Golden Arrows v Mamelodi Sundowns — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · RSA-Premiership · 2627

RSA-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 11:44 UTC

Golden Arrows

13:00 UTC

Mamelodi Sundowns

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 5h before kick-off

Golden Arrows win

19.5%

model 18.3%

Draw

27.9%

model 28.6%

Mamelodi Sundowns win

52.6%

model 53.0%

192853

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
0-1 10.6%
0-2 10.6%
0-0 9.8%
1-2 9.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.3%	Under 2.5	52.7%
BTTS yes	50.4%	BTTS no	49.6%
Golden Arrows 1+	59.6%	Golden Arrows 2+	23.0%
Mamelodi Sundowns 1+	81.0%	Mamelodi Sundowns 2+	49.4%

Expected goals 0.91 – 1.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Mamelodi Sundowns (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 27%

57.1% fair odds 1.75

strong signal · 1040 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Mamelodi Sundowns or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Mamelodi Sundowns carry the stronger rating, 1782 Elo against 1534.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Mamelodi Sundowns have an estimated 52.6% win probability, against 27.9% for the draw and 19.5% for Golden Arrows. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.91 for Golden Arrows and 1.66 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

Why Golden Arrows

They have had 11 days' rest to Mamelodi Sundowns's 4.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Mamelodi Sundowns can win

Mamelodi Sundowns carry the stronger rating, 1782 Elo against 1534. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Golden Arrows, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Mamelodi Sundowns, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Golden Arrows: 54% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Mamelodi Sundowns: 69% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 7.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Mamelodi Sundowns are the model's most likely outcome at 52.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	172856	0.88–1.74	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	152857	0.77–1.66	1-1 13%	44%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns to win	55.8%	58.4%	27.4%	2.13×	1.71
Draw	27.6%	27.6%	30.7%	0.90×	3.62
Golden Arrows to win	16.7%	19.1%	42.1%	0.45×	5.23

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns & not both score	32.3%	32.7%	18.5%	1.77×	3.06
Mamelodi Sundowns & both teams score	23.5%	22.6%	9.1%	2.47×	4.42
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	17.8%	17.9%	0.99×	5.63
Draw & not both score	9.3%	7.3%	13.0%	0.56×	13.63
Golden Arrows & both teams score	8.5%	7.3%	12.4%	0.59×	13.65
Golden Arrows & not both score	8.2%	7.3%	29.9%	0.25×	13.66

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns & over 1.5	45.2%	46.6%	17.1%	2.73×	2.15
Mamelodi Sundowns & under 3.5	37.8%	37.5%	23.0%	1.63×	2.67
Mamelodi Sundowns & over 2.5	34.1%	33.2%	12.0%	2.77×	3.01
Draw & under 2.5	22.5%	21.5%	27.8%	0.77×	4.65
Draw & under 3.5	22.5%	21.5%	27.8%	0.77×	4.65
Mamelodi Sundowns & under 2.5	21.7%	21.5%	15.7%	1.37×	4.65
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	17.6%	17.9%	0.98×	5.69
Mamelodi Sundowns & over 3.5	18.0%	17.6%	4.7%	3.76×	5.69
Golden Arrows & under 3.5	12.8%	12.7%	35.6%	0.36×	7.86
Golden Arrows & over 1.5	12.3%	12.7%	26.6%	0.48×	7.86
Mamelodi Sundowns & under 1.5	10.6%	12.7%	10.6%	1.20×	7.87
Golden Arrows & over 2.5	9.5%	7.5%	16.3%	0.46×	13.40
Draw & under 1.5	9.3%	7.5%	13.0%	0.57×	13.40
Golden Arrows & under 2.5	7.1%	7.5%	26.0%	0.29×	13.41
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.5%	3.0%	2.44×	13.42
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.5%	3.0%	2.44×	13.42
Golden Arrows & under 1.5	4.3%	4.6%	15.7%	0.29×	21.92
Golden Arrows & over 3.5	3.8%	4.6%	6.7%	0.68×	21.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns (1UP)	68.8%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Golden Arrows (1UP)	34.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns (2UP)	55.8%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Golden Arrows (2UP)	16.7%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns to win 2nd half	47.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
2nd half drawn	35.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Golden Arrows to win 2nd half	16.7%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns (+2.5)	98.5%	97.2%	93.7%	1.04×	1.03
Mamelodi Sundowns (+1.5)	94.0%	92.3%	80.7%	1.14×	1.08
Mamelodi Sundowns (+0.5)	83.4%	82.3%	57.9%	1.42×	1.22
Mamelodi Sundowns (-0.5)	55.8%	57.1%	27.4%	2.08×	1.75
Golden Arrows (+0.5)	44.2%	42.9%	72.6%	0.59×	2.33
Golden Arrows (-0.5)	16.7%	17.7%	42.1%	0.42×	5.66
Golden Arrows (-1.5)	6.0%	7.7%	19.3%	0.40×	13.07
Golden Arrows (-2.5)	1.5%	2.8%	6.3%	0.44×	35.99

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns to concede	58.4%	52.4%	68.7%	0.76×	1.91
Mamelodi Sundowns clean sheet	41.6%	47.6%	31.3%	1.52×	2.10

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns clean sheet in 1st half	68.6%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Mamelodi Sundowns to concede in 1st half	31.4%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns under 6.5 corners	87.4%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Mamelodi Sundowns under 5.5 corners	78.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Mamelodi Sundowns over 2.5 corners	67.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Mamelodi Sundowns under 4.5 corners	66.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Mamelodi Sundowns under 3.5 corners	50.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Mamelodi Sundowns over 3.5 corners	49.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Mamelodi Sundowns over 4.5 corners	33.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Mamelodi Sundowns under 2.5 corners	32.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Mamelodi Sundowns over 5.5 corners	21.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Mamelodi Sundowns over 6.5 corners	12.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns under 3.5 goals	90.0%	92.6%	98.0%	0.95×	1.08
Mamelodi Sundowns over 0.5 goals	82.5%	82.2%	57.3%	1.43×	1.22
Mamelodi Sundowns under 2.5 goals	74.6%	72.0%	92.5%	0.78×	1.39
Mamelodi Sundowns over 1.5 goals	52.0%	51.9%	21.7%	2.39×	1.93
Mamelodi Sundowns under 1.5 goals	48.0%	48.1%	78.3%	0.61×	2.08
Mamelodi Sundowns over 2.5 goals	25.4%	28.0%	7.5%	3.72×	3.57
Mamelodi Sundowns under 0.5 goals	17.5%	17.8%	42.7%	0.42×	5.63
Mamelodi Sundowns over 3.5 goals	10.0%	7.4%	2.0%	3.65×	13.48

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns under 1.5 in 1st half	84.5%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Mamelodi Sundowns over 0.5 in 1st half	50.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Mamelodi Sundowns under 0.5 in 1st half	49.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Mamelodi Sundowns over 1.5 in 1st half	15.5%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	62.3%	59.0%	42.2%	1.40×	1.70
Golden Arrows (away no bet)	37.7%	41.0%	57.8%	0.71×	2.44

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns even goals	51.5%	52.4%	58.5%	0.89×	1.91
Mamelodi Sundowns odd goals	48.5%	47.6%	41.5%	1.15×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.7%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.3%	13.6%	—	—	7.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.6%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.8%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Mamelodi Sundowns to score 2+ in a row	45.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Mamelodi Sundowns to score 3+ in a row	18.9%	17.8%	—	—	5.60
Golden Arrows to score 2+ in a row	15.2%	17.8%	—	—	5.63
Golden Arrows to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.63

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows corners (+3.5)	86.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Mamelodi Sundowns corners (+3.5)	85.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Golden Arrows corners (+2.5)	79.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Mamelodi Sundowns corners (+2.5)	77.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Golden Arrows corners (+1.5)	69.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Mamelodi Sundowns corners (+1.5)	67.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Golden Arrows corners (-1.5)	32.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Mamelodi Sundowns corners (-1.5)	30.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Golden Arrows corners (-2.5)	22.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Mamelodi Sundowns corners (-2.5)	20.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Golden Arrows corners (-3.5)	14.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Mamelodi Sundowns corners (-3.5)	13.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	63.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.09
9-11 corners	24.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	12.9%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	91.6%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	87.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 10.5 corners	81.0%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 9.5 corners	72.9%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	63.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	51.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	48.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	37.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 9.5 corners	27.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 10.5 corners	19.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 11.5 corners	12.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.89
Over 12.5 corners	8.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.99

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.2%	11.6%	15.0%	0.77×	8.63
0-2	11.1%	11.6%	5.3%	2.19×	8.64
0-1	10.6%	11.6%	10.6%	1.10×	8.64
1-2	9.7%	7.3%	5.3%	1.38×	13.74
0-0	9.3%	7.3%	13.0%	0.56×	13.74
0-3	6.4%	7.3%	2.4%	2.98×	13.75
1-3	5.6%	7.3%	2.4%	2.98×	13.75
2-1	4.9%	1.8%	6.5%	0.28×	55.39
1-0	4.3%	1.8%	15.7%	0.12×	55.40
2-2	4.3%	1.8%	2.8%	0.63×	55.40
0-4	2.8%	1.8%	0.4%	4.44×	55.44
1-4	2.5%	1.8%	1.0%	1.77×	55.45
2-0	2.8%	1.8%	10.6%	0.17×	55.44
2-3	2.5%	1.8%	0.8%	2.22×	55.45
Any other score	3.4%	1.8%	1.8%	0.99×	55.42
3-1	1.4%	1.8%	2.6%	0.68×	55.47
3-2	1.2%	1.8%	1.0%	1.77×	55.48
2-4	1.1%	1.8%	0.4%	4.43×	55.48
3-0	0.8%	1.8%	3.5%	0.52×	55.49
3-3	0.7%	1.8%	0.4%	4.43×	55.49
3-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.2%	8.86×	55.50
4-0	0.2%	1.8%	0.6%	2.95×	55.50
4-1	0.3%	1.8%	1.4%	1.27×	55.50
4-2	0.3%	1.8%	0.4%	4.43×	55.50
4-3	0.2%	1.8%	0.4%	4.43×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.2%	8.86×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns leading at HT (DNB)	68.8%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Golden Arrows leading at HT (DNB)	31.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw (X2)	83.4%	80.9%	57.9%	1.40×	1.24
Golden Arrows or Mamelodi Sundowns (12)	72.4%	72.4%	69.3%	1.04×	1.38
Golden Arrows or draw (1X)	44.2%	41.6%	72.6%	0.57×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw at HT	82.7%	81.7%	—	—	1.22
Golden Arrows or draw at HT	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Golden Arrows or Mamelodi Sundowns at HT	55.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw (1UP)	83.4%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Golden Arrows or draw (1UP)	44.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw in 2nd half	83.3%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Golden Arrows or Mamelodi Sundowns in 2nd half	64.6%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Golden Arrows or draw in 2nd half	52.1%	55.4%	—	—	1.81

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Neither half drawn	38.1%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns (DNB)	77.0%	78.0%	39.5%	1.98×	1.28
Golden Arrows (DNB)	23.0%	22.0%	60.5%	0.36×	4.54

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns to score first	60.3%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Golden Arrows to score first	30.4%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
No goal scored	9.3%	6.3%	—	—	15.86

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.2%	52.8%	39.0%	1.35×	1.89
Not both teams to score	49.8%	47.2%	61.0%	0.77×	2.12

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	38.2%	37.5%	54.3%	0.69×	2.67
Both score & over 2.5	37.1%	37.4%	24.2%	1.55×	2.67
Both score & under 2.5	13.2%	11.7%	15.0%	0.78×	8.52
Not both score & over 2.5	11.6%	11.7%	6.9%	1.70×	8.54

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.6%	85.6%	94.3%	0.91×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.4%	14.4%	5.7%	2.53×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.8%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.2%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	22.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	11.6%	—	—	8.65
Both score in both halves	4.0%	4.8%	—	—	20.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.8%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
A half without a goal	47.2%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.9%	46.0%	47.4%	0.97×	2.18
4-6 goals	25.1%	27.6%	13.0%	2.12×	3.62
0-1 goals	24.3%	22.8%	38.8%	0.59×	4.38
7+ goals	1.8%	1.9%	1.2%	1.59×	51.62

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns to score exactly 1	30.5%	33.2%	35.8%	0.93×	3.01
Mamelodi Sundowns to score exactly 2	26.6%	27.1%	14.4%	1.88×	3.70
Mamelodi Sundowns to score 3+	25.4%	27.0%	7.5%	3.59×	3.70
Mamelodi Sundowns to score exactly 0	17.5%	18.4%	42.7%	0.43×	5.45

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows to score exactly 0	41.6%	45.6%	31.3%	1.46×	2.20
Golden Arrows to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	38.6%	0.93×	2.78
Golden Arrows to score exactly 2	16.0%	18.5%	20.3%	0.91×	5.42
Golden Arrows to score 3+	5.9%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.4%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Mamelodi Sundowns leading at HT	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Golden Arrows leading at HT	17.3%	18.3%	—	—	5.46

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns -1: 1	44.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Mamelodi Sundowns -1: 2	32.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Mamelodi Sundowns -1: X	23.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns (0:1)	83.4%	80.5%	57.9%	1.39×	1.24
Draw (0:1)	10.6%	10.6%	23.0%	0.46×	9.47
Golden Arrows (0:1)	6.0%	8.4%	19.3%	0.43×	11.93

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns (0:2)	94.0%	91.5%	80.7%	1.13×	1.09
Draw (0:2)	4.5%	3.1%	13.2%	0.23×	32.66
Golden Arrows (0:2)	1.5%	3.0%	6.3%	0.47×	33.85

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns (0:3)	98.5%	97.2%	93.7%	1.04×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	1.2%	2.3%	5.3%	0.44×	43.33
Golden Arrows (0:3)	0.3%	2.3%	1.2%	1.88×	43.53

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	98.8%	0.99×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.8%	1.51×	81.23
Golden Arrows (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	0.6%	2.02×	81.33

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows (1:0)	44.2%	43.5%	72.6%	0.60×	2.30
Mamelodi Sundowns (1:0)	32.6%	27.4%	11.4%	2.41×	3.65
Draw (1:0)	23.1%	23.0%	16.3%	1.41×	4.36

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows (2:0)	67.4%	71.0%	88.6%	0.80×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	17.9%	15.0%	7.7%	1.94×	6.67
Mamelodi Sundowns (2:0)	14.8%	12.2%	3.9%	3.16×	8.20

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	28.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
1st half highest scoring	25.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows to concede	82.5%	84.7%	57.3%	1.48×	1.18
Golden Arrows clean sheet	17.5%	15.3%	42.7%	0.36×	6.55

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows to concede in 1st half	50.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Golden Arrows clean sheet in 1st half	49.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows under 6.5 corners	86.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Golden Arrows under 5.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Golden Arrows over 2.5 corners	69.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Golden Arrows under 4.5 corners	64.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Golden Arrows over 3.5 corners	51.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Golden Arrows under 3.5 corners	48.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Golden Arrows over 4.5 corners	35.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Golden Arrows under 2.5 corners	30.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Golden Arrows over 5.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Golden Arrows over 6.5 corners	13.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.8%	96.5%	1.01×	1.02
Golden Arrows under 2.5 goals	94.1%	92.1%	89.8%	1.03×	1.09
Golden Arrows under 1.5 goals	78.1%	76.8%	69.7%	1.10×	1.30
Golden Arrows over 0.5 goals	58.4%	55.8%	68.7%	0.81×	1.79
Golden Arrows under 0.5 goals	41.6%	44.3%	31.3%	1.41×	2.26
Golden Arrows over 1.5 goals	21.9%	23.2%	30.3%	0.77×	4.31
Golden Arrows over 2.5 goals	5.9%	7.9%	10.2%	0.77×	12.71
Golden Arrows over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.2%	3.5%	0.64×	45.27

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	93.2%	—	—	1.07
Golden Arrows under 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Golden Arrows over 0.5 in 1st half	31.4%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Golden Arrows over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.79

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns (home no bet)	66.9%	68.3%	47.2%	1.45×	1.46
Draw (home no bet)	33.1%	31.7%	52.8%	0.60×	3.16

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows even goals	58.6%	58.1%	53.7%	1.08×	1.72
Golden Arrows odd goals	41.4%	41.9%	46.3%	0.90×	2.39

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.5%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
HT 0-1	23.5%	22.7%	—	—	4.41
HT 1-0	12.5%	11.2%	—	—	8.93
HT 1-1	9.3%	7.7%	—	—	12.97
HT 0-2	8.3%	7.7%	—	—	12.99
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.5%	—	—	39.77
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.82
HT 2-0	2.4%	2.5%	—	—	39.86
HT 2-1	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.90
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.5%	—	—	39.97

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns at HT / Mamelodi Sundowns at FT	32.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Draw at HT / Mamelodi Sundowns at FT	20.0%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Golden Arrows at HT / Golden Arrows at FT	9.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.17
Draw at HT / Golden Arrows at FT	6.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.24
Golden Arrows at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.27
Mamelodi Sundowns at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.32
Golden Arrows at HT / Mamelodi Sundowns at FT	3.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.38
Mamelodi Sundowns at HT / Golden Arrows at FT	1.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.47

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns to score last	60.6%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Golden Arrows to score last	30.0%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
No goal scored	9.3%	6.3%	—	—	15.86

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.7%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Mamelodi Sundowns to lead by 1 at any time	68.8%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.1%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Mamelodi Sundowns to lead by 2 at any time	38.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Golden Arrows to lead by 1 at any time	34.1%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.2%	17.7%	—	—	5.65
Mamelodi Sundowns to lead by 3 at any time	17.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.66
Golden Arrows to lead by 2 at any time	9.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Golden Arrows to lead by 3 at any time	2.2%	2.6%	—	—	38.53

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows most corners	44.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Mamelodi Sundowns most corners	42.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	12.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.9%	85.0%	1.03×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.1%	78.9%	81.1%	0.97×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.9%	73.6%	60.2%	1.22×	1.36
2-5 goals	70.7%	73.6%	59.1%	1.24×	1.36
1-3 goals	63.8%	62.3%	73.2%	0.85×	1.61
2-4 goals	63.2%	62.3%	55.3%	1.13×	1.61
2-3 goals	48.9%	48.0%	47.4%	1.01×	2.08
3-6 goals	46.9%	48.0%	29.9%	1.61×	2.08
3-5 goals	43.6%	43.6%	28.9%	1.51×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.0%	43.6%	56.3%	0.77×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.1%	38.8%	25.0%	1.55×	2.58
4-6 goals	25.1%	30.4%	13.0%	2.34×	3.29
4-5 goals	21.8%	24.7%	12.0%	2.06×	4.05
5-6 goals	10.8%	13.4%	5.1%	2.64×	7.46
7+ goals	1.8%	2.0%	1.2%	1.65×	49.60

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Mamelodi Sundowns never behind	56.6%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Golden Arrows never behind	21.9%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.6%	50.1%	47.8%	1.05×	2.00
Even number of goals	54.4%	49.9%	52.2%	0.96×	2.00

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.5%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Odd goals in 1st half	43.5%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	93.0%	97.8%	0.95×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.7%	92.9%	87.0%	1.07×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.5%	88.8%	93.9%	0.95×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	75.7%	78.2%	61.2%	1.28×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	73.2%	72.4%	86.0%	0.84×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.3%	53.5%	69.1%	0.77×	1.87
Over 2.5 goals	48.7%	46.5%	30.9%	1.51×	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	26.8%	27.6%	14.0%	1.97×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.3%	21.8%	38.8%	0.56×	4.59
Over 4.5 goals	12.5%	11.2%	6.1%	1.84×	8.90
Under 0.5 goals	9.3%	7.1%	13.0%	0.54×	14.14
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	7.0%	2.2%	3.14×	14.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	98.8%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.5%	92.8%	97.7%	0.95×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.4%	88.0%	93.4%	0.94×	1.14
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.7%	68.0%	44.3%	1.53×	1.47
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.7%	68.0%	83.1%	0.82×	1.47
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.3%	32.0%	16.9%	1.90×	3.12
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.3%	32.0%	55.7%	0.57×	3.13
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.6%	12.0%	6.6%	1.81×	8.35
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.5%	7.2%	2.3%	3.11×	13.83
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	1.2%	2.24×	36.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.5%	92.2%	—	—	1.09
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.5%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.5%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.5%	7.8%	—	—	12.75

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	80.3%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.4%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	19.7%	—	—	5.07
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	19.7%	—	—	5.08

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows not to score in both halves	87.6%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Mamelodi Sundowns not to score in both halves	67.4%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Mamelodi Sundowns to score in both halves	32.6%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Golden Arrows to score in both halves	12.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.47

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.2%	54.6%	39.0%	1.40×	1.83
Only Mamelodi Sundowns scores	32.3%	36.0%	18.5%	1.95×	2.77
Neither team scores	9.3%	6.7%	13.0%	0.51×	14.96
Only Golden Arrows scores	8.2%	6.7%	29.9%	0.22×	15.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.0%	24.7%	30.5%	0.81×	4.04
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	21.5%	17.1%	1.26×	4.64
Exactly 1 goals	15.0%	12.4%	26.0%	0.48×	8.07
Exactly 4 goals	14.3%	12.4%	8.1%	1.52×	8.08
Exactly 0 goals	9.3%	7.6%	13.0%	0.59×	13.11
Exactly 5 goals	7.5%	7.6%	4.1%	1.87×	13.13
6 or more goals	5.0%	7.6%	2.2%	3.40×	13.17

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	31.5%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	22.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows not to win both halves	96.9%	96.7%	—	—	1.03
Mamelodi Sundowns not to win both halves	81.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Mamelodi Sundowns to win both halves	18.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.81
Golden Arrows to win both halves	3.1%	3.3%	—	—	30.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows to win neither half	69.0%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Mamelodi Sundowns to win either half	67.4%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Mamelodi Sundowns to win neither half	32.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Golden Arrows to win either half	31.0%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows not to win to nil	91.8%	92.3%	70.1%	1.32×	1.08
Mamelodi Sundowns not to win to nil	67.7%	64.8%	81.5%	0.80×	1.54
Mamelodi Sundowns to win to nil	32.3%	35.2%	18.5%	1.90×	2.84
Golden Arrows to win to nil	8.2%	7.7%	29.9%	0.26×	12.97

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.6%	28.0%	30.7%	0.91×	3.57
Mamelodi Sundowns by 1	23.1%	23.7%	16.3%	1.46×	4.21
Mamelodi Sundowns by 2	17.9%	17.0%	7.7%	2.20×	5.89
Mamelodi Sundowns by 3+	14.8%	11.9%	3.9%	3.08×	8.42
Golden Arrows by 1	10.6%	11.8%	23.0%	0.52×	8.45
Golden Arrows by 2	4.5%	2.8%	13.2%	0.22×	35.12
Golden Arrows by 3+	1.5%	2.8%	6.3%	0.45×	35.57