Genoa v Fiorentina — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 10 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627
Serie A
xG
Shots
11 – 13
On target
4 – 3
Shots in box
7 – 10
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.06
Set-piece xG
0.06 – 0.04
Goals − xG
+0.53 – +0.21
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Genoa 1.47 xGFiorentina 0.79 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Genoa attacking right
Fiorentina attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6' |
 Genoa |
Mikael Ellertsson | 0.33 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 6' |
Genoa |
Milutin Osmajic | 0.37 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Mikael Ellertsson |
| 6' |
Genoa |
Stephan El Shaarawy | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Milutin Osmajic |
| 9' |
 Fiorentina |
Cher Ndour | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Christ Inao Oulaï |
| 14' |
Genoa |
Junior Messias | 0.45 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Milutin Osmajic |
| 18' |
Fiorentina |
Franco Mastantuono | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Christ Inao Oulaï |
| 21' |
Genoa |
Stephan El Shaarawy | 0.04 | Direct Freekick | Right Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 22' |
Genoa |
Hamed Junior Traore | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Mikael Ellertsson |
| 26' |
Genoa |
Kingsley Ehizibue | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Mikael Ellertsson |
| 26' |
Genoa |
Stephan El Shaarawy | 0.04 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 31' |
Fiorentina |
Franco Mastantuono | 0.06 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Alejandro Jiménez |
| 31' |
Genoa |
Milutin Osmajic | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 41' |
Fiorentina |
Christ Inao Oulaï | 0.11 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Wilfried Gnonto |
| 43' |
Fiorentina |
Luca Ranieri | 0.04 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Wilfried Gnonto |
| 44' |
Fiorentina |
Franco Mastantuono | 0.09 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Alejandro Jiménez |
| 51' |
Fiorentina |
Nicolo Fagioli | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Franco Mastantuono |
| 63' |
Fiorentina |
Beto | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Alieu Njie |
| 72' |
Genoa |
Johan Vásquez | 0.00 | Open Play | Left Foot | Own Goal | — |
| 76' |
Fiorentina |
Cher Ndour | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Mateo Pellegrino |
| 77' |
Genoa |
Alessandro Marcandalli | 0.02 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Vitinha |
| 78' |
Fiorentina |
Alieu Njie | 0.10 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Valde |
| 83' |
Fiorentina |
Cher Ndour | 0.03 | Open Play | Right Foot | Shot On Post | Mateo Pellegrino |
| 90' |
Fiorentina |
Pote | 0.04 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Viery |
| 95' |
Fiorentina |
Mateo Pellegrino | 0.02 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Pote |
Players
Genoa
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milutin Osmajic FW | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.95 |
| Hamed Junior Traore DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Justin Bijlow GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Johan Vásquez DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Leo Østigard DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Morten Frendrup DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| Mikael Ellertsson AMR | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.79 |
| Kingsley Ehizibue DR | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Sebastian Otoa DC | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
| Junior Messias AMC | 58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
| Stephan El Shaarawy AML | 58 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| Vitinha Sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Samuel Wiafe Sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alessandro Marcandalli Sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| David Puczka Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Stefano Sabelli Sub | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Fiorentina
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Mastantuono AMR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| Cher Ndour DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Nicolo Fagioli DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.37 |
| Valde DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.43 |
| Radu Dragusin DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| David de Gea GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Wilfried Gnonto AML | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.37 |
| Alejandro Jiménez DR | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.52 |
| Beto FW | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Christ Inao Oulaï AMC | 47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.31 |
| Luca Ranieri DC | 47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.31 |
| Alieu Njie Sub | 43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.22 |
| Viery Sub | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| Mateo Pellegrino Sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| Dodô Sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Pote Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.07 |