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Hoffenheim v Bochum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 October 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

3–1
2.46 – 2.35 xG
Shots
12 – 13
On target
7 – 4
Shots in box
9 – 8
xG per shot
0.21 – 0.18
Set-piece xG
0.12 – 0.80
Goals − xG
+0.54 – -1.35
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.42.12.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Andrej Kramaric 10' — goalMarius Bülter 63' — goalCristian Gamboa 75' — goalHaris Tabakovic 92' — goal
Hoffenheim 2.46 xGBochum 2.35 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Tom Bischof 3' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 10' — Goal (0.32 xG, Open Play)Marius Bülter 13' — Blocked Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 15' — Missed Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 23' — Shot On Post (0.31 xG, Open Play)Alexander Prass 26' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 27' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 38' — Saved Shot (0.35 xG, Open Play)Koji Miyoshi 42' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Koji Miyoshi 44' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Lukas Daschner 46' — Missed Shot (0.58 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 53' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Set Piece)Moritz Broschinski 62' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Marius Bülter 63' — Goal (0.13 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 67' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 68' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Adam Hlozek 69' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Umut Tohumcu 72' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Cristian Gamboa 75' — Goal (0.24 xG, Open Play)Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 75' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 82' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 83' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ibrahima Sissoko 84' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Lukas Daschner 88' — Saved Shot (0.76 xG, )Haris Tabakovic 92' — Goal (0.45 xG, Open Play)
Hoffenheim attacking right Bochum attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Hoffenheim Tom Bischof 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Andrej Kramaric
10' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Goal
13' Hoffenheim Marius Bülter 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Valentin Gendrey
15' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alexander Prass
23' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.31 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post
26' Hoffenheim Alexander Prass 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Adam Hlozek
27' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Philipp Hofmann
38' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.35 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Alexander Prass
42' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Philipp Hofmann
44' Bochum Koji Miyoshi 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mats Pannewig
46' Bochum Lukas Daschner 0.58 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
53' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.12 Set Piece Missed Shot Tom Bischof
62' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Moritz-Broni Kwarteng
63' Hoffenheim Marius Bülter 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Goal Tom Bischof
67' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.08 Open Play Missed Shot Maximilian Wittek
68' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.12 Open Play Saved Shot Cristian Gamboa
69' Hoffenheim Adam Hlozek 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Florian Grillitsch
72' Hoffenheim Umut Tohumcu 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Marius Bülter
75' Bochum Cristian Gamboa 0.24 Open Play Right Foot Goal Lukas Daschner
75' Bochum Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Wittek
82' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
83' Bochum Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Cristian Gamboa
84' Bochum Ibrahima Sissoko 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
88' Bochum Lukas Daschner 0.76 Right Foot Saved Shot
92' Hoffenheim Haris Tabakovic 0.45 Open Play Left Foot Goal Jacob Bruun Larsen

Players

Hoffenheim

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Andrej Kramaric AMC 90 1 0 5 1 1.54 0.06 1.76
Marius Bülter FW 90 1 0 2 1 0.26 0.03 0.29
Tom Bischof MC 90 0 1 1 2 0.06 0.25 0.76
Valentin Gendrey MR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.14 0.32
Oliver Baumann GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kevin Akpoguma DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Anton Stach DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.49
Adam Hlozek FW 81 0 0 1 2 0.08 0.05 0.27
Arthur Chaves DC 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.55
Alexander Prass ML 73 0 0 1 2 0.05 0.79 0.84
Florian Grillitsch MC 73 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.53
Umut Tohumcu Sub 17 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.47
Jacob Bruun Larsen Sub 17 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.45 0.47
Haris Tabakovic Sub 9 1 0 1 0 0.45 0.00 0.45
Tim Drexler Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Diadie Samassékou Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Philipp Hofmann FW 90 0 0 2 2 0.20 0.33 0.55
Maximilian Wittek DL 90 0 0 2 3 0.06 0.68 1.03
Erhan Masovic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.60
Anthony Losilla DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.98
Ivan Ordets DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moritz Broschinski FW 78 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.64
Felix Passlack DR 67 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.60
Koji Miyoshi MC 47 0 0 2 0 0.38 0.00 0.38
Dani de Wit AMC 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Mats Pannewig MC 47 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.38
Lukas Daschner Sub 43 0 1 2 1 1.34 0.24 0.84
Moritz-Broni Kwarteng Sub 43 0 0 2 1 0.04 0.06 1.00
Ibrahima Sissoko Sub 43 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.24
Cristian Gamboa Sub 23 1 0 1 2 0.24 0.14 0.38
Gerrit Holtmann Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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