Hamarkameratene v Sarpsborg FK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627

NOR-Eliteserien results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Hamarkameratene

16:00 UTC

Sarpsborg FK

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 317h before kick-off

Hamarkameratene win

36.6%

model 36.2%

Draw

26.7%

model 26.9%

Sarpsborg FK win

36.7%

model 36.9%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.8%
1-2 8.4%
2-1 8.3%
0-1 8.0%
1-0 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.2%	Under 2.5	47.8%
BTTS yes	56.8%	BTTS no	43.2%
Hamarkameratene 1+	74.7%	Hamarkameratene 2+	39.9%
Sarpsborg FK 1+	75.1%	Sarpsborg FK 2+	40.5%

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.39. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Sarpsborg FK (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 51%

63.8% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sarpsborg FK (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 72%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Sarpsborg FK carry the stronger rating, 1518 Elo against 1484.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sarpsborg FK have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Hamarkameratene and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.37 for Hamarkameratene and 1.39 for Sarpsborg FK.

Why Hamarkameratene

Nothing in the data singles out Hamarkameratene.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.37 to 1.39. Draws run at 20% in this competition.

Why Sarpsborg FK can win

Sarpsborg FK carry the stronger rating, 1518 Elo against 1484.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Hamarkameratene, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sarpsborg FK, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Hamarkameratene: 54% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sarpsborg FK: 46% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 16.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Sarpsborg FK are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	362737	1.37–1.39	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322741	1.23–1.44	1-1 13%	50%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to win	41.2%	42.9%	31.3%	1.37×	2.33
Hamarkameratene to win	31.5%	30.4%	49.0%	0.62×	3.29
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	19.9%	1.40×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK & not both score	21.6%	21.8%	14.8%	1.48×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	15.0%	1.20×	5.56
Sarpsborg FK & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Hamarkameratene & not both score	16.0%	18.0%	24.1%	0.75×	5.57
Hamarkameratene & both teams score	15.5%	18.0%	25.1%	0.72×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.6%	8.3%	5.2%	1.61×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK & over 1.5	32.0%	30.7%	26.4%	1.16×	3.25
Sarpsborg FK & under 3.5	28.7%	26.1%	19.4%	1.34×	3.84
Sarpsborg FK & over 2.5	24.8%	21.6%	21.5%	1.01×	4.63
Hamarkameratene & over 1.5	23.7%	21.6%	41.2%	0.52×	4.63
Hamarkameratene & under 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	28.0%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.6%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.6%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	15.0%	1.20×	5.55
Hamarkameratene & over 2.5	18.5%	18.0%	34.7%	0.52×	5.55
Sarpsborg FK & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	10.1%	1.78×	5.56
Hamarkameratene & under 2.5	13.0%	12.8%	14.5%	0.88×	7.79
Sarpsborg FK & over 3.5	12.5%	12.8%	12.2%	1.05×	7.79
Hamarkameratene & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	21.2%	0.37×	12.63
Sarpsborg FK & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	5.2%	1.53×	12.63
Hamarkameratene & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	8.0%	0.99×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	5.2%	1.53×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	5.7%	1.39×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	5.7%	1.39×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (1UP)	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Hamarkameratene (1UP)	49.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (2UP)	41.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Hamarkameratene (2UP)	31.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to win 2nd half	36.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	36.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Hamarkameratene to win 2nd half	27.3%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Sarpsborg FK over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Sarpsborg FK under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Sarpsborg FK over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.4%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Hamarkameratene over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Hamarkameratene under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Hamarkameratene over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (+2.5)	95.5%	96.3%	85.5%	1.13×	1.04
Sarpsborg FK (+1.5)	86.4%	88.5%	72.0%	1.23×	1.13
Sarpsborg FK (+0.5)	68.5%	68.7%	51.0%	1.35×	1.46
Hamarkameratene (+0.5)	58.8%	57.1%	68.7%	0.83×	1.75
Sarpsborg FK (-0.5)	41.2%	42.9%	31.3%	1.37×	2.33
Hamarkameratene (-0.5)	31.5%	31.3%	49.0%	0.64×	3.19
Hamarkameratene (-1.5)	13.6%	11.5%	28.0%	0.41×	8.66
Hamarkameratene (-2.5)	4.5%	3.7%	14.5%	0.25×	27.05

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to concede	70.8%	76.6%	80.3%	0.95×	1.31
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet	29.2%	23.4%	19.7%	1.19×	4.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet in 1st half	58.9%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Sarpsborg FK to concede in 1st half	41.1%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to concede in 2nd half	50.4%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet in 2nd half	49.6%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK over 2.5 corners	82.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Sarpsborg FK under 6.5 corners	71.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Sarpsborg FK over 3.5 corners	68.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Sarpsborg FK under 5.5 corners	59.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Sarpsborg FK over 4.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Sarpsborg FK under 4.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sarpsborg FK over 5.5 corners	40.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Sarpsborg FK under 3.5 corners	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Sarpsborg FK over 6.5 corners	28.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Sarpsborg FK under 2.5 corners	17.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK under 3.5 goals	94.2%	92.4%	93.5%	0.99×	1.08
Sarpsborg FK under 2.5 goals	82.4%	81.5%	82.6%	0.99×	1.23
Sarpsborg FK over 0.5 goals	76.3%	76.2%	71.0%	1.07×	1.31
Sarpsborg FK under 1.5 goals	57.8%	59.4%	63.0%	0.94×	1.68
Sarpsborg FK over 1.5 goals	42.2%	40.6%	37.0%	1.10×	2.47
Sarpsborg FK under 0.5 goals	23.7%	23.8%	29.0%	0.82×	4.21
Sarpsborg FK over 2.5 goals	17.6%	18.5%	17.4%	1.07×	5.41
Sarpsborg FK over 3.5 goals	5.8%	7.6%	6.5%	1.18×	13.09

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Sarpsborg FK under 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Sarpsborg FK over 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Sarpsborg FK over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK scores more in 2nd half	40.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Sarpsborg FK scores equally in both	37.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Sarpsborg FK scores more in 1st half	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene (away no bet)	53.6%	51.7%	71.1%	0.73×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.4%	48.3%	28.9%	1.67×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK even goals	52.8%	52.6%	52.9%	1.00×	1.90
Sarpsborg FK odd goals	47.2%	47.4%	47.2%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.9%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.19

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.5%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Sarpsborg FK to score 2+ in a row	34.0%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Hamarkameratene to score 2+ in a row	26.5%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.6%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Sarpsborg FK to score 3+ in a row	11.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Hamarkameratene to score 3+ in a row	7.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.17

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene corners (+3.5)	82.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Sarpsborg FK corners (+3.5)	78.8%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Hamarkameratene corners (+2.5)	75.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Sarpsborg FK corners (+2.5)	71.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Hamarkameratene corners (+1.5)	67.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Sarpsborg FK corners (+1.5)	62.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Hamarkameratene corners (-1.5)	37.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Sarpsborg FK corners (-1.5)	32.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Hamarkameratene corners (-2.5)	28.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sarpsborg FK corners (-2.5)	24.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Hamarkameratene corners (-3.5)	21.2%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Sarpsborg FK corners (-3.5)	17.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	28.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	67.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	47.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	33.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	30.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	23.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.71
0-1	9.2%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	6.2%	1.19×	13.51
0-0	7.6%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-2	7.2%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
1-0	7.8%	7.4%	8.0%	0.92×	13.51
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.51
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	4.4%	1.68×	13.51
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
0-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.31×	58.31
1-3	4.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
1-4	1.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.32×	58.31
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.31
3-1	3.1%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.30
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.31
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.65×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.31×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.32
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.31
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.32×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.31×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.31×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	7.3%	0.24×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (2nd half DNB)	57.3%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Hamarkameratene (2nd half DNB)	42.7%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK leading at HT (DNB)	52.8%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Hamarkameratene leading at HT (DNB)	47.2%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene or Sarpsborg FK (12)	72.7%	72.1%	80.1%	0.90×	1.39
Sarpsborg FK or draw (X2)	68.5%	69.6%	51.0%	1.36×	1.44
Hamarkameratene or draw (1X)	58.8%	57.1%	68.7%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK or draw at HT	73.7%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Hamarkameratene or draw at HT	70.6%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Hamarkameratene or Sarpsborg FK at HT	55.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK or draw (1UP)	68.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Hamarkameratene or draw (1UP)	58.8%	63.1%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK or draw in 2nd half	72.7%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Hamarkameratene or Sarpsborg FK in 2nd half	63.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Hamarkameratene or draw in 2nd half	63.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (DNB)	56.7%	58.1%	39.0%	1.49×	1.72
Hamarkameratene (DNB)	43.3%	41.9%	61.0%	0.69×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to score first	49.8%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Hamarkameratene to score first	42.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.8%	51.3%	56.5%	0.91×	1.95
Not both teams to score	45.2%	48.7%	43.5%	1.12×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.8%	41.6%	47.2%	0.88×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.1%	38.4%	29.3%	1.31×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.4%	9.6%	1.29×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.3%	14.5%	0.57×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.3%	85.6%	83.4%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.7%	14.4%	16.6%	0.87×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.6%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.4%	26.4%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.7%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	24.2%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	5.3%	6.7%	—	—	14.84

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	16.6%	—	—	6.02

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.3%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	46.7%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.2%	43.8%	1.08×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.0%	26.6%	35.5%	0.75×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.7%	22.9%	17.9%	1.28×	4.36
7+ goals	2.0%	1.8%	3.4%	0.55×	54.37

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	34.2%	0.99×	2.96
Sarpsborg FK to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.3%	19.9%	1.12×	4.49
Sarpsborg FK to score exactly 0	23.7%	22.3%	29.0%	0.77×	4.49
Sarpsborg FK to score 3+	17.6%	19.5%	17.4%	1.13×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.5%	28.2%	1.26×	2.81
Hamarkameratene to score exactly 0	29.2%	26.6%	19.7%	1.35×	3.77
Hamarkameratene to score exactly 2	22.1%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.29
Hamarkameratene to score 3+	12.7%	14.3%	26.7%	0.54×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Sarpsborg FK leading at HT	29.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Hamarkameratene leading at HT	26.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK -1: 1	58.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Sarpsborg FK -1: X	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Sarpsborg FK -1: 2	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (0:1)	68.5%	65.3%	51.0%	1.28×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	17.9%	17.8%	21.2%	0.84×	5.61
Hamarkameratene (0:1)	13.6%	13.7%	28.0%	0.49×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (0:2)	86.4%	87.1%	72.0%	1.21×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.1%	7.7%	13.7%	0.56×	13.04
Hamarkameratene (0:2)	4.5%	3.8%	14.5%	0.26×	26.64

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (0:3)	95.5%	96.6%	85.5%	1.13×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	7.0%	0.34×	41.99
Hamarkameratene (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	7.8%	0.31×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	92.2%	1.06×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	4.7%	0.26×	81.80
Hamarkameratene (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	3.4%	0.36×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene (1:0)	58.8%	58.4%	68.7%	0.85×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	21.7%	14.8%	1.47×	4.61
Sarpsborg FK (1:0)	20.1%	21.7%	16.8%	1.29×	4.62

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene (2:0)	79.9%	80.5%	83.2%	0.97×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.5%	10.3%	9.1%	1.14×	9.72
Sarpsborg FK (2:0)	7.6%	6.4%	8.0%	0.80×	15.65

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.4%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene to concede	76.3%	76.0%	71.0%	1.07×	1.32
Hamarkameratene clean sheet	23.7%	24.0%	29.0%	0.83×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene clean sheet in 1st half	56.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Hamarkameratene to concede in 1st half	43.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene to concede in 2nd half	57.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Hamarkameratene clean sheet in 2nd half	42.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene over 2.5 corners	84.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Hamarkameratene over 3.5 corners	71.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Hamarkameratene under 6.5 corners	67.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Hamarkameratene over 4.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Hamarkameratene under 5.5 corners	55.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Hamarkameratene over 5.5 corners	44.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Hamarkameratene under 4.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Hamarkameratene over 6.5 corners	32.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Hamarkameratene under 3.5 corners	28.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Hamarkameratene under 2.5 corners	15.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene under 3.5 goals	96.3%	96.4%	87.6%	1.10×	1.04
Hamarkameratene under 2.5 goals	87.3%	87.3%	73.3%	1.19×	1.15
Hamarkameratene over 0.5 goals	70.8%	74.2%	80.3%	0.92×	1.35
Hamarkameratene under 1.5 goals	65.1%	67.9%	47.7%	1.42×	1.47
Hamarkameratene over 1.5 goals	34.9%	32.1%	52.3%	0.61×	3.12
Hamarkameratene under 0.5 goals	29.2%	25.8%	19.7%	1.31×	3.88
Hamarkameratene over 2.5 goals	12.7%	12.7%	26.7%	0.48×	7.85
Hamarkameratene over 3.5 goals	3.7%	3.6%	12.4%	0.29×	27.53

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene under 1.5 in 1st half	90.1%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Hamarkameratene under 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Hamarkameratene over 0.5 in 1st half	41.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Hamarkameratene over 1.5 in 1st half	9.9%	5.4%	—	—	18.41

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene scores equally in both	41.1%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Hamarkameratene scores more in 2nd half	34.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Hamarkameratene scores more in 1st half	24.0%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK (home no bet)	60.2%	60.0%	61.1%	0.98×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	39.8%	40.0%	38.9%	1.03×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene even goals	54.3%	50.8%	53.9%	0.94×	1.97
Hamarkameratene odd goals	45.7%	49.2%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 0-1	19.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	5.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-0	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK at HT / Sarpsborg FK at FT	22.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Hamarkameratene at HT / Hamarkameratene at FT	18.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Sarpsborg FK at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Hamarkameratene at FT	11.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Hamarkameratene at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Sarpsborg FK at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Hamarkameratene at HT / Sarpsborg FK at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Sarpsborg FK at HT / Hamarkameratene at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to score last	49.8%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Hamarkameratene to score last	42.5%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.4%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Sarpsborg FK to lead by 1 at any time	57.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Hamarkameratene to lead by 1 at any time	49.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Sarpsborg FK to lead by 2 at any time	26.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Hamarkameratene to lead by 2 at any time	19.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Sarpsborg FK to lead by 3 at any time	9.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.94
Hamarkameratene to lead by 3 at any time	6.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.11

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene most corners	47.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Sarpsborg FK most corners	42.1%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.7%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.4%	72.3%	79.0%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.9%	68.8%	74.4%	0.93×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.4%	63.3%	56.5%	1.12×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.0%	48.4%	58.3%	0.83×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.4%	43.8%	1.11×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.5%	43.6%	53.6%	0.81×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.4%	43.6%	33.7%	1.29×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.7%	39.2%	39.6%	0.99×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.0%	30.2%	35.5%	0.85×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.5%	24.5%	30.8%	0.79×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.3%	14.8%	18.9%	0.78×	6.76
7+ goals	2.0%	2.6%	3.4%	0.76×	39.18

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK never behind	43.3%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Hamarkameratene never behind	34.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.3%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.7%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.7%	87.6%	78.0%	1.12×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.3%	77.3%	82.1%	0.94×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	72.0%	72.5%	61.4%	1.18×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.1%	52.5%	38.6%	1.36×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.9%	47.5%	61.4%	0.77×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	28.0%	27.5%	38.6%	0.71×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.7%	22.7%	17.9%	1.27×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	13.3%	12.4%	22.0%	0.56×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	5.2%	1.49×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	8.0%	0.96×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.2%	96.5%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.1%	92.4%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.4%	81.1%	73.6%	1.10×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.0%	67.5%	77.5%	0.87×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.2%	61.9%	50.0%	1.24×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.8%	38.1%	50.0%	0.76×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.0%	32.5%	22.5%	1.44×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.6%	18.9%	26.4%	0.72×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.9%	7.6%	9.3%	0.81×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.8%	3.5%	0.79×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.8%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.2%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.8%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene not to score in both halves	79.3%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Sarpsborg FK not to score in both halves	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Sarpsborg FK to score in both halves	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Hamarkameratene to score in both halves	20.7%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.8%	53.8%	56.5%	0.95×	1.86
Only Sarpsborg FK scores	21.6%	22.2%	14.8%	1.51×	4.50
Only Hamarkameratene scores	16.0%	16.0%	24.1%	0.67×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.6%	7.1%	5.2%	1.38×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.4%	24.9%	21.0%	1.18×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	23.1%	0.98×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.0%	17.5%	13.0%	1.35×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.7%	12.1%	16.8%	0.72×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.6%	7.6%	5.2%	1.47×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.8%	7.6%	14.2%	0.53×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.4%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	33.2%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.4%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	10.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.7%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.2%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.1%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene not to win both halves	92.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Sarpsborg FK not to win both halves	89.1%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Sarpsborg FK to win both halves	10.9%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Hamarkameratene to win both halves	7.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarpsborg FK to win either half	55.2%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Hamarkameratene to win neither half	53.7%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Hamarkameratene to win either half	46.3%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Sarpsborg FK to win neither half	44.8%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hamarkameratene not to win to nil	84.0%	83.1%	75.9%	1.09×	1.20
Sarpsborg FK not to win to nil	78.4%	78.1%	85.2%	0.92×	1.28
Sarpsborg FK to win to nil	21.6%	21.9%	14.8%	1.48×	4.58
Hamarkameratene to win to nil	16.0%	16.9%	24.1%	0.70×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	19.9%	1.40×	3.59
Sarpsborg FK by 1	21.1%	24.1%	14.8%	1.63×	4.15
Hamarkameratene by 1	17.9%	17.0%	21.2%	0.80×	5.87
Sarpsborg FK by 2	12.5%	11.8%	9.1%	1.30×	8.51
Hamarkameratene by 2	9.1%	7.2%	13.7%	0.52×	13.90
Sarpsborg FK by 3+	7.6%	7.2%	8.0%	0.90×	13.91
Hamarkameratene by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	14.5%	0.19×	36.83