Helmond Sport v FC Eindhoven — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 30 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Helmond Sport

19:00 UTC

FC Eindhoven

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,317h before kick-off

Helmond Sport win

40.5%

model 40.7%

Draw

22.5%

model 24.1%

FC Eindhoven win

37.0%

model 35.2%

412337

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.4%
1-0 9.6%
0-1 8.8%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.6%	Under 2.5	47.4%
BTTS yes	55.8%	BTTS no	44.2%
Helmond Sport 1+	76.6%	Helmond Sport 2+	42.6%
FC Eindhoven 1+	73.6%	FC Eindhoven 2+	38.4%

Expected goals 1.45 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Helmond Sport.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Helmond Sport have an estimated 40.5% win probability, against 37.0% for FC Eindhoven and 22.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.45 for Helmond Sport and 1.33 for FC Eindhoven.

Why Helmond Sport

Nothing in the data singles out Helmond Sport.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.45 to 1.33. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Eindhoven can win

FC Eindhoven carry the stronger rating, 1351 Elo against 1322.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Helmond Sport, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Eindhoven, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Helmond Sport: 44% possession, 8.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Eindhoven: 43% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Helmond Sport are the model's most likely outcome at 40.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	402436	1.47–1.38	1-1 11%	54%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to win	40.2%	43.0%	44.4%	0.97×	2.33
FC Eindhoven to win	36.0%	36.4%	33.5%	1.09×	2.75
Draw	23.8%	24.5%	22.3%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport & both teams score	20.2%	21.9%	21.6%	1.01×	4.57
Helmond Sport & not both score	19.9%	17.9%	22.9%	0.78×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
FC Eindhoven & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	19.7%	0.91×	5.58
FC Eindhoven & not both score	17.7%	17.9%	13.9%	1.29×	5.58
Draw & not both score	5.2%	8.4%	4.7%	1.77×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport & over 1.5	31.1%	30.9%	36.8%	0.84×	3.24
FC Eindhoven & over 1.5	27.5%	26.0%	27.2%	0.96×	3.84
Helmond Sport & under 3.5	27.0%	26.0%	25.9%	1.01×	3.84
Helmond Sport & over 2.5	24.9%	21.7%	30.6%	0.71×	4.62
FC Eindhoven & under 3.5	24.6%	21.7%	19.8%	1.10×	4.62
FC Eindhoven & over 2.5	22.0%	21.7%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.3%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Helmond Sport & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
FC Eindhoven & under 2.5	14.0%	12.9%	10.0%	1.29×	7.77
Helmond Sport & over 3.5	13.2%	12.9%	18.7%	0.69×	7.77
FC Eindhoven & over 3.5	11.4%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.77
Helmond Sport & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
FC Eindhoven & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	4.7%	1.67×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (1UP)	57.1%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
FC Eindhoven (1UP)	53.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (2UP)	40.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
FC Eindhoven (2UP)	36.0%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	34.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Helmond Sport to win 2nd half	33.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
FC Eindhoven to win 2nd half	32.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (+2.5)	92.7%	92.1%	88.1%	1.05×	1.09
FC Eindhoven (+1.5)	81.0%	82.4%	75.6%	1.09×	1.21
Helmond Sport (+0.5)	64.0%	62.9%	66.5%	0.95×	1.59
FC Eindhoven (+0.5)	59.8%	57.0%	55.6%	1.03×	1.75
Helmond Sport (-0.5)	40.2%	43.0%	44.4%	0.97×	2.33
FC Eindhoven (-0.5)	36.0%	37.1%	33.5%	1.11×	2.70
Helmond Sport (-1.5)	19.0%	17.6%	24.4%	0.72×	5.68
Helmond Sport (-2.5)	7.3%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.64

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede	77.1%	79.0%	81.5%	0.97×	1.27
FC Eindhoven clean sheet	22.9%	21.0%	18.5%	1.13×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	46.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
FC Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	53.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 6.5 corners	85.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Eindhoven under 5.5 corners	76.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 corners	72.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
FC Eindhoven under 4.5 corners	62.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 corners	54.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 corners	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Eindhoven over 4.5 corners	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 corners	27.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
FC Eindhoven over 5.5 corners	23.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
FC Eindhoven over 6.5 corners	14.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
FC Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	83.8%	81.4%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	74.9%	72.0%	72.5%	0.99×	1.39
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	59.8%	59.5%	58.1%	1.02×	1.68
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	40.2%	40.5%	41.9%	0.97×	2.47
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	25.1%	28.0%	27.5%	1.02×	3.57
FC Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	16.2%	18.6%	18.5%	1.00×	5.38
FC Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	89.3%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
FC Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	57.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
FC Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	42.5%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	10.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (away no bet)	62.8%	62.1%	66.6%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.2%	37.9%	33.4%	1.14×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven even goals	53.2%	52.8%	57.1%	0.93×	1.89
FC Eindhoven odd goals	46.8%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Helmond Sport to score 2+ in a row	34.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.43
FC Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	30.9%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.6%	19.4%	—	—	5.14
Helmond Sport to score 3+ in a row	11.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
FC Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	9.6%	5.7%	—	—	17.56

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport corners (+3.5)	94.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Helmond Sport corners (+2.5)	90.5%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Helmond Sport corners (+1.5)	84.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Eindhoven corners (+3.5)	63.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Helmond Sport corners (-1.5)	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Eindhoven corners (+2.5)	52.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Helmond Sport corners (-2.5)	47.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
FC Eindhoven corners (+1.5)	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Helmond Sport corners (-3.5)	36.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
FC Eindhoven corners (-1.5)	15.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
FC Eindhoven corners (-2.5)	9.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
FC Eindhoven corners (-3.5)	5.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.3%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
0-8 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.7%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 11.5 corners	36.3%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	32.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	27.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.1%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.73
0-1	8.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
1-0	9.0%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.48
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
0-0	5.2%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.48
0-2	5.5%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.48
2-0	6.2%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.48
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.48
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
1-4	1.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.48
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.47
3-1	4.2%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.47
3-2	2.9%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.47
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.49
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.48
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.48
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.44×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.75×	58.49
Any other score	3.1%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport leading at HT (DNB)	54.5%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
FC Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	45.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport or FC Eindhoven (12)	76.2%	75.5%	77.7%	0.97×	1.32
Helmond Sport or draw (1X)	64.0%	63.6%	66.5%	0.96×	1.57
FC Eindhoven or draw (X2)	59.8%	57.0%	55.6%	1.03×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport or draw at HT	73.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
FC Eindhoven or draw at HT	68.4%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Helmond Sport or FC Eindhoven at HT	58.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport or draw (1UP)	64.0%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
FC Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	59.8%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport or draw in 2nd half	67.3%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
FC Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	66.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Helmond Sport or FC Eindhoven in 2nd half	66.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (DNB)	52.7%	51.0%	57.0%	0.89×	1.96
FC Eindhoven (DNB)	47.3%	49.0%	43.0%	1.14×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to score first	48.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
FC Eindhoven to score first	45.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.47

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	57.2%	54.9%	58.7%	0.94×	1.82
Not both teams to score	42.8%	45.1%	41.3%	1.09×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.0%	44.3%	49.3%	0.90×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	34.5%	34.3%	28.4%	1.21×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	11.1%	12.3%	9.6%	1.29×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.6%	83.1%	79.0%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	17.4%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.7%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Both score 2nd half only	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	13.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	6.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.2%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.8%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	43.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.2%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.4%	26.5%	37.3%	0.71×	3.78
0-1 goals	22.7%	22.8%	18.5%	1.23×	4.38
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	3.2%	0.57×	54.53

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 1	34.7%	33.8%	30.7%	1.10×	2.96
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 0	25.1%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
FC Eindhoven to score exactly 2	24.0%	22.4%	23.5%	0.95×	4.46
FC Eindhoven to score 3+	16.2%	19.6%	18.5%	1.06×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to score exactly 1	33.8%	32.7%	30.5%	1.07×	3.06
Helmond Sport to score exactly 2	24.9%	23.2%	25.9%	0.90×	4.30
Helmond Sport to score exactly 0	22.9%	23.2%	18.5%	1.25×	4.30
Helmond Sport to score 3+	18.5%	18.9%	25.4%	0.74×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.0%	43.0%	—	—	2.32
Helmond Sport leading at HT	31.6%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
FC Eindhoven leading at HT	26.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport -1: 2	59.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Helmond Sport -1: X	21.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Helmond Sport -1: 1	19.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:1)	59.8%	55.9%	55.6%	1.00×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	21.2%	24.3%	20.1%	1.20×	4.12
Helmond Sport (0:1)	19.0%	17.8%	24.4%	0.73×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:2)	81.0%	82.8%	75.6%	1.09×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.7%	11.0%	12.6%	0.87×	9.13
Helmond Sport (0:2)	7.3%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	12.95

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:3)	92.7%	92.6%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.0%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.06
Helmond Sport (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	4.4%	0.27×	83.56
Helmond Sport (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.68

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (1:0)	64.0%	65.0%	66.5%	0.98×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	18.2%	0.94×	5.86
FC Eindhoven (1:0)	16.1%	17.0%	15.4%	1.10×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (2:0)	83.9%	84.6%	84.6%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.3%	10.4%	8.8%	1.17×	9.66
FC Eindhoven (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	6.7%	0.96×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to concede	74.9%	73.1%	72.5%	1.01×	1.37
Helmond Sport clean sheet	25.1%	26.9%	27.5%	0.98×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport clean sheet in 1st half	57.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Helmond Sport to concede in 1st half	42.5%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport over 2.5 corners	91.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Helmond Sport over 3.5 corners	82.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Helmond Sport over 4.5 corners	70.9%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Helmond Sport over 5.5 corners	57.5%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Helmond Sport under 6.5 corners	55.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Helmond Sport over 6.5 corners	44.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Helmond Sport under 5.5 corners	42.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Helmond Sport under 4.5 corners	29.2%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Helmond Sport under 3.5 corners	17.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Helmond Sport under 2.5 corners	8.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport under 3.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Helmond Sport under 2.5 goals	81.5%	82.1%	74.6%	1.10×	1.22
Helmond Sport over 0.5 goals	77.1%	77.8%	81.5%	0.95×	1.29
Helmond Sport under 1.5 goals	56.7%	58.8%	48.9%	1.20×	1.70
Helmond Sport over 1.5 goals	43.3%	41.2%	51.1%	0.81×	2.43
Helmond Sport under 0.5 goals	22.9%	22.2%	18.5%	1.20×	4.50
Helmond Sport over 2.5 goals	18.5%	17.9%	25.4%	0.71×	5.59
Helmond Sport over 3.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	10.2%	0.76×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport under 1.5 in 1st half	86.7%	89.7%	—	—	1.11
Helmond Sport over 0.5 in 1st half	46.9%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Helmond Sport under 0.5 in 1st half	53.1%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Helmond Sport over 1.5 in 1st half	13.3%	10.3%	—	—	9.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven (home no bet)	60.2%	60.1%	60.0%	1.00×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	39.8%	39.9%	40.0%	1.00×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport even goals	52.6%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
Helmond Sport odd goals	47.4%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 0-1	17.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	10.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	6.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 0-2	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
Any other HT score	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.64

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport at HT / Helmond Sport at FT	23.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
FC Eindhoven at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Helmond Sport at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Helmond Sport at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
FC Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Helmond Sport at HT / FC Eindhoven at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
FC Eindhoven at HT / Helmond Sport at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to score last	48.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
FC Eindhoven to score last	45.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
No goal scored	5.2%	7.4%	—	—	13.47

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Helmond Sport to lead by 1 at any time	57.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
FC Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	53.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Helmond Sport to lead by 2 at any time	25.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
FC Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	22.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Helmond Sport to lead by 3 at any time	9.4%	6.7%	—	—	15.01
FC Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	7.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.09

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport most corners	68.3%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
FC Eindhoven most corners	22.5%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Corners level	9.2%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	86.3%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.7%	78.6%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.6%	72.4%	78.4%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.3%	72.4%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.8%	63.4%	55.0%	1.15×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.4%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.7%	53.2%	59.1%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.4%	48.7%	53.2%	0.91×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.2%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
1-2 goals	40.4%	43.6%	33.2%	1.31×	2.30
3-4 goals	38.3%	39.1%	41.0%	0.95×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.4%	30.3%	37.3%	0.81×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.0%	30.2%	31.5%	0.96×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.4%	14.9%	18.2%	0.82×	6.72
7+ goals	2.7%	2.5%	3.2%	0.79×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport never behind	41.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
FC Eindhoven never behind	37.7%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.5%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.5%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.9%	82.4%	78.7%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	77.3%	77.3%	81.5%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.0%	66.2%	59.6%	1.11×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.4%	52.5%	62.2%	0.84×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.6%	47.5%	37.8%	1.26×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	32.1%	33.8%	40.4%	0.84×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	22.7%	22.7%	18.5%	1.22×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	16.1%	17.6%	21.3%	0.83×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	4.7%	1.64×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.3%	92.5%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.8%	81.1%	73.7%	1.10×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	70.5%	72.6%	77.0%	0.94×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.7%	55.5%	48.3%	1.15×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.3%	44.5%	51.7%	0.86×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	29.5%	27.4%	23.0%	1.20×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.2%	18.9%	26.3%	0.72×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.7%	7.5%	10.3%	0.73×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.8%	3.4%	0.81×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.2%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.6%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.8%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.4%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to score in both halves	76.1%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Helmond Sport not to score in both halves	73.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Helmond Sport to score in both halves	26.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
FC Eindhoven to score in both halves	23.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	57.2%	58.4%	58.7%	0.99×	1.71
Only Helmond Sport scores	19.9%	16.1%	22.9%	0.70×	6.22
Only FC Eindhoven scores	17.7%	16.1%	13.9%	1.15×	6.22
Neither team scores	5.2%	7.2%	4.7%	1.52×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.9%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.6%	17.4%	13.9%	1.25×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.9%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	9.1%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.0%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	5.2%	7.6%	4.7%	1.62×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.5%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	18.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to win both halves	91.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Helmond Sport not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Helmond Sport to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
FC Eindhoven to win both halves	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.51

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to win either half	54.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
FC Eindhoven to win either half	50.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
FC Eindhoven to win neither half	49.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Helmond Sport to win neither half	45.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Eindhoven not to win to nil	82.3%	83.0%	86.1%	0.96×	1.20
Helmond Sport not to win to nil	80.1%	83.0%	77.1%	1.08×	1.21
Helmond Sport to win to nil	19.9%	17.0%	22.9%	0.74×	5.89
FC Eindhoven to win to nil	17.7%	17.0%	13.9%	1.22×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.8%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
Helmond Sport by 1	21.2%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
FC Eindhoven by 1	19.9%	16.9%	18.2%	0.93×	5.90
Helmond Sport by 2	11.7%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.48
FC Eindhoven by 2	10.3%	11.8%	8.8%	1.33×	8.48
Helmond Sport by 3+	7.3%	7.3%	11.9%	0.61×	13.79
FC Eindhoven by 3+	5.8%	7.3%	6.7%	1.08×	13.79