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Hibernian v Dundee — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Hibernian win
55.6%
model 55.7%
Draw
22.2%
model 22.5%
Dundee win
22.2%
model 21.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.6%
  2. 1-0 10.2%
  3. 2-1 9.9%
  4. 2-0 9.3%
  5. 3-1 6.1%

Goals

Over 2.555.4% Under 2.544.6%
BTTS yes54.9% BTTS no45.1%
Hibernian 1+84.1% Hibernian 2+54.9%
Dundee 1+65.4% Dundee 2+28.7%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
83/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Hibernian (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 46%
57.0% fair odds 1.76
moderate signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Hibernian not to win both halves
Win both halves
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 590 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1461.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Hibernian have an estimated 55.6% win probability, against 22.2% for the draw and 22.2% for Dundee. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for Hibernian and 1.06 for Dundee.

Why Hibernian

Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1461.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Dundee can win

Nothing in the data singles out Dundee.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Hibernian, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dundee, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Hibernian: 36% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dundee: 39% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Hibernian are the model's most likely outcome at 55.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.84–1.06 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.04–1.07 2-1 10% 60% 57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to win 59.8% 54.0% 45.9% 1.18× 1.85
Draw 20.7% 24.5% 23.3% 1.05× 4.09
Dundee to win 19.4% 19.4% 31.0% 0.63× 5.15
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian & both teams score 30.0% 25.2% 18.6% 1.36× 3.97
Hibernian & not both score 29.8% 25.2% 27.5% 0.92× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 16.4% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.57
Dundee & both teams score 10.8% 13.3% 16.3% 0.81× 7.54
Dundee & not both score 8.7% 8.3% 14.9% 0.56× 12.00
Draw & not both score 4.3% 4.9% 5.8% 0.84× 20.49
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian & over 1.5 50.6% 48.8% 36.6% 1.33× 2.05
Hibernian & over 2.5 41.4% 40.3% 28.1% 1.43× 2.48
Hibernian & under 3.5 34.6% 30.8% 30.2% 1.02× 3.25
Hibernian & over 3.5 25.2% 26.1% 15.9% 1.64× 3.84
Hibernian & under 2.5 18.4% 18.0% 18.0% 1.00× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 16.4% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Dundee & over 1.5 14.6% 12.8% 24.4% 0.53× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 13.9% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.9% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.79
Dundee & under 3.5 13.6% 12.8% 22.5% 0.57× 7.79
Dundee & over 2.5 12.0% 12.8% 20.5% 0.63× 7.79
Hibernian & under 1.5 9.2% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.63
Dundee & under 2.5 7.4% 7.9% 10.7% 0.74× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 6.8% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 6.8% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Dundee & over 3.5 5.9% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Dundee & under 1.5 4.9% 4.8% 6.8% 0.70× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 4.3% 4.8% 5.8% 0.83× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (1UP) 73.1% 75.2% — — 1.33
Dundee (1UP) 38.5% 34.3% — — 2.92
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (2UP) 59.8% 55.1% — — 1.82
Dundee (2UP) 19.4% 17.2% — — 5.83
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to win 2nd half 48.4% 45.3% — — 2.21
2nd half drawn 31.1% 34.0% — — 2.94
Dundee to win 2nd half 20.5% 24.2% — — 4.13
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 2nd half 86.3% 87.1% — — 1.15
Dundee under 0.5 in 2nd half 52.5% 52.4% — — 1.91
Dundee over 0.5 in 2nd half 47.5% 47.6% — — 2.10
Dundee over 1.5 in 2nd half 13.7% 12.9% — — 7.73
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian over 0.5 in 2nd half 68.8% 70.8% — — 1.41
Hibernian under 1.5 in 2nd half 67.6% 70.8% — — 1.41
Hibernian over 1.5 in 2nd half 32.4% 29.2% — — 3.42
Hibernian under 0.5 in 2nd half 31.2% 29.2% — — 3.43
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee (+2.5) 81.8% 82.6% 87.8% 0.94× 1.21
Hibernian (+0.5) 80.6% 82.6% 69.0% 1.20× 1.21
Dundee (+1.5) 63.7% 63.0% 73.6% 0.86× 1.59
Hibernian (-0.5) 59.8% 57.1% 45.9% 1.24× 1.75
Dundee (+0.5) 40.2% 42.9% 54.1% 0.79× 2.33
Hibernian (-1.5) 36.3% 37.0% 26.4% 1.40× 2.70
Dundee (-0.5) 19.4% 17.4% 31.0% 0.56× 5.73
Hibernian (-2.5) 18.2% 17.4% 12.2% 1.43× 5.74
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee to concede 87.0% 86.3% 79.5% 1.08× 1.16
Dundee clean sheet 13.0% 13.7% 20.5% 0.67× 7.28
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee to concede in 1st half 58.4% 56.5% — — 1.77
Dundee clean sheet in 1st half 41.6% 43.5% — — 2.30
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee to concede in 2nd half 68.8% 65.9% — — 1.52
Dundee clean sheet in 2nd half 31.2% 34.1% — — 2.93
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee under 6.5 corners 85.8% 85.2% — — 1.17
Dundee under 5.5 corners 76.0% 76.0% — — 1.32
Dundee over 2.5 corners 72.8% 71.6% — — 1.40
Dundee under 4.5 corners 62.3% 61.7% — — 1.62
Dundee over 3.5 corners 54.8% 53.1% — — 1.88
Dundee under 3.5 corners 45.2% 46.9% — — 2.13
Dundee over 4.5 corners 37.7% 38.3% — — 2.61
Dundee under 2.5 corners 27.2% 28.4% — — 3.52
Dundee over 5.5 corners 24.0% 24.0% — — 4.17
Dundee over 6.5 corners 14.2% 14.8% — — 6.77
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee under 3.5 goals 97.6% 97.5% 96.3% 1.01× 1.03
Dundee under 2.5 goals 90.6% 92.3% 85.5% 1.08× 1.08
Dundee under 1.5 goals 70.9% 71.8% 63.2% 1.14× 1.39
Dundee over 0.5 goals 65.8% 68.0% 66.9% 1.02× 1.47
Dundee under 0.5 goals 34.2% 32.0% 33.1% 0.97× 3.13
Dundee over 1.5 goals 29.1% 28.2% 36.8% 0.77× 3.55
Dundee over 2.5 goals 9.4% 7.7% 14.5% 0.53× 13.05
Dundee over 3.5 goals 2.4% 2.5% 3.7% 0.67× 39.85
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee under 1.5 in 1st half 93.0% 94.0% — — 1.06
Dundee under 0.5 in 1st half 65.1% 70.1% — — 1.43
Dundee over 0.5 in 1st half 34.9% 29.9% — — 3.34
Dundee over 1.5 in 1st half 7.0% 6.0% — — 16.53
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee scores equally in both 44.3% 43.7% — — 2.29
Dundee scores more in 2nd half 34.9% 33.4% — — 3.00
Dundee scores more in 1st half 20.8% 21.7% — — 4.60
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (away no bet) 74.2% 68.5% 66.3% 1.03× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 25.8% 31.5% 33.7% 0.94× 3.17
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee even goals 55.8% 56.9% 57.6% 0.99× 1.76
Dundee odd goals 44.2% 43.1% 42.4% 1.02× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 79.7% 81.0% — — 1.24
Both halves over 1.5 goals 20.3% 19.0% — — 5.26
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 71.2% 67.6% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 28.8% 32.4% — — 3.09
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 64.5% 60.1% — — 1.66
Hibernian to score 2+ in a row 52.2% 50.9% — — 1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row 28.0% 25.0% — — 4.01
Hibernian to score 3+ in a row 23.9% 19.5% — — 5.12
Dundee to score 2+ in a row 19.7% 16.2% — — 6.17
Dundee to score 3+ in a row 4.4% 2.6% — — 38.28
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian corners (+3.5) 92.5% 89.6% — — 1.12
Hibernian corners (+2.5) 87.6% 84.5% — — 1.18
Hibernian corners (+1.5) 80.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Dundee corners (+3.5) 71.0% 70.8% — — 1.41
Dundee corners (+2.5) 60.9% 61.8% — — 1.62
Hibernian corners (-1.5) 50.2% 52.4% — — 1.91
Dundee corners (+1.5) 49.8% 47.6% — — 2.10
Hibernian corners (-2.5) 39.1% 38.2% — — 2.62
Hibernian corners (-3.5) 29.0% 29.2% — — 3.42
Dundee corners (-1.5) 19.2% 20.2% — — 4.94
Dundee corners (-2.5) 12.4% 15.5% — — 6.45
Dundee corners (-3.5) 7.5% 10.4% — — 9.60
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 40.1% 38.3% — — 2.61
9-11 corners 31.0% 33.2% — — 3.01
12+ corners 28.9% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 79.0% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 71.1% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 70.7% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 10.5 corners 61.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 59.9% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 51.2% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 48.8% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 8.5 corners 40.1% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 38.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 7.5 corners 29.3% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 11.5 corners 28.9% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 21.0% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 9.2% 7.4% 9.5% 0.78× 13.51
1-1 9.6% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
2-0 9.2% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
2-1 9.9% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
3-1 6.8% 7.4% 5.6% 1.33× 13.51
3-0 6.3% 7.4% 5.6% 1.33× 13.51
Any other score 6.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.51
1-2 5.2% 7.4% 8.9% 0.83× 13.51
2-2 5.3% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.51
0-1 4.9% 1.7% 6.8% 0.25× 58.29
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
3-2 3.6% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.30
3-3 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
4-0 3.2% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.30
4-1 3.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.30
4-2 1.9% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.31
4-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.30× 58.32
0-0 4.3% 1.7% 5.8% 0.30× 58.29
0-2 2.6% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.30
0-3 0.9% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.31
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
1-3 1.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.31
1-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
2-3 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (2nd half DNB) 70.3% 71.1% — — 1.41
Dundee (2nd half DNB) 29.7% 28.9% — — 3.46
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian leading at HT (DNB) 72.1% 74.4% — — 1.34
Dundee leading at HT (DNB) 27.9% 25.6% — — 3.91
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw (1X) 80.6% 80.6% 69.0% 1.17× 1.24
Hibernian or Dundee (12) 79.3% 75.5% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
Dundee or draw (X2) 40.2% 46.0% 54.1% 0.85× 2.17
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw at HT 82.8% 84.1% — — 1.19
Hibernian or Dundee at HT 61.8% 60.9% — — 1.64
Dundee or draw at HT 55.4% 57.4% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw (1UP) 80.6% 88.6% — — 1.13
Dundee or draw (1UP) 40.2% 52.5% — — 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw in 2nd half 79.5% 75.8% — — 1.32
Hibernian or Dundee in 2nd half 68.9% 66.0% — — 1.51
Dundee or draw in 2nd half 51.6% 54.7% — — 1.83
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 57.6% 58.8% — — 1.70
Neither half drawn 42.4% 41.2% — — 2.43
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (DNB) 75.5% 74.7% 59.7% 1.25× 1.34
Dundee (DNB) 24.5% 25.3% 40.3% 0.63× 3.95
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score first 62.7% 63.9% — — 1.56
Dundee to score first 33.0% 27.8% — — 3.60
No goal scored 4.3% 4.4% — — 22.78
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.2% 55.0% 52.3% 1.05× 1.82
Not both teams to score 42.8% 45.0% 47.7% 0.94× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 47.6% 44.3% 43.2% 1.03× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 30.2% 34.5% 34.1% 1.01× 2.90
Not both score & over 2.5 12.7% 12.4% 13.8% 0.89× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 9.6% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 82.4% 82.6% 83.9% 0.99× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 17.6% 17.4% 16.1% 1.08× 5.76
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 67.4% 67.2% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 32.6% 32.8% — — 3.05
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.7% 54.8% — — 1.82
Both score 2nd half only 26.0% 26.7% — — 3.74
Both score 1st half only 13.7% 10.8% — — 9.30
Both score in both halves 6.7% 6.8% — — 14.77
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.6% 81.1% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.4% 18.9% — — 5.28
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 60.9% 59.3% — — 1.69
A half without a goal 39.1% 40.7% — — 2.46
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.8% 42.2% 45.7% 0.92× 2.37
4-6 goals 33.9% 30.7% 31.2% 0.99× 3.25
0-1 goals 18.4% 20.2% 21.7% 0.93× 4.94
7+ goals 3.9% 1.8% 1.9% 0.99× 54.16
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.9% 30.4% 1.18× 2.78
Dundee to score exactly 0 34.2% 33.8% 33.1% 1.02× 2.96
Dundee to score exactly 2 19.7% 19.5% 22.5% 0.87× 5.12
Dundee to score 3+ 9.4% 8.6% 14.5% 0.59× 11.68
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score 3+ 33.5% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.07
Hibernian to score exactly 2 27.1% 26.6% 25.0% 1.06× 3.77
Hibernian to score exactly 1 26.5% 26.6% 31.2% 0.85× 3.77
Hibernian to score exactly 0 13.0% 14.3% 20.5% 0.70× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian leading at HT 44.6% 42.6% — — 2.35
Draw at HT 38.2% 39.1% — — 2.56
Dundee leading at HT 17.2% 15.9% — — 6.28
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian -1: 2 40.2% 42.8% — — 2.34
Hibernian -1: 1 36.3% 37.4% — — 2.68
Hibernian -1: X 23.5% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee (0:1) 40.2% 42.5% 54.1% 0.79× 2.35
Hibernian (0:1) 36.3% 37.3% 26.4% 1.41× 2.68
Draw (0:1) 23.5% 24.2% 19.6% 1.23× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee (0:2) 63.7% 67.1% 73.6% 0.91× 1.49
Hibernian (0:2) 18.2% 15.3% 12.2% 1.25× 6.55
Draw (0:2) 18.2% 15.3% 14.5% 1.06× 6.55
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee (0:3) 81.8% 85.3% 87.8% 0.97× 1.17
Draw (0:3) 10.6% 9.9% 6.8% 1.45× 10.15
Hibernian (0:3) 7.6% 5.8% 5.6% 1.04× 17.24
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee (0:4) 92.4% 94.5% 94.4% 1.00× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 4.9% 1.2% 4.8% 0.26× 81.43
Hibernian (0:4) 2.7% 1.2% 1.0% 1.19× 81.67
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (1:0) 80.6% 81.4% 69.0% 1.18× 1.23
Draw (1:0) 12.4% 12.7% 17.8% 0.72× 7.87
Dundee (1:0) 7.0% 6.9% 13.4% 0.51× 14.50
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (2:0) 93.0% 94.0% 86.6% 1.09× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.0% 6.4% 7.6% 0.83× 15.69
Dundee (2:0) 2.0% 2.3% 6.0% 0.38× 43.80
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.3% 48.6% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 27.9% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 22.8% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to concede 65.8% 66.7% 66.9% 1.00× 1.50
Hibernian clean sheet 34.2% 33.3% 33.1% 1.01× 3.00
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 1st half 65.1% 70.4% — — 1.42
Hibernian to concede in 1st half 34.9% 29.6% — — 3.38
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 2nd half 52.5% 52.5% — — 1.91
Hibernian to concede in 2nd half 47.5% 47.5% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian over 2.5 corners 87.8% 86.2% — — 1.16
Hibernian over 3.5 corners 76.1% 76.5% — — 1.31
Hibernian under 6.5 corners 65.6% 66.7% — — 1.50
Hibernian over 4.5 corners 62.1% 62.3% — — 1.61
Hibernian under 5.5 corners 52.4% 52.6% — — 1.90
Hibernian over 5.5 corners 47.6% 47.4% — — 2.11
Hibernian under 4.5 corners 37.9% 37.7% — — 2.65
Hibernian over 6.5 corners 34.4% 33.3% — — 3.00
Hibernian under 3.5 corners 23.9% 23.5% — — 4.26
Hibernian under 2.5 corners 12.2% 13.8% — — 7.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian over 0.5 goals 87.0% 87.3% 79.5% 1.10× 1.15
Hibernian under 3.5 goals 85.0% 82.2% 92.1% 0.89× 1.22
Hibernian under 2.5 goals 66.5% 67.9% 76.2% 0.89× 1.47
Hibernian over 1.5 goals 60.5% 63.6% 48.6% 1.31× 1.57
Hibernian under 1.5 goals 39.5% 36.4% 51.4% 0.71× 2.75
Hibernian over 2.5 goals 33.5% 32.1% 23.8% 1.35× 3.12
Hibernian over 3.5 goals 15.0% 17.8% 7.9% 2.27× 5.62
Hibernian under 0.5 goals 13.0% 12.7% 20.5% 0.62× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 1st half 78.1% 76.5% — — 1.31
Hibernian over 0.5 in 1st half 58.4% 56.3% — — 1.78
Hibernian under 0.5 in 1st half 41.6% 43.7% — — 2.29
Hibernian over 1.5 in 1st half 21.9% 23.5% — — 4.26
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian scores more in 2nd half 42.4% 41.7% — — 2.40
Hibernian scores equally in both 30.0% 33.1% — — 3.02
Hibernian scores more in 1st half 27.6% 27.9% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 51.6% 51.4% 43.0% 1.20× 1.95
Dundee (home no bet) 48.4% 48.6% 57.0% 0.85× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian even goals 50.8% 50.7% 51.7% 0.98× 1.97
Hibernian odd goals 49.2% 49.3% 48.3% 1.02× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 27.0% 28.4% — — 3.52
HT 1-0 23.8% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-1 11.6% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 2-0 10.4% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 1-1 10.2% 11.0% — — 9.12
Any other HT score 6.8% 6.9% — — 14.55
HT 2-1 4.5% 2.4% — — 42.13
HT 0-2 2.5% 2.4% — — 42.26
HT 1-2 2.2% 2.4% — — 42.28
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.4% — — 42.36
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian at HT / Hibernian at FT 38.1% 41.4% — — 2.42
Draw at HT / Hibernian at FT 18.6% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.8% 12.7% — — 7.90
Dundee at HT / Dundee at FT 9.9% 6.1% — — 16.41
Draw at HT / Dundee at FT 7.9% 6.1% — — 16.47
Hibernian at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% — — 28.86
Dundee at HT / Draw at FT 4.2% 3.5% — — 28.88
Dundee at HT / Hibernian at FT 3.2% 3.5% — — 28.92
Hibernian at HT / Dundee at FT 1.7% 3.5% — — 28.98
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score last 62.7% 62.1% — — 1.61
Dundee to score last 33.0% 32.5% — — 3.08
No goal scored 4.3% 4.4% — — 22.78
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.7% 95.5% — — 1.05
Hibernian to lead by 1 at any time 73.1% 74.1% — — 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 55.3% 54.8% — — 1.82
Hibernian to lead by 2 at any time 43.6% 39.2% — — 2.55
Dundee to lead by 1 at any time 38.5% 34.8% — — 2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 24.5% 19.6% — — 5.11
Hibernian to lead by 3 at any time 21.4% 19.5% — — 5.13
Dundee to lead by 2 at any time 12.1% 10.6% — — 9.44
Dundee to lead by 3 at any time 3.1% 1.6% — — 62.23
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian most corners 61.5% 60.6% — — 1.65
Dundee most corners 28.1% 31.1% — — 3.22
Corners level 10.5% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.1% 87.4% 87.0% 1.00× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.7% 78.7% 76.7% 1.03× 1.27
1-4 goals 75.2% 78.7% 79.8% 0.99× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.0% 72.3% 71.1% 1.02× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.2% 63.3% 63.8% 0.99× 1.58
1-3 goals 57.8% 59.1% 61.6% 0.96× 1.69
3-6 goals 56.3% 59.1% 55.2% 1.07× 1.69
3-5 goals 50.6% 53.1% 49.6% 1.07× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.8% 43.6% 45.7% 0.95× 2.29
3-4 goals 39.8% 39.2% 42.4% 0.93× 2.55
1-2 goals 35.5% 39.2% 37.6% 1.04× 2.55
4-6 goals 33.9% 35.2% 31.2% 1.13× 2.84
4-5 goals 28.3% 30.2% 25.6% 1.18× 3.31
5-6 goals 16.5% 18.8% 13.0% 1.45× 5.31
7+ goals 3.9% 2.6% 1.9% 1.38× 39.09
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian never behind 57.2% 62.4% — — 1.60
Dundee never behind 22.6% 25.1% — — 3.98
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.9% 50.9% 51.2% 0.99× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.1% 49.1% 48.8% 1.01× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.6% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.4% 48.2% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.3% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.7% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.7% 95.4% 94.2% 1.01× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 90.4% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Over 1.5 goals 81.6% 82.3% 78.3% 1.05× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 79.6% 77.3% 85.3% 0.91× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 62.1% 61.7% 67.1% 0.92× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 60.2% 61.7% 56.8% 1.09× 1.62
Under 2.5 goals 39.8% 38.3% 43.2% 0.89× 2.61
Over 3.5 goals 37.9% 38.3% 32.9% 1.17× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 20.4% 22.7% 14.7% 1.55× 4.41
Under 1.5 goals 18.4% 17.7% 21.7% 0.82× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 9.6% 7.7% 7.4% 1.04× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 4.3% 4.6% 5.8% 0.79× 21.81
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.8% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 89.3% 86.7% 92.0% 0.94× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 76.6% 75.9% 72.4% 1.05× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 75.3% 75.9% 82.1% 0.92× 1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 51.2% 51.9% 56.8% 0.91× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 48.8% 48.1% 43.2% 1.11× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 24.8% 24.1% 17.9% 1.35× 4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 23.4% 24.1% 27.6% 0.87× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 10.8% 13.3% 8.0% 1.65× 7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.2% 2.8% 2.0% 1.43× 35.57
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.5% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 73.0% 71.3% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 62.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 37.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half 27.0% 28.7% — — 3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.5% 11.0% — — 9.07
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 83.6% 83.0% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 72.9% 77.7% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 53.9% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 46.1% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 27.1% 22.3% — — 4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 16.4% 17.0% — — 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee not to score in both halves 83.4% 84.3% — — 1.19
Hibernian not to score in both halves 59.8% 58.3% — — 1.72
Hibernian to score in both halves 40.2% 41.7% — — 2.40
Dundee to score in both halves 16.6% 15.7% — — 6.39
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.2% 58.6% 52.3% 1.12× 1.71
Only Hibernian scores 29.8% 26.1% 27.5% 0.95× 3.83
Only Dundee scores 8.7% 7.1% 14.9% 0.48× 13.99
Neither team scores 4.3% 4.6% 5.8% 0.80× 21.55
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 24.2% 0.93× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 21.4% 22.6% 21.7% 1.04× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 17.4% 17.5% 18.4% 0.95× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 14.1% 12.1% 16.1% 0.75× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 10.9% 12.1% 7.4% 1.63× 8.26
6 or more goals 9.6% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 4.3% 4.5% 5.8% 0.77× 22.33
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.4% 37.2% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 27.0% 28.6% — — 3.50
2 goals in 1st half 23.1% 21.5% — — 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 14.5% 10.9% — — 9.16
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 53.9% 51.2% — — 1.95
1 goal in 2nd half 29.7% 29.2% — — 3.43
No goals in 2nd half 16.4% 16.7% — — 5.97
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee not to win both halves 96.5% 97.2% — — 1.03
Hibernian not to win both halves 78.5% 75.7% — — 1.32
Hibernian to win both halves 21.5% 24.3% — — 4.11
Dundee to win both halves 3.5% 2.8% — — 35.78
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to win either half 71.4% 73.0% — — 1.37
Dundee to win neither half 65.8% 67.8% — — 1.48
Dundee to win either half 34.2% 32.2% — — 3.11
Hibernian to win neither half 28.6% 27.0% — — 3.70
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dundee not to win to nil 91.3% 92.1% 85.1% 1.08× 1.09
Hibernian not to win to nil 70.2% 75.3% 72.5% 1.04× 1.33
Hibernian to win to nil 29.8% 24.7% 27.5% 0.90× 4.04
Dundee to win to nil 8.7% 7.9% 14.9% 0.53× 12.63
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian by 1 23.5% 24.1% 19.6% 1.23× 4.15
Draw 20.7% 24.1% 23.3% 1.03× 4.15
Hibernian by 2 18.2% 17.1% 14.5% 1.18× 5.87
Hibernian by 3+ 18.2% 17.1% 12.2% 1.40× 5.87
Dundee by 1 12.4% 11.8% 17.8% 0.66× 8.51
Dundee by 2 5.0% 7.2% 7.6% 0.94× 13.92
Dundee by 3+ 2.0% 2.7% 6.0% 0.45× 36.91
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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