Goztepe v Gaziantep FK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 7 September 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 18:39 UTC

Goztepe

2–4

17:00 UTC

Gaziantep FK

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 7 Sep, 07:51 · 9h before kick-off

Goztepe win

49.9%

model 48.9%

Draw

28.1%

model 27.2%

Gaziantep FK win

21.9%

model 23.9%

502822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.0%
2-1 9.6%
1-0 9.3%
2-0 8.8%
0-0 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.5%	Under 2.5	48.5%
BTTS yes	54.9%	BTTS no	45.1%
Goztepe 1+	80.7%	Goztepe 2+	48.9%
Gaziantep FK 1+	66.4%	Gaziantep FK 2+	29.8%

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.09. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 75%

78.9% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2095 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Goztepe carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1418.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Goztepe have an estimated 49.9% win probability, against 28.1% for the draw and 21.9% for Gaziantep FK. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.65 for Goztepe and 1.09 for Gaziantep FK.

Why Goztepe

Goztepe carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1418.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.1%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Gaziantep FK can win

Nothing in the data singles out Gaziantep FK.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Goztepe, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Gaziantep FK, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Goztepe: 38% possession, 17.2 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Gaziantep FK: 55% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Goztepe are the model's most likely outcome at 49.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	492724	1.65–1.09	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
ai-blend-oos	502624	1.72–1.12	0%	0%	0%	Home ✗
dc-xg	522721	1.66–0.98	1-1 13%	49%	52%	Home ✗
dc-xg-oos	532720	1.71–0.97	1-1 13%	50%	53%	Home ✗
deep	522721	1.66–0.98	1-1 13%	49%	52%	Home ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to win	51.8%	51.4%	45.4%	1.13×	1.95
Draw	27.2%	27.9%	26.0%	1.07×	3.59
Gaziantep FK to win	21.1%	24.4%	28.7%	0.85×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe & not both score	28.9%	25.2%	22.3%	1.13×	3.97
Goztepe & both teams score	22.9%	21.9%	23.2%	0.94×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	17.9%	18.2%	0.99×	5.58
Gaziantep FK & both teams score	10.5%	13.3%	14.5%	0.91×	7.55
Gaziantep FK & not both score	10.6%	13.3%	14.3%	0.92×	7.55
Draw & not both score	8.5%	8.4%	8.0%	1.05×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe & over 1.5	41.4%	40.3%	36.2%	1.11×	2.48
Goztepe & under 3.5	35.3%	34.9%	29.4%	1.19×	2.87
Goztepe & over 2.5	31.6%	30.9%	30.3%	1.02×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	21.5%	21.7%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.5%	21.7%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Goztepe & under 2.5	20.2%	21.7%	15.2%	1.42×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.56
Goztepe & over 3.5	16.5%	18.0%	16.1%	1.12×	5.56
Gaziantep FK & over 1.5	15.4%	18.0%	22.3%	0.81×	5.56
Gaziantep FK & under 3.5	16.0%	18.0%	19.5%	0.92×	5.56
Gaziantep FK & over 2.5	12.0%	12.9%	18.0%	0.71×	7.77
Goztepe & under 1.5	10.4%	12.9%	9.3%	1.38×	7.77
Gaziantep FK & under 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	8.0%	0.99×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.70
Gaziantep FK & under 1.5	5.6%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70
Gaziantep FK & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	9.3%	0.84×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (1UP)	65.8%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Gaziantep FK (1UP)	38.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (2UP)	51.8%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Gaziantep FK (2UP)	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to win 2nd half	42.1%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	36.3%	36.0%	—	—	2.77
Gaziantep FK to win 2nd half	21.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK (+2.5)	87.6%	88.5%	90.1%	0.98×	1.13
Goztepe (+0.5)	78.9%	78.4%	71.3%	1.10×	1.28
Gaziantep FK (+1.5)	71.3%	73.7%	78.6%	0.94×	1.36
Goztepe (-0.5)	51.8%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Gaziantep FK (+0.5)	48.2%	47.7%	54.6%	0.87×	2.10
Goztepe (-1.5)	28.7%	26.3%	21.5%	1.23×	3.80
Gaziantep FK (-0.5)	21.1%	21.6%	28.7%	0.75×	4.64
Goztepe (-2.5)	12.4%	11.5%	9.9%	1.16×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK to concede	80.9%	81.3%	77.8%	1.04×	1.23
Gaziantep FK clean sheet	19.1%	18.7%	22.2%	0.84×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK clean sheet in 1st half	49.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Gaziantep FK to concede in 1st half	51.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK under 6.5 corners	85.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Gaziantep FK under 5.5 corners	76.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Gaziantep FK over 2.5 corners	71.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Gaziantep FK under 4.5 corners	63.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gaziantep FK over 3.5 corners	53.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Gaziantep FK under 3.5 corners	46.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gaziantep FK over 4.5 corners	36.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gaziantep FK under 2.5 corners	28.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Gaziantep FK over 5.5 corners	23.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Gaziantep FK over 6.5 corners	14.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK under 3.5 goals	98.2%	97.5%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
Gaziantep FK under 2.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	86.2%	1.07×	1.08
Gaziantep FK under 1.5 goals	74.1%	72.0%	65.2%	1.10×	1.39
Gaziantep FK over 0.5 goals	62.6%	63.0%	69.8%	0.90×	1.59
Gaziantep FK under 0.5 goals	37.4%	37.0%	30.2%	1.23×	2.70
Gaziantep FK over 1.5 goals	25.9%	28.0%	34.8%	0.81×	3.57
Gaziantep FK over 2.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	13.8%	0.56×	13.03
Gaziantep FK over 3.5 goals	1.8%	2.5%	4.6%	0.53×	40.79

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK under 1.5 in 1st half	94.0%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Gaziantep FK under 0.5 in 1st half	67.5%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Gaziantep FK over 0.5 in 1st half	32.5%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Gaziantep FK over 1.5 in 1st half	6.0%	5.8%	—	—	17.35

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (away no bet)	65.6%	66.3%	63.6%	1.04×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.4%	33.7%	36.4%	0.92×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK even goals	57.0%	56.9%	54.4%	1.04×	1.76
Gaziantep FK odd goals	43.0%	43.1%	45.6%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.2%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.8%	12.4%	—	—	8.07

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.3%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Goztepe to score 2+ in a row	42.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Gaziantep FK to score 2+ in a row	18.4%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Goztepe to score 3+ in a row	16.5%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Gaziantep FK to score 3+ in a row	4.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.07

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe corners (+3.5)	91.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Goztepe corners (+2.5)	86.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Goztepe corners (+1.5)	79.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Gaziantep FK corners (+3.5)	72.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Gaziantep FK corners (+2.5)	62.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Gaziantep FK corners (+1.5)	51.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Goztepe corners (-1.5)	48.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Goztepe corners (-2.5)	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Goztepe corners (-3.5)	27.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Gaziantep FK corners (-1.5)	20.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Gaziantep FK corners (-2.5)	13.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Gaziantep FK corners (-3.5)	8.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	43.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	26.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.3%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	54.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	45.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	26.7%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	19.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	12.6%	0.91×	8.73
1-0	10.4%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
0-0	8.5%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.48
2-0	9.8%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.48
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
0-1	5.6%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.48
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.48
3-0	5.4%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.48
3-1	5.3%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.48
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.46
0-2	3.5%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.47
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.45×	58.49
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.48
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.65×	58.49
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.49
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.47
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.28×	58.48
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	3.85×	58.49
4-0	2.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.48
4-1	2.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.48
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.45×	58.48
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.31×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	11.55×	58.49
Any other score	3.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe leading at HT (DNB)	68.3%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Gaziantep FK leading at HT (DNB)	31.7%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe or draw (1X)	78.9%	75.6%	71.3%	1.06×	1.32
Goztepe or Gaziantep FK (12)	72.8%	72.1%	74.0%	0.98×	1.39
Gaziantep FK or draw (X2)	48.2%	48.6%	54.6%	0.89×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe or draw at HT	82.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Gaziantep FK or draw at HT	61.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Goztepe or Gaziantep FK at HT	56.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe or draw (1UP)	78.9%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Gaziantep FK or draw (1UP)	48.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe or draw in 2nd half	78.4%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Goztepe or Gaziantep FK in 2nd half	63.7%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Gaziantep FK or draw in 2nd half	57.9%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.5%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (DNB)	71.1%	71.4%	61.3%	1.16×	1.40
Gaziantep FK (DNB)	28.9%	28.6%	38.7%	0.74×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to score first	57.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Gaziantep FK to score first	34.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	8.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.1%	51.4%	55.6%	0.92×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.9%	48.6%	44.4%	1.09×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.1%	38.5%	43.2%	0.89×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	37.8%	38.5%	33.7%	1.14×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.3%	12.6%	0.98×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.1%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.2%	85.6%	83.4%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.8%	14.4%	16.6%	0.87×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.3%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.7%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.5%	5.1%	—	—	19.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.2%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.2%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	46.8%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.4%	45.7%	1.04×	2.11
4-6 goals	25.5%	26.4%	28.4%	0.93×	3.78
0-1 goals	24.6%	22.8%	23.5%	0.97×	4.38
7+ goals	1.8%	1.8%	2.7%	0.69×	54.61

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK to score exactly 0	37.4%	36.0%	30.2%	1.19×	2.78
Gaziantep FK to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	35.2%	1.02×	2.78
Gaziantep FK to score exactly 2	18.1%	19.6%	21.2%	0.93×	5.11
Gaziantep FK to score 3+	7.7%	8.5%	13.8%	0.61×	11.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to score exactly 1	31.6%	32.6%	32.1%	1.02×	3.06
Goztepe to score exactly 2	26.2%	26.5%	23.8%	1.11×	3.77
Goztepe to score 3+	23.2%	23.2%	22.2%	1.05×	4.30
Goztepe to score exactly 0	19.1%	18.9%	22.2%	0.85×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Goztepe leading at HT	38.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Gaziantep FK leading at HT	17.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe -1: 2	48.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Goztepe -1: 1	28.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Goztepe -1: X	23.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK (0:1)	48.2%	46.0%	54.6%	0.84×	2.18
Goztepe (0:1)	28.7%	27.0%	21.5%	1.26×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	23.1%	24.3%	24.1%	1.01×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK (0:2)	71.3%	75.6%	78.6%	0.96×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.3%	15.3%	11.7%	1.31×	6.55
Goztepe (0:2)	12.4%	11.0%	9.9%	1.11×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK (0:3)	87.6%	90.8%	90.1%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.0%	5.8%	6.5%	0.90×	17.15
Goztepe (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	3.6%	0.67×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK (0:4)	95.6%	98.1%	96.5%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	83.32
Goztepe (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	1.2%	1.01×	83.53

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (1:0)	78.9%	78.4%	71.3%	1.10×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	13.2%	12.8%	15.8%	0.81×	7.80
Gaziantep FK (1:0)	7.9%	6.9%	13.0%	0.53×	14.43

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (2:0)	92.1%	93.9%	87.0%	1.08×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.5%	7.7%	0.84×	15.51
Gaziantep FK (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	5.5%	0.41×	44.24

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to concede	62.6%	63.4%	69.8%	0.91×	1.58
Goztepe clean sheet	37.4%	36.6%	30.2%	1.21×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe clean sheet in 1st half	67.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Goztepe to concede in 1st half	32.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe over 2.5 corners	85.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Goztepe over 3.5 corners	72.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Goztepe under 6.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Goztepe over 4.5 corners	58.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Goztepe under 5.5 corners	55.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Goztepe over 5.5 corners	44.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Goztepe under 4.5 corners	41.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Goztepe over 6.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Goztepe under 3.5 corners	27.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Goztepe under 2.5 corners	14.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe under 3.5 goals	91.3%	92.2%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Goztepe over 0.5 goals	80.9%	82.1%	77.8%	1.06×	1.22
Goztepe under 2.5 goals	76.8%	77.7%	77.8%	1.00×	1.29
Goztepe under 1.5 goals	50.6%	53.2%	54.1%	0.98×	1.88
Goztepe over 1.5 goals	49.4%	46.8%	45.9%	1.02×	2.14
Goztepe over 2.5 goals	23.2%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Goztepe under 0.5 goals	19.1%	17.9%	22.2%	0.81×	5.59
Goztepe over 3.5 goals	8.7%	7.8%	7.4%	1.05×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe under 1.5 in 1st half	84.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Goztepe under 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Goztepe over 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Goztepe over 1.5 in 1st half	16.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.3%	56.7%	47.6%	1.19×	1.76
Gaziantep FK (home no bet)	43.7%	43.3%	52.4%	0.83×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe even goals	51.8%	50.6%	50.9%	1.00×	1.98
Goztepe odd goals	48.2%	49.4%	49.1%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	23.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	12.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	9.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 2-0	8.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	4.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.29
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 0-2	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe at HT / Goztepe at FT	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Goztepe at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Gaziantep FK at HT / Gaziantep FK at FT	10.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Gaziantep FK at FT	8.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Goztepe at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Gaziantep FK at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Gaziantep FK at HT / Goztepe at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Goztepe at HT / Gaziantep FK at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to score last	57.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Gaziantep FK to score last	33.9%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	8.5%	7.6%	—	—	13.24

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Goztepe to lead by 1 at any time	65.8%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Gaziantep FK to lead by 1 at any time	38.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Goztepe to lead by 2 at any time	34.8%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Goztepe to lead by 3 at any time	14.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Gaziantep FK to lead by 2 at any time	12.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Gaziantep FK to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	61.28

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe most corners	59.5%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Gaziantep FK most corners	29.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.3%	87.4%	85.5%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.7%	78.6%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.6%	72.4%	74.0%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.2%	72.4%	70.0%	1.03×	1.38
1-3 goals	64.2%	63.4%	61.2%	1.04×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.6%	63.4%	59.9%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.7%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	47.4%	48.7%	51.3%	0.95×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.0%	43.6%	47.3%	0.92×	2.30
1-2 goals	42.3%	43.6%	38.3%	1.14×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.4%	39.1%	37.3%	1.05×	2.56
4-6 goals	25.5%	30.2%	28.4%	1.06×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.1%	24.5%	24.4%	1.00×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.0%	14.9%	14.2%	1.05×	6.73
7+ goals	1.8%	2.5%	2.7%	0.96×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe never behind	52.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Gaziantep FK never behind	25.7%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.0%	50.8%	50.7%	1.00×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.0%	49.2%	49.3%	1.00×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.1%	87.6%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.4%	77.3%	76.5%	1.01×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	69.1%	1.05×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.8%	52.5%	46.2%	1.14×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.2%	47.5%	53.8%	0.88×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	30.9%	0.89×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	24.6%	22.7%	23.5%	0.96×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	12.9%	12.4%	16.7%	0.74×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	6.7%	1.16×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.2%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.4%	92.5%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.0%	81.1%	80.5%	1.01×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.7%	67.4%	69.6%	0.97×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.0%	67.4%	59.9%	1.13×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.0%	32.6%	40.1%	0.81×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.3%	32.6%	30.4%	1.07×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.0%	18.9%	19.5%	0.97×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.6%	7.5%	7.4%	1.02×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.8%	2.8%	1.00×	36.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.4%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK not to score in both halves	85.5%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Goztepe not to score in both halves	68.8%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Goztepe to score in both halves	31.2%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Gaziantep FK to score in both halves	14.5%	14.4%	—	—	6.97

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.1%	53.9%	55.6%	0.97×	1.85
Only Goztepe scores	28.9%	26.1%	22.3%	1.17×	3.83
Only Gaziantep FK scores	10.6%	10.9%	14.3%	0.76×	9.15
Neither team scores	8.5%	7.2%	8.0%	0.90×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	25.0%	22.8%	1.10×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.1%	17.4%	15.7%	1.11×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	14.5%	12.1%	14.3%	0.84×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.5%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	7.6%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.08
6 or more goals	5.2%	7.6%	6.7%	1.15×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.1%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	22.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Goztepe not to win both halves	83.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Goztepe to win both halves	16.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
Gaziantep FK to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.56

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK to win neither half	64.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Goztepe to win either half	64.2%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Goztepe to win neither half	35.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Gaziantep FK to win either half	35.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gaziantep FK not to win to nil	89.4%	88.2%	85.7%	1.03×	1.13
Goztepe not to win to nil	71.1%	75.3%	77.7%	0.97×	1.33
Goztepe to win to nil	28.9%	24.7%	22.3%	1.11×	4.05
Gaziantep FK to win to nil	10.6%	11.8%	14.3%	0.82×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.2%	27.9%	26.0%	1.07×	3.59
Goztepe by 1	23.1%	24.1%	24.1%	1.00×	4.14
Goztepe by 2	16.3%	16.9%	11.7%	1.45×	5.91
Gaziantep FK by 1	13.2%	11.8%	15.8%	0.75×	8.47
Goztepe by 3+	12.4%	11.8%	9.9%	1.19×	8.48
Gaziantep FK by 2	5.8%	7.3%	7.7%	0.94×	13.79
Gaziantep FK by 3+	2.1%	2.7%	5.5%	0.49×	37.01

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.