Genoa v Frosinone — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 12 Sep 2026, 18:52 UTC

Genoa

1–1

1.84 – 1.75 xG

Frosinone

Shots

17 – 26

On target

5 – 6

Shots in box

12 – 15

xG per shot

0.11 – 0.07

Set-piece xG

1.00 – 0.42

Goals − xG

-0.84 – -0.77

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 12 Sep, 11:38 · 1h before kick-off

Genoa win

38.1%

model 36.6%

Draw

23.9%

model 24.9%

Frosinone win

38.1%

model 38.5%

382438

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,703 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.3%
0-1 8.2%
1-0 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.8%	Under 2.5	45.2%
BTTS yes	58.1%	BTTS no	41.9%
Genoa 1+	75.8%	Genoa 2+	41.4%
Frosinone 1+	76.7%	Frosinone 2+	42.8%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

85%

★ Best pick

Both teams score

Teams to score · usually 49%

57.8% fair odds 1.73

strong signal · 5449 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Genoa (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 86%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 4439 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Frosinone carry the stronger rating, 1700 Elo against 1441.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.
Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Genoa were missing 0.71 expected goal involvements a match against 0.09.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.85).

Why the model thinks this

The price

Frosinone have an estimated 38.1% win probability, against 38.1% for Genoa and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.42 for Genoa and 1.46 for Frosinone.

Why Genoa

At home Genoa average 1.03 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.42 to 1.46. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Frosinone can win

Frosinone carry the stronger rating, 1700 Elo against 1441. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Genoa were missing 0.71 expected goal involvements a match against 0.09.

Key players

Genoa's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Milutin Osmajic (0.30), Lorenzo Colombo (0.30), Vitinha (0.22). Frosinone's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Antonio Raimondo (0.55), Giorgi Kvernadze (0.30), Giacomo Calo (0.19).

Availability

1 of Genoa's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Genoa: 53% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.26 xG a match from set pieces. Frosinone: 40% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 19.2 faced, 0.18 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-12 15:20 · team_stats 2026-09-12 06:04 · availability 2026-09-12 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Frosinone are the model's most likely outcome at 38.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Genoa are finishing below their chances — 3.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

DLLLLLDLWL last 10 scored 6 from 9.7 xG conceded 16 from 14.5 xG

Frosinone are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 7.4 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWWDWLW last 7 scored 13 from 11.9 xG conceded 9 from 16.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	352440	1.43–1.54	0%	0%	0%	Away ✗
dc-xg	522325	1.79–1.16	1-1 11%	56%	57%	Home ✗
dc-xg-oos	472528	1.58–1.18	1-1 12%	52%	55%	Home ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to win	46.7%	47.6%	39.4%	1.21×	2.10
Frosinone to win	28.4%	27.7%	34.0%	0.82×	3.61
Draw	24.9%	24.6%	26.8%	0.92×	4.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa & not both score	24.4%	21.8%	22.6%	0.96×	4.59
Genoa & both teams score	22.2%	21.8%	16.9%	1.29×	4.60
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.55
Frosinone & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.54
Frosinone & not both score	14.2%	13.3%	20.8%	0.64×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.3%	8.4%	8.2%	1.02×	11.97

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa & over 1.5	36.7%	34.7%	29.0%	1.19×	2.89
Genoa & under 3.5	31.4%	31.0%	29.4%	1.06×	3.22
Genoa & over 2.5	28.7%	25.9%	22.5%	1.15×	3.85
Frosinone & over 1.5	21.0%	21.6%	24.6%	0.88×	4.63
Frosinone & under 3.5	20.5%	21.6%	26.6%	0.81×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.57
Genoa & under 2.5	17.9%	18.0%	17.0%	1.05×	5.57
Draw & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.57
Draw & under 3.5	18.1%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.57
Frosinone & over 2.5	16.6%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.57
Genoa & over 3.5	15.2%	18.0%	10.1%	1.78×	5.57
Frosinone & under 2.5	11.9%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.78
Genoa & under 1.5	10.0%	12.9%	10.5%	1.23×	7.78
Frosinone & under 1.5	7.5%	8.0%	9.5%	0.84×	12.57
Frosinone & over 3.5	7.9%	8.0%	7.4%	1.07×	12.57
Draw & under 1.5	6.3%	8.0%	8.2%	0.97×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	8.0%	6.9%	1.15×	12.57
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	8.0%	6.9%	1.15×	12.57

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (1UP)	62.1%	63.1%	54.7%	1.15×	1.58
Frosinone (1UP)	46.3%	43.2%	51.1%	0.84×	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (2UP)	46.7%	49.8%	41.0%	1.21×	2.01
Frosinone (2UP)	28.4%	24.9%	36.5%	0.68×	4.02

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to win 2nd half	41.3%	41.0%	34.7%	1.18×	2.44
2nd half drawn	38.7%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Frosinone to win 2nd half	20.0%	23.0%	29.5%	0.78×	4.36

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.4%	92.0%	85.2%	1.08×	1.09
Frosinone under 0.5 in 2nd half	61.5%	59.0%	50.5%	1.17×	1.70
Frosinone over 0.5 in 2nd half	38.5%	41.0%	49.5%	0.83×	2.44
Frosinone over 1.5 in 2nd half	8.6%	8.0%	14.8%	0.54×	12.46

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	75.8%	81.3%	0.93×	1.32
Genoa over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	58.8%	53.7%	1.10×	1.70
Genoa under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	41.2%	46.3%	0.89×	2.43
Genoa over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	24.2%	18.7%	1.29×	4.14

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone (+2.5)	90.2%	92.1%	92.4%	1.00×	1.09
Frosinone (+1.5)	76.1%	78.3%	83.0%	0.94×	1.28
Genoa (+0.5)	71.6%	73.7%	66.0%	1.12×	1.36
Frosinone (+0.5)	53.3%	52.1%	60.6%	0.86×	1.92
Genoa (-0.5)	46.7%	47.9%	39.4%	1.22×	2.09
Frosinone (-0.5)	28.4%	26.3%	34.0%	0.78×	3.80
Genoa (-1.5)	23.9%	21.7%	17.0%	1.27×	4.62
Genoa (-2.5)	9.8%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to concede	79.4%	78.8%	71.1%	1.11×	1.27
Frosinone clean sheet	20.6%	21.2%	28.9%	0.73×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone clean sheet in 1st half	47.4%	50.7%	58.8%	0.86×	1.97
Frosinone to concede in 1st half	52.6%	49.3%	41.2%	1.20×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to concede in 2nd half	56.6%	58.4%	53.7%	1.09×	1.71
Frosinone clean sheet in 2nd half	43.4%	41.6%	46.3%	0.90×	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone over 2.5 corners	79.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Frosinone under 6.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Frosinone over 3.5 corners	64.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Frosinone under 5.5 corners	63.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Frosinone under 4.5 corners	50.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Frosinone over 4.5 corners	49.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Frosinone over 5.5 corners	36.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Frosinone under 3.5 corners	35.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Frosinone over 6.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Frosinone under 2.5 corners	20.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 3.5 goals	96.8%	97.4%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Frosinone under 2.5 goals	88.4%	87.9%	88.4%	0.99×	1.14
Frosinone over 0.5 goals	69.2%	67.9%	69.3%	0.98×	1.47
Frosinone under 1.5 goals	67.0%	67.9%	65.4%	1.04×	1.47
Frosinone over 1.5 goals	33.0%	32.1%	34.6%	0.93×	3.11
Frosinone under 0.5 goals	30.8%	32.1%	30.7%	1.05×	3.11
Frosinone over 2.5 goals	11.6%	12.1%	11.6%	1.04×	8.26
Frosinone over 3.5 goals	3.2%	2.6%	2.9%	0.89×	38.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone under 1.5 in 1st half	84.7%	83.2%	90.2%	0.92×	1.20
Frosinone under 0.5 in 1st half	50.0%	55.6%	59.0%	0.94×	1.80
Frosinone over 0.5 in 1st half	50.0%	44.4%	41.0%	1.08×	2.25
Frosinone over 1.5 in 1st half	15.3%	16.8%	9.8%	1.70×	5.96

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone scores equally in both	42.0%	43.8%	43.6%	1.01×	2.28
Frosinone scores more in 1st half	35.5%	36.4%	23.9%	1.52×	2.75
Frosinone scores more in 2nd half	22.4%	22.4%	32.7%	0.69×	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (away no bet)	65.2%	66.5%	59.5%	1.12×	1.50
Draw (away no bet)	34.8%	33.5%	40.5%	0.83×	2.99

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone even goals	54.7%	52.8%	55.7%	0.95×	1.90
Frosinone odd goals	45.3%	47.2%	44.3%	1.07×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.0%	83.0%	87.2%	0.95×	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.0%	17.0%	12.8%	1.33×	5.90

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.2%	58.2%	59.6%	0.98×	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.8%	41.8%	40.4%	1.03×	2.40

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.5%	55.1%	52.8%	1.04×	1.82
Genoa to score 2+ in a row	38.5%	36.6%	31.1%	1.18×	2.74
Frosinone to score 2+ in a row	24.4%	19.5%	27.7%	0.71×	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.2%	19.4%	17.3%	1.12×	5.15
Genoa to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	9.7%	1.25×	8.20
Frosinone to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.6%	7.7%	0.73×	17.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone corners (+3.5)	83.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Genoa corners (+3.5)	81.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Frosinone corners (+2.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Genoa corners (+2.5)	73.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Frosinone corners (+1.5)	67.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Genoa corners (+1.5)	64.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Frosinone corners (-1.5)	36.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Genoa corners (-1.5)	32.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Frosinone corners (-2.5)	26.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Genoa corners (-2.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Frosinone corners (-3.5)	18.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Genoa corners (-3.5)	16.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
12+ corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
9-11 corners	28.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.8%	11.4%	11.9%	0.96×	8.80
1-0	10.0%	11.4%	10.5%	1.08×	8.80
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.2%	0.80×	13.53
0-1	7.5%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.53
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.6%	0.98×	13.53
2-0	7.9%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.53
0-0	6.3%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.53
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.53
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	6.7%	0.26×	57.66
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.53×	57.67
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.72×	57.68
1-3	2.7%	1.7%	1.9%	0.92×	57.67
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.29×	57.68
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	57.67
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.1%	13.73×	57.68
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	57.66
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	57.65
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	57.66
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.96×	57.67
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.87×	57.68
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	57.67
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	57.67
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.73×	57.67
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	6.87×	57.68
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.87×	57.68
Any other score	3.0%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	57.66

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (2nd half DNB)	67.3%	69.8%	54.0%	1.29×	1.43
Frosinone (2nd half DNB)	32.7%	30.2%	46.0%	0.66×	3.32

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa leading at HT (DNB)	52.5%	56.0%	50.1%	1.12×	1.79
Frosinone leading at HT (DNB)	47.5%	44.0%	49.9%	0.88×	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa or Frosinone (12)	75.1%	75.4%	73.2%	1.03×	1.33
Genoa or draw (1X)	71.6%	72.3%	66.0%	1.09×	1.38
Frosinone or draw (X2)	53.3%	52.4%	60.6%	0.87×	1.91

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa or draw at HT	70.4%	74.2%	72.6%	1.02×	1.35
Frosinone or draw at HT	67.3%	66.3%	72.5%	0.91×	1.51
Genoa or Frosinone at HT	62.3%	62.0%	54.8%	1.13×	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa or draw (1UP)	71.6%	80.1%	71.3%	1.12×	1.25
Frosinone or draw (1UP)	53.3%	59.2%	66.3%	0.89×	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa or draw in 2nd half	80.0%	77.0%	70.5%	1.09×	1.30
Genoa or Frosinone in 2nd half	61.3%	64.0%	64.1%	1.00×	1.56
Frosinone or draw in 2nd half	58.7%	59.0%	65.3%	0.90×	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.8%	61.6%	64.4%	0.96×	1.62
Neither half drawn	38.2%	38.4%	35.6%	1.08×	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (DNB)	62.1%	62.9%	53.7%	1.17×	1.59
Frosinone (DNB)	37.9%	37.1%	46.3%	0.80×	2.70

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to score first	53.7%	53.9%	47.7%	1.13×	1.86
Frosinone to score first	40.0%	41.7%	44.2%	0.94×	2.40
No goal scored	6.3%	7.5%	8.2%	0.91×	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.0%	51.6%	48.6%	1.06×	1.94
Not both teams to score	45.0%	48.4%	51.4%	0.94×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.2%	41.7%	36.9%	1.13×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	36.1%	38.6%	41.0%	0.94×	2.59
Both score & under 2.5	11.8%	12.3%	11.9%	1.03×	8.16
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	10.5%	0.80×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.5%	82.5%	86.9%	0.95×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.5%	17.5%	13.1%	1.33×	5.73

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.2%	75.3%	74.7%	1.01×	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.8%	24.7%	25.3%	0.98×	4.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.7%	59.4%	63.1%	0.94×	1.69
Both score 1st half only	20.5%	20.8%	11.7%	1.77×	4.81
Both score 2nd half only	16.1%	15.6%	20.5%	0.76×	6.41
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.7%	4.9%	1.37×	14.86

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.7%	80.0%	83.5%	0.96×	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.3%	20.0%	16.5%	1.21×	4.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.9%	57.2%	51.8%	1.11×	1.75
A half without a goal	44.1%	42.8%	48.2%	0.89×	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	46.9%	48.0%	0.98×	2.13
4-6 goals	27.6%	27.0%	23.5%	1.15×	3.71
0-1 goals	23.8%	23.0%	27.9%	0.83×	4.34
7+ goals	2.3%	1.9%	0.9%	2.10×	53.99

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.8%	34.8%	1.03×	2.80
Frosinone to score exactly 0	30.8%	33.6%	30.7%	1.10×	2.97
Frosinone to score exactly 2	21.4%	22.5%	23.1%	0.97×	4.45
Frosinone to score 3+	11.6%	13.0%	11.6%	1.12×	7.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to score exactly 1	32.5%	32.6%	32.3%	1.01×	3.06
Genoa to score exactly 2	25.7%	26.2%	24.6%	1.06×	3.82
Genoa to score 3+	21.2%	23.3%	14.4%	1.62×	4.29
Genoa to score exactly 0	20.6%	23.3%	28.9%	0.81×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.7%	38.0%	45.2%	0.84×	2.63
Genoa leading at HT	32.8%	33.7%	27.5%	1.22×	2.97
Frosinone leading at HT	29.6%	25.8%	27.4%	0.94×	3.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa -1: 2	53.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Genoa -1: 1	23.9%	23.7%	—	—	4.23
Genoa -1: X	22.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone (0:1)	53.3%	51.3%	60.6%	0.85×	1.95
Genoa (0:1)	23.9%	24.4%	17.0%	1.43×	4.10
Draw (0:1)	22.7%	24.4%	22.5%	1.09×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone (0:2)	76.1%	79.6%	83.0%	0.96×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.1%	10.9%	9.6%	1.13×	9.22
Genoa (0:2)	9.8%	7.7%	7.6%	1.02×	12.99

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone (0:3)	90.2%	92.7%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.5%	5.9%	4.5%	1.30×	16.94
Genoa (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	3.2%	0.75×	42.32

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone (0:4)	96.7%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	2.3%	0.54×	81.58
Genoa (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.0%	1.21×	81.73

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (1:0)	71.6%	72.6%	66.0%	1.10×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.9%	17.1%	19.9%	0.86×	5.86
Frosinone (1:0)	11.5%	12.7%	14.1%	0.90×	7.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (2:0)	88.5%	88.3%	85.9%	1.03×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.9%	6.6%	8.5%	0.77×	15.26
Frosinone (2:0)	3.6%	2.4%	5.8%	0.42×	41.36

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	39.9%	39.9%	26.8%	1.49×	2.50
2nd half highest scoring	34.6%	30.7%	46.6%	0.66×	3.26
Halves equal	25.4%	26.5%	26.8%	0.99×	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to concede	69.2%	66.6%	69.3%	0.96×	1.50
Genoa clean sheet	30.8%	33.4%	30.7%	1.09×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa clean sheet in 1st half	50.0%	55.6%	59.0%	0.94×	1.80
Genoa to concede in 1st half	50.0%	44.4%	41.0%	1.08×	2.25

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa clean sheet in 2nd half	61.5%	58.8%	50.5%	1.16×	1.70
Genoa to concede in 2nd half	38.5%	41.2%	49.5%	0.83×	2.43

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa over 2.5 corners	77.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Genoa under 6.5 corners	76.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Genoa under 5.5 corners	66.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Genoa over 3.5 corners	62.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Genoa under 4.5 corners	52.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Genoa over 4.5 corners	47.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Genoa under 3.5 corners	37.4%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Genoa over 5.5 corners	34.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Genoa over 6.5 corners	23.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Genoa under 2.5 corners	22.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa under 3.5 goals	92.4%	92.1%	95.5%	0.97×	1.09
Genoa over 0.5 goals	79.4%	77.4%	71.1%	1.09×	1.29
Genoa under 2.5 goals	78.8%	77.4%	85.6%	0.90×	1.29
Genoa under 1.5 goals	53.1%	52.8%	61.1%	0.86×	1.90
Genoa over 1.5 goals	46.9%	47.2%	38.9%	1.21×	2.12
Genoa over 2.5 goals	21.2%	22.6%	14.4%	1.57×	4.43
Genoa under 0.5 goals	20.6%	22.6%	28.9%	0.78×	4.43
Genoa over 3.5 goals	7.6%	7.9%	4.5%	1.73×	12.70

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa under 1.5 in 1st half	82.8%	84.2%	90.2%	0.93×	1.19
Genoa under 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	50.9%	58.8%	0.86×	1.97
Genoa over 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	49.1%	41.2%	1.19×	2.04
Genoa over 1.5 in 1st half	17.2%	15.8%	9.8%	1.60×	6.35

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa scores equally in both	35.5%	37.6%	42.2%	0.89×	2.66
Genoa scores more in 2nd half	34.8%	32.9%	36.5%	0.90×	3.04
Genoa scores more in 1st half	29.7%	28.1%	21.5%	1.31×	3.56

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone (home no bet)	53.3%	51.5%	55.9%	0.92×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.7%	48.5%	44.1%	1.10×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa even goals	52.1%	50.4%	56.6%	0.89×	1.98
Genoa odd goals	47.9%	49.6%	43.4%	1.14×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	23.7%	24.2%	34.3%	0.70×	4.13
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.7%	18.3%	1.02×	5.36
HT 0-1	16.4%	18.6%	18.4%	1.01×	5.37
HT 1-1	12.3%	10.9%	10.5%	1.04×	9.15
Any other HT score	7.2%	7.1%	3.0%	2.35×	14.03
HT 2-0	6.6%	7.1%	5.6%	1.28×	14.03
HT 0-2	5.7%	7.1%	5.4%	1.31×	14.05
HT 2-1	4.6%	2.3%	2.3%	1.01×	43.37
HT 1-2	4.2%	2.3%	2.5%	0.91×	43.39
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.3%	0.6%	3.63×	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa at HT / Genoa at FT	27.9%	27.0%	21.3%	1.27×	3.70
Frosinone at HT / Frosinone at FT	19.9%	16.8%	19.2%	0.87×	5.96
Draw at HT / Genoa at FT	15.6%	16.7%	15.8%	1.06×	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.7%	16.7%	0.76×	7.88
Draw at HT / Frosinone at FT	7.5%	6.0%	13.0%	0.46×	16.66
Frosinone at HT / Draw at FT	6.5%	6.0%	5.9%	1.01×	16.69
Genoa at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	4.4%	0.79×	28.77
Frosinone at HT / Genoa at FT	3.2%	3.5%	2.5%	1.38×	28.79
Genoa at HT / Frosinone at FT	1.0%	3.5%	2.0%	1.71×	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to score last	53.7%	52.1%	48.4%	1.08×	1.92
Frosinone to score last	40.0%	39.9%	43.6%	0.92×	2.51
No goal scored	6.3%	7.5%	8.2%	0.91×	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.7%	92.6%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
Genoa to lead by 1 at any time	62.1%	61.3%	54.7%	1.12×	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.2%	44.0%	42.6%	1.03×	2.28
Frosinone to lead by 1 at any time	46.3%	43.9%	51.1%	0.86×	2.28
Genoa to lead by 2 at any time	30.5%	29.3%	22.9%	1.28×	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.0%	14.9%	14.5%	1.02×	6.73
Frosinone to lead by 2 at any time	16.9%	14.9%	20.1%	0.74×	6.73
Genoa to lead by 3 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	8.3%	1.25×	9.57
Frosinone to lead by 3 at any time	5.0%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	59.52

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone most corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Genoa most corners	42.9%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.4%	89.1%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.5%	80.7%	0.97×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.9%	72.3%	71.3%	1.01×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.0%	72.3%	69.4%	1.04×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.8%	63.2%	67.7%	0.93×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.2%	61.0%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.8%	48.5%	46.5%	1.04×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.5%	48.0%	1.01×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.9%	48.5%	44.6%	1.09×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.6%	43.6%	44.7%	0.98×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.5%	39.3%	36.1%	1.09×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.6%	30.6%	23.5%	1.30×	3.27
4-5 goals	23.7%	24.8%	21.6%	1.15×	4.03
5-6 goals	12.3%	15.0%	10.5%	1.43×	6.65
7+ goals	2.3%	2.6%	0.9%	2.90×	38.97

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa never behind	47.4%	56.6%	48.9%	1.16×	1.77
Frosinone never behind	31.6%	35.5%	45.3%	0.78×	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	51.0%	51.8%	0.98×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.0%	48.2%	1.02×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.7%	56.8%	0.91×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.3%	43.2%	1.12×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.6%	52.0%	51.4%	1.01×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.4%	48.0%	48.6%	0.99×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.7%	92.2%	91.8%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.8%	92.2%	97.2%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.4%	87.4%	88.8%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.2%	77.2%	72.1%	1.07×	1.30
Under 3.5 goals	70.1%	72.4%	75.8%	0.96×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	52.1%	53.0%	47.2%	1.12×	1.89
Under 2.5 goals	47.9%	47.0%	52.8%	0.89×	2.13
Over 3.5 goals	29.9%	27.6%	24.2%	1.14×	3.62
Under 1.5 goals	23.8%	22.8%	27.9%	0.82×	4.39
Over 4.5 goals	14.6%	12.6%	11.2%	1.12×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	6.3%	7.8%	8.2%	0.95×	12.84
Over 5.5 goals	6.2%	7.8%	2.8%	2.80×	12.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.2%	99.1%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.3%	92.4%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.8%	80.5%	87.1%	0.92×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.6%	67.7%	62.9%	1.08×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.6%	61.6%	68.5%	0.90×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.4%	38.4%	31.5%	1.22×	2.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.4%	32.3%	37.1%	0.87×	3.09
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.2%	19.5%	12.9%	1.51×	5.13
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.7%	7.6%	3.0%	2.50×	13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.8%	0.9%	3.16×	35.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.4%	86.2%	91.9%	0.94×	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.3%	78.8%	65.7%	1.20×	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	57.9%	62.7%	70.8%	0.89×	1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half	42.1%	37.3%	29.2%	1.28×	2.68
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.7%	21.2%	34.3%	0.62×	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.6%	13.8%	8.1%	1.70×	7.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.2%	85.3%	82.3%	1.04×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.3%	77.7%	77.9%	1.00×	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.9%	61.6%	56.8%	1.08×	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.1%	38.4%	43.2%	0.89×	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.7%	22.3%	22.1%	1.01×	4.49
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.8%	14.7%	17.7%	0.83×	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone not to score in both halves	80.8%	84.3%	78.8%	1.07×	1.19
Genoa not to score in both halves	70.2%	73.6%	76.3%	0.97×	1.36
Genoa to score in both halves	29.8%	26.4%	23.7%	1.11×	3.79
Frosinone to score in both halves	19.2%	15.7%	21.2%	0.74×	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.0%	54.3%	48.6%	1.12×	1.84
Only Genoa scores	24.4%	22.0%	22.6%	0.97×	4.54
Only Frosinone scores	14.2%	11.1%	20.8%	0.53×	9.01
Neither team scores	6.3%	7.1%	8.2%	0.87×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.1%	22.4%	25.0%	0.90×	4.46
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.4%	23.1%	0.97×	4.46
Exactly 1 goals	17.5%	17.5%	19.8%	0.89×	5.70
Exactly 4 goals	15.3%	17.5%	13.1%	1.34×	5.70
Exactly 5 goals	8.4%	7.8%	8.6%	0.91×	12.85
Exactly 0 goals	6.3%	7.8%	8.2%	0.95×	12.86
6 or more goals	6.2%	7.8%	2.8%	2.80×	12.86

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.1%	35.9%	36.6%	0.98×	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	24.5%	21.7%	21.2%	1.03×	4.60
No goals in 1st half	23.7%	21.7%	34.3%	0.63×	4.60
3+ goals in 1st half	17.6%	15.3%	8.1%	1.89×	6.56

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.1%	40.1%	43.2%	0.93×	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	35.2%	39.8%	34.8%	1.14×	2.52
No goals in 2nd half	26.7%	29.8%	22.1%	1.35×	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone not to win both halves	94.1%	94.0%	91.4%	1.03×	1.06
Genoa not to win both halves	86.5%	87.9%	90.3%	0.97×	1.14
Genoa to win both halves	13.5%	12.1%	9.7%	1.25×	8.25
Frosinone to win both halves	5.9%	6.0%	8.6%	0.70×	16.70

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to win either half	60.5%	65.0%	52.5%	1.24×	1.54
Frosinone to win neither half	56.3%	59.4%	51.6%	1.15×	1.68
Frosinone to win either half	43.7%	40.6%	48.4%	0.84×	2.47
Genoa to win neither half	39.5%	35.1%	47.5%	0.74×	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Frosinone not to win to nil	85.8%	87.9%	79.2%	1.11×	1.14
Genoa not to win to nil	75.6%	78.3%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
Genoa to win to nil	24.4%	21.7%	22.6%	0.96×	4.62
Frosinone to win to nil	14.2%	12.1%	20.8%	0.58×	8.28

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.9%	24.2%	26.8%	0.90×	4.14
Genoa by 1	22.7%	24.2%	22.5%	1.08×	4.14
Frosinone by 1	16.9%	16.9%	19.9%	0.85×	5.92
Genoa by 2	14.1%	11.7%	9.6%	1.22×	8.53
Genoa by 3+	9.8%	7.3%	7.6%	0.96×	13.75
Frosinone by 2	7.9%	7.3%	8.5%	0.86×	13.76
Frosinone by 3+	3.6%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	35.58

Reading the xG timeline

Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

Genoa 1.84 xGFrosinone 1.77 xG

Reading the shot map

Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Genoa attacking right Frosinone attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

Min	Team	Player	xG	Situation	Body part	Result	Assisted by
1'	Genoa	Kingsley Ehizibue	0.02	From Corner	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Djibril Sow
13'	Frosinone	Giorgi Kvernadze	0.37	Open Play	Right Foot	Goal	Romano Schmid
17'	Genoa	Kingsley Ehizibue	0.04	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
21'	Genoa	Tommaso Baldanzi	0.38	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Lorenzo Colombo
22'	Genoa	Leo Østigard	0.09	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	Djibril Sow
25'	Genoa	Leo Østigard	0.03	Set Piece	—	Saved Shot	Djibril Sow
31'	Frosinone	Giacomo Calo	0.04	Direct Freekick	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
32'	Frosinone	Patrizio Masini	0.01	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
35'	Genoa	Kingsley Ehizibue	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Tommaso Baldanzi
36'	Genoa	Milutin Osmajic	0.08	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Alessandro Marcandalli
37'	Frosinone	Giacomo Calo	0.02	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Giorgi Kvernadze
41'	Genoa	Tommaso Baldanzi	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Alessandro Marcandalli
45'	Genoa	Lorenzo Colombo	0.76		Left Foot	Missed Shot	—
47'	Frosinone	Antonio Raimondo	0.16	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	—
47'	Frosinone	Farès Ghedjemis	0.12	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Giorgi Kvernadze
48'	Frosinone	Gabriele Calvani	0.07	Set Piece	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Ilario Monterisi
49'	Genoa	Johan Vásquez	0.05	From Corner	Right Foot	Goal	Djibril Sow
54'	Frosinone	Farès Ghedjemis	0.03	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Giacomo Calo
61'	Genoa	Junior Messias	0.03	Direct Freekick	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	—
62'	Genoa	Junior Messias	0.06	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Mikael Ellertsson
63'	Frosinone	Anthony Oyono	0.05	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Giorgi Kvernadze
64'	Frosinone	Giorgi Kvernadze	0.04	From Corner	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Ilario Monterisi
65'	Frosinone	Anthony Oyono	0.05	From Corner	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Farès Ghedjemis
68'	Genoa	Johan Vásquez	0.04	Open Play	Left Foot	Missed Shot	Milutin Osmajic
69'	Genoa	Lorenzo Colombo	0.02	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Junior Messias
72'	Frosinone	Luis Hasa	0.03	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Gabriele Bracaglia
72'	Frosinone	Patrizio Masini	0.02	From Corner	Right Foot	Missed Shot	—
74'	Frosinone	Ilario Monterisi	0.01	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	Giacomo Calo
74'	Frosinone	Patrizio Masini	0.01	From Corner	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Giorgi Kvernadze
77'	Frosinone	Anthony Oyono	0.01	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Luis Hasa
78'	Frosinone	Luis Hasa	0.09	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Giorgi Kvernadze
80'	Genoa	Vitinha	0.11	Open Play	Right Foot	Saved Shot	Junior Messias
81'	Genoa	Ethan Meichtry	0.06	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Johan Vásquez
82'	Genoa	Junior Messias	0.02	From Corner	—	Missed Shot	Alex Amorim
83'	Frosinone	Giacomo Calo	0.08	Open Play	Right Foot	Missed Shot	Seydou Fini
84'	Frosinone	Giacomo Calo	0.10	Open Play	Left Foot	Saved Shot	Giorgi Kvernadze
88'	Frosinone	Alessio Zerbin	0.05	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Luis Hasa
90'	Frosinone	Giacomo Calo	0.07	Open Play	Right Foot	Blocked Shot	Tomás Bobcek
91'	Frosinone	Gabriele Bracaglia	0.05	Open Play	Left Foot	Blocked Shot	Seydou Fini
91'	Frosinone	Tomás Bobcek	0.07	From Corner	—	Saved Shot	Giacomo Calo
92'	Frosinone	Gabriele Bracaglia	0.09	From Corner	—	Blocked Shot	Giacomo Calo
92'	Frosinone	Luis Hasa	0.02	From Corner	Left Foot	Saved Shot	—
93'	Frosinone	Alessio Zerbin	0.10	Open Play	—	Saved Shot	Seydou Fini

Players

Genoa

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Leo Østigard DC	90	0	0	2	0	0.12	0.00	0.12
Milutin Osmajic FW	90	0	0	1	1	0.08	0.04	0.12
Justin Bijlow GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.12
Alessandro Marcandalli DC	90	0	0	0	2	0.00	0.10	0.14
Morten Frendrup MC	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.09
Johan Vásquez DC	89	1	0	2	1	0.09	0.06	0.10
Mikael Ellertsson DML	83	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.06	0.06
Djibril Sow MC	82	0	1	0	4	0.00	0.19	0.04
Lorenzo Colombo FW	73	0	0	2	1	0.78	0.38	0.42
Kingsley Ehizibue DMR	63	0	0	3	0	0.10	0.00	0.08
Tommaso Baldanzi MC	49	0	0	2	1	0.40	0.03	0.43
Junior Messias Sub	41	0	0	3	2	0.11	0.12	0.23
Stephan El Shaarawy Sub	27	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.10
Vitinha Sub	17	0	0	1	0	0.11	0.00	0.11
Alex Amorim Sub	8	0	0	0	1	0.00	0.02	0.00
Ethan Meichtry Sub	7	0	0	1	0	0.06	0.00	0.06

Frosinone

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	KP	xG	xA	xGChain
Giorgi Kvernadze AML	90	1	0	2	6	0.41	0.41	0.76
Giacomo Calo DMC	90	0	0	5	4	0.31	0.20	0.39
Gabriele Bracaglia DL	90	0	0	2	1	0.13	0.03	0.23
Anthony Oyono DR	90	0	0	3	0	0.11	0.00	0.24
Gabriele Calvani DC	90	0	0	1	0	0.07	0.00	0.69
Patrizio Masini DMC	90	0	0	3	0	0.05	0.00	0.32
Lorenzo Palmisani GK	90	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.50
Farès Ghedjemis AMR	75	0	0	2	1	0.15	0.05	0.52
Antonio Raimondo FW	74	0	0	1	0	0.16	0.00	0.19
Romano Schmid AMC	74	0	1	0	1	0.00	0.37	0.57
Giorgio Cittadini DC	49	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00
Ilario Monterisi Sub	41	0	0	1	2	0.01	0.11	0.07
Luis Hasa Sub	16	0	0	3	2	0.14	0.06	0.38
Tomás Bobcek Sub	16	0	0	1	1	0.07	0.07	0.17
Seydou Fini Sub	15	0	0	0	3	0.00	0.23	0.23
Alessio Zerbin Sub	1	0	0	2	0	0.15	0.00	0.15

Genoa v Frosinone — Prediction, Odds & Stats

AI prediction

Top 5 scorelines

Goals

Footing

Positive factors

Risk factors

The price

Why Genoa

Why the draw is live

Why Frosinone can win

Key players

Availability

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

What the chances say

What the model said

All markets

Expected goals by minute

Shot map

Every shot

Players

Genoa

Frosinone

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