Go Ahead Eagles v FC Twente — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Go Ahead Eagles

20:00 UTC

FC Twente

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,017h before kick-off

Go Ahead Eagles win

26.7%

model 26.2%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.9%

FC Twente win

51.1%

model 50.9%

272251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.6%
1-2 9.1%
2-2 6.7%
2-1 6.4%
1-3 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	69.6%	Under 2.5	30.4%
BTTS yes	68.9%	BTTS no	31.1%
Go Ahead Eagles 1+	77.4%	Go Ahead Eagles 2+	43.8%
FC Twente 1+	87.8%	FC Twente 2+	62.2%

Expected goals 1.49 – 2.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

FC Twente (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 30%

52.1% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1672 Elo against 1540.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Twente have an estimated 51.1% win probability, against 26.7% for Go Ahead Eagles and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Go Ahead Eagles and 2.11 for FC Twente.

Why Go Ahead Eagles

Nothing in the data singles out Go Ahead Eagles.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why FC Twente can win

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1672 Elo against 1540. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Go Ahead Eagles, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Twente, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Go Ahead Eagles: 52% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 19.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Twente: 60% possession, 21.6 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Twente are the model's most likely outcome at 51.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	262351	1.49–2.11	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	302545	1.49–1.84	1-1 11%	65%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win	45.0%	43.0%	30.1%	1.43×	2.33
Go Ahead Eagles to win	30.3%	30.4%	44.4%	0.68×	3.29
Draw	24.7%	24.5%	25.6%	0.96×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente & both teams score	27.1%	25.2%	17.2%	1.46×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	20.1%	21.8%	22.2%	0.98×	4.59
Go Ahead Eagles & both teams score	19.1%	18.0%	21.2%	0.85×	5.56
FC Twente & not both score	17.9%	18.0%	13.1%	1.37×	5.57
Go Ahead Eagles & not both score	11.2%	13.3%	23.4%	0.57×	7.54
Draw & not both score	4.6%	4.9%	3.5%	1.39×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente & over 1.5	39.5%	34.9%	26.2%	1.33×	2.87
FC Twente & over 2.5	33.5%	30.8%	20.4%	1.51×	3.25
Go Ahead Eagles & over 1.5	26.1%	26.1%	36.2%	0.72×	3.84
FC Twente & under 3.5	24.3%	21.6%	19.9%	1.08×	4.63
Go Ahead Eagles & over 2.5	22.1%	21.6%	28.9%	0.75×	4.63
FC Twente & over 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	10.4%	2.09×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.63
Go Ahead Eagles & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	27.5%	0.65×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	15.1%	1.19×	5.56
Go Ahead Eagles & over 3.5	12.8%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
FC Twente & under 2.5	11.5%	12.8%	9.9%	1.30×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	9.2%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Go Ahead Eagles & under 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	15.7%	0.51×	12.63
FC Twente & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	4.1%	1.93×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	3.5%	1.37×	20.81
Go Ahead Eagles & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (1UP)	63.5%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Go Ahead Eagles (1UP)	51.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (2UP)	45.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Go Ahead Eagles (2UP)	30.3%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win 2nd half	40.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
2nd half drawn	31.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Go Ahead Eagles to win 2nd half	27.4%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
FC Twente over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.9%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
FC Twente under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
FC Twente over 1.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Go Ahead Eagles over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.3%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Go Ahead Eagles under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (+2.5)	94.6%	92.1%	86.8%	1.06×	1.09
FC Twente (+1.5)	85.5%	88.5%	74.7%	1.18×	1.13
FC Twente (+0.5)	69.7%	68.7%	55.6%	1.24×	1.46
Go Ahead Eagles (+0.5)	55.0%	57.0%	69.9%	0.82×	1.75
FC Twente (-0.5)	45.0%	43.0%	30.1%	1.43×	2.33
Go Ahead Eagles (-0.5)	30.3%	31.3%	44.4%	0.70×	3.19
Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)	14.5%	11.5%	25.3%	0.46×	8.66
Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)	5.4%	7.9%	13.2%	0.59×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to concede	77.5%	78.8%	83.6%	0.94×	1.27
FC Twente clean sheet	22.5%	21.2%	16.4%	1.29×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente clean sheet in 1st half	52.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
FC Twente to concede in 1st half	47.4%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to concede in 2nd half	57.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
FC Twente clean sheet in 2nd half	42.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente over 2.5 corners	86.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Twente over 3.5 corners	74.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Twente under 6.5 corners	66.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Twente over 4.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Twente under 5.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Twente over 5.5 corners	46.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Twente under 4.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Twente over 6.5 corners	33.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
FC Twente under 3.5 corners	25.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Twente under 2.5 corners	13.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 3.5 goals	88.4%	87.8%	94.4%	0.93×	1.14
FC Twente over 0.5 goals	84.2%	81.5%	73.2%	1.11×	1.23
FC Twente under 2.5 goals	71.9%	71.8%	84.9%	0.85×	1.39
FC Twente over 1.5 goals	55.0%	59.4%	41.9%	1.42×	1.68
FC Twente under 1.5 goals	45.0%	40.6%	58.1%	0.70×	2.46
FC Twente over 2.5 goals	28.1%	28.2%	15.1%	1.87×	3.55
FC Twente under 0.5 goals	15.8%	18.5%	26.8%	0.69×	5.40
FC Twente over 3.5 goals	11.6%	12.2%	5.6%	2.16×	8.21

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 1.5 in 1st half	83.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
FC Twente over 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
FC Twente under 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
FC Twente over 1.5 in 1st half	16.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente scores more in 2nd half	44.1%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
FC Twente scores equally in both	31.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
FC Twente scores more in 1st half	24.3%	21.9%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (away no bet)	55.1%	57.4%	63.5%	0.90×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	44.9%	42.6%	36.5%	1.17×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente even goals	51.3%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
FC Twente odd goals	48.7%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.7%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.1%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
FC Twente to score 2+ in a row	44.2%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Go Ahead Eagles to score 2+ in a row	32.4%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
FC Twente to score 3+ in a row	17.4%	16.2%	—	—	6.17
Go Ahead Eagles to score 3+ in a row	10.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.36

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente corners (+3.5)	83.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Go Ahead Eagles corners (+3.5)	78.5%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Twente corners (+2.5)	77.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Go Ahead Eagles corners (+2.5)	70.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Twente corners (+1.5)	68.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Go Ahead Eagles corners (+1.5)	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Twente corners (-1.5)	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Go Ahead Eagles corners (-1.5)	31.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
FC Twente corners (-2.5)	29.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Go Ahead Eagles corners (-2.5)	23.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Twente corners (-3.5)	21.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Go Ahead Eagles corners (-3.5)	16.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	30.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 12.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	60.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	59.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	50.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	49.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 9.5 corners	40.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	39.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	30.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	21.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.9%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.51
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.51
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
0-1	5.5%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.51
0-2	6.1%	7.4%	5.9%	1.25×	13.51
1-3	5.5%	7.4%	2.6%	2.86×	13.51
Any other score	5.7%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.51
0-0	4.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.29
0-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31
1-0	4.2%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.30
1-4	2.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.30
2-0	4.0%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.30
2-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
2-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
3-2	3.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.32
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (2nd half DNB)	59.9%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Go Ahead Eagles (2nd half DNB)	40.1%	40.0%	—	—	2.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente leading at HT (DNB)	54.8%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Go Ahead Eagles leading at HT (DNB)	45.2%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles or FC Twente (12)	75.3%	75.5%	74.4%	1.01×	1.32
FC Twente or draw (X2)	69.7%	69.6%	55.6%	1.25×	1.44
Go Ahead Eagles or draw (1X)	55.0%	57.0%	69.9%	0.82×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw at HT	72.4%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Go Ahead Eagles or draw at HT	66.6%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Go Ahead Eagles or FC Twente at HT	61.0%	60.9%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw (1UP)	69.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Go Ahead Eagles or draw (1UP)	55.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw in 2nd half	72.6%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Go Ahead Eagles or FC Twente in 2nd half	68.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Go Ahead Eagles or draw in 2nd half	59.1%	58.3%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.0%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	43.0%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (DNB)	59.7%	58.2%	40.4%	1.44×	1.72
Go Ahead Eagles (DNB)	40.3%	41.8%	59.6%	0.70×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score first	52.7%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Go Ahead Eagles to score first	42.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.6%	4.4%	—	—	22.96

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.3%	58.4%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Not both teams to score	33.7%	41.6%	39.7%	1.05×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.5%	47.5%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	24.4%	27.9%	28.8%	0.97×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	10.9%	12.4%	11.7%	1.05×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.3%	8.3%	11.1%	0.75×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.8%	79.7%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	24.2%	20.3%	19.6%	1.04×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	29.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Both score in both halves	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.56

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.1%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.9%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.8%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
A half without a goal	35.2%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.9%	42.2%	46.7%	0.90×	2.37
4-6 goals	37.4%	35.1%	33.8%	1.04×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.4%	17.0%	15.7%	1.08×	5.89
7+ goals	5.3%	7.6%	4.1%	1.84×	13.20

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score exactly 1	29.2%	27.4%	31.5%	0.87×	3.65
FC Twente to score 3+	28.1%	27.4%	15.1%	1.82×	3.65
FC Twente to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	26.9%	1.02×	3.65
FC Twente to score exactly 0	15.8%	19.6%	26.8%	0.73×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to score exactly 1	33.6%	32.6%	33.2%	0.98×	3.07
Go Ahead Eagles to score exactly 2	25.0%	26.5%	26.9%	0.99×	3.77
Go Ahead Eagles to score exactly 0	22.5%	23.3%	16.4%	1.42×	4.29
Go Ahead Eagles to score 3+	18.9%	18.8%	23.7%	0.79×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
FC Twente leading at HT	33.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Go Ahead Eagles leading at HT	27.6%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente -1: 1	55.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
FC Twente -1: 2	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
FC Twente -1: X	19.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:1)	69.7%	65.3%	55.6%	1.18×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	15.8%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61
Go Ahead Eagles (0:1)	14.5%	13.7%	25.3%	0.54×	7.28

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:2)	85.5%	87.1%	74.7%	1.17×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.1%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.03
Go Ahead Eagles (0:2)	5.4%	7.7%	13.2%	0.58×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:3)	94.6%	92.7%	86.8%	1.07×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	7.8%	0.31×	42.06
Go Ahead Eagles (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:4)	98.3%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	82.03
Go Ahead Eagles (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	82.12

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (1:0)	55.0%	58.2%	69.9%	0.83×	1.72
FC Twente (1:0)	25.3%	25.0%	15.5%	1.61×	4.01
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	14.8%	1.16×	5.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (2:0)	74.7%	76.7%	84.5%	0.91×	1.30
Draw (2:0)	13.9%	10.3%	8.8%	1.17×	9.71
FC Twente (2:0)	11.4%	10.3%	6.8%	1.50×	9.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.1%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to concede	84.2%	81.0%	73.2%	1.11×	1.24
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet	15.8%	19.0%	26.8%	0.71×	5.25

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to concede in 1st half	52.2%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet in 1st half	47.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to concede in 2nd half	66.9%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet in 2nd half	33.1%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles over 2.5 corners	83.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Go Ahead Eagles under 6.5 corners	71.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Go Ahead Eagles over 3.5 corners	69.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Go Ahead Eagles under 5.5 corners	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Go Ahead Eagles over 4.5 corners	55.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Go Ahead Eagles under 4.5 corners	45.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Go Ahead Eagles over 5.5 corners	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Go Ahead Eagles under 3.5 corners	30.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Go Ahead Eagles over 6.5 corners	28.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Go Ahead Eagles under 2.5 corners	16.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles under 3.5 goals	93.5%	92.2%	89.2%	1.03×	1.08
Go Ahead Eagles under 2.5 goals	81.1%	82.2%	76.3%	1.08×	1.22
Go Ahead Eagles over 0.5 goals	77.5%	77.7%	83.6%	0.93×	1.29
Go Ahead Eagles under 1.5 goals	56.1%	58.6%	49.5%	1.18×	1.71
Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 goals	43.9%	41.4%	50.5%	0.82×	2.42
Go Ahead Eagles under 0.5 goals	22.5%	22.3%	16.4%	1.35×	4.49
Go Ahead Eagles over 2.5 goals	18.9%	17.8%	23.7%	0.75×	5.62
Go Ahead Eagles over 3.5 goals	6.5%	7.8%	10.8%	0.72×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles under 1.5 in 1st half	86.4%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Go Ahead Eagles under 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Go Ahead Eagles over 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	49.6%	—	—	2.01
Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 in 1st half	13.6%	9.9%	—	—	10.10

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles scores more in 2nd half	37.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Go Ahead Eagles scores equally in both	36.5%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Go Ahead Eagles scores more in 1st half	25.6%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (home no bet)	64.6%	60.1%	54.1%	1.11×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	35.4%	39.9%	45.9%	0.87×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles even goals	52.5%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Go Ahead Eagles odd goals	47.5%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 0-1	18.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-0	16.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-2	6.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
Any other HT score	6.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-0	5.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 1-2	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	41.92
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.96
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente at HT / FC Twente at FT	25.9%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Go Ahead Eagles at HT / Go Ahead Eagles at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / FC Twente at FT	15.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Go Ahead Eagles at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Go Ahead Eagles at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
FC Twente at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.50
Go Ahead Eagles at HT / FC Twente at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
FC Twente at HT / Go Ahead Eagles at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score last	52.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Go Ahead Eagles to score last	42.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	4.6%	4.4%	—	—	22.96

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Twente to lead by 1 at any time	63.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Go Ahead Eagles to lead by 1 at any time	51.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
FC Twente to lead by 2 at any time	33.6%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Go Ahead Eagles to lead by 2 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.12
FC Twente to lead by 3 at any time	14.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Go Ahead Eagles to lead by 3 at any time	7.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.95

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente most corners	48.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Go Ahead Eagles most corners	41.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.2%	83.4%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.3%	83.4%	80.4%	1.04×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.5%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.0%	72.3%	75.8%	0.95×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.4%	59.1%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	52.6%	53.2%	58.9%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.9%	43.6%	46.7%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.29
4-6 goals	37.4%	39.2%	33.8%	1.16×	2.55
1-2 goals	30.6%	35.2%	37.0%	0.95×	2.84
4-5 goals	30.6%	35.2%	28.8%	1.22×	2.84
5-6 goals	19.1%	18.8%	16.9%	1.12×	5.31
7+ goals	5.3%	8.9%	4.1%	2.16×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente never behind	44.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Go Ahead Eagles never behind	31.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.8%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.2%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.5%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	96.5%	0.99×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.9%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.6%	87.6%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	75.6%	77.3%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.8%	61.8%	59.7%	1.04×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.3%	58.6%	62.3%	0.94×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	42.7%	41.4%	37.7%	1.10×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	35.2%	38.2%	40.3%	0.95×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	24.4%	22.7%	20.9%	1.09×	4.40
Under 1.5 goals	14.4%	12.4%	15.7%	0.79×	8.05
Over 5.5 goals	12.1%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	3.5%	1.31×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.3%	92.4%	95.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.2%	86.7%	89.7%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.9%	81.1%	79.2%	1.02×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.1%	72.4%	74.9%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.8%	51.9%	48.3%	1.07×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.2%	48.1%	51.7%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.9%	27.6%	25.1%	1.10×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.1%	18.9%	20.8%	0.91×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.8%	13.3%	10.3%	1.28×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.7%	7.6%	4.3%	1.75×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.9%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.7%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.3%	36.0%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.1%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.5%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.5%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles not to score in both halves	72.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
FC Twente not to score in both halves	65.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
FC Twente to score in both halves	34.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Go Ahead Eagles to score in both halves	27.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.3%	59.9%	60.3%	0.99×	1.67
Only FC Twente scores	17.9%	16.0%	13.1%	1.22×	6.24
Only Go Ahead Eagles scores	11.2%	11.0%	23.4%	0.47×	9.07
Neither team scores	4.6%	4.6%	3.5%	1.32×	21.59

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.9%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.4%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	12.3%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
6 or more goals	12.1%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	9.7%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	4.6%	4.5%	3.5%	1.28×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
No goals in 1st half	25.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	24.1%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	16.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.6%	54.2%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	26.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
No goals in 2nd half	14.5%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles not to win both halves	92.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
FC Twente not to win both halves	86.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
FC Twente to win both halves	13.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Go Ahead Eagles to win both halves	7.7%	5.9%	—	—	17.04

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win either half	60.5%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Go Ahead Eagles to win neither half	52.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Go Ahead Eagles to win either half	47.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
FC Twente to win neither half	39.5%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles not to win to nil	88.8%	88.1%	76.6%	1.15×	1.14
FC Twente not to win to nil	82.1%	83.1%	86.9%	0.96×	1.20
FC Twente to win to nil	17.9%	16.9%	13.1%	1.29×	5.91
Go Ahead Eagles to win to nil	11.2%	11.9%	23.4%	0.51×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.7%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
FC Twente by 1	19.7%	17.1%	14.8%	1.16×	5.86
Go Ahead Eagles by 1	15.8%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
FC Twente by 2	13.9%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.51
FC Twente by 3+	11.4%	11.7%	6.8%	1.72×	8.51
Go Ahead Eagles by 2	9.1%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.90
Go Ahead Eagles by 3+	5.4%	7.2%	13.2%	0.54×	13.91