Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 10 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Houston Dynamo

20:30

Real Salt Lake

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 89h before kick-off

Houston Dynamo win

51.4%

model 50.3%

Draw

27.3%

model 26.2%

Real Salt Lake win

21.3%

model 23.4%

512721

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.5%
1-0 11.5%
2-1 9.5%
2-0 9.5%
0-0 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.6%	Under 2.5	52.4%
BTTS yes	50.7%	BTTS no	49.3%
Houston Dynamo 1+	79.4%	Houston Dynamo 2+	46.8%
Real Salt Lake 1+	63.2%	Real Salt Lake 2+	26.4%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 40%

53.8% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 1085 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Real Salt Lake not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Houston Dynamo carry the stronger rating, 1552 Elo against 1445.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Houston Dynamo have an estimated 51.4% win probability, against 27.3% for the draw and 21.3% for Real Salt Lake. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.58 for Houston Dynamo and 1.00 for Real Salt Lake.

Why Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo carry the stronger rating, 1552 Elo against 1445. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Real Salt Lake can win

Nothing in the data singles out Real Salt Lake.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Houston Dynamo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Real Salt Lake, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Houston Dynamo: 49% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Real Salt Lake: 45% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Houston Dynamo are the model's most likely outcome at 51.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502623	1.58–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512722	1.55–0.93	1-1 13%	45%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to win	51.1%	51.4%	45.4%	1.13×	1.94
Draw	26.7%	27.9%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
Real Salt Lake to win	22.3%	24.4%	29.9%	0.82×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo & not both score	30.4%	29.7%	21.1%	1.41×	3.37
Houston Dynamo & both teams score	20.7%	21.9%	24.4%	0.90×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Real Salt Lake & not both score	12.4%	13.2%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Real Salt Lake & both teams score	9.9%	8.4%	17.8%	0.47×	11.94
Draw & not both score	8.9%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo & over 1.5	38.6%	34.9%	37.1%	0.94×	2.86
Houston Dynamo & under 3.5	37.0%	34.9%	28.3%	1.23×	2.86
Houston Dynamo & over 2.5	28.6%	26.0%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
Houston Dynamo & under 2.5	22.5%	21.6%	14.5%	1.49×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	21.5%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.5%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Real Salt Lake & under 3.5	17.7%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Real Salt Lake & over 1.5	15.0%	12.9%	23.5%	0.55×	7.77
Houston Dynamo & over 3.5	14.1%	12.9%	17.2%	0.75×	7.77
Houston Dynamo & under 1.5	12.4%	12.9%	8.4%	1.54×	7.78
Real Salt Lake & over 2.5	11.3%	12.9%	20.3%	0.63×	7.78
Real Salt Lake & under 2.5	11.0%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.78
Draw & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.69
Real Salt Lake & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Real Salt Lake & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	11.2%	0.43×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (1UP)	64.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Real Salt Lake (1UP)	38.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (2UP)	51.1%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Real Salt Lake (2UP)	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to win 2nd half	40.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	37.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Real Salt Lake to win 2nd half	21.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (+2.5)	89.0%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
Houston Dynamo (+0.5)	77.7%	78.5%	70.1%	1.12×	1.27
Real Salt Lake (+1.5)	73.2%	73.7%	76.7%	0.96×	1.36
Houston Dynamo (-0.5)	51.1%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Real Salt Lake (+0.5)	48.9%	47.7%	54.6%	0.87×	2.10
Houston Dynamo (-1.5)	26.8%	26.3%	23.3%	1.13×	3.80
Real Salt Lake (-0.5)	22.3%	21.5%	29.9%	0.72×	4.64
Houston Dynamo (-2.5)	11.0%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to concede	78.7%	79.0%	82.0%	0.96×	1.27
Real Salt Lake clean sheet	21.3%	21.0%	18.0%	1.17×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to concede in 1st half	48.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Real Salt Lake clean sheet in 1st half	51.5%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake under 6.5 corners	82.0%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Real Salt Lake over 2.5 corners	73.8%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Real Salt Lake under 5.5 corners	72.0%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Real Salt Lake under 4.5 corners	58.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Real Salt Lake over 3.5 corners	57.3%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Real Salt Lake under 3.5 corners	42.7%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Real Salt Lake over 4.5 corners	41.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Real Salt Lake over 5.5 corners	28.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Real Salt Lake under 2.5 corners	26.2%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Real Salt Lake over 6.5 corners	18.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.6%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Real Salt Lake under 2.5 goals	93.2%	92.4%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Real Salt Lake under 1.5 goals	76.0%	76.2%	61.3%	1.24×	1.31
Real Salt Lake over 0.5 goals	60.7%	62.9%	73.2%	0.86×	1.59
Real Salt Lake under 0.5 goals	39.3%	37.1%	26.8%	1.38×	2.70
Real Salt Lake over 1.5 goals	24.0%	23.8%	38.7%	0.61×	4.20
Real Salt Lake over 2.5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	16.7%	0.46×	13.08
Real Salt Lake over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.4%	6.1%	0.40×	41.12

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake under 1.5 in 1st half	94.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Real Salt Lake under 0.5 in 1st half	68.9%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Real Salt Lake over 0.5 in 1st half	31.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Real Salt Lake over 1.5 in 1st half	5.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.30

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (away no bet)	65.7%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.3%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake even goals	57.7%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Real Salt Lake odd goals	42.3%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.5%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.8%	51.1%	—	—	1.96
Houston Dynamo to score 2+ in a row	38.9%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Real Salt Lake to score 2+ in a row	17.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Houston Dynamo to score 3+ in a row	14.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.30
Real Salt Lake to score 3+ in a row	3.7%	2.6%	—	—	37.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo corners (+3.5)	90.5%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Houston Dynamo corners (+2.5)	85.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Houston Dynamo corners (+1.5)	78.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Real Salt Lake corners (+3.5)	69.5%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Real Salt Lake corners (+2.5)	60.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Real Salt Lake corners (+1.5)	50.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Houston Dynamo corners (-1.5)	50.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Houston Dynamo corners (-2.5)	39.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Houston Dynamo corners (-3.5)	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Real Salt Lake corners (-1.5)	21.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Real Salt Lake corners (-2.5)	14.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Real Salt Lake corners (-3.5)	9.5%	11.4%	—	—	8.80

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.8%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
12+ corners	34.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	72.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	63.2%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	56.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.1%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	46.9%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	43.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.8%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	34.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	27.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.4%	11.5%	8.4%	1.37×	8.73
1-1	12.6%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-0	10.0%	11.4%	6.3%	1.82×	8.74
0-0	8.9%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.46
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
0-1	7.3%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.46
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.46
3-0	5.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.46
3-1	4.8%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.56
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.57
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.59
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.58
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.59
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.57
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.58
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.59
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.58
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.59
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.72×	58.59
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo leading at HT (DNB)	67.5%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Real Salt Lake leading at HT (DNB)	32.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw (1X)	77.7%	75.6%	70.1%	1.08×	1.32
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake (12)	73.3%	72.1%	75.1%	0.96×	1.39
Real Salt Lake or draw (X2)	48.9%	48.6%	54.6%	0.89×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw at HT	82.1%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Real Salt Lake or draw at HT	62.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake at HT	55.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw (1UP)	77.7%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Real Salt Lake or draw (1UP)	48.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw in 2nd half	78.1%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake in 2nd half	62.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Real Salt Lake or draw in 2nd half	59.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (DNB)	69.6%	67.2%	60.3%	1.12×	1.49
Real Salt Lake (DNB)	30.4%	32.8%	39.7%	0.82×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score first	56.8%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Real Salt Lake to score first	34.3%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	8.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.8%	51.5%	38.9%	1.32×	1.94
Both teams to score	48.2%	48.5%	61.1%	0.80×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.3%	41.5%	29.9%	1.39×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	35.6%	38.5%	50.9%	0.76×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.4%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.0%	85.7%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.0%	14.3%	20.5%	0.70×	6.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.7%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	63.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	21.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Both score 1st half only	11.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Both score in both halves	3.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.15

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.8%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.6%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
0-1 goals	28.7%	26.4%	20.5%	1.29×	3.78
4-6 goals	22.4%	22.8%	33.1%	0.69×	4.38
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.30

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to score exactly 0	39.3%	36.0%	26.8%	1.34×	2.78
Real Salt Lake to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Real Salt Lake to score exactly 2	17.1%	19.5%	22.1%	0.88×	5.12
Real Salt Lake to score 3+	6.8%	8.5%	16.7%	0.51×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 1	33.0%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 2	25.5%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 0	21.3%	23.3%	18.0%	1.29×	4.30
Houston Dynamo to score 3+	20.3%	23.3%	25.2%	0.92×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.0%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Houston Dynamo leading at HT	37.2%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Real Salt Lake leading at HT	17.9%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo -1: 2	48.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Houston Dynamo -1: 1	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Houston Dynamo -1: X	24.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (0:1)	48.9%	45.9%	54.6%	0.84×	2.18
Houston Dynamo (0:1)	26.8%	27.0%	23.3%	1.16×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	24.3%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.11

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (0:2)	73.2%	75.6%	76.7%	0.98×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.8%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.54
Houston Dynamo (0:2)	11.0%	11.0%	10.5%	1.04×	9.09

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (0:3)	89.0%	90.8%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.3%	5.8%	6.6%	0.87×	17.23
Houston Dynamo (0:3)	3.7%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	41.98

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (0:4)	96.3%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.6%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.16
Houston Dynamo (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.36

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (1:0)	77.7%	78.5%	70.1%	1.12×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.5%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.80
Real Salt Lake (1:0)	7.8%	6.9%	13.2%	0.52×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (2:0)	92.2%	93.9%	86.8%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.8%	6.4%	8.7%	0.74×	15.51
Real Salt Lake (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.28

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to concede	60.7%	63.3%	73.2%	0.87×	1.58
Houston Dynamo clean sheet	39.3%	36.7%	26.8%	1.37×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo clean sheet in 1st half	68.9%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Houston Dynamo to concede in 1st half	31.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 corners	87.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 corners	76.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Houston Dynamo over 4.5 corners	63.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Houston Dynamo under 6.5 corners	62.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Houston Dynamo under 5.5 corners	50.1%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Houston Dynamo over 5.5 corners	49.9%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Houston Dynamo over 6.5 corners	37.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Houston Dynamo under 4.5 corners	36.8%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 corners	23.9%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 corners	12.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 goals	92.9%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 goals	79.8%	77.7%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 goals	78.7%	77.7%	82.0%	0.95×	1.29
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 goals	54.3%	53.3%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 goals	45.7%	46.7%	51.1%	0.91×	2.14
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 goals	21.3%	22.3%	18.0%	1.24×	4.49
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 goals	20.3%	22.3%	25.2%	0.88×	4.49
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 goals	7.1%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 in 1st half	85.6%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 in 1st half	48.5%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 in 1st half	51.5%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 in 1st half	14.4%	10.1%	—	—	9.86

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.5%	51.6%	45.4%	1.14×	1.94
Real Salt Lake (home no bet)	45.5%	48.4%	54.6%	0.89×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo even goals	52.3%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Houston Dynamo odd goals	47.7%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
HT 1-0	23.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.12
HT 0-1	13.1%	11.1%	—	—	9.04
HT 1-1	8.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-0	7.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
Any other HT score	3.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.65
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.71
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.74
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.81
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.90

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	30.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.11
Draw at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Real Salt Lake at HT / Real Salt Lake at FT	11.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Real Salt Lake at FT	9.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
Houston Dynamo at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.08
Real Salt Lake at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.11
Real Salt Lake at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	2.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.19
Houston Dynamo at HT / Real Salt Lake at FT	1.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.23

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score last	56.9%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Real Salt Lake to score last	34.2%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	8.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.1%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Houston Dynamo to lead by 1 at any time	64.2%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.0%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Real Salt Lake to lead by 1 at any time	38.7%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Houston Dynamo to lead by 2 at any time	32.3%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Houston Dynamo to lead by 3 at any time	12.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Real Salt Lake to lead by 2 at any time	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Real Salt Lake to lead by 3 at any time	2.8%	1.6%	—	—	63.02

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo most corners	60.3%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
Real Salt Lake most corners	29.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Corners level	9.7%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.5%	73.1%	1.14×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.0%	69.0%	75.5%	0.91×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.3%	69.0%	57.2%	1.21×	1.45
2-5 goals	67.3%	69.0%	68.5%	1.01×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.8%	63.5%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.6%	48.7%	42.5%	1.15×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.0%	48.7%	34.4%	1.42×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.7%	43.6%	55.9%	0.78×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.0%	43.6%	48.9%	0.89×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.5%	35.4%	38.8%	0.91×	2.83
4-6 goals	22.4%	24.4%	33.1%	0.74×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.7%	18.6%	26.1%	0.71×	5.37
5-6 goals	9.2%	8.8%	17.2%	0.51×	11.43
7+ goals	1.4%	2.5%	4.1%	0.61×	39.52

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo never behind	52.4%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Real Salt Lake never behind	26.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.9%	95.5%	88.9%	1.07×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.4%	87.7%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.2%	77.4%	62.9%	1.23×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.3%	72.5%	79.5%	0.91×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.9%	52.5%	40.1%	1.31×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	45.1%	47.6%	59.9%	0.79×	2.10
Under 1.5 goals	28.7%	27.5%	20.5%	1.34×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	23.8%	22.6%	37.1%	0.61×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	10.6%	12.3%	21.2%	0.58×	8.12
Under 0.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.1%	4.5%	11.1%	0.41×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.7%	97.2%	87.6%	1.11×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.8%	86.7%	74.8%	1.16×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.8%	67.4%	51.9%	1.30×	1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.1%	62.1%	74.5%	0.83×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.9%	37.9%	25.5%	1.49×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.2%	32.6%	48.1%	0.68×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.2%	13.3%	25.2%	0.53×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.3%	2.8%	12.4%	0.22×	36.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	4.4%	0.62×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.1%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.5%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.5%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.82

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.4%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.6%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake not to score in both halves	86.6%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Houston Dynamo not to score in both halves	71.6%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Houston Dynamo to score in both halves	28.4%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Real Salt Lake to score in both halves	13.4%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.2%	50.4%	61.1%	0.83×	1.99
Only Houston Dynamo scores	30.4%	33.3%	21.1%	1.58×	3.00
Only Real Salt Lake scores	12.4%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.14
Neither team scores	8.9%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.3%	25.0%	19.7%	1.27×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.7%	17.5%	14.8%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.2%	12.1%	16.0%	0.75×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	8.9%	7.6%	5.8%	1.30×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.1%	4.4%	11.1%	0.40×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	33.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake not to win both halves	96.0%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Houston Dynamo not to win both halves	84.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Houston Dynamo to win both halves	15.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.39
Real Salt Lake to win both halves	4.0%	2.9%	—	—	35.07

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to win neither half	64.2%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Houston Dynamo to win either half	62.7%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Houston Dynamo to win neither half	37.3%	34.7%	—	—	2.89
Real Salt Lake to win either half	35.8%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake not to win to nil	87.6%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Houston Dynamo not to win to nil	69.6%	69.7%	78.9%	0.88×	1.44
Houston Dynamo to win to nil	30.4%	30.3%	21.1%	1.44×	3.30
Real Salt Lake to win to nil	12.4%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.7%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
Houston Dynamo by 1	24.3%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Houston Dynamo by 2	15.8%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.90
Real Salt Lake by 1	14.5%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.46
Houston Dynamo by 3+	11.0%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.47
Real Salt Lake by 2	5.8%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.81
Real Salt Lake by 3+	2.0%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	37.00