HNK Gorica v Varaždin — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · CRO-HNL · 2627

CRO-HNL results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

HNK Gorica

15:00 UTC

Varaždin

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 11 Sep, 11:38 · 27h before kick-off

HNK Gorica win

28.2%

model 28.9%

Draw

32.7%

model 33.8%

Varaždin win

39.1%

model 37.3%

283339

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,703 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 15.9%
0-0 13.1%
0-1 10.0%
1-0 8.2%
1-2 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.4%	Under 2.5	60.6%
BTTS yes	48.3%	BTTS no	51.7%
HNK Gorica 1+	64.9%	HNK Gorica 2+	28.2%
Varaždin 1+	70.4%	Varaždin 2+	34.3%

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

27/100

Data quality

30/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Varaždin (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 36%

56.9% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 3547 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

HNK Gorica (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 81%

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 4439 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Away from home Varaždin average 1.35 xG a match.
They have had 14 days' rest to HNK Gorica's 7.

Risk factors

Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
HNK Gorica have only 1 matches on record.
Varaždin have only 0 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Varaždin have an estimated 39.1% win probability, against 32.7% for the draw and 28.2% for HNK Gorica. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.05 for HNK Gorica and 1.22 for Varaždin.

Why HNK Gorica

At home HNK Gorica average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 32.7%. A combined 2.26 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.05 to 1.22.

Why Varaždin can win

Away from home Varaždin average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to HNK Gorica's 7.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for HNK Gorica, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Varaždin, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

HNK Gorica: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Varaždin: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Varaždin are the model's most likely outcome at 39.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 15.9%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	293437	1.05–1.22	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	293536	1.01–1.13	1-1 16%	36%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin to win	35.7%	36.2%	27.0%	1.34×	2.77
Draw	34.9%	30.6%	26.1%	1.18×	3.27
HNK Gorica to win	29.4%	27.7%	47.4%	0.58×	3.61

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin & not both score	22.0%	21.8%	14.2%	1.53×	4.60
Draw & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	18.5%	1.18×	4.60
HNK Gorica & not both score	17.8%	18.0%	26.1%	0.69×	5.55
Draw & not both score	14.4%	13.3%	8.1%	1.65×	7.54
Varaždin & both teams score	13.7%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.54
HNK Gorica & both teams score	11.6%	13.3%	21.8%	0.61×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	30.5%	31.0%	19.4%	1.60×	3.22
Draw & under 3.5	30.5%	31.0%	19.4%	1.60×	3.22
Varaždin & under 3.5	28.6%	25.9%	17.1%	1.52×	3.85
Varaždin & over 1.5	25.0%	25.9%	24.2%	1.07×	3.86
HNK Gorica & under 3.5	24.0%	21.6%	33.2%	0.65×	4.63
HNK Gorica & over 1.5	20.3%	21.6%	39.3%	0.55×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.5%	21.6%	18.5%	1.17×	4.63
Varaždin & over 2.5	17.5%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Varaždin & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	10.9%	1.65×	5.57
HNK Gorica & under 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	19.4%	0.92×	5.57
HNK Gorica & over 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	28.4%	0.45×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	14.4%	12.9%	8.1%	1.60×	7.78
Varaždin & under 1.5	10.6%	12.9%	3.3%	3.87×	7.78
HNK Gorica & under 1.5	9.2%	8.0%	8.5%	0.93×	12.57
Varaždin & over 3.5	7.1%	8.0%	10.4%	0.76×	12.57
HNK Gorica & over 3.5	5.5%	8.0%	14.7%	0.54×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.9%	7.1%	0.68×	20.58
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.9%	7.1%	0.68×	20.58

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (1UP)	50.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
HNK Gorica (1UP)	44.9%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (2UP)	35.7%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
HNK Gorica (2UP)	29.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.6%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Varaždin to win 2nd half	31.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
HNK Gorica to win 2nd half	25.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.1%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Varaždin under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Varaždin over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Varaždin over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.9%	13.5%	—	—	7.43

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.6%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
HNK Gorica under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
HNK Gorica over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
HNK Gorica over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.4%	11.9%	—	—	8.37

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (+2.5)	96.6%	96.3%	90.0%	1.07×	1.04
Varaždin (+1.5)	87.9%	88.4%	72.5%	1.22×	1.13
Varaždin (+0.5)	70.6%	73.7%	52.6%	1.40×	1.36
HNK Gorica (+0.5)	64.3%	63.1%	73.0%	0.86×	1.59
Varaždin (-0.5)	35.7%	36.9%	27.0%	1.37×	2.71
HNK Gorica (-0.5)	29.4%	26.3%	47.4%	0.56×	3.80
HNK Gorica (-1.5)	12.1%	11.6%	27.5%	0.42×	8.59
HNK Gorica (-2.5)	3.4%	3.7%	10.0%	0.37×	26.83

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin to concede	63.6%	68.0%	78.2%	0.87×	1.47
Varaždin clean sheet	36.4%	32.0%	21.8%	1.47×	3.12

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin clean sheet in 1st half	64.8%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Varaždin to concede in 1st half	35.2%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin clean sheet in 2nd half	56.2%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Varaždin to concede in 2nd half	43.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.4%	94.8%	1.03×	1.03
Varaždin under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.9%	87.7%	1.00×	1.14
Varaždin under 1.5 goals	68.7%	67.9%	65.4%	1.04×	1.47
Varaždin over 0.5 goals	67.8%	67.9%	66.4%	1.02×	1.47
Varaždin under 0.5 goals	32.2%	32.1%	33.6%	0.96×	3.11
Varaždin over 1.5 goals	31.3%	32.1%	34.6%	0.93×	3.11
Varaždin over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.27
Varaždin over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.6%	5.2%	0.49×	38.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Varaždin under 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Varaždin over 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Varaždin over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.16

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin scores equally in both	42.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Varaždin scores more in 2nd half	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Varaždin scores more in 1st half	21.2%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	54.2%	51.3%	35.5%	1.45×	1.95
HNK Gorica (away no bet)	45.8%	48.7%	64.5%	0.75×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin even goals	55.2%	56.8%	59.2%	0.96×	1.76
Varaždin odd goals	44.8%	43.2%	40.8%	1.06×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	92.0%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	51.4%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	43.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Varaždin to score 2+ in a row	25.5%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
HNK Gorica to score 2+ in a row	21.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Varaždin to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.75
HNK Gorica to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.91

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	16.1%	13.6%	11.8%	1.14×	7.37
0-0	14.4%	11.4%	8.1%	1.41×	8.80
0-1	10.6%	11.4%	3.3%	3.42×	8.80
1-0	9.2%	7.4%	8.5%	0.87×	13.53
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	10.9%	0.68×	13.53
0-2	7.5%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.53
1-2	7.6%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.53
2-0	6.0%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.53
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.68
2-2	3.8%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	57.66
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	57.67
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	3.8%	0.46×	57.67
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	57.67
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.67
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	57.68
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	57.68
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	57.68
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.66×	57.68
Any other score	1.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.41×	57.67
0-3	2.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	57.66
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.22×	57.68
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	57.66

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (2nd half DNB)	55.6%	60.4%	—	—	1.66
HNK Gorica (2nd half DNB)	44.4%	39.6%	—	—	2.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin leading at HT (DNB)	51.3%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
HNK Gorica leading at HT (DNB)	48.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin or draw (X2)	70.6%	72.3%	52.6%	1.37×	1.38
HNK Gorica or Varaždin (12)	65.1%	69.4%	73.9%	0.94×	1.44
HNK Gorica or draw (1X)	64.3%	63.8%	73.0%	0.87×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin or draw at HT	76.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
HNK Gorica or draw at HT	74.7%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
HNK Gorica or Varaždin at HT	49.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin or draw (1UP)	70.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
HNK Gorica or draw (1UP)	64.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin or draw in 2nd half	74.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
HNK Gorica or draw in 2nd half	68.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
HNK Gorica or Varaždin in 2nd half	57.4%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.9%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	31.1%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (DNB)	54.8%	50.1%	36.3%	1.38×	2.00
HNK Gorica (DNB)	45.2%	49.9%	63.7%	0.78×	2.00

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin to score first	45.2%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
HNK Gorica to score first	40.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	14.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.2%	51.6%	47.4%	1.09×	1.94
Both teams to score	45.8%	48.4%	52.6%	0.92×	2.07

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	47.7%	44.2%	37.4%	1.18×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.7%	33.4%	41.2%	0.81×	3.00
Both score & under 2.5	16.1%	21.3%	11.8%	1.80×	4.69
Not both score & over 2.5	6.5%	8.4%	10.4%	0.80×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.6%	88.9%	88.2%	1.01×	1.13
Both teams to score 2+	8.4%	11.1%	11.8%	0.94×	9.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.5%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.5%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	19.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Both score 1st half only	10.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.36
Both score in both halves	2.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.18

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.24

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.6%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	43.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.9%	46.9%	50.2%	0.93×	2.13
0-1 goals	34.2%	30.9%	19.0%	1.63×	3.24
4-6 goals	16.3%	20.2%	29.4%	0.69×	4.95
7+ goals	0.6%	1.8%	2.4%	0.78×	54.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.8%	32.2%	1.11×	2.80
Varaždin to score exactly 0	32.2%	33.7%	33.6%	1.00×	2.97
Varaždin to score exactly 2	20.7%	22.5%	22.7%	0.99×	4.45
Varaždin to score 3+	10.6%	13.0%	12.3%	1.05×	7.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.5%	31.8%	1.12×	2.81
HNK Gorica to score exactly 0	36.4%	35.5%	21.8%	1.63×	2.81
HNK Gorica to score exactly 2	18.6%	19.2%	29.4%	0.65×	5.22
HNK Gorica to score 3+	8.2%	10.5%	18.0%	0.58×	9.55

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Varaždin leading at HT	25.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
HNK Gorica leading at HT	24.0%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin -1: 1	64.3%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Varaždin -1: X	19.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.79
Varaždin -1: 2	15.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (0:1)	70.6%	70.9%	52.6%	1.35×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	17.4%	17.8%	20.4%	0.87×	5.63
HNK Gorica (0:1)	12.1%	13.9%	27.5%	0.51×	7.18

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (0:2)	87.9%	86.9%	72.5%	1.20×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.6%	7.7%	18.0%	0.43×	13.00
HNK Gorica (0:2)	3.4%	3.8%	10.0%	0.38×	26.46

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (0:3)	96.6%	96.6%	90.0%	1.07×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	42.34
HNK Gorica (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	3.8%	0.62×	42.42

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	96.2%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.8%	0.43×	81.76
HNK Gorica (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.4%	0.86×	81.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica (1:0)	64.3%	65.4%	73.0%	0.90×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.8%	17.1%	8.5%	2.00×	5.85
Varaždin (1:0)	15.9%	17.1%	19.0%	0.90×	5.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica (2:0)	84.1%	84.6%	81.0%	1.04×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.8%	10.4%	12.8%	0.81×	9.63
Varaždin (2:0)	5.0%	6.5%	6.6%	0.99×	15.29

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	32.9%	30.0%	—	—	3.34
1st half highest scoring	24.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica to concede	67.8%	66.6%	66.4%	1.00×	1.50
HNK Gorica clean sheet	32.2%	33.4%	33.6%	0.99×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica clean sheet in 1st half	63.6%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
HNK Gorica to concede in 1st half	36.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica clean sheet in 2nd half	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
HNK Gorica to concede in 2nd half	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica under 3.5 goals	98.0%	96.3%	91.5%	1.05×	1.04
HNK Gorica under 2.5 goals	91.8%	92.1%	82.0%	1.12×	1.09
HNK Gorica under 1.5 goals	73.2%	74.3%	53.1%	1.40×	1.35
HNK Gorica over 0.5 goals	63.6%	63.3%	78.2%	0.81×	1.58
HNK Gorica under 0.5 goals	36.4%	36.7%	21.8%	1.68×	2.73
HNK Gorica over 1.5 goals	26.8%	25.7%	46.9%	0.55×	3.89
HNK Gorica over 2.5 goals	8.2%	7.9%	18.0%	0.44×	12.70
HNK Gorica over 3.5 goals	2.0%	3.7%	8.5%	0.43×	27.04

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica under 1.5 in 1st half	92.9%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
HNK Gorica under 0.5 in 1st half	64.8%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
HNK Gorica over 0.5 in 1st half	35.2%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
HNK Gorica over 1.5 in 1st half	7.1%	4.6%	—	—	21.94

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica scores equally in both	46.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
HNK Gorica scores more in 2nd half	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
HNK Gorica scores more in 1st half	22.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin (home no bet)	50.5%	51.5%	50.9%	1.01×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.5%	48.5%	49.1%	0.99×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica even goals	56.6%	55.4%	57.8%	0.96×	1.81
HNK Gorica odd goals	43.4%	44.6%	42.2%	1.06×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
HT 0-1	18.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-0	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-1	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 0-2	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 2-0	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
Any other HT score	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.57
HT 2-1	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.58
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.68

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	24.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Varaždin at HT / Varaždin at FT	19.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
HNK Gorica at HT / HNK Gorica at FT	16.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Varaždin at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / HNK Gorica at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
HNK Gorica at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Varaždin at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
HNK Gorica at HT / Varaždin at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Varaždin at HT / HNK Gorica at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin to score last	45.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
HNK Gorica to score last	40.3%	39.9%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	14.4%	10.0%	—	—	10.02

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.6%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Varaždin to lead by 1 at any time	50.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
HNK Gorica to lead by 1 at any time	44.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.2%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Varaždin to lead by 2 at any time	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
HNK Gorica to lead by 2 at any time	16.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Varaždin to lead by 3 at any time	6.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.16
HNK Gorica to lead by 3 at any time	4.4%	1.7%	—	—	60.12

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.3%	83.3%	87.2%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	78.9%	78.5%	80.6%	0.97×	1.27
1-3 goals	68.6%	68.9%	61.1%	1.13×	1.45
2-6 goals	65.1%	68.8%	79.1%	0.87×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.6%	63.2%	76.3%	0.83×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.2%	59.3%	69.7%	0.85×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.4%	48.5%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.9%	48.5%	50.2%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	35.5%	39.3%	49.3%	0.80×	2.55
3-5 goals	33.9%	35.3%	46.4%	0.76×	2.83
3-4 goals	29.5%	30.6%	39.8%	0.77×	3.27
4-6 goals	16.3%	18.8%	29.4%	0.64×	5.31
4-5 goals	14.7%	15.0%	26.5%	0.57×	6.65
5-6 goals	6.0%	9.0%	10.0%	0.90×	11.16
7+ goals	0.6%	2.6%	2.4%	1.08×	39.04

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Varaždin never behind	40.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
HNK Gorica never behind	35.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	43.9%	50.2%	39.8%	1.26×	1.99
Even number of goals	56.1%	49.8%	60.2%	0.83×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.4%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	40.6%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.9%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.1%	41.4%	—	—	2.41

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.8%	95.4%	94.8%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.4%	92.2%	88.2%	1.05×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	91.9%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	83.1%	82.2%	68.7%	1.20×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	65.8%	66.0%	81.0%	0.81×	1.52
Under 2.5 goals	63.8%	62.0%	48.8%	1.27×	1.61
Over 2.5 goals	36.2%	38.0%	51.2%	0.74×	2.63
Under 1.5 goals	34.2%	34.0%	19.0%	1.79×	2.94
Over 3.5 goals	16.9%	17.8%	31.3%	0.57×	5.61
Under 0.5 goals	14.4%	12.6%	8.1%	1.56×	7.96
Over 4.5 goals	6.6%	7.8%	11.8%	0.66×	12.84
Over 5.5 goals	2.2%	4.6%	5.2%	0.88×	21.78

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	97.6%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.7%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.6%	92.4%	85.3%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	79.0%	75.9%	60.9%	1.25×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.4%	52.3%	73.0%	0.72×	1.91
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.6%	47.7%	27.0%	1.76×	2.10
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.0%	24.1%	39.1%	0.62×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.4%	7.6%	14.7%	0.52×	13.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.3%	2.8%	5.6%	0.51×	35.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	2.4%	1.17×	35.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.9%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.3%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.7%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.92

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	70.6%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	29.4%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica not to score in both halves	84.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Varaždin not to score in both halves	82.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Varaždin to score in both halves	18.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.39
HNK Gorica to score in both halves	15.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	45.8%	50.4%	52.6%	0.96×	1.99
Only Varaždin scores	22.0%	22.0%	14.2%	1.55×	4.55
Only HNK Gorica scores	17.8%	16.0%	26.1%	0.61×	6.25
Neither team scores	14.4%	11.1%	8.1%	1.38×	9.01

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	29.6%	24.7%	30.3%	0.81×	4.05
Exactly 1 goals	19.8%	17.6%	11.4%	1.54×	5.70
Exactly 3 goals	19.2%	17.6%	20.4%	0.86×	5.70
Exactly 0 goals	14.4%	12.1%	8.1%	1.50×	8.29
Exactly 4 goals	10.3%	12.0%	19.9%	0.61×	8.30
Exactly 5 goals	4.4%	4.5%	7.1%	0.63×	22.22
6 or more goals	2.2%	4.5%	5.2%	0.86×	22.25

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	41.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
1 goal in 1st half	35.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	16.7%	15.2%	—	—	6.57
3+ goals in 1st half	6.1%	7.2%	—	—	13.92

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	33.9%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	29.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica not to win both halves	93.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Varaždin not to win both halves	91.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Varaždin to win both halves	8.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
HNK Gorica to win both halves	6.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.66

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica to win neither half	57.0%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Varaždin to win neither half	51.2%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Varaždin to win either half	48.8%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
HNK Gorica to win either half	43.0%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HNK Gorica not to win to nil	82.2%	83.2%	73.9%	1.12×	1.20
Varaždin not to win to nil	78.0%	78.4%	85.8%	0.91×	1.28
Varaždin to win to nil	22.0%	21.6%	14.2%	1.52×	4.62
HNK Gorica to win to nil	17.8%	16.8%	26.1%	0.65×	5.94

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	34.9%	27.7%	26.1%	1.06×	3.61
Varaždin by 1	19.8%	16.9%	8.5%	1.98×	5.92
HNK Gorica by 1	17.4%	16.9%	20.4%	0.83×	5.92
Varaždin by 2	10.8%	11.7%	12.8%	0.92×	8.53
HNK Gorica by 2	8.6%	7.3%	18.0%	0.40×	13.76
Varaždin by 3+	5.0%	7.3%	6.6%	1.09×	13.77
HNK Gorica by 3+	3.4%	2.8%	10.0%	0.28×	35.58