Helmond Sport v FC Dordrecht — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 20 November 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Helmond Sport

19:00 UTC

FC Dordrecht

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 680h before kick-off

Helmond Sport win

30.9%

model 32.1%

Draw

23.8%

model 25.0%

FC Dordrecht win

45.3%

model 42.9%

312445

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.9%
0-1 10.5%
1-2 8.9%
1-0 8.9%
2-1 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.8%	Under 2.5	50.2%
BTTS yes	53.4%	BTTS no	46.6%
Helmond Sport 1+	70.3%	Helmond Sport 2+	34.3%
FC Dordrecht 1+	76.5%	FC Dordrecht 2+	42.5%

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 38%

52.8% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Helmond Sport not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 77%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Dordrecht carry the stronger rating, 1378 Elo against 1347.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Dordrecht have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Helmond Sport and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.22 for Helmond Sport and 1.45 for FC Dordrecht.

Why Helmond Sport

Nothing in the data singles out Helmond Sport.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.22 to 1.45. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Dordrecht can win

FC Dordrecht carry the stronger rating, 1378 Elo against 1347.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Helmond Sport, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Dordrecht, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Helmond Sport: 39% possession, 9.2 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Dordrecht: 53% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

FC Dordrecht are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	322543	1.22–1.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	292546	1.11–1.49	1-1 12%	48%	52%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to win	46.4%	47.4%	33.5%	1.41×	2.11
Helmond Sport to win	28.7%	27.9%	44.5%	0.63×	3.58
Draw	25.0%	24.5%	22.1%	1.11×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht & not both score	25.9%	25.2%	14.0%	1.80×	3.97
FC Dordrecht & both teams score	20.4%	21.8%	19.7%	1.11×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Helmond Sport & not both score	15.5%	18.0%	22.6%	0.79×	5.57
Helmond Sport & both teams score	13.1%	13.3%	22.0%	0.60×	7.54
Draw & not both score	7.0%	8.3%	4.8%	1.74×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht & over 1.5	34.9%	30.8%	27.4%	1.12×	3.25
FC Dordrecht & under 3.5	33.0%	30.8%	19.8%	1.56×	3.25
FC Dordrecht & over 2.5	26.6%	26.1%	23.7%	1.10×	3.84
Helmond Sport & under 3.5	21.7%	21.6%	25.7%	0.84×	4.63
Helmond Sport & over 1.5	20.0%	21.6%	37.0%	0.58×	4.63
FC Dordrecht & under 2.5	19.7%	18.0%	10.0%	1.81×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	14.1%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	14.1%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Helmond Sport & over 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	30.8%	0.58×	5.56
FC Dordrecht & over 3.5	13.4%	12.8%	13.9%	0.92×	7.79
Helmond Sport & under 2.5	13.2%	12.8%	13.8%	0.93×	7.79
FC Dordrecht & under 1.5	11.5%	12.8%	6.3%	2.05×	7.79
Helmond Sport & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.63
Helmond Sport & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	18.9%	0.42×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	4.8%	1.65×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (1UP)	60.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Helmond Sport (1UP)	45.5%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (2UP)	46.4%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Helmond Sport (2UP)	28.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.96

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to win 2nd half	39.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	35.6%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Helmond Sport to win 2nd half	24.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.4%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 2nd half	59.1%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 2nd half	40.9%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.6%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Helmond Sport under 0.5 in 2nd half	53.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Helmond Sport over 0.5 in 2nd half	46.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Helmond Sport over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	11.7%	—	—	8.54

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (+2.5)	96.7%	96.3%	88.2%	1.09×	1.04
FC Dordrecht (+1.5)	89.0%	88.5%	75.6%	1.17×	1.13
FC Dordrecht (+0.5)	71.3%	73.6%	55.5%	1.33×	1.36
Helmond Sport (+0.5)	53.6%	52.4%	66.5%	0.79×	1.91
FC Dordrecht (-0.5)	46.4%	47.6%	33.5%	1.42×	2.10
Helmond Sport (-0.5)	28.7%	26.4%	44.5%	0.59×	3.80
Helmond Sport (-1.5)	11.0%	11.5%	24.4%	0.47×	8.68
Helmond Sport (-2.5)	3.3%	3.7%	11.8%	0.31×	27.09

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to concede	67.1%	72.3%	81.3%	0.89×	1.38
FC Dordrecht clean sheet	32.9%	27.7%	18.7%	1.48×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 1st half	62.0%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
FC Dordrecht to concede in 1st half	38.0%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht clean sheet in 2nd half	53.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
FC Dordrecht to concede in 2nd half	46.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 corners	83.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
FC Dordrecht under 6.5 corners	74.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 corners	69.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
FC Dordrecht under 5.5 corners	61.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Dordrecht over 4.5 corners	53.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Dordrecht under 4.5 corners	46.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Dordrecht over 5.5 corners	38.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 corners	31.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
FC Dordrecht over 6.5 corners	25.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 corners	16.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 3.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
FC Dordrecht under 2.5 goals	81.1%	81.5%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 goals	77.5%	76.3%	72.7%	1.05×	1.31
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 goals	56.1%	59.4%	58.0%	1.02×	1.68
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 goals	43.9%	40.6%	42.0%	0.97×	2.46
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 goals	22.5%	23.7%	27.3%	0.87×	4.21
FC Dordrecht over 2.5 goals	18.9%	18.5%	18.6%	1.00×	5.39
FC Dordrecht over 3.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	7.0%	1.09×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
FC Dordrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	55.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Dordrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	44.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Dordrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	12.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht scores more in 2nd half	40.6%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
FC Dordrecht scores equally in both	36.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Dordrecht scores more in 1st half	23.2%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (away no bet)	53.4%	51.7%	66.8%	0.77×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	46.6%	48.3%	33.2%	1.45×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht even goals	52.5%	52.6%	57.0%	0.92×	1.90
FC Dordrecht odd goals	47.5%	47.4%	43.0%	1.10×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.8%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.19

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.9%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.1%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.4%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
FC Dordrecht to score 2+ in a row	36.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Helmond Sport to score 2+ in a row	22.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.15
FC Dordrecht to score 3+ in a row	12.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Helmond Sport to score 3+ in a row	5.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.09

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport corners (+3.5)	86.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Helmond Sport corners (+2.5)	79.6%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
FC Dordrecht corners (+3.5)	78.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Helmond Sport corners (+1.5)	71.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Dordrecht corners (+2.5)	69.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
FC Dordrecht corners (+1.5)	59.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Helmond Sport corners (-1.5)	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Helmond Sport corners (-2.5)	30.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
FC Dordrecht corners (-1.5)	28.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Helmond Sport corners (-3.5)	21.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Dordrecht corners (-2.5)	20.4%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Dordrecht corners (-3.5)	13.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	62.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	47.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	41.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	37.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 12.5 corners	29.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	21.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.9%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.72
0-1	11.5%	11.5%	6.3%	1.83×	8.72
1-0	8.7%	7.4%	7.6%	0.97×	13.51
1-2	9.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
0-0	7.0%	7.4%	4.8%	1.55×	13.51
0-2	8.2%	7.4%	3.8%	1.94×	13.51
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.51
2-2	5.1%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
0-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.30
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.29
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.31
2-0	4.6%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.29
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.31
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.30
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.32
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.49×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.96×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (2nd half DNB)	61.8%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Helmond Sport (2nd half DNB)	38.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht leading at HT (DNB)	57.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Helmond Sport leading at HT (DNB)	43.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport or FC Dordrecht (12)	75.0%	75.5%	77.9%	0.97×	1.32
FC Dordrecht or draw (X2)	71.3%	72.1%	55.5%	1.30×	1.39
Helmond Sport or draw (1X)	53.6%	52.6%	66.5%	0.79×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht or draw at HT	76.1%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Helmond Sport or draw at HT	68.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Helmond Sport or FC Dordrecht at HT	55.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht or draw (1UP)	71.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Helmond Sport or draw (1UP)	53.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht or draw in 2nd half	75.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Helmond Sport or FC Dordrecht in 2nd half	64.4%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Helmond Sport or draw in 2nd half	60.2%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (DNB)	61.8%	62.7%	43.0%	1.46×	1.60
Helmond Sport (DNB)	38.2%	37.3%	57.0%	0.65×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score first	53.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Helmond Sport to score first	39.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.6%	51.3%	58.8%	0.87×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.4%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.9%	38.4%	28.3%	1.36×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	39.7%	38.4%	49.5%	0.78×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.9%	12.4%	9.5%	1.31×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.5%	8.3%	13.0%	0.64×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.6%	85.6%	79.0%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.4%	14.4%	21.0%	0.69×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.0%	—	—	20.08

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.0%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.4%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	48.6%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.4%	47.2%	41.0%	1.15×	2.12
0-1 goals	27.1%	26.6%	18.4%	1.44×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.7%	22.9%	37.6%	0.61×	4.36
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	3.2%	0.58×	54.33

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 1	33.6%	33.8%	30.8%	1.10×	2.96
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 2	25.0%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.66
FC Dordrecht to score exactly 0	22.5%	22.3%	27.3%	0.82×	4.49
FC Dordrecht to score 3+	18.9%	19.6%	18.6%	1.06×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.6%	30.2%	1.18×	2.81
Helmond Sport to score exactly 0	32.9%	32.6%	18.7%	1.74×	3.07
Helmond Sport to score exactly 2	20.3%	23.3%	25.8%	0.90×	4.29
Helmond Sport to score 3+	10.2%	14.3%	25.6%	0.56×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Dordrecht leading at HT	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Helmond Sport leading at HT	23.9%	20.8%	—	—	4.81

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht -1: 1	53.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
FC Dordrecht -1: X	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
FC Dordrecht -1: 2	22.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:1)	71.3%	71.1%	55.5%	1.28×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	17.6%	17.8%	20.1%	0.88×	5.61
Helmond Sport (0:1)	11.0%	13.7%	24.4%	0.56×	7.30

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:2)	89.0%	87.1%	75.6%	1.15×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.7%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	13.04
Helmond Sport (0:2)	3.3%	3.7%	11.8%	0.32×	26.68

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:3)	96.7%	96.6%	88.2%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.10
Helmond Sport (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	6.3%	0.38×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	4.3%	0.28×	82.03
Helmond Sport (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (1:0)	53.6%	54.1%	66.5%	0.81×	1.85
Draw (1:0)	23.5%	21.7%	18.2%	1.19×	4.61
FC Dordrecht (1:0)	22.8%	21.7%	15.5%	1.40×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (2:0)	77.2%	80.5%	84.5%	0.95×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.8%	10.3%	8.8%	1.16×	9.71
FC Dordrecht (2:0)	9.0%	6.4%	6.8%	0.94×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to concede	77.5%	76.1%	72.7%	1.05×	1.31
Helmond Sport clean sheet	22.5%	23.9%	27.3%	0.88×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport clean sheet in 1st half	55.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Helmond Sport to concede in 1st half	44.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to concede in 2nd half	59.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Helmond Sport clean sheet in 2nd half	40.9%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport over 2.5 corners	87.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Helmond Sport over 3.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Helmond Sport under 6.5 corners	66.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Helmond Sport over 4.5 corners	61.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Helmond Sport under 5.5 corners	53.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Helmond Sport over 5.5 corners	47.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Helmond Sport under 4.5 corners	38.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Helmond Sport over 6.5 corners	33.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Helmond Sport under 3.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Helmond Sport under 2.5 corners	12.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport under 3.5 goals	97.3%	96.4%	89.9%	1.07×	1.04
Helmond Sport under 2.5 goals	89.8%	87.3%	74.4%	1.17×	1.15
Helmond Sport under 1.5 goals	69.5%	68.0%	48.8%	1.39×	1.47
Helmond Sport over 0.5 goals	67.1%	68.0%	81.3%	0.84×	1.47
Helmond Sport under 0.5 goals	32.9%	32.0%	18.7%	1.72×	3.12
Helmond Sport over 1.5 goals	30.5%	32.0%	51.2%	0.63×	3.12
Helmond Sport over 2.5 goals	10.2%	12.7%	25.6%	0.50×	7.86
Helmond Sport over 3.5 goals	2.7%	3.6%	10.1%	0.36×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport under 1.5 in 1st half	91.6%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Helmond Sport under 0.5 in 1st half	62.0%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Helmond Sport over 0.5 in 1st half	38.0%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
Helmond Sport over 1.5 in 1st half	8.4%	5.3%	—	—	18.73

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport scores equally in both	43.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Helmond Sport scores more in 2nd half	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Helmond Sport scores more in 1st half	23.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht (home no bet)	65.0%	60.1%	60.3%	1.00×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	35.0%	39.9%	39.7%	1.01×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport even goals	55.4%	55.2%	51.7%	1.07×	1.81
Helmond Sport odd goals	44.6%	44.8%	48.3%	0.93×	2.23

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 0-1	20.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.7%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 0-2	6.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	3.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.25

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	25.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Helmond Sport at HT / Helmond Sport at FT	15.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Helmond Sport at FT	11.2%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Helmond Sport at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
FC Dordrecht at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
Helmond Sport at HT / FC Dordrecht at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
FC Dordrecht at HT / Helmond Sport at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to score last	53.3%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Helmond Sport to score last	39.7%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
No goal scored	7.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
FC Dordrecht to lead by 1 at any time	60.9%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Helmond Sport to lead by 1 at any time	45.5%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
FC Dordrecht to lead by 2 at any time	28.8%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
Helmond Sport to lead by 2 at any time	16.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
FC Dordrecht to lead by 3 at any time	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Helmond Sport to lead by 3 at any time	4.5%	1.7%	—	—	60.36

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport most corners	50.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
FC Dordrecht most corners	38.6%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.1%	87.4%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.7%	83.4%	74.1%	1.13×	1.20
2-6 goals	71.2%	72.4%	78.5%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.0%	68.8%	72.7%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.6%	68.8%	54.7%	1.26×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.3%	60.4%	1.05×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.4%	48.5%	41.0%	1.18×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.5%	48.5%	59.3%	0.82×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.8%	43.6%	32.9%	1.32×	2.29
3-5 goals	43.3%	43.6%	53.6%	0.81×	2.29
3-4 goals	35.9%	39.2%	41.3%	0.95×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.7%	24.5%	37.6%	0.65×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.5%	24.5%	31.8%	0.77×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.6%	14.8%	18.2%	0.81×	6.76
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	3.2%	0.80×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht never behind	47.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Helmond Sport never behind	32.1%	36.2%	—	—	2.76

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	49.6%	1.03×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	50.4%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.1%	95.4%	91.0%	1.05×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	78.7%	1.11×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	73.6%	72.5%	59.3%	1.22×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	72.9%	72.5%	81.6%	0.89×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.8%	52.5%	37.6%	1.40×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	48.2%	47.5%	62.4%	0.76×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.1%	27.5%	18.4%	1.49×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	26.4%	27.5%	40.7%	0.68×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	21.3%	0.58×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	4.8%	1.61×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.9%	4.6%	9.0%	0.51×	21.84

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.7%	92.4%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.7%	86.7%	73.6%	1.18×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.2%	67.4%	48.0%	1.40×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.0%	61.9%	77.2%	0.80×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.0%	38.1%	22.8%	1.67×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.8%	32.6%	52.0%	0.63×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.3%	13.3%	26.4%	0.50×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.3%	7.6%	10.2%	0.74×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	3.4%	0.83×	35.60

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.6%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.1%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.4%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.6%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport not to score in both halves	82.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Dordrecht not to score in both halves	73.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
FC Dordrecht to score in both halves	26.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Helmond Sport to score in both halves	17.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.6%	53.8%	58.8%	0.91×	1.86
Only FC Dordrecht scores	25.9%	26.0%	14.0%	1.86×	3.84
Only Helmond Sport scores	15.5%	16.0%	22.6%	0.71×	6.25
Neither team scores	7.0%	7.1%	4.8%	1.49×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.7%	22.6%	19.3%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.1%	22.6%	13.8%	1.64×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.1%	19.5%	0.62×	8.24
Exactly 0 goals	7.0%	7.6%	4.8%	1.59×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.6%	12.4%	0.61×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.9%	4.5%	9.0%	0.50×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	34.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	19.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
3+ goals in 1st half	9.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.38

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	33.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	21.6%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport not to win both halves	94.2%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
FC Dordrecht not to win both halves	87.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
FC Dordrecht to win both halves	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Helmond Sport to win both halves	5.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dordrecht to win either half	58.9%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Helmond Sport to win neither half	57.3%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Helmond Sport to win either half	42.7%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
FC Dordrecht to win neither half	41.1%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport not to win to nil	84.5%	83.1%	77.4%	1.07×	1.20
FC Dordrecht not to win to nil	74.1%	75.4%	86.0%	0.88×	1.33
FC Dordrecht to win to nil	25.9%	24.6%	14.0%	1.76×	4.06
Helmond Sport to win to nil	15.5%	16.9%	22.6%	0.75×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.0%	24.1%	22.1%	1.09×	4.15
FC Dordrecht by 1	23.5%	24.1%	18.2%	1.33×	4.15
Helmond Sport by 1	17.6%	17.0%	20.1%	0.85×	5.87
FC Dordrecht by 2	13.8%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.51
FC Dordrecht by 3+	9.0%	7.2%	6.8%	1.06×	13.90
Helmond Sport by 2	7.7%	7.2%	12.8%	0.56×	13.91
Helmond Sport by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	11.8%	0.23×	36.80