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Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 September 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

1–4
1.06 – 3.42 xG
Shots
15 – 20
On target
5 – 7
Shots in box
9 – 14
xG per shot
0.07 – 0.17
Set-piece xG
0.25 – 1.80
Goals − xG
-0.07 – +0.58
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.01.92.93.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Martin Terrier 16' — goalVictor Boniface 29' — goalMërgim Berisha 36' — goalFlorian Wirtz 71' — goalVictor Boniface 74' — goal
Hoffenheim 1.07 xGBayer Leverkusen 3.42 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Martin Terrier 2' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Edmond Tapsoba 7' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Marius Bülter 12' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Anton Stach 13' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Mërgim Berisha 14' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Martin Terrier 16' — Goal (0.58 xG, Open Play)Victor Boniface 27' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Victor Boniface 28' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Victor Boniface 29' — Goal (0.18 xG, Open Play)Dennis Geiger 32' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Florian Grillitsch 33' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Mërgim Berisha 36' — Goal (0.43 xG, Open Play)Anton Stach 37' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Álex Grimaldo 41' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Robert Andrich 43' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Victor Boniface 46' — Saved Shot (0.50 xG, Open Play)Edmond Tapsoba 48' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, From Corner)Álex Grimaldo 48' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Pavel Kaderábek 48' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Martin Terrier 57' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Robert Andrich 57' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Victor Boniface 57' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 61' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Victor Boniface 66' — Missed Shot (0.57 xG, From Corner)Florian Wirtz 71' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Victor Boniface 74' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 76' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Tom Bischof 77' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 81' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 82' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Marius Bülter 82' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Andrej Kramaric 84' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Álex Grimaldo 91' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Direct Freekick)Florian Wirtz 92' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Jeremie Frimpong 95' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)
Hoffenheim attacking right Bayer Leverkusen attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Bayer Leverkusen Martin Terrier 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
7' Bayer Leverkusen Edmond Tapsoba 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Florian Wirtz
12' Hoffenheim Marius Bülter 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Alexander Prass
13' Hoffenheim Anton Stach 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
14' Hoffenheim Mërgim Berisha 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Alexander Prass
16' Bayer Leverkusen Martin Terrier 0.58 Open Play Left Foot Goal Victor Boniface
27' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.08 Open Play Saved Shot Martin Terrier
28' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.01 From Corner Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
29' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.18 Open Play Right Foot Goal Granit Xhaka
32' Hoffenheim Dennis Geiger 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Tim Drexler
33' Hoffenheim Florian Grillitsch 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Pavel Kaderábek
36' Hoffenheim Mërgim Berisha 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Goal Andrej Kramaric
37' Hoffenheim Anton Stach 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
41' Bayer Leverkusen Álex Grimaldo 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Florian Wirtz
43' Bayer Leverkusen Robert Andrich 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Granit Xhaka
46' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.50 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
48' Bayer Leverkusen Edmond Tapsoba 0.10 From Corner Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
48' Bayer Leverkusen Álex Grimaldo 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Florian Wirtz
48' Hoffenheim Pavel Kaderábek 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
57' Bayer Leverkusen Martin Terrier 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
57' Bayer Leverkusen Robert Andrich 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Florian Wirtz
57' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
61' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
66' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.57 From Corner Missed Shot Álex Grimaldo
71' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.76 Right Foot Goal
74' Bayer Leverkusen Victor Boniface 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Goal Jeremie Frimpong
76' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Tom Bischof
77' Hoffenheim Tom Bischof 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Dennis Geiger
81' Hoffenheim Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Andrej Kramaric
82' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Marius Bülter
82' Hoffenheim Marius Bülter 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Tom Bischof
84' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Tom Bischof
91' Bayer Leverkusen Álex Grimaldo 0.10 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot
92' Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz 0.05 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
95' Bayer Leverkusen Jeremie Frimpong 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot

Players

Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Florian Wirtz AMC 90 1 0 2 4 0.80 0.20 1.45
Álex Grimaldo DML 90 0 0 3 3 0.24 0.68 0.11
Edmond Tapsoba DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.14 0.00 0.59
Jonathan Tah DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.35
Granit Xhaka MC 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.22 0.84
Lukas Hradecky GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.76
Victor Boniface FW 89 2 1 7 1 1.50 0.58 1.49
Piero Hincapié DC 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Martin Terrier AMC 83 1 0 3 1 0.66 0.08 0.76
Robert Andrich MC 83 0 0 2 0 0.06 0.00 0.19
Nathan Tella DMR 60 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.58
Jeremie Frimpong Sub 30 0 1 1 1 0.03 0.08 0.08
Aleix García Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Amine Adli Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Patrik Schick Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nordi Mukiele Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Hoffenheim

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Andrej Kramaric AMC 90 0 1 4 2 0.18 0.49 0.59
Marius Bülter FW 90 0 0 2 1 0.10 0.06 0.17
Pavel Kaderábek MR 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.01 0.55
Anton Stach DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.03 0.00 0.55
Dennis Geiger MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.09 0.69
Florian Grillitsch MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.30
Kevin Akpoguma DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.19
Oliver Baumann GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Tim Drexler DC 79 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.54
Mërgim Berisha FW 64 1 0 2 0 0.52 0.00 0.52
Alexander Prass ML 64 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.16 0.60
Jacob Bruun Larsen Sub 26 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Valentin Gendrey Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Tom Bischof Sub 11 0 0 1 3 0.09 0.10 0.11
Max Moerstedt Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Umut Tohumcu Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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