Gimnasia La Plata v Belgrano (Córdoba) — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Gimnasia La Plata

20:00 UTC

Belgrano (Córdoba)

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 297h before kick-off

Gimnasia La Plata win

30.6%

model 33.3%

Draw

30.5%

model 30.4%

Belgrano (Córdoba) win

38.9%

model 36.3%

313039

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.0%
0-1 12.0%
0-0 11.8%
1-0 11.3%
1-2 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	37.5%	Under 2.5	62.5%
BTTS yes	44.9%	BTTS no	55.1%
Gimnasia La Plata 1+	65.6%	Gimnasia La Plata 2+	28.9%
Belgrano (Córdoba) 1+	67.5%	Belgrano (Córdoba) 2+	31.0%

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.13. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 58%

68.1% fair odds 1.47

moderate signal · 1155 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Gimnasia La Plata not to score in both halves

Score both halves

81.8% fair odds 1.22

moderate signal · 1007 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Belgrano (Córdoba) carry the stronger rating, 1597 Elo against 1558.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Belgrano (Córdoba) have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 30.6% for Gimnasia La Plata and 30.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.07 for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.12 for Belgrano (Córdoba).

Why Gimnasia La Plata

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.5%. A combined 2.19 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.07 to 1.12. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Belgrano (Córdoba) can win

Belgrano (Córdoba) carry the stronger rating, 1597 Elo against 1558.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gimnasia La Plata, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Belgrano (Córdoba), so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gimnasia La Plata: 42% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Belgrano (Córdoba): 57% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Belgrano (Córdoba) are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.0%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	333036	1.07–1.13	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	313237	0.96–1.08	1-1 14%	33%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win	37.1%	36.3%	27.6%	1.32×	2.75
Draw	31.7%	30.4%	30.7%	0.99×	3.29
Gimnasia La Plata to win	31.3%	30.4%	41.8%	0.73×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) & not both score	24.5%	21.8%	17.1%	1.27×	4.59
Gimnasia La Plata & not both score	20.5%	21.8%	27.7%	0.79×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Draw & not both score	13.6%	13.3%	14.8%	0.89×	7.54
Belgrano (Córdoba) & both teams score	12.5%	13.3%	10.6%	1.25×	7.54
Gimnasia La Plata & both teams score	10.8%	13.3%	14.3%	0.93×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) & under 3.5	30.9%	30.7%	23.5%	1.31×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	27.7%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.7%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Gimnasia La Plata & under 3.5	26.4%	26.1%	34.8%	0.75×	3.84
Belgrano (Córdoba) & over 1.5	23.7%	21.6%	17.4%	1.24×	4.63
Belgrano (Córdoba) & under 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	14.6%	1.48×	4.63
Gimnasia La Plata & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	27.8%	0.65×	5.55
Gimnasia La Plata & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Belgrano (Córdoba) & over 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	13.1%	1.37×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	13.6%	12.8%	14.8%	0.87×	7.79
Belgrano (Córdoba) & under 1.5	13.4%	12.8%	10.3%	1.25×	7.79
Gimnasia La Plata & over 2.5	13.3%	12.8%	18.4%	0.70×	7.79
Gimnasia La Plata & under 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Belgrano (Córdoba) & over 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	4.2%	1.88×	12.63
Gimnasia La Plata & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (1UP)	50.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Gimnasia La Plata (1UP)	45.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (2UP)	37.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Gimnasia La Plata (2UP)	31.3%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win 2nd half	31.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Gimnasia La Plata to win 2nd half	25.7%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	12.9%	—	—	7.73

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Gimnasia La Plata under 0.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Gimnasia La Plata over 0.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Gimnasia La Plata over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (+2.5)	96.8%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Belgrano (Córdoba) (+1.5)	88.4%	88.5%	82.3%	1.07×	1.13
Belgrano (Córdoba) (+0.5)	68.7%	68.7%	58.2%	1.18×	1.46
Gimnasia La Plata (+0.5)	62.9%	63.0%	72.4%	0.87×	1.59
Belgrano (Córdoba) (-0.5)	37.1%	37.0%	27.6%	1.34×	2.70
Gimnasia La Plata (-0.5)	31.3%	31.3%	41.8%	0.75×	3.19
Gimnasia La Plata (-1.5)	11.6%	11.5%	17.7%	0.65×	8.67
Gimnasia La Plata (-2.5)	3.2%	3.7%	5.0%	0.73×	27.13

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to concede	61.8%	67.5%	68.2%	0.99×	1.48
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet	38.2%	32.5%	31.8%	1.02×	3.08

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet in 1st half	66.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Belgrano (Córdoba) to concede in 1st half	33.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet in 2nd half	57.8%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Belgrano (Córdoba) to concede in 2nd half	42.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 6.5 corners	81.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 2.5 corners	76.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 5.5 corners	70.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 3.5 corners	60.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 4.5 corners	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 4.5 corners	43.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 3.5 corners	39.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 5.5 corners	29.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 2.5 corners	23.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 6.5 corners	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 3.5 goals	97.6%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 2.5 goals	90.5%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 1.5 goals	70.8%	71.8%	78.2%	0.92×	1.39
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 goals	65.9%	68.0%	57.6%	1.18×	1.47
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 0.5 goals	34.1%	32.0%	42.4%	0.75×	3.13
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 1.5 goals	29.2%	28.2%	21.8%	1.29×	3.55
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 2.5 goals	9.5%	7.7%	6.6%	1.16×	13.05
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 3.5 goals	2.4%	2.5%	1.1%	2.20×	39.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 1st half	93.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 1st half	65.1%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 1st half	34.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.34
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 1st half	7.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.53

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) scores equally in both	44.3%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Belgrano (Córdoba) scores more in 2nd half	34.9%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Belgrano (Córdoba) scores more in 1st half	20.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.3%	51.6%	42.3%	1.22×	1.94
Gimnasia La Plata (away no bet)	49.7%	48.4%	57.7%	0.84×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) even goals	55.8%	56.9%	58.4%	0.97×	1.76
Belgrano (Córdoba) odd goals	44.2%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.1%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.9%	8.2%	—	—	12.18

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	52.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Not both halves under 1.5	47.6%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	40.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 2+ in a row	23.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Gimnasia La Plata to score 2+ in a row	19.9%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.26
Gimnasia La Plata to score 3+ in a row	4.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.08

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata corners (+3.5)	86.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (+3.5)	82.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Gimnasia La Plata corners (+2.5)	79.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (+2.5)	73.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Gimnasia La Plata corners (+1.5)	69.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (+1.5)	63.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Gimnasia La Plata corners (-1.5)	36.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (-1.5)	30.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Gimnasia La Plata corners (-2.5)	26.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (-2.5)	21.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Gimnasia La Plata corners (-3.5)	17.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (-3.5)	13.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 10.5 corners	32.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.1%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
0-0	13.6%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.71
0-1	13.4%	11.5%	10.3%	1.12×	8.71
1-0	11.9%	11.5%	14.1%	0.81×	8.71
0-2	7.5%	7.4%	4.4%	1.66×	13.51
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
2-1	6.5%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-0	6.0%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
0-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.30
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.32
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.30
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.32
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.32
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (2nd half DNB)	55.3%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Gimnasia La Plata (2nd half DNB)	44.7%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) leading at HT (DNB)	51.2%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Gimnasia La Plata leading at HT (DNB)	48.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw (X2)	68.7%	69.6%	58.2%	1.20×	1.44
Gimnasia La Plata or Belgrano (Córdoba) (12)	68.3%	69.6%	69.3%	1.00×	1.44
Gimnasia La Plata or draw (1X)	62.9%	63.7%	72.4%	0.88×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw at HT	76.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Gimnasia La Plata or draw at HT	75.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Gimnasia La Plata or Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT	48.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw (1UP)	68.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Gimnasia La Plata or draw (1UP)	62.9%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw in 2nd half	74.3%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Gimnasia La Plata or draw in 2nd half	68.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Gimnasia La Plata or Belgrano (Córdoba) in 2nd half	57.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.3%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Neither half drawn	28.7%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (DNB)	54.3%	50.9%	39.7%	1.28×	1.96
Gimnasia La Plata (DNB)	45.7%	49.1%	60.3%	0.81×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score first	45.6%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Gimnasia La Plata to score first	40.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	13.6%	10.2%	—	—	9.84

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.7%	55.0%	59.4%	0.93×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.3%	45.0%	40.6%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	52.5%	47.2%	52.8%	0.89×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	27.2%	33.3%	27.3%	1.22×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	14.1%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	6.1%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.08

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.7%	89.0%	94.1%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.3%	11.0%	5.9%	1.85×	9.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.7%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.3%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.1%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Both score 1st half only	9.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.63
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.8%	—	—	20.69

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.0%	85.0%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	12.0%	15.0%	—	—	6.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	40.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	39.0%	35.1%	39.0%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.5%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	0.5%	4.02×	54.52

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.9%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score exactly 0	34.1%	33.8%	42.4%	0.80×	2.96
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score exactly 2	19.7%	19.5%	15.3%	1.28×	5.12
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 3+	9.5%	8.6%	6.6%	1.29×	11.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata to score exactly 0	38.2%	35.5%	31.8%	1.12×	2.81
Gimnasia La Plata to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	36.5%	0.97×	2.81
Gimnasia La Plata to score exactly 2	17.7%	18.8%	21.8%	0.86×	5.32
Gimnasia La Plata to score 3+	7.4%	10.3%	10.1%	1.02×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	51.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Belgrano (Córdoba) leading at HT	25.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Gimnasia La Plata leading at HT	23.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) -1: 1	62.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Belgrano (Córdoba) -1: X	22.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Belgrano (Córdoba) -1: 2	15.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:1)	68.7%	65.3%	58.2%	1.12×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.7%	17.8%	24.3%	0.73×	5.61
Gimnasia La Plata (0:1)	11.6%	13.7%	17.7%	0.77×	7.31

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:2)	88.4%	87.1%	82.3%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.4%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.05
Gimnasia La Plata (0:2)	3.2%	3.7%	5.0%	0.75×	26.71

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:3)	96.8%	96.6%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.03
Gimnasia La Plata (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.91
Gimnasia La Plata (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.96

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (1:0)	62.9%	65.3%	72.4%	0.90×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	22.0%	21.7%	18.6%	1.17×	4.61
Belgrano (Córdoba) (1:0)	15.1%	17.1%	9.1%	1.87×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata (2:0)	84.9%	84.6%	90.9%	0.93×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.5%	10.3%	6.3%	1.64×	9.73
Belgrano (Córdoba) (2:0)	4.6%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.6%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Halves equal	30.8%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata to concede	65.9%	66.7%	57.6%	1.16×	1.50
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet	34.1%	33.3%	42.4%	0.79×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet in 1st half	65.1%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Gimnasia La Plata to concede in 1st half	34.9%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet in 2nd half	52.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Gimnasia La Plata to concede in 2nd half	47.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata over 2.5 corners	79.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Gimnasia La Plata under 6.5 corners	77.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Gimnasia La Plata under 5.5 corners	65.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Gimnasia La Plata over 3.5 corners	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gimnasia La Plata under 4.5 corners	51.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Gimnasia La Plata over 4.5 corners	48.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Gimnasia La Plata under 3.5 corners	35.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gimnasia La Plata over 5.5 corners	34.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Gimnasia La Plata over 6.5 corners	22.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Gimnasia La Plata under 2.5 corners	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata under 3.5 goals	98.3%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Gimnasia La Plata under 2.5 goals	92.6%	92.2%	89.9%	1.03×	1.08
Gimnasia La Plata under 1.5 goals	74.9%	74.2%	68.2%	1.09×	1.35
Gimnasia La Plata over 0.5 goals	61.8%	63.6%	68.2%	0.93×	1.57
Gimnasia La Plata under 0.5 goals	38.2%	36.4%	31.8%	1.14×	2.75
Gimnasia La Plata over 1.5 goals	25.1%	25.8%	31.8%	0.81×	3.88
Gimnasia La Plata over 2.5 goals	7.4%	7.8%	10.1%	0.77×	12.84
Gimnasia La Plata over 3.5 goals	1.7%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.61

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	94.8%	—	—	1.05
Gimnasia La Plata under 0.5 in 1st half	66.1%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Gimnasia La Plata over 0.5 in 1st half	33.9%	30.7%	—	—	3.26
Gimnasia La Plata over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	5.2%	—	—	19.35

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata scores equally in both	47.4%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Gimnasia La Plata scores more in 2nd half	30.9%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Gimnasia La Plata scores more in 1st half	21.7%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (home no bet)	54.0%	51.5%	47.4%	1.09×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.0%	48.5%	52.6%	0.92×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata even goals	57.3%	55.3%	55.6%	0.99×	1.81
Gimnasia La Plata odd goals	42.7%	44.7%	44.4%	1.01×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	43.1%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
HT 0-1	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 0-2	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-0	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
Any other HT score	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.30
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.32
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT / Belgrano (Córdoba) at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Gimnasia La Plata at HT / Gimnasia La Plata at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Belgrano (Córdoba) at FT	16.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Gimnasia La Plata at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Gimnasia La Plata at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Gimnasia La Plata at HT / Belgrano (Córdoba) at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.97
Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT / Gimnasia La Plata at FT	1.3%	3.4%	—	—	28.99

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score last	45.6%	46.2%	—	—	2.16
Gimnasia La Plata to score last	40.8%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	13.6%	9.6%	—	—	10.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.4%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Belgrano (Córdoba) to lead by 1 at any time	50.3%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Gimnasia La Plata to lead by 1 at any time	45.1%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	34.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
Belgrano (Córdoba) to lead by 2 at any time	19.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Gimnasia La Plata to lead by 2 at any time	15.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.95
Belgrano (Córdoba) to lead by 3 at any time	5.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.13
Gimnasia La Plata to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	1.6%	—	—	61.41

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata most corners	47.4%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Belgrano (Córdoba) most corners	41.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	83.4%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.8%	83.4%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.4%	72.3%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	60.5%	63.3%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
2-5 goals	59.2%	59.1%	60.1%	0.98×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.4%	59.1%	55.8%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	53.0%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	32.9%	35.2%	33.5%	1.05×	2.84
3-5 goals	31.6%	35.2%	33.0%	1.07×	2.84
3-4 goals	27.7%	30.2%	28.6%	1.06×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.5%	14.8%	13.5%	1.10×	6.75
4-5 goals	13.2%	14.8%	12.9%	1.15×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.1%	8.9%	5.0%	1.77×	11.28
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	0.5%	5.59×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) never behind	41.3%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Gimnasia La Plata never behind	36.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.0%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.2%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.4%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	85.0%	87.6%	86.2%	1.02×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	66.6%	66.3%	66.1%	1.00×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	61.0%	61.7%	61.0%	1.01×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	39.0%	38.3%	39.0%	0.98×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	33.4%	33.7%	33.9%	0.99×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	15.0%	12.4%	13.8%	0.90×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	13.6%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	5.4%	1.44×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	1.8%	4.6%	1.0%	4.46×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.1%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.8%	92.4%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.6%	81.1%	82.7%	0.98×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	53.9%	51.9%	53.5%	0.97×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	46.1%	48.1%	46.5%	1.04×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.4%	18.9%	17.3%	1.10×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.2%	7.6%	5.9%	1.29×	13.20
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.9%	2.8%	1.1%	2.62×	35.64
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	0.5%	6.11×	35.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.6%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.2%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	56.9%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half	43.1%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.4%	7.0%	—	—	14.19

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.1%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.3%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.7%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.9%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata not to score in both halves	85.7%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Belgrano (Córdoba) not to score in both halves	83.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score in both halves	16.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.39
Gimnasia La Plata to score in both halves	14.3%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.3%	46.6%	40.6%	1.15×	2.15
Only Belgrano (Córdoba) scores	24.5%	22.3%	17.1%	1.30×	4.49
Only Gimnasia La Plata scores	20.5%	22.2%	27.7%	0.80×	4.50
Neither team scores	13.6%	11.0%	14.8%	0.74×	9.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.7%	24.9%	27.3%	0.91×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	25.3%	24.9%	24.3%	1.02×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	18.4%	17.5%	20.2%	0.87×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.6%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	9.4%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.8%	4.5%	4.4%	1.01×	22.34
6 or more goals	1.8%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	43.1%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
1 goal in 1st half	36.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	15.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
3+ goals in 1st half	5.4%	7.0%	—	—	14.19

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.8%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	30.5%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata not to win both halves	93.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Belgrano (Córdoba) not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.08
Gimnasia La Plata to win both halves	6.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.21

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata to win neither half	56.6%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win neither half	51.2%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win either half	48.8%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Gimnasia La Plata to win either half	43.4%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia La Plata not to win to nil	79.5%	78.2%	72.3%	1.08×	1.28
Belgrano (Córdoba) not to win to nil	75.5%	78.1%	82.9%	0.94×	1.28
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win to nil	24.5%	21.9%	17.1%	1.28×	4.57
Gimnasia La Plata to win to nil	20.5%	21.9%	27.7%	0.79×	4.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.7%	27.7%	30.7%	0.90×	3.61
Belgrano (Córdoba) by 1	22.0%	24.1%	18.6%	1.30×	4.15
Gimnasia La Plata by 1	19.7%	17.1%	24.3%	0.70×	5.86
Belgrano (Córdoba) by 2	10.5%	11.8%	6.3%	1.87×	8.51
Gimnasia La Plata by 2	8.4%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.91
Belgrano (Córdoba) by 3+	4.6%	2.7%	3.0%	0.92×	36.83
Gimnasia La Plata by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.87