Gazovik Orenburg v CSKA Moscow — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Gazovik Orenburg

10:00 UTC

CSKA Moscow

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 191h before kick-off

Gazovik Orenburg win

22.2%

model 20.8%

Draw

26.8%

model 28.6%

CSKA Moscow win

51.1%

model 50.6%

222751

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.5%
0-1 12.3%
0-2 10.4%
0-0 10.3%
1-2 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	43.3%	Under 2.5	56.7%
BTTS yes	47.4%	BTTS no	52.6%
Gazovik Orenburg 1+	59.0%	Gazovik Orenburg 2+	22.5%
CSKA Moscow 1+	78.1%	CSKA Moscow 2+	44.9%

Expected goals 0.89 – 1.52. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

CSKA Moscow (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 28%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Gazovik Orenburg not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

CSKA Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1588 Elo against 1402.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

CSKA Moscow have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.8% for the draw and 22.2% for Gazovik Orenburg. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.89 for Gazovik Orenburg and 1.52 for CSKA Moscow.

Why Gazovik Orenburg

Nothing in the data singles out Gazovik Orenburg.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why CSKA Moscow can win

CSKA Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1588 Elo against 1402. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gazovik Orenburg, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for CSKA Moscow, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gazovik Orenburg: 38% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. CSKA Moscow: 56% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

CSKA Moscow are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	212951	0.89–1.52	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	172756	0.80–1.63	0-1 13%	44%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow to win	56.0%	54.0%	28.0%	1.92×	1.85
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	28.0%	0.99×	3.59
Gazovik Orenburg to win	17.0%	19.4%	44.1%	0.44×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow & not both score	34.9%	29.6%	14.8%	2.00×	3.37
CSKA Moscow & both teams score	21.0%	21.8%	13.4%	1.63×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.57
Draw & not both score	10.0%	13.3%	7.3%	1.81×	7.54
Gazovik Orenburg & not both score	9.5%	8.3%	25.4%	0.33×	12.00
Gazovik Orenburg & both teams score	7.5%	8.3%	18.9%	0.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow & over 1.5	42.9%	40.3%	20.5%	1.96×	2.48
CSKA Moscow & under 3.5	40.6%	40.2%	20.5%	1.96×	2.49
CSKA Moscow & over 2.5	31.2%	30.8%	16.5%	1.87×	3.25
CSKA Moscow & under 2.5	24.8%	21.6%	11.8%	1.83×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	22.7%	21.6%	22.2%	0.98×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	22.2%	0.98×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	20.9%	0.86×	5.56
CSKA Moscow & over 3.5	15.4%	18.0%	7.7%	2.33×	5.56
Gazovik Orenburg & under 3.5	13.9%	12.8%	30.9%	0.42×	7.79
CSKA Moscow & under 1.5	13.1%	12.8%	7.7%	1.66×	7.79
Gazovik Orenburg & over 1.5	11.2%	12.8%	33.5%	0.38×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.0%	12.8%	7.3%	1.75×	7.79
Gazovik Orenburg & over 2.5	8.4%	7.9%	26.0%	0.30×	12.63
Gazovik Orenburg & under 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	18.3%	0.43×	12.63
Gazovik Orenburg & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.1%	0.79×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.1%	0.79×	20.81
Gazovik Orenburg & over 3.5	3.1%	4.8%	13.4%	0.36×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (1UP)	67.8%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Gazovik Orenburg (1UP)	32.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (2UP)	56.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Gazovik Orenburg (2UP)	17.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow to win 2nd half	47.1%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
2nd half drawn	36.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Gazovik Orenburg to win 2nd half	16.3%	18.1%	—	—	5.54

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
CSKA Moscow over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.5%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
CSKA Moscow under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.5%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
CSKA Moscow over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 in 2nd half	63.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.7%	5.9%	—	—	17.09

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (+2.5)	98.7%	96.3%	89.6%	1.07×	1.04
CSKA Moscow (+1.5)	94.5%	92.1%	77.4%	1.19×	1.09
CSKA Moscow (+0.5)	83.0%	82.5%	55.9%	1.48×	1.21
CSKA Moscow (-0.5)	56.0%	57.0%	28.0%	2.03×	1.75
Gazovik Orenburg (+0.5)	44.0%	43.0%	72.0%	0.60×	2.33
Gazovik Orenburg (-0.5)	17.0%	17.5%	44.1%	0.40×	5.73
Gazovik Orenburg (-1.5)	5.5%	7.9%	22.6%	0.35×	12.71
Gazovik Orenburg (-2.5)	1.3%	3.7%	10.4%	0.35×	27.23

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow to concede	55.0%	62.3%	78.0%	0.80×	1.61
CSKA Moscow clean sheet	45.0%	37.7%	22.0%	1.72×	2.65

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow clean sheet in 1st half	70.9%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
CSKA Moscow to concede in 1st half	29.1%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow clean sheet in 2nd half	63.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
CSKA Moscow to concede in 2nd half	36.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow under 6.5 corners	79.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
CSKA Moscow over 2.5 corners	79.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
CSKA Moscow under 5.5 corners	68.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
CSKA Moscow over 3.5 corners	63.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
CSKA Moscow under 4.5 corners	53.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
CSKA Moscow over 4.5 corners	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
CSKA Moscow under 3.5 corners	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
CSKA Moscow over 5.5 corners	31.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
CSKA Moscow under 2.5 corners	20.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
CSKA Moscow over 6.5 corners	20.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow under 3.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
CSKA Moscow over 0.5 goals	80.5%	81.4%	67.5%	1.21×	1.23
CSKA Moscow under 2.5 goals	77.5%	76.3%	88.8%	0.86×	1.31
CSKA Moscow under 1.5 goals	51.4%	53.5%	70.1%	0.76×	1.87
CSKA Moscow over 1.5 goals	48.6%	46.5%	29.9%	1.56×	2.15
CSKA Moscow over 2.5 goals	22.5%	23.7%	11.2%	2.12×	4.21
CSKA Moscow under 0.5 goals	19.5%	18.6%	32.5%	0.57×	5.39
CSKA Moscow over 3.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	3.0%	2.51×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow under 1.5 in 1st half	86.0%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
CSKA Moscow under 0.5 in 1st half	52.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
CSKA Moscow over 0.5 in 1st half	48.0%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
CSKA Moscow over 1.5 in 1st half	14.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow scores more in 2nd half	42.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
CSKA Moscow scores equally in both	34.2%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
CSKA Moscow scores more in 1st half	23.7%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	61.5%	61.9%	38.9%	1.59×	1.62
Gazovik Orenburg (away no bet)	38.5%	38.1%	61.1%	0.62×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow even goals	51.9%	52.6%	53.3%	0.99×	1.90
CSKA Moscow odd goals	48.1%	47.4%	46.7%	1.01×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.9%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.9%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.1%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
CSKA Moscow to score 2+ in a row	42.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
CSKA Moscow to score 3+ in a row	17.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Gazovik Orenburg to score 2+ in a row	13.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Gazovik Orenburg to score 3+ in a row	2.5%	2.6%	—	—	39.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+3.5)	89.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+2.5)	83.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Gazovik Orenburg corners (+1.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
CSKA Moscow corners (+3.5)	74.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
CSKA Moscow corners (+2.5)	65.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
CSKA Moscow corners (+1.5)	54.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-1.5)	45.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-2.5)	34.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Gazovik Orenburg corners (-3.5)	25.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
CSKA Moscow corners (-1.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
CSKA Moscow corners (-2.5)	16.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
CSKA Moscow corners (-3.5)	10.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	34.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	74.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	65.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	56.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	34.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	34.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	25.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	24.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	13.1%	11.5%	7.7%	1.49×	8.72
1-1	12.7%	11.5%	15.0%	0.76×	8.72
0-2	11.7%	11.5%	4.3%	2.69×	8.72
0-0	10.0%	11.5%	7.3%	1.57×	8.72
1-2	9.4%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.50
0-3	6.4%	7.4%	2.4%	3.04×	13.51
1-0	5.8%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.51
1-3	5.1%	7.4%	2.4%	3.04×	13.51
0-4	2.6%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.30
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.69×	58.31
2-0	2.8%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.30
2-1	4.6%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.29
2-2	3.7%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.30
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.31
3-0	0.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.32
3-1	1.2%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-2	1.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.32
4-1	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.21×	58.32
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.11×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.22×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.44×	58.32
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (2nd half DNB)	74.2%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Gazovik Orenburg (2nd half DNB)	25.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow leading at HT (DNB)	69.2%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Gazovik Orenburg leading at HT (DNB)	30.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow or draw (X2)	83.0%	80.6%	55.9%	1.44×	1.24
Gazovik Orenburg or CSKA Moscow (12)	72.9%	72.1%	72.0%	1.00×	1.39
Gazovik Orenburg or draw (1X)	44.0%	46.0%	72.0%	0.64×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow or draw at HT	83.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Gazovik Orenburg or draw at HT	62.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Gazovik Orenburg or CSKA Moscow at HT	53.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow or draw (1UP)	83.0%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Gazovik Orenburg or draw (1UP)	44.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow or draw in 2nd half	83.7%	81.9%	—	—	1.22
Gazovik Orenburg or CSKA Moscow in 2nd half	63.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Gazovik Orenburg or draw in 2nd half	52.9%	54.2%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.4%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.6%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (DNB)	76.7%	74.7%	38.9%	1.92×	1.34
Gazovik Orenburg (DNB)	23.3%	25.3%	61.1%	0.41×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow to score first	60.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Gazovik Orenburg to score first	29.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
No goal scored	10.0%	9.3%	—	—	10.78

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.5%	51.3%	47.2%	1.09×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.5%	48.7%	52.8%	0.92×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.4%	41.6%	37.0%	1.12×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	32.8%	34.5%	38.0%	0.91×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.7%	12.4%	15.0%	0.82×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	11.1%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.7%	89.0%	86.8%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.3%	11.0%	13.2%	0.83×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Both score 2nd half only	20.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.41

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.74

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.3%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	48.7%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.3%	47.2%	48.0%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.9%	26.6%	25.4%	1.05×	3.76
4-6 goals	21.6%	22.9%	25.4%	0.90×	4.37
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	1.6%	1.13×	54.38

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow to score exactly 1	31.9%	33.8%	37.8%	0.89×	2.96
CSKA Moscow to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.4%	18.9%	1.45×	3.66
CSKA Moscow to score 3+	22.5%	22.3%	11.2%	1.99×	4.49
CSKA Moscow to score exactly 0	19.5%	19.6%	32.5%	0.60×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.6%	35.2%	1.01×	2.81
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 0	45.0%	35.4%	22.0%	1.61×	2.83
Gazovik Orenburg to score exactly 2	14.4%	14.3%	24.6%	0.58×	6.98
Gazovik Orenburg to score 3+	4.7%	6.2%	18.7%	0.33×	16.06

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
CSKA Moscow leading at HT	37.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Gazovik Orenburg leading at HT	16.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow -1: 1	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
CSKA Moscow -1: 2	31.2%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
CSKA Moscow -1: X	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (0:1)	83.0%	78.0%	55.9%	1.40×	1.28
Draw (0:1)	11.5%	13.7%	21.7%	0.63×	7.30
Gazovik Orenburg (0:1)	5.5%	9.2%	22.6%	0.41×	10.88

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (0:2)	94.5%	90.8%	77.4%	1.17×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.2%	3.8%	12.4%	0.30×	26.62
Gazovik Orenburg (0:2)	1.3%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	26.80

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (0:3)	98.7%	96.6%	89.6%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.17
Gazovik Orenburg (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Gazovik Orenburg (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.2%	1.00×	82.10
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (1:0)	44.0%	43.4%	72.0%	0.60×	2.30
CSKA Moscow (1:0)	31.2%	30.0%	11.4%	2.64×	3.33
Draw (1:0)	24.7%	21.7%	16.9%	1.29×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg (2:0)	68.8%	71.0%	88.6%	0.80×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	17.7%	15.8%	7.3%	2.16×	6.32
CSKA Moscow (2:0)	13.5%	10.3%	4.3%	2.41×	9.71

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	28.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to concede	80.5%	80.8%	67.5%	1.20×	1.24
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet	19.5%	19.2%	32.5%	0.59×	5.21

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet in 1st half	52.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Gazovik Orenburg to concede in 1st half	48.0%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to concede in 2nd half	62.5%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Gazovik Orenburg clean sheet in 2nd half	37.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg over 2.5 corners	88.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Gazovik Orenburg over 3.5 corners	76.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Gazovik Orenburg under 6.5 corners	65.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Gazovik Orenburg over 4.5 corners	62.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gazovik Orenburg under 5.5 corners	52.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Gazovik Orenburg over 5.5 corners	48.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Gazovik Orenburg under 4.5 corners	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gazovik Orenburg over 6.5 corners	34.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Gazovik Orenburg under 3.5 corners	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Gazovik Orenburg under 2.5 corners	11.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 3.5 goals	99.1%	96.4%	92.7%	1.04×	1.04
Gazovik Orenburg under 2.5 goals	95.3%	96.4%	81.3%	1.19×	1.04
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 goals	80.9%	82.2%	56.9%	1.44×	1.22
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 goals	55.0%	58.6%	78.0%	0.75×	1.71
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 goals	45.0%	41.4%	22.0%	1.89×	2.41
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 goals	19.1%	17.8%	43.1%	0.41×	5.62
Gazovik Orenburg over 2.5 goals	4.7%	3.6%	18.7%	0.19×	27.46
Gazovik Orenburg over 3.5 goals	0.9%	3.6%	7.3%	0.49×	27.62

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg under 1.5 in 1st half	95.3%	96.4%	—	—	1.04
Gazovik Orenburg under 0.5 in 1st half	70.9%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Gazovik Orenburg over 0.5 in 1st half	29.1%	21.1%	—	—	4.75
Gazovik Orenburg over 1.5 in 1st half	4.7%	3.6%	—	—	28.09

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg scores equally in both	52.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Gazovik Orenburg scores more in 2nd half	27.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Gazovik Orenburg scores more in 1st half	19.8%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow (home no bet)	67.4%	64.1%	50.0%	1.28×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.6%	35.9%	50.0%	0.72×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg even goals	60.1%	55.9%	50.6%	1.10×	1.79
Gazovik Orenburg odd goals	39.9%	44.1%	49.4%	0.89×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	37.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
HT 0-1	23.9%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 1-0	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	8.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 0-2	7.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-0	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.15
HT 2-1	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow at HT / CSKA Moscow at FT	32.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Draw at HT / CSKA Moscow at FT	21.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	9.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	6.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
CSKA Moscow at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Gazovik Orenburg at HT / CSKA Moscow at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
CSKA Moscow at HT / Gazovik Orenburg at FT	0.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.76

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow to score last	60.6%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Gazovik Orenburg to score last	29.3%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	10.0%	8.7%	—	—	11.53

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.0%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
CSKA Moscow to lead by 1 at any time	67.8%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
CSKA Moscow to lead by 2 at any time	36.5%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 1 at any time	32.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
CSKA Moscow to lead by 3 at any time	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 2 at any time	8.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.85
Gazovik Orenburg to lead by 3 at any time	1.8%	1.6%	—	—	62.91

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg most corners	56.1%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
CSKA Moscow most corners	33.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	87.6%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.7%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	69.9%	68.8%	73.2%	0.94×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.2%	68.8%	66.1%	1.04×	1.45
2-5 goals	67.3%	68.8%	69.5%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.3%	48.5%	48.0%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.1%	48.5%	44.7%	1.08×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.6%	43.6%	46.7%	0.93×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.1%	43.6%	43.1%	1.01×	2.30
3-4 goals	33.9%	35.2%	35.2%	1.00×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.6%	24.5%	25.4%	0.96×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.0%	18.8%	21.7%	0.87×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.8%	8.9%	11.8%	0.75×	11.26
7+ goals	1.2%	2.6%	1.6%	1.57×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CSKA Moscow never behind	57.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Gazovik Orenburg never behind	22.1%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.2%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	90.0%	92.3%	86.8%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.0%	87.6%	92.7%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	77.2%	77.3%	73.2%	1.06×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.1%	72.5%	74.6%	0.97×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	56.1%	58.6%	51.8%	1.13×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	43.9%	41.4%	48.2%	0.86×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	28.9%	27.5%	25.4%	1.08×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	22.8%	22.7%	26.8%	0.85×	4.41
Under 0.5 goals	10.0%	12.4%	7.3%	1.69×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	10.0%	7.7%	13.2%	0.59×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.8%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.0%	97.2%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.5%	86.7%	84.7%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.1%	72.4%	65.9%	1.10×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.3%	61.9%	65.5%	0.95×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.7%	38.1%	34.5%	1.10×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.9%	27.6%	34.1%	0.81×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.5%	13.3%	15.3%	0.87×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.0%	2.8%	5.7%	0.49×	35.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	1.7%	1.66×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.0%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	62.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	37.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.57

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to score in both halves	89.4%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
CSKA Moscow not to score in both halves	70.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
CSKA Moscow to score in both halves	30.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Gazovik Orenburg to score in both halves	10.6%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.5%	50.7%	52.8%	0.96×	1.97
Only CSKA Moscow scores	34.9%	33.3%	14.8%	2.25×	3.00
Neither team scores	10.0%	11.0%	7.3%	1.51×	9.07
Only Gazovik Orenburg scores	9.5%	7.1%	25.4%	0.28×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.2%	24.9%	26.6%	0.93×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.9%	17.5%	18.3%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	12.8%	12.1%	13.8%	0.88×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	10.0%	12.1%	7.3%	1.66×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	37.1%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	18.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
3+ goals in 1st half	8.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.57

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.4%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
1 goal in 2nd half	33.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	24.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to win both halves	97.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
CSKA Moscow not to win both halves	82.2%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
CSKA Moscow to win both halves	17.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Gazovik Orenburg to win both halves	2.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg to win neither half	69.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
CSKA Moscow to win either half	66.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
CSKA Moscow to win neither half	33.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Gazovik Orenburg to win either half	30.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gazovik Orenburg not to win to nil	90.5%	92.1%	74.6%	1.23×	1.09
CSKA Moscow not to win to nil	65.1%	69.6%	85.2%	0.82×	1.44
CSKA Moscow to win to nil	34.9%	30.4%	14.8%	2.05×	3.29
Gazovik Orenburg to win to nil	9.5%	7.9%	25.4%	0.31×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	28.0%	0.99×	3.59
CSKA Moscow by 1	24.7%	24.1%	16.9%	1.43×	4.15
CSKA Moscow by 2	17.7%	17.0%	7.3%	2.33×	5.87
CSKA Moscow by 3+	13.5%	11.8%	4.3%	2.75×	8.51
Gazovik Orenburg by 1	11.5%	11.8%	21.7%	0.54×	8.51
Gazovik Orenburg by 2	4.2%	2.7%	12.4%	0.22×	36.77
Gazovik Orenburg by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	10.4%	0.26×	36.87