Gandzasar v Urartu — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Friday 18 September 2026 · ARM-Premier League · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,259 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.4%
- 1-2 9.9%
- 0-1 9.8%
- 0-2 9.7%
- 0-0 6.4%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 54.8% | Under 2.5 | 45.2% |
| BTTS yes | 54.7% | BTTS no | 45.3% |
| Gandzasar 1+ | 64.0% | Gandzasar 2+ | 27.2% |
| Urartu 1+ | 84.3% | Urartu 2+ | 55.2% |
Expected goals 1.02 – 1.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Urartu have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Gandzasar have allowed 1.35.
- Away from home Urartu average 1.35 xG a match.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Gandzasar have only 0 matches on record.
- Urartu have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Urartu have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 23.7% for the draw and 17.9% for Gandzasar. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.02 for Gandzasar and 1.85 for Urartu.
Why Gandzasar
Gandzasar have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Urartu have allowed 1.35. At home Gandzasar average 1.35 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.7%.
Why Urartu can win
Urartu have created 1.35 xG a match over their last five while Gandzasar have allowed 1.35. Away from home Urartu average 1.35 xG a match.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Gandzasar, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Urartu, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Gandzasar: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Urartu: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·
Urartu are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.02–1.85 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.06–1.93 | 1-1 11% | 57% | 57% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu to win | 56.8% | 53.6% | 30.6% | 1.75× | 1.87 |
| Draw | 23.4% | 24.6% | 25.0% | 0.98× | 4.07 |
| Gandzasar to win | 19.8% | 19.4% | 44.4% | 0.44× | 5.15 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu & not both score | 28.9% | 25.5% | 16.0% | 1.60× | 3.93 |
| Urartu & both teams score | 27.9% | 25.5% | 14.6% | 1.74× | 3.93 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.6% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 1.02× | 5.55 |
| Gandzasar & both teams score | 11.0% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 0.66× | 7.55 |
| Gandzasar & not both score | 8.9% | 8.4% | 24.4% | 0.34× | 11.94 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 1.15× | 11.95 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu & over 1.5 | 47.8% | 44.8% | 23.1% | 1.94× | 2.23 |
| Urartu & over 2.5 | 38.4% | 34.7% | 18.4% | 1.89× | 2.89 |
| Urartu & under 3.5 | 34.3% | 31.1% | 21.6% | 1.44× | 3.22 |
| Urartu & over 3.5 | 22.5% | 21.6% | 9.0% | 2.40× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.6% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 1.02× | 5.57 |
| Urartu & under 2.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 1.47× | 5.57 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 16.7% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 0.96× | 5.57 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 16.7% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 0.96× | 5.57 |
| Gandzasar & over 1.5 | 15.2% | 18.0% | 34.1% | 0.53× | 5.57 |
| Gandzasar & under 3.5 | 14.0% | 12.9% | 30.3% | 0.43× | 7.77 |
| Gandzasar & over 2.5 | 12.3% | 12.9% | 26.9% | 0.48× | 7.78 |
| Urartu & under 1.5 | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 1.06× | 12.56 |
| Gandzasar & under 2.5 | 7.5% | 8.0% | 17.5% | 0.45× | 12.56 |
| Gandzasar & over 3.5 | 5.8% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 0.56× | 12.57 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 1.28× | 12.56 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 1.28× | 12.56 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 1.09× | 12.57 |
| Gandzasar & under 1.5 | 4.7% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 0.47× | 20.52 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (1UP) | 70.7% | 75.7% | 50.4% | 1.50× | 1.32 |
| Gandzasar (1UP) | 38.8% | 34.5% | 59.8% | 0.58× | 2.90 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (2UP) | 56.8% | 55.1% | 34.2% | 1.61× | 1.82 |
| Gandzasar (2UP) | 19.8% | 17.7% | 45.2% | 0.39× | 5.66 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu to win 2nd half | 48.9% | 45.6% | 29.7% | 1.54× | 2.19 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.0% | 34.5% | 32.7% | 1.05× | 2.90 |
| Gandzasar to win 2nd half | 19.1% | 19.2% | 37.7% | 0.51× | 5.22 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu over 0.5 in 2nd half | 68.5% | 70.9% | 53.4% | 1.33× | 1.41 |
| Urartu under 1.5 in 2nd half | 67.9% | 70.9% | 82.3% | 0.86× | 1.41 |
| Urartu over 1.5 in 2nd half | 32.1% | 29.1% | 17.7% | 1.65× | 3.43 |
| Urartu under 0.5 in 2nd half | 31.5% | 29.1% | 46.6% | 0.62× | 3.44 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar under 1.5 in 2nd half | 87.7% | 88.0% | 77.4% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| Gandzasar under 0.5 in 2nd half | 54.6% | 53.4% | 41.4% | 1.29× | 1.87 |
| Gandzasar over 0.5 in 2nd half | 45.4% | 46.6% | 58.7% | 0.79× | 2.15 |
| Gandzasar over 1.5 in 2nd half | 12.3% | 12.0% | 22.6% | 0.53× | 8.30 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (+2.5) | 97.9% | 96.3% | 90.1% | 1.07× | 1.04 |
| Urartu (+1.5) | 92.5% | 92.1% | 77.7% | 1.19× | 1.09 |
| Urartu (+0.5) | 80.2% | 82.6% | 55.6% | 1.49× | 1.21 |
| Urartu (-0.5) | 56.8% | 56.9% | 30.6% | 1.86× | 1.76 |
| Gandzasar (+0.5) | 43.2% | 43.1% | 69.4% | 0.62× | 2.32 |
| Gandzasar (-0.5) | 19.8% | 17.4% | 44.4% | 0.39× | 5.74 |
| Gandzasar (-1.5) | 7.5% | 7.9% | 22.3% | 0.35× | 12.67 |
| Gandzasar (-2.5) | 2.1% | 3.7% | 9.9% | 0.38× | 26.85 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu to concede | 65.4% | 72.4% | 76.7% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| Urartu clean sheet | 34.6% | 27.6% | 23.3% | 1.19× | 3.62 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu clean sheet in 1st half | 63.4% | 64.9% | 51.8% | 1.25× | 1.54 |
| Urartu to concede in 1st half | 36.6% | 35.1% | 48.2% | 0.73× | 2.85 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu clean sheet in 2nd half | 54.6% | 53.0% | 41.4% | 1.28× | 1.89 |
| Urartu to concede in 2nd half | 45.4% | 47.0% | 58.7% | 0.80× | 2.13 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu under 3.5 goals | 87.1% | 87.9% | 95.7% | 0.92× | 1.14 |
| Urartu over 0.5 goals | 85.4% | 87.9% | 68.3% | 1.29× | 1.14 |
| Urartu under 2.5 goals | 69.7% | 67.9% | 87.0% | 0.78× | 1.47 |
| Urartu over 1.5 goals | 57.3% | 59.0% | 33.7% | 1.75× | 1.70 |
| Urartu under 1.5 goals | 42.7% | 41.0% | 66.3% | 0.62× | 2.44 |
| Urartu over 2.5 goals | 30.3% | 32.1% | 13.0% | 2.48× | 3.11 |
| Urartu under 0.5 goals | 14.6% | 12.1% | 31.7% | 0.38× | 8.25 |
| Urartu over 3.5 goals | 12.9% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 2.79× | 8.26 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu under 1.5 in 1st half | 82.0% | 82.9% | 89.4% | 0.93× | 1.21 |
| Urartu over 0.5 in 1st half | 53.7% | 55.8% | 41.0% | 1.36× | 1.79 |
| Urartu under 0.5 in 1st half | 46.3% | 44.2% | 59.0% | 0.75× | 2.26 |
| Urartu over 1.5 in 1st half | 18.0% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 1.61× | 5.85 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu scores more in 2nd half | 44.8% | 43.9% | 36.5% | 1.20× | 2.28 |
| Urartu scores equally in both | 30.8% | 34.1% | 40.6% | 0.84× | 2.94 |
| Urartu scores more in 1st half | 24.5% | 22.5% | 22.9% | 0.98× | 4.45 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 54.1% | 51.3% | 36.0% | 1.43× | 1.95 |
| Gandzasar (away no bet) | 45.9% | 48.7% | 64.0% | 0.76× | 2.05 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu even goals | 51.1% | 52.8% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.89 |
| Urartu odd goals | 48.9% | 47.2% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 81.8% | 82.9% | 82.7% | 1.00× | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 18.2% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 0.99× | 5.86 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 69.3% | 68.6% | 66.2% | 1.04× | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 30.7% | 31.4% | 33.8% | 0.93× | 3.19 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 62.0% | 59.9% | 58.6% | 1.02× | 1.67 |
| Urartu to score 2+ in a row | 49.1% | 46.0% | 28.6% | 1.61× | 2.18 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 25.7% | 25.0% | 22.9% | 1.09× | 4.00 |
| Urartu to score 3+ in a row | 21.5% | 19.5% | 9.1% | 2.14× | 5.14 |
| Gandzasar to score 2+ in a row | 19.7% | 16.4% | 36.9% | 0.44× | 6.11 |
| Gandzasar to score 3+ in a row | 4.5% | 2.6% | 14.2% | 0.19× | 37.88 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 0.99× | 8.80 |
| 0-1 | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 0.98× | 13.53 |
| 0-2 | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.57× | 13.53 |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.05× | 13.53 |
| 1-3 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 2.68× | 13.54 |
| 0-0 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1.01× | 13.54 |
| 0-3 | 6.0% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 3.18× | 13.54 |
| 2-1 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 0.84× | 13.54 |
| 2-2 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.45× | 13.54 |
| Any other score | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.81× | 13.54 |
| 0-4 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.96× | 57.57 |
| 1-0 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 10.4% | 0.17× | 57.56 |
| 1-4 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.71× | 57.56 |
| 2-0 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 7.2% | 0.24× | 57.57 |
| 2-3 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.85× | 57.56 |
| 2-4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.93× | 57.57 |
| 3-0 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 57.57 |
| 3-1 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 0.42× | 57.57 |
| 3-2 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.67× | 57.57 |
| 3-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.74× | 57.57 |
| 3-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.71× | 57.58 |
| 4-0 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.99× | 57.58 |
| 4-1 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.04× | 57.58 |
| 4-2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.90× | 57.58 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.68× | 57.58 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 16.38× | 57.58 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (2nd half DNB) | 71.9% | 68.2% | 44.1% | 1.55× | 1.47 |
| Gandzasar (2nd half DNB) | 28.1% | 31.8% | 55.9% | 0.57× | 3.14 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu leading at HT (DNB) | 66.6% | 73.3% | 43.3% | 1.69× | 1.37 |
| Gandzasar leading at HT (DNB) | 33.4% | 26.7% | 56.7% | 0.47× | 3.74 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu or draw (X2) | 80.2% | 80.6% | 55.6% | 1.45× | 1.24 |
| Gandzasar or Urartu (12) | 76.6% | 75.4% | 75.0% | 1.01× | 1.33 |
| Gandzasar or draw (1X) | 43.2% | 46.4% | 69.4% | 0.67× | 2.16 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu or draw at HT | 80.2% | 84.3% | 66.2% | 1.27× | 1.19 |
| Gandzasar or draw at HT | 60.6% | 62.0% | 74.1% | 0.84× | 1.61 |
| Gandzasar or Urartu at HT | 59.2% | 57.0% | 59.7% | 0.96× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu or draw (1UP) | 80.2% | 88.2% | 63.9% | 1.38× | 1.13 |
| Gandzasar or draw (1UP) | 43.2% | 52.7% | 74.2% | 0.71× | 1.90 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu or draw in 2nd half | 80.9% | 80.8% | 62.3% | 1.30× | 1.24 |
| Gandzasar or Urartu in 2nd half | 68.0% | 65.5% | 67.3% | 0.97× | 1.53 |
| Gandzasar or draw in 2nd half | 51.1% | 54.4% | 70.3% | 0.77× | 1.84 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 59.0% | 58.0% | 58.9% | 0.99× | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 41.0% | 42.0% | 41.1% | 1.02× | 2.38 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (DNB) | 74.1% | 71.1% | 40.8% | 1.74× | 1.41 |
| Gandzasar (DNB) | 25.9% | 28.9% | 59.2% | 0.49× | 3.46 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu to score first | 60.8% | 64.4% | 42.9% | 1.50× | 1.55 |
| Gandzasar to score first | 33.5% | 27.3% | 51.2% | 0.53× | 3.67 |
| No goal scored | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.26× | 13.43 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 56.5% | 54.8% | 52.4% | 1.05× | 1.83 |
| Not both teams to score | 43.5% | 45.2% | 47.6% | 0.95× | 2.21 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 45.5% | 44.1% | 40.9% | 1.08× | 2.27 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 31.6% | 34.3% | 37.1% | 0.93× | 2.91 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 1.16× | 8.15 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 1.07× | 8.15 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 83.6% | 82.5% | 86.0% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 16.4% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 1.25× | 5.71 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 68.7% | 67.6% | 70.2% | 0.96× | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 31.3% | 32.4% | 29.8% | 1.09× | 3.09 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 55.0% | 59.2% | 57.8% | 1.02× | 1.69 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 25.2% | 26.5% | 23.8% | 1.12× | 3.77 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 0.86× | 9.31 |
| Both score in both halves | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 1.12× | 14.84 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 80.2% | 82.4% | 81.5% | 1.01× | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 19.8% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 0.96× | 5.67 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 58.8% | 57.4% | 58.9% | 0.97× | 1.74 |
| A half without a goal | 41.2% | 42.6% | 41.1% | 1.04× | 2.35 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.6% | 46.9% | 45.4% | 1.03× | 2.13 |
| 4-6 goals | 31.7% | 30.9% | 27.0% | 1.15× | 3.24 |
| 0-1 goals | 19.4% | 20.3% | 25.2% | 0.80× | 4.94 |
| 7+ goals | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.77× | 53.81 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu to score 3+ | 30.3% | 33.6% | 13.0% | 2.60× | 2.97 |
| Urartu to score exactly 1 | 28.1% | 27.6% | 34.6% | 0.80× | 3.62 |
| Urartu to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 27.6% | 20.8% | 1.33× | 3.62 |
| Urartu to score exactly 0 | 14.6% | 13.0% | 31.7% | 0.41× | 7.69 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar to score exactly 1 | 36.7% | 35.5% | 33.1% | 1.07× | 2.81 |
| Gandzasar to score exactly 0 | 34.6% | 32.6% | 23.3% | 1.40× | 3.06 |
| Gandzasar to score exactly 2 | 19.5% | 19.2% | 24.0% | 0.80× | 5.21 |
| Gandzasar to score 3+ | 9.2% | 10.5% | 19.7% | 0.53× | 9.52 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 40.8% | 43.0% | 40.3% | 1.07× | 2.33 |
| Urartu leading at HT | 39.4% | 38.0% | 25.9% | 1.47× | 2.63 |
| Gandzasar leading at HT | 19.8% | 15.7% | 33.8% | 0.46× | 6.37 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu -1: 1 | 43.2% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Urartu -1: 2 | 33.8% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Urartu -1: X | 23.0% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.23 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (0:1) | 80.2% | 77.2% | 55.6% | 1.39× | 1.30 |
| Draw (0:1) | 12.4% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 0.63× | 7.17 |
| Gandzasar (0:1) | 7.5% | 9.1% | 22.3% | 0.41× | 10.96 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (0:2) | 92.5% | 91.0% | 77.7% | 1.17× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:2) | 5.3% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 0.62× | 13.01 |
| Gandzasar (0:2) | 2.1% | 3.8% | 9.9% | 0.38× | 26.49 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (0:3) | 97.9% | 96.6% | 90.1% | 1.07× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 0.40× | 42.33 |
| Gandzasar (0:3) | 0.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 0.58× | 42.38 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (0:4) | 99.5% | 98.1% | 96.0% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.48× | 81.92 |
| Gandzasar (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.81× | 81.95 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar (1:0) | 43.2% | 44.3% | 69.4% | 0.64× | 2.26 |
| Urartu (1:0) | 33.8% | 29.1% | 13.6% | 2.15× | 3.44 |
| Draw (1:0) | 23.0% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 1.28× | 4.60 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar (2:0) | 66.2% | 72.4% | 86.4% | 0.84× | 1.38 |
| Draw (2:0) | 17.6% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 1.90× | 6.47 |
| Urartu (2:0) | 16.2% | 15.4% | 5.4% | 2.84× | 6.48 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.3% | 48.2% | 48.6% | 0.99× | 2.07 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.2% | 26.5% | 26.3% | 1.01× | 3.78 |
| Halves equal | 24.5% | 24.1% | 25.2% | 0.96× | 4.15 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar to concede | 85.4% | 86.2% | 68.3% | 1.26× | 1.16 |
| Gandzasar clean sheet | 14.6% | 13.8% | 31.7% | 0.43× | 7.27 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar to concede in 1st half | 53.7% | 55.8% | 41.0% | 1.36× | 1.79 |
| Gandzasar clean sheet in 1st half | 46.3% | 44.2% | 59.0% | 0.75× | 2.26 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar to concede in 2nd half | 68.5% | 68.4% | 53.4% | 1.28× | 1.46 |
| Gandzasar clean sheet in 2nd half | 31.5% | 31.6% | 46.6% | 0.68× | 3.17 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar under 3.5 goals | 97.7% | 96.3% | 92.4% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Gandzasar under 2.5 goals | 90.8% | 92.1% | 80.3% | 1.15× | 1.09 |
| Gandzasar under 1.5 goals | 71.3% | 74.3% | 56.3% | 1.32× | 1.35 |
| Gandzasar over 0.5 goals | 65.4% | 67.9% | 76.7% | 0.88× | 1.47 |
| Gandzasar under 0.5 goals | 34.6% | 32.2% | 23.3% | 1.38× | 3.11 |
| Gandzasar over 1.5 goals | 28.7% | 25.7% | 43.7% | 0.59× | 3.89 |
| Gandzasar over 2.5 goals | 9.2% | 7.9% | 19.7% | 0.40× | 12.66 |
| Gandzasar over 3.5 goals | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 0.49× | 27.00 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar under 1.5 in 1st half | 92.3% | 95.4% | 85.9% | 1.11× | 1.05 |
| Gandzasar under 0.5 in 1st half | 63.4% | 64.7% | 51.8% | 1.25× | 1.55 |
| Gandzasar over 0.5 in 1st half | 36.6% | 35.3% | 48.2% | 0.73× | 2.83 |
| Gandzasar over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.7% | 4.6% | 14.1% | 0.33× | 21.70 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar scores equally in both | 44.8% | 42.5% | 37.1% | 1.14× | 2.35 |
| Gandzasar scores more in 2nd half | 32.5% | 32.8% | 38.0% | 0.86× | 3.05 |
| Gandzasar scores more in 1st half | 22.7% | 21.5% | 24.9% | 0.86× | 4.64 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu (home no bet) | 70.9% | 66.1% | 55.1% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 29.1% | 33.9% | 44.9% | 0.75× | 2.95 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar even goals | 56.0% | 55.3% | 52.8% | 1.05× | 1.81 |
| Gandzasar odd goals | 44.0% | 44.7% | 47.2% | 0.95× | 2.24 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 29.5% | 28.9% | 29.3% | 0.99× | 3.46 |
| HT 0-1 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 16.3% | 1.48× | 4.14 |
| HT 1-0 | 13.3% | 10.9% | 20.7% | 0.53× | 9.14 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 1.07× | 9.17 |
| HT 0-2 | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.46× | 14.00 |
| Any other HT score | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.51× | 14.05 |
| HT 1-2 | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.83× | 43.41 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.1% | 2.3% | 7.1% | 0.32× | 43.48 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 0.70× | 43.53 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.56× | 43.64 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu at HT / Urartu at FT | 33.6% | 32.9% | 17.4% | 1.89× | 3.04 |
| Draw at HT / Urartu at FT | 19.5% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 1.45× | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 0.90× | 7.89 |
| Gandzasar at HT / Gandzasar at FT | 11.0% | 12.6% | 25.8% | 0.49× | 7.91 |
| Draw at HT / Gandzasar at FT | 7.4% | 6.0% | 14.7% | 0.41× | 16.67 |
| Gandzasar at HT / Draw at FT | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.16× | 16.74 |
| Urartu at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 0.62× | 28.75 |
| Gandzasar at HT / Urartu at FT | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.17× | 28.78 |
| Urartu at HT / Gandzasar at FT | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.19× | 28.87 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu to score last | 60.9% | 61.9% | 42.7% | 1.45× | 1.62 |
| Gandzasar to score last | 33.4% | 33.0% | 51.4% | 0.64× | 3.03 |
| No goal scored | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.26× | 13.43 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.3% | 92.7% | 94.1% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Urartu to lead by 1 at any time | 70.7% | 74.1% | 50.4% | 1.47× | 1.35 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 53.0% | 50.8% | 48.2% | 1.05× | 1.97 |
| Urartu to lead by 2 at any time | 40.8% | 39.2% | 20.3% | 1.93× | 2.55 |
| Gandzasar to lead by 1 at any time | 38.8% | 34.9% | 59.8% | 0.58× | 2.87 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 22.4% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 1.01× | 5.11 |
| Urartu to lead by 3 at any time | 19.2% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 2.02× | 6.71 |
| Gandzasar to lead by 2 at any time | 12.4% | 10.5% | 28.2% | 0.37× | 9.56 |
| Gandzasar to lead by 3 at any time | 3.2% | 1.6% | 12.1% | 0.13× | 61.21 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.0% | 87.4% | 86.4% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 77.3% | 78.5% | 72.4% | 1.08× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 76.0% | 78.5% | 78.0% | 1.01× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.3% | 72.2% | 68.5% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.3% | 63.1% | 60.1% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 59.3% | 59.3% | 63.3% | 0.94× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 54.1% | 53.4% | 49.0% | 1.09× | 1.87 |
| 3-5 goals | 49.1% | 48.5% | 45.1% | 1.07× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.6% | 48.4% | 45.4% | 1.07× | 2.06 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.1% | 39.3% | 36.8% | 1.07× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 36.9% | 39.3% | 41.2% | 0.95× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 31.7% | 35.3% | 27.0% | 1.31× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 26.7% | 30.6% | 23.0% | 1.33× | 3.26 |
| 5-6 goals | 15.0% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 1.23× | 6.64 |
| 7+ goals | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.06× | 38.87 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu never behind | 55.4% | 62.4% | 40.2% | 1.55× | 1.60 |
| Gandzasar never behind | 23.6% | 24.4% | 49.6% | 0.49× | 4.09 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.5% | 50.9% | 50.2% | 1.01× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 51.5% | 49.1% | 49.8% | 0.99× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.5% | 51.7% | 53.7% | 0.96× | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.5% | 48.3% | 46.3% | 1.04× | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.0% | 52.0% | 51.1% | 1.02× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.0% | 48.0% | 48.9% | 0.98× | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.3% | 92.2% | 92.7% | 0.99× | 1.09 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 91.8% | 92.2% | 93.7% | 0.98× | 1.09 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81.8% | 82.1% | 85.3% | 0.96× | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% | 82.1% | 74.8% | 1.10× | 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65.1% | 66.0% | 70.6% | 0.93× | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% | 58.5% | 51.5% | 1.14× | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.6% | 41.5% | 48.5% | 0.86× | 2.41 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.9% | 34.0% | 29.4% | 1.16× | 2.94 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19.4% | 17.9% | 25.2% | 0.71× | 5.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18.2% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 1.21× | 5.60 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 1.23× | 12.81 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 1.07× | 12.82 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.6% | 97.1% | 97.5% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 90.9% | 92.4% | 93.1% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 78.1% | 75.8% | 82.8% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 74.7% | 72.3% | 67.1% | 1.08× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 55.0% | 52.4% | 62.3% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 45.0% | 47.6% | 37.7% | 1.26× | 2.10 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 25.3% | 27.7% | 32.9% | 0.84× | 3.61 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 21.9% | 24.2% | 17.2% | 1.40× | 4.14 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 1.10× | 13.12 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.13× | 35.06 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 87.4% | 89.0% | 88.4% | 1.01× | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 70.5% | 71.2% | 70.7% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 65.2% | 69.0% | 66.3% | 1.04× | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 34.8% | 31.0% | 33.7% | 0.92× | 3.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 29.5% | 28.8% | 29.3% | 0.98× | 3.47 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 12.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 0.95× | 9.09 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 82.6% | 82.8% | 82.3% | 1.01× | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 74.2% | 77.8% | 77.5% | 1.00× | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 52.7% | 53.3% | 49.8% | 1.07× | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.3% | 46.7% | 50.2% | 0.93× | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 25.8% | 22.2% | 22.5% | 0.99× | 4.50 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 17.4% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 0.97× | 5.80 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar not to score in both halves | 83.4% | 84.4% | 70.5% | 1.20× | 1.19 |
| Urartu not to score in both halves | 63.2% | 63.5% | 77.6% | 0.82× | 1.58 |
| Urartu to score in both halves | 36.8% | 36.5% | 22.4% | 1.63× | 2.74 |
| Gandzasar to score in both halves | 16.6% | 15.6% | 29.5% | 0.53× | 6.41 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 56.5% | 58.6% | 52.4% | 1.12× | 1.71 |
| Only Urartu scores | 28.9% | 26.1% | 16.0% | 1.64× | 3.83 |
| Only Gandzasar scores | 8.9% | 7.1% | 24.4% | 0.29× | 14.01 |
| Neither team scores | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 0.98× | 14.03 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.2% | 22.4% | 23.3% | 0.96× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.4% | 22.1% | 1.02× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.7% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 1.20× | 5.70 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 13.7% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 0.67× | 8.30 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 0.93× | 12.82 |
| 6 or more goals | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 1.23× | 12.83 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 1.07× | 12.84 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 35.7% | 37.1% | 37.0% | 1.00× | 2.70 |
| No goals in 1st half | 29.5% | 28.6% | 29.3% | 0.98× | 3.50 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 22.2% | 21.7% | 22.2% | 0.98× | 4.61 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 0.94× | 9.18 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 52.7% | 51.5% | 49.8% | 1.03× | 1.94 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 29.8% | 29.9% | 32.5% | 0.92× | 3.35 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 17.4% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 0.97× | 5.81 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar not to win both halves | 96.2% | 97.2% | 86.8% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Urartu not to win both halves | 80.6% | 84.1% | 91.8% | 0.92× | 1.19 |
| Urartu to win both halves | 19.4% | 15.9% | 8.2% | 1.94× | 6.28 |
| Gandzasar to win both halves | 3.8% | 2.8% | 13.2% | 0.21× | 35.63 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urartu to win either half | 68.9% | 68.1% | 47.4% | 1.44× | 1.47 |
| Gandzasar to win neither half | 65.0% | 67.9% | 41.7% | 1.63× | 1.47 |
| Gandzasar to win either half | 35.0% | 32.1% | 58.3% | 0.55× | 3.11 |
| Urartu to win neither half | 31.1% | 31.9% | 52.6% | 0.61× | 3.13 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar not to win to nil | 91.1% | 92.1% | 75.6% | 1.22× | 1.09 |
| Urartu not to win to nil | 71.1% | 75.1% | 84.0% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| Urartu to win to nil | 28.9% | 24.9% | 16.0% | 1.56× | 4.02 |
| Gandzasar to win to nil | 8.9% | 7.9% | 24.4% | 0.33× | 12.59 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 23.4% | 24.2% | 25.0% | 0.97× | 4.14 |
| Urartu by 1 | 23.0% | 24.2% | 17.0% | 1.42× | 4.14 |
| Urartu by 2 | 17.6% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.08× | 5.92 |
| Urartu by 3+ | 16.2% | 16.9% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.92 |
| Gandzasar by 1 | 12.4% | 11.7% | 22.2% | 0.53× | 8.52 |
| Gandzasar by 2 | 5.3% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 0.59× | 13.75 |
| Gandzasar by 3+ | 2.1% | 2.8% | 9.9% | 0.28× | 35.56 |