Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Heart of Midlothian

15:00 UTC

Falkirk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 292h before kick-off

Heart of Midlothian win

73.0%

model 72.2%

Draw

17.3%

model 17.6%

Falkirk win

9.7%

model 10.2%

731710

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 13.7%
1-0 12.7%
3-0 10.0%
2-1 9.2%
1-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	54.4%	Under 2.5	45.6%
BTTS yes	43.4%	BTTS no	56.6%
Heart of Midlothian 1+	88.7%	Heart of Midlothian 2+	64.1%
Falkirk 1+	49.0%	Falkirk 2+	14.6%

Expected goals 2.18 – 0.67. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

86/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

73.2% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 1214 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Heart of Midlothian (away no bet)

Away no bet · usually 66%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 106 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1436.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Heart of Midlothian have an estimated 73.0% win probability, against 17.3% for the draw and 9.7% for Falkirk. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.18 for Heart of Midlothian and 0.67 for Falkirk.

Why Heart of Midlothian

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.3%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Falkirk can win

Nothing in the data singles out Falkirk.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Heart of Midlothian, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Heart of Midlothian: 34% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Heart of Midlothian are the model's most likely outcome at 73.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 13.7%. Confidence 86/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	721810	2.18–0.67	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	721810	2.13–0.65	2-0 14%	52%	42%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win	71.8%	73.7%	45.9%	1.61×	1.36
Draw	18.1%	19.4%	23.3%	0.83×	5.16
Falkirk to win	10.1%	13.4%	31.0%	0.43×	7.47

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & not both score	46.3%	43.0%	27.5%	1.56×	2.33
Heart of Midlothian & both teams score	25.6%	25.2%	18.6%	1.35×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	11.9%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.2%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.01
Falkirk & not both score	5.8%	8.3%	14.9%	0.56×	12.01
Falkirk & both teams score	4.3%	4.9%	16.3%	0.30×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & over 1.5	58.4%	54.9%	36.6%	1.50×	1.82
Heart of Midlothian & under 3.5	46.7%	45.0%	30.2%	1.49×	2.22
Heart of Midlothian & over 2.5	44.3%	40.3%	28.1%	1.43×	2.48
Heart of Midlothian & under 2.5	27.5%	26.1%	18.0%	1.45×	3.84
Heart of Midlothian & over 3.5	25.1%	26.1%	15.9%	1.64×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	14.9%	0.86×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.6%	12.8%	14.9%	0.86×	7.79
Heart of Midlothian & under 1.5	13.4%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Draw & over 1.5	11.9%	12.8%	17.8%	0.72×	7.79
Falkirk & under 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	22.5%	0.35×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Falkirk & over 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	24.4%	0.32×	12.63
Falkirk & under 2.5	5.5%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Falkirk & over 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	20.5%	0.23×	20.81
Falkirk & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.82
Draw & over 2.5	3.4%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	3.4%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.82
Falkirk & over 3.5	1.6%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (1UP)	79.9%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Falkirk (1UP)	24.3%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2UP)	71.8%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Falkirk (2UP)	10.1%	13.5%	—	—	7.38

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win 2nd half	57.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
2nd half drawn	30.8%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Falkirk to win 2nd half	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 2nd half	94.2%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Falkirk under 0.5 in 2nd half	67.9%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Falkirk over 0.5 in 2nd half	32.1%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
Falkirk over 1.5 in 2nd half	5.8%	8.0%	—	—	12.46

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.2%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 2nd half	65.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 2nd half	34.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (+0.5)	89.9%	88.5%	69.0%	1.28×	1.13
Falkirk (+2.5)	74.9%	73.7%	87.8%	0.84×	1.36
Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)	71.8%	73.7%	45.9%	1.61×	1.36
Falkirk (+1.5)	53.1%	52.4%	73.6%	0.71×	1.91
Heart of Midlothian (-1.5)	46.9%	47.6%	26.4%	1.80×	2.10
Falkirk (+0.5)	28.2%	26.3%	54.1%	0.49×	3.80
Heart of Midlothian (-2.5)	25.1%	26.3%	12.2%	2.16×	3.80
Falkirk (-0.5)	10.1%	11.5%	31.0%	0.37×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	88.1%	86.3%	79.5%	1.08×	1.16
Falkirk clean sheet	11.9%	13.7%	20.5%	0.67×	7.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	59.9%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	40.1%	43.4%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede in 2nd half	70.2%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Falkirk clean sheet in 2nd half	29.8%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	87.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	78.3%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	70.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	65.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	52.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	35.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	29.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	21.7%	23.9%	—	—	4.18
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	12.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	99.6%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	97.2%	97.5%	85.5%	1.14×	1.03
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	86.3%	87.8%	63.2%	1.39×	1.14
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	52.4%	53.5%	33.1%	1.62×	1.87
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	47.6%	46.5%	66.9%	0.69×	2.15
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	13.7%	12.2%	36.8%	0.33×	8.20
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	2.8%	2.5%	14.5%	0.17×	39.83
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	0.4%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	97.2%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	77.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	22.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	2.8%	3.8%	—	—	26.42

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk scores equally in both	57.8%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Falkirk scores more in 2nd half	26.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
Falkirk scores more in 1st half	16.2%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (away no bet)	79.9%	73.6%	66.3%	1.11×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	20.1%	26.4%	33.7%	0.78×	3.79

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	63.7%	59.1%	57.6%	1.03×	1.69
Falkirk odd goals	36.3%	40.9%	42.4%	0.96×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.5%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.6%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.4%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.5%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Heart of Midlothian to score 2+ in a row	57.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ in a row	29.2%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	8.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.10
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	1.2%	2.5%	—	—	40.23

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian corners (+3.5)	93.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Heart of Midlothian corners (+2.5)	88.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Heart of Midlothian corners (+1.5)	81.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	70.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Heart of Midlothian corners (-1.5)	50.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	49.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Heart of Midlothian corners (-2.5)	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Heart of Midlothian corners (-3.5)	29.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	18.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	11.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	7.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	26.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	54.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	18.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	14.1%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.71
1-0	13.4%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
3-0	10.0%	11.5%	5.6%	2.06×	8.72
1-1	8.5%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
3-1	6.5%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
Any other score	6.5%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
0-0	6.2%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
4-0	5.3%	7.4%	3.5%	2.11×	13.51
0-1	4.1%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.30
0-2	1.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-2	2.8%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.30
1-3	0.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	3.0%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-1	3.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.30
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2nd half DNB)	82.8%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Falkirk (2nd half DNB)	17.2%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT (DNB)	83.3%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	16.7%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1X)	89.9%	86.6%	69.0%	1.26×	1.15
Heart of Midlothian or Falkirk (12)	81.9%	80.6%	76.7%	1.05×	1.24
Falkirk or draw (X2)	28.2%	26.3%	54.1%	0.49×	3.81

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw at HT	89.8%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Heart of Midlothian or Falkirk at HT	61.3%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Falkirk or draw at HT	48.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1UP)	89.9%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	28.2%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw in 2nd half	88.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Heart of Midlothian or Falkirk in 2nd half	69.2%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	42.7%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.3%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (DNB)	87.7%	87.1%	59.7%	1.46×	1.15
Falkirk (DNB)	12.3%	12.9%	40.3%	0.32×	7.77

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score first	72.0%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Falkirk to score first	21.9%	22.6%	—	—	4.43
No goal scored	6.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.2%	55.0%	47.7%	1.15×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.8%	45.0%	52.3%	0.86×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.1%	38.5%	34.1%	1.13×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	33.3%	34.6%	43.2%	0.80×	2.89
Not both score & over 2.5	19.1%	21.5%	13.8%	1.56×	4.65
Both score & under 2.5	8.5%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.4%	89.0%	83.9%	1.06×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.6%	11.0%	16.1%	0.68×	9.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.5%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.5%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.63
Both score 1st half only	10.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.35
Both score in both halves	3.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.4%	84.8%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.6%	15.2%	—	—	6.57

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A half without a goal	45.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	27.9%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.7%	22.9%	21.7%	1.06×	4.36
7+ goals	2.3%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 0	52.4%	47.1%	33.1%	1.43×	2.12
Falkirk to score exactly 1	33.9%	33.8%	30.4%	1.11×	2.96
Falkirk to score exactly 2	10.9%	12.9%	22.5%	0.57×	7.77
Falkirk to score 3+	2.8%	4.6%	14.5%	0.32×	21.89

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+	35.7%	35.5%	23.8%	1.50×	2.81
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 1	25.4%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.77
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 0	11.9%	14.3%	20.5%	0.70×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT	51.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Draw at HT	38.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Falkirk leading at HT	10.2%	11.5%	—	—	8.72

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian -1: 1	46.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Heart of Midlothian -1: 2	28.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Heart of Midlothian -1: X	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (0:1)	46.9%	46.1%	26.4%	1.74×	2.17
Falkirk (0:1)	28.2%	27.0%	54.1%	0.50×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.9%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:2)	53.1%	58.2%	73.6%	0.79×	1.72
Heart of Midlothian (0:2)	25.1%	23.8%	12.2%	1.96×	4.20
Draw (0:2)	21.8%	20.3%	14.5%	1.40×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:3)	74.9%	77.9%	87.8%	0.89×	1.28
Draw (0:3)	14.0%	9.9%	6.8%	1.45×	10.09
Heart of Midlothian (0:3)	11.1%	9.9%	5.6%	1.77×	10.14

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:4)	88.9%	92.0%	94.4%	0.97×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	7.0%	4.6%	4.8%	0.98×	21.57
Heart of Midlothian (0:4)	4.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.19×	81.51

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (1:0)	89.9%	86.2%	69.0%	1.25×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	7.6%	6.9%	17.8%	0.39×	14.49
Falkirk (1:0)	2.5%	3.3%	13.4%	0.24×	30.74

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2:0)	97.5%	96.8%	86.6%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	7.6%	0.30×	43.80
Falkirk (2:0)	0.5%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.90

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet	52.4%	53.2%	33.1%	1.61×	1.88
Heart of Midlothian to concede	47.6%	46.8%	66.9%	0.70×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 1st half	77.2%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 1st half	22.8%	22.2%	—	—	4.50

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 2nd half	67.9%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 2nd half	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 corners	87.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 corners	75.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Heart of Midlothian under 6.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Heart of Midlothian over 4.5 corners	60.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Heart of Midlothian under 5.5 corners	54.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Heart of Midlothian over 5.5 corners	46.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Heart of Midlothian under 4.5 corners	39.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Heart of Midlothian over 6.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 corners	25.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 corners	12.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals	88.1%	87.3%	79.5%	1.10×	1.15
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 goals	83.4%	82.2%	92.1%	0.89×	1.22
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals	64.3%	63.6%	76.2%	0.83×	1.57
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 goals	62.7%	63.6%	48.6%	1.31×	1.57
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 goals	37.3%	36.4%	51.4%	0.71×	2.75
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 goals	35.7%	36.4%	23.8%	1.53×	2.75
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 goals	16.6%	17.8%	7.9%	2.27×	5.62
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 goals	11.9%	12.7%	20.5%	0.62×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 1st half	76.7%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 1st half	59.9%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 1st half	40.1%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 1st half	23.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 2nd half	42.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Heart of Midlothian scores equally in both	29.3%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 1st half	27.8%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	64.1%	60.1%	43.0%	1.40×	1.67
Falkirk (home no bet)	35.9%	39.9%	57.0%	0.70×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian even goals	50.7%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Heart of Midlothian odd goals	49.3%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.9%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
HT 1-0	28.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
HT 2-0	12.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 0-1	8.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 1-1	7.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	6.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 0-2	1.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.35
HT 1-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.36
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	47.1%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Draw at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	22.2%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Falkirk at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Falkirk at FT	0.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.01

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score last	71.9%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Falkirk to score last	21.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
No goal scored	6.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 1 at any time	79.9%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 2 at any time	51.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	28.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 3 at any time	27.5%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	24.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	4.8%	1.6%	—	—	60.68
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	0.8%	1.5%	—	—	64.54

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian most corners	62.2%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Falkirk most corners	27.3%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.6%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.0%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.1%	72.3%	71.1%	1.02×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.7%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.1%	53.1%	55.2%	0.96×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.1%	48.4%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.5%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.6%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.9%	30.2%	31.2%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.9%	24.5%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.5%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	2.3%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian never behind	69.5%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Falkirk never behind	13.9%	12.4%	—	—	8.06

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.3%	77.3%	78.3%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.8%	66.3%	67.1%	0.99×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.4%	52.5%	56.8%	0.92×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	47.6%	47.5%	43.2%	1.10×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.2%	33.7%	32.9%	1.02×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	23.7%	22.7%	21.7%	1.05×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	14.7%	0.85×	8.06
Over 5.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.2%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.5%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.8%	67.5%	72.4%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.2%	61.9%	56.8%	1.09×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.8%	38.1%	43.2%	0.88×	2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.2%	32.5%	27.6%	1.18×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.5%	18.9%	17.9%	1.05×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.8%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.1%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.9%	31.3%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to score in both halves	92.7%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Heart of Midlothian not to score in both halves	57.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Heart of Midlothian to score in both halves	42.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Falkirk to score in both halves	7.3%	9.4%	—	—	10.67

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Heart of Midlothian scores	46.3%	50.7%	27.5%	1.84×	1.97
Both teams score	41.8%	46.6%	52.3%	0.89×	2.15
Neither team scores	6.2%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.01
Only Falkirk scores	5.8%	7.1%	14.9%	0.48×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.9%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.6%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.4%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.5%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.13
6 or more goals	6.2%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.2%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	30.9%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	21.3%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.24

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.2%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win both halves	98.8%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Heart of Midlothian not to win both halves	70.7%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Heart of Midlothian to win both halves	29.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Falkirk to win both halves	1.2%	2.7%	—	—	36.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win either half	79.2%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Falkirk to win neither half	79.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Falkirk to win either half	20.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.96
Heart of Midlothian to win neither half	20.8%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win to nil	94.2%	92.1%	85.1%	1.08×	1.09
Heart of Midlothian not to win to nil	53.7%	53.9%	72.5%	0.74×	1.86
Heart of Midlothian to win to nil	46.3%	46.1%	27.5%	1.68×	2.17
Falkirk to win to nil	5.8%	7.9%	14.9%	0.53×	12.69

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian by 3+	25.1%	27.9%	12.2%	2.29×	3.59
Heart of Midlothian by 1	24.9%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Heart of Midlothian by 2	21.8%	24.1%	14.5%	1.67×	4.15
Draw	18.1%	17.1%	23.3%	0.73×	5.87
Falkirk by 1	7.6%	7.2%	17.8%	0.40×	13.91
Falkirk by 2	2.0%	2.7%	7.6%	0.35×	36.91
Falkirk by 3+	0.5%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.96