Genoa v Udinese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 December 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Genoa

14:00 UTC

Udinese

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,371h before kick-off

Genoa win

43.2%

model 43.1%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.5%

Udinese win

29.4%

model 31.5%

432729

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
1-0 9.8%
2-1 9.0%
0-1 8.1%
1-2 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.2%	Under 2.5	48.8%
BTTS yes	54.9%	BTTS no	45.1%
Genoa 1+	77.4%	Genoa 2+	43.8%
Udinese 1+	70.9%	Udinese 2+	35.0%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.24. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

93/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Genoa scores more in 2nd half

Home highest scoring half · usually 36%

51.3% fair odds 1.95

moderate signal · 433 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Udinese not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 80%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Genoa have created 0.97 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11.
At home Genoa average 1.25 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Genoa have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for Udinese and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Genoa and 1.24 for Udinese.

Why Genoa

Genoa have created 0.97 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11. At home Genoa average 1.25 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Udinese can win

Udinese have created 1.13 xG a match over their last five while Genoa have allowed 1.45. Away from home Udinese average 1.14 xG a match.

Key players

Genoa's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Milutin Osmajic (0.36), Lorenzo Colombo (0.33), Ruslan Malinovskiy (0.21). Udinese's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Keinan Davis (0.40), Nicolo Zaniolo (0.33), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (0.24).

Availability

2 of Genoa's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Genoa's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Udinese's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Udinese's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Genoa: 42% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.14 xG a match from set pieces. Udinese: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.32 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Genoa are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 93/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Genoa are finishing below their chances — 3.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

DLLLLLDLWL last 10 scored 6 from 9.7 xG conceded 16 from 14.5 xG

Udinese are conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLLDWLLLLL last 10 scored 11 from 11.3 xG conceded 18 from 21.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432531	1.49–1.24	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	432730	1.36–1.08	1-1 13%	44%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to win	42.0%	42.9%	40.1%	1.07×	2.33
Udinese to win	31.9%	30.4%	33.6%	0.90×	3.29
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa & not both score	22.9%	21.8%	22.6%	0.97×	4.58
Genoa & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Udinese & not both score	17.0%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.57
Udinese & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	13.2%	1.01×	7.53
Draw & not both score	7.3%	8.3%	7.9%	1.05×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa & over 1.5	31.6%	30.8%	30.0%	1.02×	3.25
Genoa & under 3.5	30.0%	26.1%	29.5%	0.88×	3.84
Genoa & over 2.5	24.3%	21.6%	23.4%	0.92×	4.63
Udinese & under 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	26.3%	0.82×	4.63
Udinese & over 1.5	23.1%	21.6%	24.6%	0.88×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	19.8%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.8%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Genoa & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Udinese & over 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	18.1%	0.99×	5.56
Udinese & under 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	15.6%	0.82×	7.79
Genoa & over 3.5	12.0%	12.8%	10.7%	1.20×	7.79
Genoa & under 1.5	10.4%	12.8%	10.2%	1.26×	7.79
Udinese & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	7.9%	1.00×	12.63
Udinese & over 3.5	8.3%	7.9%	7.4%	1.06×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (1UP)	57.6%	58.1%	55.3%	1.05×	1.72
Udinese (1UP)	48.8%	44.0%	50.4%	0.87×	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (2UP)	42.0%	47.1%	41.9%	1.12×	2.12
Udinese (2UP)	31.9%	30.4%	36.1%	0.84×	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to win 2nd half	41.8%	42.0%	34.9%	1.20×	2.38
2nd half drawn	35.3%	35.9%	35.1%	1.03×	2.78
Udinese to win 2nd half	22.9%	24.1%	30.1%	0.80×	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.5%	87.0%	85.0%	1.02×	1.15
Udinese under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.3%	52.5%	49.9%	1.05×	1.91
Udinese over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.7%	47.5%	50.1%	0.95×	2.10
Udinese over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.5%	13.0%	15.0%	0.87×	7.70

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	75.4%	81.4%	0.93×	1.33
Genoa over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	63.2%	53.8%	1.18×	1.58
Genoa under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	36.8%	46.2%	0.80×	2.72
Genoa over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	24.6%	18.6%	1.32×	4.06

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (+2.5)	92.5%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Udinese (+1.5)	80.0%	82.5%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Genoa (+0.5)	68.1%	68.7%	66.4%	1.03×	1.46
Udinese (+0.5)	58.0%	57.0%	59.9%	0.95×	1.75
Genoa (-0.5)	42.0%	43.0%	40.1%	1.07×	2.33
Udinese (-0.5)	31.9%	31.3%	33.6%	0.93×	3.19
Genoa (-1.5)	20.0%	17.5%	17.5%	1.00×	5.72
Genoa (-2.5)	7.5%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede	75.7%	78.7%	71.7%	1.10×	1.27
Udinese clean sheet	24.3%	21.3%	28.3%	0.75×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese clean sheet in 1st half	62.1%	64.9%	57.9%	1.12×	1.54
Udinese to concede in 1st half	37.9%	35.1%	42.1%	0.83×	2.85

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede in 2nd half	60.9%	61.7%	53.8%	1.15×	1.62
Udinese clean sheet in 2nd half	39.1%	38.3%	46.2%	0.83×	2.61

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 6.5 corners	83.9%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Udinese under 5.5 corners	74.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Udinese over 2.5 corners	70.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Udinese under 4.5 corners	62.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Udinese over 3.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Udinese under 3.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Udinese over 4.5 corners	38.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Udinese under 2.5 corners	29.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Udinese over 5.5 corners	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Udinese over 6.5 corners	16.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 3.5 goals	96.7%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Udinese under 2.5 goals	88.0%	87.8%	88.1%	1.00×	1.14
Udinese over 0.5 goals	69.8%	68.0%	69.6%	0.98×	1.47
Udinese under 1.5 goals	66.4%	68.0%	64.9%	1.05×	1.47
Udinese over 1.5 goals	33.6%	32.0%	35.1%	0.91×	3.12
Udinese under 0.5 goals	30.2%	32.0%	30.4%	1.05×	3.13
Udinese over 2.5 goals	12.0%	12.2%	11.9%	1.03×	8.21
Udinese over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.5%	2.9%	0.87×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 1st half	88.2%	89.2%	89.9%	0.99×	1.12
Udinese under 0.5 in 1st half	55.6%	61.8%	58.8%	1.05×	1.62
Udinese over 0.5 in 1st half	44.4%	38.2%	41.2%	0.93×	2.62
Udinese over 1.5 in 1st half	11.8%	10.8%	10.1%	1.07×	9.26

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese scores equally in both	42.0%	43.7%	43.3%	1.01×	2.29
Udinese scores more in 2nd half	29.7%	26.3%	32.9%	0.80×	3.80
Udinese scores more in 1st half	28.3%	26.3%	23.9%	1.10×	3.81

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (away no bet)	61.6%	61.9%	60.3%	1.03×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	38.4%	38.1%	39.7%	0.96×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese even goals	54.6%	52.6%	55.6%	0.95×	1.90
Udinese odd goals	45.4%	47.4%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.8%	87.8%	87.3%	1.01×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.2%	12.2%	12.7%	0.96×	8.19

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.4%	57.7%	60.3%	0.96×	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.6%	42.3%	39.7%	1.07×	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.3%	51.0%	53.4%	0.96×	1.96
Genoa to score 2+ in a row	33.3%	29.2%	31.8%	0.92×	3.42
Udinese to score 2+ in a row	25.6%	25.1%	27.7%	0.91×	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.9%	16.3%	17.9%	0.91×	6.15
Genoa to score 3+ in a row	11.0%	12.0%	10.1%	1.19×	8.33
Udinese to score 3+ in a row	7.1%	5.6%	7.9%	0.70×	17.99

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa corners (+3.5)	89.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Genoa corners (+2.5)	83.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Genoa corners (+1.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Udinese corners (+3.5)	73.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Udinese corners (+2.5)	64.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Udinese corners (+1.5)	54.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Genoa corners (-1.5)	45.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Genoa corners (-2.5)	35.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Genoa corners (-3.5)	26.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Udinese corners (-1.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Udinese corners (-2.5)	16.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Udinese corners (-3.5)	10.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	26.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	73.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	65.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	44.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	34.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	11.9%	0.97×	8.72
1-0	10.4%	11.5%	10.2%	1.12×	8.72
0-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.51
0-0	7.3%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.51
1-2	7.4%	7.4%	7.4%	0.99×	13.51
2-0	7.3%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
0-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
0-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.79×	58.32
1-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.38×	58.31
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.31
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
Any other score	2.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (2nd half DNB)	64.6%	63.1%	53.7%	1.18×	1.58
Udinese (2nd half DNB)	35.4%	36.9%	46.3%	0.80×	2.71

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese leading at HT (DNB)	56.7%	57.1%	48.8%	1.17×	1.75
Genoa leading at HT (DNB)	43.3%	42.9%	51.2%	0.84×	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa or Udinese (12)	73.9%	72.1%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Genoa or draw (1X)	68.1%	69.6%	66.4%	1.05×	1.44
Udinese or draw (X2)	58.0%	57.1%	59.9%	0.95×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese or draw at HT	76.1%	79.2%	71.5%	1.11×	1.26
Genoa or draw at HT	68.8%	67.2%	72.9%	0.92×	1.49
Genoa or Udinese at HT	55.1%	57.1%	55.5%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa or draw (1UP)	68.1%	76.3%	71.7%	1.06×	1.31
Udinese or draw (1UP)	58.0%	63.1%	65.4%	0.96×	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa or draw in 2nd half	77.1%	75.9%	69.9%	1.09×	1.32
Genoa or Udinese in 2nd half	64.7%	64.1%	64.9%	0.99×	1.56
Udinese or draw in 2nd half	58.2%	58.0%	65.1%	0.89×	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.3%	61.6%	63.5%	0.97×	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.7%	38.4%	36.5%	1.05×	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (DNB)	56.9%	58.1%	54.4%	1.07×	1.72
Udinese (DNB)	43.1%	41.9%	45.6%	0.92×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to score first	50.2%	53.2%	48.6%	1.09×	1.88
Udinese to score first	42.5%	41.7%	43.6%	0.96×	2.40
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	7.9%	0.94×	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.8%	51.3%	49.2%	1.04×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.2%	48.7%	50.8%	0.96×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.4%	41.6%	37.5%	1.11×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	39.1%	38.4%	40.1%	0.96×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	11.9%	1.04×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.1%	85.6%	86.4%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.9%	14.4%	13.6%	1.06×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.2%	73.7%	74.8%	0.98×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.8%	26.3%	25.2%	1.04×	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.1%	65.5%	62.7%	1.04×	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	21.3%	20.4%	1.04×	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.7%	12.2%	0.88×	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.0%	4.9%	1.01×	20.09

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.2%	83.3%	83.0%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.8%	16.7%	17.0%	0.98×	5.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.5%	52.7%	52.8%	1.00×	1.90
A half without a goal	48.5%	47.3%	47.2%	1.00×	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.2%	48.4%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.5%	26.6%	27.0%	0.98×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.9%	22.9%	23.9%	0.96×	4.36
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	1.0%	1.92×	54.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.9%	34.7%	1.04×	2.78
Udinese to score exactly 0	30.2%	33.8%	30.4%	1.11×	2.96
Udinese to score exactly 2	21.6%	22.3%	23.3%	0.96×	4.49
Udinese to score 3+	12.0%	12.9%	11.9%	1.08×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to score exactly 1	34.4%	32.6%	32.1%	1.02×	3.07
Genoa to score exactly 0	24.3%	23.3%	28.3%	0.82×	4.29
Genoa to score exactly 2	24.3%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.29
Genoa to score 3+	17.0%	18.8%	15.1%	1.24×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.9%	42.9%	44.5%	0.96×	2.33
Udinese leading at HT	31.2%	32.8%	27.1%	1.21×	3.05
Genoa leading at HT	23.9%	20.8%	28.5%	0.73×	4.81

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa -1: 2	58.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Genoa -1: X	22.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Genoa -1: 1	20.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:1)	58.0%	55.8%	59.9%	0.93×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.0%	24.2%	22.7%	1.07×	4.13
Genoa (0:1)	20.0%	17.8%	17.5%	1.02×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:2)	80.0%	82.9%	82.5%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.5%	11.0%	10.0%	1.10×	9.10
Genoa (0:2)	7.5%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:3)	92.5%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.2%	5.8%	4.7%	1.24×	17.25
Genoa (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	3.1%	0.76×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	2.3%	0.54×	81.91
Genoa (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.0%	1.27×	82.04

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (1:0)	68.1%	70.1%	66.4%	1.06×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.7%	17.1%	19.3%	0.89×	5.85
Udinese (1:0)	13.2%	12.7%	14.4%	0.88×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa (2:0)	86.8%	88.5%	85.6%	1.03×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.9%	6.4%	8.6%	0.74×	15.67
Udinese (2:0)	4.3%	2.3%	5.9%	0.39×	43.56

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.5%	48.8%	46.2%	1.05×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	27.0%	0.97×	3.82
Halves equal	25.4%	26.2%	26.9%	0.97×	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to concede	69.8%	66.7%	69.6%	0.96×	1.50
Genoa clean sheet	30.2%	33.3%	30.4%	1.10×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa clean sheet in 1st half	55.6%	61.8%	58.8%	1.05×	1.62
Genoa to concede in 1st half	44.4%	38.2%	41.2%	0.93×	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa clean sheet in 2nd half	54.3%	52.6%	49.9%	1.05×	1.90
Genoa to concede in 2nd half	45.7%	47.4%	50.1%	0.95×	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa over 2.5 corners	82.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Genoa under 6.5 corners	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Genoa over 3.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Genoa under 5.5 corners	58.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Genoa over 4.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Genoa under 4.5 corners	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Genoa over 5.5 corners	41.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Genoa under 3.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Genoa over 6.5 corners	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Genoa under 2.5 corners	17.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa under 3.5 goals	94.5%	92.2%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Genoa under 2.5 goals	83.0%	82.2%	84.9%	0.97×	1.22
Genoa over 0.5 goals	75.7%	77.7%	71.7%	1.08×	1.29
Genoa under 1.5 goals	58.7%	58.6%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Genoa over 1.5 goals	41.3%	41.4%	39.7%	1.04×	2.42
Genoa under 0.5 goals	24.3%	22.3%	28.3%	0.79×	4.49
Genoa over 2.5 goals	17.0%	17.8%	15.1%	1.18×	5.62
Genoa over 3.5 goals	5.5%	7.8%	4.7%	1.66×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa under 1.5 in 1st half	91.7%	94.7%	89.3%	1.06×	1.06
Genoa under 0.5 in 1st half	62.1%	64.6%	57.9%	1.12×	1.55
Genoa over 0.5 in 1st half	37.9%	35.4%	42.1%	0.84×	2.83
Genoa over 1.5 in 1st half	8.3%	5.3%	10.7%	0.50×	18.74

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa scores more in 2nd half	45.5%	47.0%	36.3%	1.30×	2.13
Genoa scores equally in both	36.4%	37.7%	41.7%	0.91×	2.65
Genoa scores more in 1st half	18.1%	15.9%	22.2%	0.71×	6.30

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (home no bet)	54.9%	51.4%	56.0%	0.92×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	45.1%	48.6%	44.0%	1.10×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa even goals	53.0%	50.7%	56.2%	0.90×	1.97
Genoa odd goals	47.0%	49.3%	43.8%	1.13×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.5%	33.3%	33.7%	0.99×	3.01
HT 0-1	20.3%	24.3%	18.1%	1.34×	4.11
HT 1-0	16.4%	18.6%	18.5%	1.01×	5.38
HT 1-1	9.7%	6.9%	10.3%	0.67×	14.44
HT 0-2	6.0%	6.9%	5.4%	1.28×	14.49
HT 2-0	3.9%	2.4%	5.8%	0.41×	42.04
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.07
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.4%	2.6%	0.90×	42.11
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.15
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	0.7%	3.29×	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese at HT / Udinese at FT	20.4%	21.6%	19.1%	1.13×	4.63
Genoa at HT / Genoa at FT	19.3%	16.8%	22.1%	0.76×	5.96
Draw at HT / Genoa at FT	18.8%	16.8%	15.8%	1.06×	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.8%	16.7%	16.1%	1.04×	5.98
Draw at HT / Udinese at FT	10.3%	12.6%	12.8%	0.98×	7.92
Udinese at HT / Draw at FT	6.9%	6.0%	5.9%	1.02×	16.63
Udinese at HT / Genoa at FT	3.9%	3.5%	2.4%	1.45×	28.65
Genoa at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	4.7%	0.75×	28.66
Genoa at HT / Udinese at FT	1.1%	3.5%	1.9%	1.81×	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to score last	50.2%	52.0%	48.1%	1.08×	1.92
Udinese to score last	42.5%	40.0%	44.1%	0.91×	2.50
No goal scored	7.3%	7.5%	7.9%	0.94×	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.7%	92.7%	92.1%	1.01×	1.08
Genoa to lead by 1 at any time	57.6%	54.9%	55.3%	0.99×	1.82
Udinese to lead by 1 at any time	48.8%	44.6%	50.4%	0.88×	2.24
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.3%	39.2%	43.7%	0.90×	2.55
Genoa to lead by 2 at any time	25.9%	25.5%	24.0%	1.06×	3.93
Udinese to lead by 2 at any time	18.6%	15.0%	20.2%	0.74×	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.0%	10.5%	15.1%	0.69×	9.52
Genoa to lead by 3 at any time	9.3%	6.7%	8.8%	0.77×	14.83
Udinese to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	6.7%	6.5%	1.03×	14.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa most corners	56.5%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Udinese most corners	33.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.2%	83.4%	80.7%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	71.7%	72.4%	72.1%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.5%	68.8%	70.1%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.0%	68.8%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.5%	48.4%	1.00×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.7%	48.5%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.2%	43.6%	44.1%	0.99×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.5%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.0%	39.2%	36.7%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.9%	24.5%	23.9%	1.03×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.7%	24.5%	21.8%	1.12×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.7%	14.8%	10.7%	1.39×	6.76
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	1.0%	2.66×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa never behind	43.9%	48.6%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
Udinese never behind	35.1%	43.9%	44.7%	0.98×	2.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.0%	57.9%	56.5%	1.02×	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.0%	42.1%	43.5%	0.97×	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.9%	50.7%	1.02×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.1%	49.3%	0.97×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	95.4%	97.0%	0.98×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.6%	87.6%	88.5%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	73.5%	72.5%	73.0%	0.99×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.4%	72.5%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.6%	52.5%	51.9%	1.01×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	48.4%	47.5%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	26.6%	27.5%	24.7%	1.11×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	26.5%	27.5%	27.0%	1.02×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.4%	12.4%	11.5%	1.08×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	7.9%	0.98×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	4.6%	3.0%	1.53×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.6%	92.4%	96.7%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.5%	86.7%	86.7%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.9%	67.4%	67.7%	1.00×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.6%	61.9%	64.1%	0.97×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.4%	38.1%	35.9%	1.06×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.1%	32.6%	32.3%	1.01×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.5%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.4%	7.6%	3.3%	2.31×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	1.0%	2.86×	35.60

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.8%	92.5%	91.2%	1.01×	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.3%	71.6%	70.1%	1.02×	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.5%	66.3%	1.03×	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.5%	33.7%	0.93×	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.7%	28.4%	29.9%	0.95×	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.2%	7.5%	8.8%	0.85×	13.41

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	79.2%	82.4%	0.96×	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.7%	79.2%	78.6%	1.01×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	53.1%	56.9%	0.93×	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	46.9%	43.1%	1.09×	2.13
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.3%	20.8%	21.4%	0.98×	4.80
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	20.8%	17.6%	1.18×	4.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to score in both halves	79.7%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
Genoa not to score in both halves	77.0%	78.5%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
Genoa to score in both halves	23.0%	21.5%	24.3%	0.89×	4.65
Udinese to score in both halves	20.3%	21.4%	21.6%	0.99×	4.67

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.8%	53.9%	49.2%	1.09×	1.86
Only Genoa scores	22.9%	22.3%	22.6%	0.99×	4.49
Only Udinese scores	17.0%	16.0%	20.5%	0.78×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.3%	7.1%	7.9%	0.90×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.0%	24.9%	25.0%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	23.5%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	19.2%	17.5%	19.2%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.1%	13.3%	0.91×	8.24
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	7.3%	7.6%	7.9%	0.96×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.0%	4.5%	3.0%	1.49×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	37.3%	36.5%	1.02×	2.68
No goals in 1st half	34.5%	35.9%	33.7%	1.06×	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	19.5%	15.7%	21.2%	0.74×	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.2%	7.5%	8.8%	0.85×	13.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.8%	45.2%	43.1%	1.05×	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.9%	33.9%	35.7%	0.95×	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.3%	22.9%	21.4%	1.07×	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to win both halves	92.8%	94.1%	91.1%	1.03×	1.06
Genoa not to win both halves	90.0%	94.0%	89.9%	1.05×	1.06
Genoa to win both halves	10.0%	6.0%	10.1%	0.59×	16.80
Udinese to win both halves	7.2%	5.9%	8.9%	0.66×	17.00

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Genoa to win either half	55.7%	59.1%	53.3%	1.11×	1.69
Udinese to win neither half	53.0%	54.3%	51.6%	1.05×	1.84
Udinese to win either half	47.0%	45.7%	48.4%	0.95×	2.19
Genoa to win neither half	44.3%	40.9%	46.7%	0.88×	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese not to win to nil	83.0%	83.1%	79.5%	1.05×	1.20
Genoa not to win to nil	77.1%	78.1%	77.4%	1.01×	1.28
Genoa to win to nil	22.9%	21.9%	22.6%	0.97×	4.57
Udinese to win to nil	17.0%	16.9%	20.5%	0.82×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59
Genoa by 1	22.0%	24.1%	22.7%	1.06×	4.15
Udinese by 1	18.7%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
Genoa by 2	12.5%	11.8%	10.0%	1.18×	8.51
Udinese by 2	8.9%	7.2%	8.6%	0.83×	13.90
Genoa by 3+	7.5%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.91
Udinese by 3+	4.3%	2.7%	5.9%	0.46×	36.77