Gimnasia Mendoza v Independiente Rivadavia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Gimnasia Mendoza

20:00 UTC

Independiente Rivadavia

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 297h before kick-off

Gimnasia Mendoza win

39.9%

model 39.8%

Draw

28.9%

model 28.4%

Independiente Rivadavia win

31.1%

model 31.8%

402931

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.5%
1-0 10.8%
0-1 9.3%
0-0 9.3%
2-1 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.1%	Under 2.5	55.9%
BTTS yes	50.1%	BTTS no	49.9%
Gimnasia Mendoza 1+	72.8%	Gimnasia Mendoza 2+	37.4%
Independiente Rivadavia 1+	68.0%	Independiente Rivadavia 2+	31.5%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

24/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 41%

53.3% fair odds 1.88

strong signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Independiente Rivadavia (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 82%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Gimnasia Mendoza have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.1% for Independiente Rivadavia and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.14 for Independiente Rivadavia.

Why Gimnasia Mendoza

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.30 to 1.14. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Independiente Rivadavia can win

Independiente Rivadavia carry the stronger rating, 1635 Elo against 1532.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gimnasia Mendoza, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Independiente Rivadavia, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gimnasia Mendoza: 47% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Independiente Rivadavia: 41% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Gimnasia Mendoza are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%. Confidence 24/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	402832	1.30–1.14	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	382834	1.33–1.25	1-1 13%	48%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to win	38.0%	36.4%	41.8%	0.87×	2.75
Independiente Rivadavia to win	34.4%	30.4%	27.6%	1.10×	3.29
Draw	27.6%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza & not both score	20.5%	21.8%	27.7%	0.79×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.56
Independiente Rivadavia & not both score	18.4%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.56
Gimnasia Mendoza & both teams score	17.5%	18.0%	14.3%	1.26×	5.56
Independiente Rivadavia & both teams score	16.0%	18.0%	10.6%	1.69×	5.57
Draw & not both score	8.2%	8.3%	14.8%	0.56×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza & over 1.5	28.4%	26.1%	27.8%	0.94×	3.84
Gimnasia Mendoza & under 3.5	27.5%	26.1%	34.8%	0.75×	3.84
Independiente Rivadavia & over 1.5	25.4%	26.1%	17.4%	1.49×	3.84
Independiente Rivadavia & under 3.5	25.2%	26.1%	23.5%	1.11×	3.84
Gimnasia Mendoza & over 2.5	21.8%	21.6%	18.4%	1.18×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	28.2%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.4%	21.6%	28.2%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.13×	5.55
Independiente Rivadavia & over 2.5	19.5%	18.0%	13.1%	1.37×	5.55
Gimnasia Mendoza & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Independiente Rivadavia & under 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	14.6%	0.88×	7.79
Gimnasia Mendoza & over 3.5	10.4%	12.8%	7.2%	1.79×	7.79
Gimnasia Mendoza & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.63
Independiente Rivadavia & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Independiente Rivadavia & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	4.2%	1.88×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.2%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	2.6%	3.02×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (1UP)	54.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Independiente Rivadavia (1UP)	51.1%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (2UP)	38.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Independiente Rivadavia (2UP)	34.4%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Gimnasia Mendoza to win 2nd half	31.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Independiente Rivadavia to win 2nd half	31.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Gimnasia Mendoza over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Gimnasia Mendoza under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Gimnasia Mendoza over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (+2.5)	93.8%	92.1%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Independiente Rivadavia (+1.5)	82.6%	82.6%	82.3%	1.00×	1.21
Gimnasia Mendoza (+0.5)	65.6%	68.7%	72.4%	0.95×	1.46
Independiente Rivadavia (+0.5)	62.0%	62.9%	58.2%	1.08×	1.59
Gimnasia Mendoza (-0.5)	38.0%	37.1%	41.8%	0.89×	2.70
Independiente Rivadavia (-0.5)	34.4%	31.3%	27.6%	1.14×	3.19
Gimnasia Mendoza (-1.5)	17.4%	17.4%	17.7%	0.99×	5.74
Gimnasia Mendoza (-2.5)	6.2%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to concede	73.4%	76.7%	68.2%	1.12×	1.30
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet	26.6%	23.3%	31.8%	0.73×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet in 1st half	56.5%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Independiente Rivadavia to concede in 1st half	43.5%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to concede in 2nd half	53.0%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet in 2nd half	47.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 6.5 corners	84.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 corners	73.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Independiente Rivadavia under 5.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Independiente Rivadavia under 4.5 corners	60.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 corners	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 corners	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Independiente Rivadavia over 4.5 corners	39.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 corners	26.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Independiente Rivadavia over 5.5 corners	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Independiente Rivadavia over 6.5 corners	16.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 goals	86.8%	87.8%	93.4%	0.94×	1.14
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 goals	71.3%	71.8%	57.6%	1.25×	1.39
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 goals	64.5%	63.2%	78.2%	0.81×	1.58
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 goals	35.5%	36.8%	21.8%	1.69×	2.72
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 goals	28.7%	28.2%	42.4%	0.66×	3.55
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 goals	13.2%	12.2%	6.6%	1.84×	8.20
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	1.1%	2.21×	39.77

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.34

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia scores equally in both	40.4%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Independiente Rivadavia scores more in 2nd half	37.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Independiente Rivadavia scores more in 1st half	22.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (away no bet)	57.9%	57.4%	57.7%	0.99×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.1%	42.6%	42.3%	1.01×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia even goals	54.1%	52.6%	58.4%	0.90×	1.90
Independiente Rivadavia odd goals	45.9%	47.4%	41.6%	1.14×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Gimnasia Mendoza to score 2+ in a row	30.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Independiente Rivadavia to score 2+ in a row	27.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.3%	16.1%	—	—	6.19
Gimnasia Mendoza to score 3+ in a row	9.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.02
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+ in a row	8.1%	5.5%	—	—	18.13

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (+3.5)	89.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (+2.5)	82.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+3.5)	78.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (+1.5)	74.3%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+2.5)	69.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+1.5)	59.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (-1.5)	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (-2.5)	30.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-1.5)	25.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Gimnasia Mendoza corners (-3.5)	21.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-2.5)	17.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-3.5)	11.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	23.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	57.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	32.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	23.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	16.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.2%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
0-1	8.9%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.51
1-0	9.5%	7.4%	14.1%	0.52×	13.51
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-0	8.2%	7.4%	14.8%	0.50×	13.51
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
2-0	6.7%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.51
0-2	5.9%	7.4%	4.4%	1.66×	13.51
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	2.3%	3.25×	13.51
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.31
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.31
1-3	3.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-0	3.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.30
3-1	3.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (2nd half DNB)	50.3%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Independiente Rivadavia (2nd half DNB)	49.7%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza leading at HT (DNB)	54.2%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT (DNB)	45.8%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza or Independiente Rivadavia (12)	72.4%	72.1%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
Gimnasia Mendoza or draw (1X)	65.6%	69.6%	72.4%	0.96×	1.44
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (X2)	62.0%	63.6%	58.2%	1.09×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza or draw at HT	74.8%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Independiente Rivadavia or draw at HT	70.2%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Gimnasia Mendoza or Independiente Rivadavia at HT	55.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza or draw (1UP)	65.6%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (1UP)	62.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza or draw in 2nd half	68.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Independiente Rivadavia or draw in 2nd half	68.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Gimnasia Mendoza or Independiente Rivadavia in 2nd half	63.0%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	35.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (DNB)	52.5%	50.9%	60.3%	0.84×	1.97
Independiente Rivadavia (DNB)	47.5%	49.1%	39.7%	1.24×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to score first	47.3%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Independiente Rivadavia to score first	44.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	8.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.0%	51.3%	40.6%	1.26×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.0%	48.7%	59.4%	0.82×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.8%	38.5%	27.3%	1.41×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	39.3%	38.5%	52.8%	0.73×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.2%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.8%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.4%	85.6%	94.1%	0.91×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.6%	14.4%	5.9%	2.43×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.8%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.2%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.4%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.17

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.8%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.2%	16.5%	—	—	6.05

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.5%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.6%	26.6%	39.0%	0.68×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.2%	22.9%	13.5%	1.71×	4.36
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	0.5%	4.03×	54.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	35.9%	1.00×	2.79
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 0	28.7%	27.5%	42.4%	0.65×	3.64
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 2	22.4%	22.3%	15.3%	1.46×	4.49
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+	13.2%	12.9%	6.6%	1.95×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.5%	36.5%	0.97×	2.81
Gimnasia Mendoza to score exactly 0	26.6%	26.6%	31.8%	0.83×	3.77
Gimnasia Mendoza to score exactly 2	23.3%	23.3%	21.8%	1.07×	4.29
Gimnasia Mendoza to score 3+	14.9%	14.3%	10.1%	1.41×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Gimnasia Mendoza leading at HT	29.8%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT	25.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza -1: 2	62.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Gimnasia Mendoza -1: X	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Gimnasia Mendoza -1: 1	17.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (0:1)	62.0%	61.4%	58.2%	1.06×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.5%	24.2%	24.3%	1.00×	4.13
Gimnasia Mendoza (0:1)	17.4%	17.8%	17.7%	1.01×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (0:2)	82.6%	83.0%	82.3%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.2%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.11
Gimnasia Mendoza (0:2)	6.2%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	13.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (0:3)	93.8%	92.7%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	41.95
Gimnasia Mendoza (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	1.3%	0.97×	81.82
Gimnasia Mendoza (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (1:0)	65.6%	70.1%	72.4%	0.97×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.3%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.84
Independiente Rivadavia (1:0)	15.1%	17.1%	9.1%	1.87×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza (2:0)	84.9%	84.6%	90.9%	0.93×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.0%	6.4%	6.3%	1.02×	15.63
Independiente Rivadavia (2:0)	5.1%	6.4%	3.0%	2.15×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to concede	71.3%	73.0%	57.6%	1.27×	1.37
Gimnasia Mendoza clean sheet	28.7%	27.0%	42.4%	0.64×	3.70

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza clean sheet in 1st half	60.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Gimnasia Mendoza to concede in 1st half	39.3%	37.0%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to concede in 2nd half	52.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Gimnasia Mendoza clean sheet in 2nd half	47.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza over 2.5 corners	81.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Gimnasia Mendoza under 6.5 corners	74.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Gimnasia Mendoza over 3.5 corners	67.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Gimnasia Mendoza under 5.5 corners	62.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gimnasia Mendoza over 4.5 corners	51.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Gimnasia Mendoza under 4.5 corners	48.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Gimnasia Mendoza over 5.5 corners	37.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gimnasia Mendoza under 3.5 corners	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Gimnasia Mendoza over 6.5 corners	25.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Gimnasia Mendoza under 2.5 corners	18.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza under 3.5 goals	95.4%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Gimnasia Mendoza under 2.5 goals	85.1%	87.3%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
Gimnasia Mendoza over 0.5 goals	73.4%	74.2%	68.2%	1.09×	1.35
Gimnasia Mendoza under 1.5 goals	61.8%	63.6%	68.2%	0.93×	1.57
Gimnasia Mendoza over 1.5 goals	38.2%	36.4%	31.8%	1.14×	2.75
Gimnasia Mendoza under 0.5 goals	26.6%	25.8%	31.8%	0.81×	3.88
Gimnasia Mendoza over 2.5 goals	14.9%	12.7%	10.1%	1.26×	7.84
Gimnasia Mendoza over 3.5 goals	4.6%	3.6%	2.9%	1.28×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza under 1.5 in 1st half	88.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Gimnasia Mendoza under 0.5 in 1st half	56.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Gimnasia Mendoza over 0.5 in 1st half	43.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Gimnasia Mendoza over 1.5 in 1st half	11.2%	9.9%	—	—	10.14

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza scores equally in both	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gimnasia Mendoza scores more in 2nd half	36.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Gimnasia Mendoza scores more in 1st half	24.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (home no bet)	55.4%	56.3%	47.4%	1.19×	1.78
Draw (home no bet)	44.6%	43.7%	52.6%	0.83×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza even goals	53.5%	50.8%	55.6%	0.91×	1.97
Gimnasia Mendoza odd goals	46.5%	49.2%	44.4%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.4%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	19.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-1	17.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 2-0	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
Any other HT score	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 1-2	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza at HT / Gimnasia Mendoza at FT	22.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Gimnasia Mendoza at FT	13.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Gimnasia Mendoza at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Gimnasia Mendoza at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Gimnasia Mendoza at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to score last	47.3%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Independiente Rivadavia to score last	44.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	8.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.8%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Gimnasia Mendoza to lead by 1 at any time	54.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 1 at any time	51.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Gimnasia Mendoza to lead by 2 at any time	23.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 2 at any time	20.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Gimnasia Mendoza to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.7%	—	—	15.02
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.08

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza most corners	52.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Independiente Rivadavia most corners	36.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.7%	79.9%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	71.7%	72.3%	60.7%	1.19×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.6%	68.8%	60.1%	1.15×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.9%	68.8%	71.5%	0.96×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	55.8%	1.14×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.5%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.9%	48.4%	33.5%	1.45×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.3%	43.6%	51.4%	0.85×	2.29
3-5 goals	42.8%	43.6%	33.0%	1.32×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.6%	39.2%	28.6%	1.37×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.2%	24.5%	13.5%	1.82×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.2%	24.4%	12.9%	1.90×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.3%	14.8%	5.0%	2.95×	6.76
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	0.5%	5.59×	39.20

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza never behind	40.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Independiente Rivadavia never behind	37.6%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.1%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	94.6%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.1%	72.5%	86.2%	0.84×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.4%	72.5%	61.0%	1.19×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.4%	52.5%	66.1%	0.79×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.6%	47.5%	33.9%	1.40×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	26.6%	27.5%	39.0%	0.71×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.9%	27.5%	13.8%	1.99×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	5.4%	2.31×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	14.8%	0.52×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	1.0%	4.47×	21.80

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.9%	92.4%	98.9%	0.93×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.1%	86.7%	94.1%	0.92×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.0%	67.5%	82.7%	0.82×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.1%	61.9%	46.5%	1.33×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.9%	38.1%	53.5%	0.71×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.0%	32.5%	17.3%	1.88×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.9%	13.3%	5.9%	2.27×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.1%	7.6%	1.1%	7.06×	13.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	0.5%	6.12×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Gimnasia Mendoza not to score in both halves	77.0%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Gimnasia Mendoza to score in both halves	23.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Independiente Rivadavia to score in both halves	20.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.0%	53.8%	40.6%	1.33×	1.86
Only Gimnasia Mendoza scores	20.5%	22.2%	27.7%	0.80×	4.50
Only Independiente Rivadavia scores	18.4%	16.0%	17.1%	0.94×	6.23
Neither team scores	8.2%	7.1%	14.8%	0.48×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	24.9%	27.3%	0.91×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	20.2%	1.12×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.5%	17.5%	24.3%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.0%	12.1%	8.6%	1.42×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.2%	7.6%	14.8%	0.51×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	4.4%	1.71×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.7%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.33

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	34.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	19.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
3+ goals in 1st half	9.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.4%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Gimnasia Mendoza not to win both halves	90.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Gimnasia Mendoza to win both halves	9.5%	5.9%	—	—	16.97
Independiente Rivadavia to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gimnasia Mendoza to win either half	51.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Independiente Rivadavia to win neither half	51.5%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Independiente Rivadavia to win either half	48.5%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Gimnasia Mendoza to win neither half	48.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia not to win to nil	81.6%	83.1%	82.9%	1.00×	1.20
Gimnasia Mendoza not to win to nil	79.5%	78.2%	72.3%	1.08×	1.28
Gimnasia Mendoza to win to nil	20.5%	21.9%	27.7%	0.79×	4.58
Independiente Rivadavia to win to nil	18.4%	16.9%	17.1%	0.99×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.6%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Gimnasia Mendoza by 1	20.5%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.15
Independiente Rivadavia by 1	19.3%	17.1%	18.6%	0.92×	5.86
Gimnasia Mendoza by 2	11.2%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.51
Independiente Rivadavia by 2	10.0%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.90
Gimnasia Mendoza by 3+	6.2%	7.2%	5.0%	1.43×	13.92
Independiente Rivadavia by 3+	5.1%	7.2%	3.0%	2.42×	13.92