Gil Vicente FC v Vitória de Guimaraes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · POR-Primeira Liga · 2627

Primeira Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Gil Vicente FC

20:00 UTC

Vitória de Guimaraes

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 201h before kick-off

Gil Vicente FC win

39.9%

model 39.8%

Draw

28.9%

model 28.2%

Vitória de Guimaraes win

31.2%

model 32.1%

402931

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.5%
1-1 12.9%
0-1 11.8%
0-0 10.7%
2-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	37.7%	Under 2.5	62.3%
BTTS yes	43.9%	BTTS no	56.1%
Gil Vicente FC 1+	69.1%	Gil Vicente FC 2+	32.9%
Vitória de Guimaraes 1+	64.0%	Vitória de Guimaraes 2+	27.3%

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 42%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

strong signal · 1995 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Vitória de Guimaraes (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 78%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Gil Vicente FC carry the stronger rating, 1506 Elo against 1439.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Gil Vicente FC have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Vitória de Guimaraes and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.18 for Gil Vicente FC and 1.02 for Vitória de Guimaraes.

Why Gil Vicente FC

Gil Vicente FC carry the stronger rating, 1506 Elo against 1439.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. A combined 2.20 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.18 to 1.02. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Vitória de Guimaraes can win

Nothing in the data singles out Vitória de Guimaraes.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gil Vicente FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Vitória de Guimaraes, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gil Vicente FC: 49% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Vitória de Guimaraes: 52% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 6.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Gil Vicente FC are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.5%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	402832	1.18–1.02	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	372934	1.08–1.03	1-0 14%	35%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to win	36.7%	36.4%	42.1%	0.86×	2.75
Vitória de Guimaraes to win	34.3%	30.4%	31.4%	0.97×	3.29
Draw	29.1%	27.9%	26.7%	1.05×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC & not both score	24.0%	21.8%	26.0%	0.84×	4.58
Vitória de Guimaraes & not both score	22.4%	21.8%	19.9%	1.10×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.57
Gil Vicente FC & both teams score	12.7%	13.3%	16.2%	0.82×	7.54
Vitória de Guimaraes & both teams score	11.9%	13.3%	11.7%	1.13×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.8%	13.3%	6.5%	2.05×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC & under 3.5	30.4%	30.8%	29.1%	1.06×	3.25
Vitória de Guimaraes & under 3.5	28.6%	26.1%	25.4%	1.03×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	24.8%	21.6%	17.3%	1.25×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	24.8%	21.6%	17.3%	1.25×	4.63
Gil Vicente FC & over 1.5	23.1%	21.6%	31.4%	0.69×	4.63
Vitória de Guimaraes & over 1.5	21.3%	21.6%	22.5%	0.96×	4.63
Gil Vicente FC & under 2.5	20.6%	21.6%	17.6%	1.23×	4.63
Vitória de Guimaraes & under 2.5	19.4%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.56
Gil Vicente FC & over 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	24.7%	0.73×	5.56
Vitória de Guimaraes & over 2.5	14.8%	12.8%	17.4%	0.74×	7.79
Gil Vicente FC & under 1.5	13.6%	12.8%	10.8%	1.19×	7.79
Vitória de Guimaraes & under 1.5	13.0%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	11.8%	12.8%	6.5%	1.98×	7.79
Gil Vicente FC & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	13.1%	0.60×	12.63
Vitória de Guimaraes & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.2%	1.28×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (1UP)	50.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Vitória de Guimaraes (1UP)	47.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (2UP)	36.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Vitória de Guimaraes (2UP)	34.3%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.38
Vitória de Guimaraes to win 2nd half	29.6%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Gil Vicente FC to win 2nd half	29.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Vitória de Guimaraes under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Vitória de Guimaraes over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Vitória de Guimaraes over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	13.0%	—	—	7.69

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.4%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.6%	11.6%	—	—	8.59

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes (+2.5)	95.6%	96.3%	89.7%	1.07×	1.04
Vitória de Guimaraes (+1.5)	85.6%	88.4%	77.8%	1.14×	1.13
Gil Vicente FC (+0.5)	65.7%	68.7%	68.6%	1.00×	1.46
Vitória de Guimaraes (+0.5)	63.3%	62.9%	57.9%	1.09×	1.59
Gil Vicente FC (-0.5)	36.7%	37.1%	42.1%	0.88×	2.70
Vitória de Guimaraes (-0.5)	34.3%	31.3%	31.4%	1.00×	3.19
Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)	14.4%	11.6%	22.2%	0.52×	8.66
Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)	4.4%	3.7%	10.3%	0.36×	27.03

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes to concede	65.9%	72.3%	73.8%	0.98×	1.38
Vitória de Guimaraes clean sheet	34.1%	27.7%	26.2%	1.06×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes clean sheet in 1st half	63.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Vitória de Guimaraes to concede in 1st half	37.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.85

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes clean sheet in 2nd half	54.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Vitória de Guimaraes to concede in 2nd half	45.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes under 6.5 corners	84.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Vitória de Guimaraes under 5.5 corners	75.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Vitória de Guimaraes over 2.5 corners	71.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Vitória de Guimaraes under 4.5 corners	62.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Vitória de Guimaraes over 3.5 corners	54.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Vitória de Guimaraes under 3.5 corners	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Vitória de Guimaraes over 4.5 corners	38.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Vitória de Guimaraes under 2.5 corners	28.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Vitória de Guimaraes over 5.5 corners	24.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Vitória de Guimaraes over 6.5 corners	15.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	96.0%	1.02×	1.03
Vitória de Guimaraes under 2.5 goals	91.4%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Vitória de Guimaraes under 1.5 goals	72.5%	71.9%	65.3%	1.10×	1.39
Vitória de Guimaraes over 0.5 goals	64.2%	63.2%	67.6%	0.93×	1.58
Vitória de Guimaraes under 0.5 goals	35.8%	36.8%	32.4%	1.14×	2.72
Vitória de Guimaraes over 1.5 goals	27.5%	28.1%	34.7%	0.81×	3.56
Vitória de Guimaraes over 2.5 goals	8.6%	7.7%	11.2%	0.68×	13.04
Vitória de Guimaraes over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	4.0%	0.63×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Vitória de Guimaraes under 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Vitória de Guimaraes over 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Vitória de Guimaraes over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.81

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes scores equally in both	45.4%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Vitória de Guimaraes scores more in 2nd half	34.1%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
Vitória de Guimaraes scores more in 1st half	20.4%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (away no bet)	55.8%	57.4%	61.2%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.2%	42.6%	38.8%	1.10×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes even goals	56.4%	56.9%	58.7%	0.97×	1.76
Vitória de Guimaraes odd goals	43.6%	43.1%	41.3%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.4%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	7.6%	7.9%	—	—	12.69

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	51.2%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	48.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	42.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
Gil Vicente FC to score 2+ in a row	23.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Vitória de Guimaraes to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Gil Vicente FC to score 3+ in a row	6.3%	5.5%	—	—	18.05
Vitória de Guimaraes to score 3+ in a row	5.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.11

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC corners (+3.5)	86.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Vitória de Guimaraes corners (+3.5)	83.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Gil Vicente FC corners (+2.5)	79.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Vitória de Guimaraes corners (+2.5)	75.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Gil Vicente FC corners (+1.5)	70.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Vitória de Guimaraes corners (+1.5)	64.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gil Vicente FC corners (-1.5)	35.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Vitória de Guimaraes corners (-1.5)	29.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Gil Vicente FC corners (-2.5)	25.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Vitória de Guimaraes corners (-2.5)	20.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Gil Vicente FC corners (-3.5)	16.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Vitória de Guimaraes corners (-3.5)	13.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	18.0%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.7%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	82.0%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	65.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	57.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	43.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 9.5 corners	34.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	25.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.0%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Over 12.5 corners	12.3%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.6%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.72
1-1	13.1%	11.5%	10.9%	1.05×	8.72
0-1	13.0%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
0-0	11.8%	11.5%	6.5%	1.77×	8.72
1-2	6.9%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.51
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.51
0-2	6.5%	7.4%	5.2%	1.41×	13.51
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.9%	0.45×	58.31
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.32
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.32
2-2	3.7%	1.7%	8.3%	0.21×	58.30
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.32
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
3-1	2.6%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.30
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.13×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.56×	58.32
Any other score	0.9%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes (2nd half DNB)	50.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Gil Vicente FC (2nd half DNB)	49.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC leading at HT (DNB)	53.6%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Vitória de Guimaraes leading at HT (DNB)	46.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC or Vitória de Guimaraes (12)	70.9%	72.1%	73.3%	0.98×	1.39
Gil Vicente FC or draw (1X)	65.7%	69.6%	68.6%	1.01×	1.44
Vitória de Guimaraes or draw (X2)	63.3%	63.6%	57.9%	1.10×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC or draw at HT	76.8%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Vitória de Guimaraes or draw at HT	73.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Gil Vicente FC or Vitória de Guimaraes at HT	50.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC or draw (1UP)	65.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Vitória de Guimaraes or draw (1UP)	63.3%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes or draw in 2nd half	70.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Gil Vicente FC or draw in 2nd half	70.4%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Gil Vicente FC or Vitória de Guimaraes in 2nd half	58.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	70.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Neither half drawn	29.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (DNB)	51.7%	50.9%	57.2%	0.89×	1.96
Vitória de Guimaraes (DNB)	48.3%	49.1%	42.8%	1.15×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to score first	45.1%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Vitória de Guimaraes to score first	43.1%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	11.8%	9.7%	—	—	10.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.1%	55.0%	52.1%	1.06×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.9%	45.0%	47.9%	0.94×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	51.8%	47.2%	37.9%	1.25×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	28.8%	33.3%	37.1%	0.90×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	12.4%	10.9%	1.13×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.3%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.0%	89.0%	86.0%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.0%	11.0%	14.0%	0.78×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	69.3%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Both score 2nd half only	18.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.65
Both score 1st half only	9.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
Both score in both halves	2.6%	4.9%	—	—	20.53

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.6%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.4%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	59.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	41.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.5%	47.2%	45.6%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	38.3%	35.1%	26.0%	1.35×	2.85
4-6 goals	15.6%	20.2%	27.7%	0.73×	4.95
7+ goals	0.6%	1.8%	0.9%	1.99×	54.45

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	33.1%	1.08×	2.78
Vitória de Guimaraes to score exactly 0	35.8%	35.9%	32.4%	1.11×	2.78
Vitória de Guimaraes to score exactly 2	18.9%	19.6%	23.6%	0.83×	5.11
Vitória de Guimaraes to score 3+	8.6%	8.6%	11.2%	0.76×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	31.4%	1.13×	2.81
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 0	34.1%	32.6%	26.2%	1.24×	3.07
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 2	19.7%	18.8%	23.6%	0.80×	5.33
Gil Vicente FC to score 3+	9.5%	10.3%	19.1%	0.54×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Gil Vicente FC leading at HT	26.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Vitória de Guimaraes leading at HT	23.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.82

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC -1: 2	63.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Gil Vicente FC -1: X	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Gil Vicente FC -1: 1	14.4%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes (0:1)	63.3%	61.4%	57.9%	1.06×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	22.3%	24.2%	20.0%	1.21×	4.13
Gil Vicente FC (0:1)	14.4%	13.7%	22.2%	0.62×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes (0:2)	85.6%	87.1%	77.8%	1.12×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.0%	11.0%	12.0%	0.91×	9.11
Gil Vicente FC (0:2)	4.4%	3.8%	10.3%	0.36×	26.62

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes (0:3)	95.6%	96.6%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	6.0%	0.40×	42.06
Gil Vicente FC (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	95.5%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	82.01
Gil Vicente FC (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (1:0)	65.7%	70.1%	68.6%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	21.3%	21.7%	17.7%	1.22×	4.61
Vitória de Guimaraes (1:0)	12.9%	12.7%	13.9%	0.92×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (2:0)	87.1%	88.5%	86.1%	1.03×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.2%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.67
Vitória de Guimaraes (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	6.9%	0.33×	43.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.8%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Halves equal	28.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to concede	64.2%	63.7%	67.6%	0.94×	1.57
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet	35.8%	36.3%	32.4%	1.12×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet in 1st half	66.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Gil Vicente FC to concede in 1st half	33.7%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet in 2nd half	54.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Gil Vicente FC to concede in 2nd half	46.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 6.5 corners	81.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Gil Vicente FC over 2.5 corners	75.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Gil Vicente FC under 5.5 corners	71.4%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Gil Vicente FC over 3.5 corners	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Gil Vicente FC under 4.5 corners	57.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Gil Vicente FC over 4.5 corners	42.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Gil Vicente FC under 3.5 corners	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Gil Vicente FC over 5.5 corners	28.6%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Gil Vicente FC under 2.5 corners	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Gil Vicente FC over 6.5 corners	18.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 3.5 goals	97.6%	96.4%	93.5%	1.03×	1.04
Gil Vicente FC under 2.5 goals	90.5%	92.2%	80.9%	1.14×	1.08
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 goals	70.8%	74.2%	57.5%	1.29×	1.35
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 goals	65.9%	67.9%	73.8%	0.92×	1.47
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 goals	34.1%	32.1%	26.2%	1.22×	3.12
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 goals	29.2%	25.8%	42.5%	0.61×	3.88
Gil Vicente FC over 2.5 goals	9.5%	7.8%	19.1%	0.41×	12.86
Gil Vicente FC over 3.5 goals	2.4%	3.6%	6.5%	0.56×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 in 1st half	92.1%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 in 1st half	63.0%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 in 1st half	37.0%	35.3%	—	—	2.83
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 in 1st half	7.9%	5.3%	—	—	18.85

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC scores equally in both	44.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Gil Vicente FC scores more in 2nd half	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Gil Vicente FC scores more in 1st half	22.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes (home no bet)	54.1%	51.4%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	45.9%	48.6%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC even goals	55.8%	55.3%	54.7%	1.01×	1.81
Gil Vicente FC odd goals	44.2%	44.7%	45.3%	0.99×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 0-1	17.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	7.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.00
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
Any other HT score	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	20.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.1%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Vitória de Guimaraes at HT / Vitória de Guimaraes at FT	17.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Vitória de Guimaraes at FT	15.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Vitória de Guimaraes at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.64
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Vitória de Guimaraes at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Vitória de Guimaraes at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to score last	45.1%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Vitória de Guimaraes to score last	43.1%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	11.8%	9.1%	—	—	10.94

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.2%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 1 at any time	50.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Vitória de Guimaraes to lead by 1 at any time	47.8%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	35.4%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 2 at any time	18.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Vitória de Guimaraes to lead by 2 at any time	16.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.01
Vitória de Guimaraes to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.7%	—	—	60.21

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC most corners	47.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Vitória de Guimaraes most corners	40.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	89.8%	0.97×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.0%	83.4%	83.1%	1.00×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.0%	72.4%	65.2%	1.11×	1.38
2-6 goals	61.1%	63.3%	73.2%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	59.6%	59.1%	70.3%	0.84×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.4%	59.1%	63.5%	0.93×	1.69
1-2 goals	53.1%	53.2%	42.4%	1.25×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.5%	48.5%	45.6%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	34.5%	35.2%	50.5%	0.70×	2.84
3-5 goals	33.1%	35.2%	47.6%	0.74×	2.84
3-4 goals	28.9%	30.2%	40.8%	0.74×	3.31
4-6 goals	15.6%	18.8%	27.7%	0.68×	5.31
4-5 goals	14.1%	14.8%	24.8%	0.60×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.7%	8.9%	9.9%	0.90×	11.28
7+ goals	0.6%	2.6%	0.9%	2.76×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC never behind	40.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Vitória de Guimaraes never behind	38.2%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	50.2%	1.01×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	49.8%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	41.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.9%	95.4%	96.1%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	89.4%	1.03×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.2%	87.6%	93.5%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	83.8%	82.3%	71.5%	1.15×	1.22
Under 2.5 goals	64.9%	61.8%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 1.5 goals	61.7%	61.7%	74.0%	0.83×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	38.3%	38.3%	26.0%	1.47×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	35.1%	38.2%	51.3%	0.75×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	16.2%	17.7%	28.5%	0.62×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	11.8%	12.4%	6.5%	1.92×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	10.6%	0.73×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.1%	4.6%	3.9%	1.19×	21.89

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.4%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.9%	97.2%	95.9%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.1%	92.4%	87.1%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	80.0%	81.1%	63.1%	1.29×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.2%	51.9%	33.7%	1.54×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.8%	48.1%	66.3%	0.72×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	20.0%	18.9%	36.9%	0.51×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.9%	7.6%	12.9%	0.59×	13.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.1%	2.8%	4.1%	0.68×	35.59
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.6%	2.8%	1.0%	2.95×	35.64

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.1%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.3%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.3%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.7%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.9%	7.2%	—	—	13.86

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	87.3%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.9%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.3%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.7%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.1%	22.5%	—	—	4.44
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	12.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes not to score in both halves	84.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Gil Vicente FC not to score in both halves	83.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Gil Vicente FC to score in both halves	17.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Vitória de Guimaraes to score in both halves	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.9%	46.6%	47.9%	0.97×	2.15
Only Gil Vicente FC scores	24.0%	22.3%	26.0%	0.85×	4.49
Only Vitória de Guimaraes scores	22.4%	22.2%	19.9%	1.12×	4.50
Neither team scores	11.8%	11.0%	6.5%	1.70×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	26.5%	24.9%	19.7%	1.26×	4.02
Exactly 2 goals	26.6%	24.9%	22.8%	1.09×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	18.9%	17.5%	23.0%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.8%	12.1%	6.5%	1.87×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	10.0%	7.6%	18.0%	0.42×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	4.2%	4.5%	6.9%	0.64×	22.38
6 or more goals	2.1%	4.5%	3.9%	1.16×	22.41

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	15.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	5.9%	7.2%	—	—	13.86

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.3%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
2+ goals in 2nd half	34.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	29.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes not to win both halves	93.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Gil Vicente FC not to win both halves	92.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Gil Vicente FC to win both halves	7.8%	5.9%	—	—	16.96
Vitória de Guimaraes to win both halves	6.8%	5.9%	—	—	17.03

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes to win neither half	54.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Gil Vicente FC to win neither half	51.7%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Gil Vicente FC to win either half	48.4%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Vitória de Guimaraes to win either half	46.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitória de Guimaraes not to win to nil	77.6%	78.1%	80.1%	0.98×	1.28
Gil Vicente FC not to win to nil	76.0%	78.1%	74.0%	1.06×	1.28
Gil Vicente FC to win to nil	24.0%	21.9%	26.0%	0.84×	4.57
Vitória de Guimaraes to win to nil	22.4%	21.9%	19.9%	1.10×	4.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.1%	27.9%	26.7%	1.05×	3.58
Gil Vicente FC by 1	22.3%	24.1%	20.0%	1.20×	4.15
Vitória de Guimaraes by 1	21.3%	24.1%	17.7%	1.36×	4.15
Gil Vicente FC by 2	10.0%	11.7%	12.0%	0.98×	8.51
Vitória de Guimaraes by 2	9.2%	7.2%	7.1%	1.02×	13.90
Gil Vicente FC by 3+	4.4%	2.7%	10.3%	0.26×	36.77
Vitória de Guimaraes by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	36.79