Go Ahead Eagles v Fortuna Sittard — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Go Ahead Eagles

20:00 UTC

Fortuna Sittard

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 681h before kick-off

Go Ahead Eagles win

55.7%

model 57.3%

Draw

22.2%

model 21.8%

Fortuna Sittard win

22.2%

model 20.9%

562222

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.4%
1-1 9.4%
2-0 7.2%
3-1 7.0%
2-2 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	68.9%	Under 2.5	31.1%
BTTS yes	66.3%	BTTS no	33.7%
Go Ahead Eagles 1+	89.3%	Go Ahead Eagles 2+	65.5%
Fortuna Sittard 1+	73.2%	Fortuna Sittard 2+	37.9%

Expected goals 2.24 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 51%

69.0% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1028 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Fortuna Sittard (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 87%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 296 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Go Ahead Eagles carry the stronger rating, 1540 Elo against 1491.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Go Ahead Eagles have an estimated 55.7% win probability, against 22.2% for the draw and 22.2% for Fortuna Sittard. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.24 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.32 for Fortuna Sittard.

Why Go Ahead Eagles

Go Ahead Eagles carry the stronger rating, 1540 Elo against 1491.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Fortuna Sittard can win

Nothing in the data singles out Fortuna Sittard.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Go Ahead Eagles, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Fortuna Sittard, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Go Ahead Eagles: 52% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 19.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Fortuna Sittard: 32% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 21.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Go Ahead Eagles are the model's most likely outcome at 55.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.4%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	572221	2.24–1.32	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	532323	2.08–1.34	1-1 10%	66%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to win	53.4%	51.5%	44.4%	1.16×	1.94
Fortuna Sittard to win	23.5%	24.5%	30.1%	0.81×	4.09
Draw	23.1%	24.5%	25.6%	0.96×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles & both teams score	31.5%	29.6%	21.2%	1.40×	3.38
Go Ahead Eagles & not both score	21.9%	21.8%	23.4%	0.93×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.9%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
Fortuna Sittard & both teams score	15.2%	18.0%	17.2%	1.04×	5.57
Fortuna Sittard & not both score	8.3%	8.3%	13.1%	0.64×	12.01
Draw & not both score	4.3%	4.9%	3.5%	1.39×	20.53

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles & over 1.5	47.6%	45.1%	36.2%	1.24×	2.22
Go Ahead Eagles & over 2.5	40.5%	40.2%	28.9%	1.39×	2.49
Go Ahead Eagles & under 3.5	27.3%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.84
Go Ahead Eagles & over 3.5	26.1%	26.1%	17.0%	1.53×	3.84
Fortuna Sittard & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	26.2%	0.83×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	22.2%	0.81×	5.56
Fortuna Sittard & over 2.5	17.1%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.5%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.5%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.79
Fortuna Sittard & under 3.5	13.8%	12.8%	19.9%	0.64×	7.79
Go Ahead Eagles & under 2.5	12.9%	12.8%	15.7%	0.82×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Fortuna Sittard & over 3.5	9.7%	7.9%	10.4%	0.77×	12.63
Fortuna Sittard & under 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	9.9%	0.80×	12.63
Go Ahead Eagles & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.4%	0.95×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	3.5%	1.37×	20.81
Fortuna Sittard & under 1.5	3.4%	4.8%	4.1%	1.17×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (1UP)	69.9%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Fortuna Sittard (1UP)	45.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (2UP)	53.4%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Fortuna Sittard (2UP)	23.5%	23.8%	—	—	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to win 2nd half	44.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	30.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Fortuna Sittard to win 2nd half	24.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.8%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Fortuna Sittard over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.2%	54.2%	—	—	1.84
Fortuna Sittard under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
Fortuna Sittard over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	15.9%	—	—	6.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.3%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Go Ahead Eagles under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Go Ahead Eagles under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.7%	29.1%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (+2.5)	83.9%	82.6%	86.8%	0.95×	1.21
Go Ahead Eagles (+0.5)	76.5%	78.5%	69.9%	1.12×	1.27
Fortuna Sittard (+1.5)	67.5%	68.7%	74.7%	0.92×	1.46
Go Ahead Eagles (-0.5)	53.4%	52.4%	44.4%	1.18×	1.91
Fortuna Sittard (+0.5)	46.6%	47.6%	55.6%	0.86×	2.10
Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)	32.5%	31.3%	25.3%	1.24×	3.19
Fortuna Sittard (-0.5)	23.5%	21.5%	30.1%	0.71×	4.65
Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)	16.1%	17.4%	13.2%	1.32×	5.74

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard to concede	87.4%	86.3%	83.6%	1.03×	1.16
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet	12.6%	13.7%	16.4%	0.84×	7.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard to concede in 1st half	59.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet in 1st half	41.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard to concede in 2nd half	69.3%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet in 2nd half	30.7%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard under 6.5 corners	82.0%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Fortuna Sittard over 2.5 corners	75.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Fortuna Sittard under 5.5 corners	71.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Fortuna Sittard over 3.5 corners	58.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Fortuna Sittard under 4.5 corners	57.9%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Fortuna Sittard over 4.5 corners	42.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Fortuna Sittard under 3.5 corners	41.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Fortuna Sittard over 5.5 corners	28.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Fortuna Sittard under 2.5 corners	25.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Fortuna Sittard over 6.5 corners	18.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard under 3.5 goals	95.3%	97.5%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Fortuna Sittard under 2.5 goals	84.8%	81.5%	84.9%	0.96×	1.23
Fortuna Sittard over 0.5 goals	73.8%	71.9%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
Fortuna Sittard under 1.5 goals	61.3%	63.2%	58.1%	1.09×	1.58
Fortuna Sittard over 1.5 goals	38.7%	36.8%	41.9%	0.88×	2.72
Fortuna Sittard under 0.5 goals	26.2%	28.1%	26.8%	1.05×	3.55
Fortuna Sittard over 2.5 goals	15.2%	18.5%	15.1%	1.23×	5.41
Fortuna Sittard over 3.5 goals	4.7%	2.5%	5.6%	0.45×	39.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard under 1.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Fortuna Sittard under 0.5 in 1st half	58.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Fortuna Sittard over 0.5 in 1st half	41.5%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Fortuna Sittard over 1.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.55

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard scores more in 2nd half	38.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Fortuna Sittard scores equally in both	38.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Fortuna Sittard scores more in 1st half	22.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (away no bet)	69.8%	66.4%	63.5%	1.05×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.2%	33.6%	36.5%	0.92×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard even goals	53.4%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
Fortuna Sittard odd goals	46.6%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.3%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.7%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.7%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.3%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.0%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Go Ahead Eagles to score 2+ in a row	51.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Fortuna Sittard to score 2+ in a row	27.0%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
Go Ahead Eagles to score 3+ in a row	22.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Fortuna Sittard to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.08

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles corners (+3.5)	94.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Go Ahead Eagles corners (+2.5)	91.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Go Ahead Eagles corners (+1.5)	87.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Go Ahead Eagles corners (-1.5)	65.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Go Ahead Eagles corners (-2.5)	56.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Fortuna Sittard corners (+3.5)	53.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Go Ahead Eagles corners (-3.5)	46.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Fortuna Sittard corners (+2.5)	43.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Fortuna Sittard corners (+1.5)	34.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Fortuna Sittard corners (-1.5)	12.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Fortuna Sittard corners (-2.5)	8.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Fortuna Sittard corners (-3.5)	5.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	50.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	26.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	22.5%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	84.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	69.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 10.5 corners	60.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 12.5 corners	57.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 11.5 corners	50.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 11.5 corners	49.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 12.5 corners	42.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 10.5 corners	39.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	30.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	15.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.2%	11.5%	11.7%	0.98×	8.72
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.51
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
3-1	6.6%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.51
Any other score	7.1%	7.4%	6.5%	1.13×	13.51
1-0	5.8%	7.4%	8.4%	0.88×	13.51
1-2	6.1%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.51
2-2	6.4%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
3-0	4.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.29
0-0	4.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.29
0-1	3.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-2	3.0%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.30
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
1-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
2-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.31
3-2	4.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.29
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-0	2.5%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.30
4-1	3.4%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
4-2	2.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.31
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (2nd half DNB)	64.3%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Fortuna Sittard (2nd half DNB)	35.7%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles leading at HT (DNB)	66.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Fortuna Sittard leading at HT (DNB)	33.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles or Fortuna Sittard (12)	76.9%	75.5%	74.4%	1.01×	1.32
Go Ahead Eagles or draw (1X)	76.5%	75.5%	69.9%	1.08×	1.32
Fortuna Sittard or draw (X2)	46.6%	48.5%	55.6%	0.87×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles or draw at HT	79.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Go Ahead Eagles or Fortuna Sittard at HT	62.8%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Fortuna Sittard or draw at HT	58.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles or draw (1UP)	76.5%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Fortuna Sittard or draw (1UP)	46.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles or draw in 2nd half	75.3%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Go Ahead Eagles or Fortuna Sittard in 2nd half	69.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Fortuna Sittard or draw in 2nd half	55.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.5%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Neither half drawn	44.5%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (DNB)	69.5%	67.4%	59.6%	1.13×	1.48
Fortuna Sittard (DNB)	30.5%	32.6%	40.4%	0.81×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to score first	58.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Fortuna Sittard to score first	37.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.01

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.5%	58.4%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Not both teams to score	34.5%	41.6%	39.7%	1.05×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	55.4%	47.5%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	23.6%	27.8%	28.8%	0.97×	3.59
Not both score & over 2.5	10.9%	12.4%	11.1%	1.11×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	10.2%	12.4%	11.7%	1.05×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.3%	79.7%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.7%	20.3%	19.6%	1.04×	4.92

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	46.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Both score 2nd half only	29.3%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Both score 1st half only	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Both score in both halves	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.56

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.4%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	24.7%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	66.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
A half without a goal	33.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.0%	42.1%	46.7%	0.90×	2.37
4-6 goals	38.6%	35.1%	33.8%	1.04×	2.85
0-1 goals	13.5%	17.0%	15.7%	1.08×	5.89
7+ goals	5.9%	7.6%	4.1%	1.85×	13.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard to score exactly 1	35.1%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
Fortuna Sittard to score exactly 0	26.2%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.65
Fortuna Sittard to score exactly 2	23.5%	22.3%	26.9%	0.83×	4.49
Fortuna Sittard to score 3+	15.2%	19.5%	15.1%	1.30×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to score 3+	34.3%	32.6%	23.7%	1.37×	3.07
Go Ahead Eagles to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.9%	0.99×	3.77
Go Ahead Eagles to score exactly 1	26.1%	26.5%	33.2%	0.80×	3.77
Go Ahead Eagles to score exactly 0	12.6%	14.3%	16.4%	0.87×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles leading at HT	42.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Draw at HT	37.2%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Fortuna Sittard leading at HT	20.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles -1: 2	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Go Ahead Eagles -1: 1	32.5%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Go Ahead Eagles -1: X	20.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (0:1)	46.6%	46.1%	55.6%	0.83×	2.17
Go Ahead Eagles (0:1)	32.5%	30.1%	25.3%	1.19×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	20.9%	24.2%	19.3%	1.25×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (0:2)	67.5%	72.2%	74.7%	0.97×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	16.4%	15.3%	12.2%	1.25×	6.56
Go Ahead Eagles (0:2)	16.1%	15.3%	13.2%	1.15×	6.56

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (0:3)	83.9%	85.4%	86.8%	0.98×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.4%	5.8%	7.8%	0.75×	17.19
Go Ahead Eagles (0:3)	6.7%	5.8%	5.6%	1.03×	17.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (0:4)	93.3%	94.5%	94.4%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.3%	1.2%	2.6%	0.47×	81.69
Go Ahead Eagles (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (1:0)	76.5%	78.6%	69.9%	1.12×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	13.1%	12.7%	14.8%	0.86×	7.87
Fortuna Sittard (1:0)	10.3%	12.7%	15.5%	0.82×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles (2:0)	89.7%	88.5%	84.5%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	6.8%	6.4%	8.8%	0.72×	15.68
Fortuna Sittard (2:0)	3.5%	2.3%	6.8%	0.33×	43.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.7%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to concede	73.8%	73.1%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet	26.2%	26.9%	26.8%	1.00×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet in 1st half	58.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Go Ahead Eagles to concede in 1st half	41.5%	37.9%	—	—	2.64

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to concede in 2nd half	55.2%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet in 2nd half	44.8%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles over 2.5 corners	94.6%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Go Ahead Eagles over 3.5 corners	88.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Go Ahead Eagles over 4.5 corners	80.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Go Ahead Eagles over 5.5 corners	69.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Go Ahead Eagles over 6.5 corners	58.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Go Ahead Eagles under 6.5 corners	41.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Go Ahead Eagles under 5.5 corners	30.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Go Ahead Eagles under 4.5 corners	20.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Go Ahead Eagles under 3.5 corners	11.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.27
Go Ahead Eagles under 2.5 corners	5.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles over 0.5 goals	87.4%	87.3%	83.6%	1.04×	1.15
Go Ahead Eagles under 3.5 goals	84.4%	82.2%	89.2%	0.92×	1.22
Go Ahead Eagles under 2.5 goals	65.7%	67.9%	76.3%	0.89×	1.47
Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 goals	61.4%	63.6%	50.5%	1.26×	1.57
Go Ahead Eagles under 1.5 goals	38.6%	36.4%	49.5%	0.74×	2.75
Go Ahead Eagles over 2.5 goals	34.3%	32.1%	23.7%	1.35×	3.12
Go Ahead Eagles over 3.5 goals	15.6%	17.8%	10.8%	1.64×	5.63
Go Ahead Eagles under 0.5 goals	12.6%	12.7%	16.4%	0.78×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles under 1.5 in 1st half	77.5%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Go Ahead Eagles over 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Go Ahead Eagles under 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.32
Go Ahead Eagles over 1.5 in 1st half	22.5%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles scores more in 2nd half	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Go Ahead Eagles scores equally in both	29.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Go Ahead Eagles scores more in 1st half	27.7%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard (home no bet)	50.3%	51.4%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	49.7%	48.6%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles even goals	50.8%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Go Ahead Eagles odd goals	49.2%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	21.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	12.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.43
Any other HT score	7.8%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-1	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	41.98
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles at HT / Go Ahead Eagles at FT	34.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Draw at HT / Go Ahead Eagles at FT	15.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.7%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Fortuna Sittard at HT / Fortuna Sittard at FT	12.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Fortuna Sittard at FT	8.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.40
Go Ahead Eagles at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Fortuna Sittard at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Fortuna Sittard at HT / Go Ahead Eagles at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Go Ahead Eagles at HT / Fortuna Sittard at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to score last	58.3%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Fortuna Sittard to score last	37.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.01

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Go Ahead Eagles to lead by 1 at any time	69.9%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Fortuna Sittard to lead by 1 at any time	45.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Go Ahead Eagles to lead by 2 at any time	40.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.1%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Go Ahead Eagles to lead by 3 at any time	19.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Fortuna Sittard to lead by 2 at any time	17.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Fortuna Sittard to lead by 3 at any time	5.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles most corners	73.9%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Fortuna Sittard most corners	18.8%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	7.3%	8.3%	—	—	12.00

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.6%	83.4%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.6%	83.4%	80.4%	1.04×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.4%	72.4%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
1-4 goals	69.9%	68.8%	75.8%	0.91×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.7%	63.3%	63.6%	1.00×	1.58
3-6 goals	60.4%	63.3%	55.7%	1.14×	1.58
3-5 goals	53.2%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
1-3 goals	51.2%	53.2%	58.9%	0.90×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.0%	43.6%	46.7%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	39.0%	1.12×	2.29
4-6 goals	38.6%	39.2%	33.8%	1.16×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.4%	35.2%	28.8%	1.22×	2.84
1-2 goals	29.4%	30.2%	37.0%	0.82×	3.31
5-6 goals	20.0%	18.8%	16.9%	1.12×	5.31
7+ goals	5.9%	8.9%	4.1%	2.16×	11.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles never behind	50.7%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Fortuna Sittard never behind	25.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.7%	95.4%	96.5%	0.99×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.9%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	86.5%	87.6%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.2%	72.5%	79.1%	0.92×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.3%	66.3%	59.7%	1.11×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.5%	58.6%	62.3%	0.94×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	44.5%	41.4%	37.7%	1.10×	2.42
Under 2.5 goals	33.7%	33.7%	40.3%	0.84×	2.97
Over 4.5 goals	25.8%	27.5%	20.9%	1.32×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	13.5%	12.4%	15.7%	0.79×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	13.1%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	4.3%	4.6%	3.5%	1.31×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.7%	92.4%	95.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.0%	81.1%	89.7%	0.90×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	83.1%	81.1%	79.2%	1.02×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.3%	67.5%	74.9%	0.90×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.9%	55.8%	48.3%	1.15×	1.79
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.1%	44.2%	51.7%	0.86×	2.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.7%	32.5%	25.1%	1.30×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.9%	18.9%	20.8%	0.91×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	15.0%	18.9%	10.3%	1.83×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.3%	7.6%	4.3%	1.75×	13.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.7%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.8%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.1%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.9%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.3%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.9%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.1%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.4%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.6%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.9%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.1%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard not to score in both halves	77.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Go Ahead Eagles not to score in both halves	59.1%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Go Ahead Eagles to score in both halves	40.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Fortuna Sittard to score in both halves	22.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.5%	59.8%	60.3%	0.99×	1.67
Only Go Ahead Eagles scores	21.9%	22.3%	23.4%	0.95×	4.49
Only Fortuna Sittard scores	8.3%	7.1%	13.1%	0.54×	14.02
Neither team scores	4.3%	4.6%	3.5%	1.32×	21.61

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	22.1%	1.02×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	20.2%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
6 or more goals	13.1%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	12.7%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	9.2%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	4.3%	4.5%	3.5%	1.28×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.9%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	24.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
No goals in 1st half	24.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
3+ goals in 1st half	17.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.4%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
1 goal in 2nd half	26.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
No goals in 2nd half	14.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard not to win both halves	94.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Go Ahead Eagles not to win both halves	81.1%	83.7%	—	—	1.19
Go Ahead Eagles to win both halves	18.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Fortuna Sittard to win both halves	5.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Go Ahead Eagles to win either half	67.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Fortuna Sittard to win neither half	59.8%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Fortuna Sittard to win either half	40.2%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Go Ahead Eagles to win neither half	32.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortuna Sittard not to win to nil	91.7%	92.1%	86.9%	1.06×	1.09
Go Ahead Eagles not to win to nil	78.1%	78.1%	76.6%	1.02×	1.28
Go Ahead Eagles to win to nil	21.9%	21.9%	23.4%	0.93×	4.57
Fortuna Sittard to win to nil	8.3%	7.9%	13.1%	0.61×	12.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.1%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.15
Go Ahead Eagles by 1	20.9%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.15
Go Ahead Eagles by 2	16.4%	17.0%	12.2%	1.40×	5.87
Go Ahead Eagles by 3+	16.1%	17.0%	13.2%	1.29×	5.87
Fortuna Sittard by 1	13.1%	11.8%	14.8%	0.80×	8.51
Fortuna Sittard by 2	6.8%	7.2%	8.8%	0.81×	13.91
Fortuna Sittard by 3+	3.5%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.82