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Genoa v Juventus — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 September 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

0–3
0.39 – 2.92 xG
Shots
7 – 12
On target
2 – 3
Shots in box
2 – 8
xG per shot
0.06 – 0.24
Set-piece xG
0.16 – 1.14
Goals − xG
-0.39 – +0.08
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.62.53.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Dusan Vlahovic 47' — goalDusan Vlahovic 54' — goalFrancisco Conceição 88' — goal
Genoa 0.39 xGJuventus 2.92 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Fabio Miretti 5' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Direct Freekick)Nicolo Fagioli 12' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 33' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Kenan Yildiz 40' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 47' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Dusan Vlahovic 49' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Andrea Pinamonti 53' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 54' — Goal (0.09 xG, Open Play)Teun Koopmeiners 63' — Shot On Post (0.57 xG, Open Play)Nicolo Fagioli 72' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Kephren Thuram 74' — Missed Shot (0.33 xG, From Corner)Lior Kasa 79' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Dusan Vlahovic 81' — Missed Shot (0.60 xG, Open Play)Emil Bohinen 83' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Kephren Thuram 86' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Andrea Pinamonti 87' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Mattia Bani 87' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Francisco Conceição 88' — Goal (0.29 xG, Open Play)Emil Bohinen 92' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)
Genoa attacking right Juventus attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Genoa Fabio Miretti 0.08 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
12' Juventus Nicolo Fagioli 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Nicolás González
33' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.05 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
40' Juventus Kenan Yildiz 0.01 Open Play Missed Shot Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa
47' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.76 Left Foot Goal
49' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Teun Koopmeiners
53' Genoa Andrea Pinamonti 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Emil Bohinen
54' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Goal Teun Koopmeiners
63' Juventus Teun Koopmeiners 0.57 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Francisco Conceição
72' Juventus Nicolo Fagioli 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Francisco Conceição
74' Juventus Kephren Thuram 0.33 From Corner Missed Shot Douglas Luiz
79' Genoa Lior Kasa 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Morten Frendrup
81' Juventus Dusan Vlahovic 0.60 Open Play Missed Shot Nicolò Savona
83' Genoa Emil Bohinen 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Lior Kasa
86' Juventus Kephren Thuram 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Douglas Luiz
87' Genoa Andrea Pinamonti 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Alan Matturro
87' Genoa Mattia Bani 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot Lior Kasa
88' Juventus Francisco Conceição 0.29 Open Play Left Foot Goal Kephren Thuram
92' Genoa Emil Bohinen 0.06 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot

Players

Genoa

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Andrea Pinamonti FW 90 0 0 2 0 0.18 0.00 0.18
Mattia Bani DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Pierluigi Gollini GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Koni de Winter DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.20
Johan Vásquez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Morten Frendrup MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.05
Alessandro Zanoli DMR 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Fabio Miretti MC 71 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.06
Vitinha FW 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Honest Ahanor DML 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emil Bohinen Sub 65 0 0 2 1 0.08 0.06 0.20
Milan Badelj MC 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lior Kasa Sub 19 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.04 0.17
Alan Matturro Sub 19 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.12 0.12
David Ankeye Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stefano Sabelli Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12

Juventus

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dusan Vlahovic FW 90 2 0 5 0 1.64 0.00 1.13
Teun Koopmeiners AMC 90 0 1 1 2 0.57 0.23 0.81
Nicolo Fagioli DMC 90 0 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 1.20
Bremer DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.75
Danilo DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.63
Mattia Perin GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.55
Kenan Yildiz AML 76 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.18
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa DC 76 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.72
Jonas Rouhi DL 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.29
Nicolás González AMR 64 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Weston McKennie DMC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.24
Francisco Conceição Sub 26 1 0 1 2 0.29 0.60 1.49
Douglas Luiz Sub 26 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.35 1.22
Kephren Thuram Sub 14 0 1 2 1 0.35 0.29 0.92
Nicolò Savona Sub 14 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.60 0.62
Andrea Cambiaso Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.92
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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