Genoa v Como — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 4 September 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 02:09

Genoa

1–4

0.92 – 2.01 xG

Como

Shots

11 – 20

On target

2 – 9

Shots in box

8 – 9

xG per shot

0.08 – 0.10

Set-piece xG

0.07 – 0.04

Goals − xG

+0.08 – +1.99

AI prediction

ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Genoa win

20.2%

Draw

25.2%

Como win

54.7%

202555

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Genoa are finishing below their chances — 3.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

WWLDDLLLLL last 10 scored 6 from 9.8 xG conceded 14 from 15.0 xG

Como have scored 19 from 18.8 expected and conceded 10 from 10.2 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LLWDWWWDWW last 10 scored 19 from 18.8 xG conceded 10 from 10.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	202555	0.85–1.59	0%	0%	0%	Away ✓
ai-blend-oos	172260	0.80–1.74	0%	0%	0%	Away ✓
dc-xg	242650	0.95–1.51	0-1 13%	45%	48%	Away ✓
dc-xg-oos	242650	0.95–1.51	0-1 13%	45%	48%	Away ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to win	51.1%	51.6%	34.0%	1.52×	1.94
Draw	24.8%	25.1%	26.7%	0.94×	3.98
Genoa to win	24.1%	25.1%	39.4%	0.64×	3.98

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (1UP)	64.9%	61.9%	50.8%	1.22×	1.62
Genoa (1UP)	41.3%	38.3%	54.5%	0.70×	2.61

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (2UP)	51.1%	54.0%	36.4%	1.48×	1.85
Genoa (2UP)	24.1%	22.8%	41.0%	0.55×	4.39

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (+2.5)	97.5%	98.5%	92.3%	1.07×	1.02
Como (+1.5)	91.2%	93.4%	82.7%	1.13×	1.07
Como (+0.5)	75.9%	81.3%	60.6%	1.34×	1.23
Como (-0.5)	51.1%	52.6%	34.0%	1.55×	1.90
Genoa (+0.5)	48.9%	47.4%	66.0%	0.72×	2.11
Genoa (-0.5)	24.1%	18.7%	39.4%	0.47×	5.35
Genoa (-1.5)	8.8%	6.6%	17.3%	0.38×	15.12
Genoa (-2.5)	2.5%	1.5%	7.7%	0.20×	66.22

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (away no bet)	49.3%	52.1%	59.6%	0.88×	1.92
Draw (away no bet)	50.7%	47.9%	40.4%	1.18×	2.09

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.9%	88.1%	87.2%	1.01×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.1%	11.9%	12.8%	0.93×	8.38

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.0%	57.6%	59.3%	0.97×	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.0%	42.4%	40.7%	1.04×	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.0%	54.7%	52.7%	1.04×	1.83
Como to score 2+ in a row	40.5%	37.0%	27.4%	1.35×	2.70
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.1%	17.3%	0.93×	6.20
Genoa to score 2+ in a row	19.9%	16.1%	31.1%	0.52×	6.20
Como to score 3+ in a row	15.5%	16.0%	7.7%	2.09×	6.24
Genoa to score 3+ in a row	4.6%	2.5%	9.7%	0.26×	39.34

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.8%	12.7%	11.8%	1.08×	7.88
0-1	11.4%	12.7%	9.6%	1.32×	7.88
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.44
0-2	9.3%	7.4%	6.8%	1.10×	13.44
1-0	7.3%	7.4%	10.5%	0.71×	13.45
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	8.3%	0.89×	13.45
2-1	6.1%	7.4%	9.2%	0.81×	13.46
1-3	5.2%	7.4%	1.9%	3.87×	13.46
0-3	5.0%	7.4%	3.3%	2.23×	13.46
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	6.0%	0.28×	58.55
2-0	3.8%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.59
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.62
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.62
0-4	2.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.67×	58.64
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.67×	58.64
3-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.66
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.64
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.65
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.33×	58.67
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	58.68
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.66×	58.69
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.69
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.48×	58.69
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	13.32×	58.69
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.66×	58.70
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.66×	58.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como leading at HT (DNB)	68.5%	74.1%	49.8%	1.49×	1.35
Genoa leading at HT (DNB)	31.5%	25.9%	50.2%	0.52×	3.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or draw (X2)	75.9%	74.9%	60.6%	1.24×	1.34
Genoa or Como (12)	75.2%	74.9%	73.3%	1.02×	1.34
Genoa or draw (1X)	48.9%	48.4%	66.0%	0.73×	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como or draw (1UP)	75.9%	84.4%	66.1%	1.28×	1.18
Genoa or draw (1UP)	48.9%	53.7%	71.0%	0.76×	1.86

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (DNB)	67.9%	72.9%	46.3%	1.57×	1.37
Genoa (DNB)	32.1%	27.1%	53.7%	0.51×	3.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score first	56.8%	60.6%	44.1%	1.37×	1.65
Genoa to score first	36.1%	32.0%	47.7%	0.67×	3.12
No goal scored	7.1%	8.3%	8.3%	1.00×	11.98

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.6%	53.4%	48.1%	1.11×	1.87
Not both teams to score	48.4%	46.6%	51.9%	0.90×	2.14

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.7%	88.2%	87.1%	1.01×	1.13
Both teams to score 2+	13.3%	11.8%	12.9%	0.91×	8.47

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.8%	74.6%	75.3%	0.99×	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.2%	25.4%	24.7%	1.03×	3.93

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.6%	82.9%	83.4%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.4%	17.1%	16.6%	1.03×	5.84

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	46.3%	48.0%	0.97×	2.16
0-1 goals	25.8%	26.5%	28.1%	0.94×	3.78
4-6 goals	25.6%	26.5%	23.3%	1.14×	3.78
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	0.9%	2.06×	54.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score exactly 1	32.1%	33.9%	34.9%	0.97×	2.95
Como to score exactly 2	26.0%	28.4%	22.8%	1.25×	3.52
Como to score 3+	22.2%	22.0%	11.6%	1.89×	4.54
Como to score exactly 0	19.8%	19.0%	30.9%	0.61×	5.26

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to score exactly 1	36.8%	34.2%	32.0%	1.07×	2.92
Genoa to score exactly 0	35.7%	34.2%	29.3%	1.17×	2.93
Genoa to score exactly 2	18.9%	18.5%	24.7%	0.75×	5.42
Genoa to score 3+	8.6%	7.5%	14.3%	0.52×	13.34

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.1%	43.5%	45.1%	0.96×	2.30
Como leading at HT	39.6%	38.0%	27.4%	1.39×	2.63
Genoa leading at HT	18.2%	15.3%	27.6%	0.55×	6.54

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como -1: 1	48.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Como -1: 2	27.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Como -1: X	24.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:1)	75.9%	80.5%	60.6%	1.33×	1.24
Draw (0:1)	15.3%	15.3%	22.3%	0.69×	6.55
Genoa (0:1)	8.8%	5.8%	17.3%	0.34×	17.15

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:2)	91.2%	93.6%	82.7%	1.13×	1.07
Draw (0:2)	6.3%	6.3%	9.7%	0.65×	15.91
Genoa (0:2)	2.5%	1.9%	7.7%	0.25×	52.22

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:3)	97.5%	98.6%	92.3%	1.07×	1.01
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	1.8%	4.6%	0.39×	55.17
Genoa (0:3)	0.6%	1.8%	3.2%	0.56×	55.79

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (0:4)	99.4%	98.5%	96.8%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.1%	2.3%	0.46×	93.78
Genoa (0:4)	0.1%	1.1%	1.0%	1.04×	94.07

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (1:0)	48.9%	46.4%	66.0%	0.70×	2.16
Como (1:0)	27.0%	26.2%	14.2%	1.84×	3.82
Draw (1:0)	24.0%	24.1%	19.9%	1.21×	4.15

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (2:0)	73.0%	74.3%	85.8%	0.87×	1.35
Draw (2:0)	15.6%	16.9%	8.6%	1.98×	5.90
Como (2:0)	11.4%	11.9%	5.8%	2.08×	8.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.5%	47.4%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11
1st half highest scoring	28.9%	26.7%	26.9%	0.99×	3.75
Halves equal	25.6%	26.6%	27.0%	0.99×	3.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como (home no bet)	67.3%	68.5%	56.0%	1.22×	1.46
Draw (home no bet)	32.7%	31.5%	44.0%	0.72×	3.17

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.8%	33.2%	34.1%	0.97×	3.01
HT 0-1	23.5%	23.9%	18.4%	1.30×	4.19
HT 1-0	12.9%	10.9%	18.4%	0.59×	9.19
HT 1-1	9.5%	6.9%	10.6%	0.65×	14.40
HT 0-2	8.7%	6.9%	5.5%	1.26×	14.41
Any other HT score	4.7%	2.2%	2.9%	0.74×	45.73
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.2%	2.6%	0.85×	45.83
HT 2-0	2.6%	2.2%	5.5%	0.40×	45.90
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.2%	2.3%	0.95×	45.96
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.2%	0.6%	3.40×	46.05

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como at HT / Como at FT	32.3%	31.8%	19.3%	1.64×	3.15
Draw at HT / Como at FT	16.6%	17.0%	12.9%	1.32×	5.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.88
Genoa at HT / Genoa at FT	12.0%	12.8%	21.4%	0.60×	7.81
Draw at HT / Genoa at FT	10.3%	12.8%	15.7%	0.81×	7.82
Como at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	5.8%	1.05×	16.60
Genoa at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.3%	4.5%	0.74×	30.05
Genoa at HT / Como at FT	2.2%	3.3%	2.0%	1.62×	30.13
Como at HT / Genoa at FT	1.9%	3.3%	2.6%	1.30×	30.15

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como to score last	56.8%	55.1%	43.7%	1.26×	1.82
Genoa to score last	36.1%	37.7%	48.1%	0.78×	2.65
No goal scored	7.1%	8.3%	8.3%	1.00×	11.98

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	91.8%	91.7%	1.00×	1.09
Como to lead by 1 at any time	64.9%	60.4%	50.8%	1.19×	1.66
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.4%	43.5%	42.7%	1.02×	2.30
Genoa to lead by 1 at any time	41.3%	38.3%	54.5%	0.70×	2.61
Como to lead by 2 at any time	33.2%	28.4%	20.1%	1.41×	3.53
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.1%	14.7%	14.6%	1.01×	6.80
Como to lead by 3 at any time	13.6%	10.2%	6.3%	1.63×	9.82
Genoa to lead by 2 at any time	13.4%	10.2%	23.0%	0.44×	9.82
Genoa to lead by 3 at any time	3.5%	1.5%	8.4%	0.18×	65.02

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	86.6%	89.0%	0.97×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.0%	77.2%	80.8%	0.96×	1.30
2-6 goals	72.3%	71.9%	71.1%	1.01×	1.39
2-5 goals	68.9%	68.2%	69.2%	0.99×	1.47
1-3 goals	65.5%	68.2%	67.8%	1.01×	1.47
2-4 goals	61.2%	62.5%	61.0%	1.02×	1.60
3-6 goals	47.5%	46.4%	46.2%	1.00×	2.16
2-3 goals	46.7%	46.4%	48.0%	0.97×	2.16
3-5 goals	44.1%	42.8%	44.2%	0.97×	2.34
1-2 goals	43.5%	42.8%	44.9%	0.95×	2.34
3-4 goals	36.4%	38.1%	36.1%	1.06×	2.63
4-6 goals	25.6%	26.1%	23.3%	1.12×	3.83
4-5 goals	22.2%	19.8%	21.4%	0.93×	5.04
5-6 goals	11.1%	10.7%	10.2%	1.05×	9.32
7+ goals	1.9%	1.9%	0.9%	2.15×	51.95

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Como never behind	51.6%	63.5%	45.5%	1.40×	1.58
Genoa never behind	28.0%	32.4%	49.2%	0.66×	3.09

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.3%	50.7%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Odd number of goals	49.8%	49.3%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	59.5%	56.7%	1.05×	1.68
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	40.5%	43.4%	0.93×	2.47

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	52.8%	51.8%	1.02×	1.89
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	47.2%	48.2%	0.98×	2.12

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.7%	92.6%	97.2%	0.95×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.6%	91.7%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.0%	89.0%	89.0%	1.00×	1.12
Over 1.5 goals	74.2%	73.9%	71.9%	1.03×	1.35
Under 3.5 goals	72.5%	73.8%	76.0%	0.97×	1.36
Under 2.5 goals	50.6%	51.0%	53.1%	0.96×	1.96
Over 2.5 goals	49.4%	49.0%	46.9%	1.04×	2.04
Over 3.5 goals	27.5%	26.2%	24.0%	1.09×	3.82
Under 1.5 goals	25.8%	26.1%	28.1%	0.93×	3.83
Over 4.5 goals	13.0%	11.0%	11.0%	1.00×	9.12
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.4%	8.3%	0.90×	13.44
Over 5.5 goals	5.3%	7.4%	2.8%	2.63×	13.49

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	98.2%	99.1%	0.99×	1.02
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.3%	94.8%	96.9%	0.98×	1.06
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.8%	84.1%	87.4%	0.96×	1.19
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.7%	68.2%	62.5%	1.09×	1.47
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.8%	65.0%	68.8%	0.94×	1.54
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.2%	35.0%	31.2%	1.12×	2.86
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.3%	31.8%	37.5%	0.85×	3.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.2%	15.9%	12.6%	1.26×	6.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.7%	5.2%	3.1%	1.71×	19.13
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	1.8%	0.9%	1.96×	55.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa not to score in both halves	84.5%	84.7%	76.1%	1.11×	1.18
Como not to score in both halves	69.4%	70.6%	78.8%	0.90×	1.42
Como to score in both halves	30.6%	29.4%	21.2%	1.39×	3.40
Genoa to score in both halves	15.5%	15.3%	23.9%	0.64×	6.52

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.6%	52.1%	48.1%	1.08×	1.92
Only Como scores	28.6%	28.0%	21.1%	1.33×	3.57
Only Genoa scores	12.7%	12.9%	22.8%	0.57×	7.74
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.5%	8.3%	0.91×	13.29

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.8%	22.5%	25.1%	0.90×	4.44
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.5%	23.0%	0.98×	4.44
Exactly 1 goals	18.7%	18.3%	19.9%	0.92×	5.46
Exactly 4 goals	14.5%	11.7%	13.2%	0.89×	8.57
Exactly 5 goals	7.7%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.17
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.18
6 or more goals	5.3%	7.6%	2.8%	2.69×	13.22

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.4%	44.1%	42.8%	1.03×	2.27
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	34.2%	35.0%	0.98×	2.92
No goals in 2nd half	22.2%	23.9%	22.3%	1.07×	4.19

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa not to win both halves	95.5%	97.3%	90.2%	1.08×	1.03
Como not to win both halves	84.4%	84.7%	91.4%	0.93×	1.18
Como to win both halves	15.6%	15.3%	8.6%	1.79×	6.53
Genoa to win both halves	4.5%	2.7%	9.8%	0.28×	36.38

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.8%	24.9%	26.7%	0.93×	4.02
Como by 1	24.0%	24.9%	19.9%	1.25×	4.02
Como by 2	15.6%	17.1%	8.6%	2.00×	5.83
Genoa by 1	15.3%	17.1%	22.3%	0.77×	5.83
Como by 3+	11.4%	11.0%	5.8%	1.90×	9.13
Genoa by 2	6.3%	6.2%	9.7%	0.64×	16.17
Genoa by 3+	2.5%	2.2%	7.7%	0.28×	45.88

Reading the xG timeline

Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

Genoa 0.92 xGComo 2.01 xG

Reading the shot map

Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Genoa attacking right Como attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

Min	Team	Player	xG	Situation	Body part	Result	Assisted by
1'	Como	Tasos Douvikas	0.10	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Martin Baturina
5'	Genoa	Lorenzo Colombo	0.01	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Milutin Osmajic
6'	Como	Yan Couto	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Assane Diao
9'	Como	Máximo Perrone	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Álex Valle
12'	Como	Lucas Da Cunha	0.07	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	—
16'	Como	Nico Paz	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Álex Valle
17'	Como	Lucas Da Cunha	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	—
18'	Genoa	Milutin Osmajic	0.43	Open Play	Left Foot	Goal	Lorenzo Colombo
21'	Como	Álex Valle	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	—
23'	Genoa	Tommaso Baldanzi	0.12	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Lorenzo Colombo
24'	Como	Martin Baturina	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Goal	Álex Valle
29'	Como	Assane Diao	0.07	Open Play	Left Foot	Goal	—
32'	Como	Yan Couto	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Máximo Perrone
37'	Como	Assane Diao	0.08	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Tasos Douvikas
39'	Como	Nico Paz	0.31	Open Play	Right Foot	Goal	Yan Couto
42'	Como	Máximo Perrone	0.07	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Assane Diao
43'	Como	Tasos Douvikas	0.09	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Nico Paz
44'	Genoa	Tommaso Baldanzi	0.01	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Morten Frendrup
49'	Genoa	Tommaso Baldanzi	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Milutin Osmajic
50'	Genoa	Johan Vásquez	0.01	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	Djibril Sow
51'	Como	Lucas Da Cunha	0.06	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Máximo Perrone
56'	Genoa	Mikael Ellertsson	0.07	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Tommaso Baldanzi
60'	Genoa	Milutin Osmajic	0.07	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Lorenzo Colombo
64'	Como	Tasos Douvikas	0.49	Open Play	—	Missed Shot	Yan Couto
67'	Como	Nico Paz	0.08	Open Play	Left Foot	Shot On Post	—
68'	Como	Jacobo Ramón	0.04	From Corner	—	Saved Shot	Lucas Da Cunha
73'	Genoa	Junior Messias	0.09	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Kingsley Ehizibue
77'	Como	Assane Diao	0.31	Open Play	Right Foot	Goal	Moise Kean
82'	Como	Samuele Ricci	0.09	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Maxence Caqueret
83'	Genoa	Vitinha	0.01	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Ethan Meichtry
90'	Genoa	Junior Messias	0.06	From Corner	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Alex Amorim

Players

Genoa

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Milutin Osmajic FW	90	1	0	2	2	0.50	0.04	0.67
Mikael Ellertsson ML	90	0	0	1	0	0.07	0.00	0.19
Johan Vásquez DC	90	0	0	1	0	0.01	0.00	0.46
Morten Frendrup AMC	90	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.01	0.53
Leo Østigard DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Justin Bijlow GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.08
Alessandro Marcandalli DC	82	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Djibril Sow MC	76	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.01	0.50
Tommaso Baldanzi MC	67	0	0	3	1	0.16	0.07	0.73
Lorenzo Colombo FW	67	0	1	1	3	0.01	0.62	0.64
Stefano Sabelli MR	47	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.12
Vitinha Sub	43	0	0	1	0	0.01	0.00	0.08
Junior Messias Sub	23	0	0	2	0	0.15	0.00	0.09
Kingsley Ehizibue Sub	23	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.09	0.09
Alex Amorim Sub	14	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.06	0.00
Ethan Meichtry Sub	8	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.01	0.01

Como

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Máximo Perrone DMC	90	0	0	2	2	0.10	0.08	1.09
Jacobo Ramón DC	90	0	0	1	0	0.04	0.00	1.05
Yan Couto DR	90	0	1	2	2	0.03	0.80	0.99
Álex Valle DL	90	0	1	1	3	0.02	0.08	0.67
Jean Butez GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.12
Trevoh Chalobah DC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	1.03
Assane Diao AMR	85	2	0	3	2	0.46	0.08	1.44
Nico Paz AMC	81	1	0	3	1	0.41	0.09	1.51
Lucas Da Cunha DMC	81	0	0	3	1	0.15	0.04	1.38
Tasos Douvikas FW	67	0	0	3	1	0.67	0.08	0.79
Martin Baturina AML	67	1	0	1	1	0.03	0.10	0.54
Maxence Caqueret Sub	23	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.09	0.09
Moise Kean Sub	23	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.31	0.31
Samuele Ricci Sub	9	0	0	1	0	0.09	0.00	0.09
Luis Milla Sub	9	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mattia Liberali Sub	5	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00

Genoa v Como — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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What the model said

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Expected goals by minute

Shot map

Every shot

Players

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