Gamba Osaka v Machida Zelvia — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 December 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627
JPN-J League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyGamba Osaka win
26.7%
model 25.9%
Draw
22.2%
model 22.6%
Machida Zelvia win
51.1%
model 51.5%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 10.5%
- 1-2 9.7%
- 0-1 9.1%
- 0-2 8.0%
- 2-1 6.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 58.0% | Under 2.5 | 42.0% |
| BTTS yes | 58.4% | BTTS no | 41.6% |
| Gamba Osaka 1+ | 70.2% | Gamba Osaka 2+ | 34.1% |
| Machida Zelvia 1+ | 83.5% | Machida Zelvia 2+ | 53.8% |
Expected goals 1.21 – 1.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Machida Zelvia (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 31%
52.1% fair odds 1.92
strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 12.5 corners
Corners O/U
83.4% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1174 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Machida Zelvia carry the stronger rating, 1671 Elo against 1509.
- Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Machida Zelvia have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for Gamba Osaka and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.21 for Gamba Osaka and 1.80 for Machida Zelvia.
Why Gamba Osaka
Nothing in the data singles out Gamba Osaka.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Machida Zelvia can win
Machida Zelvia carry the stronger rating, 1671 Elo against 1509. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Gamba Osaka, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Machida Zelvia, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Gamba Osaka: 54% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Machida Zelvia: 50% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-21 11:56 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-21 15:05 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Machida Zelvia are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.21–1.80 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.16–1.59 | 1-1 12% | 52% | 54% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia to win | 47.5% | 47.4% | 31.1% | 1.52× | 2.11 |
| Gamba Osaka to win | 28.1% | 27.9% | 43.0% | 0.65× | 3.58 |
| Draw | 24.4% | 24.4% | 26.1% | 0.94× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia & not both score | 25.2% | 25.2% | 17.8% | 1.41× | 3.97 |
| Machida Zelvia & both teams score | 22.3% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 1.62× | 4.59 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.2% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 0.94× | 5.57 |
| Gamba Osaka & not both score | 14.3% | 13.3% | 25.0% | 0.53× | 7.53 |
| Gamba Osaka & both teams score | 13.8% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 0.73× | 7.53 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 1.18× | 12.02 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia & over 1.5 | 37.1% | 34.9% | 21.3% | 1.64× | 2.87 |
| Machida Zelvia & under 3.5 | 32.1% | 30.8% | 23.4% | 1.31× | 3.25 |
| Machida Zelvia & over 2.5 | 29.0% | 26.1% | 17.8% | 1.46× | 3.84 |
| Gamba Osaka & over 1.5 | 20.4% | 21.6% | 30.3% | 0.71× | 4.63 |
| Gamba Osaka & under 3.5 | 20.5% | 21.6% | 33.1% | 0.65× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.2% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 0.94× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 17.7% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 17.7% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Machida Zelvia & under 2.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 1.34× | 5.56 |
| Gamba Osaka & over 2.5 | 16.1% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 0.78× | 5.56 |
| Machida Zelvia & over 3.5 | 15.4% | 18.0% | 7.8% | 2.30× | 5.56 |
| Gamba Osaka & under 2.5 | 12.0% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.79 |
| Machida Zelvia & under 1.5 | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 1.28× | 7.79 |
| Gamba Osaka & under 1.5 | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 0.62× | 12.63 |
| Gamba Osaka & over 3.5 | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 0.79× | 12.63 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.13× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.33× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.33× | 12.63 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (1UP) | 62.6% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Gamba Osaka (1UP) | 45.8% | 43.9% | — | — | 2.28 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (2UP) | 47.5% | 50.1% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Gamba Osaka (2UP) | 28.1% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.96 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia to win 2nd half | 41.1% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| 2nd half drawn | 34.4% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| Gamba Osaka to win 2nd half | 24.5% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.11 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia under 1.5 in 2nd half | 75.3% | 78.9% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Machida Zelvia over 0.5 in 2nd half | 61.4% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Machida Zelvia under 0.5 in 2nd half | 38.6% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| Machida Zelvia over 1.5 in 2nd half | 24.7% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.73 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 2nd half | 85.7% | 88.2% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 2nd half | 51.6% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 2nd half | 48.4% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
| Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 2nd half | 14.3% | 11.8% | — | — | 8.47 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (+2.5) | 96.5% | 96.3% | 93.8% | 1.03× | 1.04 |
| Machida Zelvia (+1.5) | 88.9% | 88.5% | 81.9% | 1.08× | 1.13 |
| Machida Zelvia (+0.5) | 71.9% | 73.6% | 57.0% | 1.29× | 1.36 |
| Gamba Osaka (+0.5) | 52.5% | 52.4% | 68.9% | 0.76× | 1.91 |
| Machida Zelvia (-0.5) | 47.5% | 47.6% | 31.1% | 1.53× | 2.10 |
| Gamba Osaka (-0.5) | 28.1% | 26.4% | 43.0% | 0.61× | 3.80 |
| Gamba Osaka (-1.5) | 11.1% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 0.64× | 8.67 |
| Gamba Osaka (-2.5) | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 0.59× | 27.08 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia to concede | 68.7% | 72.4% | 75.3% | 0.96× | 1.38 |
| Machida Zelvia clean sheet | 31.3% | 27.6% | 24.7% | 1.12× | 3.62 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia clean sheet in 1st half | 60.7% | 65.0% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Machida Zelvia to concede in 1st half | 39.3% | 35.0% | — | — | 2.86 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia clean sheet in 2nd half | 51.6% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Machida Zelvia to concede in 2nd half | 48.4% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia under 6.5 corners | 84.2% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Machida Zelvia over 2.5 corners | 74.6% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Machida Zelvia under 5.5 corners | 73.9% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Machida Zelvia under 4.5 corners | 59.8% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Machida Zelvia over 3.5 corners | 57.2% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Machida Zelvia under 3.5 corners | 42.8% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Machida Zelvia over 4.5 corners | 40.2% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Machida Zelvia over 5.5 corners | 26.1% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Machida Zelvia under 2.5 corners | 25.4% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Machida Zelvia over 6.5 corners | 15.8% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia under 3.5 goals | 92.3% | 92.3% | 95.9% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Machida Zelvia over 0.5 goals | 79.6% | 76.3% | 68.1% | 1.12× | 1.31 |
| Machida Zelvia under 2.5 goals | 78.7% | 76.3% | 87.8% | 0.87× | 1.31 |
| Machida Zelvia under 1.5 goals | 52.9% | 53.5% | 68.3% | 0.78× | 1.87 |
| Machida Zelvia over 1.5 goals | 47.1% | 46.5% | 31.7% | 1.46× | 2.15 |
| Machida Zelvia over 2.5 goals | 21.3% | 23.7% | 12.2% | 1.95× | 4.21 |
| Machida Zelvia under 0.5 goals | 20.4% | 23.7% | 31.9% | 0.74× | 4.22 |
| Machida Zelvia over 3.5 goals | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.89× | 13.05 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.6% | 89.3% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Machida Zelvia under 0.5 in 1st half | 53.0% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Machida Zelvia over 0.5 in 1st half | 47.0% | 44.5% | — | — | 2.25 |
| Machida Zelvia over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.4% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.32 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia scores more in 2nd half | 41.7% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.31 |
| Machida Zelvia scores equally in both | 34.8% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Machida Zelvia scores more in 1st half | 23.5% | 22.0% | — | — | 4.55 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka (away no bet) | 53.6% | 51.7% | 62.2% | 0.83× | 1.93 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 46.4% | 48.3% | 37.8% | 1.28× | 2.07 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia even goals | 52.1% | 52.6% | 54.2% | 0.97× | 1.90 |
| Machida Zelvia odd goals | 47.9% | 47.4% | 45.8% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 85.0% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 15.0% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.83 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 64.2% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 35.9% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 56.4% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Machida Zelvia to score 2+ in a row | 38.8% | 36.7% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Gamba Osaka to score 2+ in a row | 23.8% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.09 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 20.2% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Machida Zelvia to score 3+ in a row | 14.3% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.27 |
| Gamba Osaka to score 3+ in a row | 6.2% | 5.5% | — | — | 18.05 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia corners (+3.5) | 88.1% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (+3.5) | 84.8% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Machida Zelvia corners (+2.5) | 80.8% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (+2.5) | 76.4% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Machida Zelvia corners (+1.5) | 71.1% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (+1.5) | 65.7% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Machida Zelvia corners (-1.5) | 34.3% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (-1.5) | 28.9% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Machida Zelvia corners (-2.5) | 23.6% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (-2.5) | 19.2% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Machida Zelvia corners (-3.5) | 15.2% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Gamba Osaka corners (-3.5) | 11.9% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 57.8% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
| 9-11 corners | 27.2% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
| 12+ corners | 14.9% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.71 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 90.3% | 83.4% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 85.1% | 83.1% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 78.0% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 68.8% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 57.8% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 54.4% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 45.6% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 42.2% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 31.2% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 22.0% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 14.9% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.90 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 9.7% | 16.6% | — | — | 6.01 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 0.85× | 8.72 |
| 0-1 | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 1.15× | 8.72 |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 1.03× | 13.50 |
| 0-2 | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.06× | 13.50 |
| 1-0 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 0.58× | 13.50 |
| 2-1 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.75× | 13.51 |
| 0-0 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.05× | 13.51 |
| 2-2 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.44× | 13.51 |
| 1-3 | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.73× | 58.29 |
| 0-3 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.55× | 58.30 |
| 0-4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.57× | 58.31 |
| 1-4 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.20× | 58.31 |
| 2-0 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 7.3% | 0.23× | 58.29 |
| 2-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.91× | 58.30 |
| 2-4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 58.31 |
| 3-0 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.31 |
| 3-1 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.58× | 58.30 |
| 3-2 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 58.31 |
| 3-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.20× | 58.31 |
| 3-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.74× | 58.32 |
| 4-0 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.37× | 58.32 |
| 4-1 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.66× | 58.31 |
| 4-2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.10× | 58.32 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.49× | 58.32 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.49× | 58.32 |
| Any other score | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 0.52× | 58.30 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (2nd half DNB) | 62.6% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Gamba Osaka (2nd half DNB) | 37.4% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.67 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia leading at HT (DNB) | 57.7% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Gamba Osaka leading at HT (DNB) | 42.3% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka or Machida Zelvia (12) | 75.6% | 75.6% | 73.9% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| Machida Zelvia or draw (X2) | 71.9% | 72.1% | 57.0% | 1.26× | 1.39 |
| Gamba Osaka or draw (1X) | 52.5% | 52.6% | 68.9% | 0.76× | 1.90 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia or draw at HT | 75.9% | 79.0% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Gamba Osaka or draw at HT | 67.2% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Gamba Osaka or Machida Zelvia at HT | 56.9% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia or draw (1UP) | 71.9% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Gamba Osaka or draw (1UP) | 52.5% | 58.7% | — | — | 1.70 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia or draw in 2nd half | 75.5% | 75.7% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Gamba Osaka or Machida Zelvia in 2nd half | 65.6% | 65.7% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Gamba Osaka or draw in 2nd half | 58.9% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 63.0% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 37.0% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (DNB) | 62.8% | 62.7% | 42.0% | 1.49× | 1.59 |
| Gamba Osaka (DNB) | 37.2% | 37.3% | 58.0% | 0.64× | 2.68 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia to score first | 54.2% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Gamba Osaka to score first | 39.6% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| No goal scored | 6.1% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.49 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 54.4% | 51.3% | 50.5% | 1.02× | 1.95 |
| Not both teams to score | 45.6% | 48.7% | 49.5% | 0.98× | 2.05 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 42.8% | 41.6% | 37.2% | 1.12× | 2.41 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 36.6% | 38.4% | 40.2% | 0.96× | 2.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 0.92× | 8.10 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 0.87× | 12.06 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 84.8% | 82.6% | 86.3% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 15.2% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 1.26× | 5.76 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 70.4% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 29.6% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 57.4% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.2% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.73 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.9% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.35 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.5% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.79 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.6% | 83.2% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.4% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 54.2% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
| A half without a goal | 45.8% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.1% | 47.2% | 47.2% | 1.00× | 2.12 |
| 4-6 goals | 27.4% | 26.6% | 20.9% | 1.27× | 3.76 |
| 0-1 goals | 24.3% | 22.9% | 29.5% | 0.78× | 4.36 |
| 7+ goals | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.69× | 54.28 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia to score exactly 1 | 32.5% | 33.8% | 36.6% | 0.93× | 2.96 |
| Machida Zelvia to score exactly 2 | 25.8% | 27.4% | 19.7% | 1.39× | 3.66 |
| Machida Zelvia to score 3+ | 21.3% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 1.83× | 4.49 |
| Machida Zelvia to score exactly 0 | 20.4% | 22.3% | 31.9% | 0.70× | 4.49 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka to score exactly 1 | 36.4% | 35.6% | 36.3% | 0.98× | 2.81 |
| Gamba Osaka to score exactly 0 | 31.3% | 32.5% | 24.7% | 1.32× | 3.07 |
| Gamba Osaka to score exactly 2 | 21.1% | 23.3% | 24.5% | 0.95× | 4.29 |
| Gamba Osaka to score 3+ | 11.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 0.96× | 6.99 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 43.1% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Machida Zelvia leading at HT | 32.8% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Gamba Osaka leading at HT | 24.1% | 21.0% | — | — | 4.77 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia -1: 1 | 52.5% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Machida Zelvia -1: 2 | 24.3% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.25 |
| Machida Zelvia -1: X | 23.2% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (0:1) | 71.9% | 71.0% | 57.0% | 1.25× | 1.41 |
| Draw (0:1) | 17.0% | 17.8% | 25.0% | 0.71× | 5.61 |
| Gamba Osaka (0:1) | 11.1% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 0.76× | 7.30 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (0:2) | 88.9% | 87.1% | 81.9% | 1.06× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 0.64× | 13.04 |
| Gamba Osaka (0:2) | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 0.60× | 26.66 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (0:3) | 96.5% | 96.6% | 93.8% | 1.03× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 0.56× | 42.08 |
| Gamba Osaka (0:3) | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.08× | 42.15 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (0:4) | 99.1% | 98.1% | 97.8% | 1.00× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.87× | 82.03 |
| Gamba Osaka (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.30× | 82.08 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka (1:0) | 52.5% | 54.0% | 68.9% | 0.78× | 1.85 |
| Machida Zelvia (1:0) | 24.3% | 21.7% | 11.9% | 1.83× | 4.61 |
| Draw (1:0) | 23.2% | 21.7% | 19.4% | 1.12× | 4.61 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka (2:0) | 75.7% | 80.4% | 88.1% | 0.91× | 1.24 |
| Draw (2:0) | 14.3% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 1.69× | 9.70 |
| Machida Zelvia (2:0) | 10.0% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 1.73× | 9.74 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.7% | 48.8% | — | — | 2.05 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.9% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Halves equal | 24.3% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.10 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka to concede | 79.6% | 76.1% | 68.1% | 1.12× | 1.31 |
| Gamba Osaka clean sheet | 20.4% | 23.9% | 31.9% | 0.75× | 4.19 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 1st half | 53.0% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Gamba Osaka to concede in 1st half | 47.0% | 44.5% | — | — | 2.25 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka to concede in 2nd half | 61.4% | 59.7% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 2nd half | 38.6% | 40.3% | — | — | 2.48 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka under 6.5 corners | 87.0% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Gamba Osaka under 5.5 corners | 77.6% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Gamba Osaka over 2.5 corners | 71.4% | 71.8% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Gamba Osaka under 4.5 corners | 64.1% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Gamba Osaka over 3.5 corners | 53.0% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Gamba Osaka under 3.5 corners | 47.0% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Gamba Osaka over 4.5 corners | 35.9% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Gamba Osaka under 2.5 corners | 28.6% | 28.2% | — | — | 3.55 |
| Gamba Osaka over 5.5 corners | 22.4% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| Gamba Osaka over 6.5 corners | 13.0% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.26 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka under 3.5 goals | 97.0% | 96.4% | 94.8% | 1.02× | 1.04 |
| Gamba Osaka under 2.5 goals | 88.8% | 87.3% | 85.2% | 1.02× | 1.15 |
| Gamba Osaka over 0.5 goals | 68.7% | 68.0% | 75.3% | 0.90× | 1.47 |
| Gamba Osaka under 1.5 goals | 67.7% | 68.0% | 60.8% | 1.12× | 1.47 |
| Gamba Osaka over 1.5 goals | 32.3% | 32.0% | 39.2% | 0.82× | 3.12 |
| Gamba Osaka under 0.5 goals | 31.3% | 32.0% | 24.7% | 1.30× | 3.12 |
| Gamba Osaka over 2.5 goals | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 0.86× | 7.85 |
| Gamba Osaka over 3.5 goals | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 0.70× | 27.52 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.0% | 94.7% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half | 60.7% | 64.8% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half | 39.3% | 35.2% | — | — | 2.84 |
| Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.0% | 5.3% | — | — | 18.70 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka scores equally in both | 42.6% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Gamba Osaka scores more in 2nd half | 33.9% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
| Gamba Osaka scores more in 1st half | 23.5% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.71 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia (home no bet) | 66.1% | 64.1% | 54.4% | 1.18× | 1.56 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 33.9% | 35.9% | 45.6% | 0.79× | 2.79 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka even goals | 54.9% | 50.7% | 52.7% | 0.96× | 1.97 |
| Gamba Osaka odd goals | 45.1% | 49.3% | 47.3% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 32.1% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
| HT 0-1 | 20.5% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.10 |
| HT 1-0 | 16.1% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.39 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.2% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.10 |
| HT 0-2 | 6.5% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.50 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.0% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.02 |
| Any other HT score | 4.1% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.01 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.2% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.07 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.5% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.11 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.23 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia at HT / Machida Zelvia at FT | 26.6% | 27.2% | — | — | 3.68 |
| Draw at HT / Machida Zelvia at FT | 17.9% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.98 |
| Gamba Osaka at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT | 15.7% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.99 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Draw at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT | 10.7% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.92 |
| Gamba Osaka at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.68 |
| Machida Zelvia at HT / Draw at FT | 4.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.60 |
| Gamba Osaka at HT / Machida Zelvia at FT | 3.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.65 |
| Machida Zelvia at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT | 1.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.70 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia to score last | 54.2% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Gamba Osaka to score last | 39.7% | 38.8% | — | — | 2.58 |
| No goal scored | 6.1% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.49 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.9% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Machida Zelvia to lead by 1 at any time | 62.6% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 47.1% | 44.6% | — | — | 2.25 |
| Gamba Osaka to lead by 1 at any time | 45.8% | 44.5% | — | — | 2.25 |
| Machida Zelvia to lead by 2 at any time | 30.8% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 17.1% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.69 |
| Gamba Osaka to lead by 2 at any time | 16.5% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.70 |
| Machida Zelvia to lead by 3 at any time | 12.3% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.56 |
| Gamba Osaka to lead by 3 at any time | 4.8% | 1.7% | — | — | 60.12 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia most corners | 46.6% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Gamba Osaka most corners | 40.7% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Corners level | 12.7% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.8% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.4% | 78.7% | 81.7% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 73.5% | 72.4% | 68.0% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.7% | 68.8% | 65.0% | 1.06× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 64.2% | 63.3% | 69.7% | 0.91× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.3% | 63.3% | 59.2% | 1.07× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 49.6% | 48.5% | 44.1% | 1.10× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.1% | 48.5% | 47.2% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 45.8% | 48.5% | 41.1% | 1.18× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 42.0% | 43.6% | 46.6% | 0.94× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 37.4% | 39.2% | 35.3% | 1.11× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 27.4% | 30.2% | 20.9% | 1.44× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 23.6% | 24.5% | 18.0% | 1.36× | 4.08 |
| 5-6 goals | 12.2% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 1.66× | 6.75 |
| 7+ goals | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.96× | 39.12 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia never behind | 48.1% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Gamba Osaka never behind | 31.3% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.77 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.7% | 50.9% | 46.7% | 1.09× | 1.96 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.3% | 49.1% | 53.3% | 0.92× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.1% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.9% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.8% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.2% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.9% | 92.3% | 94.4% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.9% | 92.3% | 93.0% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85.6% | 87.6% | 88.6% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.7% | 77.3% | 70.5% | 1.10× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70.3% | 72.5% | 76.6% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.8% | 52.5% | 46.6% | 1.13× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.2% | 47.5% | 53.4% | 0.89× | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.7% | 27.6% | 23.4% | 1.18× | 3.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24.3% | 22.7% | 29.5% | 0.77× | 4.40 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 1.09× | 8.06 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 1.10× | 12.94 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 1.37× | 12.94 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.7% | 97.2% | 97.3% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 93.4% | 92.4% | 94.0% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 83.0% | 81.1% | 87.0% | 0.93× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 68.1% | 67.5% | 61.2% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 61.9% | 61.9% | 69.5% | 0.89× | 1.62 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 38.1% | 38.1% | 30.5% | 1.25× | 2.63 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 31.9% | 32.5% | 38.8% | 0.84× | 3.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 17.0% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 1.46× | 5.29 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 1.27× | 13.16 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.03× | 35.59 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 89.3% | 89.2% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 68.7% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 67.9% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 32.1% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.17 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 31.3% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.17 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.7% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.30 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 80.2% | 83.1% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 78.0% | 79.4% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 52.1% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.9% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 22.0% | 20.6% | — | — | 4.85 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 19.8% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.93 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka not to score in both halves | 81.0% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Machida Zelvia not to score in both halves | 71.1% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Machida Zelvia to score in both halves | 28.9% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| Gamba Osaka to score in both halves | 19.0% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.36 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 54.4% | 53.9% | 50.5% | 1.07× | 1.86 |
| Only Machida Zelvia scores | 25.2% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 1.46× | 3.84 |
| Only Gamba Osaka scores | 14.3% | 11.0% | 25.0% | 0.44× | 9.05 |
| Neither team scores | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 1.01× | 14.05 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.9% | 22.6% | 24.1% | 0.94× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.2% | 22.6% | 23.3% | 0.97× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 18.1% | 17.5% | 22.7% | 0.77× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.2% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 1.43× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.28× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 1.08× | 13.14 |
| 6 or more goals | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 1.35× | 13.14 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 36.6% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.67 |
| No goals in 1st half | 32.1% | 35.8% | — | — | 2.79 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 20.6% | 21.5% | — | — | 4.65 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 10.7% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.37 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 47.9% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.3% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 19.8% | 16.5% | — | — | 6.05 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka not to win both halves | 94.1% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Machida Zelvia not to win both halves | 86.6% | 87.8% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Machida Zelvia to win both halves | 13.4% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.23 |
| Gamba Osaka to win both halves | 5.9% | 5.9% | — | — | 17.10 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia to win either half | 60.5% | 65.0% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Gamba Osaka to win neither half | 57.3% | 59.1% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Gamba Osaka to win either half | 42.7% | 40.9% | — | — | 2.44 |
| Machida Zelvia to win neither half | 39.5% | 35.0% | — | — | 2.86 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka not to win to nil | 85.7% | 88.1% | 75.0% | 1.17× | 1.14 |
| Machida Zelvia not to win to nil | 74.8% | 75.4% | 82.2% | 0.92× | 1.33 |
| Machida Zelvia to win to nil | 25.2% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 1.38× | 4.06 |
| Gamba Osaka to win to nil | 14.3% | 11.9% | 25.0% | 0.48× | 8.40 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 24.4% | 24.1% | 26.1% | 0.92× | 4.15 |
| Machida Zelvia by 1 | 23.2% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 1.24× | 4.15 |
| Gamba Osaka by 1 | 17.0% | 17.0% | 25.0% | 0.68× | 5.87 |
| Machida Zelvia by 2 | 14.3% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.93× | 8.50 |
| Machida Zelvia by 3+ | 10.0% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 1.98× | 8.51 |
| Gamba Osaka by 2 | 7.7% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 0.60× | 13.91 |
| Gamba Osaka by 3+ | 3.5% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 0.43× | 36.80 |