiwa Reysol over 3.5 corners	67.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Kashiwa Reysol under 5.5 corners	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Kashiwa Reysol over 4.5 corners	51.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Kashiwa Reysol under 4.5 corners	48.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Kashiwa Reysol over 5.5 corners	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Kashiwa Reysol under 3.5 corners	32.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Kashiwa Reysol over 6.5 corners	24.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Kashiwa Reysol under 2.5 corners	18.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol under 3.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Kashiwa Reysol over 0.5 goals	80.3%	81.4%	68.1%	1.20×	1.23
Kashiwa Reysol under 2.5 goals	77.7%	76.3%	87.8%	0.87×	1.31
Kashiwa Reysol under 1.5 goals	51.7%	53.5%	68.3%	0.78×	1.87
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 goals	48.3%	46.5%	31.7%	1.47×	2.15
Kashiwa Reysol over 2.5 goals	22.3%	23.7%	12.2%	1.95×	4.21
Kashiwa Reysol under 0.5 goals	19.7%	18.6%	31.9%	0.58×	5.39
Kashiwa Reysol over 3.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	4.1%	1.89×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol under 1.5 in 1st half	86.1%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Kashiwa Reysol under 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Kashiwa Reysol over 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 in 1st half	13.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol scores more in 2nd half	42.0%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Kashiwa Reysol scores equally in both	34.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Kashiwa Reysol scores more in 1st half	23.7%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (away no bet)	60.4%	61.9%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	39.6%	38.1%	37.8%	1.01×	2.62

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol even goals	51.9%	52.6%	54.2%	0.97×	1.90
Kashiwa Reysol odd goals	48.1%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.9%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.2%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.3%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Kashiwa Reysol to score 2+ in a row	38.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Gamba Osaka to score 2+ in a row	33.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.7%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Kashiwa Reysol to score 3+ in a row	13.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Gamba Osaka to score 3+ in a row	10.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.33

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol corners (+3.5)	84.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Gamba Osaka corners (+3.5)	83.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Kashiwa Reysol corners (+2.5)	76.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Gamba Osaka corners (+2.5)	75.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Kashiwa Reysol corners (+1.5)	67.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Gamba Osaka corners (+1.5)	66.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Kashiwa Reysol corners (-1.5)	33.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Gamba Osaka corners (-1.5)	33.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Kashiwa Reysol corners (-2.5)	24.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Gamba Osaka corners (-2.5)	23.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Kashiwa Reysol corners (-3.5)	16.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Gamba Osaka corners (-3.5)	15.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	71.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	60.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	51.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	29.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.5%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.72
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.50
0-1	7.5%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.50
1-0	6.9%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.51
2-1	8.0%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.50
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	5.2%	1.44×	13.51
0-2	5.9%	7.4%	3.6%	2.06×	13.51
1-3	4.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.29
2-0	4.9%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.29
0-0	4.2%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.30
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.31
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.30
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.30
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.20×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.32
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.37×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	58.31
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.10×	58.31
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.49×	58.32
Any other score	4.3%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (2nd half DNB)	55.0%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Gamba Osaka (2nd half DNB)	45.0%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol leading at HT (DNB)	50.5%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Gamba Osaka leading at HT (DNB)	49.5%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or Kashiwa Reysol (12)	76.8%	75.6%	73.9%	1.02×	1.32
Kashiwa Reysol or draw (X2)	64.5%	63.7%	57.0%	1.12×	1.57
Gamba Osaka or draw (1X)	58.7%	57.1%	68.9%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol or draw at HT	70.4%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Gamba Osaka or draw at HT	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Gamba Osaka or Kashiwa Reysol at HT	59.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol or draw (1UP)	64.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Gamba Osaka or draw (1UP)	58.7%	63.1%	—	—	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol or draw in 2nd half	69.6%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Gamba Osaka or Kashiwa Reysol in 2nd half	67.6%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Gamba Osaka or draw in 2nd half	62.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.8%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	40.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (DNB)	53.8%	51.0%	42.0%	1.21×	1.96
Gamba Osaka (DNB)	46.2%	49.0%	58.0%	0.85×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to score first	50.0%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Gamba Osaka to score first	45.8%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.26

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.0%	56.6%	50.5%	1.12×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.0%	43.4%	49.5%	0.88×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.5%	47.2%	37.2%	1.27×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	29.3%	33.4%	40.2%	0.83×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	10.5%	12.4%	13.4%	0.92×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.3%	9.5%	0.87×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.8%	79.7%	86.3%	0.92×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	21.2%	20.3%	13.8%	1.48×	4.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Both score 2nd half only	27.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	8.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.66

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.4%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.7%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
A half without a goal	39.3%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.7%	42.1%	47.2%	0.89×	2.37
4-6 goals	33.9%	30.8%	20.9%	1.47×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.5%	20.2%	29.5%	0.69×	4.94
7+ goals	4.0%	1.8%	2.7%	0.70×	54.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to score exactly 1	32.0%	33.8%	36.6%	0.93×	2.96
Kashiwa Reysol to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	19.7%	1.39×	3.66
Kashiwa Reysol to score 3+	22.3%	22.3%	12.2%	1.83×	4.49
Kashiwa Reysol to score exactly 0	19.7%	19.6%	31.9%	0.61×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 1	33.6%	32.6%	36.3%	0.90×	3.07
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 2	25.0%	26.5%	24.5%	1.08×	3.77
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 0	22.5%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.29
Gamba Osaka to score 3+	18.9%	18.8%	14.8%	1.26×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Kashiwa Reysol leading at HT	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Gamba Osaka leading at HT	29.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.00

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol -1: 1	58.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Kashiwa Reysol -1: 2	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Kashiwa Reysol -1: X	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:1)	64.5%	61.4%	57.0%	1.08×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	18.8%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.61
Gamba Osaka (0:1)	16.6%	17.8%	18.1%	0.98×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:2)	83.4%	82.9%	81.9%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.3%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.11
Gamba Osaka (0:2)	6.3%	7.7%	6.3%	1.23×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:3)	93.7%	92.7%	93.8%	0.99×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.3%	2.4%	4.2%	0.56×	42.00
Gamba Osaka (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	2.2%	1.09×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (0:4)	98.0%	98.1%	97.8%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.87×	81.94
Gamba Osaka (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	82.05

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (1:0)	58.7%	58.4%	68.9%	0.85×	1.71
Kashiwa Reysol (1:0)	20.8%	21.7%	11.9%	1.83×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	20.5%	21.7%	19.4%	1.12×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (2:0)	79.2%	80.5%	88.1%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.3%	10.3%	6.1%	1.69×	9.72
Kashiwa Reysol (2:0)	8.5%	6.4%	5.9%	1.07×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.2%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	22.6%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to concede	80.3%	80.8%	68.1%	1.19×	1.24
Gamba Osaka clean sheet	19.7%	19.2%	31.9%	0.60×	5.21

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 1st half	52.2%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Gamba Osaka to concede in 1st half	47.8%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to concede in 2nd half	62.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 2nd half	37.7%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 corners	81.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Gamba Osaka under 6.5 corners	76.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Gamba Osaka under 5.5 corners	64.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gamba Osaka over 4.5 corners	50.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Gamba Osaka under 4.5 corners	49.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Gamba Osaka over 5.5 corners	35.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Gamba Osaka over 6.5 corners	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 corners	18.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 goals	93.6%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 goals	81.1%	82.2%	85.2%	0.97×	1.22
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 goals	77.5%	77.7%	75.3%	1.03×	1.29
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 goals	56.1%	58.6%	60.8%	0.96×	1.71
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 goals	43.9%	41.4%	39.2%	1.06×	2.41
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 goals	22.5%	22.3%	24.7%	0.90×	4.49
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 goals	18.9%	17.8%	14.8%	1.20×	5.62
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 goals	6.4%	7.8%	5.2%	1.50×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half	86.5%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half	52.7%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half	47.3%	49.6%	—	—	2.01
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half	13.5%	9.8%	—	—	10.15

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka scores more in 2nd half	37.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Gamba Osaka scores equally in both	36.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Gamba Osaka scores more in 1st half	25.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol (home no bet)	64.0%	60.0%	54.4%	1.10×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	36.0%	40.0%	45.6%	0.88×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka even goals	52.5%	50.7%	52.7%	0.96×	1.97
Gamba Osaka odd goals	47.5%	49.3%	47.3%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.5%	28.0%	—	—	3.58
HT 0-1	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 0-2	5.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
Any other HT score	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 2-1	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.20

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol at HT / Kashiwa Reysol at FT	22.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Gamba Osaka at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Kashiwa Reysol at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	12.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Gamba Osaka at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Kashiwa Reysol at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.59
Gamba Osaka at HT / Kashiwa Reysol at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.65
Kashiwa Reysol at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.68

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to score last	50.0%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Gamba Osaka to score last	45.8%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.26

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.8%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Kashiwa Reysol to lead by 1 at any time	59.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Gamba Osaka to lead by 1 at any time	54.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Kashiwa Reysol to lead by 2 at any time	28.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Gamba Osaka to lead by 2 at any time	23.8%	19.7%	—	—	5.08
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.6%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Kashiwa Reysol to lead by 3 at any time	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Gamba Osaka to lead by 3 at any time	8.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.86

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol most corners	44.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Gamba Osaka most corners	43.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.5%	78.7%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.4%	78.7%	81.7%	0.96×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	59.2%	1.07×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.0%	59.1%	69.7%	0.85×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.3%	59.1%	44.1%	1.34×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.6%	53.2%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.7%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.2%	35.3%	1.11×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.6%	39.2%	46.6%	0.84×	2.55
4-6 goals	33.9%	35.2%	20.9%	1.68×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.3%	30.2%	18.0%	1.68×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.5%	18.8%	8.9%	2.11×	5.31
7+ goals	4.0%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.05

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol never behind	41.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Gamba Osaka never behind	36.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	46.7%	1.09×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	53.3%	0.92×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	93.0%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.5%	82.3%	70.5%	1.17×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.6%	77.3%	88.6%	0.87×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	62.2%	61.7%	76.6%	0.81×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.2%	61.7%	46.6%	1.33×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.8%	38.3%	53.4%	0.72×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	37.8%	38.3%	23.4%	1.63×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.4%	22.7%	11.4%	1.99×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	18.5%	17.7%	29.5%	0.60×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	5.6%	1.38×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	7.0%	0.65×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.8%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.2%	86.7%	94.0%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	76.5%	75.9%	61.2%	1.24×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.3%	75.9%	87.0%	0.87×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	51.3%	51.9%	69.5%	0.75×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	48.7%	48.1%	30.5%	1.58×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	24.7%	24.1%	13.0%	1.86×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	23.5%	24.1%	38.8%	0.62×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.8%	13.3%	6.0%	2.22×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.2%	2.8%	2.7%	1.03×	35.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.5%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	36.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.5%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.4%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.42
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka not to score in both halves	72.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Kashiwa Reysol not to score in both halves	70.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Kashiwa Reysol to score in both halves	29.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Gamba Osaka to score in both halves	27.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.0%	60.3%	50.5%	1.19×	1.66
Only Kashiwa Reysol scores	18.3%	16.0%	17.8%	0.90×	6.24
Only Gamba Osaka scores	15.5%	16.0%	25.0%	0.64×	6.25
Neither team scores	4.2%	4.6%	7.0%	0.66×	21.67

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	21.3%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.4%	17.5%	12.2%	1.43×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.3%	12.1%	22.7%	0.54×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	10.8%	12.1%	5.9%	2.04×	8.25
6 or more goals	9.6%	7.6%	5.6%	1.35×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	4.2%	4.5%	7.0%	0.64×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	27.5%	28.3%	—	—	3.54
2 goals in 1st half	22.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	14.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.3%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	16.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.10

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka not to win both halves	91.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Kashiwa Reysol not to win both halves	88.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Kashiwa Reysol to win both halves	11.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Gamba Osaka to win both halves	9.0%	5.9%	—	—	16.87

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kashiwa Reysol to win either half	56.2%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Gamba Osaka to win either half	51.1%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Gamba Osaka to win neither half	48.9%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Kashiwa Reysol to win neither half	43.8%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka not to win to nil	84.5%	83.1%	75.0%	1.11×	1.20
Kashiwa Reysol not to win to nil	81.7%	83.1%	82.2%	1.01×	1.20
Kashiwa Reysol to win to nil	18.3%	16.9%	17.8%	0.95×	5.92
Gamba Osaka to win to nil	15.5%	16.9%	25.0%	0.68×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.3%	24.1%	26.1%	0.92×	4.15
Kashiwa Reysol by 1	20.5%	24.1%	19.4%	1.24×	4.15
Gamba Osaka by 1	18.8%	17.1%	25.0%	0.68×	5.86
Kashiwa Reysol by 2	12.3%	11.8%	6.1%	1.93×	8.51
Gamba Osaka by 2	10.3%	11.7%	12.0%	0.98×	8.51
Kashiwa Reysol by 3+	8.5%	7.2%	5.9%	1.21×	13.90
Gamba Osaka by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.91