Gateshead v Southend United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-National League · 2627

ENG-National League results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Gateshead

14:00 UTC

Southend United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 270h before kick-off

Gateshead win

20.0%

Draw

22.4%

Southend United win

57.6%

202258

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.3%
1-1 10.6%
0-2 10.5%
1-2 9.8%
1-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.8%	Under 2.5	49.2%
BTTS yes	50.0%	BTTS no	50.0%
Gateshead 1+	60.7%	Gateshead 2+	24.0%
Southend United 1+	83.0%	Southend United 2+	52.9%

Expected goals 0.93 – 1.77. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

26/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Southend United (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 34%

58.3% fair odds 1.71

strong signal · 11383 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Southend United or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 961 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Southend United average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Gateshead have only 1 matches on record.
Southend United have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Southend United have an estimated 57.6% win probability, against 22.4% for the draw and 20.0% for Gateshead. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.93 for Gateshead and 1.77 for Southend United.

Why Gateshead

Nothing in the data singles out Gateshead.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%.

Why Southend United can win

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Southend United average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gateshead, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Southend United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gateshead: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Southend United: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-08 11:44 ·

Southend United are the model's most likely outcome at 57.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 26/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	202258	0.93–1.77	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	172063	0.89–1.98	0-1 12%	55%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United to win	57.6%	58.1%	33.6%	1.73×	1.72
Draw	22.4%	23.5%	22.8%	1.03×	4.26
Gateshead to win	20.0%	23.5%	43.7%	0.54×	4.26

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United & not both score	33.1%	31.0%	16.5%	1.88×	3.23
Southend United & both teams score	24.5%	21.5%	17.3%	1.25×	4.65
Draw & both teams score	16.1%	18.2%	18.2%	1.00×	5.49
Gateshead & not both score	10.7%	12.6%	21.9%	0.58×	7.91
Gateshead & both teams score	9.3%	7.7%	22.0%	0.35×	13.04
Draw & not both score	6.3%	7.7%	4.8%	1.61×	13.05

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United & over 1.5	45.3%	46.8%	27.7%	1.69×	2.14
Southend United & under 3.5	38.8%	36.6%	24.2%	1.51×	2.73
Southend United & over 2.5	34.8%	31.8%	21.6%	1.48×	3.15
Southend United & under 2.5	22.7%	21.8%	12.2%	1.79×	4.59
Draw & under 2.5	16.9%	17.7%	16.2%	1.09×	5.66
Draw & under 3.5	16.9%	17.7%	16.2%	1.09×	5.66
Southend United & over 3.5	18.8%	17.7%	9.5%	1.86×	5.66
Gateshead & under 3.5	15.6%	17.7%	28.1%	0.63×	5.66
Draw & over 1.5	16.1%	17.7%	18.2%	0.97×	5.66
Gateshead & over 1.5	13.4%	12.5%	34.4%	0.36×	8.03
Southend United & under 1.5	12.2%	12.5%	6.0%	2.07×	8.03
Gateshead & over 2.5	10.5%	12.5%	29.0%	0.43×	8.03
Gateshead & under 2.5	9.5%	7.6%	14.9%	0.51×	13.17
Gateshead & under 1.5	6.6%	7.6%	9.5%	0.80×	13.17
Draw & under 1.5	6.3%	7.6%	4.8%	1.60×	13.17
Draw & over 2.5	5.5%	7.6%	6.8%	1.11×	13.17
Draw & over 3.5	5.5%	7.6%	6.8%	1.11×	13.17
Gateshead & over 3.5	4.4%	4.3%	15.8%	0.27×	22.99

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United (1UP)	69.9%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Gateshead (1UP)	36.9%	39.1%	—	—	2.56

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United (2UP)	57.6%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Gateshead (2UP)	20.0%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United to win 2nd half	48.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	33.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Gateshead to win 2nd half	18.4%	20.8%	—	—	4.82

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United (+2.5)	98.3%	96.6%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Southend United (+1.5)	93.4%	92.3%	79.4%	1.16×	1.08
Southend United (+0.5)	80.0%	78.3%	56.3%	1.39×	1.28
Southend United (-0.5)	57.6%	58.3%	33.6%	1.74×	1.71
Gateshead (+0.5)	42.4%	41.7%	66.4%	0.63×	2.40
Gateshead (-0.5)	20.0%	21.7%	43.7%	0.50×	4.60
Gateshead (-1.5)	6.6%	7.7%	20.6%	0.37×	12.97
Gateshead (-2.5)	1.7%	3.4%	10.3%	0.33×	29.59

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United to concede	60.7%	65.0%	78.9%	0.82×	1.54
Southend United clean sheet	39.3%	35.0%	21.1%	1.66×	2.86

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United clean sheet in 1st half	66.9%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Southend United to concede in 1st half	33.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.21

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United under 3.5 goals	89.6%	87.2%	96.4%	0.91×	1.15
Southend United over 0.5 goals	83.0%	82.4%	73.5%	1.12×	1.21
Southend United under 2.5 goals	73.8%	71.3%	84.5%	0.84×	1.40
Southend United over 1.5 goals	52.9%	53.6%	40.6%	1.32×	1.87
Southend United under 1.5 goals	47.1%	46.4%	59.4%	0.78×	2.16
Southend United over 2.5 goals	26.2%	28.7%	15.5%	1.85×	3.48
Southend United under 0.5 goals	17.0%	17.6%	26.5%	0.66×	5.69
Southend United over 3.5 goals	10.4%	12.8%	3.6%	3.51×	7.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United under 1.5 in 1st half	84.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Southend United over 0.5 in 1st half	50.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Southend United under 0.5 in 1st half	49.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Southend United over 1.5 in 1st half	15.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	52.8%	52.1%	34.3%	1.52×	1.92
Gateshead (away no bet)	47.2%	47.9%	65.7%	0.73×	2.09

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United even goals	51.4%	53.5%	54.4%	0.98×	1.87
Southend United odd goals	48.6%	46.5%	45.6%	1.02×	2.15

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.5%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.5%	13.2%	—	—	7.58

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.2%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.8%	35.0%	—	—	2.85

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Southend United to score 2+ in a row	45.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.4%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Southend United to score 3+ in a row	19.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.75
Gateshead to score 2+ in a row	16.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Gateshead to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	3.1%	—	—	32.69

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	12.2%	11.2%	6.0%	1.87×	8.90
0-2	10.5%	11.2%	6.3%	1.77×	8.90
1-1	10.6%	11.2%	11.6%	0.97×	8.90
1-2	9.8%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.48
0-0	6.3%	7.4%	4.8%	1.56×	13.49
0-3	6.2%	7.4%	4.0%	1.87×	13.49
1-0	6.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.49
1-3	5.8%	7.4%	3.5%	2.13×	13.49
2-1	5.2%	7.4%	9.7%	0.77×	13.49
0-4	2.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.62×	58.10
1-4	2.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.10
2-0	2.9%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.10
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.10
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.10
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.71×	58.11
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.11
3-1	1.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.11
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.11
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.11
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.71×	58.11
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.11
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.11
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.11
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.62×	58.11
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.62×	58.11
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.10

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United leading at HT (DNB)	67.5%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Gateshead leading at HT (DNB)	32.5%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United or draw (X2)	80.0%	76.5%	56.3%	1.36×	1.31
Gateshead or Southend United (12)	77.6%	76.5%	77.2%	0.99×	1.31
Gateshead or draw (1X)	42.4%	41.9%	66.4%	0.63×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United or draw at HT	81.4%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Gateshead or draw at HT	61.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Gateshead or Southend United at HT	57.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United or draw (1UP)	80.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Gateshead or draw (1UP)	42.4%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United or draw in 2nd half	81.6%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Gateshead or Southend United in 2nd half	66.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Gateshead or draw in 2nd half	51.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.3%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Neither half drawn	37.7%	39.9%	—	—	2.51

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United (DNB)	74.2%	73.1%	43.4%	1.68×	1.37
Gateshead (DNB)	25.8%	26.9%	56.6%	0.48×	3.72

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United to score first	61.4%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Gateshead to score first	32.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	6.3%	6.3%	—	—	15.94

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.0%	51.8%	42.8%	1.21×	1.93
Both teams to score	50.0%	48.2%	57.2%	0.84×	2.08

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.3%	38.0%	45.8%	0.83×	2.63
Not both score & under 2.5	38.5%	38.0%	31.5%	1.21×	2.63
Not both score & over 2.5	11.5%	11.9%	11.4%	1.04×	8.41
Both score & under 2.5	10.6%	11.9%	11.6%	1.03×	8.41

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.3%	85.9%	82.7%	1.04×	1.16
Both teams to score 2+	12.7%	14.1%	17.3%	0.81×	7.11

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.9%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Both score 2nd half only	22.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.29
Both score 1st half only	12.2%	11.9%	—	—	8.40
Both score in both halves	4.5%	4.6%	—	—	21.62

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.3%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	46.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	46.6%	48.3%	0.96×	2.15
4-6 goals	26.7%	27.3%	29.5%	0.93×	3.66
0-1 goals	25.1%	27.3%	20.0%	1.37×	3.66
7+ goals	2.1%	2.0%	2.5%	0.78×	50.25

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United to score exactly 1	30.1%	32.4%	33.1%	0.98×	3.08
Southend United to score exactly 2	26.7%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.66
Southend United to score 3+	26.2%	27.4%	15.5%	1.76×	3.66
Southend United to score exactly 0	17.0%	18.4%	26.5%	0.70×	5.43

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead to score exactly 0	39.3%	36.5%	21.1%	1.73×	2.74
Gateshead to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.5%	33.8%	1.08×	2.74
Gateshead to score exactly 2	17.1%	18.3%	23.6%	0.78×	5.45
Gateshead to score 3+	6.8%	8.9%	21.9%	0.41×	11.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Southend United leading at HT	38.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Gateshead leading at HT	18.6%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United -1: 1	42.4%	41.4%	—	—	2.41
Southend United -1: 2	32.4%	30.5%	—	—	3.27
Southend United -1: X	25.2%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United (0:1)	80.0%	76.8%	56.3%	1.37×	1.30
Draw (0:1)	13.4%	13.2%	23.3%	0.57×	7.60
Gateshead (0:1)	6.6%	8.7%	20.6%	0.42×	11.49

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United (0:2)	93.4%	91.4%	79.4%	1.15×	1.09
Draw (0:2)	4.9%	3.5%	10.5%	0.33×	28.76
Gateshead (0:2)	1.7%	3.5%	10.3%	0.34×	28.86

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United (0:3)	98.3%	96.7%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.3%	2.6%	5.5%	0.46×	38.99
Gateshead (0:3)	0.4%	2.6%	4.9%	0.52×	39.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United (0:4)	99.6%	97.7%	95.1%	1.03×	1.02
Gateshead (0:4)	0.1%	1.4%	1.4%	0.99×	70.62
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.4%	3.6%	0.39×	70.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead (1:0)	42.4%	43.3%	66.4%	0.65×	2.31
Southend United (1:0)	32.4%	29.0%	16.2%	1.80×	3.44
Draw (1:0)	25.2%	25.2%	17.6%	1.43×	3.97

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead (2:0)	67.6%	71.2%	83.8%	0.85×	1.40
Draw (2:0)	17.6%	15.4%	10.1%	1.52×	6.50
Southend United (2:0)	14.8%	11.5%	6.2%	1.87×	8.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.9%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	24.3%	23.3%	—	—	4.30

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead to concede	83.0%	82.6%	73.5%	1.12×	1.21
Gateshead clean sheet	17.0%	17.4%	26.5%	0.66×	5.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead to concede in 1st half	50.8%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Gateshead clean sheet in 1st half	49.2%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead under 3.5 goals	98.5%	96.6%	91.1%	1.06×	1.04
Gateshead under 2.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	78.1%	1.18×	1.08
Gateshead under 1.5 goals	76.0%	77.9%	54.7%	1.43×	1.28
Gateshead over 0.5 goals	60.7%	62.4%	78.9%	0.79×	1.60
Gateshead under 0.5 goals	39.3%	37.6%	21.1%	1.78×	2.66
Gateshead over 1.5 goals	24.0%	22.1%	45.3%	0.49×	4.53
Gateshead over 2.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	21.9%	0.35×	13.04
Gateshead over 3.5 goals	1.5%	3.4%	8.9%	0.39×	29.11

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Gateshead under 0.5 in 1st half	66.9%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Gateshead over 0.5 in 1st half	33.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Gateshead over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.41

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United (home no bet)	72.0%	70.2%	59.6%	1.18×	1.42
Draw (home no bet)	28.0%	29.8%	40.4%	0.74×	3.36

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead even goals	57.7%	55.5%	50.6%	1.10×	1.80
Gateshead odd goals	42.3%	44.5%	49.4%	0.90×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 0-1	23.4%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
HT 1-0	13.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	9.3%	8.0%	—	—	12.44
HT 0-2	8.3%	8.0%	—	—	12.45
Any other HT score	4.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.35
HT 1-2	3.3%	2.5%	—	—	40.40
HT 2-0	2.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.43
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.46
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.5%	—	—	40.52

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United at HT / Southend United at FT	33.4%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
Draw at HT / Southend United at FT	21.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Gateshead at HT / Gateshead at FT	10.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Draw at HT / Gateshead at FT	8.1%	6.4%	—	—	15.54
Gateshead at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.7%	—	—	27.27
Southend United at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.7%	—	—	27.28
Gateshead at HT / Southend United at FT	3.2%	3.7%	—	—	27.31
Southend United at HT / Gateshead at FT	1.2%	3.7%	—	—	27.36

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United to score last	61.4%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Gateshead to score last	32.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
No goal scored	6.3%	6.3%	—	—	15.94

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.7%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
Southend United to lead by 1 at any time	69.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	49.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Southend United to lead by 2 at any time	38.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Gateshead to lead by 1 at any time	36.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	17.3%	—	—	5.77
Southend United to lead by 3 at any time	17.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.78
Gateshead to lead by 2 at any time	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
Gateshead to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.57

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.0%	87.2%	88.1%	0.99×	1.15
1-4 goals	79.9%	77.9%	77.7%	1.00×	1.28
2-6 goals	72.8%	72.1%	77.7%	0.93×	1.39
2-5 goals	69.1%	68.2%	72.9%	0.94×	1.47
1-3 goals	65.0%	62.7%	63.6%	0.99×	1.60
2-4 goals	61.0%	62.7%	62.4%	1.00×	1.60
3-6 goals	48.7%	47.4%	54.7%	0.87×	2.11
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.4%	48.3%	0.98×	2.11
3-5 goals	45.1%	47.4%	49.9%	0.95×	2.11
1-2 goals	42.9%	43.7%	38.4%	1.14×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.0%	39.0%	39.5%	0.99×	2.56
4-6 goals	26.7%	28.5%	29.5%	0.97×	3.51
4-5 goals	23.0%	23.8%	24.7%	0.96×	4.20
5-6 goals	11.7%	13.5%	15.4%	0.88×	7.40
7+ goals	2.1%	2.2%	2.5%	0.88×	44.59

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United never behind	56.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Gateshead never behind	23.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.6%	50.0%	52.5%	0.95×	2.00
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.0%	47.5%	1.05×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Odd goals in 1st half	44.7%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.2%	87.7%	82.3%	1.07×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.9%	72.2%	80.0%	0.90×	1.39
Under 3.5 goals	71.3%	72.2%	68.1%	1.06×	1.39
Over 2.5 goals	50.8%	52.1%	57.1%	0.91×	1.92
Under 2.5 goals	49.2%	47.9%	42.9%	1.11×	2.09
Over 3.5 goals	28.7%	27.8%	31.9%	0.87×	3.60
Under 1.5 goals	25.1%	27.8%	20.0%	1.39×	3.60
Over 4.5 goals	13.8%	12.3%	17.8%	0.69×	8.14
Under 0.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	4.8%	1.62×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.3%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.8%	92.0%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.8%	81.3%	79.3%	1.02×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.9%	67.4%	74.1%	0.91×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.1%	62.0%	57.4%	1.08×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.9%	38.0%	42.6%	0.89×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.1%	32.6%	25.9%	1.26×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.2%	18.7%	20.7%	0.90×	5.35
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.2%	8.0%	8.1%	0.98×	12.56
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.2%	2.7%	2.7%	1.02×	36.69

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.8%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.2%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.9%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	49.9%	—	—	2.01
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead not to score in both halves	86.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Southend United not to score in both halves	66.7%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Southend United to score in both halves	33.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Gateshead to score in both halves	13.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.74

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.0%	50.7%	57.2%	0.89×	1.97
Only Southend United scores	33.1%	31.7%	16.5%	1.92×	3.15
Only Gateshead scores	10.7%	11.1%	21.9%	0.51×	9.05
Neither team scores	6.3%	7.2%	4.8%	1.51×	13.97

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.0%	22.3%	23.1%	0.96×	4.48
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.3%	25.4%	0.88×	4.48
Exactly 1 goals	18.9%	17.6%	15.4%	1.14×	5.69
Exactly 4 goals	14.9%	12.3%	14.3%	0.86×	8.12
Exactly 5 goals	8.1%	7.8%	10.6%	0.73×	12.89
Exactly 0 goals	6.3%	7.8%	4.8%	1.63×	12.89
6 or more goals	5.7%	7.8%	7.3%	1.06×	12.89

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.2%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
1 goal in 2nd half	32.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
No goals in 2nd half	20.1%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead not to win both halves	96.6%	97.4%	—	—	1.03
Southend United not to win both halves	81.4%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Southend United to win both halves	18.6%	17.6%	—	—	5.69
Gateshead to win both halves	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.72

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United to win either half	68.4%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Gateshead to win neither half	66.4%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Gateshead to win either half	33.6%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Southend United to win neither half	31.6%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gateshead not to win to nil	89.3%	88.1%	78.1%	1.13×	1.14
Southend United not to win to nil	66.9%	69.3%	83.5%	0.83×	1.44
Southend United to win to nil	33.1%	30.7%	16.5%	1.86×	3.26
Gateshead to win to nil	10.7%	11.9%	21.9%	0.54×	8.40

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southend United by 1	25.2%	27.4%	17.6%	1.56×	3.65
Draw	22.4%	23.3%	22.8%	1.02×	4.29
Southend United by 2	17.6%	17.3%	10.1%	1.71×	5.78
Southend United by 3+	14.8%	11.8%	6.2%	1.91×	8.46
Gateshead by 1	13.4%	11.8%	23.3%	0.51×	8.46
Gateshead by 2	4.9%	3.0%	10.5%	0.28×	33.80
Gateshead by 3+	1.7%	3.0%	10.3%	0.29×	33.83