Goztepe v Istanbul Basaksehir — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · TUR-Super Lig · 2627

TUR-Super Lig results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Goztepe

20:00 UTC

Istanbul Basaksehir

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 297h before kick-off

Goztepe win

36.6%

model 35.1%

Draw

26.7%

model 27.5%

Istanbul Basaksehir win

36.7%

model 37.4%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.0%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.2%
0-1 7.1%
0-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.3%	Under 2.5	45.7%
BTTS yes	58.9%	BTTS no	41.1%
Goztepe 1+	75.4%	Goztepe 2+	40.9%
Istanbul Basaksehir 1+	76.5%	Istanbul Basaksehir 2+	42.5%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Istanbul Basaksehir (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 55%

63.8% fair odds 1.57

moderate signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Istanbul Basaksehir (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 79%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1508.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Istanbul Basaksehir have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Goztepe and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Goztepe and 1.45 for Istanbul Basaksehir.

Why Goztepe

Nothing in the data singles out Goztepe.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.40 to 1.45. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Istanbul Basaksehir can win

Istanbul Basaksehir carry the stronger rating, 1615 Elo against 1508.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Goztepe, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Istanbul Basaksehir, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Goztepe: 40% possession, 17.2 shots a match, 18.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Istanbul Basaksehir: 42% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Istanbul Basaksehir are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352837	1.40–1.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	352738	1.47–1.55	1-1 12%	58%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win	38.5%	36.4%	28.9%	1.26×	2.75
Goztepe to win	34.9%	30.4%	45.4%	0.67×	3.29
Draw	26.6%	27.9%	25.9%	1.08×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & both teams score	21.5%	21.8%	14.6%	1.49×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	18.1%	1.20×	4.59
Goztepe & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	23.1%	0.78×	5.56
Istanbul Basaksehir & not both score	17.0%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.57
Goztepe & not both score	15.2%	18.0%	22.4%	0.80×	5.57
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.3%	8.0%	1.05×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 1.5	32.1%	30.8%	22.4%	1.37×	3.25
Goztepe & over 1.5	28.9%	26.1%	36.2%	0.72×	3.84
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 2.5	26.2%	26.1%	18.1%	1.44×	3.84
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 3.5	23.9%	21.6%	19.6%	1.10×	4.63
Goztepe & over 2.5	23.6%	21.6%	30.3%	0.71×	4.63
Goztepe & under 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	29.5%	0.73×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.5%	21.6%	18.1%	1.19×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	18.5%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.5%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Istanbul Basaksehir & over 3.5	14.5%	12.8%	9.4%	1.36×	7.79
Goztepe & over 3.5	12.9%	12.8%	16.1%	0.80×	7.79
Goztepe & under 2.5	11.3%	12.8%	15.2%	0.85×	7.79
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 2.5	12.3%	12.8%	10.9%	1.18×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	5.7%	1.38×	12.63
Goztepe & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	9.3%	0.85×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.0%	1.00×	12.63
Istanbul Basaksehir & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (1UP)	57.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Goztepe (1UP)	54.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2UP)	38.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Goztepe (2UP)	34.9%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win 2nd half	35.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	34.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Goztepe to win 2nd half	30.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.95

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.2%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.5%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.5%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.8%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Goztepe over 0.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Goztepe under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Goztepe over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (+2.5)	93.6%	92.1%	90.0%	1.02×	1.09
Istanbul Basaksehir (+1.5)	83.0%	82.6%	78.5%	1.05×	1.21
Istanbul Basaksehir (+0.5)	65.1%	68.7%	54.6%	1.26×	1.46
Goztepe (+0.5)	61.5%	62.9%	71.1%	0.88×	1.59
Istanbul Basaksehir (-0.5)	38.5%	37.1%	28.9%	1.28×	2.70
Goztepe (-0.5)	34.9%	31.3%	45.4%	0.69×	3.19
Goztepe (-1.5)	17.0%	17.4%	21.5%	0.81×	5.74
Goztepe (-2.5)	6.4%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede	76.9%	78.7%	77.8%	1.01×	1.27
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet	23.1%	21.3%	22.2%	0.96×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 1st half	53.2%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 1st half	46.8%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to concede in 2nd half	56.6%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet in 2nd half	43.4%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 6.5 corners	86.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Istanbul Basaksehir under 5.5 corners	77.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 corners	69.9%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Istanbul Basaksehir under 4.5 corners	64.8%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 corners	51.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 corners	48.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Istanbul Basaksehir over 4.5 corners	35.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 corners	30.1%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Istanbul Basaksehir over 5.5 corners	22.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Istanbul Basaksehir over 6.5 corners	13.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 3.5 goals	92.8%	92.4%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Istanbul Basaksehir under 2.5 goals	79.7%	76.3%	86.2%	0.89×	1.31
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 goals	78.7%	76.3%	69.8%	1.09×	1.31
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 goals	54.2%	53.6%	65.2%	0.82×	1.87
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 goals	45.8%	46.4%	34.8%	1.34×	2.15
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 goals	21.3%	23.7%	30.2%	0.79×	4.21
Istanbul Basaksehir over 2.5 goals	20.3%	23.7%	13.8%	1.71×	4.21
Istanbul Basaksehir over 3.5 goals	7.2%	7.6%	4.7%	1.62×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir under 1.5 in 1st half	87.2%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Istanbul Basaksehir under 0.5 in 1st half	53.9%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Istanbul Basaksehir over 0.5 in 1st half	46.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Istanbul Basaksehir over 1.5 in 1st half	12.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir scores more in 2nd half	41.2%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Istanbul Basaksehir scores equally in both	35.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Istanbul Basaksehir scores more in 1st half	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (away no bet)	56.8%	57.3%	63.6%	0.90×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	43.2%	42.7%	36.4%	1.17×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir even goals	52.3%	52.6%	54.5%	0.97×	1.90
Istanbul Basaksehir odd goals	47.7%	47.4%	45.5%	1.04×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	70.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	29.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.6%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 2+ in a row	35.9%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Goztepe to score 2+ in a row	33.1%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+ in a row	12.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Goztepe to score 3+ in a row	10.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe corners (+3.5)	90.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Goztepe corners (+2.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Goztepe corners (+1.5)	77.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+3.5)	76.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+2.5)	67.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (+1.5)	56.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Goztepe corners (-1.5)	44.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Goztepe corners (-2.5)	32.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Goztepe corners (-3.5)	23.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-1.5)	23.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-2.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Istanbul Basaksehir corners (-3.5)	9.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	21.5%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	78.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	61.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	38.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	15.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.3%	11.5%	12.5%	0.92×	8.71
1-2	8.6%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.51
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
0-1	6.4%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-2	5.9%	7.4%	4.4%	1.68×	13.51
1-0	6.0%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
2-0	5.3%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.51
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	4.6%	1.62×	13.51
0-3	3.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.31
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.29
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.66×	58.31
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.65×	58.30
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.94×	58.31
3-0	2.6%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.30
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.30
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.3%	1.29×	58.31
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%	3.88×	58.32
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.97×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.46×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	11.64×	58.32
Any other score	3.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (2nd half DNB)	53.9%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Goztepe (2nd half DNB)	46.1%	45.4%	—	—	2.21

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe leading at HT (DNB)	50.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT (DNB)	49.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe or Istanbul Basaksehir (12)	73.4%	72.1%	74.1%	0.97×	1.39
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (X2)	65.1%	69.6%	54.6%	1.27×	1.44
Goztepe or draw (1X)	61.5%	63.6%	71.1%	0.89×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe or draw at HT	71.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw at HT	70.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Goztepe or Istanbul Basaksehir at HT	58.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw (1UP)	65.1%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Goztepe or draw (1UP)	61.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir or draw in 2nd half	69.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Goztepe or Istanbul Basaksehir in 2nd half	65.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Goztepe or draw in 2nd half	64.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.0%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	40.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (DNB)	52.4%	50.9%	38.9%	1.31×	1.97
Goztepe (DNB)	47.6%	49.1%	61.1%	0.80×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score first	48.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Goztepe to score first	45.7%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.7%	56.6%	55.5%	1.02×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.3%	43.4%	44.5%	0.98×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.4%	44.3%	43.2%	1.03×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	29.7%	33.3%	33.7%	0.99×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	12.3%	12.4%	12.5%	0.99×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	10.9%	0.76×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.3%	82.6%	83.4%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.7%	17.4%	16.6%	1.05×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.0%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	27.3%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	14.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	7.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Both teams to score by HT	21.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	59.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	40.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.9%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	32.2%	30.7%	28.4%	1.08×	3.25
0-1 goals	18.5%	20.2%	23.6%	0.86×	4.94
7+ goals	3.4%	1.8%	2.7%	0.70×	54.22

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 1	32.9%	33.8%	35.2%	0.96×	2.96
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 2	25.5%	27.4%	21.1%	1.30×	3.65
Istanbul Basaksehir to score exactly 0	21.3%	22.3%	30.2%	0.74×	4.49
Istanbul Basaksehir to score 3+	20.3%	22.3%	13.8%	1.61×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to score exactly 1	33.8%	32.6%	32.0%	1.02×	3.07
Goztepe to score exactly 2	24.8%	23.3%	23.9%	0.98×	4.29
Goztepe to score exactly 0	23.1%	23.3%	22.2%	1.05×	4.29
Goztepe to score 3+	18.3%	18.8%	22.2%	0.85×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Goztepe leading at HT	29.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Istanbul Basaksehir leading at HT	28.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 1	61.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: 2	19.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Istanbul Basaksehir -1: X	19.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:1)	65.1%	65.2%	54.6%	1.19×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.9%	17.8%	24.0%	0.74×	5.61
Goztepe (0:1)	17.0%	17.8%	21.5%	0.83×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:2)	83.0%	83.0%	78.5%	1.06×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.6%	11.0%	11.6%	0.94×	9.11
Goztepe (0:2)	6.4%	7.7%	10.0%	0.76×	13.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:3)	93.6%	92.7%	90.0%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	41.95
Goztepe (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	3.5%	0.67×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (0:4)	98.0%	98.1%	96.5%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.5%	0.49×	81.81
Goztepe (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.2%	1.04×	81.91

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (1:0)	61.5%	65.2%	71.1%	0.92×	1.53
Istanbul Basaksehir (1:0)	19.5%	17.1%	13.1%	1.31×	5.84
Draw (1:0)	19.0%	17.1%	15.9%	1.08×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe (2:0)	80.5%	84.5%	86.9%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.8%	10.3%	7.8%	1.32×	9.72
Istanbul Basaksehir (2:0)	7.7%	6.4%	5.4%	1.17×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.5%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to concede	78.7%	76.1%	69.8%	1.09×	1.31
Goztepe clean sheet	21.3%	23.9%	30.2%	0.79×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe clean sheet in 1st half	53.9%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Goztepe to concede in 1st half	46.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe to concede in 2nd half	60.5%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Goztepe clean sheet in 2nd half	39.5%	40.4%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe over 2.5 corners	81.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Goztepe under 6.5 corners	74.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Goztepe over 3.5 corners	67.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Goztepe under 5.5 corners	62.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Goztepe over 4.5 corners	51.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Goztepe under 4.5 corners	48.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Goztepe over 5.5 corners	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Goztepe under 3.5 corners	32.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Goztepe over 6.5 corners	25.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Goztepe under 2.5 corners	18.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe under 3.5 goals	93.9%	92.2%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Goztepe under 2.5 goals	81.7%	82.2%	77.8%	1.06×	1.22
Goztepe over 0.5 goals	76.9%	77.8%	77.8%	1.00×	1.29
Goztepe under 1.5 goals	56.9%	58.6%	54.1%	1.09×	1.71
Goztepe over 1.5 goals	43.1%	41.4%	46.0%	0.90×	2.42
Goztepe under 0.5 goals	23.1%	22.2%	22.2%	1.00×	4.50
Goztepe over 2.5 goals	18.3%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.62
Goztepe over 3.5 goals	6.1%	7.8%	7.4%	1.06×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe under 1.5 in 1st half	86.8%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Goztepe under 0.5 in 1st half	53.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Goztepe over 0.5 in 1st half	46.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Goztepe over 1.5 in 1st half	13.2%	10.0%	—	—	10.05

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe scores more in 2nd half	37.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Goztepe scores equally in both	36.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Goztepe scores more in 1st half	25.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir (home no bet)	59.1%	56.4%	52.7%	1.07×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.9%	43.6%	47.3%	0.92×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe even goals	52.7%	50.8%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Goztepe odd goals	47.3%	49.2%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	28.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 1-0	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 0-1	17.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	11.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	5.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
Any other HT score	5.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.58
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	21.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Goztepe at HT / Goztepe at FT	20.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Goztepe at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Goztepe at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Goztepe at HT / Istanbul Basaksehir at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Istanbul Basaksehir at HT / Goztepe at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to score last	48.2%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Goztepe to score last	45.7%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 1 at any time	57.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Goztepe to lead by 1 at any time	54.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 2 at any time	26.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Goztepe to lead by 2 at any time	23.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.6%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Istanbul Basaksehir to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Goztepe to lead by 3 at any time	8.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe most corners	55.7%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Istanbul Basaksehir most corners	32.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.4%	87.4%	85.4%	1.02×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.1%	78.7%	73.9%	1.06×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.2%	78.7%	75.4%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.0%	72.3%	69.8%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.8%	63.3%	59.8%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.3%	59.1%	61.3%	0.96×	1.69
3-6 goals	54.6%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.5%	48.5%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.9%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-4 goals	39.3%	39.2%	37.3%	1.05×	2.55
1-2 goals	35.9%	39.2%	38.3%	1.02×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.2%	35.2%	28.4%	1.24×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.0%	30.2%	24.3%	1.24×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.3%	18.8%	14.3%	1.32×	5.31
7+ goals	3.4%	2.6%	2.7%	0.96×	39.12

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir never behind	39.9%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Goztepe never behind	36.9%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.5%	50.9%	50.8%	1.00×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.5%	49.1%	49.2%	1.00×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	93.2%	0.99×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	81.5%	82.3%	76.4%	1.08×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	81.3%	82.3%	83.2%	0.99×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	64.4%	61.7%	69.1%	0.89×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.0%	58.6%	53.9%	1.09×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	42.0%	41.4%	46.1%	0.90×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	35.6%	38.3%	30.9%	1.24×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	18.7%	17.7%	16.8%	1.05×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	18.5%	17.7%	23.6%	0.75×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	6.8%	1.14×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	8.0%	0.97×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.4%	97.2%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.5%	92.4%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.5%	75.9%	80.4%	0.94×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.8%	75.9%	69.6%	1.09×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.2%	51.9%	59.8%	0.87×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.8%	48.1%	40.2%	1.20×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.2%	24.1%	30.4%	0.79×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	22.5%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.5%	7.6%	7.5%	1.01×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.6%	2.8%	2.8%	1.02×	35.59

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	74.0%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.0%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe not to score in both halves	73.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Istanbul Basaksehir not to score in both halves	72.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Istanbul Basaksehir to score in both halves	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Goztepe to score in both halves	26.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.7%	60.2%	55.5%	1.08×	1.66
Only Istanbul Basaksehir scores	17.0%	16.0%	14.4%	1.11×	6.24
Only Goztepe scores	15.2%	16.0%	22.4%	0.72×	6.24
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.1%	8.0%	0.90×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.5%	22.6%	22.7%	1.00×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.9%	17.5%	14.3%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.4%	12.1%	15.8%	0.77×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	10.2%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.26
6 or more goals	8.5%	7.6%	6.8%	1.12×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.4%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	28.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	22.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	13.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.19

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	53.0%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
No goals in 2nd half	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe not to win both halves	90.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win both halves	89.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Istanbul Basaksehir to win both halves	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Goztepe to win both halves	9.2%	5.9%	—	—	16.99

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir to win either half	54.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Goztepe to win either half	50.9%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Goztepe to win neither half	49.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Istanbul Basaksehir to win neither half	46.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Goztepe not to win to nil	84.8%	83.1%	77.6%	1.07×	1.20
Istanbul Basaksehir not to win to nil	83.0%	83.1%	85.6%	0.97×	1.20
Istanbul Basaksehir to win to nil	17.0%	16.9%	14.4%	1.17×	5.91
Goztepe to win to nil	15.2%	16.9%	22.4%	0.75×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.6%	27.9%	25.9%	1.08×	3.59
Istanbul Basaksehir by 1	19.0%	17.1%	15.9%	1.07×	5.86
Goztepe by 1	17.9%	17.1%	24.0%	0.71×	5.87
Istanbul Basaksehir by 2	11.8%	11.8%	7.8%	1.51×	8.51
Goztepe by 2	10.6%	11.8%	11.6%	1.01×	8.51
Istanbul Basaksehir by 3+	7.7%	7.2%	5.4%	1.32×	13.91
Goztepe by 3+	6.4%	7.2%	10.0%	0.72×	13.91