Heart of Midlothian v Motherwell — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Heart of Midlothian

15:00 UTC

Motherwell

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 1,108h before kick-off

Heart of Midlothian win

49.3%

model 49.7%

Draw

23.0%

model 24.8%

Motherwell win

27.6%

model 25.5%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
1-0 11.5%
2-1 9.4%
2-0 8.9%
0-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.1%	Under 2.5	50.9%
BTTS yes	51.6%	BTTS no	48.4%
Heart of Midlothian 1+	79.4%	Heart of Midlothian 2+	46.9%
Motherwell 1+	65.2%	Motherwell 2+	28.5%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 43%

52.8% fair odds 1.89

moderate signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 4341 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1605.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Heart of Midlothian have an estimated 49.3% win probability, against 27.6% for Motherwell and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.58 for Heart of Midlothian and 1.06 for Motherwell.

Why Heart of Midlothian

Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1605. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Motherwell can win

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Heart of Midlothian, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Motherwell, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Heart of Midlothian: 34% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Motherwell: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Heart of Midlothian are the model's most likely outcome at 49.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502526	1.58–1.06	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512524	1.53–0.97	1-0 13%	45%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win	50.5%	51.5%	45.9%	1.12×	1.94
Draw	25.5%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Motherwell to win	24.0%	24.5%	31.0%	0.79×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & not both score	30.0%	25.2%	27.5%	0.92×	3.97
Heart of Midlothian & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	18.6%	1.17×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.57
Motherwell & not both score	13.6%	13.3%	14.9%	0.89×	7.54
Motherwell & both teams score	10.5%	13.3%	16.3%	0.81×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.1%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian & over 1.5	37.7%	34.9%	36.6%	0.95×	2.87
Heart of Midlothian & under 3.5	36.6%	34.9%	30.2%	1.16×	2.87
Heart of Midlothian & over 2.5	28.1%	26.1%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Heart of Midlothian & under 2.5	22.4%	21.6%	18.0%	1.20×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.1%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.1%	21.6%	14.9%	1.45×	4.63
Motherwell & under 3.5	19.1%	18.0%	22.5%	0.80×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Motherwell & over 1.5	15.9%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.56
Heart of Midlothian & over 3.5	13.9%	12.8%	15.9%	0.81×	7.79
Heart of Midlothian & under 1.5	12.8%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
Motherwell & over 2.5	12.1%	12.8%	20.5%	0.63×	7.79
Motherwell & under 2.5	12.0%	12.8%	10.7%	1.19×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
Motherwell & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Motherwell & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (1UP)	63.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Motherwell (1UP)	40.3%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2UP)	50.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Motherwell (2UP)	24.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to win 2nd half	40.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	36.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Motherwell to win 2nd half	23.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.5%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Motherwell under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Motherwell over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Motherwell over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.5%	12.8%	—	—	7.80

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 2nd half	58.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 2nd half	41.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (+2.5)	89.5%	88.5%	87.8%	1.01×	1.13
Heart of Midlothian (+0.5)	76.0%	78.5%	69.0%	1.14×	1.27
Motherwell (+1.5)	74.2%	73.7%	73.6%	1.00×	1.36
Heart of Midlothian (-0.5)	50.5%	52.4%	45.9%	1.14×	1.91
Motherwell (+0.5)	49.5%	47.6%	54.1%	0.88×	2.10
Heart of Midlothian (-1.5)	25.8%	26.3%	26.4%	1.00×	3.80
Motherwell (-0.5)	24.0%	21.5%	31.0%	0.69×	4.65
Heart of Midlothian (-2.5)	10.5%	11.5%	12.2%	0.95×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede	78.3%	78.8%	79.5%	0.99×	1.27
Motherwell clean sheet	21.7%	21.2%	20.5%	1.04×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell clean sheet in 1st half	51.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Motherwell to concede in 1st half	48.2%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to concede in 2nd half	58.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
Motherwell clean sheet in 2nd half	41.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 6.5 corners	92.2%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Motherwell under 5.5 corners	85.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Motherwell under 4.5 corners	73.6%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Motherwell over 2.5 corners	62.5%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Motherwell under 3.5 corners	57.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Motherwell over 3.5 corners	42.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Motherwell under 2.5 corners	37.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Motherwell over 4.5 corners	26.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Motherwell over 5.5 corners	14.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Motherwell over 6.5 corners	7.8%	10.1%	—	—	9.90

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Motherwell under 2.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
Motherwell under 1.5 goals	74.8%	71.9%	63.2%	1.14×	1.39
Motherwell over 0.5 goals	61.9%	63.2%	66.9%	0.94×	1.58
Motherwell under 0.5 goals	38.1%	36.8%	33.1%	1.11×	2.72
Motherwell over 1.5 goals	25.2%	28.1%	36.8%	0.77×	3.55
Motherwell over 2.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.07
Motherwell over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell under 1.5 in 1st half	94.2%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Motherwell under 0.5 in 1st half	68.0%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Motherwell over 0.5 in 1st half	32.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Motherwell over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.64

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell scores equally in both	47.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Motherwell scores more in 2nd half	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Motherwell scores more in 1st half	19.9%	18.2%	—	—	5.49

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (away no bet)	66.5%	66.4%	66.3%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.5%	33.6%	33.7%	1.00×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell even goals	57.2%	56.9%	57.6%	0.99×	1.76
Motherwell odd goals	42.8%	43.1%	42.4%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.28

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.6%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.4%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Heart of Midlothian to score 2+ in a row	38.2%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Motherwell to score 2+ in a row	18.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.19
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Motherwell to score 3+ in a row	4.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.48

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian corners (+3.5)	95.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Heart of Midlothian corners (+2.5)	91.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Heart of Midlothian corners (+1.5)	85.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Motherwell corners (+3.5)	67.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Motherwell corners (+2.5)	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Heart of Midlothian corners (-1.5)	55.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Motherwell corners (+1.5)	44.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Heart of Midlothian corners (-2.5)	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Heart of Midlothian corners (-3.5)	32.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Motherwell corners (-1.5)	14.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Motherwell corners (-2.5)	8.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Motherwell corners (-3.5)	4.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	21.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.5%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	62.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.7%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.3%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	37.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	29.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	21.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	14.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.8%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.71
2-0	9.6%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.51
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.51
3-0	4.9%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
3-1	4.7%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.29
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.30
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2nd half DNB)	63.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Motherwell (2nd half DNB)	36.4%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT (DNB)	66.2%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Motherwell leading at HT (DNB)	33.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1X)	76.0%	75.5%	69.0%	1.09×	1.32
Heart of Midlothian or Motherwell (12)	74.5%	72.1%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
Motherwell or draw (X2)	49.5%	48.5%	54.1%	0.90×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw at HT	81.3%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Motherwell or draw at HT	63.4%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Heart of Midlothian or Motherwell at HT	55.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw (1UP)	76.0%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Motherwell or draw (1UP)	49.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian or draw in 2nd half	77.0%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Heart of Midlothian or Motherwell in 2nd half	63.2%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Motherwell or draw in 2nd half	59.8%	58.2%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.2%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.8%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (DNB)	67.7%	67.5%	59.7%	1.13×	1.48
Motherwell (DNB)	32.3%	32.5%	40.3%	0.81×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score first	56.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Motherwell to score first	35.6%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.6%	51.3%	47.7%	1.07×	1.95
Both teams to score	48.4%	48.7%	52.3%	0.93×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.5%	41.6%	34.1%	1.22×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	36.3%	38.4%	43.2%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	9.3%	1.33×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.3%	13.8%	0.60×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.6%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.4%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.5%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	21.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	11.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.35

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.6%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	15.4%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
A goal in each half	49.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
0-1 goals	29.0%	26.6%	21.7%	1.23×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.7%	22.9%	31.2%	0.74×	4.36
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to score exactly 0	38.1%	35.9%	33.1%	1.09×	2.78
Motherwell to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.78
Motherwell to score exactly 2	17.8%	19.5%	22.5%	0.87×	5.12
Motherwell to score 3+	7.4%	8.5%	14.5%	0.59×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 1	33.2%	32.6%	31.2%	1.04×	3.07
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 2	25.3%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 0	21.7%	23.3%	20.5%	1.14×	4.29
Heart of Midlothian to score 3+	19.8%	18.8%	23.8%	0.79×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Heart of Midlothian leading at HT	36.6%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Motherwell leading at HT	18.7%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian -1: 2	49.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Heart of Midlothian -1: 1	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Heart of Midlothian -1: X	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:1)	49.5%	46.1%	54.1%	0.85×	2.17
Heart of Midlothian (0:1)	25.8%	27.0%	26.4%	1.02×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.7%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:2)	74.2%	75.7%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.4%	15.2%	14.5%	1.05×	6.56
Heart of Midlothian (0:2)	10.5%	11.0%	12.2%	0.90×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:3)	89.5%	90.6%	87.8%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.0%	5.8%	6.8%	0.85×	17.25
Heart of Midlothian (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	5.6%	0.43×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell (0:4)	96.5%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	4.8%	0.26×	81.69
Heart of Midlothian (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.18×	81.86

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (1:0)	76.0%	78.5%	69.0%	1.14×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	15.7%	17.1%	17.8%	0.96×	5.85
Motherwell (1:0)	8.4%	6.9%	13.4%	0.51×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian (2:0)	91.6%	94.0%	86.6%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.1%	6.4%	7.6%	0.83×	15.67
Motherwell (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.78

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.6%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to concede	61.9%	63.6%	66.9%	0.95×	1.57
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet	38.1%	36.4%	33.1%	1.10×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 1st half	68.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 1st half	32.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 2nd half	56.0%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Heart of Midlothian to concede in 2nd half	44.0%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 corners	86.5%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 corners	74.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Heart of Midlothian under 6.5 corners	68.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Heart of Midlothian over 4.5 corners	59.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Heart of Midlothian under 5.5 corners	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Heart of Midlothian over 5.5 corners	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Heart of Midlothian under 4.5 corners	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Heart of Midlothian over 6.5 corners	31.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 corners	25.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 corners	13.5%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 goals	93.1%	92.2%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals	80.2%	82.2%	76.2%	1.08×	1.22
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals	78.3%	77.8%	79.5%	0.98×	1.29
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 goals	54.9%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 goals	45.1%	46.8%	48.6%	0.96×	2.14
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 goals	21.7%	22.2%	20.5%	1.09×	4.50
Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 goals	19.8%	17.8%	23.8%	0.75×	5.61
Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 goals	6.9%	7.8%	7.9%	0.99×	12.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 1st half	85.9%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 1st half	51.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 1st half	48.2%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 1st half	14.1%	10.0%	—	—	10.01

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 2nd half	38.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Heart of Midlothian scores equally in both	36.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Heart of Midlothian scores more in 1st half	25.8%	27.8%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.4%	51.4%	43.0%	1.20×	1.95
Motherwell (home no bet)	48.6%	48.6%	57.0%	0.85×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian even goals	52.4%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Heart of Midlothian odd goals	47.6%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
HT 1-0	23.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 0-1	13.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	8.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
HT 2-0	7.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
Any other HT score	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 0-2	2.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.25
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.31
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.38

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	30.1%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
Draw at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Motherwell at HT / Motherwell at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Motherwell at FT	10.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Motherwell at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Motherwell at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.95
Heart of Midlothian at HT / Motherwell at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.98

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian to score last	56.3%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Motherwell to score last	35.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 1 at any time	63.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Motherwell to lead by 1 at any time	40.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 2 at any time	31.5%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Motherwell to lead by 2 at any time	12.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Heart of Midlothian to lead by 3 at any time	12.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Motherwell to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.22

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian most corners	67.3%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Motherwell most corners	22.4%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.1%	83.4%	79.8%	1.05×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.6%	68.8%	76.7%	0.90×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.8%	68.8%	61.6%	1.12×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.8%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.4%	48.4%	37.6%	1.29×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.1%	43.6%	55.2%	0.79×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.3%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.7%	35.2%	42.4%	0.83×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.7%	24.5%	31.2%	0.78×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.0%	18.8%	25.6%	0.74×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.4%	8.9%	13.0%	0.68×	11.25
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Heart of Midlothian never behind	51.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Motherwell never behind	28.2%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	48.8%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	51.2%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.9%	77.3%	67.1%	1.15×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.0%	72.5%	78.3%	0.93×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.5%	52.5%	43.2%	1.22×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.5%	47.5%	56.8%	0.84×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	29.0%	27.5%	21.7%	1.27×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.1%	22.7%	32.9%	0.69×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.81

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.5%	97.2%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.5%	86.7%	82.1%	1.06×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.3%	67.5%	56.8%	1.19×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.1%	61.9%	72.4%	0.86×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.9%	38.1%	27.6%	1.38×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.7%	32.5%	43.2%	0.75×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.5%	13.3%	17.9%	0.74×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.5%	2.8%	8.0%	0.35×	35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.8%	2.0%	1.42×	35.65

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.2%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.0%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.0%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.72

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.6%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.5%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.5%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.4%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell not to score in both halves	85.9%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Heart of Midlothian not to score in both halves	72.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
Heart of Midlothian to score in both halves	28.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Motherwell to score in both halves	14.1%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.4%	50.7%	52.3%	0.97×	1.97
Only Heart of Midlothian scores	30.0%	26.1%	27.5%	0.95×	3.83
Only Motherwell scores	13.6%	11.0%	14.9%	0.74×	9.06
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.5%	24.9%	21.7%	1.15×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.9%	22.6%	16.1%	1.40×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.3%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	6.6%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.2%	4.5%	7.4%	0.60×	22.34

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	35.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	19.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	8.8%	7.3%	—	—	13.72

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.5%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	34.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.4%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell not to win both halves	95.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Heart of Midlothian not to win both halves	85.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Heart of Midlothian to win both halves	14.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Motherwell to win both halves	4.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.48

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell to win neither half	62.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Heart of Midlothian to win either half	62.1%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Heart of Midlothian to win neither half	37.9%	35.0%	—	—	2.85
Motherwell to win either half	37.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Motherwell not to win to nil	86.4%	88.1%	85.1%	1.04×	1.14
Heart of Midlothian not to win to nil	70.0%	75.3%	72.5%	1.04×	1.33
Heart of Midlothian to win to nil	30.0%	24.7%	27.5%	0.90×	4.04
Motherwell to win to nil	13.6%	11.9%	14.9%	0.80×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.5%	27.9%	23.3%	1.19×	3.59
Heart of Midlothian by 1	24.7%	24.1%	19.6%	1.23×	4.15
Motherwell by 1	15.7%	17.0%	17.8%	0.96×	5.87
Heart of Midlothian by 2	15.4%	17.0%	14.5%	1.18×	5.87
Heart of Midlothian by 3+	10.5%	11.8%	12.2%	0.96×	8.51
Motherwell by 2	6.1%	7.2%	7.6%	0.94×	13.92
Motherwell by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.90