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Gor Mahia v Pyramids FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · CAF-Champions League · 2627

CAF Champions League results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Gor Mahia win
40.0%
model 35.1%
Draw
29.9%
model 30.1%
Pyramids FC win
30.1%
model 34.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.5%
  2. 1-0 13.0%
  3. 0-1 12.9%
  4. 0-0 12.5%
  5. 2-1 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.534.5% Under 2.565.5%
BTTS yes41.8% BTTS no58.2%
Gor Mahia 1+64.8% Gor Mahia 2+28.0%
Pyramids FC 1+64.5% Pyramids FC 2+27.7%

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
19/100
Data quality
20/100
★ Best pick
A half without a goal
Goal in both halves · usually 41%
54.7% fair odds 1.83
strong signal · 1051 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 2nd half
Over/Under 2HT · usually 78%
82.1% fair odds 1.22
moderate signal · 1567 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Gor Mahia.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Gor Mahia have an estimated 40.0% win probability, against 30.1% for Pyramids FC and 29.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.04 for Gor Mahia and 1.04 for Pyramids FC.

Why Gor Mahia

Nothing in the data singles out Gor Mahia.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.9%. A combined 2.08 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.04 to 1.04. Draws run at 33% in this competition.

Why Pyramids FC can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gor Mahia, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Pyramids FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gor Mahia: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Pyramids FC: 61% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 7.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Gor Mahia are the model's most likely outcome at 40.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%. Confidence 19/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.17–1.18 0% 0% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC to win 36.1% 37.2% 29.1% 1.28× 2.69
Gor Mahia to win 35.8% 37.2% 44.8% 0.83× 2.69
Draw 28.0% 27.6% 26.1% 1.05× 3.63
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC & not both score 21.5% 22.7% 15.1% 1.50× 4.41
Gor Mahia & not both score 21.3% 22.7% 24.9% 0.91× 4.41
Draw & both teams score 18.5% 17.8% 18.4% 0.97× 5.61
Pyramids FC & both teams score 14.7% 12.1% 13.9% 0.87× 8.23
Gor Mahia & both teams score 14.6% 12.1% 19.9% 0.61× 8.23
Draw & not both score 9.6% 7.3% 7.7% 0.95× 13.65
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC & under 3.5 28.2% 25.5% 21.0% 1.21× 3.92
Gor Mahia & under 3.5 28.0% 25.5% 31.4% 0.81× 3.92
Pyramids FC & over 1.5 24.9% 21.5% 21.5% 1.00× 4.65
Gor Mahia & over 1.5 24.6% 21.5% 33.8% 0.64× 4.65
Draw & under 2.5 22.7% 21.5% 19.8% 1.08× 4.66
Draw & under 3.5 22.7% 21.5% 19.8% 1.08× 4.66
Draw & over 1.5 18.5% 17.6% 18.4% 0.96× 5.68
Pyramids FC & over 2.5 18.3% 17.6% 17.1% 1.03× 5.68
Gor Mahia & over 2.5 18.1% 17.6% 26.4% 0.67× 5.68
Gor Mahia & under 2.5 17.7% 17.6% 18.5% 0.95× 5.68
Pyramids FC & under 2.5 17.9% 17.6% 12.0% 1.47× 5.68
Gor Mahia & under 1.5 11.2% 12.7% 11.1% 1.15× 7.88
Pyramids FC & under 1.5 11.3% 12.7% 7.6% 1.67× 7.88
Draw & under 1.5 9.6% 7.5% 7.7% 0.97× 13.33
Gor Mahia & over 3.5 7.8% 7.5% 13.5% 0.56× 13.34
Pyramids FC & over 3.5 7.9% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.34
Draw & over 2.5 5.3% 7.5% 6.3% 1.18× 13.35
Draw & over 3.5 5.3% 7.5% 6.3% 1.18× 13.35
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (1UP) 51.2% 52.4% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Gor Mahia (1UP) 50.9% 52.4% 59.8% 0.88× 1.91
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (2UP) 36.1% 40.5% 34.2% 1.18× 2.47
Gor Mahia (2UP) 35.8% 40.4% 45.2% 0.89× 2.47
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 38.7% 37.5% 32.7% 1.15× 2.67
Pyramids FC to win 2nd half 31.8% 33.7% 29.7% 1.14× 2.96
Gor Mahia to win 2nd half 29.4% 27.6% 37.7% 0.73× 3.63
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC under 1.5 in 2nd half 84.2% 81.9% 82.3% 0.99× 1.22
Pyramids FC over 0.5 in 2nd half 50.6% 51.4% 53.4% 0.96× 1.94
Pyramids FC under 0.5 in 2nd half 49.4% 48.6% 46.6% 1.04× 2.06
Pyramids FC over 1.5 in 2nd half 15.8% 18.1% 17.7% 1.03× 5.52
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia under 1.5 in 2nd half 85.6% 87.6% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Gor Mahia under 0.5 in 2nd half 51.3% 54.5% 41.4% 1.32× 1.83
Gor Mahia over 0.5 in 2nd half 48.7% 45.5% 58.7% 0.78× 2.20
Gor Mahia over 1.5 in 2nd half 14.4% 12.4% 22.6% 0.55× 8.09
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (+2.5) 95.2% 97.1% 90.7% 1.07× 1.03
Pyramids FC (+1.5) 85.1% 89.0% 78.2% 1.14× 1.12
Pyramids FC (+0.5) 64.2% 64.0% 55.2% 1.16× 1.56
Gor Mahia (+0.5) 63.9% 64.0% 70.9% 0.90× 1.56
Pyramids FC (-0.5) 36.1% 36.0% 29.1% 1.24× 2.78
Gor Mahia (-0.5) 35.8% 36.0% 44.8% 0.80× 2.78
Gor Mahia (-1.5) 14.9% 11.0% 21.8% 0.51× 9.05
Gor Mahia (-2.5) 4.8% 2.9% 9.3% 0.31× 34.46
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC to concede 69.0% 71.5% 77.1% 0.93× 1.40
Pyramids FC clean sheet 31.0% 28.5% 22.9% 1.25× 3.51
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC clean sheet in 1st half 60.5% 60.4% 51.8% 1.17× 1.66
Pyramids FC to concede in 1st half 39.5% 39.6% 48.2% 0.82× 2.53
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC clean sheet in 2nd half 51.3% 54.6% 41.4% 1.32× 1.83
Pyramids FC to concede in 2nd half 48.7% 45.4% 58.7% 0.77× 2.20
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC under 3.5 goals 96.8% 97.3% 96.4% 1.01× 1.03
Pyramids FC under 2.5 goals 88.5% 89.2% 88.3% 1.01× 1.12
Pyramids FC over 0.5 goals 69.2% 67.4% 67.4% 1.00× 1.48
Pyramids FC under 1.5 goals 67.1% 67.3% 67.8% 0.99× 1.49
Pyramids FC over 1.5 goals 32.9% 32.7% 32.2% 1.02× 3.06
Pyramids FC under 0.5 goals 30.8% 32.6% 32.6% 1.00× 3.06
Pyramids FC over 2.5 goals 11.5% 10.8% 11.7% 0.92× 9.22
Pyramids FC over 3.5 goals 3.2% 2.7% 3.6% 0.75× 36.42
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC under 1.5 in 1st half 91.9% 93.3% 89.4% 1.04× 1.07
Pyramids FC under 0.5 in 1st half 62.5% 63.5% 59.0% 1.08× 1.58
Pyramids FC over 0.5 in 1st half 37.5% 36.5% 41.0% 0.89× 2.74
Pyramids FC over 1.5 in 1st half 8.1% 6.7% 10.6% 0.63× 14.92
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC scores equally in both 42.0% 42.2% 40.6% 1.04× 2.37
Pyramids FC scores more in 2nd half 36.5% 38.8% 36.5% 1.06× 2.58
Pyramids FC scores more in 1st half 21.5% 21.5% 22.9% 0.94× 4.64
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia (away no bet) 56.1% 59.1% 63.2% 0.94× 1.69
Draw (away no bet) 43.9% 40.9% 36.8% 1.11× 2.45
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC even goals 54.8% 52.3% 55.8% 0.94× 1.91
Pyramids FC odd goals 45.2% 47.7% 44.2% 1.08× 2.10
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.8% 86.5% 82.7% 1.05× 1.16
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.2% 13.5% 17.3% 0.78× 7.42
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 55.2% 55.8% 66.2% 0.84× 1.79
Both halves under 1.5 goals 44.8% 44.2% 33.8% 1.31× 2.27
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 47.7% 47.6% 58.6% 0.81× 2.10
Pyramids FC to score 2+ in a row 26.1% 25.2% 28.6% 0.88× 3.97
Gor Mahia to score 2+ in a row 25.9% 25.2% 36.9% 0.68× 3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row 14.6% 12.3% 22.9% 0.54× 8.16
Pyramids FC to score 3+ in a row 7.4% 7.3% 9.1% 0.81× 13.63
Gor Mahia to score 3+ in a row 7.3% 7.3% 14.2% 0.52× 13.64
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.2% 11.6% 12.1% 0.96× 8.61
0-1 11.3% 11.6% 7.6% 1.53× 8.62
1-0 11.2% 11.6% 11.1% 1.05× 8.62
0-0 9.6% 7.3% 7.7% 0.94× 13.76
1-2 7.8% 7.3% 7.0% 1.04× 13.76
2-1 7.7% 7.3% 9.0% 0.81× 13.76
0-2 6.6% 7.3% 4.4% 1.65× 13.77
2-0 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 0.98× 13.77
2-2 4.5% 1.8% 5.2% 0.35× 55.40
0-3 2.6% 1.8% 2.1% 0.87× 55.44
1-3 3.0% 1.8% 2.5% 0.73× 55.43
3-0 2.6% 1.8% 3.9% 0.46× 55.45
3-1 3.0% 1.8% 4.1% 0.44× 55.43
2-3 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 0.87× 55.46
3-2 1.8% 1.8% 2.6% 0.68× 55.46
Any other score 1.4% 1.8% 3.3% 0.54× 55.47
0-4 0.8% 1.8% 0.7% 2.51× 55.49
1-4 0.9% 1.8% 0.9% 2.06× 55.49
2-4 0.5% 1.8% 0.5% 3.41× 55.50
3-3 0.7% 1.8% 1.0% 1.77× 55.49
3-4 0.2% 1.8% 0.4% 5.13× 55.50
4-0 0.7% 1.8% 1.6% 1.12× 55.49
4-1 0.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.14× 55.49
4-2 0.5% 1.8% 0.9% 2.05× 55.50
4-3 0.2% 1.8% 0.4% 4.92× 55.50
4-4 0.1% 1.8% 0.1% 17.40× 55.51
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (2nd half DNB) 51.9% 51.6% 44.1% 1.17× 1.94
Gor Mahia (2nd half DNB) 48.1% 48.4% 55.9% 0.87× 2.07
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia leading at HT (DNB) 52.1% 54.9% 56.7% 0.97× 1.82
Pyramids FC leading at HT (DNB) 47.9% 45.1% 43.3% 1.04× 2.22
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia or Pyramids FC (12) 72.0% 72.4% 73.9% 0.98× 1.38
Pyramids FC or draw (X2) 64.2% 62.8% 55.2% 1.14× 1.59
Gor Mahia or draw (1X) 63.9% 62.8% 70.9% 0.89× 1.59
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia or draw at HT 74.7% 71.4% 74.1% 0.96× 1.40
Pyramids FC or draw at HT 72.5% 71.3% 66.2% 1.08× 1.40
Gor Mahia or Pyramids FC at HT 52.7% 52.1% 59.7% 0.87× 1.92
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC or draw (1UP) 64.2% 67.7% 63.9% 1.06× 1.48
Gor Mahia or draw (1UP) 63.9% 67.7% 74.2% 0.91× 1.48
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC or draw in 2nd half 70.6% 72.4% 62.3% 1.16× 1.38
Gor Mahia or draw in 2nd half 68.2% 66.3% 70.3% 0.94× 1.51
Gor Mahia or Pyramids FC in 2nd half 61.3% 62.5% 67.3% 0.93× 1.60
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 67.7% 66.1% 58.9% 1.12× 1.51
Neither half drawn 32.3% 33.9% 41.1% 0.82× 2.95
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (DNB) 50.2% 52.7% 39.3% 1.34× 1.90
Gor Mahia (DNB) 49.8% 47.3% 60.7% 0.78× 2.11
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC to score first 45.3% 46.0% 42.9% 1.07× 2.18
Gor Mahia to score first 45.1% 46.0% 51.2% 0.90× 2.18
No goal scored 9.6% 6.3% 5.9% 1.07× 15.85
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 52.3% 53.1% 47.8% 1.11× 1.88
Both teams to score 47.7% 46.9% 52.2% 0.90× 2.13
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 45.2% 45.5% 38.2% 1.19× 2.20
Both score & over 2.5 34.5% 34.3% 40.2% 0.85× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 13.2% 11.7% 12.1% 0.97× 8.53
Not both score & over 2.5 7.1% 8.6% 9.6% 0.90× 11.58
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.3% 85.5% 86.0% 0.99× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 10.7% 14.5% 14.0% 1.04× 6.89
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 75.4% 73.9% 70.2% 1.05× 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 24.6% 26.1% 29.8% 0.88× 3.83
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 64.2% 59.6% 57.8% 1.03× 1.68
Both score 2nd half only 21.0% 24.3% 23.8% 1.02× 4.11
Both score 1st half only 11.2% 11.5% 12.5% 0.93× 8.66
Both score in both halves 3.7% 4.9% 6.0% 0.81× 20.51
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 85.2% 85.4% 81.5% 1.05× 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 14.8% 14.6% 18.5% 0.79× 6.84
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 53.5% 54.7% 41.1% 1.33× 1.83
A goal in each half 46.5% 45.3% 58.9% 0.77× 2.21
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.0% 45.9% 45.8% 1.00× 2.18
0-1 goals 32.0% 31.9% 26.4% 1.21× 3.14
4-6 goals 20.0% 20.7% 25.8% 0.80× 4.83
7+ goals 1.0% 1.9% 2.0% 0.94× 52.41
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC to score exactly 1 36.3% 34.6% 35.2% 0.98× 2.89
Pyramids FC to score exactly 0 30.8% 33.0% 32.6% 1.01× 3.03
Pyramids FC to score exactly 2 21.3% 24.0% 20.4% 1.18× 4.16
Pyramids FC to score 3+ 11.5% 13.3% 11.7% 1.14× 7.51
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia to score exactly 1 36.3% 36.1% 33.8% 1.07× 2.77
Gor Mahia to score exactly 0 31.0% 30.4% 22.9% 1.33× 3.29
Gor Mahia to score exactly 2 21.2% 22.9% 24.3% 0.94× 4.36
Gor Mahia to score 3+ 11.4% 13.4% 19.0% 0.71× 7.44
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 47.3% 47.9% 40.3% 1.19× 2.09
Gor Mahia leading at HT 27.5% 28.7% 33.8% 0.85× 3.48
Pyramids FC leading at HT 25.3% 28.6% 25.9% 1.11× 3.49
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC -1: 1 63.9% 61.0% 1.64
Pyramids FC -1: X 21.0% 24.0% 4.17
Pyramids FC -1: 2 15.1% 18.7% 5.35
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (0:1) 64.2% 60.1% 55.2% 1.09× 1.66
Draw (0:1) 20.9% 24.5% 23.1% 1.06× 4.09
Gor Mahia (0:1) 14.9% 10.7% 21.8% 0.49× 9.33
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (0:2) 85.1% 89.5% 78.2% 1.14× 1.12
Draw (0:2) 10.1% 11.5% 12.5% 0.92× 8.68
Gor Mahia (0:2) 4.8% 3.1% 9.3% 0.33× 32.67
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (0:3) 95.2% 97.1% 90.7% 1.07× 1.03
Draw (0:3) 3.6% 2.3% 5.8% 0.40× 43.05
Gor Mahia (0:3) 1.2% 2.3% 3.5% 0.66× 43.56
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (0:4) 98.8% 98.1% 96.5% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.0% 1.2% 2.3% 0.53× 81.63
Gor Mahia (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.04× 82.00
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia (1:0) 63.9% 64.7% 70.9% 0.91× 1.54
Draw (1:0) 21.0% 22.8% 17.0% 1.34× 4.38
Pyramids FC (1:0) 15.1% 16.3% 12.1% 1.36× 6.12
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia (2:0) 84.9% 84.6% 87.9% 0.96× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.2% 11.9% 7.5% 1.60× 8.41
Pyramids FC (2:0) 4.9% 2.7% 4.6% 0.60× 36.44
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.0% 48.7% 48.6% 1.00× 2.05
Halves equal 27.3% 26.1% 25.2% 1.04× 3.83
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.1% 26.3% 0.99× 3.83
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia to concede 69.2% 67.2% 67.4% 1.00× 1.49
Gor Mahia clean sheet 30.8% 32.8% 32.6% 1.00× 3.05
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia clean sheet in 1st half 62.5% 63.3% 59.0% 1.07× 1.58
Gor Mahia to concede in 1st half 37.5% 36.7% 41.0% 0.90× 2.72
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia to concede in 2nd half 50.6% 51.2% 53.4% 0.96× 1.95
Gor Mahia clean sheet in 2nd half 49.4% 48.8% 46.6% 1.05× 2.05
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia under 3.5 goals 96.9% 97.7% 93.2% 1.05× 1.02
Gor Mahia under 2.5 goals 88.6% 87.8% 81.0% 1.08× 1.14
Gor Mahia over 0.5 goals 69.0% 68.9% 77.1% 0.89× 1.45
Gor Mahia under 1.5 goals 67.3% 68.9% 56.6% 1.22× 1.45
Gor Mahia over 1.5 goals 32.7% 31.1% 43.4% 0.72× 3.21
Gor Mahia under 0.5 goals 31.0% 31.1% 22.9% 1.36× 3.22
Gor Mahia over 2.5 goals 11.4% 12.2% 19.0% 0.64× 8.20
Gor Mahia over 3.5 goals 3.1% 2.3% 6.8% 0.33× 44.37
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia under 1.5 in 1st half 90.9% 93.0% 85.9% 1.08× 1.08
Gor Mahia under 0.5 in 1st half 60.5% 60.3% 51.8% 1.16× 1.66
Gor Mahia over 0.5 in 1st half 39.5% 39.7% 48.2% 0.82× 2.52
Gor Mahia over 1.5 in 1st half 9.1% 7.0% 14.1% 0.49× 14.38
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia scores equally in both 42.4% 40.4% 37.1% 1.09× 2.48
Gor Mahia scores more in 2nd half 34.1% 31.6% 38.0% 0.83× 3.16
Gor Mahia scores more in 1st half 23.6% 22.4% 24.9% 0.90× 4.46
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC (home no bet) 56.3% 54.3% 52.6% 1.03× 1.84
Draw (home no bet) 43.7% 45.7% 47.4% 0.96× 2.19
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia even goals 54.8% 50.3% 52.3% 0.96× 1.99
Gor Mahia odd goals 45.2% 49.7% 47.7% 1.04× 2.01
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 37.8% 36.6% 29.3% 1.25× 2.73
HT 1-0 19.0% 18.9% 20.7% 0.91× 5.28
HT 0-1 17.8% 18.9% 16.3% 1.16× 5.29
HT 1-1 8.9% 7.7% 10.2% 0.76× 12.97
HT 2-0 4.8% 2.5% 7.1% 0.35× 39.73
HT 0-2 4.2% 2.5% 4.9% 0.51× 39.76
Any other HT score 2.7% 2.5% 4.7% 0.53× 39.85
HT 1-2 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 0.90× 39.88
HT 2-1 2.3% 2.5% 3.3% 0.77× 39.87
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.5% 0.9% 2.80× 39.97
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia at HT / Gor Mahia at FT 20.2% 21.3% 25.8% 0.83× 4.69
Pyramids FC at HT / Pyramids FC at FT 19.0% 16.8% 17.4% 0.97× 5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.3% 16.8% 14.1% 1.19× 5.95
Draw at HT / Pyramids FC at FT 15.0% 16.8% 11.6% 1.45× 5.96
Draw at HT / Gor Mahia at FT 13.9% 12.0% 14.7% 0.81× 8.37
Gor Mahia at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.5% 5.1% 1.27× 15.27
Pyramids FC at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.4% 5.6% 0.61× 29.31
Gor Mahia at HT / Pyramids FC at FT 2.1% 3.4% 3.0% 1.14× 29.41
Pyramids FC at HT / Gor Mahia at FT 1.7% 3.4% 2.9% 1.17× 29.43
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC to score last 45.3% 49.0% 42.7% 1.15× 2.04
Gor Mahia to score last 45.1% 49.0% 51.4% 0.95× 2.04
No goal scored 9.6% 6.3% 5.9% 1.07× 15.85
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 90.4% 93.7% 94.1% 1.00× 1.07
Pyramids FC to lead by 1 at any time 51.2% 50.9% 50.4% 1.01× 1.96
Gor Mahia to lead by 1 at any time 50.9% 50.9% 59.8% 0.85× 1.96
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 39.7% 37.4% 48.2% 0.78× 2.68
Pyramids FC to lead by 2 at any time 20.0% 19.8% 20.3% 0.97× 5.06
Gor Mahia to lead by 2 at any time 19.8% 17.7% 28.2% 0.63× 5.66
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.2% 11.4% 19.5% 0.58× 8.81
Pyramids FC to lead by 3 at any time 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 0.95× 14.25
Gor Mahia to lead by 3 at any time 6.1% 7.0% 12.1% 0.58× 14.25
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.2% 87.9% 86.6% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.5% 81.5% 78.6% 1.04× 1.23
1-3 goals 69.4% 68.3% 64.5% 1.06× 1.46
2-6 goals 66.9% 68.3% 71.6% 0.95× 1.46
2-5 goals 64.7% 62.2% 67.9% 0.92× 1.61
2-4 goals 59.0% 58.9% 59.9% 0.98× 1.70
1-2 goals 48.8% 48.0% 42.5% 1.13× 2.08
2-3 goals 47.0% 48.0% 45.8% 1.05× 2.08
3-6 goals 40.6% 43.6% 47.7% 0.91× 2.29
3-5 goals 38.4% 38.9% 44.1% 0.88× 2.57
3-4 goals 32.7% 34.0% 36.1% 0.94× 2.94
4-6 goals 20.0% 18.2% 25.8% 0.71× 5.50
4-5 goals 17.8% 18.1% 22.1% 0.82× 5.52
5-6 goals 7.9% 8.8% 11.7% 0.76× 11.30
7+ goals 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 0.98× 50.35
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC never behind 39.6% 45.7% 40.2% 1.14× 2.19
Gor Mahia never behind 39.3% 45.7% 49.6% 0.92× 2.19
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.5% 50.2% 50.2% 1.00× 1.99
Even number of goals 50.5% 49.8% 49.8% 1.00× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.1% 55.3% 53.7% 1.03× 1.81
Odd goals in 1st half 42.9% 44.7% 46.3% 0.97× 2.24
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.2% 51.7% 51.1% 1.01× 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.8% 48.3% 48.9% 0.99× 2.07
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.7% 95.7% 94.3% 1.01× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 91.1% 93.0% 86.3% 1.08× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 90.4% 93.0% 92.3% 1.01× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 79.0% 78.1% 72.2% 1.08× 1.28
Over 1.5 goals 68.0% 65.3% 73.6% 0.89× 1.53
Under 2.5 goals 58.4% 57.6% 50.2% 1.15× 1.74
Over 2.5 goals 41.6% 42.4% 49.8% 0.85× 2.36
Under 1.5 goals 32.0% 34.7% 26.4% 1.31× 2.88
Over 3.5 goals 21.0% 21.9% 27.8% 0.79× 4.57
Under 0.5 goals 9.6% 7.0% 7.7% 0.91× 14.20
Over 4.5 goals 8.9% 7.0% 13.7% 0.51× 14.22
Over 5.5 goals 3.3% 4.3% 5.7% 0.76× 23.12
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.9% 97.3% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.6% 97.2% 93.8% 1.04× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 89.8% 88.3% 84.0% 1.05× 1.13
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 73.5% 72.2% 64.4% 1.12× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 56.5% 55.5% 65.3% 0.85× 1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 43.5% 44.5% 34.7% 1.28× 2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 26.5% 27.8% 35.6% 0.78× 3.60
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 10.2% 11.7% 16.0% 0.73× 8.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.5% 2.8% 6.2% 0.45× 36.23
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.1% 2.7% 2.1% 1.29× 36.61
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.4% 92.2% 88.4% 1.04× 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 74.5% 72.5% 66.3% 1.09× 1.38
Over 0.5 in 1st half 62.2% 63.0% 70.7% 0.89× 1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half 37.8% 37.0% 29.3% 1.26× 2.70
Over 1.5 in 1st half 25.5% 27.5% 33.7% 0.82× 3.64
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.6% 7.8% 11.6% 0.67× 12.87
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 84.0% 82.1% 77.5% 1.06× 1.22
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 74.7% 76.3% 82.3% 0.93× 1.31
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 60.1% 60.8% 50.2% 1.21× 1.65
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 39.9% 39.2% 49.8% 0.79× 2.55
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 25.3% 23.7% 17.7% 1.34× 4.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 16.0% 17.9% 22.5% 0.80× 5.57
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC not to score in both halves 81.0% 81.6% 77.6% 1.05× 1.23
Gor Mahia not to score in both halves 80.8% 81.6% 70.5% 1.16× 1.23
Gor Mahia to score in both halves 19.2% 18.4% 29.5% 0.62× 5.43
Pyramids FC to score in both halves 19.0% 18.4% 22.4% 0.82× 5.43
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 47.7% 49.2% 52.2% 0.94× 2.03
Only Pyramids FC scores 21.5% 22.8% 15.1% 1.50× 4.39
Only Gor Mahia scores 21.3% 22.8% 24.9% 0.91× 4.40
Neither team scores 9.6% 6.7% 7.7% 0.86× 15.03
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.3% 24.6% 23.9% 1.03× 4.06
Exactly 1 goals 22.5% 21.6% 18.7% 1.16× 4.63
Exactly 3 goals 20.6% 21.6% 22.0% 0.98× 4.64
Exactly 4 goals 12.1% 12.3% 14.1% 0.87× 8.11
Exactly 0 goals 9.6% 7.6% 7.7% 0.99× 13.10
Exactly 5 goals 5.7% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.15
6 or more goals 3.3% 4.3% 5.7% 0.76× 23.11
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 37.8% 37.3% 29.3% 1.27× 2.68
1 goal in 1st half 36.8% 37.3% 37.0% 1.01× 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 17.9% 18.3% 22.2% 0.83× 5.46
3+ goals in 1st half 7.6% 7.8% 11.6% 0.67× 12.87
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 39.9% 38.5% 49.8% 0.77× 2.60
1 goal in 2nd half 34.8% 33.2% 32.5% 1.02× 3.01
No goals in 2nd half 25.3% 28.4% 17.7% 1.60× 3.53
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pyramids FC not to win both halves 92.0% 93.4% 91.8% 1.02× 1.07
Gor Mahia not to win both halves 91.9% 93.4% 86.8% 1.08× 1.07
Gor Mahia to win both halves 8.1% 6.6% 13.2% 0.50× 15.19
Pyramids FC to win both halves 8.0% 6.6% 8.2% 0.80× 15.19
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia to win neither half 51.2% 53.8% 41.7% 1.29× 1.86
Pyramids FC to win neither half 51.0% 53.7% 52.6% 1.02× 1.86
Pyramids FC to win either half 49.0% 46.3% 47.4% 0.98× 2.16
Gor Mahia to win either half 48.8% 46.2% 58.3% 0.79× 2.16
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Gor Mahia not to win to nil 78.7% 77.2% 75.1% 1.03× 1.30
Pyramids FC not to win to nil 78.5% 77.2% 84.9% 0.91× 1.30
Pyramids FC to win to nil 21.5% 22.8% 15.1% 1.50× 4.39
Gor Mahia to win to nil 21.3% 22.8% 24.9% 0.91× 4.40
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.0% 27.9% 26.1% 1.07× 3.58
Pyramids FC by 1 21.0% 23.9% 17.0% 1.40× 4.19
Gor Mahia by 1 20.9% 23.9% 23.1% 1.03× 4.19
Pyramids FC by 2 10.2% 11.7% 7.5% 1.57× 8.55
Gor Mahia by 2 10.1% 11.7% 12.5% 0.94× 8.55
Pyramids FC by 3+ 4.9% 2.9% 4.6% 0.62× 35.01
Gor Mahia by 3+ 4.8% 2.9% 9.3% 0.31× 35.03
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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