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Grenoble v Stade de Reims — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 6 November 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Grenoble win
28.9%
Draw
26.5%
Stade de Reims win
44.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.13–1.47 1-1 13% 48% 53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims to win 44.6% 43.0% 29.8% 1.44× 2.32
Grenoble to win 29.0% 27.9% 42.6% 0.65× 3.59
Draw 26.5% 27.8% 27.8% 1.00× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims & not both score 24.5% 21.9% 17.7% 1.24× 4.58
Stade de Reims & both teams score 20.1% 21.8% 12.3% 1.78× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 18.8% 17.9% 18.9% 0.95× 5.58
Grenoble & not both score 15.3% 17.9% 24.0% 0.75× 5.58
Grenoble & both teams score 13.6% 13.3% 18.7% 0.71× 7.54
Draw & not both score 7.7% 8.4% 9.1% 0.92× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims & over 1.5 34.0% 30.8% 20.1% 1.53× 3.24
Stade de Reims & under 3.5 31.6% 30.8% 23.0% 1.34× 3.24
Stade de Reims & over 2.5 26.0% 26.0% 16.3% 1.60× 3.84
Grenoble & under 3.5 21.7% 21.6% 29.5% 0.73× 4.63
Grenoble & over 1.5 20.8% 21.6% 30.0% 0.72× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 20.3% 21.6% 20.7% 1.04× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 20.3% 21.6% 20.7% 1.04× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 18.8% 18.0% 18.9% 0.95× 5.56
Stade de Reims & under 2.5 18.6% 18.0% 13.7% 1.32× 5.56
Grenoble & over 2.5 16.1% 18.0% 24.1% 0.75× 5.56
Grenoble & under 2.5 12.9% 12.9% 18.6% 0.69× 7.76
Stade de Reims & over 3.5 13.0% 12.9% 6.9% 1.86× 7.76
Stade de Reims & under 1.5 10.6% 12.9% 9.8% 1.31× 7.76
Grenoble & under 1.5 8.1% 7.9% 12.8% 0.62× 12.65
Grenoble & over 3.5 7.3% 7.9% 13.2% 0.60× 12.65
Draw & under 1.5 7.7% 7.9% 9.1% 0.87× 12.65
Draw & over 2.5 6.2% 7.9% 7.2% 1.09× 12.65
Draw & over 3.5 6.2% 7.9% 7.2% 1.09× 12.65
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (1UP) 59.7% 58.2% 1.72
Grenoble (1UP) 46.1% 43.2% 2.32
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (2UP) 44.6% 47.8% 2.09
Grenoble (2UP) 29.0% 24.9% 4.01
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims to win 2nd half 38.8% 36.0% 2.78
2nd half drawn 36.1% 35.9% 2.78
Grenoble to win 2nd half 25.1% 26.3% 3.80
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims under 1.5 in 2nd half 77.9% 79.6% 1.26
Stade de Reims over 0.5 in 2nd half 58.6% 55.5% 1.80
Stade de Reims under 0.5 in 2nd half 41.4% 44.5% 2.25
Stade de Reims over 1.5 in 2nd half 22.1% 20.4% 4.90
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble under 1.5 in 2nd half 86.3% 87.8% 1.14
Grenoble under 0.5 in 2nd half 52.4% 53.2% 1.88
Grenoble over 0.5 in 2nd half 47.6% 46.8% 2.14
Grenoble over 1.5 in 2nd half 13.7% 12.2% 8.20
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (+2.5) 96.4% 96.3% 92.2% 1.04× 1.04
Stade de Reims (+1.5) 88.4% 88.6% 80.8% 1.10× 1.13
Stade de Reims (+0.5) 71.0% 73.7% 57.5% 1.28× 1.36
Grenoble (+0.5) 55.4% 57.0% 70.2% 0.81× 1.76
Stade de Reims (-0.5) 44.6% 43.0% 29.8% 1.44× 2.33
Grenoble (-0.5) 29.0% 26.3% 42.6% 0.62× 3.81
Grenoble (-1.5) 11.6% 11.4% 19.2% 0.60× 8.74
Grenoble (-2.5) 3.6% 3.7% 7.8% 0.48× 26.83
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims to concede 67.8% 72.5% 73.4% 0.99× 1.38
Stade de Reims clean sheet 32.2% 27.5% 26.6% 1.03× 3.64
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims clean sheet in 1st half 61.4% 64.7% 1.54
Stade de Reims to concede in 1st half 38.6% 35.3% 2.84
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims clean sheet in 2nd half 52.4% 52.8% 1.90
Stade de Reims to concede in 2nd half 47.6% 47.2% 2.12
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims over 2.5 corners 85.2% 85.2% 1.17
Stade de Reims over 3.5 corners 72.6% 71.6% 1.40
Stade de Reims under 6.5 corners 68.4% 67.6% 1.48
Stade de Reims over 4.5 corners 58.2% 57.1% 1.75
Stade de Reims under 5.5 corners 56.0% 57.1% 1.75
Stade de Reims over 5.5 corners 44.0% 42.9% 2.33
Stade de Reims under 4.5 corners 41.8% 42.9% 2.33
Stade de Reims over 6.5 corners 31.6% 32.4% 3.08
Stade de Reims under 3.5 corners 27.4% 28.4% 3.52
Stade de Reims under 2.5 corners 14.8% 14.8% 6.76
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims under 3.5 goals 93.8% 92.3% 97.2% 0.95× 1.08
Stade de Reims under 2.5 goals 81.7% 81.3% 87.6% 0.93× 1.23
Stade de Reims over 0.5 goals 77.0% 76.2% 67.1% 1.14× 1.31
Stade de Reims under 1.5 goals 56.8% 59.4% 68.4% 0.87× 1.68
Stade de Reims over 1.5 goals 43.2% 40.6% 31.6% 1.28× 2.46
Stade de Reims under 0.5 goals 23.0% 23.8% 32.9% 0.72× 4.21
Stade de Reims over 2.5 goals 18.3% 18.7% 12.4% 1.50× 5.36
Stade de Reims over 3.5 goals 6.2% 7.7% 2.8% 2.78× 13.02
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims under 1.5 in 1st half 88.2% 89.0% 1.12
Stade de Reims under 0.5 in 1st half 55.6% 62.4% 1.60
Stade de Reims over 0.5 in 1st half 44.4% 37.6% 2.66
Stade de Reims over 1.5 in 1st half 11.8% 11.0% 9.10
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims scores more in 2nd half 40.4% 43.7% 2.29
Stade de Reims scores equally in both 36.6% 36.4% 2.75
Stade de Reims scores more in 1st half 23.1% 22.4% 4.46
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble (away no bet) 52.2% 51.5% 60.5% 0.85× 1.94
Draw (away no bet) 47.8% 48.5% 39.5% 1.23× 2.06
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims even goals 52.6% 52.8% 54.2% 0.97× 1.89
Stade de Reims odd goals 47.4% 47.2% 45.8% 1.03× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 86.8% 87.7% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 13.2% 12.3% 8.12
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 61.3% 58.0% 1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals 38.7% 42.0% 2.38
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 53.4% 51.4% 1.95
Stade de Reims to score 2+ in a row 35.4% 36.4% 2.75
Grenoble to score 2+ in a row 23.5% 19.5% 5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row 18.1% 16.3% 6.13
Stade de Reims to score 3+ in a row 12.2% 12.1% 8.24
Grenoble to score 3+ in a row 6.1% 5.6% 17.84
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims corners (+3.5) 95.5% 95.8% 1.04
Stade de Reims corners (+2.5) 91.9% 89.6% 1.12
Stade de Reims corners (+1.5) 86.3% 84.5% 1.18
Grenoble corners (+3.5) 66.1% 65.8% 1.52
Stade de Reims corners (-1.5) 56.8% 57.1% 1.75
Grenoble corners (+2.5) 55.0% 52.5% 1.91
Stade de Reims corners (-2.5) 45.0% 47.5% 2.10
Grenoble corners (+1.5) 43.2% 42.9% 2.33
Stade de Reims corners (-3.5) 33.9% 34.2% 2.93
Grenoble corners (-1.5) 13.7% 15.5% 6.45
Grenoble corners (-2.5) 8.1% 10.4% 9.58
Grenoble corners (-3.5) 4.5% 4.2% 23.63
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 52.3% 45.4% 2.20
9-11 corners 27.9% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 19.7% 22.7% 4.41
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 86.3% 83.0% 1.21
Under 11.5 corners 80.3% 80.7% 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 72.5% 72.6% 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 63.1% 63.3% 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 59.2% 57.9% 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 52.3% 53.2% 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 47.7% 46.8% 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 40.8% 42.1% 2.38
Over 9.5 corners 36.9% 36.7% 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 27.5% 27.4% 3.65
Over 11.5 corners 19.7% 19.3% 5.18
Over 12.5 corners 13.7% 17.0% 5.88
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.6% 11.4% 11.8% 0.97× 8.74
0-1 10.6% 11.4% 9.8% 1.16× 8.74
1-2 9.1% 7.4% 6.0% 1.24× 13.50
0-0 7.7% 7.4% 9.1% 0.82× 13.50
0-2 8.0% 7.4% 4.0% 1.86× 13.50
1-0 8.1% 7.4% 12.8% 0.58× 13.50
2-1 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 0.91× 13.50
2-2 5.1% 7.4% 5.8% 1.27× 13.50
2-0 4.8% 1.7% 6.0% 0.29× 58.29
0-3 3.9% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.30
0-4 1.4% 1.7% 0.5% 3.72× 58.31
1-3 4.4% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.29
1-4 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 1.86× 58.31
2-3 2.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.02× 58.30
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.6% 2.79× 58.31
3-0 1.8% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
3-1 2.6% 1.7% 4.5% 0.39× 58.30
3-2 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 0.70× 58.31
3-3 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.72× 58.32
4-0 0.5% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.32
4-1 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.59× 58.32
4-2 0.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.40× 58.32
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 2.79× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 11.16× 58.32
Any other score 2.3% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (2nd half DNB) 60.7% 61.0% 1.64
Grenoble (2nd half DNB) 39.3% 39.0% 2.57
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims leading at HT (DNB) 56.0% 58.2% 1.72
Grenoble leading at HT (DNB) 44.1% 41.8% 2.39
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble or Stade de Reims (12) 73.5% 72.2% 72.2% 1.00× 1.39
Stade de Reims or draw (X2) 71.0% 72.1% 57.5% 1.26× 1.39
Grenoble or draw (1X) 55.4% 57.0% 70.2% 0.81× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims or draw at HT 75.6% 79.9% 1.25
Grenoble or draw at HT 69.1% 66.4% 1.51
Grenoble or Stade de Reims at HT 55.3% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims or draw (1UP) 71.0% 80.1% 1.25
Grenoble or draw (1UP) 55.4% 62.6% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims or draw in 2nd half 74.9% 73.7% 1.36
Grenoble or Stade de Reims in 2nd half 63.9% 64.1% 1.56
Grenoble or draw in 2nd half 61.2% 64.0% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.4% 61.8% 1.62
Neither half drawn 35.6% 38.3% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (DNB) 60.6% 62.8% 41.2% 1.52× 1.59
Grenoble (DNB) 39.4% 37.2% 58.8% 0.63× 2.69
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims to score first 52.1% 53.8% 1.86
Grenoble to score first 40.2% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 7.7% 7.5% 13.31
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 52.5% 51.4% 49.6% 1.03× 1.95
Not both teams to score 47.5% 48.7% 50.4% 0.97× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 39.9% 38.5% 37.9% 1.01× 2.60
Not both score & under 2.5 39.2% 38.5% 41.0% 0.94× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 12.6% 12.3% 11.8% 1.04× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.4% 8.3% 9.5% 0.88× 11.99
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 86.5% 85.6% 85.6% 1.00× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 13.5% 14.4% 14.4% 1.00× 6.93
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 72.0% 74.0% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 28.0% 26.0% 3.85
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 59.6% 59.5% 1.68
Both score 2nd half only 23.2% 20.9% 4.79
Both score 1st half only 12.4% 10.7% 9.33
Both score in both halves 4.8% 5.1% 19.75
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 82.8% 82.5% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 17.2% 17.5% 5.70
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 51.7% 53.3% 1.88
A half without a goal 48.3% 46.7% 2.14
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.1% 47.3% 41.8% 1.13× 2.12
0-1 goals 26.4% 26.6% 31.3% 0.85× 3.76
4-6 goals 24.7% 22.8% 25.2% 0.91× 4.38
7+ goals 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 0.92× 54.72
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims to score exactly 1 33.8% 33.8% 35.6% 0.95× 2.96
Stade de Reims to score exactly 2 24.8% 22.4% 19.4% 1.16× 4.47
Stade de Reims to score exactly 0 23.0% 22.4% 32.9% 0.68× 4.47
Stade de Reims to score 3+ 18.3% 19.6% 12.4% 1.58× 5.10
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble to score exactly 1 36.5% 35.6% 33.8% 1.05× 2.81
Grenoble to score exactly 0 32.2% 32.6% 26.6% 1.23× 3.07
Grenoble to score exactly 2 20.7% 23.2% 22.1% 1.05× 4.31
Grenoble to score 3+ 10.7% 14.4% 17.8% 0.81× 6.95
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 44.7% 43.1% 2.32
Stade de Reims leading at HT 30.9% 33.6% 2.97
Grenoble leading at HT 24.4% 20.1% 4.97
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims -1: 1 55.4% 56.6% 1.77
Stade de Reims -1: X 22.6% 23.6% 4.24
Stade de Reims -1: 2 22.0% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (0:1) 71.0% 71.1% 57.5% 1.24× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 17.4% 17.8% 23.5% 0.76× 5.63
Grenoble (0:1) 11.6% 13.8% 19.2% 0.72× 7.25
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (0:2) 88.4% 87.0% 80.8% 1.08× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.0% 7.7% 11.5% 0.67× 12.97
Grenoble (0:2) 3.6% 3.8% 7.8% 0.48× 26.40
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (0:3) 96.4% 96.6% 92.2% 1.05× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.7% 2.4% 4.3% 0.55× 42.11
Grenoble (0:3) 0.9% 2.4% 3.7% 0.64× 42.19
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (0:4) 99.1% 98.1% 96.3% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 3.1% 0.39× 83.67
Grenoble (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 0.8% 1.56× 83.73
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble (1:0) 55.4% 58.1% 70.2% 0.83× 1.72
Draw (1:0) 22.6% 21.8% 17.5% 1.25× 4.58
Stade de Reims (1:0) 22.0% 21.8% 12.4% 1.76× 4.58
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble (2:0) 78.0% 80.2% 87.6% 0.92× 1.25
Draw (2:0) 13.5% 10.4% 7.1% 1.47× 9.61
Stade de Reims (2:0) 8.5% 6.5% 5.5% 1.17× 15.48
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.5% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.5% 3.78
Halves equal 26.0% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble to concede 77.0% 76.0% 67.1% 1.13× 1.32
Grenoble clean sheet 23.0% 24.0% 32.9% 0.73× 4.17
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble clean sheet in 1st half 55.6% 62.4% 1.60
Grenoble to concede in 1st half 44.4% 37.6% 2.66
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble to concede in 2nd half 58.6% 55.6% 1.80
Grenoble clean sheet in 2nd half 41.4% 44.4% 2.25
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble under 6.5 corners 93.1% 89.3% 1.12
Grenoble under 5.5 corners 86.8% 86.3% 1.16
Grenoble under 4.5 corners 76.4% 76.6% 1.31
Grenoble under 3.5 corners 61.0% 62.2% 1.61
Grenoble over 2.5 corners 58.6% 57.6% 1.74
Grenoble under 2.5 corners 41.4% 42.4% 2.36
Grenoble over 3.5 corners 39.0% 37.8% 2.65
Grenoble over 4.5 corners 23.6% 23.4% 4.27
Grenoble over 5.5 corners 13.2% 13.7% 7.31
Grenoble over 6.5 corners 6.9% 10.7% 9.34
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble under 3.5 goals 97.2% 96.3% 93.4% 1.03× 1.04
Grenoble under 2.5 goals 89.3% 87.2% 82.2% 1.06× 1.15
Grenoble under 1.5 goals 68.7% 67.9% 60.2% 1.13× 1.47
Grenoble over 0.5 goals 67.8% 67.9% 73.4% 0.92× 1.47
Grenoble under 0.5 goals 32.2% 32.1% 26.6% 1.21× 3.12
Grenoble over 1.5 goals 31.3% 32.1% 39.8% 0.81× 3.12
Grenoble over 2.5 goals 10.7% 12.8% 17.8% 0.72× 7.83
Grenoble over 3.5 goals 2.8% 3.7% 6.6% 0.55× 27.32
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble under 1.5 in 1st half 91.4% 95.3% 1.05
Grenoble under 0.5 in 1st half 61.4% 64.5% 1.55
Grenoble over 0.5 in 1st half 38.6% 35.5% 2.82
Grenoble over 1.5 in 1st half 8.6% 4.7% 21.36
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble scores equally in both 43.1% 42.4% 2.36
Grenoble scores more in 2nd half 33.6% 32.9% 3.04
Grenoble scores more in 1st half 23.3% 21.6% 4.64
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims (home no bet) 62.7% 60.0% 51.7% 1.16× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 37.3% 40.0% 48.3% 0.83× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble even goals 55.2% 55.3% 53.3% 1.04× 1.81
Grenoble odd goals 44.8% 44.7% 46.7% 0.96× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 34.2% 32.4% 3.09
HT 0-1 20.0% 24.1% 4.15
HT 1-0 16.6% 18.6% 5.37
HT 1-1 9.8% 7.2% 13.99
HT 0-2 5.9% 7.1% 14.04
HT 2-0 4.1% 2.3% 43.41
Any other HT score 3.5% 2.3% 43.45
HT 1-2 2.9% 2.3% 43.49
HT 2-1 2.4% 2.3% 43.53
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.3% 43.65
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims at HT / Stade de Reims at FT 24.6% 21.8% 4.58
Draw at HT / Stade de Reims at FT 17.2% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.5% 16.7% 5.97
Grenoble at HT / Grenoble at FT 16.2% 16.7% 5.97
Draw at HT / Grenoble at FT 11.1% 12.7% 7.91
Grenoble at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.0% 16.73
Stade de Reims at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.5% 28.74
Grenoble at HT / Stade de Reims at FT 2.8% 3.5% 28.81
Stade de Reims at HT / Grenoble at FT 1.7% 3.5% 28.86
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims to score last 52.1% 52.0% 1.92
Grenoble to score last 40.2% 39.9% 2.50
No goal scored 7.7% 7.5% 13.31
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.3% 92.6% 1.08
Stade de Reims to lead by 1 at any time 59.7% 55.2% 1.81
Grenoble to lead by 1 at any time 46.1% 43.9% 2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 44.5% 39.3% 2.55
Stade de Reims to lead by 2 at any time 28.0% 25.5% 3.92
Grenoble to lead by 2 at any time 16.7% 14.9% 6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 15.3% 14.8% 6.74
Stade de Reims to lead by 3 at any time 10.5% 10.4% 9.60
Grenoble to lead by 3 at any time 4.8% 1.7% 59.69
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims most corners 68.3% 64.7% 1.55
Grenoble most corners 21.6% 25.8% 3.88
Corners level 10.1% 10.4% 9.60
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.4% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.15
1-4 goals 80.0% 83.4% 78.8% 1.06× 1.20
2-6 goals 71.9% 72.4% 66.8% 1.08× 1.38
2-5 goals 68.7% 68.9% 62.5% 1.10× 1.45
1-3 goals 65.9% 68.9% 64.1% 1.08× 1.45
2-4 goals 61.3% 63.4% 56.5% 1.12× 1.58
2-3 goals 47.1% 48.6% 41.8% 1.16× 2.06
3-6 goals 46.5% 48.6% 45.5% 1.07× 2.06
1-2 goals 44.1% 43.6% 43.8% 1.00× 2.30
3-5 goals 43.3% 43.6% 41.2% 1.06× 2.30
3-4 goals 35.9% 39.2% 35.2% 1.11× 2.55
4-6 goals 24.7% 24.5% 25.2% 0.97× 4.08
4-5 goals 21.5% 24.5% 20.9% 1.17× 4.08
5-6 goals 10.6% 14.8% 10.4% 1.42× 6.74
7+ goals 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.28× 39.16
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims never behind 46.2% 56.5% 1.77
Grenoble never behind 32.6% 35.6% 2.81
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.2% 50.9% 49.9% 1.02× 1.97
Even number of goals 50.8% 49.2% 50.1% 0.98× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.9% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 44.1% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.5% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.5% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.1% 95.4% 93.7% 1.02× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 92.3% 92.2% 90.9% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 87.7% 87.6% 87.7% 1.00× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 73.6% 72.5% 68.7% 1.06× 1.38
Under 3.5 goals 73.5% 72.5% 73.0% 0.99× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 51.8% 52.6% 52.7% 1.00× 1.90
Over 2.5 goals 48.2% 47.4% 47.3% 1.00× 2.11
Under 1.5 goals 26.4% 27.5% 31.3% 0.88× 3.63
Over 3.5 goals 26.5% 27.5% 27.0% 1.02× 3.63
Over 4.5 goals 12.3% 12.4% 12.3% 1.01× 8.08
Under 0.5 goals 7.7% 7.8% 9.1% 0.86× 12.87
Over 5.5 goals 4.9% 4.6% 6.3% 0.73× 21.90
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.2% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 94.7% 92.4% 93.3% 0.99× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 85.7% 86.7% 85.6% 1.01× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 66.2% 67.4% 66.1% 1.02× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 64.6% 61.9% 60.2% 1.03× 1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 35.4% 38.1% 39.8% 0.96× 2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 33.8% 32.6% 33.9% 0.96× 3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 14.3% 13.3% 14.4% 0.92× 7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 5.3% 7.6% 6.7% 1.13× 13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.34× 35.87
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 90.5% 92.6% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 70.8% 71.2% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 65.8% 69.0% 1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half 34.2% 31.0% 3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half 29.2% 28.8% 3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half 9.5% 7.4% 13.46
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 80.2% 82.7% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 78.2% 79.8% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 54.8% 53.4% 1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 45.2% 46.6% 2.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 21.8% 20.2% 4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 19.8% 17.3% 5.78
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble not to score in both halves 81.6% 84.3% 1.19
Stade de Reims not to score in both halves 74.0% 73.8% 1.36
Stade de Reims to score in both halves 26.0% 26.2% 3.82
Grenoble to score in both halves 18.4% 15.7% 6.38
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 52.5% 53.9% 49.6% 1.09× 1.86
Only Stade de Reims scores 24.5% 22.3% 17.7% 1.26× 4.49
Only Grenoble scores 15.3% 16.0% 24.0% 0.67× 6.24
Neither team scores 7.7% 7.2% 9.1% 0.79× 13.91
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.4% 24.9% 21.5% 1.16× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 21.8% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 18.7% 17.4% 22.4% 0.78× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 14.2% 12.1% 14.9% 0.81× 8.27
Exactly 0 goals 7.7% 7.6% 9.1% 0.84× 13.08
Exactly 5 goals 7.4% 7.6% 6.1% 1.24× 13.08
6 or more goals 4.9% 4.5% 6.3% 0.71× 22.40
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.6% 37.1% 2.70
No goals in 1st half 34.2% 35.9% 2.78
2 goals in 1st half 19.8% 15.3% 6.53
3+ goals in 1st half 9.5% 7.4% 13.46
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 45.2% 44.6% 2.24
1 goal in 2nd half 33.0% 33.3% 3.00
No goals in 2nd half 21.8% 23.0% 4.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble not to win both halves 93.9% 94.0% 1.06
Stade de Reims not to win both halves 88.0% 87.9% 1.14
Stade de Reims to win both halves 12.0% 12.1% 8.29
Grenoble to win both halves 6.2% 6.0% 16.69
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stade de Reims to win either half 57.7% 59.5% 1.68
Grenoble to win neither half 56.7% 59.5% 1.68
Grenoble to win either half 43.3% 40.5% 2.47
Stade de Reims to win neither half 42.3% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Grenoble not to win to nil 84.7% 83.1% 76.0% 1.09× 1.20
Stade de Reims not to win to nil 75.5% 78.1% 82.3% 0.95× 1.28
Stade de Reims to win to nil 24.5% 21.9% 17.7% 1.24× 4.56
Grenoble to win to nil 15.3% 16.9% 24.0% 0.71× 5.92
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.5% 27.9% 27.8% 1.00× 3.59
Stade de Reims by 1 22.6% 24.2% 17.5% 1.38× 4.14
Grenoble by 1 17.4% 16.9% 23.5% 0.72× 5.91
Stade de Reims by 2 13.5% 11.8% 7.1% 1.67× 8.49
Stade de Reims by 3+ 8.5% 7.2% 5.5% 1.31× 13.80
Grenoble by 2 8.0% 7.2% 11.5% 0.63× 13.81
Grenoble by 3+ 3.6% 2.7% 7.8% 0.35× 36.64
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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