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Girona v Athletic Club — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 October 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

2–1
2.17 – 3.16 xG
Shots
14 – 13
On target
6 – 4
Shots in box
11 – 8
xG per shot
0.16 – 0.24
Set-piece xG
0.93 – 1.56
Goals − xG
-0.17 – -2.16
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.91.82.73.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Yáser Asprilla 38' — goalOihan Sancet 40' — goalCristhian Stuani 98' — goal
Girona 2.17 xGAthletic Club 3.16 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Gorka Guruzeta 15' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 18' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Yáser Asprilla 23' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 27' — Saved Shot (0.74 xG, )Donny van de Beek 28' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Ander Herrera 30' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Gorka Guruzeta 34' — Missed Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 35' — Saved Shot (0.30 xG, Open Play)Yangel Herrera 36' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Yáser Asprilla 38' — Goal (0.01 xG, Open Play)Oihan Sancet 40' — Goal (0.64 xG, Open Play)Ander Herrera 46' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 47' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Alex Berenguer 50' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ander Herrera 57' — Saved Shot (0.74 xG, )Yáser Asprilla 65' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Unai Gómez 72' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)David López 77' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Miguel Gutiérrez 80' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Yangel Herrera 80' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yangel Herrera 85' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ladislav Krejcí 86' — Missed Shot (0.15 xG, Set Piece)De Marcos 88' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Yuri 93' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Cristhian Stuani 94' — Saved Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Cristhian Stuani 98' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Unai Gómez 101' — Blocked Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)
Girona attacking right Athletic Club attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
15' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
18' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
23' Girona Yáser Asprilla 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld
27' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.74 Right Foot Saved Shot
28' Girona Donny van de Beek 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Miguel Gutiérrez
30' Athletic Club Ander Herrera 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
34' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.29 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Oihan Sancet
35' Girona Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 0.30 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Miguel Gutiérrez
36' Girona Yangel Herrera 0.11 Open Play Missed Shot Yáser Asprilla
38' Girona Yáser Asprilla 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Goal Arnau Martinez
40' Athletic Club Oihan Sancet 0.64 Open Play Left Foot Goal Alex Berenguer
46' Athletic Club Ander Herrera 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Gorka Guruzeta
47' Girona Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Yáser Asprilla
50' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
57' Athletic Club Ander Herrera 0.74 Right Foot Saved Shot
65' Girona Yáser Asprilla 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Miguel Gutiérrez
72' Athletic Club Unai Gómez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
77' Girona David López 0.05 From Corner Missed Shot Yáser Asprilla
80' Girona Miguel Gutiérrez 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Bryan Gil Salvatierra
80' Girona Yangel Herrera 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Iván Martín
85' Girona Yangel Herrera 0.07 Open Play Saved Shot Miguel Gutiérrez
86' Girona Ladislav Krejcí 0.15 Set Piece Missed Shot Donny van de Beek
88' Athletic Club De Marcos 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Yuri
93' Athletic Club Yuri 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot
94' Girona Cristhian Stuani 0.41 Open Play Saved Shot Yáser Asprilla
98' Girona Cristhian Stuani 0.74 Right Foot Goal
101' Athletic Club Unai Gómez 0.42 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Álvaro Djaló

Players

Athletic Club

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Alex Berenguer FWL 90 0 1 3 2 0.87 0.64 1.23
De Marcos DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.49
Aitor Paredes DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Álex Padilla GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.42
Dani Vivian DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Iñaki Williams FWR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.74
Ander Herrera MC 85 0 0 3 0 0.78 0.00 0.35
Adama Boiro DL 84 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Gorka Guruzeta FW 65 0 0 2 1 0.31 0.03 0.34
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta MC 65 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.10 0.74
Unai Gómez Sub 48 0 0 2 0 0.44 0.00 0.44
Oihan Sancet MC 42 1 0 1 1 0.64 0.29 0.94
Álvaro Djaló Sub 25 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.42 0.47
Mikel Jauregizar Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Yuri Sub 6 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.05 0.05
Beñat Prados Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.47

Girona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Yangel Herrera DMC 90 0 0 3 0 0.21 0.00 1.10
Ladislav Krejcí DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.15 0.00 0.21
Donny van de Beek AMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.10 0.15 0.81
Miguel Gutiérrez DL 90 0 0 1 4 0.07 0.50 1.20
Yáser Asprilla AMR 90 1 0 3 4 0.06 0.65 1.09
David López DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.14
Abel Ruiz FW 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Paulo Gazzaniga GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Iván Martín DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.27
Arnau Martinez DR 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.52
Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld AML 65 0 0 2 1 0.39 0.02 0.62
Bryan Gil Salvatierra Sub 25 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.10
Cristhian Stuani Sub 1 1 0 2 0 1.15 0.00 0.41
Alejandro Francés Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gabriel Misehouy Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juanpe Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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