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Hibernian v Rangers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Hibernian win
30.9%
model 33.4%
Draw
23.8%
model 24.6%
Rangers win
45.2%
model 42.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.5%
  2. 0-1 8.9%
  3. 1-2 8.9%
  4. 1-0 7.8%
  5. 2-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.554.3% Under 2.545.7%
BTTS yes57.4% BTTS no42.6%
Hibernian 1+73.6% Hibernian 2+38.4%
Rangers 1+78.2% Rangers 2+45.0%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.52. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
Rangers (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 54%
68.7% fair odds 1.46
moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Hibernian not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 73%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1587.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Rangers have an estimated 45.2% win probability, against 30.9% for Hibernian and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.33 for Hibernian and 1.52 for Rangers.

Why Hibernian

Nothing in the data singles out Hibernian.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.33 to 1.52. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Rangers can win

Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1587. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Hibernian, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rangers, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Hibernian: 36% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rangers: 56% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rangers are the model's most likely outcome at 45.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.33–1.52 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.42–1.41 1-1 12% 54% 57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to win 37.8% 36.3% 45.9% 0.79× 2.75
Rangers to win 37.4% 36.3% 31.0% 1.17× 2.75
Draw 24.8% 24.5% 23.3% 1.05× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian & both teams score 19.2% 18.0% 18.6% 0.97× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 19.1% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Rangers & both teams score 19.0% 18.0% 16.3% 1.10× 5.56
Hibernian & not both score 18.6% 18.0% 27.5% 0.65× 5.56
Rangers & not both score 18.4% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.56
Draw & not both score 5.7% 8.3% 5.8% 1.44× 12.01
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian & over 1.5 29.3% 26.1% 36.6% 0.71× 3.84
Rangers & over 1.5 29.0% 26.1% 24.4% 1.07× 3.84
Hibernian & under 3.5 25.6% 26.1% 30.2% 0.86× 3.84
Rangers & under 3.5 25.4% 26.1% 22.5% 1.16× 3.84
Hibernian & over 2.5 23.4% 21.6% 28.1% 0.77× 4.63
Rangers & over 2.5 23.1% 21.6% 20.5% 1.06× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.1% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.55
Draw & under 2.5 17.4% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 17.4% 18.0% 14.9% 1.21× 5.56
Hibernian & under 2.5 14.4% 12.8% 18.0% 0.71× 7.79
Rangers & under 2.5 14.3% 12.8% 10.7% 1.19× 7.79
Hibernian & over 3.5 12.2% 12.8% 15.9% 0.81× 7.79
Rangers & over 3.5 12.0% 12.8% 8.7% 1.48× 7.79
Hibernian & under 1.5 8.5% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.4% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.4% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Rangers & under 1.5 8.4% 7.9% 6.8% 1.16× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 5.7% 7.9% 5.8% 1.37× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (1UP) 55.1% 57.8% — — 1.73
Rangers (1UP) 54.8% 52.5% — — 1.91
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (2UP) 37.8% 37.3% — — 2.68
Rangers (2UP) 37.4% 37.3% — — 2.68
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 34.5% 34.0% — — 2.94
Rangers to win 2nd half 33.8% 34.0% — — 2.94
Hibernian to win 2nd half 31.7% 34.0% — — 2.94
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers under 1.5 in 2nd half 79.1% 79.6% — — 1.26
Rangers over 0.5 in 2nd half 57.2% 54.4% — — 1.84
Rangers under 0.5 in 2nd half 42.8% 45.6% — — 2.19
Rangers over 1.5 in 2nd half 20.9% 20.4% — — 4.90
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 2nd half 80.5% 82.3% — — 1.22
Hibernian over 0.5 in 2nd half 55.5% 57.9% — — 1.73
Hibernian under 0.5 in 2nd half 44.5% 42.1% — — 2.38
Hibernian over 1.5 in 2nd half 19.5% 17.7% — — 5.64
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (+2.5) 93.5% 92.1% 87.8% 1.05× 1.09
Rangers (+1.5) 82.4% 82.6% 73.6% 1.12× 1.21
Hibernian (+0.5) 62.6% 63.0% 69.0% 0.91× 1.59
Rangers (+0.5) 62.2% 62.9% 54.1% 1.16× 1.59
Hibernian (-0.5) 37.8% 37.1% 45.9% 0.81× 2.70
Rangers (-0.5) 37.4% 37.0% 31.0% 1.20× 2.70
Hibernian (-1.5) 17.6% 17.4% 26.4% 0.66× 5.74
Hibernian (-2.5) 6.5% 7.9% 12.2% 0.65× 12.71
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to concede 75.9% 78.7% 79.5% 0.99× 1.27
Rangers clean sheet 24.1% 21.3% 20.5% 1.04× 4.70
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 1st half 54.3% 50.9% — — 1.96
Rangers to concede in 1st half 45.7% 49.1% — — 2.04
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to concede in 2nd half 55.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Rangers clean sheet in 2nd half 44.5% 42.8% — — 2.34
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers over 2.5 corners 89.9% 85.3% — — 1.17
Rangers over 3.5 corners 79.6% 76.1% — — 1.32
Rangers over 4.5 corners 66.6% 67.6% — — 1.48
Rangers under 6.5 corners 60.6% 61.7% — — 1.62
Rangers over 5.5 corners 52.6% 53.1% — — 1.88
Rangers under 5.5 corners 47.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Rangers over 6.5 corners 39.4% 38.3% — — 2.61
Rangers under 4.5 corners 33.4% 32.4% — — 3.09
Rangers under 3.5 corners 20.4% 23.9% — — 4.18
Rangers under 2.5 corners 10.1% 14.8% — — 6.78
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers under 3.5 goals 94.5% 92.4% 96.3% 0.96× 1.08
Rangers under 2.5 goals 83.0% 81.5% 85.5% 0.95× 1.23
Rangers over 0.5 goals 75.7% 76.2% 66.9% 1.14× 1.31
Rangers under 1.5 goals 58.7% 59.4% 63.2% 0.94× 1.68
Rangers over 1.5 goals 41.3% 40.6% 36.8% 1.10× 2.47
Rangers under 0.5 goals 24.3% 23.8% 33.1% 0.72× 4.21
Rangers over 2.5 goals 17.0% 18.5% 14.5% 1.28× 5.41
Rangers over 3.5 goals 5.5% 7.6% 3.7% 2.05× 13.09
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half 88.9% 89.3% — — 1.12
Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half 56.8% 62.3% — — 1.61
Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half 43.2% 37.7% — — 2.65
Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half 11.1% 10.7% — — 9.36
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers scores more in 2nd half 39.7% 37.4% — — 2.67
Rangers scores equally in both 37.5% 37.4% — — 2.68
Rangers scores more in 1st half 22.8% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (away no bet) 60.4% 61.9% 66.3% 0.93× 1.62
Draw (away no bet) 39.6% 38.1% 33.7% 1.13× 2.62
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers even goals 53.0% 52.6% 57.6% 0.91× 1.90
Rangers odd goals 47.0% 47.4% 42.4% 1.12× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 83.7% 83.2% — — 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.3% 16.8% — — 5.96
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.0% 67.8% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 34.0% 32.2% — — 3.10
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 57.4% 54.9% — — 1.82
Hibernian to score 2+ in a row 32.4% 28.9% — — 3.46
Rangers to score 2+ in a row 32.2% 28.9% — — 3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row 20.3% 19.5% — — 5.14
Hibernian to score 3+ in a row 10.4% 12.1% — — 8.26
Rangers to score 3+ in a row 10.3% 12.1% — — 8.27
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers corners (+3.5) 91.2% 89.6% — — 1.12
Rangers corners (+2.5) 86.1% 84.5% — — 1.18
Rangers corners (+1.5) 79.2% 74.8% — — 1.34
Hibernian corners (+3.5) 70.6% 70.7% — — 1.41
Hibernian corners (+2.5) 60.9% 61.8% — — 1.62
Hibernian corners (+1.5) 50.3% 52.4% — — 1.91
Rangers corners (-1.5) 49.7% 47.6% — — 2.10
Rangers corners (-2.5) 39.1% 38.2% — — 2.62
Rangers corners (-3.5) 29.4% 29.3% — — 3.42
Hibernian corners (-1.5) 20.8% 25.2% — — 3.97
Hibernian corners (-2.5) 13.9% 15.5% — — 6.45
Hibernian corners (-3.5) 8.8% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 36.7% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 32.4% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 30.8% 33.2% — — 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 77.2% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 72.0% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 67.6% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 63.3% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 57.1% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 53.4% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 46.6% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 42.9% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 36.7% 36.7% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 32.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 28.0% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 22.8% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.7% 11.5% 9.3% 1.23× 8.71
0-1 8.4% 7.4% 6.8% 1.09× 13.51
1-0 8.5% 7.4% 9.5% 0.78× 13.51
2-1 8.4% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
1-2 8.3% 7.4% 8.9% 0.83× 13.51
0-0 5.7% 7.4% 5.8% 1.28× 13.51
0-2 5.9% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.51
2-0 5.9% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
2-2 5.9% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.51
0-3 2.8% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.30
0-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.31
1-3 3.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.30
1-4 1.4% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
2-3 2.8% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.30
2-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
3-0 2.8% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.30
3-1 4.0% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.30
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.30
3-3 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
4-0 1.0% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.31
4-1 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.19× 58.31
4-2 1.0% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.31
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.30× 58.32
Any other score 3.0% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (2nd half DNB) 51.6% 54.4% — — 1.84
Hibernian (2nd half DNB) 48.4% 45.6% — — 2.19
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian leading at HT (DNB) 52.5% 56.1% — — 1.78
Rangers leading at HT (DNB) 47.5% 43.9% — — 2.28
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or Rangers (12) 75.2% 75.5% 76.7% 0.99× 1.32
Hibernian or draw (1X) 62.6% 63.7% 69.0% 0.92× 1.57
Rangers or draw (X2) 62.2% 63.7% 54.1% 1.18× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw at HT 72.7% 74.5% — — 1.34
Rangers or draw at HT 69.7% 67.3% — — 1.49
Hibernian or Rangers at HT 57.6% 57.5% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian or draw (1UP) 62.6% 71.6% — — 1.40
Rangers or draw (1UP) 62.2% 71.6% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw in 2nd half 68.3% 66.0% — — 1.52
Hibernian or draw in 2nd half 66.2% 66.0% — — 1.52
Hibernian or Rangers in 2nd half 65.5% 66.0% — — 1.52
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.4% 61.3% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.6% 38.7% — — 2.59
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (DNB) 50.2% 50.8% 59.7% 0.85× 1.97
Rangers (DNB) 49.8% 49.2% 40.3% 1.22× 2.03
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score first 47.3% 45.8% — — 2.18
Rangers to score first 47.0% 45.8% — — 2.18
No goal scored 5.7% 7.5% — — 13.31
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.3% 55.0% 52.3% 1.05× 1.82
Not both teams to score 42.7% 45.0% 47.7% 0.94× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 45.6% 44.3% 43.2% 1.03× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 34.4% 34.6% 34.1% 1.01× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 11.7% 12.4% 9.3% 1.33× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 8.3% 8.3% 13.8% 0.60× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 82.8% 82.6% 83.9% 0.99× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 17.2% 17.4% 16.1% 1.08× 5.76
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.3% 67.3% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.7% 32.7% — — 3.06
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 54.8% 54.9% — — 1.82
Both score 2nd half only 25.4% 26.7% — — 3.74
Both score 1st half only 13.5% 10.8% — — 9.30
Both score in both halves 6.3% 6.8% — — 14.79
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.3% 83.4% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 19.7% 16.6% — — 6.01
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 55.9% 57.0% — — 1.76
A half without a goal 44.1% 43.0% — — 2.32
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.7% 47.2% 45.7% 1.03× 2.12
4-6 goals 29.0% 26.6% 31.2% 0.85× 3.76
0-1 goals 22.6% 22.9% 21.7% 1.06× 4.36
7+ goals 2.6% 1.8% 1.9% 0.99× 54.30
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score exactly 1 34.4% 33.8% 30.4% 1.11× 2.96
Rangers to score exactly 0 24.3% 22.3% 33.1% 0.67× 4.49
Rangers to score exactly 2 24.3% 22.3% 22.5% 0.99× 4.49
Rangers to score 3+ 17.0% 19.5% 14.5% 1.35× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score exactly 1 34.3% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Hibernian to score exactly 2 24.4% 23.3% 25.0% 0.93× 4.29
Hibernian to score exactly 0 24.1% 23.3% 20.5% 1.14× 4.29
Hibernian to score 3+ 17.2% 18.8% 23.8% 0.79× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.4% 42.5% — — 2.35
Hibernian leading at HT 30.3% 32.7% — — 3.06
Rangers leading at HT 27.3% 25.5% — — 3.92
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian -1: 2 62.2% 62.5% — — 1.60
Hibernian -1: X 20.2% 23.5% — — 4.26
Hibernian -1: 1 17.6% 17.5% — — 5.72
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:1) 62.2% 61.5% 54.1% 1.14× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 20.2% 24.2% 19.6% 1.23× 4.13
Hibernian (0:1) 17.6% 17.8% 26.4% 0.67× 5.61
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:2) 82.4% 83.0% 73.6% 1.13× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.1% 11.0% 14.5% 0.76× 9.11
Hibernian (0:2) 6.5% 7.7% 12.2% 0.63× 13.06
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:3) 93.5% 92.7% 87.8% 1.06× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.5% 2.4% 6.8% 0.35× 41.94
Hibernian (0:3) 2.0% 2.4% 5.6% 0.43× 42.05
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:4) 98.0% 98.1% 94.4% 1.04× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.5% 1.2% 4.8% 0.26× 81.81
Hibernian (0:4) 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 1.18× 81.91
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (1:0) 62.6% 65.3% 69.0% 0.95× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 20.1% 21.7% 17.8% 1.22× 4.62
Rangers (1:0) 17.3% 17.1% 13.4% 1.27× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian (2:0) 82.7% 84.6% 86.6% 0.98× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.9% 10.3% 7.6% 1.34× 9.73
Rangers (2:0) 6.4% 6.4% 6.0% 1.07× 15.67
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.7% 48.6% — — 2.06
1st half highest scoring 27.2% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 24.1% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to concede 75.7% 76.0% 66.9% 1.14× 1.32
Hibernian clean sheet 24.3% 24.0% 33.1% 0.73× 4.17
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 1st half 56.8% 62.3% — — 1.61
Hibernian to concede in 1st half 43.2% 37.7% — — 2.65
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to concede in 2nd half 57.2% 54.8% — — 1.83
Hibernian clean sheet in 2nd half 42.8% 45.2% — — 2.21
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 6.5 corners 80.9% 81.0% — — 1.24
Hibernian over 2.5 corners 77.9% 76.5% — — 1.31
Hibernian under 5.5 corners 69.8% 66.7% — — 1.50
Hibernian over 3.5 corners 61.5% 62.3% — — 1.61
Hibernian under 4.5 corners 55.2% 57.5% — — 1.74
Hibernian over 4.5 corners 44.8% 42.5% — — 2.35
Hibernian under 3.5 corners 38.5% 37.7% — — 2.65
Hibernian over 5.5 corners 30.2% 33.3% — — 3.01
Hibernian under 2.5 corners 22.1% 23.5% — — 4.26
Hibernian over 6.5 corners 19.1% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 3.5 goals 94.4% 92.2% 92.1% 1.00× 1.08
Hibernian under 2.5 goals 82.8% 82.2% 76.2% 1.08× 1.22
Hibernian over 0.5 goals 75.9% 77.8% 79.5% 0.98× 1.29
Hibernian under 1.5 goals 58.4% 58.7% 51.4% 1.14× 1.71
Hibernian over 1.5 goals 41.6% 41.3% 48.6% 0.85× 2.42
Hibernian under 0.5 goals 24.1% 22.2% 20.5% 1.09× 4.50
Hibernian over 2.5 goals 17.2% 17.8% 23.8% 0.75× 5.62
Hibernian over 3.5 goals 5.6% 7.8% 7.9% 0.99× 12.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 1st half 87.4% 90.1% — — 1.11
Hibernian under 0.5 in 1st half 54.3% 50.7% — — 1.97
Hibernian over 0.5 in 1st half 45.7% 49.3% — — 2.03
Hibernian over 1.5 in 1st half 12.6% 9.9% — — 10.08
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian scores equally in both 37.6% 38.1% — — 2.62
Hibernian scores more in 2nd half 37.1% 38.1% — — 2.62
Hibernian scores more in 1st half 25.2% 27.8% — — 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (home no bet) 60.1% 59.9% 57.0% 1.05× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 39.9% 40.1% 43.0% 0.93× 2.50
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian even goals 52.9% 50.8% 51.7% 0.98× 1.97
Hibernian odd goals 47.1% 49.2% 48.3% 1.02× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.8% 33.4% — — 3.00
HT 1-0 18.9% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 0-1 17.5% 18.6% — — 5.39
HT 1-1 10.6% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 2-0 5.8% 6.9% — — 14.57
HT 0-2 4.9% 2.4% — — 42.10
Any other HT score 4.4% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT 2-1 3.3% 2.4% — — 42.21
HT 1-2 3.0% 2.4% — — 42.22
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.4% — — 42.36
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian at HT / Hibernian at FT 22.0% 21.6% — — 4.63
Rangers at HT / Rangers at FT 20.3% 21.5% — — 4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.4% 12.7% — — 7.88
Draw at HT / Rangers at FT 14.4% 12.7% — — 7.88
Draw at HT / Hibernian at FT 13.5% 12.7% — — 7.89
Hibernian at HT / Draw at FT 5.5% 6.0% — — 16.54
Rangers at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% — — 28.86
Hibernian at HT / Rangers at FT 2.7% 3.5% — — 28.94
Rangers at HT / Hibernian at FT 2.3% 3.5% — — 28.95
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to score last 47.3% 46.3% — — 2.16
Rangers to score last 47.0% 46.3% — — 2.16
No goal scored 5.7% 7.5% — — 13.31
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.3% 92.6% — — 1.08
Hibernian to lead by 1 at any time 55.1% 54.8% — — 1.82
Rangers to lead by 1 at any time 54.8% 50.7% — — 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 47.6% 44.3% — — 2.26
Hibernian to lead by 2 at any time 24.0% 19.6% — — 5.11
Rangers to lead by 2 at any time 23.8% 19.5% — — 5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.8% 14.8% — — 6.75
Hibernian to lead by 3 at any time 8.5% 6.7% — — 14.99
Rangers to lead by 3 at any time 8.3% 6.7% — — 15.00
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers most corners 60.4% 60.6% — — 1.65
Hibernian most corners 29.5% 31.1% — — 3.21
Corners level 10.1% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.5% 87.4% 87.0% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.5% 78.7% 79.8% 0.99× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.8% 72.3% 76.7% 0.94× 1.38
2-5 goals 70.5% 72.3% 71.1% 1.02× 1.38
1-3 goals 62.7% 63.3% 61.6% 1.03× 1.58
2-4 goals 61.6% 63.3% 63.8% 0.99× 1.58
3-6 goals 51.3% 53.1% 55.2% 0.96× 1.88
3-5 goals 47.1% 48.4% 49.6% 0.98× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.7% 48.4% 45.7% 1.06× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.4% 43.6% 37.6% 1.16× 2.29
3-4 goals 38.1% 39.2% 42.4% 0.92× 2.55
4-6 goals 29.0% 30.2% 31.2% 0.97× 3.31
4-5 goals 24.8% 24.5% 25.6% 0.95× 4.09
5-6 goals 13.2% 14.8% 13.0% 1.14× 6.75
7+ goals 2.6% 2.6% 1.9% 1.37× 39.15
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian never behind 39.5% 44.3% — — 2.26
Rangers never behind 39.1% 44.3% — — 2.26
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.9% 50.9% 51.2% 0.99× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.1% 49.1% 48.8% 1.01× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.7% 51.8% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.3% 48.2% — — 2.08
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.7% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.3% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.3% 92.3% 94.2% 0.98× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 93.2% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.2% 82.3% 85.3% 0.96× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 77.4% 77.3% 78.3% 0.99× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.4% 66.3% 67.1% 0.99× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 53.9% 52.5% 56.8% 0.92× 1.90
Under 2.5 goals 46.1% 47.5% 43.2% 1.10× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 31.6% 33.7% 32.9% 1.02× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 22.6% 22.7% 21.7% 1.05× 4.40
Over 4.5 goals 15.8% 17.7% 14.7% 1.21× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 6.8% 7.7% 7.4% 1.04× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 5.7% 7.7% 5.8% 1.34× 12.94
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.3% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.5% 92.4% 92.0% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.2% 81.1% 82.1% 0.99× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.4% 72.3% 72.4% 1.00× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 59.3% 55.8% 56.8% 0.98× 1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 40.7% 44.2% 43.2% 1.02× 2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.6% 27.7% 27.6% 1.00× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 18.8% 18.9% 17.9% 1.06× 5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.5% 7.6% 8.0% 0.95× 13.19
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.7% 2.8% 2.0% 1.43× 35.62
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.4% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.2% 68.7% — — 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 67.1% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.9% 31.4% — — 3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.8% 31.3% — — 3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.6% 10.9% — — 9.15
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.0% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 76.8% 79.5% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 50.7% 53.1% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 49.3% 46.9% — — 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 23.2% 20.5% — — 4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.0% 17.1% — — 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers not to score in both halves 75.3% 78.4% — — 1.28
Hibernian not to score in both halves 74.6% 73.9% — — 1.35
Hibernian to score in both halves 25.4% 26.1% — — 3.84
Rangers to score in both halves 24.7% 21.6% — — 4.62
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.3% 58.6% 52.3% 1.12× 1.71
Only Hibernian scores 18.6% 16.0% 27.5% 0.58× 6.23
Only Rangers scores 18.4% 16.0% 14.9% 1.08× 6.23
Neither team scores 5.7% 7.1% 5.8% 1.23× 14.02
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 23.4% 22.6% 21.7% 1.04× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 24.2% 0.93× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 16.9% 17.5% 16.1% 1.08× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 15.8% 17.5% 18.4% 0.95× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 9.0% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.13
6 or more goals 6.8% 7.6% 7.4% 1.02× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 5.7% 7.6% 5.8% 1.32× 13.14
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.3% 37.2% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 30.8% 35.6% — — 2.81
2 goals in 1st half 21.3% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 11.6% 10.8% — — 9.24
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 49.3% 44.9% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.7% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 19.0% 16.8% — — 5.94
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers not to win both halves 90.8% 94.1% — — 1.06
Hibernian not to win both halves 90.4% 94.1% — — 1.06
Hibernian to win both halves 9.6% 5.9% — — 16.97
Rangers to win both halves 9.2% 5.9% — — 16.99
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Hibernian to win either half 52.4% 54.3% — — 1.84
Rangers to win either half 52.0% 54.3% — — 1.84
Rangers to win neither half 48.0% 45.7% — — 2.19
Hibernian to win neither half 47.6% 45.7% — — 2.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers not to win to nil 81.6% 83.1% 85.1% 0.98× 1.20
Hibernian not to win to nil 81.4% 83.1% 72.5% 1.15× 1.20
Hibernian to win to nil 18.6% 16.9% 27.5% 0.62× 5.91
Rangers to win to nil 18.4% 16.9% 14.9% 1.14× 5.91
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.8% 24.1% 23.3% 1.03× 4.15
Hibernian by 1 20.2% 24.1% 19.6% 1.23× 4.15
Rangers by 1 20.1% 24.1% 17.8% 1.36× 4.15
Hibernian by 2 11.1% 11.8% 14.5% 0.81× 8.51
Rangers by 2 10.9% 11.8% 7.6% 1.54× 8.51
Hibernian by 3+ 6.5% 7.2% 12.2% 0.59× 13.91
Rangers by 3+ 6.4% 7.2% 6.0% 1.20× 13.91
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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