Hibernian v St Johnstone — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Hibernian

15:00 UTC

St Johnstone

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 1,276h before kick-off

Hibernian win

60.6%

model 62.7%

Draw

21.6%

model 21.6%

St Johnstone win

17.8%

model 15.7%

612218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (270 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 12.9%
2-0 12.0%
1-1 10.2%
2-1 9.7%
3-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.2%	Under 2.5	49.8%
BTTS yes	46.8%	BTTS no	53.2%
Hibernian 1+	84.7%	Hibernian 2+	55.9%
St Johnstone 1+	55.5%	St Johnstone 2+	19.4%

Expected goals 1.88 – 0.81. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Hibernian (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Hibernian or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1351.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Hibernian have an estimated 60.6% win probability, against 21.6% for the draw and 17.8% for St Johnstone. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.88 for Hibernian and 0.81 for St Johnstone.

Why Hibernian

Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1351.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.6%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why St Johnstone can win

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Hibernian, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St Johnstone, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Hibernian: 36% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St Johnstone: 51% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Hibernian are the model's most likely outcome at 60.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.9%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	632216	1.88–0.81	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	672013	1.98–0.75	1-0 13%	51%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to win	66.6%	64.7%	45.9%	1.41×	1.55
Draw	20.2%	24.5%	23.3%	1.05×	4.09
St Johnstone to win	13.3%	13.5%	31.0%	0.43×	7.43

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian & not both score	41.0%	40.0%	27.5%	1.46×	2.50
Hibernian & both teams score	25.5%	25.2%	18.6%	1.35×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	13.8%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
St Johnstone & not both score	7.4%	8.3%	14.9%	0.56×	12.00
Draw & not both score	6.4%	8.3%	5.8%	1.44×	12.01
St Johnstone & both teams score	5.9%	8.3%	16.3%	0.51×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian & over 1.5	53.5%	48.8%	36.6%	1.34×	2.05
Hibernian & under 3.5	44.0%	40.3%	30.2%	1.34×	2.48
Hibernian & over 2.5	40.6%	40.2%	28.1%	1.43×	2.49
Hibernian & under 2.5	25.9%	26.1%	18.0%	1.45×	3.84
Hibernian & over 3.5	22.6%	21.6%	15.9%	1.36×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.0%	18.0%	14.9%	1.21×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	13.8%	12.8%	17.8%	0.72×	7.79
Hibernian & under 1.5	13.1%	12.8%	9.5%	1.35×	7.79
St Johnstone & under 3.5	10.9%	12.8%	22.5%	0.57×	7.79
St Johnstone & over 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	24.4%	0.32×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	5.8%	1.37×	12.63
St Johnstone & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	20.5%	0.39×	12.63
St Johnstone & under 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
St Johnstone & under 1.5	5.0%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.81
Draw & over 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.82
St Johnstone & over 3.5	2.4%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (1UP)	76.3%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
St Johnstone (1UP)	28.7%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (2UP)	66.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
St Johnstone (2UP)	13.3%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to win 2nd half	52.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	32.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
St Johnstone to win 2nd half	14.6%	11.4%	—	—	8.75

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 2nd half	92.5%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 2nd half	64.0%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 2nd half	36.0%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 2nd half	7.5%	8.2%	—	—	12.16

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 2nd half	68.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Hibernian over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Hibernian under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Hibernian over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.2%	29.2%	—	—	3.43

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (+0.5)	86.7%	88.5%	69.0%	1.28×	1.13
St Johnstone (+2.5)	79.2%	78.5%	87.8%	0.89×	1.27
Hibernian (-0.5)	66.6%	68.7%	45.9%	1.50×	1.46
St Johnstone (+1.5)	58.8%	57.1%	73.6%	0.78×	1.75
Hibernian (-1.5)	41.2%	42.9%	26.4%	1.62×	2.33
St Johnstone (+0.5)	33.4%	31.3%	54.1%	0.58×	3.19
Hibernian (-2.5)	20.8%	21.5%	12.2%	1.76×	4.65
St Johnstone (-0.5)	13.3%	11.5%	31.0%	0.37×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede	86.2%	86.2%	79.5%	1.08×	1.16
St Johnstone clean sheet	13.8%	13.8%	20.5%	0.67×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede in 1st half	57.4%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
St Johnstone clean sheet in 1st half	42.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede in 2nd half	67.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
St Johnstone clean sheet in 2nd half	32.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 6.5 corners	85.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
St Johnstone under 5.5 corners	75.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
St Johnstone over 2.5 corners	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St Johnstone under 4.5 corners	61.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
St Johnstone over 3.5 corners	55.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
St Johnstone under 3.5 corners	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
St Johnstone over 4.5 corners	38.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
St Johnstone under 2.5 corners	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
St Johnstone over 5.5 corners	24.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
St Johnstone over 6.5 corners	14.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
St Johnstone under 2.5 goals	96.0%	97.5%	85.5%	1.14×	1.03
St Johnstone under 1.5 goals	82.8%	81.5%	63.2%	1.29×	1.23
St Johnstone over 0.5 goals	52.5%	53.5%	66.9%	0.80×	1.87
St Johnstone under 0.5 goals	47.5%	46.5%	33.1%	1.41×	2.15
St Johnstone over 1.5 goals	17.2%	18.5%	36.8%	0.50×	5.41
St Johnstone over 2.5 goals	4.0%	2.5%	14.5%	0.17×	39.77
St Johnstone over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	39.93

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 1st half	96.4%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 1st half	74.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 1st half	25.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 1st half	3.6%	3.9%	—	—	25.66

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone scores equally in both	54.0%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
St Johnstone scores more in 2nd half	28.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
St Johnstone scores more in 1st half	17.5%	18.0%	—	—	5.55

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (away no bet)	76.7%	73.4%	66.3%	1.11×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.3%	26.6%	33.7%	0.79×	3.77

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone even goals	61.3%	59.1%	57.6%	1.03×	1.69
St Johnstone odd goals	38.7%	40.9%	42.4%	0.97×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.16

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Hibernian to score 2+ in a row	52.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.7%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Hibernian to score 3+ in a row	25.0%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
St Johnstone to score 2+ in a row	11.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
St Johnstone to score 3+ in a row	1.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.84

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian corners (+3.5)	93.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Hibernian corners (+2.5)	88.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Hibernian corners (+1.5)	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St Johnstone corners (+3.5)	67.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
St Johnstone corners (+2.5)	57.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Hibernian corners (-1.5)	53.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
St Johnstone corners (+1.5)	46.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Hibernian corners (-2.5)	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Hibernian corners (-3.5)	32.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
St Johnstone corners (-1.5)	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
St Johnstone corners (-2.5)	11.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
St Johnstone corners (-3.5)	6.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	74.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	25.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.1%	11.5%	9.5%	1.21×	8.71
2-0	12.9%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.71
1-1	9.5%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.51
2-1	9.6%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
3-0	8.5%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
0-0	6.4%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.51
3-1	6.3%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.51
Any other score	5.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.51
0-1	5.0%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.29
0-2	1.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
1-2	3.6%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.30
1-3	0.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.15×	58.32
4-0	4.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
4-1	3.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.30
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.77×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.30×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (2nd half DNB)	78.3%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
St Johnstone (2nd half DNB)	21.7%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian leading at HT (DNB)	79.3%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
St Johnstone leading at HT (DNB)	20.7%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw (1X)	86.7%	86.5%	69.0%	1.25×	1.16
Hibernian or St Johnstone (12)	79.8%	75.5%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
St Johnstone or draw (X2)	33.4%	35.3%	54.1%	0.65×	2.83

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw at HT	87.6%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Hibernian or St Johnstone at HT	59.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
St Johnstone or draw at HT	52.6%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw (1UP)	86.7%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
St Johnstone or draw (1UP)	33.4%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw in 2nd half	85.4%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Hibernian or St Johnstone in 2nd half	67.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
St Johnstone or draw in 2nd half	47.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.7%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	40.3%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (DNB)	83.4%	80.4%	59.7%	1.35×	1.24
St Johnstone (DNB)	16.6%	19.6%	40.3%	0.49×	5.11

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score first	68.0%	69.2%	—	—	1.44
St Johnstone to score first	25.6%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.8%	51.3%	47.7%	1.07×	1.95
Both teams to score	45.2%	48.7%	52.3%	0.93×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.2%	38.5%	34.1%	1.13×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	35.6%	38.4%	43.2%	0.89×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	15.7%	21.5%	13.8%	1.55×	4.66
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.9%	85.6%	83.9%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.1%	14.4%	16.1%	0.89×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.5%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	20.8%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Both score 1st half only	11.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	3.6%	4.9%	—	—	20.42

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.2%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	14.8%	15.4%	—	—	6.50

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	45.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.2%	45.7%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	27.0%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.76
0-1 goals	24.5%	22.9%	21.7%	1.06×	4.36
7+ goals	2.1%	1.8%	1.9%	0.99×	54.35

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score exactly 0	47.5%	43.0%	33.1%	1.30×	2.33
St Johnstone to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.9%	30.4%	1.18×	2.79
St Johnstone to score exactly 2	13.2%	12.9%	22.5%	0.57×	7.76
St Johnstone to score 3+	4.0%	4.6%	14.5%	0.32×	21.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score 3+	31.8%	32.6%	23.8%	1.37×	3.07
Hibernian to score exactly 1	27.3%	26.6%	31.2%	0.85×	3.77
Hibernian to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.6%	25.0%	1.06×	3.77
Hibernian to score exactly 0	13.8%	14.3%	20.5%	0.70×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian leading at HT	47.4%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Draw at HT	40.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.36
St Johnstone leading at HT	12.4%	11.7%	—	—	8.54

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian -1: 1	41.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Hibernian -1: 2	33.4%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Hibernian -1: X	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:1)	41.2%	42.6%	26.4%	1.61×	2.35
St Johnstone (0:1)	33.4%	30.2%	54.1%	0.56×	3.32
Draw (0:1)	25.3%	27.0%	19.6%	1.38×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:2)	58.8%	63.3%	73.6%	0.86×	1.58
Hibernian (0:2)	20.8%	20.2%	12.2%	1.66×	4.94
Draw (0:2)	20.5%	20.2%	14.5%	1.40×	4.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:3)	79.2%	80.8%	87.8%	0.92×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.1%	9.9%	6.8%	1.45×	10.12
Hibernian (0:3)	8.6%	5.8%	5.6%	1.04×	17.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (0:4)	91.4%	94.5%	94.4%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.6%	4.6%	4.8%	0.97×	21.69
Hibernian (0:4)	3.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.19×	81.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (1:0)	86.7%	86.1%	69.0%	1.25×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.6%	6.9%	17.8%	0.39×	14.46
St Johnstone (1:0)	3.7%	3.3%	13.4%	0.24×	30.56

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (2:0)	96.3%	96.8%	86.6%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	7.6%	0.30×	43.75
St Johnstone (2:0)	0.8%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.88

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
1st half highest scoring	27.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to concede	52.5%	53.2%	66.9%	0.79×	1.88
Hibernian clean sheet	47.5%	46.8%	33.1%	1.42×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 1st half	74.2%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Hibernian to concede in 1st half	25.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 2nd half	64.0%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Hibernian to concede in 2nd half	36.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian over 2.5 corners	89.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Hibernian over 3.5 corners	79.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Hibernian over 4.5 corners	66.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Hibernian under 6.5 corners	61.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Hibernian over 5.5 corners	52.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Hibernian under 5.5 corners	47.7%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Hibernian over 6.5 corners	39.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Hibernian under 4.5 corners	33.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Hibernian under 3.5 corners	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Hibernian under 2.5 corners	10.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian over 0.5 goals	86.2%	87.3%	79.5%	1.10×	1.15
Hibernian under 3.5 goals	86.1%	87.3%	92.1%	0.95×	1.15
Hibernian under 2.5 goals	68.2%	67.9%	76.2%	0.89×	1.47
Hibernian over 1.5 goals	58.9%	58.7%	48.6%	1.21×	1.70
Hibernian under 1.5 goals	41.1%	41.3%	51.4%	0.80×	2.42
Hibernian over 2.5 goals	31.8%	32.1%	23.8%	1.35×	3.12
Hibernian over 3.5 goals	13.9%	12.7%	7.9%	1.62×	7.85
Hibernian under 0.5 goals	13.8%	12.7%	20.5%	0.62×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 1st half	79.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Hibernian over 0.5 in 1st half	57.4%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Hibernian under 0.5 in 1st half	42.6%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Hibernian over 1.5 in 1st half	21.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian scores more in 2nd half	42.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Hibernian scores equally in both	30.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Hibernian scores more in 1st half	27.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	60.3%	60.0%	43.0%	1.40×	1.67
St Johnstone (home no bet)	39.7%	40.0%	57.0%	0.70×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian even goals	51.0%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Hibernian odd goals	49.0%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.6%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
HT 1-0	27.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 2-0	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	9.5%	6.9%	—	—	14.51
HT 1-1	8.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
Any other HT score	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.34
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian at HT / Hibernian at FT	42.6%	40.9%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Hibernian at FT	21.3%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
St Johnstone at HT / St Johnstone at FT	6.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Draw at HT / St Johnstone at FT	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Hibernian at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
St Johnstone at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
St Johnstone at HT / Hibernian at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.94
Hibernian at HT / St Johnstone at FT	0.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.00

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score last	68.0%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
St Johnstone to score last	25.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	6.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Hibernian to lead by 1 at any time	76.3%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Hibernian to lead by 2 at any time	46.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
St Johnstone to lead by 1 at any time	28.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	24.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Hibernian to lead by 3 at any time	23.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
St Johnstone to lead by 2 at any time	6.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.08
St Johnstone to lead by 3 at any time	1.2%	1.6%	—	—	64.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian most corners	64.1%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
St Johnstone most corners	26.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.7%	87.4%	87.0%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.5%	78.7%	79.8%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.4%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.6%	68.8%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.4%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.4%	63.3%	63.8%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.2%	48.5%	55.2%	0.88×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.4%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.4%	48.4%	49.6%	0.98×	2.06
1-2 goals	42.3%	43.6%	37.6%	1.16×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.2%	39.2%	42.4%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.0%	30.2%	31.2%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.3%	24.5%	25.6%	0.95×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.0%	14.8%	13.0%	1.14×	6.76
7+ goals	2.1%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian never behind	64.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
St Johnstone never behind	17.3%	18.3%	—	—	5.47

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	51.2%	0.99×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	48.8%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	92.6%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.9%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.5%	77.3%	78.3%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.8%	72.5%	67.1%	1.08×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.3%	52.5%	56.8%	0.92×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	48.7%	47.5%	43.2%	1.10×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	29.2%	27.5%	32.9%	0.84×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	24.5%	22.7%	21.7%	1.05×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	14.1%	12.4%	14.7%	0.85×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	7.4%	1.04×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.8%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.6%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.4%	81.1%	82.1%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.7%	67.5%	72.4%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.5%	61.9%	56.8%	1.09×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.5%	38.1%	43.2%	0.88×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.3%	32.5%	27.6%	1.18×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.6%	18.9%	17.9%	1.05×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.4%	7.6%	8.0%	0.95×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.2%	2.8%	2.0%	1.43×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.0%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.4%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.90
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.6%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to score in both halves	90.7%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Hibernian not to score in both halves	61.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Hibernian to score in both halves	38.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
St Johnstone to score in both halves	9.3%	9.8%	—	—	10.17

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.2%	50.6%	52.3%	0.97×	1.98
Only Hibernian scores	41.0%	46.6%	27.5%	1.69×	2.15
Only St Johnstone scores	7.4%	7.1%	14.9%	0.48×	14.00
Neither team scores	6.4%	7.1%	5.8%	1.23×	14.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.2%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	24.2%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.1%	17.5%	16.1%	1.08×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.1%	17.5%	18.4%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.2%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	6.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.9%	7.6%	7.4%	1.02×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	31.6%	35.7%	—	—	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	20.9%	21.5%	—	—	4.66
3+ goals in 1st half	11.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.7%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.7%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win both halves	98.2%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Hibernian not to win both halves	74.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Hibernian to win both halves	25.1%	25.9%	—	—	3.87
St Johnstone to win both halves	1.8%	2.7%	—	—	36.49

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to win either half	75.3%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
St Johnstone to win neither half	74.8%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
St Johnstone to win either half	25.2%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Hibernian to win neither half	24.7%	20.6%	—	—	4.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone not to win to nil	92.6%	92.1%	85.1%	1.08×	1.09
Hibernian not to win to nil	59.0%	59.2%	72.5%	0.82×	1.69
Hibernian to win to nil	41.0%	40.8%	27.5%	1.49×	2.45
St Johnstone to win to nil	7.4%	7.9%	14.9%	0.53×	12.65

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian by 1	25.3%	27.9%	19.6%	1.42×	3.59
Hibernian by 3+	20.8%	24.1%	12.2%	1.98×	4.15
Hibernian by 2	20.5%	24.1%	14.5%	1.67×	4.15
Draw	20.2%	24.1%	23.3%	1.03×	4.15
St Johnstone by 1	9.6%	7.2%	17.8%	0.40×	13.90
St Johnstone by 2	2.9%	2.7%	7.6%	0.35×	36.88
St Johnstone by 3+	0.8%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.95