Gil Vicente FC v Estoril — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · POR-Primeira Liga · 2627

Primeira Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Gil Vicente FC

20:00 UTC

Estoril

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 897h before kick-off

Gil Vicente FC win

47.1%

model 48.1%

Draw

26.5%

model 25.5%

Estoril win

26.5%

model 26.4%

472626

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.8%
1-1 12.1%
2-1 9.1%
2-0 9.0%
0-1 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.9%	Under 2.5	55.1%
BTTS yes	48.4%	BTTS no	51.6%
Gil Vicente FC 1+	76.9%	Gil Vicente FC 2+	43.0%
Estoril 1+	63.5%	Estoril 2+	26.7%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.01. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 49%

57.1% fair odds 1.75

moderate signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Estoril not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 80%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Gil Vicente FC carry the stronger rating, 1506 Elo against 1417.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Gil Vicente FC have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.5% for Estoril and 26.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Gil Vicente FC and 1.01 for Estoril.

Why Gil Vicente FC

Gil Vicente FC carry the stronger rating, 1506 Elo against 1417.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Estoril can win

Nothing in the data singles out Estoril.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gil Vicente FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Estoril, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gil Vicente FC: 49% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Estoril: 45% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Gil Vicente FC are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482626	1.46–1.01	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	462529	1.45–1.10	1-1 12%	47%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to win	45.7%	47.3%	42.1%	1.13×	2.11
Estoril to win	28.9%	27.9%	31.4%	0.89×	3.58
Draw	25.4%	27.9%	26.7%	1.05×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC & not both score	26.0%	25.2%	26.0%	0.97×	3.97
Gil Vicente FC & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	16.2%	1.11×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.56
Estoril & not both score	16.0%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.57
Estoril & both teams score	12.9%	13.3%	11.7%	1.13×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.4%	8.3%	6.5%	1.29×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC & over 1.5	34.0%	30.8%	31.4%	0.98×	3.25
Gil Vicente FC & under 3.5	33.1%	30.8%	29.1%	1.06×	3.25
Gil Vicente FC & over 2.5	25.7%	26.1%	24.7%	1.06×	3.84
Estoril & under 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	25.4%	0.85×	4.63
Gil Vicente FC & under 2.5	20.0%	21.6%	17.6%	1.23×	4.63
Estoril & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	22.5%	0.80×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	17.3%	1.04×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.5%	18.0%	17.3%	1.04×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.56
Estoril & over 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Estoril & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	14.2%	0.91×	7.79
Gil Vicente FC & over 3.5	12.7%	12.8%	13.1%	0.98×	7.79
Gil Vicente FC & under 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	10.8%	1.19×	7.79
Estoril & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.5%	1.22×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	9.6%	0.83×	12.63
Estoril & over 3.5	6.7%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (1UP)	60.2%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Estoril (1UP)	45.4%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (2UP)	45.7%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Estoril (2UP)	28.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to win 2nd half	36.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	36.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Estoril to win 2nd half	26.7%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Estoril under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Estoril over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Estoril over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	13.1%	—	—	7.65

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.8%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril (+2.5)	91.4%	92.1%	89.7%	1.03×	1.09
Estoril (+1.5)	77.8%	78.5%	77.8%	1.01×	1.27
Gil Vicente FC (+0.5)	71.1%	73.6%	68.6%	1.07×	1.36
Estoril (+0.5)	54.3%	52.4%	57.9%	0.90×	1.91
Gil Vicente FC (-0.5)	45.7%	47.6%	42.1%	1.13×	2.10
Estoril (-0.5)	28.9%	26.4%	31.4%	0.84×	3.80
Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)	22.2%	21.5%	22.2%	0.97×	4.65
Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)	8.6%	7.9%	10.3%	0.76×	12.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril to concede	76.6%	78.8%	73.8%	1.07×	1.27
Estoril clean sheet	23.4%	21.2%	26.2%	0.81×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril clean sheet in 1st half	53.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Estoril to concede in 1st half	46.5%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril to concede in 2nd half	56.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Estoril clean sheet in 2nd half	43.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril under 6.5 corners	88.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Estoril under 5.5 corners	79.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Estoril over 2.5 corners	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Estoril under 4.5 corners	67.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Estoril under 3.5 corners	50.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Estoril over 3.5 corners	49.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Estoril over 4.5 corners	32.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Estoril under 2.5 corners	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Estoril over 5.5 corners	20.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Estoril over 6.5 corners	11.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril under 3.5 goals	97.5%	97.5%	96.0%	1.02×	1.03
Estoril under 2.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Estoril under 1.5 goals	70.1%	71.9%	65.3%	1.10×	1.39
Estoril over 0.5 goals	66.6%	68.0%	67.6%	1.01×	1.47
Estoril under 0.5 goals	33.4%	32.0%	32.4%	0.99×	3.12
Estoril over 1.5 goals	30.0%	28.1%	34.7%	0.81×	3.55
Estoril over 2.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	11.2%	0.68×	13.03
Estoril over 3.5 goals	2.5%	2.5%	4.0%	0.63×	39.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril under 1.5 in 1st half	92.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Estoril under 0.5 in 1st half	64.5%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Estoril over 0.5 in 1st half	35.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Estoril over 1.5 in 1st half	7.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril scores equally in both	43.8%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Estoril scores more in 2nd half	35.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Estoril scores more in 1st half	21.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (away no bet)	64.3%	62.0%	61.2%	1.01×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	35.7%	38.0%	38.8%	0.98×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril even goals	55.6%	56.9%	58.7%	0.97×	1.76
Estoril odd goals	44.4%	43.1%	41.3%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.4%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.22

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.7%	60.7%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.4%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Gil Vicente FC to score 2+ in a row	35.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Estoril to score 2+ in a row	22.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.6%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
Gil Vicente FC to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Estoril to score 3+ in a row	5.7%	5.5%	—	—	18.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC corners (+3.5)	92.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Gil Vicente FC corners (+2.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gil Vicente FC corners (+1.5)	80.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Estoril corners (+3.5)	71.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Estoril corners (+2.5)	61.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gil Vicente FC corners (-1.5)	50.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Estoril corners (+1.5)	50.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Gil Vicente FC corners (-2.5)	38.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gil Vicente FC corners (-3.5)	28.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Estoril corners (-1.5)	19.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Estoril corners (-2.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Estoril corners (-3.5)	7.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	24.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	35.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	32.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	10.9%	1.05×	8.72
1-0	11.8%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.72
0-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.51
0-0	7.4%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.51
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
2-0	8.3%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.51
2-2	5.0%	1.7%	8.3%	0.21×	58.29
0-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.29
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.9%	0.45×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.32
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.32
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.32
3-0	4.0%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.29
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	11.13×	58.32
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.31
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32
Any other score	2.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (2nd half DNB)	57.9%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Estoril (2nd half DNB)	42.1%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC leading at HT (DNB)	61.1%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Estoril leading at HT (DNB)	38.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC or Estoril (12)	74.6%	72.1%	73.3%	0.98×	1.39
Gil Vicente FC or draw (1X)	71.1%	72.1%	68.6%	1.05×	1.39
Estoril or draw (X2)	54.3%	52.7%	57.9%	0.91×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC or draw at HT	78.4%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Estoril or draw at HT	66.1%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Gil Vicente FC or Estoril at HT	55.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC or draw (1UP)	71.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Estoril or draw (1UP)	54.3%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC or draw in 2nd half	73.3%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Gil Vicente FC or Estoril in 2nd half	63.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Estoril or draw in 2nd half	63.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.2%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.8%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (DNB)	61.3%	62.7%	57.2%	1.10×	1.60
Estoril (DNB)	38.7%	37.3%	42.8%	0.87×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to score first	52.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Estoril to score first	39.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.6%	51.3%	47.9%	1.07×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.4%	48.7%	52.1%	0.94×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.1%	41.6%	37.9%	1.10×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	38.6%	38.4%	37.1%	1.04×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.2%	85.6%	86.0%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.8%	14.4%	14.0%	1.03×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.5%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.5%	5.0%	—	—	20.13

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.6%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	49.5%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.2%	45.6%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.1%	26.6%	26.0%	1.02×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.8%	22.9%	27.7%	0.83×	4.37
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	0.9%	1.99×	54.35

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.9%	33.1%	1.08×	2.78
Estoril to score exactly 0	33.4%	33.8%	32.4%	1.05×	2.96
Estoril to score exactly 2	20.1%	22.3%	23.6%	0.95×	4.49
Estoril to score 3+	9.9%	8.6%	11.2%	0.76×	11.67

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 1	34.0%	32.6%	31.4%	1.04×	3.07
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 2	24.7%	23.3%	23.6%	0.99×	4.29
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 0	23.4%	23.3%	26.2%	0.89×	4.29
Gil Vicente FC to score 3+	18.0%	18.8%	19.1%	0.98×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Gil Vicente FC leading at HT	33.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Estoril leading at HT	21.6%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC -1: 2	54.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Gil Vicente FC -1: X	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Gil Vicente FC -1: 1	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril (0:1)	54.3%	51.3%	57.9%	0.89×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	23.5%	24.2%	20.0%	1.21×	4.13
Gil Vicente FC (0:1)	22.2%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril (0:2)	77.8%	79.4%	77.8%	1.02×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.6%	11.0%	12.0%	0.92×	9.09
Gil Vicente FC (0:2)	8.6%	7.7%	10.3%	0.74×	13.03

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril (0:3)	91.4%	92.7%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	6.0%	0.97×	17.23
Gil Vicente FC (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril (0:4)	97.3%	98.1%	95.5%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.88
Gil Vicente FC (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	82.03

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (1:0)	71.1%	72.4%	68.6%	1.06×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.8%	17.1%	17.7%	0.97×	5.85
Estoril (1:0)	11.1%	12.7%	13.9%	0.92×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (2:0)	89.0%	88.5%	86.1%	1.03×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.68
Estoril (2:0)	3.3%	2.3%	6.9%	0.33×	43.62

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to concede	66.6%	66.7%	67.6%	0.99×	1.50
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet	33.4%	33.4%	32.4%	1.03×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet in 1st half	64.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Gil Vicente FC to concede in 1st half	35.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet in 2nd half	51.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Gil Vicente FC to concede in 2nd half	48.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC over 2.5 corners	84.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Gil Vicente FC over 3.5 corners	71.7%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Gil Vicente FC under 6.5 corners	69.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Gil Vicente FC over 4.5 corners	57.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Gil Vicente FC under 5.5 corners	56.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Gil Vicente FC over 5.5 corners	43.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Gil Vicente FC under 4.5 corners	42.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Gil Vicente FC over 6.5 corners	30.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Gil Vicente FC under 3.5 corners	28.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Gil Vicente FC under 2.5 corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 3.5 goals	94.0%	92.2%	93.5%	0.99×	1.08
Gil Vicente FC under 2.5 goals	82.0%	82.2%	80.9%	1.02×	1.22
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 goals	76.6%	77.7%	73.8%	1.05×	1.29
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 goals	57.3%	58.6%	57.5%	1.02×	1.71
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 goals	42.7%	41.4%	42.5%	0.97×	2.42
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 goals	23.4%	22.3%	26.2%	0.85×	4.49
Gil Vicente FC over 2.5 goals	18.0%	17.8%	19.1%	0.93×	5.62
Gil Vicente FC over 3.5 goals	6.0%	7.8%	6.5%	1.20×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 in 1st half	87.0%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 in 1st half	53.5%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 in 1st half	46.5%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 in 1st half	13.0%	9.8%	—	—	10.23

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC scores more in 2nd half	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gil Vicente FC scores equally in both	37.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gil Vicente FC scores more in 1st half	25.4%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril (home no bet)	53.2%	51.4%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	46.8%	48.6%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC even goals	52.7%	50.7%	54.7%	0.93×	1.97
Gil Vicente FC odd goals	47.3%	49.3%	45.3%	1.09×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
HT 1-0	21.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 2-0	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
Any other HT score	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
HT 0-2	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	26.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Draw at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	16.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Estoril at HT / Estoril at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Estoril at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Estoril at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Estoril at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.71
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Estoril at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to score last	52.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Estoril to score last	39.8%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
No goal scored	7.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 1 at any time	60.2%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Estoril to lead by 1 at any time	45.4%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 2 at any time	28.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Estoril to lead by 2 at any time	15.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 3 at any time	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Estoril to lead by 3 at any time	4.5%	1.7%	—	—	60.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC most corners	61.4%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Estoril most corners	28.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.1%	87.4%	89.8%	0.97×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.4%	83.1%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.3%	72.4%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
1-3 goals	67.3%	68.8%	65.2%	1.06×	1.45
2-5 goals	67.3%	68.8%	70.3%	0.98×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.3%	63.3%	63.5%	1.00×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.5%	45.6%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.7%	48.5%	42.4%	1.14×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.3%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-5 goals	42.4%	43.6%	47.6%	0.92×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.3%	39.2%	40.8%	0.96×	2.55
4-6 goals	23.8%	24.5%	27.7%	0.88×	4.08
4-5 goals	20.8%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.0%	8.9%	9.9%	0.90×	11.25
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	0.9%	2.76×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC never behind	47.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Estoril never behind	32.4%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.5%	50.9%	50.2%	1.01×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.5%	49.1%	49.8%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.5%	95.4%	96.1%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	93.5%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.4%	87.6%	89.4%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.7%	72.5%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	71.9%	72.5%	74.0%	0.98×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.1%	52.5%	48.7%	1.08×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	46.9%	47.5%	51.3%	0.93×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.1%	27.5%	26.0%	1.06×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.3%	27.5%	28.5%	0.97×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	11.6%	12.4%	10.6%	1.17×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	6.5%	1.19×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.5%	4.6%	3.9%	1.19×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.1%	97.2%	95.9%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.6%	86.7%	87.1%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.7%	67.4%	63.1%	1.07×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.5%	61.9%	66.3%	0.93×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.5%	38.1%	33.7%	1.13×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.3%	32.6%	36.9%	0.88×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.4%	13.3%	12.9%	1.03×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.9%	2.8%	4.1%	0.68×	35.52
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.8%	1.0%	2.95×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.8%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.2%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.5%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.5%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril not to score in both halves	82.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Gil Vicente FC not to score in both halves	73.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Gil Vicente FC to score in both halves	26.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
Estoril to score in both halves	17.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.6%	53.8%	47.9%	1.12×	1.86
Only Gil Vicente FC scores	26.0%	26.0%	26.0%	1.00×	3.84
Only Estoril scores	16.0%	16.0%	19.9%	0.81×	6.25
Neither team scores	7.4%	7.1%	6.5%	1.10×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.0%	22.6%	22.8%	0.99×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.7%	22.6%	19.7%	1.14×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.8%	12.1%	18.0%	0.67×	8.24
Exactly 0 goals	7.4%	7.6%	6.5%	1.18×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	6.9%	1.10×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.5%	4.5%	3.9%	1.16×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	34.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	19.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.5%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril not to win both halves	94.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Gil Vicente FC not to win both halves	87.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Gil Vicente FC to win both halves	12.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Estoril to win both halves	5.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.11

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to win either half	58.3%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Estoril to win neither half	57.4%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Estoril to win either half	42.6%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Gil Vicente FC to win neither half	41.7%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estoril not to win to nil	84.0%	83.1%	80.1%	1.04×	1.20
Gil Vicente FC not to win to nil	74.0%	75.4%	74.0%	1.02×	1.33
Gil Vicente FC to win to nil	26.0%	24.6%	26.0%	0.95×	4.06
Estoril to win to nil	16.0%	16.9%	19.9%	0.85×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.4%	27.9%	26.7%	1.05×	3.59
Gil Vicente FC by 1	23.5%	24.1%	20.0%	1.20×	4.15
Estoril by 1	17.8%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.87
Gil Vicente FC by 2	13.6%	11.8%	12.0%	0.98×	8.51
Gil Vicente FC by 3+	8.6%	7.2%	10.3%	0.70×	13.90
Estoril by 2	7.7%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Estoril by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.80