Hajduk Split v Slaven Belupo Koprivnica — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · CRO-HNL · 2627

CRO-HNL results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Hajduk Split

15:00 UTC

Slaven Belupo Koprivnica

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 11 Sep, 11:38 · 27h before kick-off

Hajduk Split win

73.7%

model 70.3%

Draw

18.1%

model 19.9%

Slaven Belupo Koprivnica win

8.2%

model 9.8%

74188

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (960 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.2%
2-1 9.5%
1-1 9.4%
3-0 9.0%
1-0 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.2%	Under 2.5	36.8%
BTTS yes	53.6%	BTTS no	46.4%
Hajduk Split 1+	91.0%	Hajduk Split 2+	69.4%
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica 1+	57.2%	Slaven Belupo Koprivnica 2+	20.9%

Expected goals 2.41 – 0.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Hajduk Split & over 2.5

1X2 & Over/Under · usually 28%

51.9% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 3009 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 583 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
At home Hajduk Split average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Hajduk Split have only 1 matches on record.
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Hajduk Split have an estimated 73.7% win probability, against 18.1% for the draw and 8.2% for Slaven Belupo Koprivnica. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.41 for Hajduk Split and 0.85 for Slaven Belupo Koprivnica.

Why Hajduk Split

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. At home Hajduk Split average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.1%.

Why Slaven Belupo Koprivnica can win

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Slaven Belupo Koprivnica average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Hajduk Split, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Slaven Belupo Koprivnica, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Hajduk Split: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Slaven Belupo Koprivnica: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Hajduk Split are the model's most likely outcome at 73.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.2%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	702010	2.41–0.85	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	71209	2.41–0.83	2-0 11%	63%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split to win	70.7%	73.1%	47.4%	1.54×	1.37
Draw	19.8%	19.4%	26.1%	0.74×	5.16
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to win	9.5%	8.7%	27.0%	0.32×	11.51

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split & not both score	38.1%	32.9%	26.1%	1.26×	3.04
Hajduk Split & both teams score	32.6%	29.2%	21.8%	1.34×	3.42
Draw & both teams score	14.3%	13.3%	18.5%	0.72×	7.54
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica & both teams score	6.0%	8.4%	13.3%	0.63×	11.97
Draw & not both score	5.5%	8.4%	8.1%	1.04×	11.97
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica & not both score	3.5%	4.9%	14.2%	0.35×	20.37

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split & over 1.5	62.8%	55.0%	39.3%	1.40×	1.82
Hajduk Split & over 2.5	51.4%	48.9%	28.4%	1.72×	2.05
Hajduk Split & under 3.5	37.9%	34.7%	33.2%	1.04×	2.89
Hajduk Split & over 3.5	32.8%	31.0%	14.7%	2.11×	3.22
Hajduk Split & under 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.4%	0.92×	5.57
Draw & under 2.5	14.9%	12.9%	19.4%	0.66×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	14.9%	12.9%	19.4%	0.66×	7.78
Draw & over 1.5	14.3%	12.9%	18.5%	0.70×	7.78
Hajduk Split & under 1.5	7.9%	8.0%	8.5%	0.93×	12.57
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica & over 1.5	7.8%	8.0%	24.2%	0.33×	12.57
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica & over 2.5	6.4%	8.0%	16.6%	0.48×	12.57
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica & under 3.5	6.7%	8.0%	17.1%	0.47×	12.57
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	8.0%	8.1%	0.99×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	4.9%	4.9%	7.1%	0.68×	20.57
Draw & over 3.5	4.9%	4.9%	7.1%	0.68×	20.57
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica & under 2.5	3.1%	4.9%	10.9%	0.45×	20.58
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica & over 3.5	2.8%	4.9%	10.4%	0.47×	20.58
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica & under 1.5	1.7%	4.9%	3.3%	1.46×	20.59

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split (1UP)	80.9%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (1UP)	27.4%	26.8%	—	—	3.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split (2UP)	70.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (2UP)	9.5%	9.1%	—	—	10.94

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split to win 2nd half	58.1%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
2nd half drawn	29.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to win 2nd half	12.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica under 1.5 in 2nd half	91.0%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica under 0.5 in 2nd half	60.8%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica over 0.5 in 2nd half	39.2%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.0%	8.1%	—	—	12.39

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Hajduk Split under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Hajduk Split over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
Hajduk Split under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split (+0.5)	90.5%	92.1%	73.0%	1.26×	1.09
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (+2.5)	71.6%	73.7%	90.0%	0.82×	1.36
Hajduk Split (-0.5)	70.7%	73.7%	47.4%	1.55×	1.36
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (+1.5)	50.4%	52.1%	72.5%	0.72×	1.92
Hajduk Split (-1.5)	49.6%	48.0%	27.5%	1.74×	2.09
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (+0.5)	29.3%	26.3%	52.6%	0.50×	3.80
Hajduk Split (-2.5)	28.5%	26.3%	10.0%	2.65×	3.80
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (-0.5)	9.5%	7.9%	27.0%	0.29×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to concede	91.0%	91.0%	78.2%	1.16×	1.10
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica clean sheet	9.0%	9.0%	21.8%	0.41×	11.16

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to concede in 1st half	64.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica clean sheet in 1st half	35.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to concede in 2nd half	74.6%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica clean sheet in 2nd half	25.4%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica under 3.5 goals	99.0%	97.4%	94.8%	1.03×	1.03
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica under 2.5 goals	94.8%	92.2%	87.7%	1.05×	1.08
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica under 1.5 goals	79.8%	76.1%	65.4%	1.16×	1.31
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica over 0.5 goals	56.4%	58.9%	66.4%	0.89×	1.70
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica under 0.5 goals	43.6%	41.1%	33.6%	1.22×	2.43
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica over 1.5 goals	20.2%	23.9%	34.6%	0.69×	4.19
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica over 2.5 goals	5.2%	7.8%	12.3%	0.63×	12.84
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica over 3.5 goals	1.0%	2.6%	5.2%	0.49×	38.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica under 1.5 in 1st half	95.6%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica under 0.5 in 1st half	71.7%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica over 0.5 in 1st half	28.3%	31.6%	—	—	3.17
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica over 1.5 in 1st half	4.4%	4.4%	—	—	22.93

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica scores equally in both	51.1%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica scores more in 2nd half	30.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica scores more in 1st half	18.5%	18.0%	—	—	5.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split (away no bet)	78.1%	74.2%	64.5%	1.15×	1.35
Draw (away no bet)	21.9%	25.8%	35.5%	0.73×	3.87

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica even goals	59.5%	56.9%	59.2%	0.96×	1.76
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica odd goals	40.5%	43.1%	40.8%	1.06×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.9%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.1%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.1%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.9%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	69.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Hajduk Split to score 2+ in a row	62.7%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Hajduk Split to score 3+ in a row	34.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to score 2+ in a row	12.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to score 3+ in a row	2.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.35

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	11.4%	11.4%	11.4%	1.00×	8.80
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.52
3-0	9.1%	7.4%	3.8%	1.95×	13.53
Any other score	9.8%	7.4%	4.3%	1.73×	13.52
1-1	9.4%	7.4%	11.8%	0.62×	13.52
3-1	7.6%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.53
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	8.5%	0.87×	13.53
4-0	5.5%	7.4%	2.8%	2.60×	13.53
0-0	5.5%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.53
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.68
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	57.66
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	57.67
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.66
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
4-1	4.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	57.66
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	57.67
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
0-1	1.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	57.67
0-2	1.4%	1.7%	8.1%	0.22×	57.67
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.68
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.22×	57.68
1-2	3.3%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	57.66
1-3	0.9%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	57.67

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split (2nd half DNB)	81.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (2nd half DNB)	18.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split leading at HT (DNB)	82.2%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica leading at HT (DNB)	17.8%	13.5%	—	—	7.41

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split or draw (1X)	90.5%	91.3%	73.0%	1.25×	1.10
Hajduk Split or Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (12)	80.2%	80.6%	73.9%	1.09×	1.24
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica or draw (X2)	29.3%	26.9%	52.6%	0.51×	3.72

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split or draw at HT	88.5%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Hajduk Split or Slaven Belupo Koprivnica at HT	64.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica or draw at HT	47.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split or draw (1UP)	90.5%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica or draw (1UP)	29.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split or draw in 2nd half	87.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Hajduk Split or Slaven Belupo Koprivnica in 2nd half	71.0%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica or draw in 2nd half	41.9%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	47.6%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	52.4%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split (DNB)	88.2%	87.2%	63.7%	1.37×	1.15
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (DNB)	11.8%	12.8%	36.3%	0.35×	7.81

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split to score first	70.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to score first	24.2%	23.2%	—	—	4.31
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.9%	51.6%	52.6%	0.98×	1.94
Not both teams to score	47.1%	48.4%	47.4%	1.02×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.4%	41.7%	41.2%	1.01×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	27.8%	33.3%	37.4%	0.89×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	19.3%	21.4%	10.4%	2.05×	4.68
Both score & under 2.5	9.4%	8.4%	11.8%	0.71×	11.93

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.0%	85.4%	88.2%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.0%	14.6%	11.8%	1.23×	6.87

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.0%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.5%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	5.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.88

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.5%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.8%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	36.2%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.4%	41.9%	50.2%	0.83×	2.39
4-6 goals	35.9%	34.9%	29.4%	1.19×	2.86
0-1 goals	15.1%	20.2%	19.0%	1.07×	4.95
7+ goals	4.6%	1.9%	2.4%	0.78×	53.77

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to score exactly 0	43.6%	37.2%	33.6%	1.11×	2.69
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.8%	32.2%	1.11×	2.80
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to score exactly 2	15.0%	19.5%	22.7%	0.86×	5.13
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to score 3+	5.2%	8.7%	12.3%	0.71×	11.45

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split to score 3+	43.1%	35.6%	18.0%	1.98×	2.81
Hajduk Split to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.2%	29.4%	0.89×	3.82
Hajduk Split to score exactly 1	21.7%	23.3%	31.8%	0.74×	4.28
Hajduk Split to score exactly 0	9.0%	10.5%	21.8%	0.48×	9.54

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split leading at HT	52.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Draw at HT	35.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica leading at HT	11.5%	11.7%	—	—	8.53

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split -1: 1	49.6%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Hajduk Split -1: 2	29.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
Hajduk Split -1: X	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split (0:1)	49.6%	46.0%	27.5%	1.67×	2.17
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (0:1)	29.3%	27.1%	52.6%	0.52×	3.69
Draw (0:1)	21.1%	24.4%	20.4%	1.20×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (0:2)	50.4%	57.8%	72.5%	0.80×	1.73
Hajduk Split (0:2)	28.5%	24.5%	10.0%	2.46×	4.09
Draw (0:2)	21.1%	20.0%	18.0%	1.11×	5.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (0:3)	71.6%	77.1%	90.0%	0.86×	1.30
Draw (0:3)	14.7%	10.0%	6.6%	1.51×	9.95
Hajduk Split (0:3)	13.7%	10.0%	3.8%	2.65×	9.97

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (0:4)	86.3%	91.6%	96.2%	0.95×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	8.1%	4.8%	2.8%	1.70×	20.66
Hajduk Split (0:4)	5.6%	4.8%	1.4%	3.37×	20.84

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split (1:0)	90.5%	92.2%	73.0%	1.26×	1.09
Draw (1:0)	6.2%	7.0%	8.5%	0.82×	14.34
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (1:0)	3.3%	3.5%	19.0%	0.18×	28.89

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split (2:0)	96.7%	96.5%	81.0%	1.19×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	2.5%	2.4%	12.8%	0.19×	41.42
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (2:0)	0.7%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	41.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split to concede	56.4%	60.7%	66.4%	0.91×	1.65
Hajduk Split clean sheet	43.6%	39.3%	33.6%	1.17×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split clean sheet in 1st half	71.7%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Hajduk Split to concede in 1st half	28.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split clean sheet in 2nd half	60.8%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Hajduk Split to concede in 2nd half	39.2%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split over 0.5 goals	91.0%	92.1%	78.2%	1.18×	1.09
Hajduk Split under 3.5 goals	77.8%	77.4%	91.5%	0.85×	1.29
Hajduk Split over 1.5 goals	69.3%	67.9%	46.9%	1.45×	1.47
Hajduk Split under 2.5 goals	56.9%	58.6%	82.0%	0.71×	1.71
Hajduk Split over 2.5 goals	43.1%	41.4%	18.0%	2.30×	2.41
Hajduk Split under 1.5 goals	30.7%	32.1%	53.1%	0.61×	3.11
Hajduk Split over 3.5 goals	22.2%	22.6%	8.5%	2.65×	4.43
Hajduk Split under 0.5 goals	9.0%	7.9%	21.8%	0.36×	12.69

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split under 1.5 in 1st half	72.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Hajduk Split over 0.5 in 1st half	64.5%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Hajduk Split under 0.5 in 1st half	35.5%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Hajduk Split over 1.5 in 1st half	27.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split scores more in 2nd half	44.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Hajduk Split scores more in 1st half	28.3%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
Hajduk Split scores equally in both	27.2%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	67.6%	63.3%	49.1%	1.29×	1.58
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica (home no bet)	32.4%	36.7%	50.9%	0.72×	2.73

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split even goals	50.4%	50.4%	57.8%	0.87×	1.98
Hajduk Split odd goals	49.6%	49.6%	42.2%	1.18×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	26.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 0-0	25.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 2-0	13.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
Any other HT score	9.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 0-1	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.60
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.60
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.65

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split at HT / Hajduk Split at FT	47.9%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Draw at HT / Hajduk Split at FT	19.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica at HT / Slaven Belupo Koprivnica at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Hajduk Split at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.76
Draw at HT / Slaven Belupo Koprivnica at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica at HT / Hajduk Split at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Hajduk Split at HT / Slaven Belupo Koprivnica at FT	0.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split to score last	70.6%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to score last	23.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Hajduk Split to lead by 1 at any time	80.9%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	62.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Hajduk Split to lead by 2 at any time	55.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	33.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Hajduk Split to lead by 3 at any time	31.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to lead by 1 at any time	27.4%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to lead by 2 at any time	6.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.14
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to lead by 3 at any time	1.3%	1.6%	—	—	63.11

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.6%	83.3%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.3%	83.3%	79.1%	1.05×	1.20
2-5 goals	74.0%	72.3%	76.3%	0.95×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.0%	72.3%	80.6%	0.90×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.4%	63.2%	69.7%	0.91×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.1%	59.3%	49.3%	1.20×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.0%	53.4%	61.1%	0.87×	1.87
3-5 goals	51.8%	53.4%	46.4%	1.15×	1.87
2-3 goals	44.4%	43.6%	50.2%	0.87×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.2%	43.6%	39.8%	1.09×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.9%	39.3%	29.4%	1.34×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.8%	35.3%	41.2%	0.86×	2.83
4-5 goals	29.6%	30.6%	26.5%	1.15×	3.27
5-6 goals	17.9%	18.9%	10.0%	1.89×	5.31
7+ goals	4.6%	2.6%	2.4%	1.09×	38.87

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split never behind	67.1%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica never behind	13.6%	13.1%	—	—	7.65

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.8%	51.0%	39.8%	1.28×	1.96
Even number of goals	53.2%	49.0%	60.2%	0.81×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.2%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	89.1%	87.5%	94.8%	0.92×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.9%	82.2%	81.0%	1.01×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	77.5%	77.2%	88.2%	0.88×	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	62.7%	62.0%	51.2%	1.21×	1.61
Under 3.5 goals	59.5%	58.5%	68.7%	0.85×	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	40.5%	41.5%	31.3%	1.33×	2.41
Under 2.5 goals	37.3%	38.0%	48.8%	0.78×	2.63
Over 4.5 goals	22.5%	22.8%	11.8%	1.92×	4.39
Under 1.5 goals	15.1%	17.8%	19.0%	0.94×	5.61
Over 5.5 goals	10.9%	12.5%	5.2%	2.41×	7.97
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.8%	8.1%	0.97×	12.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.1%	97.1%	97.6%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.7%	86.6%	94.4%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.6%	80.5%	73.0%	1.10×	1.24
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	72.5%	72.3%	85.3%	0.85×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.1%	52.3%	39.1%	1.34×	1.91
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.9%	47.7%	60.9%	0.78×	2.10
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	27.5%	27.7%	14.7%	1.89×	3.60
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.4%	19.5%	27.0%	0.72×	5.12
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.3%	13.4%	5.6%	2.40×	7.47
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.9%	2.9%	2.4%	1.17×	35.07

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.2%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.8%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.32

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.0%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.2%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.3%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica not to score in both halves	88.9%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Hajduk Split not to score in both halves	51.9%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Hajduk Split to score in both halves	48.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to score in both halves	11.1%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.9%	54.2%	52.6%	1.03×	1.84
Only Hajduk Split scores	38.1%	39.8%	26.1%	1.53×	2.52
Neither team scores	5.5%	7.1%	8.1%	0.88×	14.06
Only Slaven Belupo Koprivnica scores	3.5%	4.6%	14.2%	0.33×	21.62

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.4%	20.4%	1.10×	4.46
Exactly 2 goals	22.2%	22.4%	30.3%	0.74×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	18.0%	17.6%	19.9%	0.88×	5.70
Exactly 5 goals	11.6%	12.1%	7.1%	1.70×	8.30
6 or more goals	10.9%	12.0%	5.2%	2.31×	8.30
Exactly 1 goals	9.6%	7.8%	11.4%	0.68×	12.85
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.8%	8.1%	0.97×	12.86

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	34.3%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
No goals in 1st half	25.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
2 goals in 1st half	24.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
3+ goals in 1st half	15.8%	15.2%	—	—	6.58

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	27.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	16.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica not to win both halves	98.4%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Hajduk Split not to win both halves	68.8%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Hajduk Split to win both halves	31.2%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to win both halves	1.6%	2.7%	—	—	36.62

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split to win either half	79.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to win neither half	77.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to win either half	22.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Hajduk Split to win neither half	20.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica not to win to nil	96.5%	96.2%	85.8%	1.12×	1.04
Hajduk Split not to win to nil	61.9%	66.8%	73.9%	0.90×	1.50
Hajduk Split to win to nil	38.1%	33.2%	26.1%	1.27×	3.02
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica to win to nil	3.5%	3.8%	14.2%	0.27×	26.09

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hajduk Split by 3+	28.5%	27.7%	10.0%	2.78×	3.61
Hajduk Split by 1	21.1%	24.2%	20.4%	1.19×	4.14
Hajduk Split by 2	21.1%	24.2%	18.0%	1.34×	4.14
Draw	19.8%	16.9%	26.1%	0.65×	5.92
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica by 1	6.2%	7.3%	8.5%	0.85×	13.77
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica by 2	2.5%	2.8%	12.8%	0.22×	35.61
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica by 3+	0.7%	2.8%	6.6%	0.42×	35.66