Heart of Midlothian v Celtic — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Heart of Midlothian

15:00 UTC

Celtic

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 772h before kick-off

Heart of Midlothian win

27.7%

model 29.1%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.8%

Celtic win

49.2%

model 48.0%

282349

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.3%
1-2 9.4%
0-1 7.9%
2-1 7.1%
0-2 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.7%	Under 2.5	39.3%
BTTS yes	61.6%	BTTS no	38.4%
Heart of Midlothian 1+	74.1%	Heart of Midlothian 2+	39.0%
Celtic 1+	83.3%	Celtic 2+	53.4%

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.79. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Celtic or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 54%

72.6% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both teams to score 2+

GG/NG 2+ · usually 84%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 264 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1695.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Celtic have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.7% for Heart of Midlothian and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.35 for Heart of Midlothian and 1.79 for Celtic.

Why Heart of Midlothian

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Celtic can win

Celtic carry the stronger rating, 1772 Elo against 1695. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Heart of Midlothian, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Celtic, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Heart of Midlothian: 34% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Celtic: 62% possession, 22.4 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Celtic are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	292348	1.35–1.79	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	332443	1.33–1.56	1-1 11%	55%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win	42.9%	42.9%	31.0%	1.39×	2.33
Heart of Midlothian to win	32.7%	30.4%	45.9%	0.66×	3.29
Draw	24.4%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & both teams score	21.9%	21.8%	16.3%	1.33×	4.59
Celtic & not both score	21.0%	21.8%	14.9%	1.46×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Heart of Midlothian & both teams score	17.1%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.57
Heart of Midlothian & not both score	15.6%	18.0%	27.5%	0.65×	5.57
Draw & not both score	5.4%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic & over 1.5	34.1%	30.8%	24.4%	1.26×	3.25
Celtic & under 3.5	28.0%	26.1%	22.5%	1.16×	3.84
Celtic & over 2.5	27.4%	26.1%	20.5%	1.27×	3.84
Heart of Midlothian & over 1.5	25.2%	26.1%	36.6%	0.71×	3.84
Heart of Midlothian & under 3.5	22.3%	21.6%	30.2%	0.72×	4.63
Heart of Midlothian & over 2.5	20.3%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.55
Draw & under 2.5	16.8%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.8%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Celtic & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	10.7%	1.68×	5.56
Celtic & over 3.5	14.9%	12.8%	8.7%	1.48×	7.79
Heart of Midlothian & under 2.5	12.5%	12.8%	18.0%	0.71×	7.79
Heart of Midlothian & over 3.5	10.4%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Celtic & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Heart of Midlothian & under 1.5	7.5%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (1UP)	59.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Heart of Midlothian (1UP)	51.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2UP)	42.9%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Heart of Midlothian (2UP)	32.7%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win 2nd half	38.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
2nd half drawn	33.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Heart of Midlothian to win 2nd half	28.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Celtic over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.8%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Celtic under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.2%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Celtic over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.3%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (+2.5)	95.0%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Celtic (+1.5)	85.6%	88.5%	73.6%	1.20×	1.13
Celtic (+0.5)	67.3%	68.7%	54.1%	1.27×	1.46
Heart of Midlothian (+0.5)	57.1%	57.0%	69.0%	0.83×	1.75
Celtic (-0.5)	42.9%	43.0%	31.0%	1.39×	2.33
Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)	32.7%	31.3%	45.9%	0.68×	3.19
Heart of Midlothian (-1.5)	14.4%	11.5%	26.4%	0.44×	8.66
Heart of Midlothian (-2.5)	5.0%	7.9%	12.2%	0.64×	12.72

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to concede	73.6%	76.7%	79.5%	0.96×	1.30
Celtic clean sheet	26.4%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.29

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic clean sheet in 1st half	56.4%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Celtic to concede in 1st half	43.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to concede in 2nd half	53.2%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Celtic clean sheet in 2nd half	46.8%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic over 2.5 corners	86.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Celtic over 3.5 corners	74.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Celtic under 6.5 corners	68.3%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Celtic over 4.5 corners	59.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Celtic under 5.5 corners	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Celtic over 5.5 corners	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Celtic under 4.5 corners	40.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Celtic over 6.5 corners	31.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Celtic under 3.5 corners	25.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Celtic under 2.5 corners	13.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.4%	96.3%	0.96×	1.08
Celtic under 2.5 goals	79.4%	76.3%	85.5%	0.89×	1.31
Celtic over 0.5 goals	79.0%	76.3%	66.9%	1.14×	1.31
Celtic under 1.5 goals	53.8%	53.5%	63.2%	0.85×	1.87
Celtic over 1.5 goals	46.2%	46.5%	36.8%	1.26×	2.15
Celtic under 0.5 goals	21.0%	23.7%	33.1%	0.72×	4.21
Celtic over 2.5 goals	20.6%	23.7%	14.5%	1.64×	4.21
Celtic over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	3.7%	2.06×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic under 1.5 in 1st half	87.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Celtic under 0.5 in 1st half	53.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Celtic over 0.5 in 1st half	46.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Celtic over 1.5 in 1st half	13.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic scores more in 2nd half	41.4%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Celtic scores equally in both	35.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Celtic scores more in 1st half	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (away no bet)	57.3%	57.3%	66.3%	0.87×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.7%	42.7%	33.7%	1.26×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic even goals	52.2%	52.6%	57.6%	0.91×	1.90
Celtic odd goals	47.8%	47.4%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.0%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Celtic to score 2+ in a row	37.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Heart of Midlothian to score 2+ in a row	29.0%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Celtic to score 3+ in a row	13.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ in a row	8.6%	5.5%	—	—	18.09

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic corners (+3.5)	86.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Celtic corners (+2.5)	79.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Heart of Midlothian corners (+3.5)	78.9%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Celtic corners (+1.5)	71.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Heart of Midlothian corners (+2.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Heart of Midlothian corners (+1.5)	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Celtic corners (-1.5)	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Celtic corners (-2.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Heart of Midlothian corners (-1.5)	29.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Celtic corners (-3.5)	21.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Heart of Midlothian corners (-2.5)	20.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Heart of Midlothian corners (-3.5)	13.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	33.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	66.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	33.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	26.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	23.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.4%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.72
0-1	8.8%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
0-2	6.8%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
1-0	7.5%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.51
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-0	5.4%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-0	4.9%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.29
0-3	3.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.30
0-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.31
1-3	4.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.29
1-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.31
3-0	2.2%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.31
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.30
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.32
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	3.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (2nd half DNB)	57.5%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Heart of Midlothian (2nd half DNB)	42.5%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic leading at HT (DNB)	52.8%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT (DNB)	47.2%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or Celtic (12)	75.6%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Celtic or draw (X2)	67.3%	69.6%	54.1%	1.29×	1.44
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1X)	57.1%	57.1%	69.0%	0.83×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw at HT	72.6%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Heart of Midlothian or draw at HT	69.4%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Heart of Midlothian or Celtic at HT	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw (1UP)	67.3%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1UP)	57.1%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic or draw in 2nd half	71.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Heart of Midlothian or Celtic in 2nd half	66.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Heart of Midlothian or draw in 2nd half	62.0%	63.5%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.2%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (DNB)	56.7%	58.1%	40.3%	1.44×	1.72
Heart of Midlothian (DNB)	43.3%	41.9%	59.7%	0.70×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score first	51.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Heart of Midlothian to score first	43.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	5.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.0%	55.0%	52.3%	1.05×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.0%	45.0%	47.7%	0.94×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.6%	44.3%	43.2%	1.03×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	33.4%	34.6%	34.1%	1.01×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	11.4%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.2%	82.6%	83.9%	0.99×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	17.8%	17.4%	16.1%	1.08×	5.76

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.7%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.3%	32.7%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Both score 2nd half only	25.7%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Both score 1st half only	13.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.8%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.2%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.9%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	43.1%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.4%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.0%	30.7%	31.2%	0.98×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.7%	22.9%	21.7%	1.06×	4.36
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.28

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score exactly 1	32.8%	33.8%	30.4%	1.11×	2.96
Celtic to score exactly 2	25.6%	27.4%	22.5%	1.22×	3.65
Celtic to score exactly 0	21.0%	22.3%	33.1%	0.67×	4.49
Celtic to score 3+	20.6%	22.3%	14.5%	1.54×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 1	35.2%	35.5%	31.2%	1.14×	2.81
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 0	26.4%	26.6%	20.5%	1.30×	3.77
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 2	23.4%	23.3%	25.0%	0.93×	4.29
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+	15.0%	18.8%	23.8%	0.79×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Celtic leading at HT	30.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT	27.4%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic -1: 1	57.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Celtic -1: X	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Celtic -1: 2	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:1)	67.3%	65.2%	54.1%	1.21×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.4%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.61
Heart of Midlothian (0:1)	14.4%	13.7%	26.4%	0.52×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:2)	85.6%	87.1%	73.6%	1.18×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.3%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.04
Heart of Midlothian (0:2)	5.0%	7.6%	12.2%	0.63×	13.08

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:3)	95.0%	92.7%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.6%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	41.98
Heart of Midlothian (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.85
Heart of Midlothian (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.93

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (1:0)	57.1%	58.3%	69.0%	0.84×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	21.5%	21.7%	17.8%	1.22×	4.61
Celtic (1:0)	21.4%	21.7%	13.4%	1.61×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2:0)	78.6%	80.5%	86.6%	0.93×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.8%	10.3%	7.6%	1.35×	9.71
Celtic (2:0)	8.6%	6.4%	6.0%	1.07×	15.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	23.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to concede	79.0%	76.1%	66.9%	1.14×	1.31
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet	21.0%	23.9%	33.1%	0.72×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 1st half	53.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 1st half	46.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 2nd half	60.8%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 2nd half	39.2%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 corners	82.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Heart of Midlothian under 6.5 corners	75.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 corners	67.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Heart of Midlothian under 5.5 corners	63.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Heart of Midlothian over 4.5 corners	51.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Heart of Midlothian under 4.5 corners	48.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Heart of Midlothian over 5.5 corners	36.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 corners	32.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Heart of Midlothian over 6.5 corners	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 corners	17.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 goals	95.4%	96.4%	92.1%	1.05×	1.04
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals	85.0%	82.2%	76.2%	1.08×	1.22
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals	73.6%	74.2%	79.5%	0.93×	1.35
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 goals	61.6%	63.6%	51.4%	1.24×	1.57
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 goals	38.4%	36.4%	48.6%	0.75×	2.75
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 goals	26.4%	25.8%	20.5%	1.26×	3.88
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 goals	15.0%	17.8%	23.8%	0.75×	5.62
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 goals	4.6%	3.6%	7.9%	0.46×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 1st half	88.7%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 1st half	56.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 1st half	43.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 1st half	11.3%	9.9%	—	—	10.14

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian scores equally in both	39.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 2nd half	36.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 1st half	24.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic (home no bet)	63.8%	60.1%	57.0%	1.05×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	36.2%	40.0%	43.0%	0.93×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian even goals	53.5%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Heart of Midlothian odd goals	46.5%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
HT 0-1	18.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-0	17.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-0	5.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.10
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 1-2	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.22
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic at HT / Celtic at FT	23.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Celtic at FT	16.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	11.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Celtic at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Celtic at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Celtic at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to score last	51.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Heart of Midlothian to score last	43.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	5.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Celtic to lead by 1 at any time	59.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 1 at any time	51.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Celtic to lead by 2 at any time	28.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 2 at any time	20.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Celtic to lead by 3 at any time	10.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.46
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 3 at any time	6.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic most corners	50.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Heart of Midlothian most corners	39.0%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.3%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.9%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.4%	78.7%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.9%	72.3%	71.1%	1.02×	1.38
1-3 goals	61.7%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.4%	53.2%	55.2%	0.96×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.9%	48.4%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.4%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.4%	39.2%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	42.4%	0.93×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.0%	35.2%	31.2%	1.13×	2.84
4-5 goals	25.5%	30.2%	25.6%	1.18×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.9%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.75
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic never behind	43.6%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Heart of Midlothian never behind	34.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.3%	82.3%	85.3%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.3%	77.3%	78.3%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.1%	66.3%	67.1%	0.99×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.2%	58.6%	56.8%	1.03×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.8%	41.4%	43.2%	0.96×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	32.9%	33.7%	32.9%	1.03×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.7%	22.7%	21.7%	1.05×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	16.7%	17.7%	14.7%	1.21×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.0%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.9%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.1%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.8%	72.4%	72.4%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.7%	55.8%	56.8%	0.98×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.3%	44.2%	43.2%	1.02×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.2%	27.6%	27.6%	1.00×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.9%	18.9%	17.9%	1.06×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.1%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.0%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.0%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian not to score in both halves	76.8%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Celtic not to score in both halves	71.8%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Celtic to score in both halves	28.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Heart of Midlothian to score in both halves	23.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.0%	58.6%	52.3%	1.12×	1.71
Only Celtic scores	21.0%	22.2%	14.9%	1.49×	4.50
Only Heart of Midlothian scores	15.6%	16.0%	27.5%	0.58×	6.24
Neither team scores	5.4%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.1%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.3%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	16.2%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.4%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.3%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	30.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.6%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	12.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.22

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.5%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian not to win both halves	92.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Celtic not to win both halves	88.4%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Celtic to win both halves	11.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Heart of Midlothian to win both halves	7.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Celtic to win either half	57.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Heart of Midlothian to win neither half	52.1%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Heart of Midlothian to win either half	47.9%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Celtic to win neither half	43.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian not to win to nil	84.4%	83.1%	72.5%	1.15×	1.20
Celtic not to win to nil	79.0%	78.1%	85.1%	0.92×	1.28
Celtic to win to nil	21.0%	21.9%	14.9%	1.47×	4.58
Heart of Midlothian to win to nil	15.6%	16.9%	27.5%	0.62×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.4%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
Celtic by 1	21.5%	24.1%	17.8%	1.36×	4.15
Heart of Midlothian by 1	18.4%	17.1%	19.6%	0.87×	5.87
Celtic by 2	12.8%	11.8%	7.6%	1.54×	8.50
Heart of Midlothian by 2	9.3%	7.2%	14.5%	0.50×	13.90
Celtic by 3+	8.6%	7.2%	6.0%	1.20×	13.90
Heart of Midlothian by 3+	5.0%	7.2%	12.2%	0.59×	13.92